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At least 1,477 records · Page 82

Influence of regional anthropogenic changes over Nile region on the climate system during the late Holocene (~2500 years before present)

The societal impacts of climate change during the late Holocene leads to regional anthropogenic changes over the Nile region floodplain and could have acted in tandem with natural factors like major volcanic eruptions on the regional climate system to magnify the local climatic impacts. This study aims to explore and investigate the sensitivity of climatic changes to the regional anthropogenic changes due to various factors over the Nile river floodplains during the late-Holocene (2.5K years before present). The GISS ModelE Earth system model will be used to simulate the various scenarios of regional increasing/decreasing river fraction, changes in vegetation type and cover, along with changes in land surface type against the no-changes scenario in absence of volcanic eruptions. The spatial coverage of the Nile river basin is estimated using the GIS shapefile based on elevation data from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) at 3 Arc-seconds (approx. 90-meter) horizontal resolution. The extent of flooding in the model grid (2.0°x2.5° in latitude and longitude) is estimated using the existing high-resolution (0.125°x0.125°) gridded topographic elevation information and mapped over the Nile river floodplains. This study also focuses on evaluating the NASA GISS ModelE for resolving the climate feedbacks and response on climate system due to anthropogenic changes and volcanic eruptions. It is also aimed to analyze and quantify the impact of various anthropogenic factors over the African monsoon system and rainfall over the region, which feeds the Nile River.

Anthropogenic changes↗

The Evolution of Icelandic Volcano Emissions, as Observed From Space in the Era of NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS)

Volcanoes are natural phenomena that have global environmental impacts. Satellite remote sensing can help classify volcanic eruptions and track the dispersion of emissions. We assess multiple volcanic eruptions in Iceland (Eyjafjallajökull 2010, Grímsvötn 2011 and Holuhraun 2014-2015), using space-borne observations to infer information about the geological dynamics of each volcano and the properties and evolution of plume particles. We derive qualitative constraints on plume particle size, shape and light-absorption characteristics from Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) space-borne imagery. With the MISR Research Algorithm (RA), we distinguish sulfate/water-dominated volcanic plumes from Holuhraun and ash-dominated plumes from Eyjafjallajökull and Grímsvötn, and even identify subtler changes in ash particle size and light-absorption within plumes. Additionally, plume heights are retrieved geometrically from MISR. These are combined with surface thermal anomalies from the MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and SO2 concentrations derived from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) to synthesize eruption remote-sensing chronologies. Signals related to differences in particle properties are identified and linked to evolving magma composition at Eyjafjallajökull. The results illustrate the potential to distinguish qualitative differences in eruptive magma composition based on particle light absorption and plume profile from remote-sensing. For the sulfate-rich Holuhraun plumes, the influence of aerosol hygroscopic growth during transport is inferred from such data. Three processes appear to dominate plume evolution in Iceland: downwind aerosol formation; particle hydration; and particle deposition. This work demonstrates enhanced MISR capabilities, and more generally, remote-sensing analysis that can be applied globally, especially where suborbital volcano observations are limited or entirely absent.

remote sensting↗

Lunar Near-Surface Volatile Sample Return

The origin, distribution, depth and volume of lunar volatiles remain open questions. One of the possible sources of Moon's volatiles is their volcanic outgassing during the peak of lunar volcanic activity ~3.5 Ga. This same outgassing would also produce a tenuous transient atmosphere which would promote the delivery of volatiles from the volcanic sources to the polar cold traps. Though such an atmosphere could have played an important role in the evolution of the Moon, little is known about it due to high uncertainty level in the mechanisms involved. The only reliable proxy for the ancient lunar atmosphere are the primordial volatiles deposited by it, which are expected to be preserved in the polar cold traps, and could be studied through sample return. In this white paper we therefore advocate that a volatile sample return from the Moon's polar cold traps should be a fundamental part of the Artemis program.

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics↗

Similarities in the Lidar-Observed Optical Properties in the 2020 Australian Bushfire PyroCb and the 2017 Pacific Northwest PyroCb Stratospheric Plumes

Recent fire seasons have featured volcanic-sized injections of smoke aerosols into the stratosphere where they persist for many months. Unfortunately, the aging and transport of these aerosols are not well understood. Using space-based lidar, the vertical and spatial propagation of these aerosol layers can be tracked and inferences can be made as to the size and shape of the constituent aerosol particles. In this study, space-based CALIOP and CATS lidar were used to track the evolution of the stratospheric aerosol plumes resulting from the 2019 - 2020 Australian bushfire and 2017 Pacific Northwest pyrocumulonimbus events and were compared to two volcanic events: Calbuco (2015) and Puyehue (2011) and two smaller pyrocumulonimbus events: California’s Rim Fire (2013) and Australia’s Black Saturday (2009). The aerosol plumes from the large pyrocumulonimbus events rose many kilometers in the stratosphere in the weeks after injection to upwards of 30km in altitude. The layer-integrated depolarization ratios and color ratios of the 2020 Australian bushfire and 2017 Pacific Northwest pyrocumulonimbus plumes both vary by altitude with the lidar-measured depolarization and color ratios indicating the higher altitude aerosol layers contain smaller and more irregularly shaped aerosol particles. This relationship between altitude and optical properties was not observed in the smaller pyrocumulonimbus or the volcanic event stratospheric plumes.

Kenneth Christian↗

(abstract) Geology of the Venera and Vega Landing Sites

Geologic mapping of the seven Venera/Vega landing sites (radius of error = 150 km) using Magellan data has shown that the dominant type of terrain at these sites is plains. At the Venera 8 and 13 sites, where a nontholeiitic composition was measured for the surface material, the Magellan imagery shows that both these sites have unusual volcanic features associated with them, such as steep sided domes and coronalike features. At the other five sites, where no peculiar volcanic activity occurred within the landing circle, the landers measured geochemical signatures of tholeiitic basalts. This association between unusual volcanic activity and nontholeiitic composition suggests that the geochemistry measured by the landers correlates well with the morphology seen in the Magellan imagery. A strong correlation also exists between the SAR imagery and the TV panoramas taken by the Venera 9, 10, 13, and 14 landers. Based on Magellan data and the lander geochemical and TV panoramas, we have been able to suggest the most likely material in the Magellan imagery sampled by the landers.

Venera↗

Mineralogy and Spectroscopy of Mount Etna Lava Flows as an Analogue to Venus

Reports of geologically recent volcanism at Venus [1–3] raise the question of whether Venus is actively resurfacing. Observing the venusian surface is difficult due to the planet’s thick, relatively opaque atmosphere, but emission from the surface is detectable via a few atmospheric windows in the near-infrared (NIR) around 1 μm [4]. Spectroscopy of rocks at these wavelengths varies due to its primary composition and the presence of secondary weathering products [2, 5, 6]. If degree of alteration can be tied to the spectroscopic response, then the weathering of the venusian surface can reveal its age and extent of recent volcanism [2, 7]. Mount Etna on Earth is a potential analogue to Venus that can aid our understanding. The composite volcano is currently active and exhibits a progression of dated lava flows with a range of textures (‘a‘¯a versus p¯ahoehoe flows) and degrees of alteration [8]. While not a perfect analogue due to differing weathering environments, Mount Etna represents a natural age progression of altered basaltic rock [8] that can provide a useful comparison to volcanic structures on Venus. Here we will determine if spectroscopy can determine the alteration state of these flows as a proxy for their age. Future missions to Venus such as VERITAS, En- Vision, and DAVINCI will observe the surface in NIR emissivity. Kirchhoff’s Law holds that e = 1−r, where e is the emissivity and r is the reflectance. NIR emissivity can be reliably calculated from reflectance measurements of rocks [9], so laboratory reflectance spectroscopy is useful to rapidly test potential Venus analogue materials.

Gabriel L. Eggers↗

A Comparison of Stratospheric Smoke Events Seen by SAGE II (1984-2005) and SAGE III (2017-2021)

The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) operated for over 20 years (1984-2005) and collected near global observations of aerosol extinction coefficient from the upper troposphere to about40 km. SAGE III has flown aboard the International Space Station (ISS) since 2017 and has collected comparable aerosol measurements during this period. The SAGE II record is dominated by recovery from El Chichón (1982) and the Pinatubo eruption of 1991 with a few smaller volcanic events that are detectable in the data set. In addition, a number of pyrocumulus events injected smoke into the lower stratosphere with magnitudes that are comparable to the smaller volcanic events. The shorter SAGE III/ISS record is qualitatively different than SAGE II’s with a number of small to moderate volcanic eruptions in both low and high latitudes (e.g., Ambae in 2018 and Raikoke in 2020) as well several smokeevents including the two largest events seen by SAGE-like instruments: the BC pyrocumulus event in 2017 and the Australian brush fires of 2020/2021. In this paper, I will review the detection and quantification of the magnitude of these smoke events with a particular focus on the differences between the two data periods.

SAGE↗

Continuing Global SO2 Data Record from OMI and SNPP/OMPS to JPSS-1/NOAA-20/OMPS

Since 2004, the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) aboard NASA's Earth Observing System (EOS) Aura spacecraft has been providing global observations that help to constrain the sources, transport, and environmental impacts of anthropogonic and volcanic SO2. The OMI SO2 data record is now being continued with the NASA/NOAA Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (SNPP)/Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) launched in 2011. Both OMI and SNPP/OMPS SO2 products are produced with the Goddard principal component analysis (PCA) based spectral fitting algorithm. This data-driven technique inherently accounts for various instrumental factors and geophysical interferences, leading to high-quality, consistent SO2 retrievals between OMI and SNPP/OMPS, despite coarser spectral (~0.5 nm vs. ~1 nm) and spatial (13  24 km2 vs. 50  50 km2 at nadir) resolution for the latter. In this presentation, we describe our effort to continue the long-term SO2 climate data record using measurements from the Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS)-1/NOAA-20 (N20)/OMPS. Launched in 2017, the N20/OMPS is a follow-on for SNPP/OMPS but features a spatial resolution (17  13 km2) that is comparable with OMI. We will discuss our progress implementing the PCA SO2 algorithm with N20/OMPS, especially algorithmic improvements to further reduce retrieval noise and bias for large volcanic eruptions. We will present examples for both continuously emitting sources (e.g., power plants in India and oil/gas fields in the Middle East) and volcanic eruptions (e.g., Raikoke in 2019). We will also compare N20/OMPS SO2 retrievals with OMI and SNPP/OMPS, as well as other instruments such as the ESA Copernicus Sentinel-5 Precursor (S5P)/TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI). To assess the ability of N20/OMPS to monitor and quantify SO2 sources, we will run the level 2 retrievals through a top-down emission algorithm to estimate the SO2 emission strengths for a number of point sources. Finally, we will outline our plan for further algorithm refinement and public data release.

SO2↗

An evolutionary system of mineralogy, Part VI: Earth’s earliest Hadean crust (> 4370 Ma)

Part VI of the evolutionary system of mineralogy catalogs 262 kinds of minerals, formed by 18 different processes, that we suggest represent the earliest solid phases in Earth’s crust. All of these minerals likely formed during the first tens of millions of years following the global-scale disruption of the Moon-forming impact prior to ~4.4 Ga, though no samples of terrestrial minerals older than ~4.37 Ga are known to have survived on Earth today. Our catalog of the earliest Hadean species includes 80 primary phases associated with ultramafic and mafic igneous rocks, as well as more than 80 minerals deposited from immiscible S-rich fluids and late-stage Si-rich residual melts. Earth’s earliest crustal minerals also included more than 200 secondary phases of these primary minerals that were generated by thermal metamorphism, aqueous alteration, impacts, and other processes. In particular, secondary mineralization related to pervasive near-surface aqueous fluids may have included serpentinization of mafic and ultramafic rocks, hot springs and submarine volcanic vent mineralization, hydrothermal sulfide deposits, zeolite and associated mineral formation in basaltic cavities, marine authigenesis, and hydration of subaerial lithologies. Additional Hadean minerals may have formed by thermal metamorphism of lava xenoliths, sublimation at volcanic fumaroles, impact processes, and volcanic lightning. These minerals would have occurred along with more than 180 additional phases found in the variety of meteorites that continuously fell to Earth’s surface during the early Hadean Eon.

Philosophy of mineralogy↗

Quantifying SAGE II (1984-2005) and SAGE III/ISS (2017-2022) Observations of Smoke in the Stratosphere

The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) operated for over 20 years (1984-2005) and collected near global observations of aerosol extinction coefficient from the upper troposphere to about 40 km. SAGE III has flown aboard the International Space Station (ISS) since 2017 and has collected comparable aerosol measurements during this period. The SAGE II record is dominated by recovery from El Chichón (1982) and the Pinatubo eruption of 1991 with a few smaller volcanic events that are detectable in the data set. In addition, a number of pyrocumulus events injected smoke into the lower stratosphere with magnitudes that are comparable to the smaller volcanic events. The shorter SAGE III/ISS record is qualitatively different than SAGE II’s with a number of small to moderate volcanic eruptions in both low and high latitudes (e.g., Ambae in 2018 and Raikoke in 2020) as well several smoke events including the two largest events seen by SAGE-like instruments: the BC pyrocumulus event in 2017 and the Australian brush fires of 2020/2021. In this paper, I will review the detection and quantification of the magnitude of these smoke events with a particular focus on the differences between the two data periods.

Smoke↗

Quantifying SAGE II (1984-2005) and SAGE III/ISS (2017-2022) Observations of Smoke in the Stratosphere

The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) operated for over 20 years (1984-2005) and collected near global observations of aerosol extinction coefficient from the upper troposphere to about 40 km. SAGE III has flown aboard the International Space Station (ISS) since 2017 and has collected comparable aerosol measurements during this period. The SAGE II record is dominated by recovery from El Chichón (1982) and the Pinatubo eruption of 1991 with a few smaller volcanic events that are detectable in the data set. In addition, a number of pyrocumulus events injected smoke into the lower stratosphere with magnitudes that are comparable to the smaller volcanic events. The shorter SAGE III/ISS record is qualitatively different than SAGE II’s with a number of small to moderate volcanic eruptions in both low and high latitudes (e.g., Ambae in 2018 and Raikoke in 2020) as well several smoke events including the two largest events seen by SAGE-like instruments: the BC pyrocumulus event in 2017 and the Australian brush fires of 2020/2021. In this talk, I will review the detection and quantification of the magnitude of these smoke events with a particular focus on the differences between the two data periods.

Smoke Stratosphere SAGE↗

Quantifying SAGE II (1984-2005) and SAGE III/ISS (2017-2022) Observations of Smoke in the Stratosphere

The Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) operated for over 20 years (1984-2005) and collected near global observations of aerosol extinction coefficient from the upper troposphere to about 40 km. SAGE III has flown aboard the International Space Station (ISS) since 2017 and has collected comparable aerosol measurements during this period. The SAGE II record is dominated by recovery from El Chichón (1982) and the Pinatubo eruption of 1991 with a few smaller volcanic events that are detectable in the data set. In addition, a number of pyrocumulus events injected smoke into the lower stratosphere with magnitudes that are comparable to the smaller volcanic events. The shorter SAGE III/ISS record is qualitatively different than SAGE II’s with a number of small to moderate volcanic eruptions in both low and high latitudes (e.g., Ambae in 2018 and Raikoke in 2020) as well several smoke events including the two largest events seen by SAGE-like instruments: the BC pyrocumulus event in 2017 and the Australian brush fires of 2020/2021. In this talk, I will review the detection and quantification of the magnitude of these smoke events with a particular focus on the differences between the two data periods.

SAGE↗

Composition Reanalyses at NASA’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office

Scientific Assessments of Ozone Depletion 2018 and 2022 report the recovery of Antarctic ozone, consistent with diminishing concentrations of halogens in the stratosphere. Both the size and the depth of the springtime ozone holes exhibit downward trends, particularly in September. Superimposed on the recovery trend are significant year-to-year fluctuations arising from dynamical variability potentially influenced by climate forcing and volcanic eruptions. Since 2018 the Antarctic stratosphere has experienced a wild parade of austral spring seasons with a sudden stratospheric warming and exceptionally high ozone in 2019 followed by large and long-lasting ozone holes in the following years, prompting questions about the speed and detectability of Antarctic ozone recovery and its potential connections to human-induced climate change. From the Australian New Years’ wildfires of 2020 to volcanic aerosols to the unprecedented injection of water vapor by the Hunga volcanic eruption, recent scientific literature on the subject investigates many factors that may or may not have contributed to this remarkable interannual variability. This presentation summarizes dynamical influences on springtime Antarctic stratospheric ozone in recent years and discusses these results in the context of long-term trends. In particular, this work seeks to isolate dynamical and chemical contributions to the Antarctic springs since 2019 using a consistent methodological framework. Our analysis uses constituent and meteorological fields from the MERRA-2 Stratospheric Composition Reanalysis of Aura MLS (M2-SCREAM) in combination with data from the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment – Fourier Transform Spectrometer and from ozone sondes. Using the high spatial and temporal resolution of M2-SCREAM, we analyze the daily evolution of southern polar ozone, HCl, N2O, and water vapor in dynamical flow-following coordinates relative to the location, size, and shape of the polar vortex. For vertically integrated stratospheric ozone we emphasize the importance of the wave-influenced geometry of the polar vortex and its vertical alignment. The ultimate purpose of this project is to contribute to the quantification of the speed of the Antarctic ozone recovery and associated uncertainties.

Krzysztof Wargan↗

Tracking the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption Stratospheric Aerosol and Trace Gas Plumes Using Machine Learning

The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) submarine volcano had an explosive eruption phase on January 15, 2022, that thrusted ash, gases, and water vapor through the troposphere and into the stratosphere. The stratospheric volcanic plume included aerosol precursor gases such as SO2 and H2S as well as anomalously high water vapor concentrations due to the submarine oceanic origin. With these atmospheric constituents, the sulfuric gases and water vapor formed sulfate (SO4) particles via gas-to-particle reactions and these aerosols likely increased in size due to hygroscopic growth within anomalously humid regions. Strong easterlies and gravity waves propagated the volcanic impacts throughout the stratosphere. Orbital and suborbital passive sensor retrievals detected changes in the aerosol and trace gas characteristics within the atmospheric column for cloud-free regions over the southern hemisphere. While the CALIPSO lidar can detect aerosol layers in the stratosphere, passive sensors such as MODIS retrieved the total column aerosol abundance and characteristics. Previous studies used manual tracking methods to determine volcanic plume positions and compared them to ground observations. In this study, we examine the machine learning (ML) approaches including segmentation, object detection, and object tracking to identify and track aerosol and trace gas plumes using orbital and suborbital sensor data. This ML implementation strives to provide a more systematic approach to separate total column effects from those of the stratosphere. Similar ML tracking may be useful for stratospheric impact events observed historically by CALIPSO and in the future with EarthCare and the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS) lidar-capable missions.

Rhys Leahy↗

Satellite characterization of global stratospheric sulfate aerosols released by Tonga volcano

Large volcanic eruptions create an enhanced layer of sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere. These sulfuric acid droplets persist for many months, altering the climate and stratospheric chemistry. Sulfate aerosols scatter sunlight back to space, cooling the surface of the Earth and absorb outgoing thermal radiation, heating the stratosphere. The calculation of the climate impact of sulfate aerosols depends on their physical properties such as droplet size and chemical composition. These properties are not well known, and this uncertainty contributes to the errors in climate model predictions. Here we derive the first empirical formula that predicts the composition of stratospheric sulfate aerosols from volcanic eruptions from the air temperature and water vapor pressure. Measurements of atmospheric infrared transmittance of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai sulfate aerosol plume by the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment (ACE) satellite were analyzed to determine composition (weight percent of sulfuric acid) and median particle radius. These data are supplemented by measurements of the Raikoke and Nabro eruptions. Our analysis allows the properties of volcanic aerosols in the stratosphere to be predicted reliably in atmospheric models.

P Bernath↗

Combined Structural Analysis of Core and Image Log of TGH 76-31 South East of Mt Baker, Washington State

Despite active volcanism, few geothermal energy resources have been developed in the Cascades Range. Temperature Gradient Hole 76-31 was drilled to ~440 m measured depth to probe for zones where fractures provide fluid conduits that transport deep volcanic heat to shallow depths that could support baseload, carbon neutral electrical generation. These zones were predicted by a Play Fairway assessment (PFA) of resource potential along a zone 11 km west-southwest of the summit of Mount Baker Volcano. Rock core, temperature logs, and an acoustic image log were obtained. By comparison to outcrops, the core has been initially interpreted as the Chilliwack group comprised of partially metamorphosed basaltic to andesitic volcanics. Core mapping reveals complex, steeply dipping networks of fractures and brecciation along slickensided strike slip faults; clay alteration is common in many of these structures. The majority of fractures are thoroughly healed by layers of chlorite and calcite; preservation of pyrite indicates anoxic conditions. The majority of fracture porosity resides in very dense fractures a few centimeters or less in length. The image log provides good insights into attitude of fractures that fully transect the core, but generally underestimates fracture density. The combination of complex, non-planar fracture zones containing many short fractures and healing promote misinterpretation of natural fracture attitude and density in the image log. The healing and anoxic minerals are consistent with the conductive temperature gradient measured in the well below a shallow isothermal zone, although, several fractures are open or only partially healed and resulted in fluid entries into the well. Here, the equilibrated measured temperature gradient of 64ºC/km and calculated heat flow of 145 mW/m2 is more than twice the regional average, indicating local influence of the Mt Baker magmatic system at the Little Park Creek TGH site.

Cascades↗

Geothermal potential of Harrat Rahat, Northern Arabian Shield: geological constraints

Arabian Shield offers a strong potential for geothermal energy. However, only a limited amount of exploration effort has taken place. Harrat Rahat is a recent volcanic area located along the Makkah-Madinah-Nafud volcanic line in western Saudi Arabia. This study is oriented to identify the geothermal potential of Harrat Rahat. The geologic data was collected and processed. Here, we focus on evaluating the potential sources of subsurface heat and groundwater. Subsurface heat is based on the age of erupted volcanoes and the expected volume of subsurface magma chambers. An analogy with an existing geothermal field in a similar setting as Mexico suggests that the faults and the coincident seismicity may be associated with higher permeability. It is concluded that Harrat Rahat is characterized by a good geothermal potential for future geothermal energy source production.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Tracing the impacts of Mount Pinatubo eruption on regional climate using spatially-varying changepoint detection

Significant events, such as volcanic eruptions, can have global and long-lasting impacts on climate. These global impacts, however, are not uniform across space and time. Understanding how the Mt. Pinatubo eruption affects global and regional climate is of great interest for predicting the impact on climate due to similar events as well as understanding the possible effect of the stratospheric aerosol injections proposed to combat climate change. While many studies illustrated the impact of the Pinatubo eruption on a global scale, studies at a fine regional scale are scarce. Here, we propose a Bayesian spatially-varying changepoint detection and estimation method to trace the impact of Mt. Pinatubo eruption on regional climate. Our approach takes into account the diffusing nature and spatial correlation of the climate changes attributed to the volcanic eruption. We illustrate our method and demonstrate its advantages over an existing changepoint detection method through simulations. Finally, we apply our method to monthly stratospheric aerosol optical depth and surface temperature data from 1985 to 1995 to detect and estimate changepoints following the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption. Our results quantitatively characterize the spatial pattern of the eruption’s impact on regional climate, complementing the previous studies on the global impact of the Pinatubo eruption.

Aerosol optical depth↗