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At least 1,477 records · Page 82

Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiment-2 (ASPIRE2) Parachute Modeling and Flight Mechanics Performance

The Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiment-2 (ASPIRE2) program is designed to test and qualify the supersonic parachute for the Mars entry, descent, and landing stage of the Mars Sample Return campaign. The ASPIRE2 test was planned for early 2026 and would have involved testing the parachute at deployments of Mach 2.1 and higher load conditions than previous Mars missions. The ASPIRE2 simulation builds upon a previous test framework from the ASPIRE tests in 2017-2018 used to qualify the Mars 2020 parachute, but due to new requirements, the modeling and simulation for ASPIRE2 has needed development and characterization of different sensitivities. This paper looks at the mission design as of mid-2024 and presents the trade space for qualifying the parachute in a dynamic environment.

Evan Roelke↗

Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiment-2 (ASPIRE2) Parachute Modeling and Flight Mechanics Performance

The Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiment-2 (ASPIRE2) program is designed to test and qualify the supersonic parachute for the Mars entry, descent, and landing stage of the Mars Sample Return campaign. The ASPIRE2 test was planned for early 2026 and would have involved testing the parachute at deployments of Mach 2.1 and higher load conditions than previous Mars missions. The ASPIRE2 simulation builds upon a previous test framework from the ASPIRE tests in 2017-2018 used to qualify the Mars 2020 parachute, but due to new requirements, the modeling and simulation for ASPIRE2 has needed development and characterization of different sensitivities. This paper looks at the mission design as of mid-2024 and presents the trade space for qualifying the parachute in a dynamic environment.

Evan Roelke↗

Km‐Scale Simulations of Mesoscale Convective Systems Over South America—A Feature Tracker Intercomparison

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are clusters of thunderstorms that are important in Earth's water and energy cycle. Additionally, they are responsible for extreme events such as large hail, strong winds, and extreme precipitation. Automated object-based analyses that track MCSs have become popular since they allow us to identify and follow MCSs over their entire life cycle in a Lagrangian framework. This rise in popularity was accompanied by an increasing number of MCS tracking algorithms, however, little is known about how sensitive analyses are concerning the MCS tracker formulation. Here, we assess differences between six MCS tracking algorithms on South American MCS characteristics and evaluate MCSs in kilometer-scale simulations with observational-based MCSs over 3 years. All trackers are run with a common set of MCS classification criteria to isolate tracker formulation differences. The tracker formulation substantially impacts MCS characteristics such as frequency, size, duration, and contribution to total precipitation. The evaluation of simulated MCS characteristics is less sensitive to the tracker formulation and all trackers agree that the model can capture MCS characteristics well across different South American climate zones. Dominant sources of uncertainty are the segmentation of cloud systems in space and time and the treatment of how MCSs are linked in time. Our results highlight that comparing MCS analyses that use different tracking algorithms is challenging. We provide general guidelines on how MCS characteristics compare between trackers to facilitate a more robust assessment of MCS statistics in future studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unraveling TeV halos with the Cherenkov Telescope Array

Pulsars are observed to emit bright and spatially extended gamma-ray emission at multi-TeV energies. These so-called "TeV halos" are now understood to be a nearly universal feature of middle-aged pulsars. However, many of the key physical processes that govern these systems, particularly those affecting particle diffusion, remain poorly constrained. We aim to evaluate the ability of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) to probe the physical properties of TeV halos, with a focus on the nearby and well-studied case of the Geminga pulsar. We simulate gamma-ray emission from various TeV halo models, incorporating different assumptions for the injected electron spectrum, spin-down evolution, and energy-dependent diffusion. These models are then used to forecast CTA's sensitivity to spectral and spatial differences, based on realistic mock observations and instrument response simulations. We find that CTA will be able to distinguish between a wide range of TeV halo models that are currently consistent with existing data. In particular, CTA observations can constrain the normalization, energy dependence, and spatial extent of the diffusion coefficient surrounding Geminga, as well as the spectral shape of the injected electron population.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Climatological sensitivities of shallow-cumulus bulk entrainment in continental and oceanic locations

Cumulus entrainment is a complex process that has long challenged conceptual understanding and atmospheric prediction. To investigate this process observationally, two retrievals are used to generate multi-year climatologies of shallow-cumulus bulk entrainment ( ϵ ) at two Atmospheric Radiation Measurement cloud observatories, one in the US southern Great Plains (SGP) and the other in the Azores archipelago in the eastern North Atlantic (ENA). The statistical distributions of ϵ thus obtained, as well as certain environmental and cloud-related sensitivities of ϵ , are consistent with previous findings from large-eddy simulations. The retrieved ϵ robustly increases with cloudlayer relative humidity and decreases in wider clouds and cloud ensembles with larger cloud-base mass fluxes. While ϵ also correlates negatively with measures of cloud-layer vigor (e.g., maximum in-cloud vertical velocity and cloud depth), the extent to which these metrics actually regulate ϵ (or vice-versa) is unclear. Novel sensitivities of ϵ include a robust decrease of ϵ with increasing subcloud wind speed in oceanic flows, as well as a decrease of ϵ with increasing cloud-base mass flux in individual cumuli. A strong land–ocean contrast in ϵ is also found, with median values of 0.5-0.6 km -1 at the continental SGP site and and 1.0-1.1 km -1 at the oceanic ENA site. This trend is associated with drier and deeper cloud layers, along with larger cloud-base mass fluxes, at SGP, all of which favor reduced ϵ . The flow-dependence of retrieved ϵ implies that its various sensitivities should be accounted for in cumulus parameterization schemes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Simulated electronic heterodyne recording and processing of pulsed-laser holograms

The electronic recording of pulsed-laser holograms is proposed. The polarization sensitivity of each resolution element of the detector is controlled independently to add an arbitrary phase to the image waves. This method which can be used to simulate heterodyne recording and to process three-dimensional optical images, is based on a similar method for heterodyne recording and processing of continuous-wave holograms.

Decker, A. J.↗

Computational Aerothermodynamic Simulation Issues on Unstructured Grids

The synthesis of physical models for gas chemistry and turbulence from the structured grid codes LAURA and VULCAN into the unstructured grid code FUN3D is described. A directionally Symmetric, Total Variation Diminishing (STVD) algorithm and an entropy fix (eigenvalue limiter) keyed to local cell Reynolds number are introduced to improve solution quality for hypersonic aeroheating applications. A simple grid-adaptation procedure is incorporated within the flow solver. Simulations of flow over an ellipsoid (perfect gas, inviscid), Shuttle Orbiter (viscous, chemical nonequilibrium) and comparisons to the structured grid solvers LAURA (cylinder, Shuttle Orbiter) and VULCAN (flat plate) are presented to show current capabilities. The quality of heating in 3D stagnation regions is very sensitive to algorithm options in general, high aspect ratio tetrahedral elements complicate the simulation of high Reynolds number, viscous flow as compared to locally structured meshes aligned with the flow.

Gnoffo, Peter A.↗

Material Model Parameters Optimization in Liquid Mercury Target Dynamics Simulation With Machine Learning Surrogates

A pulsed spallation target is subjected to very short (∼0.7μs) but intense loads (23.3 kJ) from repeated proton pulses, which knock away neutrons from the mercury atoms’ nuclei for a wide range application in physics, engineering, medicine, petroleum exploration, biology, chemistry, etc. The effect of this pulsed loading on the stainless-steel target module which contains the flowing mercury target material is difficult to predict not only due to its short but intense explosive-like physical reaction, but also the nonlinear material behavior of the liquid mercury in the structure. Injecting small helium bubbles in the mercury has been an efficient method of mitigating the pressure wave at high power level stage. However, prediction of the resultant loading on the target is more difficult when helium gas is intentionally injected into the mercury. A 2-phase material model that incorporates the Rayleigh-Plesset (R-P) model is expected to address this complex multi-physics dynamics problem by including the bubble dynamics in the liquid mercury. A parameter sensitivity study was firstly employed to understand their impact on the simulation strains. The investigated parameters included E, μ, γ, σ, n, VFgas, and gas cumulative volume curve control parameters a and b. Verification and validation results from sparse polynomial expansions (SPE) method and directional Gaussian smoothing (DGS) optimization show that the surrogate model had training error of ∼7% and validation error of ∼15%, indicating that machine learning methods and surrogate models can help optimize the uncertain parameters in the complex 2-phase material model. This approach is expected to fill the knowledge gap between unknown liquid-gas mixture material model and measured vessel strain responses.

Lin, Lianshan↗

Capturing the interactions between ice sheets, sea level and the solid Earth on a range of timescales: a new “time window” algorithm

Retreat and advance of ice sheets perturb the gravitational field, solid surface and rotation of the Earth, leading to spatially variable sea-level changes over a range of timescales $\textit{O}$ (10 0–6 years), which in turn feed back onto ice-sheet dynamics. Coupled ice-sheet–sea-level models have been developed to capture the interactive processes between ice sheets, sea level and the solid Earth, but it is computationally challenging to capture short-term interactions $\textit{O}$ (10 0–2 years) precisely within longer $\textit{O}$ (10 3–6 years) simulations. The standard forward sea-level modelling algorithm assigns a uniform temporal resolution in the sea-level model, causing a quadratic increase in total CPU time with the total number of input ice history steps, which increases with either the length or temporal resolution of the simulation. In this study, we introduce a new “time window” algorithm for 1D pseudo-spectral sea-level models based on the normal mode method that enables users to define the temporal resolution at which the ice loading history is captured during different time intervals before the current simulation time. Utilizing the time window, we assign a fine temporal resolution $\textit{O}$ (10 0–2 years) for the period of ongoing and recent history of surface ice and ocean loading changes and a coarser temporal resolution $\textit{O}$ (10 3–6 years) for earlier periods in the simulation. This reduces the total CPU time and memory required per model time step while maintaining the precision of the model results. We explore the sensitivity of sea-level model results to the model temporal resolution and show how this sensitivity feeds back onto ice-sheet dynamics in coupled modelling. We apply the new algorithm to simulate sea-level changes in response to global ice-sheet evolution over two glacial cycles and the rapid collapse of marine sectors of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in the coming centuries and provide appropriate time window profiles for each application. The time window algorithm reduces the total CPU time by ~ 50 % in each of these examples and changes the trend of the total CPU time increase from quadratic to linear. This improvement would increase with longer simulations than those considered here. Our algorithm also allows for coupling time intervals of annual temporal scale for coupled ice-sheet–sea-level modelling of regions such as West Antarctica that are characterized by rapid solid Earth response to ice changes due to the thin lithosphere and low mantle viscosities.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Natural and Human Factors on a Hydrological System in Zhangweinan Canal Basin

Drought is a water deficit state caused by large-scale climate change that cannot be avoided by a water resource management system. Water scarcity refers to the unsustainable utilization of water resources over a long time, which is the result of water management policies. However, water deficits caused by drought and water scarcity often occur simultaneously and are indistinguishable. This study proposes a model-based simulation framework that can quantitatively distinguish natural factors (drought) from human factors (water scarcity) in a hydrological system. The simulation was applied to the Zhangweinan Canal Basin, based on the runoff sequences from 1950 to 2004. The results show that the runoff curve number, soil depth, soil available water, soil evaporation compensation coefficient, base runoff α coefficient and the maximum canopy interception have the highest sensitivity to runoff, and that the calibrated and validated SWAT model can effectively simulate the runoff process in the Zhangweinan Canal Basin and similar areas. Abrupt changes in human activities in 1975 and water scarcity led to the disappearance of the summer peak runoff period in both wet and dry years. Human factors are the main reason for the change in the hydrological system in the study area; the runoff loss caused by human factors is four times that caused by natural factors according to the proposed variable threshold. This study proposes a model-based simulation framework that can help water resource managers to distinguish the effects of drought and water scarcity in water-stressed areas and adjust management accordingly.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Regional Model Nesting Within GFS Daily Forecasts Over West Africa

The study uses the RM3, the regional climate model at the Center for Climate Systems Research of Columbia University and the NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies (CCSR/GISS). The paper evaluates 30 48-hour RM3 weather forecasts over West Africa during September 2006 made on a 0.5 grid nested within 1 Global Forecast System (GFS) global forecasts. September 2006 was the Special Observing Period #3 of the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA). Archived GFS initial conditions and lateral boundary conditions for the simulations from the US National Weather Service, National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration were interpolated four times daily. Results for precipitation forecasts are validated against Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) satellite estimates and data from the Famine Early Warning System (FEWS), which includes rain gauge measurements, and forecasts of circulation are compared to reanalysis 2. Performance statistics for the precipitation forecasts include bias, root-mean-square errors and spatial correlation coefficients. The nested regional model forecasts are compared to GFS forecasts to gauge whether nesting provides additional realistic information. They are also compared to RM3 simulations driven by reanalysis 2, representing high potential skill forecasts, to gauge the sensitivity of results to lateral boundary conditions. Nested RM3/GFS forecasts generate excessive moisture advection toward West Africa, which in turn causes prodigious amounts of model precipitation. This problem is corrected by empirical adjustments in the preparation of lateral boundary conditions and initial conditions. The resulting modified simulations improve on the GFS precipitation forecasts, achieving time-space correlations with TRMM of 0.77 on the first day and 0.63 on the second day. One realtime RM3/GFS precipitation forecast made at and posted by the African Centre of Meteorological Application for Development (ACMAD) in Niamey, Niger is shown.

Druyan, Leonard M.↗

Degradation and Modeling of Large-Format Commercial Lithium-Ion Cells as a Function of Chemistry, Design, and Aging Conditions

Demand for large-format (>10 Ah) lithium-ion batteries has increased substantially in recent years, due to the growth of both electric vehicle and stationary energy storage markets. The economics of these applications is sensitive to the lifetime of the batteries, and end-of-life can either be due to energy or power limitations. Despite this, there is little information from cell manufacturers on the sensitivity of cell degradation to environmental conditions or battery use. This work reports accelerated aging test data from four commercial large-format lithium-ion batteries from three manufacturers, with varying design (thickness, casings, ...), chemistry (lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) or lithium-nickel-manganese-cobalt-oxide positive electrodes (NMC), with graphite (Gr) negative electrodes), and capacity (50 to 250 Amp hours). The tested LFP|Gr cell is found to be relatively insensitive to cycling conditions like temperature or voltage window, while NMC|Gr cells have varying sensitivity. Degradation trends are further investigated by training predictive models: simple polynomial trend lines, a semi-empirical reduced-order model, and an empirical reduced-order model identified using machine-learning based on symbolic regression. Calendar and cycle life are simulated over a variety of conditions to directly compare the various batteries. Cell size and thickness are found to substantially impact sensitivity to temperature during cycle aging, while electrode chemistry impacts depth-of-discharge sensitivity. Real-world battery lifetime is evaluated by simulating residential energy storage and commercial frequency containment reserve systems in several U.S. climate regions. Predicted lifetime across cell types varies from 7 years to 20+ years, though all cells are predicted to have at least 10 year life in certain conditions.

battery lifetime↗

Simulating Observed Ozone Loss in the Northern Hemisphere Winter

Ozone amounts observed at high Northern latitudes in late winter and early spring have been relatively very low in four of the last six years. On the face of it, this decline appears similar to that observed in the Antarctic in the mid-1980s in spite of the fact that the abundance of stratospheric chlorine is currently steady or decreasing. In order to predict the extent to which this change represents a trend, and to understand what combination of factors produces the low ozone, we need to accurately simulate these observations with models. In this presentation, we focus on the winter of 1999-2000, which exhibited some of the lowest ozone ever recorded in the Northern hemisphere. It also contained the largest-ever assembled set of atmospheric measurements and modeling activities in the SAGE III Ozone Loss and Validation Experiment/Third European Stratospheric Experiment on Ozone (SOLVE/THESEO). We use SOLVE/THESEO observations in comparison with the Goddard 3-D global model of stratospheric chemistry and transport to explore the model's capability to simulate the evolution of ozone and other species through the winter. We will discuss advective transport and mixing, chlorine activation, and denitrification, which are key processes to accurately simulating wintertime ozone. Preliminary results show that, although the model tracer transport and chlorine activation compare relatively well with observations, the magnitude of observed ozone loss is difficult to achieve in the model. Calculated ozone loss is sensitive to denitrification, which presents a major challenge to parameterization in a global model. Simulation requirements and uncertainties will be evaluated.

Kawa, S. R.↗

A computational study of turbulent separated flow over a wall-mounted cube at two different Reynolds numbers and incoming velocity profiles

Simulations of the canonical wall-mounted unit cube subjected to two distinct incident velocity profiles is performed at Reynolds numbers (Re) where the bulk flow characteristics are known to become relatively Re-insensitive using both direct numerical simulation (DNS) and wall-resolved large eddy simulation (WRLES). The aim of this work is to highlight the sensitivity of such bluff-body flows to mean shear and to provide a representative set of data for such flow scenarios where common turbulence modeling techniques often fail. Simple boundary conditions are selected to allow for easy comparisons for model development purposes and avoid confounding effects from freestream turbulence. In addition to mean velocity profiles, select turbulence statistics are presented in detail. We find that both mean velocity profiles and mean wake turbulence are Re-insensitive over the range examined here.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Experiments with the Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS) using the synthetic relative humidity

This study is intended to examine the impact of the synthetic relative humidity on the model simulation of mesoscale convective storm environment. The synthetic relative humidity is derived from the National Weather Services surface observations, and non-conventional sources including aircraft, radar, and satellite observations. The latter sources provide the mesoscale data of very high spatial and temporal resolution. The synthetic humidity data is used to complement the National Weather Services rawinsonde observations. It is believed that a realistic representation of initial moisture field in a mesoscale model is critical for the model simulation of thunderstorm development, and the formation of non-convective clouds as well as their effects on the surface energy budget. The impact will be investigated based on a real-data case study using the mesoscale atmospheric simulation system developed by Mesoscale Environmental Simulations Operations, Inc. The mesoscale atmospheric simulation system consists of objective analysis and initialization codes, and the coarse-mesh and fine-mesh dynamic prediction models. Both models are a three dimensional, primitive equation model containing the essential moist physics for simulating and forecasting mesoscale convective processes in the atmosphere. The modeling system is currently implemented at the Applied Meteorology Unit, Kennedy Space Center. Two procedures involving the synthetic relative humidity to define the model initial moisture fields are considered. It is proposed to perform several short-range (approximately 6 hours) comparative coarse-mesh simulation experiments with and without the synthetic data. They are aimed at revealing the model sensitivities should allow us both to refine the specification of the observational requirements, and to develop more accurate and efficient objective analysis schemes. The goal is to advance the MASS (Mesoscal Atmospheric Simulation System) modeling expertise so that the model output can provide reliable guidance for thunderstorm forecasting.

Chang, Chia-Bo↗

Predictions of LAGOON Nose Landing Gear Flow and Noise Using Wall-Modeled Large-Eddy Simulations

Wall-modeled large-eddy simulations (WMLESs) of the LAGOON nose landing gear are conducted with compressible Navier–Stokes equations and immersed boundary technique using the Launch, Ascent, and Vehicle Aerodynamics (LAVA) framework. The simulations are conducted using six different Cartesian octree meshes for the grid sensitivity analysis of the near-field and far-field numerical predictions, where the far-field noise results are computed with the Ffowcs Williams–Hawkings acoustic analogy. The effects of numerical tripping induced at the exact locations of the tripping devices in the experiments are also examined. In general, better comparison with the experimental results are shown for the the near-field results obtained with the simulations under the effects of numerical tripping. The effects of tripping are not significant on the far-field noise calculations and the results have reasonable comparison with the experimental data in the low and medium frequency ranges when an impermeable formulation of the acoustic analogy is used.

CST↗

Modeling of a 43 GHz microplasma within a photonic crystal

The electron density (n e ) and argon metastable density (1 s 5 ) of a 43GHz microplasma are obtained using the zero-dimensional plasma kinetics solver (ZDPlasKin®) for an incident power of 160 and 1000mW and argon pressures of 10–600Torr (1.3 ×10 3 to 8.0 × 10 4 Pa). These simulations are compared with previously published experimental data. To determine the self-consistent electric field in the modeled plasma, the three-dimensional millimeter wave fields are computed as a function of electron density using ANSYS EM19.2, HFSS®. This electromagnetic field model is coupled to ZDPlasKin such that any increase in the simulated plasma density correctly attenuates the simulated electric field within the microplasma. The electron density is found to be sensitive to argon gas temperature, so a two-zone temperature model was needed to obtain agreement with experimental measurements. The temperature in the central core of the microplasma was determined by a previous experimental study. That temperature was used as an input to the model for the simulation of volume recombination losses. The outer regions of the microplasma are assumed to be in equilibrium with the walls (300K). This second temperature was used in the model to determine diffusion losses. The modeled electron and metastable densities are of the order 10 20 and 10 18 m –3 , respectively. This is in good agreement with those measured experimentally as long as the two-zone temperature model is used. In the absence of a hot gas core, the modeled three-body recombination rates are excessive and the simulation severely under-predicts the electron density and over-estimates the metastable density. We conclude that the millimeter wave microplasma has a hot core (2500K at 600 Torr) that rarifies the argon gas and effectively reduces three-body recombination. Furthermore, this allows one to achieve high electron density on the order of 10 20 m –3 with only 100mW of wave power.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Preliminary Design and Analysis of the GIFTS Instrument Pointing System

The Geosynchronous Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer (GIFTS) Instrument is the next generation spectrometer for remote sensing weather satellites. The GIFTS instrument will be used to perform scans of the Earth s atmosphere by assembling a series of field-of- views (FOV) into a larger pattern. Realization of this process is achieved by step scanning the instrument FOV in a contiguous fashion across any desired portion of the visible Earth. A 2.3 arc second pointing stability, with respect to the scanning instrument, must be maintained for the duration of the FOV scan. A star tracker producing attitude data at 100 Hz rate will be used by the autonomous pointing algorithm to precisely track target FOV s on the surface of the Earth. The main objective is to validate the pointing algorithm in the presence of spacecraft disturbances and determine acceptable disturbance limits from expected noise sources. Proof of concept validation of the pointing system algorithm is carried out with a full system simulation developed using Matlab Simulink. Models for the following components function within the full system simulation: inertial reference unit (IRU), attitude control system (ACS), reaction wheels, star tracker, and mirror controller. With the spacecraft orbital position and attitude maintained to within specified limits the pointing algorithm receives quaternion, ephemeris, and initialization data that are used to construct the required mirror pointing commands at a 100 Hz rate. This comprehensive simulation will also aid in obtaining a thorough understanding of spacecraft disturbances and other sources of pointing system errors. Parameter sensitivity studies and disturbance analysis will be used to obtain limits of operability for the GIFTS instrument. The culmination of this simulation development and analysis will be used to validate the specified performance requirements outlined for this instrument.

Zomkowski, Paul P.↗