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At least 1,477 records · Page 82

Fuel molecular structure effect on autoignition of highly branched iso-alkanes at low-to-intermediate temperatures: Iso-octane versus iso-dodecane

Highly branched iso-alkanes are an important class of hydrocarbons found in conventional petroleum-derived and alternative renewable fuels used for combustion applications. Recognizing that chemical kinetics for most of these iso-alkanes, especially at low-to-intermediate temperatures, has not been well studied, an experimental and modeling investigation of two selected iso-alkanes, iso-octane (2,2,4-trimethylpentane, iC8) and iso-dodecane (2,2,4,6,6-pentamethylheptane, iC12), is conducted to understand the fuel molecular structure effect on their autoignition characteristics. Using a rapid compression machine (RCM), the ignition responses of iC8 and iC12 at varying pressures, temperatures, and equivalence ratios are characterized and compared. The newly-acquired experimental ignition delay times have been compared with the literature RCM and shock tube data, demonstrating the complementary nature of the current dataset. Further comparison of the experimental pressure traces and ignition delay times illustrates the reactivity crossover between iC8 and iC12. Namely, there exists a temperature window in the negative temperature coefficient regime within which iC12 is less reactive than iC8, but iC12 becomes more reactive outside this temperature window. Furthermore, a chemical kinetic model of iso-alkanes including both iC8 and iC12 is developed. Simulated results using this model are then compared to the experimental data obtained in this study and available in the literature, showing its ability to predict the experimental trends. Chemical kinetic analyses have also been conducted to identify the important reaction pathways controlling autoignition at varying conditions, and to elucidate the underlying mechanism leading to different reactivity trends between iC8 and iC12.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Expanding the Capabilities of the JPL Electronic Nose for an International Space Station Technology Demonstration

An array-based sensing system based on polymer/carbon composite conductometric sensors is under development at JPL for use as an environmental monitor in the International Space Station. Sulfur dioxide has been added to the analyte set for this phase of development. Using molecular modeling techniques, the interaction energy between SO2 and polymer functional groups has been calculated, and polymers selected as potential SO2 sensors. Experiment has validated the model and two selected polymers have been shown to be promising materials for SO2 detection.

electronic noses↗

Estimating irrigation water use from remotely sensed evapotranspiration data: Accuracy and uncertainties at field, water right, and regional scales

Irrigated agriculture is the dominant user of water globally, but most water withdrawals are not monitored or reported. As a result, it is largely unknown when, where, and how much water is used for irrigation. Here, we evaluated the ability of remotely sensed evapotranspiration (ET) data, integrated with other datasets, to calculate irrigation water withdrawals and applications in an intensively irrigated portion of the United States. We compared irrigation calculations based on an ensemble of satellite-driven ET models from OpenET with reported groundwater withdrawals from hundreds of farmer irrigation application records and a statewide flowmeter database at three spatial scales (field, water right group, and management area). At the field scale, we found that ET-based calculations of irrigation agreed best with reported irrigation when the OpenET ensemble mean was aggregated to the growing season timescale (bias = 1.6–4.9%, R 2 = 0.53–0.74), and agreement between calculated and reported irrigation was better for multi-year averages than for individual years. At the water right group scale, linking pumping wells to specific irrigated fields was the primary source of uncertainty. At the management area scale, calculated irrigation exhibited similar temporal patterns as flowmeter data but tended to be positively biased with more interannual variability. Disagreement between calculated and reported irrigation was strongly correlated with annual precipitation, and calculated and reported irrigation agreed more closely after statistically adjusting for annual precipitation. The selection of an ET model was also an important consideration, as variability across ET models was larger than the potential impacts of conservation measures employed in the region. From these results, we suggest key practices for working with ET-based irrigation data that include accurately accounting for changes in soil moisture, deep percolation, and runoff; careful verification of irrigated area and well-field linkages; and conducting application-specific evaluations of uncertainty.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Simulation of PV Variability as a Function of PV Generation and Plant Size: Preprint

The deployment of photovoltaic (PV) systems continues to show significant expansion; however, this growth has brought added attention to issues around the variability of the solar resource. Both spatial and temporal variability exist. Temporal scales can range from the sub-second to multiyear, whereas spatial scales can range from a few meters to tens of kilometers. There are multiple methods described in the literature to quantify PV variability at various spatial and temporal scales. This study focuses on short-term temporal variability and uses similar approaches with the addition of PV plant size a parameter to quantify variability. The method employed here incorporates the normalization of clear- and cloudy-sky conditions and PV plant size to quantify nominal variability metrics. The distribution and fluctuations of these metrics provide relevant information that is useful for system operations. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to simulate PV variability as a function of PV generation and plant size. Hypothetical but realistic system information at 33 locations is used to model PV generation by feeding NSRDB solar irradiance data to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model (SAM). Over the selected region, it is found that the aggregated ramp rates for the 1-minute data are associated with standard deviations ranging from 0.002–0.055 on a daily basis; however, hourly intervals induce higher aggregated ramp rates than the other timescales. Even though minute-to-minute variations are significant for the 1-minute timescale, the standard deviation aggregated into a daily metric is smaller because of the cancellation of values.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Thermal field reconstruction and compressive sensing using proper orthogonal decomposition

Model order reduction allows critical information about sensor placement and experiment design to be distilled from raw fluid mechanics simulation data. In many cases, sensed information in conjunction with reduced order models can also be used to regenerate full field variables. In this paper, a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) inferencing method is extended to the modeling and compressive sensing of temperature, a scalar field variable. The method is applied to a simulated, critically stable, incompressible flow over a heated cylinder (Re = 1000) with Prandtl number varying between 0.001 and 50. The model is trained on pressure and temperature data from simulations. Field reconstructions are then generated using data from selected sensors and the POD model. Finally, the reconstruction error is evaluated across all Prandtl numbers for different numbers of retained modes and sensors. The predicted trend of increasing reconstruction accuracy with decreasing Prandtl number is confirmed and a Prandtl number/sensor count error matrix is presented.

Matulis, John↗

Direct Feed High-Level Waste APPS Model Glass Testing (DFHLW APPS) Matrix, Phase 2

This report summarizes the data collected during the batching and melting of a second matrix of Direct Feed High-Level Waste (DFHLW) glasses generated using the preliminary enhanced waste glass models (EWG2.5) and the Britton and Anderson (2024) preliminary DFHLW feed vector. The purpose of these glasses is two-fold: 1. Validate EWG2.5 glass calculations being used in the Aspen Process Performance Simulation (APPS) model. 2. Evaluate and ultimately improve the glass property models and formulation methods used for design of DFHLW glasses as part of an iterative process of data collection and model refinement. Some of the 16 APPS2 glasses tested did not satisfy all target property constraints due to the limited data on DFHLW glass supporting the EWG2.5 models. • One glass, APPS2-10, formed nepheline on canister centerline cooling (CCC) heat-treatment and failed the product consistency test (PCT) response limits. This glass also had high B and Cr release rates for the toxicity characteristic leaching procedure (TCLP). All other glasses were found to satisfy the PCT and TCLP constraints for both quenched and CCC samples. • One glass, APPS2-08, had higher than acceptable viscosity due to magnetite crystallization. • One glass, APPS2-09, formed greater than 2 vol% crystals at 950 °C. As the glass design criterion was that the temperature at 2 vol% crystal (T 2% ) be less than 950 °C, only one glass failed the criteria. However, this criterion is being reevaluated. Four additional glasses formed crystal fractions between 1 and 2 vol% at 950 °C (APPS2-03, -08, -12, and -14). • Four glasses – APPS2-01, -02, -04, and -16 – failed the Monofrax K-3 refractory neck corrosion (k neck ) design limit of 0.04 in. at 1208 °C for 6 d. This is another criterion being reevaluated. Four additional glasses (APPS2-05, -06, -11, and -13) exhibited 0.025 = k neck = 0.04 in. • All 16 glasses passed the sulfur solubility and TCLP constraints. The measured property values were compared to predicted values using EWG2.5 and a selection of other existing models. A few models (e.g., electrical conductivity, TCLP) were found to be adequate for designing DFHLW glasses in the near future, while others require refits or offsets. It is recommended that new property models be developed for EWG3.0, as a large amount of DFHLW glass property data (> 14 × existing data) is expected to be collected in the compositional spaces where no data was previously available. To enable near-term calculations and formulations for designing DFHLW glasses and processing rate estimations, a formulation algorithm with minor modifications will be developed, EWG2.6.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Robust Output Feedback Control Design for Inertia Emulation by Wind Turbine Generators

Wind generation has gained widespread use as a renewable energy source. Most wind turbines and other renewables connected to the grid through converters result in a reduction in the natural inertial response to grid frequency changes. The doubly-fed induction generator (DFIG) can be controlled to compensate for this reduction and, in fact, provide faster response than traditional synchronous machines. This paper proposes to design observer based output feedback linear quadratic regulator (LQR) and H control laws to realize the inertia emulation function and deliver fast frequency support. Furthermore, the aim is to track the reference speed by a diesel synchronous generator (DSG) in order to reach the desired inertia. The control signal is computed based on a reduced order model using the balanced truncation technique. A comparison with selective modal analysis (SMA) and balanced truncation model reduction techniques is presented. Comprehensive results show the effective emulation of synthetic inertia by implementing the control laws on a nonlinear three- phase diesel-wind system. The proposed technique is analyzed for different short circuit ratio (SCR) scenarios.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Attitude control of a spinning Skylab.

Active attitude control of a spinning Skylab is analyzed to determine a simple control law that will provide a satisfactory response, considering the dynamics of attached flexible appendages. A simplified model of the complex Skylab vehicle is selected to make it analytically tractable. The vehicle is modeled as a single rigid-core body with two attached flexible massless booms having masses on their tips. The equations of motion describing the attitude dynamics of the model are presented as a linear matrix-differential equation. The states of the vehicle are small perturbations about its steady-state spin. An analysis is performed to determine the domain of stability. Next, attitude dynamics are analyzed; both frequency domain (parameter plane) and time domain (an optimal linear quadratic loss program) techniques are compared. An analysis of the nonlinear effect of control torque saturation of Skylab's control moment gyroscopes is discussed. The results of the analysis compare favorably with a large-scale digital simulation of the Skylab.

Seltzer, S. M.↗

A macro-micromechanics analysis of a notched metal matrix composite

A macro-micromechanics analysis was formulated to determine the matrix and fiber behavior near the notch tip in a center-notched metal matrix composite. Results are presented for a boron/aluminum monolayer. The macro-level analysis models the entire notched specimen using a three dimensional finite element program which uses the vanishing-fiber-diameter model to model the elastic-plastic behavior of the matrix and the elastic behavior of the fiber. The micro-behavior is analyzed using a Discrete Fiber-Matrix (DFM) model containing one fabric and the surrounding matrix. The dimensions of the DFM model were determined by the ply thickness and the fiber volume fraction and corresponded to the size of the notch-tip element in the macro-level analysis. The boundary conditions applied to the DFM model were determined from the macro-level analysis. Stress components within the DFM model were calculated and stress distributions are presented along selected planes and surfaces within the DFM model, including the fiber-matrix interface. Yielding in the matrix was examined at the notch tip in both the macro- and micro-level analyses. The DFM model predicted higher stresses (24 percent) in the fiber compared to the global analysis. In the notch-tip element, the interface stresses indicated that a multi-axial criterion may be required to predict interfacial failure. The DFM analysis predicted yielding to initiate in the notch-tip element at a stress level 28 percent lower than predicted by the global analysis.

Bigelow, C. A.↗

Demonstrating a New Flood Observing Strategy on the Nos Testbed

A new observing strategy for floods was demonstrated and evaluated in a testbed environment. The strategy coordinates several observing platforms, including in situ and space based, to observe a flood from multiple vantage points and to dynamically target predicted flood events with high- resolution observations. The coordinated observations were assimilated back into the model to improve forecasts and future observation selection. This demonstration shows the potential for coordinated, model-driven observing strategies and the feasibility of the NOS Testbed for demonstrating and evaluating new observing strategies.

Capra, Leigha↗

Mission Success Driven Space System Sparing Analysis

Among the maintenance resources, the spare parts are the most difficult to predict. Items in the space systems are very different from the point of view of reliability, cost, weight, volume, etc. The different combinations of spares make different contribution to the: mission success, spare investment, volume occupied and weight. Hence, the selection of spares for a mission planned must take into account all of these features. This paper presents the generic mission success driven sparing model developed, for the complex space systems. The mathematical analysis used in the model enables the user to select the most suitable selection of the spare package for the mission planned. The illustrative examples presented clearly demonstrate the applicability and usefulness of the model introduced.

Knezevic, J.↗

A real time Pegasus propulsion system model for VSTOL piloted simulation evaluation

A Pegasus-Harrier propulsion system is selected as a baseline for developing mathematical modeling and simulation techniques for VSTOL. Initially, static and dynamic propulsion system characteristics are modeled in detail to form a nonlinear aerothermodynamic digital computer simulation of a Pegasus engine. From this high fidelity simulation, a real-time propulsion model is formulated by applying a piecewise linear state variable methodology. A hydromechanical and water injection control system is also simulated. It is noted that the real-time dynamic model includes the detail and flexibility required for evaluating critical control parameters and propulsion component limits over a limited flight envelope.

Mihaloew, J. R.↗

Dispersion-enhanced sequential batch sampling for adaptive contour estimation

In computer simulation and optimal design, sequential batch sampling offers an appealing way to iteratively stipulate optimal sampling points based upon existing selections and efficiently construct surrogate modeling. Nonetheless, the issue of near duplicates poses tremendous quandary for sequential learning. It refers to the situation that selected critical points cluster together in each sampling batch, which are individually but not collectively informative towards the optimal design. Near duplicates severely diminish the computational efficiency as they barely contribute extra information towards update of the surrogate. To address this issue, we impose a dispersion criterion on concurrent selection of sampling points, which essentially forces a sparse distribution of critical points in each batch, and demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach in adaptive contour estimation. Specifically, we adopt Gaussian process surrogate to emulate the simulator, acquire variance reduction of the critical region from new sampling points as a dispersion criterion, and combine it with the modified expected improvement (EI) function for critical batch selection. The critical region here is the proximity of the contour of interest. This proposed approach is vindicated in numerical examples of a two-dimensional four-branch function, a four-dimensional function with a disjoint contour of interest and a time-delay dynamic system.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multi-scale Coupled Processes Modeling of Fractures as Porous, Interfacial and Granular Systems from Rock Images with the Numerical Manifold Method

Abstract The greatest challenges of rigorously modeling coupled hydro-mechanical processes in fractured rocks at different scales are associated with computational geometry. In addition, selections of continuous or discontinuous models, physical laws, and coupling priorities at different scales based on different geometric features determine the applicability of a numerical model for a certain type of problem. In this study, we present our multi-scale modeling capabilities that have been developed based on the numerical manifold method for analyzing coupled hydro-mechanical processes in fractured rocks. Based on their geometric features, the fractures are modeled as continua—finite-thickness porous zones, and discontinua—discontinuous interfaces and microscale asperities and granular systems. Different governing equations, physical laws, coupling priorities, and approaches for addressing fracture intersections and shearing are then applied to describe these. We applied these models to simulate coupled processes in fractured rocks using realistic geometry obtained from rock images at different scales. We first calculated shearing of a single fracture with different models and demonstrated the impacts of asperities on shearing. We then applied the continuous and discontinuous models to simulate a network of rough fractures, demonstrating that contact dynamics contribute significantly to the geometric, multi-physical evolution of systems where rough fractures are not mineral filled. For a discrete fracture network, our coupled processes modeling demonstrates that shearing of the discrete fractures can have a major impact on stress and pore pressure distribution. Lastly, we applied the discontinuous granular model to simulate evolution of a complex granular system with a deformation band, demonstrating that the deformation band can dominate contact dynamics, the structural and the stress evolution of the granular system.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

CAMERA: A method for cost-aware, adaptive, multifidelity, efficient reliability analysis

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distributions, and Monte Carlo sampling methods are intractable when expensive high-fidelity simulations have to be queried. Here, we propose a method to use models of multiple fidelities that trade accuracy for computational efficiency. Specifically, we propose the use of multifidelity Gaussian process models to efficiently fuse models at multiple fidelity, thereby offering a cheap surrogate model that emulates the original model at all fidelities. Furthermore, we propose a novel sequential acquisition function based experiment design framework that can automatically select samples from appropriate fidelity models to make predictions about quantities of interest at the highest fidelity. We use our proposed approach in an importance sampling setting and demonstrate our method on the failure level set and probability estimation on synthetic test functions and two real-world applications, namely, the reliability analysis of a gas turbine engine blade using a finite element method and a transonic aerodynamic wing test case using Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. We show that our method predicts the failure boundary and probability more accurately and at a fraction of the computational cost compared with using just a single expensive high-fidelity model. Finally, we show that our sequential approach is guaranteed to asymptotically converge to the true failure boundary with high probability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Life cycle cost assessment of future low heat rejection engines

The Adiabatic Diesel Engine Component Development (ADECD) represents a project which has the objective to accelerate the development of highway truck engines with advanced technology aimed at reduced fuel consumption. The project comprises three steps, including the synthesis of a number of engine candidate designs, the coupling of each with a number of systems for utilizing exhaust gas energy, and the evaluation of each combination in terms of desirability. Particular attention is given to the employed evaluation method and the development of this method. The objective of Life Cycle Cost (LCC) evaluation in the ADECD program was to select the best from among 42 different low heat rejection engine (LHRE)/exhaust energy recovery system configurations. The LCC model is discussed along with a maintenance cost model, the evaluation strategy, the selection of parameter ranges, and a full factorial analysis.

Petersen, D. R.↗

Design and application of electromechanical actuators for deep space missions

During the period 8/16/92 through 2/15/93, work has been focused on three major topics: (1) screw modeling and testing; (2) motor selection; and (3) health monitoring and fault diagnosis. Detailed theoretical analysis has been performed to specify a full dynamic model for the roller screw. A test stand has been designed for model parameter estimation and screw testing. In addition, the test stand is expected to be used to perform a study on transverse screw loading.

Haskew, Tim A.↗