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Exploring the design space of PV-plus-battery system configurations under evolving grid conditions

In this study, we explore how the energy and capacity values of coupled systems comprising solar photovoltaic arrays and battery storage (PV-plus-battery systems) could evolve over time based on the evolution of the bulk power system. Using a price-taker model with simulated hourly energy and capacity prices projected from the present to 2050, we simulate the revenue-maximizing dispatch of a range of DC-coupled PV-plus-battery configurations in three locations in the United States. These configurations are defined by the inverter loading ratio (ILR, the ratio of the PV array capacity to the inverter capacity, which we vary from 1.4 to 2.6) and the battery-inverter ratio (BIR, the ratio of the battery power capacity to the inverter capacity, which we vary from 0.25 to 1.0). Based on each configuration's total value, we estimate the breakeven costs needed to justify each incremental increase in ILR (holding BIR constant) or BIR (holding ILR constant). We find that, in a future with low-cost renewable energy technologies, PV-plus-battery system ILRs can be economically increased to around 2.0-2.4 at a BIR of 1.0, depending on solar resource. Our results indicate that a likely evolution of PV-plus-battery system design will be increasingly greater battery power capacity to mitigate the declining PV capacity value, which will, in turn, enable increasingly higher ILRs to further increase energy value. The extent to which PV-plus-systems will be deployed with increasingly higher ILRs depends primarily on whether PV cost declines outpace declining value and increasing curtailment over time.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Promoting Reversibility of Multielectron Redox in Alkali-Rich Sulfide Cathodes through Cryomilling

We report conventional cathodes for Li-ion batteries (LIBs) are reaching their theoretical capacity limits. One way to meet the growing demands for high-capacity LIBs is by developing so-called Li-rich cathode materials that greatly benefit from additional capacities from anionic moieties in the structure. Li-rich materials are intrinsically subject to higher degrees of (de)intercalation, leaving the particles more prone to fractures and thus rapid capacity fade. Alkali-rich LiNaFeS 2 reversibly cycles with capacities exceeding 300 mAh g -1 , but its capacity fades faster than an isostructural material Li 2 FeS 2 . Using synchrotron-based transmission X-ray microscopy (TXM), we demonstrate that the capacity fade of LiNaFeS 2 stems from particle fractures in the first charge cycle. We improve the cycling performance of LiNaFeS 2 by means of cryomilling, which enhances capacity retention at cycle 50 by 76%. Through crystallographic and morphological characterization techniques, we confirm that cryomilling not only decreases particle and crystallite size while increasing microstrain but also prevents particles from fracturing. Cryomilling is a powerful tool to engineer nanoscale battery materials, and TXM allows the direct observation of morphological changes of the particles, which can be leveraged to develop next-generation cathode materials for LIBs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Stress- and interface-compatible red phosphorus anode for high-energy and durable sodium-ion batteries

Sodium-ion battery is a promising candidate for energy storage application, but the absence of high-capacity and low-cost anode materials significantly limit their practical specific energy and cost. Red phosphorus (RP) possesses a high theoretical specific capacity but suffers from large volume change, low electronic conductivity and unstable solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI). Herein, a hierarchical micro/nanostructured antimony-doped RP/carbon anode was developed, which demonstrate extraordinary electrochemical performance with high initial Coulombic efficiency of ~90%, high areal (~1.7 mAh cm-2) capacity together with good cycle stability and rate capability. Combined experimental and computational studies consistently revealed that such a unique structural design can dramatically accommodate the mechanical stress and moreover effectively restrain the undesired decomposition of electrolyte solvents regardless of electrolytes formulation, resulting in superior structural integrity and thin/robust SEI formation during cycling. The present finding has offered an alternative strategy for stress management and interface engineering on high-capacity alloying-based anode materials.

Liu, Xiang↗

Overcoming Metastable CO 2 Adsorption in a Bulky Diamine-Appended Metal-Organic Framework

We report carbon capture at fossil fuel-fired power plants is a critical strategy to mitigate anthropogenic contributions to global warming, but widespread deployment of this technology is hindered by a lack of energy-efficient materials that can be optimized for CO 2 capture from a specific flue gas. As a result of their tunable, step-shaped CO 2 adsorption profiles, diamine-functionalized metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) of the form diamine-Mg 2 (dobpdc) (dobpdc 4- = 4,4'-dioxidobiphenyl-3,3'-dicarboxylate) are among the most promising materials for carbon capture applications. Here, we present a detailed investigation of dmen-Mg 2 (dobpdc) (dmen = 1,2-diamino-2-methylpropane), one of only two MOFs with an adsorption step near the optimal pressure for CO 2 capture from coal flue gas. While prior characterization suggested that this material only adsorbs CO 2 to half capacity (0.5 CO 2 per diamine) at 1 bar, we show that the half-capacity state is actually a metastable intermediate. Under appropriate conditions, the MOF adsorbs CO 2 to full capacity, but conversion from the half-capacity structure happens on a very slow time scale, rendering it inaccessible in traditional adsorption measurements. Data from solid-state magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy, coupled with van der Waals-corrected density functional theory, indicate that ammonium carbamate chains formed at half capacity and full capacity adopt opposing configurations, and the need to convert between these states likely dictates the sluggish post-half-capacity uptake. By use of the more symmetric parent framework Mg 2 (pc-dobpdc) (pc-dobpdc 4- = 3,3'-dioxidobiphenyl-4,4'-dicarboxylate), the metastable trap can be avoided and the full CO 2 capacity of dmen-Mg 2 (pc-dobpdc) accessed under conditions relevant for carbon capture from coal-fired power plants.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Investigation of Active Life Balancing to Recondition Li-ion Battery Packs for 2nd Life

An investigation is presented into the application of active life balancing battery management systems to recondition inhomogeneous Li-ion battery packs and achieve homogeneity in capacity for second life. This paper proposes a life balancing objective map, which controls the state of charge references for each cell in a battery pack based on its capacity relative to other cells. The impacts of life balancing objective maps on the reconditioning time and overall pack capacity fade are considered. Moreover, the proposed approach accounts for various load and environmental effects, including depth-of-discharge, battery pack temperature, number of cycles per day, and cells’ resting time at various states of charge. The study results in a battery pack with convergent capacities achieved in minimal time, while curtailing overall capacity fade. Simulation results for a battery pack with sixteen series connected 75 Ah Kokam NMC cells with 3.6% initial capacity imbalance are presented, indicating a reconditioning time of 1.34 months with a final capacity imbalance of 0.1% and an overall capacity fade of 0.005%.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Electrolyte and Cutoff Potential Effects on Cycle Life of Li4Ti5O12/LiNi0.9Mn0.1O2 Batteries for Behind-the-Meter Storage Applications

Behind-the-Meter Storage (BTMS) is a stationary battery energy storage system that is connected to the electrical distribution system on the customer's side of the utility's service meter. BTMS systems are used to store electrical energy from the grid as well as inconstant, renewable energy, such as local solar and wind generation. A successful BTMS system will allow the customer to pair their energy generation and storage to optimize electrical consumption from the grid, improving reliability and minimizing cost. For BTMS applications, batteries must be designed and optimized with different set of criteria from other leading segments of the Li-ion battery market, like transportation, due the system being stationary and proximal to the residential or commercial building it's benefitting. BTMS applications prioritize safety, cost (low/no-critical materials), reliability (20-year calendar life), and durability (10,000 cycle life), while having the ability to (minimally) compromise energy density and rate capability. Lithium titanate (Li4Ti5O12-, LTO) is a promising anode candidate for BTMS applications due to its high safety and capacity retention, while maintaining a reasonable 160 mAhg-1 reversable capacity and composition of relatively abundant materials. (1) Specifically, LTO has a high working voltage which helps to prevent Li dendrite formation, improving safety. Furthermore, LTO also has negligible lithiation-based volume change, leading to less mechanical pulverization, or loss of active material, upon cycling. For the cathode, materials with little or no Co are of high interest due to the high cost and low abundance of Co. LiMn2O4 (LMO) has been paired with LTO for BTMS applications in the past due to its safety, low cost (abundancy), and reasonably high operating voltage. (2-4) However, the low capacity of LMO limits energy density and specific energy. While not the highest priority for BTMS applications, increasing energy density will enable deployment in space constrained BTMS applications and decrease total cost. LiNi0.9Mn0.1O2 (LN-MO) is a recently developed material with promise due to its high operating voltage and relatively low price. (5) However, Ni-rich layered oxides, including LNMO, tend to struggle with capacity retention during high-voltage cycling due to mechanical pulverization, irreversible phase transitions, and unstable solid-electrolyte interphase. The study presented here focuses on building an understanding of how electrolyte solvent and varied cutoff potentials will impact the cycle life of LTO/LN-MO cells. Specifically, a comparison is provided between ethylene carbonate (EC), ethyl methyl carbonate (EMC), fluoroethylene carbonate (FEC), and Gen2 electrolyte solvents with 1M Lithium hexafluorophosphate (LiPF6) salt, cycling to two upper termination potentials, 2.6V and 2.7V. Electrochemical testing and diagnostics (e.g., differential capacity analysis, area specific impedance, constant voltage hold, and rate capability) and post-mortem characterization will be used to understand the aging behavior and failure mechanisms of the 8 cell combinations (four electrolytes and two voltage cutoffs). Cells with FEC electrolyte showed a lower initial capacity compared to cells with Gen2, EMC, and EC cycling at both voltages; however, the cells with FEC showed consistent trends in capacity retention with 2.6V and 2.7V termination potentials, while the cells with the other electrolytes showed much higher rates of capacity loss when cycling to the higher voltage. These results indicate that FEC may play a role in improving durability of high-voltage, Ni-rich electrode systems for use in high-cycle applications, such as BTMS.

electrolyte↗

TURBO: Terabits/s Using Reconfigurable Bandwidth Optics (Final Report)

Large scale, big science applications are generating petabytes of data that need to be shared among multiple locations. Moving a petabyte of data at 100 Gb/s takes 22 hours. Reducing this to single digit hours or below is clearly attractive and with future applications anticipating exabyte scale transfers, multi-terabit per second capacities are needed. This scale of capacity is available using optical systems. Core optical systems have aggregate per fiber capacities on the order of 10 Tb/s and more than 100 Tb/s system experiments have been realized in the lab. But large optical capacities are not just reserved for the core as similar system capacities are available in metro networks right up to the enterprise, campus, or data center. In general, the same technology is used today in the metro area as in the long-haul networks—reconfigurable optical add drop multiplexing (ROADM) node-based wavelength division multiplexing (WDM) systems. Data centers already support massive internal capacities on the scale of 100’s of Tb/s. As new photonic integrated technologies mature, for example through initiatives such as the Integrated Photonics Innovative Manufacturing Institute (IP-IMI), the cost of optical interfaces is expected to decrease, and higher capacity and higher performance interfaces will become more affordable. This set of circumstances creates the potential that Tb/s capacities will be available at the enterprise and campus level to support large scale science network applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗

HyMARC Seedling: Optimized Hydrogen Adsorbents via Machine Learning and Crystal Engineering

This final report is presented in two parts: In Part 1, the H 2 capacities of a diverse set of 918,734 metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) sourced from 19 databases is predicted via machine learning (ML). Using only 7 structural features as input, ML identifies 8,282 MOFs with the potential to exceed the capacities of state-of-the-art materials. The identified MOFs are predominantly hypothetical compounds having low densities (<0.31 g/cm3) in combination with high surface areas (>5,300 m2/g), void fractions ($0.90), and pore volumes (>3.3 cm3/g). The relative importance of the input features are characterized, and dependencies on the ML algorithm and training set size are quantified. The most important features for predicting H 2 uptake are pore volume (for gravimetric capacity) and void fraction (for volumetric capacity). The ML models are available on the web, allowing for rapid and accurate predictions of the hydrogen capacities of MOFs from limited structural data; the simplest models require only a single crystallographic feature. In part 2, ways to improve the poor powder packing density of MOFs is discussed. More specifically, a strategy that improves packing efficiency and volumetric hydrogen gas storage density dramatically through engineered morphologies and controlled-crystal size distributions is presented that holds promise for maximizing storage capacity for a given MOF. The packing density improvement, demonstrated for the benchmark sorbent MOF-5, leads to a significant enhancement of volumetric hydrogen storage performance relative to commercial MOF-5. System model projections demonstrate that engineering of crystal morphology/size or use of a bimodal distribution of cubic crystal sizes in tandem with system optimization can surpass the 25 g/L volumetric capacity of a typical 700 bar compressed storage system and exceed the DOE targets 2020 volumetric capacity (30 g/L). Finally, a critical link between improved powder packing density and reduced damage upon compaction is revealed leading to sorbents with both high surface area and high density.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Queued Up: Characteristics of Power Plants Seeking Transmission Interconnection As of the End of 2022 [Slides]

Proposed large-scale electric generation and storage projects must apply for interconnection to the bulk power system via interconnection queues. While most projects that apply for interconnection are not subsequently built, data from these queues nonetheless provide a general indicator for mid-term trends in developer interest. Berkeley Lab compiled and analyzed data from all seven ISOs/RTOs in concert with 35 non-ISO utilities, representing an estimated 85% of all U.S. electricity load. We include all "active" projects in these generation interconnection queues through the end of 2022, as well as data on "operational" and "withdrawn" projects where those data are available. We find that the amount of new electric capacity in these queues is growing dramatically, with over 2,000 gigawatts (GW) of total generation and storage capacity now seeking connection to the grid (over 95% of which is for zero-carbon resources like solar, wind, and battery storage). Solar (947 GW) and battery storage (~680 GW) are – by far – the fastest growing resources in the queues; combined they accounted for over 80% of new capacity entering the queues in 2022. Substantial wind (300 GW) capacity is also seeking interconnection, 38% of which is for offshore projects (113 GW). In total, about 1,250 GW of zero-carbon generating capacity is currently seeking transmission access, as is 82 GW of natural gas capacity. Hybrids projects (co-locating multiple generation and/or storage types) comprise a large – and increasing – share of proposed projects, particularly in CAISO and the non-ISO West. 457 GW of solar hybrids (primarily solar+battery) and 24 GW of wind hybrids are currently active in the queues; over half of battery storage in the queues is paired with generation. However, much of this proposed capacity will be withdrawn from the queues and not built. Among a subset of queues for which data are available, only 21% of the projects (and 14% of capacity) seeking connection from 2000 to 2017 have been built as of the end of 2022. Additionally, interconnection wait times are on the rise: The typical duration from connection request to commercial operation increased from <2 years for projects built in 2000-2007 to nearly 4 years for those built in 2018-2022 (with a median of 5 years for projects built in 2022).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep Electrification Analysis: The Role of the U.S. Power Grid for Sustainable Transportation

This project attempts to quantify the size of electric generation for the entire nation to transition from a fossil fuel based transportation sector to a zero GHG emission-based energy source. The scope of this analysis is limited to decarbonizing the transportation sector, leaving the remaining sectors, such as power (for those that are still fossil based), industry, and building sectors, for later phases of study. The study year for this analysis is 2050, with expected escalation in transportation services and naturally occurring evolutions in the electric power sector and the entire economy. This analysis uses the projections of the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA’s) Annual Energy Outlook (AEO 2020) Reference Case for study year 2050 [EIA/AEO2020] as a base-case. The transportation sector is disaggregated by the following modes and classes: (1) on-road (divided into light-duty, medium-duty, heavy-duty vehicles), (2) aviation, (3) maritime, and (4) rail. The decarbonization case was based on only 2 pathways: (1) electrification of on-road transportation except for 30% of heavy-duty vehicles, and (2) power-to-liquid for the remaining transportation modes. The study estimated for 11 US regions what the additional wind and storage capacities requirements are to replace the fossil-based fuels with renewable wind capacity. Considered were the utilization of the existing idle capacity particularly during the load valley at night and any additional new generation capacity in EIA projections for the reference case. To balance the additional wind capacity required significant energy storage capabilities which were estimated in terms of power capacity (GW) and energy capacity (GWh). The paper further characterizes the energy requirements by a relation of power capacity to duration, allowing the analyst to gain insights into what the best technology portfolio might be to meet the new balancing or flexibility needs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Utility-Scale Solar, 2024 Edition: Empirical Trends in Deployment, Technology, Cost, Performance, PPA Pricing, and Value in the United States [Slides]

Berkeley Lab’s “Utility-Scale Solar, 2024 Edition” presents analysis of empirical plant-level data from the U.S. fleet of ground-mounted photovoltaic (PV), PV+battery, and concentrating solar-thermal power (CSP) plants with capacities exceeding 5 MWAC (PV plants of 5 MWAC or less, including residential rooftop systems, are covered separately in Berkeley Lab’s companion annual report, Tracking the Sun). Key findings from this year’s report include: -18.5 GWAC of new utility-scale PV capacity came online in 2023, bringing cumulative installed capacity to more than 80.2 GWAC across 47 states. Installed costs continued to fall in 2023. Relative to 2022, capacity-weighted averages decreased by 8% to -$\$1.43$/WAC (or $\$1.08$/WDC). Costs, based on a 7.1 GWAC sample of 76 plants completed in 2023, have fallen by 75% (averaging 10% annually) since 2010. Plant-level capacity factors vary widely, from 6% to 36% (on an AC basis), with a sample median of 24%. -Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of new 2023 projects increased slightly to $\$46$/MWh prior to the application of tax credits but continued to fall to $\$31$/MWh when accounting for federal incentives. PPA prices have largely followed the decline in solar’s LCOE over time, but newly signed longer-term PPA prices have increased since 2021, to an average of $\$35$/MWh (levelized, in 2023 dollars). -Solar’s average energy and capacity value (i.e., ability to offset costs of other power generation sources) across the U.S. was $\$45$/MWh in 2023. Solar’s average market value was lowest in CAISO ($\$27$/MWh), the market with the greatest solar generation share, and highest in ERCOT ($\$67$/MWh). -Newer solar projects had greater market value in 2023 than their generation costs, yielding $\$1.1$ billion in benefits. Projects built in 2022 delivered on average $\$15$/MWh more market value than their costs in 2023. -Solar’s combined value from wholesale electricity markets, public health and climate damage reduction were greater than generation costs and incentives, yielding $\$13.7$ billion in net benefits in 2023. We estimate U.S. health benefits of $\$24$/MWh and reduced global climate damages of $\$101$/MWh. -Adding battery storage is one way to increase the value of solar. Deployment of 52 new PV+battery hybrid plants set a record with 5.3 GW installed in 2023. Our public data file tracks metadata and PPA prices from more than 100 PV+battery hybrid projects that are already online or that have secured offtake arrangements. -Looking ahead, a massive pipeline of at least 1,085 GW of solar capacity dominates the nation’s interconnection queues at the end of 2023. Nearly 571 GW, or 53%, of that total was paired with a battery – in CAISO it was a staggering 98%. Historically only 10% of the requested solar capacity is built. -For more information, and to explore related interactive data visualizations, go to utilityscalesolar.lbl.gov.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluation of Engineered Form MOFs CaSDB and HKUST-1

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) have studied different sorbents for the purpose of separating krypton (Kr) and xenon (Xe). PNNL has researched various metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) that have characteristics theoretically suitable for the separation. Based on computational analysis, PNNL chose Calcium–4,4’–sulfonyl dibenzoate (CaSDB) and Hong Kong University of Science and Technology MOF1 (HKUST–1). The raw MOFs are supplied in a powder form and must be incorporated into a robust engineered form to be viable for gas separation. In 2016, PNNL produced an engineered form of CaSDB by compressing and grinding the raw MOF material. This form was sent to INL for adsorption testing. Gentle mechanical agitation of the compressed form produced a large amount of powder, resulting in the conclusion that the form was not viable for the application. In 2019, INL successfully produced two engineered forms, CaSDB–EF1 and HKUST–EF2, by incorporating the active MOF powders into a polyacrylonitrile (PAN) binder. PNNL also produced two engineered forms, CaSDB–10pmma and HKUST–10pmma, by using polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) as a binder. Surface area analysis indicated that the forms could be viable for separations in which the CaSDB–EF1 retained 84% of the raw CaSDB surface area and CaSDB–10pmma retained 48%. HKUST–EF2 retained all the raw HKUST–1 surface area, whereas HKUST–10pmma retained only 28%. Mechanical stability testing demonstrated that the PMMA forms formed a fine powder whereas, the PAN forms did not. In general, adsorption testing showed that CaSDB–10pmma had a lower Xe breakthrough capacity than CaSDB–EF1, but a higher saturation capacity at both room temperature and at 253 K. The CaSDB MOF was intended to be used as a room temperature sorbent to capture Xe. However, both CaSDB engineered forms displayed relatively short initial break through times. Reduced temperature increased the Xe capacity of both engineered forms. HKUST–1 was expected to be effective only at sub-zero temperatures. At 195 K, HKUST–10pmma had an initial Xe breakthrough capacity of 119 mmol/ kg, compared to HKUST–EF2 at 339 mmol/ kg. The saturation capacities were 275 and 383 mmol/ kg, respectively. HKUST–10ppm also had a lower Kr capacity of 1.7 mmol/kg, whereas the HKUST–EF had a Kr capacity of 3 mmol/ kg. Test results indicate that the PAN engineered forms are a more suitable choice for the complete separation of Xe and Kr, due to the increase in initial breakthrough capacity. CaSDB allows rapid breakthrough of Kr and Xe regardless of the type of engineered form. At 253 K, it is more viable, but is still not the most effective sorbent. HKUST–EF2 demonstrated viability for Xe capture at 195 K, which may merit further study, however it may be cost prohibitive.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The Role of Radial Clearance on the Performance of Foil Air Bearings

Load capacity tests were conducted to determine how radial clearance variations affect the load capacity coefficient of foil air bearings. Two Generation III foil air bearings with the same design but possessing different initial radial clearances were tested at room temperature against an as-ground PS304 coated journal operating at 30,000 rpm. Increases in radial clearance were accomplished by reducing the journal's outside diameter via an in-place grinding system. From each load capacity test the bearing load capacity coefficient was calculated from the rule-of-thumb (ROT) model developed for foil air bearings. The test results indicate that, in terms of the load capacity coefficient, radial clearance has a direct impact on the performance of the foil air bearing. Each test bearing exhibited an optimum radial clearance that resulted in a maximum load capacity coefficient. Relative to this optimum value are two separate operating regimes that are governed by different modes of failure. Bearings operating with radial clearances less than the optimum exhibit load capacity coefficients that are a strong function of radial clearance and are prone to a thermal runaway failure mechanism and bearing seizure. Conversely, a bearing operating with a radial clearance twice the optimum suffered only a 20 percent decline in its maximum load capacity coefficient and did not experience any thermal management problems. However, it is unknown to what degree these changes in radial clearance had on other performance parameters, such as the stiffness and damping properties of the bearings.

Radil, Kevin↗

The Path to NGATS

NGATS operational Improvements and benefits include: 1) Broad area and precision navigation to access and capacity; 2) Airspace access and management to capacity; 3) 4D trajectory based ATM to capacity and efficiency; 4) Reduced separation between aircraft to capacity; 5) Flight deck situational awareness and delegation to capacity and safety; 6) ATM decision support to capacity; 7) Improved weather data and dissemination to capacity and safety; 8) Reduced cost to deliver ATM services to cost; 9) Greatly expanded airport network and improved terminals to capacity.

Scardina, John↗

Implications of the Golden Age of Remote Sensing on Earth Observation Applications in Central America

Appraising the period spanning the launch of the first Landsat satellite in 1972 to the present, the common consensus within the Earth observation (EO) community is that we are currently living in a “Golden Age of Remote Sensing,” with access to datasets, tools, and capacity building opportunities hitherto unavailable (e.g. data from Landsat, the Copernicus program, Planet / NICFI, platforms such as Google Earth Engine and SEPAL, and trainings via NASA’s ARSET and Europe's EO College). With the inter-governmental Group on Earth Observations (GEO) focusing its efforts on helping regions across the world to develop their EO capacities, Central America serves as a useful case study on the development of such capacity, with important implications for other emerging regions. A significant chapter of the region’s development of its EO capacity can be traced to 1998 when a regional body - the Central American Commission for the Environment and Development (CCAD, in Spanish) - signed a Memorandum of Understanding with NASA, which eventually led to the development of the SERVIR-Mesoamerica program, also with the support of the U.S. Agency for International Development, in 2004. The establishment of the Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation (REDD+) initiative in 2007 in the context of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change provided additional impetus for strengthening the region’s environmental monitoring capacities. REDD+ paved the way, over the past decade, for the region’s countries to benefit from cooperation with the Germany development agency, GIZ, and the United States’ SilvaCarbon initiative. By 2021, the CCAD’s parent body - the Central American Integration System (SICA, in Spanish) - had also entered into collaborations with not only NASA, but other entities, including the Copernicus program, the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency, and the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, and the region is also engaging with GEO’s AmeriGEO regional initiative. Nevertheless, the aforementioned collaborative efforts only convey part of the case study regarding Central America’s EO capacity. This presentation will also examine applications aspects, as well as implications for the development of EO capacity in other regions, including via regional GEO initiatives.

Earth observation↗

Energy storage in combined gas-electric energy transitions models: The case of California

California’s vision for a net-zero future by 2045 relies heavily on variable renewable energy systems. Thus, energy storage - particularly long-duration storage - could play a fundamental role in reliably supplying low-carbon electricity. We study energy storage using the BRIDGES model, a combined gas-electric capacity expansion model for California across multiple investment periods (2025-2045), modeled with progressively decreasing carbon emission targets to a zero emissions by 2045. This least-cost optimization model includes renewable gas production via power-to-gas, long-term storage of energy in gaseous form, electric energy storage such as through batteries and hydrogen storage, and renewable energy generation, all with capacity tracking and investment. Multiple scenarios are evaluated to examine the sensitivity of the optimal storage portfolio to system-level and sector-level parameters. The scenario results show that all electric energy storage systems - which vary in storage duration - are deployed and required in a net-zero California in 2045, amounting to around 75 GW of storage capacity. Lithium ion systems make up approximately 80% of this power capacity and supply most short-run storage needs. Hydrogen storage - in the form of a power-to-gas-to-power system - emerges as a replacement to conventional natural gas storage, comprising most of the total energy storage capacity (~ 4 TWh). This capacity is less than 5% of the current natural gas storage capacity (94 TWh), indicating sufficient room for repurposing part of the gas infrastructure. A demand-side sensitivity analysis proves that higher electricity demand correlates with more builds of Li-ion batteries, while higher industrial heat demand leads to more builds of long-duration storage systems in a net-zero economy. Furthermore, power-to-gas systems satisfy part of the industrial heat demand by locally supplying renewable gas, which overtakes the traditional centralized gas storage and transfers through pipelines, casting significant doubts on the future of the large-scale gas infrastructure.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Least-Cost Pathways for India's Electric Power Sector

The Government of India has a target of deploying 175 GW from renewable energy by 2022 and 40% of electricity capacity from renewable energy by 2030 and has indicated that ambitions for 2030 could be higher. Rapid changes in technology costs and performance could drive further deployment of wind and solar capacity beyond these policy targets. Increased deployment of variable renewable energy (VRE) raises new questions for power system planning regarding the optimal siting of generation capacity, trade-offs between generation and transmission infrastructure, and system flexibility needs. This study aims to evaluate least-cost pathways for India's electric power system over the period 2017-2047. Uniquely, this work considers an expanded planning horizon and range of scenarios not previously analyzed in national planning studies in India. The data collection and model design processes undertaken for this study provides a framework for recurring planning studies. This study finds anticipated changes in electricity demand and component costs can drive a significant shift in India's future electricity supply and how this system will be operated. In the Base scenario, the share of generation from VRE reaches 54% by 2047. Reducing the capital cost of wind has a larger impact on VRE penetration than reducing the capital cost of solar PV or battery storage. In the lowest wind cost scenario (40% capital cost decline by 2047 relative to the Base scenario), the penetration of VRE in the generation mix reaches 722%, exceeding the penetration levels achieved when the cost of battery storage or solar PV are reduced by an even greater 50%. In a future system with high penetrations of RE, capacity additions are driven by the coincidence of demand and RE generation rather than peak demand alone. This study finds the system could have surplus capacity during the peak demand months of July–September because this period corresponds to periods with high wind speeds and more wind generation available to meet peak demand. By contrast, new capacity is needed to meet demand during moderate demand months of October–November when output from wind plants falls more than 75% nationally compared to the previous two months. Finally, the success for gas for electricity production may depend on cost competitiveness rather than fuel availability. Increasing the amount of gas available for electricity production had no significant impact on the capacity or generation mix by 2047, as determined from a scenario that significantly increases fuel availability throughout the planning horizon. In fact, over 80% of new gas fuel available for the power sector remains unused. This suggests the high cost of gas plant operations relative to other technologies may constrain the expansion of gas generation in India more than fuel availability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Advanced electrolytes for fast-charging high-voltage lithium-ion batteries in wide-temperature range

LiNixMnyCo1-x-yO2 (NMC) cathode materials with Ni=0.8 have attracted great interest for application in high energy-density lithium (Li)-ion batteries (LIBs) because of their high specific capacities at high voltages. However, the practical application of Ni-rich NMC in LIBs under high charge voltages (e.g. 4.4 V and above) still faces big challenges due to the severe capacity fading, which is directly related to the instability of the cathode/electrolyte interface. In this work, we develop new localized high-concentration electrolytes (LHCEs) based on carbonate solvents, which are compatible with graphite (Gr) anode and have a high oxidation potential over 4.9 V vs. Li/Li+. The optimal LHCE enables the Gr||NMC811 cells with 2.8 mAh cm-2 cathode areal capacity loading to achieve an excellent cycling stability over 600 cycles with a capacity retention of 94.2 % under a charge cut-off voltage of 4.4 V at 25 ?C, good rate capabilities under fast charging or discharging up to 3C rate, and superior low-temperature discharge performance down to -30 ?C with a capacity retention of 85.6% at C/5 rate. The findings in this work shed light a very promising strategy to develop new electrolytes for practical high-energy LIBs with Ni-rich NMC cathodes.

Zhang, Xianhui↗