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At least 1,459 records · Page 81
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NASA NTRS1983

On the role of the seasonal cycle

The definition of the seasonal cycle as the projection of an atmospheric time series onto a suitably defined subset of orthogonal basis functions guarantees that any atmospheric covariance may be expressed as the sum of a seasonal cycle part and a transient part (where transient refers to departures from the seasonal cycle rather than the time mean). Results are presented for the seasonal cycle contribution to the zonally averaged fluxes of momentum and heat, and for the zonally averaged height variance, in data for: the winter season, the winter season with the Fourier basis set appropriate for the seven-year time series, and the seven-year mean. The Fourier basis set calculation indicates that the interannual variability of the momentum flux is dominated by the interactions between the seasonal cycle and the meteorologically low frequency flow.

Straus, D. M.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The effect of wind variability on Space Shuttle flight

A data base of paired detailed wind profiles is developed for use in evaluating the STS ascent capability. The flight of the Shuttle is simulated through a sequence of measured detailed wind profiles and the wind effects on load and performance are evaluated. Since the wind measurement and simulation time requirements dictate that the launch decision be based on wind measurements taken about 3.5 hr before launch, a data base of paired detailed profiles is obtained in order to account for possible load increases due to wind profile changes during the final 3.5 hr before launch. Results show that the largest wind changes occur in winter at about 12 km altitude. At that time and altitude, it is found that there is a 5 percent risk that the wind component speed change will approximate 10 m/s in 3.5 hr. It is determined that the wind can vary over a period of 3.5 hr by more than 20 percent from the transition season to the winter season while somewhat smaller changes occur between the transition season and the summer season. It is concluded that these results demonstrate the feasibility of the wind change model concept and that this model should be considered for future use in Shuttle prelaunch operations.

Hill, C. K.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Sea ice effective microwave emissivities from satellite passive microwave and infrared observations

Near-simultaneous images from the temperature-humidity IR radiometer and dual-polarization scanning multichannel microwave radiometer of the Nimbus 7 satellite are used to investigate microwave sea ice emissivities on a global scale. Emissivities in several Arctic region study areas are found to be approximately constant during a nine-month pereiod covering the fall, winter and spring months, in the cases of both first-year and multiyear ice. During the onset of summer, emissivity increases of about 30 percent are observed at 37 GHz in multiyear ice. A multichannel cluster analysis over very large study areas during winter indicates considerable variability in emissivities of consolidated ice clusters at 37 GHz, and only 1/3 as much variability at 18 GHz. If the variability within each cluster is quantified and taken into account by means of multispectral analysis, data on ice thickness and surface characteristics may also be obtained.

Comiso, J. C.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Large-scale counterstreaming of H(+) and He(+) along plasmaspheric flux tubes

An interhemispheric plasma transport model is used to study the flow characteristics of H(+), He(+), and O(+) along closed geomagnetic field lines for solstice conditions. The model corresponds to a time-dependent solution of the coupled continuity, momentum, and energy equations for the ions and electrons. The equations are solved along an entire flux tube from 120 km in one hemisphere to 120 km in the other hemisphere. The calculations are carried out for noon conditions for the flux tube passsing through Millstone Hill, at L = 3.2. The main conclusion is that H(+)-He(+) counterstreaming can be expected along a large segment of a plasmaspheric flux tube at solstice. For both symmetric and asymmetric wind patterns, the He(+) flow is from the winter to the summer ionosphere not only in the steady state, but during flux tube refilling due to the winter helium bulge and the depletion of N2.

Richards, P. G.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Large-area relation of Landsat MSS and NOAA-6 AVHRR spectral data to wheat yields

Landsat MSS data transformed into Kauth-Thomas greenness were averaged over 5 n.mi x 6 n.mi. sample segments from the U.S. Great Plains winter and spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) regions, and related by regression analysis to yields reported by county, crop reporting district (CRD) and state levels. Evidence of a linear relation between winter- and spring-wheat yields and Landsat spectral data at a broad scale is shown for 1978 and 1979. A common slope of about 1.6 (Bu/A)/unit greenness is discerned for the relation between yield and spectral greenness. Tests at both a smaller scale on sets of field-level spectal data and yield and at a large scale on 25 mi. x 25 mi. gridded spectral data from the NOAA-6 AVHRR sensor support the relation. The implications of these results to yield estimation from satellite spectral data are discussed.

Barnett, T. L.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Estimates of the seasonal mean vertical velocity fields of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere

Indirect methods are employed to estimate the wintertime and summertime mean vertical velocity fields of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere and intercomparisons are made, together with comparisons with mean seasonal patterns of cloudiness and precipitation. Twice-daily NMC operational analyses produced general circulation statistics for 11 winters and 12 summers, permitting calculation of the seasonal NMC averages for 6 hr forecasts, solution of the omega equation, integration of continuity equation downward from 100 mb, and solution of the thermodynamic energy equation in the absence of diabatic heating. The methods all yielded similar vertical velocity patterns; however, the magnitude of the vertical velocities could not be calculated with great accuracy. Orography was concluded to have less of an effect in summer than in winter, when winds are stronger.

White, G. H.↗
NASA NTRS1983

Use of thermal inertia determined by HCMM to predict nocturnal cold prone areas in Florida

Pairs of HCMM day-night thermal infrared (IR) data were selected during the 1978-79 winter to examine patterns of surface temperature and thermal inertia (TI) of peninsular Florida. The GOES and NOAA-6 thermal IR, as well as National Climatic Center temperatures and rainfall, were also used. The HCMM apparent thermal inertia (ATI) images closely corresponded to the general soil map of Florida, based on soil drainage classes. Areas with low ATI overlay well-drained soils, such as deep sands and drained organic soils, whereas with high ATI overlay areas with wetlands and bodies of water. The HCMM ATI images also corresponded well with GOES-detected winter nocturnal cold-prone areas. Use of HCMM data with Carlson's energy balance model showed both high moisture availability (MA) and high thermal inertia (TI) of wetland-type surfaces and low MA and low TI of upland, well-drained soils. Since soil areas with low TI develop higher temperatures during the day, then antecedent patterns of highest maximum daytime surface temperature can also be used to predict nocturnal cold-prone areas in Florida.

Allen, L. H., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Case studies of NOAA 6/TIROS N data impact on numerical weather forecasts

The impact of satellite temperatures from systems which predate the launching of the third generation of vertical sounding instruments aboard TIROS N (13 Oct 1978) and NOAA 6 (27 June 1979) is reported. The first evaluation of soundings from TIROS N found that oceanic, cloudy retrievals over NH mid latitudes show a cold bias in winter. It is confirmed for both satellite systems using a larger data base. It is shown that RMS differences between retrievals and colocated radiosonde observations within the swath 30-60N during the 1979-80 winter were generally 2-3K in clear air and higher for cloudy columns. A positive impact of TIROS N temperatures on the analysis of synoptic weather systems is shown. Analyses prepared from only satellite temperatures seemed to give a better definition to weather systems' thermal structure than that provided by corresponding NMC analyses without satellite data. The results of a set of 14 numerical forecast experiments performed with the PE model of the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) are summarized; these were designed to test the impact of TIROS N and NOAA 6 temperatures within the IMS analysis and forecast cycle. The satellite data coverage over the NH, the mean area/period S1 and RMS verification scores and the spatial distribution of SAT versus NO SAT forecast differences are discussed and it is concluded that positive forecast impact occurs over ocean areas where the extra data improve the specification which is otherwise available from conventional observations. The forecast impact for three cases from the same set of experiments was examined and it is found that satellite temperatures, observed over the Atlantic Ocean contribute to better forecasts over Iceland and central Europe although a worse result was verified over Spain. It is also shown that the better scores of a forecast based also on satellite data and verified over North America actually represent a mixed impact on the forecast synoptic patterns. A superior 48 hr 500 mb forecast over the western US due to the better initial specification afforded by satellite observed temperatures over the North Pacific Ocean is shown.

Druyan, L. M.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The height of electron content changes in the ionosphere from ATS 6 beacon data

A technique is described which uses relative changes in Faraday rotation and modulation phase of satellite radio signals to determine the median height of the enhancement (or depletion) in the electron density of the ionosphere. During the post sunrise formation of the F layer the incremental layers have a median height of around 210 km (+ or - 40) and in the afternoon the decremental median is above the peak at 340 km (+ or - 40) on a winter day. A winter nighttime enhancement just after midnight appears as a thick layer extending upwards from the peak, with a median height at about 730 km. The method applies to large scale irregularities but not to small, dense, scintillation-causing irregularities for which Faraday and modulation phases do not represent the total electron content.

Davies, K.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The global distribution of thermospheric odd nitrogen for solstice conditions during solar cycle minimum

A two-dimensional model of odd nitrogen in the thermosphere and upper mesosphere is described. The global distributions of nitric oxide and atomic nitrogen are calculated for the solstice period for quiet and moderate magnetic activity during the solar minimum period. The effect of thermospheric transport by winds is investigated along with the importance of particle-induced ionization in the auroral zones. The results are compared with rocket and satellite measurements, and the sensitivity of the model to eddy diffusion and neutral winds is investigated. Downward fluxes of NO into the mesosphere are given, and their importance for stratospheric ozone is discussed. The results show that the summer-to-winter pole meridional circulation transports both NO and N(S-4) across the solar terminator into the polar night region where there is a downward vertical transport toward the mesosphere. The model shows that odd nitrogen densities at high winter latitudes are entirely controlled by particle precipitation and transport processes.

Gerard, J.-C.↗
NASA NTRS1983

The influence of gravity wave breaking on the general circulation of the middle atmosphere

The zonal mean solstice circulation of the global middle atmosphere is simulated using a semi-spectral numerical model. Radiative heating and cooling is computed by the algorithm of Wehrbein and Leovy. Mechanical dissipation is represented by the gravity wave breaking parameterization of Lindzen. An inertial adjustment parameterization is used to prevent the development of inertially unstable meridional shears near the equator. It is shown that gravity wave drag and diffusion in the mesosphere can account for the observed large departure from radiative equilibrium in both summer and winter. Experiments incorporating a forced stationary wavenumber 1 disturbance indicate that planetary wave EP flux convergences, although they may modify the mean flow profile significantly, cannot provide the major source of mechanical dissipation in the winter mesosphere. A simulated sudden warming is accompanied by an equally strong mesospheric cooling. This cooling is caused primarily by the relaxation of the polar mesosphere toward radiative equilibrium when the easterly mean winds in the polar stratosphere induced by the sudden warming reduce the transmission of gravity waves into the mesosphere.

Holton, J. R.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Landsat-4 horizon scanner flight performance

This paper presents an analysis of the flight data from a new design of horizon scanner flown on Landsat-4. The salient features in the data are described and demonstrated by data plots. High frequency noise must be filtered out to achieve good accuracy, but this is effectively done by 128-point averaging. Sun and moon interference effects are identified. The effects of earth oblateness and spacecraft altitude variations are modeled, and the residual systematic errors are analyzed. Most of the residual errors are apparently explained by the effects of earth radiance variation, with the winter polar regions showing the highest variability in the attitude measurements due to winter stratosphere temperature variations. In general, this sensor provides improved accuracy over those flown on previous missions.

Bilanow, S.↗
NASA NTRS1984

North-south asymmetries of solar particle events in upper stratospheric ozone

Stratospheric ozone depressions, following intense solar particle events (SPE) observed by the backscattered ultraviolet (BUV) experiment on the Nimbus-4 satellite, indicate the existence of distinct asymmetries between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. These asymmetries are observed in the magnitude of the depressions above the 5-mb level, their temporal variations, and the spatial (i.e., latitude and longitude) dependence of these variations. Possible causes of asymmetries, shown by two events on August 4, 1972 and January 25, 1971, can be attributed to: (1) tilt of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) with respect to the earth's dipole magnetic field which influences the precipitation of energetic solar particles into the polar atmospheres; (2) differences in ozone chemistry caused by the large change in atmospheric temperature between summer and winter hemispheres; (3) seasonal differences of the stratosphere's dynamic states which are affected by upward propagating planetary waves in winter in contrast to the relatively undisturbed zonal flows in summer; and (4) topographic asymmetry between Northern and Southern Hemispheres. These effects are shown by three-dimensional plots of the events in geographic coordinates and by color contour plots of the stratospheric ozone distributions in geomagnetic and geographic polar coordinates, respectively.

Maeda, K.↗
NASA NTRS1984

A comparison of observed and model energy balance for an extratropical cyclone system

Eddy kinetic energy budgets are presented for both moist and dry 48 h forecasts and corresponding observations of a developing winter extratropical cyclone. A diagnosis of observational data energetics is presented and compared with model results for an intense, occluding winter cyclone associated with a strong, well-developed jet stream. The nature of the eddy kinetic energy sources and sinks associated with the strong baroclinic development occurring in this cyclonic system is examined, and the extent to which to observed energy sources and sinks are present in the numerical predictions is addressed. The possibility of explaining differences between the observed and predicted cyclone systems by analyzing these kinetic energy properties is considered.

Dare, P. M.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Jet Stream Errors and Tropospheric-stratospheric Interactions in the GLAS General Circulation Model

This project used the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences general circulation model (GCM) to explore the causes of erroneously weak shears above the subtropicl jet in GCMs. This problem was seen over the past 15 years of general circulation modeling both as a weak vertical shear and as a cold polar stratosphere. Although recent models now have closed zonal wind contours in their monthly Northern Hemisphere winter climatologies, the weak shears are still present in both winter, summer, Northern, and Southern hemispheres. Numerous hypotheses have been advanced to explain this failure including the rigid top, poor vertical resolution, incorrect modeling of radiative processes, and incorrect model generation of tropospheric waves. Although the Community Climate Model, attempted to deal with many of these causes, especially radiative processes, the problem is still present.

Tenenbaum, J.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Analysis of Diabatic Heating During FGGE

The objective is to examine the maintenance of momentum and thermal fields in the Southern Hemisphere and the diabatic heating and generation of available potential energy of the entire global atmosphere. The data generated by the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences First GARP Global Experiment (FGGE) III-b analysis for SOP1 and SOP2 are used for this effort. It is observed that the atmospheric circulation of the Southern Hemisphere exhibits a double jet structure (subtropical jet and polar jet) in winter and a single jet in summer during the FGGE year. The geographic distribution of standard deviation in the height field at 500 mb indicates that the major eddy activities occur in the downstream side of the polar jet and poleward side of the subtropic jet in winter. However, the major eddy activites go hand-in-hand with the jet stream in summer. The momentum transport is essentially carried out by the transient eddies in both seasons. The distribution of the temperature field is more axisymmetric in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere. The sensible heat is mainly transported poleward by transient eddies along the strong baroclinic zone where the jet streams are located. In other seasons, it is shown from the geographic distribution of the divergence of transient eddy sensible heat flux that the Antarctic continent acts as a heat sink to consume the sensible heat converged toward the polar area from the middle and low latitudes.

Chen, T. C.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The Influence of Synoptic Scales on Low-frequency Modes of Variability

Model analysis and predictablity studies using an equivalent barotropic empirical orthogonal function (EOF) model described in Schubert (1984b) are dicussed. An extensive set of 10-day forecasts was produced for the 12 component version of the model. Comparisons with observed data show apparently useful forecasts for individual winters. However, when averaged over 10 winters, the improvement over persistence was marginal and only one of the EOF's (resembling North Atlantic blocking) showed a statistically significant improvement. These results suggest the need for a more realistic model which includes shorter time scale baroclinic processes and spatial modes capable of efficiently representing the characteristic structures associated with baroclinic instability.

Schubert, S. D.↗
NASA NTRS1982

Middle Atmosphere Program. Handbook for MAP, Volume 5

The variability of the stratosphere during the winter in the Northern Hemisphere is considered. Long term monthly mean 30-mbar maps are presented that include geopotential heights, temperatures, and standard deviations of 15 year averages. Latitudinal profiles of mean zonal winds and temperatures are given along with meridional time sections of derived quantities for the winters 1965/66 to 1980/81.

Sechrist, C. F., Jr.↗