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At least 1,459 records · Page 81

UNM High Energy Physics: Task B

The High Altitude Water Cherenkov (HAWC) observatory provides a unique window into the "TeV" gamma-ray universe. HAWC provides an important 1 TeV to 1000 TeV high-mass window for indirect searches for dark matter (DM) annihilation or decay. Additional fundamental physics studies benefit from HAWC's sensitivity to variable and/or transient sources. Such transient sources include: gamma ray bursts (GRBs), temporal studies of super massive black holes (specifically Markarian (Mrk) 421 and 501), and most recently searches for gamma-ray counterparts to PeV neutrino sources (observed by IceCube) and gravitational wave sources (observed by LIGO/Virgo). The UNM (Task B) research program includes leadership of the HAWC detector and of HAWC science. During this final reporting period the UNM group includes Professor John Matthews and graduate student Zhixiang Ren with the research goal focused on the development of analysis tools to enhance the sensitivity of HAWC to <1 TeV, gamma rays. This program began in 2016 with an initial focus to work to resolve known problems with the low energy analysis bins in the HAWC data. In 2017 this evolved to the development of new analysis tools to optimize current HAWC <1 TeV sensitivity as well as how HAWC (or a future HAWC-like detector) could be modified to be significantly more sensitive to <1 TeV gamma rays. In these studies Ren lead the development and evaluation of new HAWC <1 TeV analysis tools and Matthews lead the study of possible experimental modifications to HAWC to improve the <1 TeV sensitivity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Reducing Uncertainty in High-Resolution Sea Ice Models

Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system, reflecting a significant amount of solar radiation, insulating the ocean from the atmosphere and influencing ocean circulation by modifying the salinity of the upper ocean. The thickness and extent of Arctic sea ice have shown a significant decline in recent decades with implications for global climate as well as regional geopolitics. Increasing interest in exploration as well as climate feedback effects make predictive mathematical modeling of sea ice a task of tremendous practical import. Satellite data obtained over the last few decades have provided a wealth of information on sea ice motion and deformation. The data clearly show that ice deformation is focused along narrow linear features and this type of deformation is not well-represented in existing models. To improve sea ice dynamics we have incorporated an anisotropic rheology into the Los Alamos National Laboratory global sea ice model, CICE. Sensitivity analyses were performed using the Design Analysis Kit for Optimization and Terascale Applications (DAKOTA) to determine the impact of material parameters on sea ice response functions. Two material strength parameters that exhibited the most significant impact on responses were further analyzed to evaluate their influence on quantitative comparisons between model output and data. The sensitivity analysis along with ten year model runs indicate that while the anisotropic rheology provides some benefit in velocity predictions, additional improvements are required to make this material model a viable alternative for global sea ice simulations.

Peterson, Kara J.↗

Optimal weighting of data to detect climatic change - Application to the carbon dioxide problem

It is suggested that a weighting of surface temperature data, using information about the expected level of warming in different seasons and geographical regions and statistical information about the amount of natural variability in surface temperature, can improve the chances of early detection of carbon dioxide concentration-induced climatic warming. A preliminary analysis of the optimal weighting method presented suggests that it is 25 per cent more effective in revealing surface warming than the conventional method, in virtue of the fact that 25 per cent more data must conventionally be analyzed in order to arrive at a similar probability of detection. An approximate calculation suggests that the warming ought to have already been detected, if the only sources of significant surface temperature variability had time scales of less than one year.

Bell, T. L.↗

Optimization of a dry, mixed nuclear fuel storage array for nuclear criticality safety - 14339

A dry storage array of used nuclear fuel at the Idaho National Laboratory contains a mixture of more than twenty different types of research and test reactor fuels. Significant neutronic interaction occurs between fuel canisters within this large storage arrangement of 636 fuel storage canisters. Nuclear criticality safety is maintained primarily by moderation control and through control of neutron interaction and leakage provided by the credited geometry. Over the nearly forty years of operation the collected fuels are now arranged in a configuration that does not minimize the system neutron multiplication factor (k{sub eff}). This creates a concern since the entire remaining facility storage capacity cannot be utilized without exceeding the system minimum subcritical state (k{sub safe}) for ensuring nuclear criticality safety. This work determines a more optimal arrangement for the stored fuels with a goal to minimize the system k{sub eff}, but also with a minimum of potential fuel canister relocation movements. The ultimate goal is to establish a solution for this multiple-objective optimization problem by finding the Pareto Front for maximum k{sub eff} reduction versus the number of canister relocations. The process first required additional analysis of the array by Monte-Carlo neutron transport codes (specifically, MCNP) to gain a greater understanding of the interaction characteristics of the disparate fuel types. Some stored fuels are composed of primarily metallic and oxide components that provide very little inherent moderation, while other fuel types contain graphite or zirconium-hydride which can contribute a significant amount of moderation. These factors cause a complex relationship within a fuel arrangement with respect to thermal utilization and axial leakage probability. The new MCNP analysis was utilized to develop a simplified spreadsheet-based empirical model which simulates the array k{sub eff} result. This empirical model was benchmarked against additional MCNP calculations for various arrangements and then employed in the optimization analysis. A Tabu metaheuristic and stochastic approximation optimization was applied to the empirical model with the optimization function to minimize the array k{sub eff}. The optimization algorithm interrogated the empirical model to determine the optimal rearrangement for up to sixty canister movements. The Pareto Front was found, which shows that a limited number of canister relocation movements could allow the existing thirty-one empty array positions to be filled with common research reactor fuels while also yielding a reduction in the overall array k{sub eff} relative to the current arrangement. This will impart an improvement in the facility utilization while also offering an enhancement in the safety margin. The reduction in array reactivity has been confirmed by a final set of MCNP calculations with the proposed new arrangements. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of decentralized preprocessing systems for fast pyrolysis biorefineries with blended feedstocks in the southeastern United States

This study evaluated the economic feasibility of fast pyrolysis biorefineries fed with blended pine residues and switchgrass in the Southeastern U.S. with different supply chain design. Previous techno-economic analyses (TEA) have focused on either blended biomass or decentralized preprocessing without investigating the impacts of varied process parameters, technology options, and real-world biomass distribution. This study fills the literature gap by modeling scenarios for different biomass blending ratios, biorefinery and preprocessing site (so-called depot) capacities, and alternative preprocessing technologies. High-resolution, real-world geospatial data were analyzed using Geographic Information Systems to facilitate supply chain design and TEA. For a decentralized system, the minimum fuel selling price (MFSP) of biofuel was 3.92–4.33 per gallon gasoline equivalent (GGE), while the MFSP for the centralized biorefinery at the same capacities ranged between 3.75–4.02/GGE. Implementing a high moisture pelleting process depot rather than a conventional pelleting process lowered the MFSP by 0.03–0.17/GGE. Scenario analysis indicated decreased MFSP with increasing biorefinery capacities but not necessarily with increasing depot size. Medium-size depots (500 OMDT/day) achieved the lowest MFSP. Here, this analysis identified the optimal blending ratios for two preprocessing technologies at varied depot sizes. Counterintuitively, increasing the proportion of higher cost switchgrass reduced the MFSP for large biorefineries (>5000 ODMT/day), but increased the MFSP for small biorefineries (1000–2500 ODMT/day). Although the decentralized systems have a higher MFSP based on current analysis, it has other potential benefits such as mitigated supply chain risks and improved feedstock quality that are difficult to be quantified in this TEA.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Advances in statistical methods for cancer surveillance research: an age-period-cohort perspective

Background: Analysis of Lexis diagrams (population-based cancer incidence and mortality rates indexed by age group and calendar period) requires specialized statistical methods. However, existing methods have limitations that can now be overcome using new approaches. Methods: We assembled a “toolbox” of novel methods to identify trends and patterns by age group, calendar period, and birth cohort. We evaluated operating characteristics across 152 cancer incidence Lexis diagrams compiled from United States (US) Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program data for 21 leading cancers in men and women in four race and ethnicity groups (the “cancer incidence panel”). Results: Nonparametric singular values adaptive kernel filtration (SIFT) decreased the estimated root mean squared error by 90% across the cancer incidence panel. A novel method for semi-parametric age-period-cohort analysis (SAGE) provided optimally smoothed estimates of age-period-cohort (APC) estimable functions and stabilized estimates of lack-of-fit (LOF). SAGE identified statistically significant birth cohort effects across the entire cancer panel; LOF had little impact. As illustrated for colon cancer, newly developed methods for comparative age-period-cohort analysis can elucidate cancer heterogeneity that would otherwise be difficult or impossible to discern using standard methods. Conclusions: Cancer surveillance researchers can now identify fine-scale temporal signals with unprecedented accuracy and elucidate cancer heterogeneity with unprecedented specificity. Birth cohort effects are ubiquitous modulators of cancer incidence in the US. The novel methods described here can advance cancer surveillance research.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Applying optimization software libraries to engineering problems

Nonlinear programming, preliminary design problems, performance simulation problems trajectory optimization, flight computer optimization, and linear least squares problems are among the topics covered. The nonlinear programming applications encountered in a large aerospace company are a real challenge to those who provide mathematical software libraries and consultation services. Typical applications include preliminary design studies, data fitting and filtering, jet engine simulations, control system analysis, and trajectory optimization and optimal control. Problem sizes range from single-variable unconstrained minimization to constrained problems with highly nonlinear functions and hundreds of variables. Most of the applications can be posed as nonlinearly constrained minimization problems. Highly complex optimization problems with many variables were formulated in the early days of computing. At the time, many problems had to be reformulated or bypassed entirely, and solution methods often relied on problem-specific strategies. Problems with more than ten variables usually went unsolved.

Healy, M. J.↗

Department of Energy/IDEA: More best-practices research

This article continues the overview of the U.S. Department of Energy and IDEA collaboration by highlighting additional case studies that demonstrate innovative engineering approaches in district energy systems. It focuses on how campuses are improving efficiency, integrating advanced technologies, and reducing energy use and emissions through data-driven strategies. The University of Cincinnati is featured for its highly efficient chilled water system, using advanced algorithms and upgraded “smart chillers” to optimize performance, reduce energy consumption, and lower costs. Wake Forest University emphasizes a data-informed modernization process, using system optimization and targeted building improvements to significantly boost efficiency and reduce overall energy use. Arizona Western College showcases creative solutions to extreme cooling demands, including system redesign, smart controls, and thermal storage to improve reliability and cut peak energy costs. Overall, the article demonstrates that combining innovative engineering, real-time data analysis, and system optimization can significantly enhance performance, reduce emissions, and deliver cost savings in district energy systems.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Easy, Scalable Subsetting of GEDI Point Clouds

The GEDI Subsetter, a Python tool developed for NASA’s Multi-mission Algorithm and Analysis Platform (MAAP), optimizes the accessibility and visualization of GEDI point clouds by enabling users to efficiently subset data in a convenient, scalable manner. Complex science data often requires users to learn new software skills and handle many large files. Handling and cleaning large data sets is tedious and error-prone. These challenges significantly impede analysis. One of the goals of NASA's MAAP is to provide a platform that lowers the barrier to conducting research and analysis at scale. When a group of MAAP users wanted to conduct above-ground biomass estimation using GEDI data, we found that their existing workflow for leveraging GEDI data suffered from the barriers mentioned above. Furthermore, their workflow did not scale easily beyond a small number of granules. We found that existing tools related to GEDI data retrieval and subsetting were too limiting, so the GEDI Subsetter was written to support MAAP users’ needs. Being able to run many subsetting jobs simultaneously in the MAAP, and parallelizing the code itself, has led to significant speed improvements in obtaining relevant data, reducing subsetting time from hours to minutes. MAAP users can now more quickly and easily obtain only the data relevant to their research, by choosing which GEDI collection they want to work with (L1A, L2A, L2B, or L4A), and how they want to subset it, by specifying an area of interest, a temporal range, and relevant attributes. This has significantly reduced the feedback loop for users, allowing them to much more quickly subset GEDI data and begin their analysis. Although the GEDI Subsetter originally targeted users of the MAAP, it is generalized such that it can also be used outside of the MAAP and includes a command-line interface for convenience. Furthermore, with minor modifications, it should be possible to use it with non-GEDI data as the general pattern should be applicable to other sparse/track-based sensors.

Charles Daniels↗

Space Launch System and Missions to Near Rectilinear Halo Orbits

The first major evolution of NASA’s Space Launch System (SLS) will begin its flights starting in the mid-2020’s. This new configuration, called Block 1B, replaces the Interim Cryogenic Propulsion Stage with a larger Exploration Upper Stage (EUS). The additional capability provided by the new upper stage will allow SLS to send heavier payloads into deep space. One destination of interest to the SLS program is called a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO). This is a type of lunar orbit with multiple advantages for deep space exploration. These benefits include Earth/lunar access, low station-keeping requirements, and high communication potential with Earth. Therefore, it is a leading candidate for the proposed Lunar Orbital Platform-Gateway (LOP-G). This paper will provide a detailed assessment of the SLS Block 1B requirements and capabilities for sending payloads to an NRHO. Analysts at Marshall Space Flight Center are producing a multi-year mission availability scan for the SLS Block 1B configuration to a predefined NRHO orbit. The analysis produces an optimized trajectory for each day of the scan window. A maximized payload and minimized propellant requirement are determined for each day. All maneuvers from launch to the end of the Trans-Lunar-Injection (TLI) are being modeled as finite burns. Injections into an NRHO are being modeled as impulsive maneuvers. The payload element is arbitrary, but includes sufficient mass to represent a large habitat or propulsion module. The resulting parameters of payload capability, delta-v requirements, and launch windows length vary over the course of the scan. Many launch days in the scan are eliminated in post-processing as they violate mission constraints such as payload mass and propellant usage to insert into an NRHO. Based off previous one-year scan results for the SLS Block 1B Design Analysis Cycle 2 (DAC-2), it is expected that there will be one to three days per week where the payload is able to insert into an NRHO within SLS constraints objectives. This scan provides results for longer than one-year, allowing analysts to better understand the launch availability and energy requirements of SLS Block 1B over time. The in-space mission design and scans utilize Copernicus, an n-body trajectory optimization tool originally developed out of the University of Texas at Austin with further development at Johnson Space Center in Houston, TX. To seed the in-space trajectory, Copernicus uses a plugin to call a database of SLS ascent trajectories optimized in the Program to Simulate Optimized Trajectories II (POST2). The ascent trajectories are developed using a framework that parametrizes payload mass and LEO inclination, and targets a 100 nmi (nautical mile) altitude circular parking orbit. Though this analysis is specific to the SLS program, it will provide a summary of mission design benefits and constraints associated with generic NRHO access, and may be applied to other programs or concepts that will utilize this orbit.

Statham, T. L.↗

Analysis and Design of Rotors at Ultra-Low Reynolds Numbers

Design tools have been developed for ultra-low Reynolds number rotors, combining enhanced actuator-ring / blade-element theory with airfoil section data based on two-dimensional Navier-Stokes calculations. This performance prediction method is coupled with an optimizer for both design and analysis applications. Performance predictions from these tools have been compared with three-dimensional Navier Stokes analyses and experimental data for a 2.5 cm diameter rotor with chord Reynolds numbers below 10,000. Comparisons among the analyses and experimental data show reasonable agreement both in the global thrust and power required, but the spanwise distributions of these quantities exhibit significant deviations. The study also reveals that three-dimensional and rotational effects significantly change local airfoil section performance. The magnitude of this issue, unique to this operating regime, may limit the applicability of blade-element type methods for detailed rotor design at ultra-low Reynolds numbers, but these methods are still useful for evaluating concept feasibility and rapidly generating initial designs for further analysis and optimization using more advanced tools.

Kunz, Peter J.↗

Multi-Timescale Optimal Operation Framework for Integrated Economic and Reliability Analysis of Hybrid Power Plants

This paper introduces a hierarchical modeling framework for hybrid power plants (HPP) to facilitate the operation of HPP in power systems similar to conventional generators (Congens) in the integrated multi-timescale optimal operation framework. To consider the uncertainties of HPP renewable power in the day-ahead scheduling, distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is used. To ensure that the state-of-charge (SOC) of energy storage systems in HPPs aligns closely with the planned value for long-term reliability, real-time SOC management is incorporated. In addition, an adjustable real-time control is designed for the robust delivery of HPP real-time services. Case studies performed on a revised IEEE 39-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework for HPP operation. Simulation results highlight that the proposed framework not only can help operators schedule HPP similar to Congens in varying weather conditions but can also maintain the frequency reliability of the system.

frequency stability↗

On-Orbit Xenon Refueling Loading Times and Transient Analysis

The Power and Propulsion Element (PPE) of the Lunar Orbital Platform-Gateway will demonstrate the first on-orbit refueling of xenon propellant for a solar electric propulsion system. An analysis was performed in Microsoft Excel to determine what factors influence the overall refueling time of a single 2,000-kilogram capacity xenon propellant tank, as well as provide estimates for overall refueling duration. Due to the high heat of compression of xenon, the propellant tank could exceed its maximum allowable temperature during refueling if the xenon flow rate and temperature are unregulated. In order to prevent overheating, a logic based "bang-bang" operation was used for refueling, shutting off the mass feed when the tank reached a maximum temperature. Heat is removed from the tank via radiation to the surrounding spacecraft bus. The analysis shows that optimizing key parameters such as mass flow rate into the tank, residual propellant in the tank during the onset of refueling, and tank diameter significantly reduces the overall refueling duration. Optimization is not straightforward, however, as the loading time does not trend monotonically with the parameters. Overall, the most significant impact on loading duration comes from altering the residual propellant in the tank. Increasing the mass of residual propellant from 2 percent to 20 percent reduces the overall refueling duration by 56 percent. Future work based on this analysis includes creation of a SINDA/FLUINT model and building a ground-based xenon refueling system emulator.

Xenon↗

Cogging torque minimization in transverse flux machines

This study presents the design considerations in cogging torque minimization in two types of transverse flux machines. The machines have a double stator-single rotor configuration with flux concentrating ferrite magnets. One of the machines has pole windings across each leg of an E-Core stator. Another machine has quasi-U-shaped stator cores and a ring winding. The flux in the stator back iron is transverse in both machines. Different methods of cogging torque minimization are investigated. Key methods of cogging torque minimization are identified and used as design variables for optimization using a design of experiments (DOE) based on the Taguchi method. A multi-level DOE is proposed as an optimization method to reach an optimum solution with minimum simulations. The case study is analyzed in a two level DOE optimization. Finite element analysis is used to study the different effects. Two prototypes are fabricated for validating the FEA results.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Nondimensional forms for singular perturbation analyses of aircraft energy climbs

This paper proposes a systematic approach for identifying the perturbation parameter in singular perturbation analysis of aircraft optimal guidance, and in particular considers a family of problems related to aircraft energy climbs. The approach, which is based on a nondimensionalization of the equations of motion, is used to evaluatae the appropriateness of forced singular perturbation formulations used in the past for transport and fighter aircraft, and to assess the applicability of energy state approximations and singular perturbation analysis for airbreathing transatmospheric vehicles with hypersonic cruise and orbital capabilities.

Calise, A. J.↗

Structural shape optimization in multidisciplinary system synthesis

Structural shape optimization couples with other discipline optimization in the design of complex engineering systems. For instance, the wing structural weight and elastic deformations couple to aerodynamic loads and aircraft performance through drag. This coupling makes structural shape optimization a subtask in the overall vehicle synthesis. Decomposition methods for optimization and sensitivity analysis allow the specialized disciplinary methods to be used while the disciplines are temporarily decoupled, after which the interdisciplinary couplings are restored at the system level. Application of decomposition methods to structures-aerodynamics coupling in aircraft is outlined and illustrated with a numerical example of a transport aircraft. It is concluded that these methods may integrate structural and aerodynamic shape optimizations with the unified objective of the maximum aircraft performance.

Sobieszczanski-Sobieski, Jaroslaw↗