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Study of photon correlation techniques for processing of laser velocimeter signals

The objective was to provide the theory and a system design for a new type of photon counting processor for low level dual scatter laser velocimeter (LV) signals which would be capable of both the first order measurements of mean flow and turbulence intensity and also the second order time statistics: cross correlation auto correlation, and related spectra. A general Poisson process model for low level LV signals and noise which is valid from the photon-resolved regime all the way to the limiting case of nonstationary Gaussian noise was used. Computer simulation algorithms and higher order statistical moment analysis of Poisson processes were derived and applied to the analysis of photon correlation techniques. A system design using a unique dual correlate and subtract frequency discriminator technique is postulated and analyzed. Expectation analysis indicates that the objective measurements are feasible.

Mayo, W. T., Jr.↗

A TRMM-Calibrated Infrared Rainfall Algorithm Over Brazil

An improved version of the Convective/Stratiform Technique (CST) and its application over Brazil are presented. Keeping the major components of traditional CST, we have modified the scheme for classing convective and stratiform rainfall and tested various schemes to eliminate non-raining cirrus clouds. The parameters of the technique are calibrated using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) multi-sensor observations, including TMI, PR and Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS). This technique takes advantage of the high temporal sampling rate of geosynchronous infrared channel and the better instantaneous rain observation of TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) and PR. Moreover, sparse TMI rain estimates are used to dynamically calibrate the parameters of the technique to improve its performance. The technique is applied to make rainfall estimates on various time scales and to study rainfall statistics such as the distributions of rain intensity and storm duration over a four-month period beginning January 1999. The study period coincides with the TRMM/Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere experiment in Amazonia (LBA) ground validation experiment, and observations from the LBA radar are used to validate the technique. Results show the mean diurnal cycle of precipitation over the LBA area, and are compared to radar data from the Tropical Oceans and Global Atmosphere (TOGA) radar. When the larger geographic region is considered, the analysis of the mean hourly estimates revealed the pronounced effects of rivers, topography and local circulations on the rainfall.

Negri, Andrew J.↗

Uncertainty Estimates of Psychoacoustic Thresholds Obtained from Group Tests

Adaptive psychoacoustic test methods, in which the next signal level depends on the response to the previous signal, are the most efficient for determining psychoacoustic thresholds of individual subjects. In many tests conducted in the NASA psychoacoustic labs, the goal is to determine thresholds representative of the general population. To do this economically, non-adaptive testing methods are used in which three or four subjects are tested at the same time with predetermined signal levels. This approach requires us to identify techniques for assessing the uncertainty in resulting group-average psychoacoustic thresholds. In this presentation we examine the Delta Method of frequentist statistics, the Generalized Linear Model (GLM), the Nonparametric Bootstrap, a frequentist method, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Posterior Estimation and a Bayesian approach. Each technique is exercised on a manufactured, theoretical dataset and then on datasets from two psychoacoustics facilities at NASA. The Delta Method is the simplest to implement and accurate for the cases studied. The GLM is found to be the least robust, and the Bootstrap takes the longest to calculate. The Bayesian Posterior Estimate is the most versatile technique examined because it allows the inclusion of prior information.

Rathsam, Jonathan↗

A new method to reduce the statistical and systematic uncertainty of chance coincidence backgrounds measured with waveform digitizers

We present a new method for measuring chance-coincidence backgrounds during the collection of coincidence data. The method relies on acquiring data with near-zero dead time, which is now realistic due to the increasing deployment of flash electronic-digitizer (waveform digitizer) techniques. An experiment designed to use this new method is capable of acquiring more coincidence data, and a much reduced statistical fluctuation of the measured background. A statistical analysis is presented, and us ed to derive a figure of merit for the new method. Factors of four improvement over other analyses are realistic. The technique is illustrated with preliminary data taken as part of a program to make new measurements of the prompt fission neutron spectra at Los Alamo s Neutron Science Center. In conclusion, it is expected that the these measurements will occur in a regime where the maximum figure of merit will be exploited

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Comparison of ADVANTG Simulations to Simple Shielding Measurements - Paper 36

Monte Carlo (MC) radiation transport simulations, like those performed using Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP), can be highly accurate but require time to reduce the statistical uncertainties in the calculated detector response(s). Many different 'variance reduction' techniques devised over the years increase the efficiency of MC calculations, but these methods can be more art than science. Many of these methods are problem specific or require careful tuning of parameters for good performance. One of the best variance reduction methods, in terms of both reliable performance increases and ease of use, is the use of weight windows. Weight windows are derived from an importance map in space and energy that allows the transport code to focus more simulation time on particles that have a higher likelihood of being important to the final detector response. Less time is spent simulating particles that have little chance of making a contribution to the detector response. MCNP already includes the abilities to generate and use weight windows. Unfortunately, generating weight windows can take a very long time, perhaps longer than the original problem. Oak Ridge National Laboratory has led the development of hybrid methods using a discrete ordinates adjoint calculation to quickly develop an importance map (weight windows) for use in a Monte Carlo code. The Consistent Adjoint Driven Importance Sampling (CADIS) method uses an adjoint calculation to develop both an importance map and a biased source distribution that work together. This method is reasonably automatic, is easy to use, and has been implemented in the Automated Variance reduction Generator (ADVANTG) package that works with MCNP5. ADVANTG reads an MCNP input file and a small amount of extra user information and then runs an adjoint deterministic calculation using Denovo. The importance map and biased source distribution derived from the CADIS method can then be incorporated back into the original MCNP input file to enhance the figure-of-merit (FOM) of the calculation. The FOM is a measure of the efficiency of the calculation using the amount of run time and corresponding level of statistical uncertainty in the detector result. ADVANTG-enhanced MCNP input files have been shown to increase the FOM of many types of problems, obtaining the same level of statistical uncertainty in a shorter time compared to standard MCNP. ADVANTG can also generate variance reduction parameters (importance map and biased source) using the Forward-Weighted CADIS (FW-CADIS) method for optimizing mesh tallies. The CADIS method creates variance reduction parameters that optimize a tally's total quantity (flux, dose rate, interaction rate, etc.) and will not generally increase performance for all parts of a segmented tally. To optimize a segmented tally, the FW-CADIS method uses two discrete ordinates calculations to make variance reduction parameters that help compute a segmented tally with uniform relative uncertainties in each bin. This report will demonstrate that using ADVANTG for neutron and photon radiation shielding problems will (1) preserve the standard MCNP results and (2) obtain those results either with less statistical uncertainty or in shorter times than the standard MCNP calculation. The four demonstration problems in this report are based on simple neutron or photon transmission measurements through different materials. All of the problems here used the CADIS method and still saw improvement across the flux tallies segmented by particle energy. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Evaluation of the Applicability of Solar and Lamp Radiometric Calibrations of a Precision Sun Photometer Operating Between 300 and 1025 nm

Over a period of 3 year a precision Sun photometer (SPM) operating between 300 and 1025 nm was calibrated four times at three different high-mountain sites in Switzerland, Germany, and the United States by means of the Langley-plot technique. We found that for atmospheric window wavelengths the total error (2 sigma-statistical plus systematic errors) of the calibration constants V(sub 0)(lambda), the SPM voltage in the absence of any attenuating atmosphere, can be kept below 1.60% in the UV-A and blue, 0.9% in the mid-visible, and 0.6% in the near-infra red spectral region. For SPM channels within strong water-vapor or ozone absorption bands a modified Langley-plot technique was used to determine V(sub 0)(lambda) with a lower accuracy. Within the same period of time, we calibrated the SPM five times using irradiance standard lamps in the optical labs of the Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos and World Radiation Center, Switzerland, and of the Remote Sensing Group of the Optical Sciences Center, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona. The lab calibration method requires knowledge of the extraterrestrial spectral irradiance. When we refer the standard lamp results to the World Radiation Center extraterrestrial solar irradiance spectrum, they agree with the Langley results within 2% at 6 or 13 SPM wavelengths. The largest disagreement (4.4%) is found for the channel centered at 610 nm. The results of these intercomparisons change significantly when the lamp results are referred to two different extraterrestrial solar irradiance spectra that have become recently available.

Schmid, Beat↗

Linear systematics mitigation in galaxy clustering in the Dark Energy Survey Year 1 Data

ABSTRACT We implement a linear model for mitigating the effect of observing conditions and other sources of contamination in galaxy clustering analyses. Our treatment improves upon the fiducial systematics treatment of the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 1 (Y1) cosmology analysis in four crucial ways. Specifically, our treatment (1) does not require decisions as to which observable systematics are significant and which are not, allowing for the possibility of multiple maps adding coherently to give rise to significant bias even if no single map leads to a significant bias by itself, (2) characterizes both the statistical and systematic uncertainty in our mitigation procedure, allowing us to propagate said uncertainties into the reported cosmological constraints, (3) explicitly exploits the full spatial structure of the galaxy density field to differentiate between cosmology-sourced and systematics-sourced fluctuations within the galaxy density field, and (4) is fully automated, and can therefore be trivially applied to any data set. The updated correlation function for the DES Y1 redMaGiC catalogue minimally impacts the cosmological posteriors from that analysis. Encouragingly, our analysis does improve the goodness-of-fit statistic of the DES Y1 3 × 2pt data set (Δχ2 = −6.5 with no additional parameters). This improvement is due in nearly equal parts to both the change in the correlation function and the added statistical and systematic uncertainties associated with our method. We expect the difference in mitigation techniques to become more important in future work as the size of cosmological data sets grows.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Statistical Homogenization of Elastic and Fracture Properties of a Sample Selective Laser Melting Material

Selective laser melting (SLM) is an additive manufacturing technique commonly used in the rapid prototyping of components. The complexity of the SLM microstructure poses a unique challenge to deriving effective mechanical properties at different length scales. Representative volume elements (RVEs) are often used to homogenize the material properties of composites. Instead of RVEs, we use statistical volume elements (SVEs) to homogenize the elastic and fracture properties of the material. This relates the inherent variation of a material’s microstructure to the variation in its mechanical properties at different observation scales. The convergence to the RVE limit is examined from two perspectives: the stability of the mean value as the SVE size increases for the mean-based approach, and the tendency of the normalized variation in homogenized properties to zero as the SVE size increases for the variation-based approach. Fracture properties tend to make the RVE limit slower than do elastic properties from both perspectives. There are also differences between vertical (normal to printing plane) and horizontal (in-plane) properties. While the elastic properties tend to make the RVE limit faster for the horizontal direction, i.e., having a smaller variation and more stable mean value, the fracture properties exhibit the opposite effect. We attributed these differences to the geometry of the melt pools.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Flow direction determination of lava flows.

The flow direction technique, previously applied to ash-flow sheets, can be used to determine direction of movement and locate eruptive centers for lava flows. The method provides statistically stronger and more consistent flow direction data for lava than ash-flow tuff. The accuracy and reliability of the technique was established on the porphyritic basaltic andesite of Mount Taylor, New Mexico, which erupted from a known center, the Mount Taylor Amphitheater. The technique was then applied to volcanic units with unknown sources: the John Kerr Peak Quartz Latite and mid-Tertiary andesite flows in the Mogollon Mountains, both in southwestern New Mexico. The flow direction technique indicated flow patterns and suggested source areas for each rock unit. In the Mogollon Mountains flow direction measurements were supported by independent directional criteria such as dips of cross beds, stratigraphic thickening, facies changes, and megascopic textures.-

Smith, E. I.↗

Electron microscopy analysis of high burnup commercial fuel

Modern electron microscopy analysis can provide detailed insight into the microstructure and chemistry of high burnup UO{sub 2} fuel. This more complete understanding of fuel evolution and performance in reactor can provide critical insight necessary to validate fuel performance models and optimize reactor operations. Preliminary results from the investigation of a polished cross-section of high burnup UO{sub 2} fuel (seven cycles) from the H.B. Robinson pressurized water reactor will be discussed. The analysis focuses on scanning electron microscopy (SEM) of the complete cross-section, while scanning transmission electron microscopy (S/TEM) was performed on targeted features identified by SEM where specimens were fabricated by traditional focused ion beam lift-out techniques. Analysis of the complete cross-section allowed for investigation of the microstructural variations from centerline to fuel/clad interface, pellet/pellet interface, and cladding. Secondary electron imaging and backscatter electron imaging was performed to identify variations in the distribution of fission product secondary phases and bubbles/voids. The analysis of the pellet/pellet interface is a unique feature of this sample where initial analysis shows segregation of fission product phases at the pellet/pellet interface and also indicates an interface microstructure lacking of bubbles and voids. X-ray spectrum imaging was performed by both SEM and STEM techniques to identify the composition of the secondary phases present in the fuel. Multivariate statistical analysis (MVSA) of the X-ray spectrum images has been applied to improve the sensitivity of the analysis and highlight minor variations in the fuel chemistry and secondary phases comprised of fission product as well as the distribution of sub-surface Xe gas bubbles in the high burnup structure. The results presented demonstrate the level of microstructural understanding that is attainable with a combination of SEM techniques along with S/TEM techniques.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Utilization of ERTS-1 for appraising changes in continental migratory bird habitat

The author has identified the following significant results. Information on numbers, distribution, and quality of wetlands in the breeding range of migratory waterfowl is important for the management of this wildlife resource. Using computer processing of data gathered by the ERTS-1 multispectral scanner, techniques for obtaining indices of annual waterfowl recruitment, and habitat quality are examined. As a primary task, thematic maps and statistics relating to open surface water were produced. Discrimination of water was based upon water's low apparent radiance in a single, near-infrared waveband. An advanced technique using multispectral information for discerning open water at a level of detail finer than the virtual resolution of the data was also successfully tested. In another related task, vegetation indicators were used for detecting conditions of latent or occluded water and upland habitat characteristics.

Gilmer, D. S.↗

Identification and Quantification of Carbon Phases in Conversion Fuel for the Transient Reactor Test Facility

As part of an overall effort to convert US research reactors to low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel, a LEU conversion fuel is being designed for the Transient Reactor Test Facility (TREAT) at the Idaho National Laboratory. TREAT fuel compacts are comprised of UO{sub 2} fuel particles in a graphitic matrix material. In order to refine heat transfer modeling, as well as determine other physical and nuclear characteristics of the fuel, the amount and type of graphite and non-graphite phases within the fuel matrix must be known. In this study, we performed a series of complementary analyses, designed to allow detailed characterization of the graphite and phenolic resin based fuel matrix. Methods included Scanning Electron Microscopy, Raman spectroscopy, and X-ray Diffraction. Our results indicate that no single characterization technique will yield all of the desired information; however, through the use of statistical and empirical data analysis, such as curve fitting, partial least squares regression, volume extrapolation and spectra peak ratios, a degree of certainty for the quantity of each phase can potentially be obtained. Although no one type of analysis has provided a complete determination of the quantities and identities of all carbon phases present in the fuel matrix, additional information has been gathered and is being used to refine future analysis methods. From the three types of quantification performed, results have been within 1% (92.8%, 93.02% and 93.6% for BSE image analysis, XRD and Raman spectroscopy, respectively). More work remains to identify any trace crystalline carbonaceous phases that may be present, quantify any traces that are identified, and develop and use further complementary bulk phase quantification techniques. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Spectrum formation in supernovae - Numerical techniques

The study combines several novel techniques for spectrum simulation in the Eddington computer program which solves the comoving frame equation of transfer coupled with the statistical and radiative equilibrium equations. One of these is a generalization of the accelerated lambda iteration (ALI) scheme to include an approximate frequency-derivative operator. This greatly enhances the convergence rate of ALI in optically thick, high-velocity shear flows. Another is a partial linearization technique which is capable of efficiently solving a very large number of rate equations on a moderately sized computer. An expansion opacity and emissivity approximation is derived which makes it possible to determine the effect on the transfer and statistical equilibrium of a very large number of lines not explicitly represented in the frequency grid and additionally to treat line-blanketing from species not explicitly included in the rate equations. The utility of these techniques is illustrated with models of two supernovae.

Eastman, Ronald G.↗

Integrating Formal Methods and Testing 2002

Traditionally, qualitative program verification methodologies and program testing are studied in separate research communities. None of them alone is powerful and practical enough to provide sufficient confidence in ultra-high reliability assessment when used exclusively. Significant advances can be made by accounting not only tho formal verification and program testing. but also the impact of many other standard V&V techniques, in a unified software reliability assessment framework. The first year of this research resulted in the statistical framework that, given the assumptions on the success of the qualitative V&V and QA procedures, significantly reduces the amount of testing needed to confidently assess reliability at so-called high and ultra-high levels (10-4 or higher). The coming years shall address the methodologies to realistically estimate the impacts of various V&V techniques to system reliability and include the impact of operational risk to reliability assessment. Combine formal correctness verification, process and product metrics, and other standard qualitative software assurance methods with statistical testing with the aim of gaining higher confidence in software reliability assessment for high-assurance applications. B) Quantify the impact of these methods on software reliability. C) Demonstrate that accounting for the effectiveness of these methods reduces the number of tests needed to attain certain confidence level. D) Quantify and justify the reliability estimate for systems developed using various methods.

Cukic, Bojan↗

Turbulent statistics in the vicinity of an SST front: A north wind case, FASINEX February 16, 1986

The technique of boxcar variances and covariances is used to examine NCAR Electra data from FASINEX (Frontal Air-Sea Interaction EXperiment). This technique was developed to examine changes in turbulent fluxes near a sea surface temperature (SST) front. The results demonstrate the influence of the SST front on the MABL (Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer). Data shown are for February 16, 1986, when the winds blew from over cold water to warm. The front directly produced horizontal variability in the turbulence. The front also induced a secondary circulation which further modified the turbulence.

Stage, Steven A.↗