Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Model fitting”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,459 records · Page 81

Exploiting OMI NO 2 satellite observations to infer fossil-fuel CO 2 emissions from U.S. megacities

Fossil-fuel CO 2 emissions and their trends in eight U.S. megacities during 2006–2017 are inferred by combining satellite-derived NO X emissions with bottom-up city-specific NO X -to-CO 2 emission ratios. A statistical model is fit to a collection NO 2 plumes observed from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI), and is used to calculate top-down NO X emissions. Decreases in OMI-derived NO X emissions are observed across the eight cities from 2006 to 2017 (-17% in Miami to -58% in Los Angeles), and are generally consistent with long-term trends of bottom-up inventories (-25% in Miami to -49% in Los Angeles), but there are some interannual discrepancies. City-specific NO X -to-CO 2 emission ratios, used to calculate inferred CO 2 , are estimated through annual bottom-up inventories of NO X and CO 2 emissions disaggregated to 1 × 1 km 2 resolution. Over the study period, NO X -to-CO 2 emission ratios have decreased by ~40% nationwide (-24% to -51% for our studied cities), which is attributed to a faster reduction in NO X when compared to CO 2 due to policy regulations and fuel type shifts. Combining top-down NO X emissions and bottom-up NO X -to-CO 2 emission ratios, annual fossil-fuel CO 2 emissions are derived. Inferred OMI-based top-down CO 2 emissions trends vary between +7% in Dallas to -31% in Phoenix. For 2017, we report annual fossil-fuel CO 2 emissions to be: Los Angeles 113 ± 49 Tg/yr; New York City 144 ± 62 Tg/yr; and Chicago 55 ± 24 Tg/yr. A study in the Los Angeles area, using independent methods, reported a 2013–2016 average CO 2 emissions rate of 104 Tg/yr and 120 Tg/yr, which suggests that the CO 2 emissions from our method are in good agreement with other studies' top-down estimates. Lastly, we anticipate future remote sensing instruments – with better spatial and temporal resolution – will better constrain the NO X -to-CO 2 ratio and reduce the uncertainty in our method.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Parameter-free prediction of phase transition in PbTiO 3 through combination of quantum mechanics and statistical mechanics

Thermodynamics of ferroelectric materials and their ferroelectric to paraelectric (FE-PE) transitions is commonly described by the phenomenological Landau theory and more recently by effective Hamiltonian and various potentials, all with model parameters fitted to experimental or theoretical data. Here, in this work, we show that the zentropy theory, which considers the total entropy of a system as a weighted sum of entropies of configurations that the system may experience and the statistical entropy among the configurations, can predict the FE-PE transition without fitting parameters. For PbTiO 3 , the configurations are identified as the FE configurations with 90- or 180° domain walls in addition to the ground state FE configuration without domain wall. With the domain wall energies predicted from first-principles based on density functional theory in the literature as the only inputs, the FE-PE transition for PbTiO 3 is predicted showing remarkable agreement with experiments, unveiling the microscopic fundamentals of the transition.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Lignin-Derived Magnetic Activated Carbons for Effective Methylene Blue Removal

Large-scale environmental remediation of polluted water requires an effective and recyclable adsorbent produced from an abundant, low-cost, and renewable feedstock via a simple processing procedure. In this work, we demonstrate that lignin-derived magnetic activated carbons (mACs) uniquely satisfy these five criteria for (i) high-performance adsorption, (ii) high regeneration efficiency, (iii) feedstock economic and environmental viability, (iv) single-step processing and (v) large-scale production. The mACs are synthesized via an efficient co-carbonization and activation with simultaneous impregnation of ferric sulfate. Here, the Langmuir model closely fits the adsorption of methylene blue (MB) by mACs within the temperature range of 298–323 K, where the adsorption capacity increases as temperature increases. This capacity increased from 55.0 mg g -1 to 220.2 mg g -1 with the presence of magnetic nanoparticles. In addition, the magnetite nanoparticles on the ACs surface significantly improve its recycling ability with the removal percentage above 95% after four cycles for 5:1 mAC.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Downstream Separation of Formic Acid with Anion-Exchange Resin from Electrocatalytic Carbon Dioxide (CO 2 ) Conversion: Adsorption, Kinetics, and Equilibrium Modeling

The electrocatalytic carbon dioxide reduction reaction (CO 2 RR) that produces liquid formic acid (FA) is one potential route to minimize the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere by utilizing CO 2 as a feedstock. However, one of the main disadvantages of this route is the high energy demand required for purification through conventional distillation. This method of purification has been shown to result in a large carbon footprint in life-cycle analysis (LCA). Therefore, finding an alternative purification technique that can integrate with an electrochemical CO 2 RR process with the potential to lower the carbon footprint would be of great interest. Under the experimental conditions of the CO 2 RR, FA remains in its basic form as the formate anion in the catholyte. Anion exchange resins with their basic properties can separate the formate anion from the catholyte mixture as an alternative to energy intensive distillation. In this work, three anion exchange resins with increasing basicity order: Amberlite IRA-96 < Amberlite IRA-910 < Ambersep 900 are tested to separate FA in the presence of aqueous solution of potassium bicarbonate catholyte with varying levels of resin and FA. Kinetics and equilibrium studies data for the FA adsorption are interpreted using several kinetics and isotherm models. The kinetics data fit well with a pseudo-first-order model at high initial FA concentrations and a pseudo-second-order model at low initial FA concentrations. The experimental data can be best explained with the Freundlich isotherm model. The fitted results show that strongly basic Ambersep 900 is more effective at separating FA, with a maximum adsorption capacity of 336.7 mg/g compared to Amberlite IRA-96 (275.2 mg/g) and Amberlite IRA-910 (209.2 mg/g) in neutral water. However, weakly basic Amberlite IRA-96 (110.8 mg/g) can separate FA more efficiently from potassium bicarbonate catholyte than Amberlite IRA-910 (99.9 mg/g) and Ambersep 900 (40.0 mg/g). As a result, competitive adsorption occurs in the presence of potassium bicarbonate catholyte, but the formic acid adsorption capacity is still sufficient for adequate separation.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Kinetics of Dechlorination of Molten Chloride Salt Using Protonated Ultrastable Y Zeolite

Investigation of the kinetics of the ion exchange between protonated ultrastable Y-type (USHY) and surrogate electrorefiner (ER) waste salt was performed to optimize the dechlorination process. The kinetics of the ion exchange reaction was investigated by measuring the amount of unreacted Cl. In theory, the kinetics of the ion exchange reaction in porous media will be limited by diffusion- or reaction-controlled mechanisms. Therefore, second order kinetics and diffusion-limited rate models have been derived and compared to experimental data to elucidate the rate-limiting step and develop a predictive model for the apparent rate of reaction. Ion exchange experiments were performed with varying zeolite particle sizes (up to 600 μm) at 625 °C. The experiments were performed with both unfluidized and continuously fluidized zeolite particles in static and rotating tube furnaces. Finally, it was concluded that the process is limited by reaction kinetics inside the zeolite crystals, and a second order kinetic model best fits the experimental data. Given that the zeolite is not stable at higher temperatures, further increase in the extent of dechlorination for a given batch reaction time requires an increase of the zeolite-to-salt ratio, which has the undesirable effect of increasing the volume of generated waste per amount of salt.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Reversible Reactions, Mesh Size, and Segmental Dynamics Control Penetrant Diffusion in Ethylene Vitrimers

The diffusion of two aromatic dyes with nearly identical sizes was measured in ethylene vitrimers with precise linker lengths and borate ester cross-links using fluorescence recovery after photobleaching (FRAP). One dye possessed a reactive hydroxyl group, while the second was inert. The reaction of the hydroxyl group with the network is slow relative to the hopping times of the dye, resulting in a large slowdown by a factor of 50 for a reactive probe molecule. A kinetic model was fit to the fluorescence intensity data to determine rate constants for the reversible reaction of the dye from the network, which confirms the role of slow reaction kinetics. A second network cross-linker was also investigated with a substituted boronic ester showing ∼10,000 times faster exchange kinetics. In this system, the two dyes show the same diffusion coefficient, as the reaction is no longer the rate-limiting step. The role of dense meshes on small and large dyes is also discussed in the context of the existing theories. Finally, these results highlight the potential of dynamic networks to control penetrant transport through synergistic effects of the mesh size, dynamic bond kinetics, and penetrant–network interactions.

confinement↗

In Situ X-ray Scattering Reveals Coarsening Rates of Superlattices Self-Assembled from Electrostatically Stabilized Metal Nanocrystals Depend Nonmonotonically on Driving Force

Self-assembly of colloidal nanocrystals (NCs) into superlattices (SLs) is an appealing strategy to design hierarchically organized materials with promising functionalities. Mechanistic studies are still needed to uncover the design principles for SL self-assembly, but such studies have been difficult to perform due to the fast time and short length scales of NC systems. To address this challenge, we developed an apparatus to directly measure the evolving phases in situ and in real time of an electrostatically stabilized Au NC solution before, during, and after it is quenched to form SLs using small-angle X-ray scattering. By developing a quantitative model, we fit the time-dependent scattering patterns to obtain the phase diagram of the system and the kinetics of the colloidal and SL phases as a function of varying quench conditions. The extracted phase diagram is consistent with particles whose interactions are short in range relative to their diameter. We find the degree of SL order is primarily determined by fast (subsecond) initial nucleation and growth kinetics, while coarsening at later times depends nonmonotonically on the driving force for self-assembly. We validate these results by direct comparison with simulations and use them to suggest dynamic design principles to optimize the crystallinity within a finite time window. The combination of this measurement methodology, quantitative analysis, and simulation should be generalizable to elucidate and better control the microscopic self-assembly pathways of a wide range of bottom-up assembled systems and architectures.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Statistical Inference Over Persistent Homology Predicts Fluid Flow in Porous Media

Here, we statistically infer fluid flow and transport properties of porous materials based on their geometry and connectivity, without the need for detailed We summarize structure by persistent homology and then determines the similarity of structures using image analysis and statistics. Longer term, this may enable quick and automated categorization of rocks into known archetypes. We first compute persistent homology of binarized 3D images of material subvolume samples. The persistence parameter is the signed Euclidean distance from inferred material interfaces, which captures the distribution of sizes of pores and grains. Each persistence diagram is converted into an image vector. Here, we infer structural similarity by calculating image similarity. For each image vector, we compute principal components to extract features. We fit statistical models to features estimates material permeability, tortuosity, and anisotropy. We develop a Structural SIMilarity index to determine statistical representative elementary volumes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ecosystem Water‐Saving Timescale Varies Spatially With Typical Drydown Length

Abstract Stomatal optimization theory is a commonly used framework for modeling how plants regulate transpiration in response to the environment. Most stomatal optimization models assume that plants instantaneously optimize a reward function such as carbon gain. However, plants are expected to optimize over longer timescales given the rapid environmental variability they encounter. There are currently no observational constraints on these timescales. Here, a new stomatal model is developed and is used to analyze the timescales over which stomatal closure is optimized. The proposed model assumes plants maximize carbon gain subject to the constraint that they cannot draw down soil moisture below a critical value. The reward is integrated over time, after being weighted by a discount factor that represents the timescale ( τ ) that a plant considers when optimizing stomatal conductance to save water. The model is simple enough to be analytically solvable, which allows the value of τ to be inferred from observations of stomatal behavior under known environmental conditions. The model is fitted to eddy covariance data in a range of ecosystems, finding the value of τ that best predicts the dynamics of evapotranspiration at each site. Across 82 sites, the climate metrics with the strongest correlation to τ are measures of the average number of dry days between rainfall events. Values of τ are similar in magnitude to the longest such dry period encountered in an average year. The results here shed light on which climate characteristics shape spatial variations in ecosystem‐level water use strategy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Insights Into Seismicity Associated With Flexibly Operating Enhanced Geothermal System From Real‐Time Distributed Acoustic Sensing

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) have the capacity to broaden the accessible resource pool for geothermal power generation. Traditionally viewed as a “baseload” resource, their flexible operation might also enable dispatchable load‐following generation and long‐term energy storage, aligning them with the evolving landscape of decarbonized electricity systems. However, increasing permeability and extracting energy during EGS operations can induce microseismic events; for many prior EGS efforts, some associated seismicity has been observed. While energetically beneficial, the flexibility of EGS operations prompts our inquiry into whether new types of operations will yield previously unseen seismicity patterns. We demonstrate the use of distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) with real‐time edge computing to monitor seismicity during a pilot test of a cyclically operated EGS facility at the Blue Mountain geothermal field. Our focus lies in uncovering seismicity insights from the real‐time microseismic catalog, particularly during load‐following dispatchability tests simulating flexible EGS operation. Here, we find that variations in pore pressure consistently correlate with seismicity, and that controlling pressure cycles during flexible operations appears to constrain microseismic activity during subsequent cycles. The spatio‐temporal evolution of microseismic clouds recorded during cyclic injection cycles fits diffusive models over our available observation period. Additionally, seismicity elevation lags behind pore pressure increases, likely due to pressure diffusion to the fracture system boundary. Through real‐time monitoring, we offer novel insights into seismicity associated with flexibly operating EGS. Our findings suggest that leveraging DAS and edge computing can inform EGS operations and help mitigate induced seismicity.

Chamarczuk, Michal [Rice Univ., Houston, TX (Unite↗

Disentangling top-down drivers of mortality underlying diel population dynamics of Prochlorococcus in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre

Photosynthesis fuels primary production at the base of marine food webs. Yet, in many surface ocean ecosystems, diel-driven primary production is tightly coupled to daily loss. This tight coupling raises the question: which top-down drivers predominate in maintaining persistently stable picocyanobacterial populations over longer time scales? Motivated by high-frequency surface water measurements taken in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre (NPSG), we developed multitrophic models to investigate bottom-up and top-down mechanisms underlying the balanced control of Prochlorococcus populations. Here, we find that incorporating photosynthetic growth with viral- and predator-induced mortality is sufficient to recapitulate daily oscillations of Prochlorococcus abundances with baseline community abundances. In doing so, we infer that grazers in this environment function as the predominant top-down factor despite high standing viral particle densities. The model-data fits also reveal the ecological relevance of light-dependent viral traits and non-canonical factors to cellular loss. Finally, we leverage sensitivity analyses to demonstrate how variation in life history traits across distinct oceanic contexts, including variation in viral adsorption and grazer clearance rates, can transform the quantitative and even qualitative importance of top-down controls in shaping Prochlorococcus population dynamics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impacts of glass composition, pH, and temperature on glass forward dissolution rate

Nuclear waste glasses dissolve at the forward dissolution rate (r f ) in very dilute aqueous solutions, which can isolate the impact of the glass composition from solution feedback and alteration product effects. While it has long been known that pH and temperature (T) strongly impact r f , the impacts of glass composition have remained uncertain. In this work, r f data from 19 nuclear waste glasses were used with the aim of identifying the effect of glass composition on r f . The r f values were modeled as: r f = k 0 10 –ηpH exp(-E a /RT), with k 0 , η, E a , and R, respectively, being the intrinsic rate constant, pH coefficient, apparent activation energy, and gas constant. However, no predictive correlation could be established between the individual model parameters (log[k 0 ], η, and E a ) and glass composition for the glasses considered in this study, an outcome that was attributed to the strong positive correlation between the log[$k_0$] and E a parameters. Therefore, a model was fitted directly to the combined r f from all 19 glasses. This approach showed that 90% of the variation in r f data could be accounted for solely by T and pH effects. Therefore, any composition effects must be relatively small. After normalizing for differences in pH and T, the only notable differences in r f between the glasses were found to correlate with variations in the fraction of glass forming tetrahedra contributed by tetrahedral boron, $f$([ 4 ]B), with an abrupt threshold at a high value of $f$([ 4 ]B) (~0.22), where higher r f are predicted with no discernable composition effects below the threshold.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Identifying the secondary electron cutoff in ultraviolet photoemission spectra for work function measurements of non-ideal surfaces

Abstract Absolute values of work functions can be determined in ultraviolet photoemission spectroscopy (UPS) by measuring the minimum kinetic energy of secondary electrons generated by a known photon energy. However, some samples can produce spectra that are difficult to interpret due to additional intensity below the true secondary electron cutoff. Disordered absorbates on elemental metals add small intensity below the onset for the transition metal surfaces studied, which can be attributed to energy losses after photoelectrons are generated. In contrast, spectra from WO 3−x films can produce multiple onsets with comparable intensity which do not fit this model. False onsets (in the context of work function measurements) can be minimized by optimizing experimental detection parameters including limiting analyzer acceptance angles and pass energy. True work functions can be identified by examining the onsets as the sample bias is varied.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Tunable electron heating induced giant magnetoresistance in the high mobility GaAs/AlGaAs 2D electron system

Electron-heating induced by a tunable, supplementary dc-current (I dc ) helps to vary the observed magnetoresistance in the high mobility GaAs/AlGaAs 2D electron system. The magnetoresistance at B = 0.3 T is shown to progressively change from positive to negative with increasing Idc, yielding negative giant-magnetoresistance at the lowest temperature and highest I dc . A two-term Drude model successfully fits the data at all Idc and T. The results indicate that carrier heating modifies a conductivity correction σ 1 , which undergoes sign reversal from positive to negative with increasing I dc , and this is responsible for the observed crossover from positive- to negative- magnetoresistance, respectively, at the highest B.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Planck 2013 results. XVII. Gravitational lensing by large-scale structure

On the arcminute angular scales probed by Planck , the cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies are gently perturbed by gravitational lensing. Here we present a detailed study of this effect, detecting lensing independently in the 100, 143, and 217 GHz frequency bands with an overall significance of greater than 25σ. We use the temperature-gradient correlations induced by lensing to reconstruct a (noisy) map of the CMB lensing potential, which provides an integrated measure of the mass distribution back to the CMB last-scattering surface. Our lensing potential map is significantly correlated with other tracers of mass, a fact which we demonstrate using several representative tracers of large-scale structure. We estimate the power spectrum of the lensing potential, finding generally good agreement with expectations from the best-fitting ΛCDM model for the Planck temperature power spectrum, showing that this measurement at z = 1100 correctly predicts the properties of the lower-redshift, later-time structures which source the lensing potential. Furthermore, when combined with the temperature power spectrum, our measurement provides degeneracy-breaking power for parameter constraints; it improves CMB-alone constraints on curvature by a factor of two and also partly breaks the degeneracy between the amplitude of the primordial perturbation power spectrum and the optical depth to reionization, allowing a measurement of the optical depth to reionization which is independent of large-scale polarization data. Discarding scale information, our measurement corresponds to a 4% constraint on the amplitude of the lensing potential power spectrum, or a 2% constraint on the root-mean-squared amplitude of matter fluctuations at z ~ 2.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Planck intermediate results: XLVII. Planck constraints on reionization history

In this paper, we investigate constraints on cosmic reionization extracted from the Planck cosmic microwave background (CMB) data. We combine the Planck CMB anisotropy data in temperature with the low-multipole polarization data to fit ΛCDM models with various parameterizations of the reionization history. We obtain a Thomson optical depth τ = 0.058 ± 0.012 for the commonly adopted instantaneous reionization model. This confirms, with data solely from CMB anisotropies, the low value suggested by combining Planck 2015 results with other data sets, and also reduces the uncertainties. We reconstruct the history of the ionization fraction using either a symmetric or an asymmetric model for the transition between the neutral and ionized phases. To determine better constraints on the duration of the reionization process, we also make use of measurements of the amplitude of the kinetic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect using additional information from the high-resolution Atacama Cosmology Telescope and South Pole Telescope experiments. The average redshift at which reionization occurs is found to lie between z = 7.8 and 8.8, depending on the model of reionization adopted. Using kSZ constraints and a redshift-symmetric reionization model, we find an upper limit to the width of the reionization period of Δz < 2.8. In all cases, we find that the Universe is ionized at less than the 10% level at redshifts above z ≃ 10. This suggests that an early onset of reionization is strongly disfavoured by the Planck data. Finally, we show that this result also reduces the tension between CMB-based analyses and constraints from other astrophysical sources.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗