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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,441 records · Page 80
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2018

Evaluation of Wind Power Forecasts from the Vermont Weather Analytics Center and Identification of Improvements

The goal of this analysis was to assess the wind power forecast accuracy of the Vermont Weather Analytics Center (VTWAC) forecast system and to identify potential improvements to the forecasts. Based on the analysis at Georgia Mountain, the following recommendations for improving forecast performance were made: 1. Resolve the significant negative forecast bias in February-March 2017 (50% underprediction on average) 2. Improve the ability of the forecast model to capture the strong diurnal cycle of wind power 3. Add ability for forecast model to assess internal wake loss, particularly at sites where strong diurnal shifts in wind direction are present. Data availability and quality limited the robustness of this forecast assessment. A more thorough analysis would be possible given a longer period of record for the data (at least one full year), detailed supervisory control and data acquisition data for each wind plant, and more detailed information on the forecast system input data and methodologies.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

New approaches for understanding the statistics of daily weather extremes in a changing climate. SARDESHMUKH_Final_Technical_Report_Extremes_DE-SC0006965

This project quantified the changes in the mean climate and climate variability over the last 140 years, with emphasis on the changes in the tails of the probability distributions of daily variations, i.e. changes in extreme weather statistics. We were interested in not just the mean shifts of the distributions under climate change but also changes in the variance and higher statistical moments such as skewness and kurtosis. The project focused on two important aspects of the probability density functions (pdfs) of daily anomalies and their estimations from observational records of limited length. The first is that the pdfs are not Gaussian but are distinctively skewed and heavy tailed. This has large implications for the probabilities of extreme values and for estimating those probabilities from limited records. It also motivated our second focus, to estimate the pdfs from the longest available global datasets based on instrumental observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Large-scale Meteorological Organization of Extreme Weather Events: Final Technical Report

Although the occurrence of regional extreme weather events (EWEs) such as cold air outbreaks, heat waves, droughts and floods are known to be related to planetary climate modes (PCMs) such as the El-Nino Southern Oscillation or North Atlantic Oscillation, intermediate meteorological patterns (IMPs) such as jet stream blocking, cyclones, and high pressure systems are required to connect PCMs to EWEs. Our project has revealed a physical pathway for the interplay among EWEs, IMPs and PCMs. Under support of this award, we have characterized the behavior of IMPs that cause winter cold air outbreaks, extreme floods and warm season dry spells in the US. This includes formulating meteorological “fingerprints” for easily identifying IMPs. The research performed includes a parallel analysis of how well modern climate models are able to simulate IMP behavior. We have also developed a novel approach for characterizing PCM structures and identifying EWE-LMP-PCM linkages. We discovered that dry spells occurring during spring and summer over the US are affected by changes in the North Pacific Ocean temperature. We further revealed the physical origin of a critical jet stream pattern occurring over the North Pacific Ocean that provides a “bridge” between the water cycles of East Asia and North America, respectively. We developed an advanced diagnostic technique (called piecewise tendency diagnosis or PTD) to understand the physical causes for the IMP formation and EWE-LMP-PCM linkages.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

Normalizing Radionuclide Concentration Exposure Rate and Dose Rate Data for the Effects of Radioactive Decay and Weathering Processes

This report describes the procedure that will be implemented to normalize radiological data, collected at various times, to one point in time. Raw radiological data is adjusted for the effects of radioactive decay and weathering processes. Normalizing the radiological data to one point in time enables data that has been collected at various times to be directly compared and utilized in radiological assessment, statistical analysis, and atmospheric dispersion models. This report fulfills a deliverable requirement for the U.S. Department of Energy’s, NA-84 Technology Integration Program for the FY17 project, SNL17-CM-635, Normalizing Radiological Data for Analysis and Integration into Models.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2018

Reliability, Resilience and the Oncoming Wave of Retiring Baseload Units, Volume I: The Critical Role of Thermal Units During Extreme Weather Events

This study examines the cold weather event now known as the Bomb Cyclone that blanketed much of the eastern half of the United States from Dec 27, 2017 through Jan 8, 2018. Analyses focus on six areas of organized markets administered by independent system operators in the US Eastern Interconnection and Texas. This report finds: (1) Combined, fossil and nuclear energy plants provided 89% of electricity during peak demand across all the ISOs; (2) Coal provided the most resilient form of generation in PJM; (3) The value of fuel-based power generation resilience in PJM during this event was estimated at $3.5 billion; (4) Natural gas price spikes, increased demand, and pipeline constraints led to significant fuel oil burn in the US Northeast; (5) Renewables imposed a resilience penalty on the system as output decreased as demand increased; (6) Underestimation of coal and nuclear retirements could give rise to reliability concerns and an inability to meet projected electricity demand.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

National Weather Service Radiosonde Evaluation Field Campaign Report

The purpose of the campaign was to perform a full evaluation of participating vendor’s radiosondes to qualify for potential use in the National Weather Service (NWS) upper air field operations. The NWS has specific requirements that vendors systems were evaluated against to determine if the vendor’s radiosonde performs within specifications. For this evaluation, the NWS was pursuing commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) ground/tracking systems in the 403 MHz frequency band over the previously used Telemetry Receiving System (TRS) and house-built software using the 1680 MHz frequency. The U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s Southern Great Plains (SGP) observatory served as the warm and dry test region. The radiosondes were assessed for precision of the radiosonde (unit under test versus itself) and accuracy of the radiosonde’s humidity measurements (unit under test versus a cryogenic frostpoint hygrometer [CFH]).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Background Data and Statistics on Low-Income Energy Use and Burden for the Weatherization Assistance Program: Update for Fiscal Year 2020

This report provides updated estimates of the energy consumptions, energy expenditures, and energy burdens of the population eligible to be served through the US Department of Energy (DOE) Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP) and by proxy, those clients actually served by the program. WAP continues to serve a population with an energy burden that is much greater than the rest of the county. The mean energy burden for the WAP-eligible population across the United States for FY 2020 is estimated to be 13.9% compared to 3.0% for households living above the 200% poverty threshold. The mean energy burden for households living below the 100% federal poverty line was estimated to be 30.9%. These energy burdens for the WAP-eligible population have remained steady at this high level over the last decade.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2018

Utility Management Practices for Addressing Extreme Weather: A Resilience Maturity Model

This report is one of numerous initiatives launched to support and facilitate energy sector preparedness and resilience to extreme weather at national, regional and local levels. The U.S. Department of Energy's vision is a U.S. energy system that is reliable and resilient in the face of all hazards. The U.S. Department of Energy is committed to ensuring the resiliency of the U.S. energy infrastructure and systems through innovating technology development and deployment, enabling policy frameworks, robust analytical modeling, and assessment capabilities to address energy issues of national and regional importance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Historic Significance and Current Condition Assessment of Building 06-CP-170, the Yucca Flat Weather Station, Area 6, Nevada National Security Site, Nye County, Nevada

This report was produced in partial fulfillment of the mitigation of adverse effects to Building 06-CP-170, the Yucca Flat Weather Station on the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), and is intended to comply with the 2021 Memorandum of Agreement DE-GM58-21NA25543 Between the U.S. Department of Energy and the Nevada State Historic Preservation Officer Regarding Demolition of Fourteen Buildings and Structures in Area 6 of the Nevada National Security Site, Nye County, Nevada (hereafter referred to as the MOA). This MOA was executed to resolve adverse effects from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) plan to demolish 14 architectural resources at the Control Point and in the vicinity in Area 6 of the NNSS. The management and operations contractor for the NNSS identified these 14 architectural resources as environmental hazards unsafe for human occupation due to deterioration and rodent infestation. Building 06-CP-170 is scheduled for demolition as part of this undertaking. Building 06-CP-170 was originally recorded in 2018 during a Section 106 cultural resources inventory for a proposed installation of a 138-kilovolt transmission line on the NNSS. The building was determined individually eligible by the DOE, in consultation with the Nevada State Historic Preservation Office, for inclusion in the National Register of Historic Places under the Secretary of the Interior’s Significance Criterion A because of its association with nuclear testing. Pursuant to Stipulation III.D.3 of the MOA, this report provides a summary of the historic significance of Building 06-CP-170 and a description of its current condition and accessory resources. In addition, an updated Architectural Resource Assessment (ARA) form with new information and photographs is included in the appendix in fulfillment of Stipulation III.D.2.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Framework for Incorporating Social Cost of Carbon in Weatherization

This document provides a framework for incorporating [avoided] social cost of carbon (SCC) when calculating cost effectiveness of energy measures under the U.S. Department of Energy Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP). The framework describes the relevant metrics, calculation methodology, and implementation approach that can be adopted by any energy audit software for use under the WAP.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Wind Resource Data for Southeast Asia Using a Hybrid Numerical Weather Prediction with Machine Learning Super Resolution Approach

In this work we develop and present a machine learning based downscaling approach using generative adversarial networks (GANs). GANs learn to distinguish the relationships between low-resolution and high-resolution simulations and generate accurate high-resolution output from low-resolution input (Stengel, Glaws, Hettinger, & King, 2020). Low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) simulations at 9-km spatial and 60-minute temporal resolution were executed over Southeast Asia to provide input to the GANs model. GANs for wind, temperature, and pressure were trained on coarsened WIND Toolkit data with a diverse sampling of terrain and meteorological conditions. After training, the NWP simulations over Southeast Asia were enhanced by 3x along each horizontal spatial dimension and 4x along the temporal dimension. This novel downscaling approach generated 15-year high-resolution wind, temperature, and pressure data from January 2007 through December 2021 at multiple hub heights over Southeast Asia at 3-km spatial and 15-minute temporal resolution with a 16x reduction in compute time over standard dynamical downscaling.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Psychrometric Analysis for New NuMI Evaporator Weather Station

Tritium (H-3) is a weakly radioactive isotope of hydrogen and is a byproduct of accelerator operations at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab). The Neutrinos at the Main Injector (NuMI) target produced tritiated condensate exhausted via the MI-65 building evaporators. Re-condensation of tritium evaporate was observed on the MI-65 rooftop, on nearby buildings, and on the surrounding grounds due to inefficiency of the existing evaporator system. A new evaporator system is being designed to eliminate re-condensation, and psychrometric data (temperature, humidity and dew point) plays a vital role in determining the location of a weather station to control the new evaporator system.

Alvarado-Anderson, Chase↗
DOE OSTI2023

LDRD-2022-00112: Machine Learning for Weather Forecasting

Given its location relative to the coast, seabreezes pass over the Savannah River Site (SRS) fairly often, usually overnight, with consequent effects on site meteorology. Similar to our previous work with fog, we have applied machine learning (ML) to the problem of forecasting seabreeze passage onsite, using as input i) meteorological observations and ii) weather model forecasts.The two ML techniques we applied both demonstrated skill, especially when compared to a simple forecast that uses the predicted land-sea temperature gradient as a predictor.

WERTH, DAVID W.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Validation of Weather Forecasting Products

Meteorological modeling plays a pivotal role in operational safety and emergency response at the Savannah River Site (SRS). This study focuses on verifying the Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) Version 4.3 through Mean Bias Error (MBE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) analyses of temperature, dew point, and wind speed over a decade. Using observed data from SRS, we assessed RAMS' accuracy, revealing seasonal biases and error trends. Results indicate RAMS' strengths in mild weather conditions but challenges during seasonal extremes and wind speed predictions due to measurement disparities. Future research aims to expand verification to other models and parameters, advocating for enhanced forecasting accuracy crucial for safeguarding personnel and community well-being.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Life Cycle Analysis of Enhanced Rock Weathering

This study aims to evaluate the life cycle impacts of weathering agricultural fields in the U.S. Midwest with igneous rock (dunite/olivine) and industrial waste minerals using literature and estimated data from a techno-economic analysis (TEA). The GWP impact with igneous rock and industrial waste materials ranges 34–263 and 23–180 kg CO2-eq/tonne CO2 sequestered, respectively, with comminution and transportation as the main environmental hotspots for igneous rock, and transportation for industrial waste.

Izar-Tenorio, Jorge↗