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At least 1,441 records · Page 80
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

End-of-Century Changes in Orographic Precipitation with the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research Model over the Western United States

Abstract Downscaled precipitation projections were created using the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR) model over the western United States to increase the physical realism in orographic precipitation changes. End-of-century simulations from eight models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were downscaled with ICAR and compared to the widely utilized statistically downscaled dataset, localized constructed analogs (LOCAs), to understand where and why projections of cool-season (September–May) precipitation differed. ICAR and LOCA precipitation projections were similar, but their sign differed in hydrologically relevant regions likely due to ICAR’s simulation of microphysics and mesoscale dynamics with high-resolution topography (6 km). In the Pacific Northwest, cool-season precipitation projections from ICAR showed an increase on the windward side of the Cascades and no significant change within the lee. This difference between the windward and leeward side was attributed to reduced zonal wind speeds, allowing more time for microphysical processes within ICAR. This contrast is enhanced by rain’s faster fall speed compared to snow, limiting transport into the lee. Meanwhile, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation across the Cascades. In the Upper Colorado River basin, LOCA projected an increase in precipitation in high elevation regions (>3000 m), but ICAR projected no significant change or a decrease in precipitation. High elevation differences were most evident in the spring and fall and were also attributed to a snow-to-rain transition and dynamical processes that impacted orographic enhancement within ICAR. Idealized, controlled studies are needed to better isolate individual processes, but these results underscore the importance of including microphysics and mesoscale dynamics within regional-scale precipitation projections. Significance Statement A set of global climate model simulations was downscaled using an atmospheric model that contains key physical equations, referred to as Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research (ICAR). ICAR was used to examine projected changes in end-of-century cool-season precipitation over mountains in the western United States. Precipitation projections from ICAR were similar to projections that used statistical relationships to downscale climate projections. However, projections differed between ICAR and statistically downscaled datasets in whether they increased, decreased, or stayed the same in specific, hydrologically relevant regions such as the eastern Cascades and high elevation areas of the Upper Colorado River basin. These differences were attributed to the simulation of physical processes in ICAR. The results highlight the importance of kilometer-scale atmospheric processes in regional climate projections.

Currier, William Ryan [NOAA/Physical Sciences Labo↗
DOE OSTI2021

Highly Efficient Uniaxial In-Plane Stretching of a 2D Material via Ion Insertion

On-chip dynamic strain engineering requires efficient micro-actuators that can generate large in-plane strains. Inorganic electrochemical actuators are unique in that they are driven by low voltages (≈1 V) and produce considerable strains (≈1%). However, actuation speed and efficiency are limited by mass transport of ions. Minimizing the number of ions required to actuate is thus key to enabling useful “straintronic” devices. Here, it is shown that the electrochemical intercalation of exceptionally few lithium ions into WTe 2 causes large anisotropic in-plane strain: 5% in one in-plane direction and 0.1% in the other. This efficient stretching of the 2D WTe 2 layers contrasts to intercalation-induced strains in related materials which are predominantly in the out-of-plane direction. The unusual actuation of Li x WTe 2 is linked to the formation of a newly discovered crystallographic phase, referred to as Td', with an exotic atomic arrangement. On-chip low-voltage (<0.2 V) control is demonstrated over the transition to the novel phase and its composition. Within the Td'-Li 0.5-δ WTe 2 phase, a uniaxial in-plane strain of 1.4% is achieved with a change of δ of only 0.075. This makes the in-plane chemical expansion coefficient of Td'-Li 0.5-δ WTe 2 far greater than of any other single-phase material, enabling fast and efficient planar electrochemical actuation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Learning reference governor for cycle-to-cycle combustion control with misfire avoidance in spark-ignition engines at high exhaust gas recirculation–diluted conditions

Cycle-to-cycle feedback control is employed to achieve optimal combustion phasing while maintaining high levels of exhaust gas recirculation by adjusting the spark advance and the exhaust gas recirculation valve position. The control development is based on a control-oriented model that captures the effects of throttle position, exhaust gas recirculation valve position, and spark timing on the combustion phasing. Under the assumption that in-cylinder pressure information is available, an adaptive extended Kalman filter approach is used to estimate the exhaust gas recirculation rate into the intake manifold based on combustion phasing measurements. The estimation algorithm is adaptive since the cycle-to-cycle combustion variability (output covariance) is not known a priori and changes with operating conditions. A linear quadratic regulator controller is designed to maintain optimal combustion phasing while maximizing exhaust gas recirculation levels during load transients coming from throttle tip-in and tip-out commands from the driver. During throttle tip-outs, however, a combination of a high exhaust gas recirculation rate and an overly advanced spark, product of the dynamic response of the system, generates a sequence of misfire events. In this work, an explicit reference governor is used as an add-on scheme to the closed-loop system in order to avoid the violation of the misfire limit. The reference governor is enhanced with model-free learning which enables it to avoid misfires after a learning phase. Experimental results are reported which illustrate the potential of the proposed control strategy for achieving an optimal combustion process during highly diluted conditions for improving fuel efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Precipitation Changes of a Sub-Region of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic During 1979–2019

Observations of the seasonal mean precipitation averaged over a sub-region of the U.S. mid-Atlantic show significant increases in summer but no changes in winter during 1979–2019. Clarifying the drivers of these observed changes is important for understanding and interpreting future projections of regional precipitation by climate models. Herein, this study examines the relative effects of external forcing and internal variability in the observed multi-decadal changes using the historical and RCP8.5/SSP585 simulations from 37 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5), 35 models in CMIP6, as well as large ensemble simulations from 6 models, each including more than 20 members. During 1979–2019, enhanced warming over land relative to ocean due to external forcing induces low pressure anomalies over land that contribute to the wetting summer. While similar wetting also occurs during winter, such effect is offset by the drying associated with the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in recent decades. Internal variability produces large uncertainty in the multi-decadal precipitation changes simulated by climate models through changes in large-scale circulation associated with the NAO in winter and the North Atlantic Subtropical High in summer. These multi-decadal relationships between precipitation and large-scale circulation under internal variability also manifest on inter-annual timescale. These relationships highlight enhanced moisture transport from the Gulf of Mexico and North Atlantic in winter and near the mid-Atlantic coast in summer that modulates precipitation change in the study region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The formation and evolution of Ni 2 Cr precipitates in Ni–Cr model alloys as a function of stoichiometry characterized by synchrotron x-ray diffraction

Ni-based alloys containing significant amounts of Cr, may precipitate new phases during long-term service at elevated temperatures. In Ni–Cr model alloys, the formation of Ni 2 Cr has been found to impact the material properties, including the strength and ductility after isothermal aging below the critical temperature of 590°C. In this work, we quantify the formation and evolution of long-range ordering in four Ni–Cr binary model alloys (Ni/Cr = 1.8, 2.0, 2.2, 2.4) after isothermal aging up to 10,000h at temperatures between 373 and 475°C. The alloys were characterized by hardness testing and synchrotron-based x-ray diffraction to quantify the impact of Ni 2 Cr phase fraction and precipitate size on mechanical properties. After 500h of isothermal aging, the formation of Ni 2 Cr was detected in all four alloys at 475°C. In the stochiometric alloy samples (Ni/Cr = 2.0), the formation of Ni 2 Cr was found after 500 and 3000h aging at 418 and 373°C, respectively. We found that the matrix lattice contraction and Ni 2 Cr phase fraction both saturate after early aging times. This is in stark contrast to the hardness and Ni 2 Cr precipitate size that both continue to increase with increasing aging time. Our results highlight that changes in hardness correlate linearly with Ni 2 Cr precipitate size rather than phase fraction. This important structure-property relationship can potentially help define Ni–Cr-based component lifetimes directly through an understanding of how Ni 2 Cr formation impacts strength and ductility. Here, we find that a precipitation hardening model for critical resolved shear stress with weakly coupled dislocations shows good agreement with the material property changes quantified from experimental measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data and code for Daily and Multi-Day Extreme Rainfall Analysis Under Future Climates Using Stochastic Storm Transposition and NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 Over CONUS

This data package provides inputs, codes, and outputs for a comprehensive analysis of projected changes in extreme precipitation across 10 regions of the continental United States, using 34 downscaled Earth System Models (ESMs) from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (NEX-GDDP-CMIP6) dataset. These models are part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), a coordinated climate modeling framework widely used to assess climate change impacts. The analysis applies a stochastic storm transposition method to quantify changes in extreme rainfall under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) climate scenarios—SSP2-4.5 (moderate emissions) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions)—compared to historical conditions (1995–2014 vs. 2081–2100). The dataset includes rainfall depth estimates for extreme events with return periods from 2 to 500 years across multiple storm durations (1, 3, and 5 days) for each of the 10 U.S. regions. Weighted ensemble statistics are derived from individual ESM performance against historical precipitation patterns, enabling robust uncertainty quantification through both sign-based and permutation-test-based model agreement assessments. Key analyses address: (1) relative changes in extreme precipitation for each climate scenario, (2) differences between SSP scenarios (SSP5-8.5 vs. SSP2-4.5), (3) contrasts between rare and frequent events, and (4) variations between multi-day and daily storm durations. The workflow produces ensemble statistics—median, 5th, 25th, 75th, and 95th percentiles—along with model agreement metrics that identify regions and event types with robust climate change signals. The dataset includes: processed rainfall depth outputs (netCDF format) from the RainyDay Python package, ESM weights from historical performance evaluation using DayMet observations, ensemble statistics across all storm dimensions, and figures summarizing key findings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Depicting the roles of CuO secondary phase and heat treatment in driving the magnetic and magnetocaloric features of Pr 2/3 Sr 1/3 MnO 3 manganite

In this work, we report a detailed experimental study regarding the impact of copper oxide (CuO) secondary phase and heat treatments on the structural, magnetic, and magnetocaloric properties of the near-room temperature Pr 2/3 Sr 1/3 MnO 3 (PSMO) magnetic refrigerant. Our investigations are carried out by using structural and microstructural analyses, alongside magnetization measurements. Here, the analysis of X-ray diffraction data of PSMO(95%)-CuO(5%) (PSMO-CuO) samples shows the coexistence of both CuO and PSMO phases. Further, the microstructural analysis of PSMO-CuO reveals that the addition of CuO significantly enhances the grains size. On the other hand, the added secondary phase markedly reduces the Curie temperature (T c ) from 293 K for PSMO to about 273 K for PSMO-CuO composite while increasing the magnetocaloric effect. This decrease in T c is associated with a significant change from 162° to about 156° in the Mn-OII-Mn bond angle respectively. Moreover, performed investigations regarding the role of heat treatments unveil that the observed changes in the structural and magnetic features are mainly driven by the secondary phase that modify grains size and double-exchange interactions in the PSMO compound. Interestingly, our findings demonstrate that the Curie temperature of the PSMO and accordingly its magnetocaloric effect can be tailored by adding small amounts of CuO without need to substitution on cation sites. In the light of obtained results, a multilayered refrigerant composed of PSMO and PSMO-CuO is proposed to cover the magnetic cooling temperature range close to room-temperature. The resulting entropy change remains practically constant between 273 K and 293 K. Such a behavior is highly appreciated from a practical point of view, particularly in cases where the cooling process is carried out by using the AMR and Ericsson cycles.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Effects of the Order Parameter Anisotropy on the Vortex Lattice in UPt3

We have used small-angle neutron scattering to determine the vortex lattice phase diagram in the topological superconductor UPt 3 for the applied magnetic field along the crystalline c -axis. A triangular vortex lattice is observed throughout the superconducting state, but with an orientation relative to the hexagonal basal plane that changes with field and temperature. At low temperature, in the chiral B phase, the vortex lattice undergoes a non-monotonic rotation with increasing magnetic field. The rotation amplitude decreases with increasing temperature and vanishes before reaching the A phase. Within the A phase an abrupt ±15° vortex lattice rotation was previously reported by Huxley et al. , Nature 406 , 160-164 (2000). The complex phase diagram may be understood from competing effects of the superconducting order parameter, the symmetry breaking field, and the Fermi surface anisotropy. The low-temperature rotated phase, centered around 0.8 T, reported by Avers et al. , Nature Physics 16 , 531-535 (2020), can be attributed directly to the symmetry breaking field.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermal and Magnetic Field Switching in a Two-Step Hysteretic Mn III Spin Crossover Compound Coupled to Symmetry Breakings

In this work, a Mn III spin crossover complex with atypical two-step hysteretic thermal switching at 74 K and 84 K shows rich structural–magnetic interplay and magnetic-field-induced spin state switching below 14 T with an onset below 5 T. The spin states, structures, and the nature of the phase transitions are elucidated via X-ray and magnetization measurements. An unusual intermediate phase containing four individual sites, where 1\4 are in a pure low spin state, is observed. The splitting of equivalent sites in the high temperature phase into four inequivalent sites is due to a structural reorganization involving a primary and a secondary symmetry-breaking order parameter that induces a crystal system change from orthorhombic→monoclinic and a cell doubling. Further cooling leads to a reconstructive phase transition and a monoclinic low-temperature phase with two inequivalent low-spin sites. The coupling between the order parameters is identified in the framework of Landau theory.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mg-Ion Conduction in Antiperovskite Solid Electrolytes Revealed by 25 Mg Ultrahigh Field NMR and First-Principles Calculations

Magnesium-ion batteries hold the potential to outperform the energy density of lithium-ion batteries, given the divalent charge carried by each Mg 2+ cation, but remain in an early stage of development. Here, in this study, 25 Mg solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (ssNMR) is used to gain insight into the local structure and Mg-ion dynamics of candidate Mg-ion solid electrolytes, the antiperovskites Mg 3 SbN and Mg 3 AsN. Using the highest available magnetic field (35.2 T) for high-resolution solid-state NMR, the largest 25 Mg quadrupole coupling constants (C Q ) yet measured of up to 22 MHz are reported and corroborated by first-principles calculations. Predicted C Q values are shown to correlate with the antiperovskite’s tolerance factor; thus, 25 Mg NMR linewidths can report on lattice distortions and phase stability of these antiperovskites. Variable-temperature 25 Mg NMR spectra demonstrate changes at elevated temperatures, ascribed to Mg-ion motional effects. 25 Mg T 1 relaxometry measurements at ultrahigh field reveal a lower activation energy for the more distorted Mg 3 AsN phase, matching computational predictions of a lower energy barrier for Mg 2+ ion migration and suggesting that additional scrutiny of antiperovskites as Mg-ion conductors is warranted. Given the inherent challenges of 25 Mg NMR, this work demonstrates the benefits of combining ultrahigh field NMR spectroscopy, advanced pulse sequences, modern signal processing, and first-principles calculations to facilitate NMR of quadrupolar nuclei as a tool to probe the local structure and ion dynamics in beyond-Li battery materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

The effect of equilibration time on Al uptake in C-S-H

Calcium silicate hydrate (C-S-H) is the main hydration product of Portland cements. The partial replacement of Portland cements by supplementary cementitious materials can result in C-S-H with lower Ca/Si ratios and more aluminum and alkalis. The effect of equilibration time on Al uptake in C-S-H was investigated using equilibration times from 7 days up to 3 years. Lower Al concentrations were measured in the solution after longer equilibration times. In addition, a higher uptake of Al in C-S-H was observed based on the decrease in the content of secondary phases. Little further decrease in Al concentrations was observed after 2 years and longer at low Ca/Si. At high Ca/Si no significant change in solution concentrations was observed after more than 3 month, while the destabilization of secondary phases continued up to 1 year, indicating that a (meta)stable equilibrium was reached faster at higher Ca/Si ratios.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Simultaneous imaging and diffraction in the dynamic diamond anvil cell

The ability to visualize a sample undergoing a pressure-induced phase transition allows for the determination of kinetic parameters, such as the nucleation and growth rates of the high-pressure phase. For samples that are opaque to visible light (such as metallic systems), it is necessary to rely on x-ray imaging methods for sample visualization. Here, we present an experimental platform developed at beamline P02.2 at the PETRA III synchrotron radiation source, which is capable of performing simultaneous x-ray imaging and diffraction of samples that are dynamically compressed in piezo-driven diamond anvil cells. This setup utilizes a partially coherent monochromatic x-ray beam to perform lensless phase contrast imaging, which can be carried out using either a parallel- or focused-beam configuration. The capabilities of this platform are illustrated by experiments on dynamically compressed Ga and Ar. Melting and solidification were identified based on the observation of solid/liquid phase boundaries in the x-ray images and corresponding changes in the x-ray diffraction patterns collected during the transition, with significant edge enhancement observed in the x-ray images collected using the focused-beam. These results highlight the suitability of this technique for a variety of purposes, including melt curve determination.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Variability of the Black Hole Image in M87 at the Dynamical Timescale

The black hole images obtained with the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) are expected to be variable at the dynamical timescale near their horizons. For the black hole at the center of the M87 galaxy, this timescale (5–61 days) is comparable to the 6 day extent of the 2017 EHT observations. Closure phases along baseline triangles are robust interferometric observables that are sensitive to the expected structural changes of the images but are free of station-based atmospheric and instrumental errors. We explored the day-to-day variability in closure-phase measurements on all six linearly independent nontrivial baseline triangles that can be formed from the 2017 observations. We showed that three triangles exhibit very low day-to-day variability, with a dispersion of ∼3°–5°. The only triangles that exhibit substantially higher variability (∼90°–180°) are the ones with baselines that cross the visibility amplitude minima on the u–v plane, as expected from theoretical modeling. We used two sets of general relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations to explore the dependence of the predicted variability on various black hole and accretion-flow parameters. We found that changing the magnetic field configuration, electron temperature model, or black hole spin has a marginal effect on the model consistency with the observed level of variability. On the other hand, the most discriminating image characteristic of models is the fractional width of the bright ring of emission. Models that best reproduce the observed small level of variability are characterized by thin ring-like images with structures dominated by gravitational lensing effects and thus least affected by turbulence in the accreting plasmas.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Continental United States may lose 1.8 petagrams of soil organic carbon under climate change by 2100

Abstract Aims High‐resolution information on soils’ vulnerability to climate‐induced soil organic carbon (SOC) loss can enable environmental scientists, land managers, and policy makers to develop targeted mitigation strategies. This study aims to estimate baseline and decadal changes in continental US surface SOC stocks under future emission scenarios. Location Continental United States. Time period 2014–2100. Methods We used recent SOC field observations ( n = 6,213 sites), environmental factors ( n = 32), and an ensemble machine learning (ML) approach to estimate baseline SOC stocks in surface soils across the continental United States at 100‐m spatial resolution, and decadal changes under the projected climate scenarios of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Six (CMIP6) earth system models (ESMs). Results Baseline SOC projections from ML approaches captured more than 50% of variability in SOC observations, whereas ESMs represented only 6–16% of observed SOC variability. ML estimates showed a mean total loss of 1.8 Pg C from US surface soils under the high‐emission scenario by 2100, whereas ESMs showed no significant change in SOC stocks with wide variation among ESMs. Both ML and ESM predictions agree on the direction of SOC change (net emissions or sequestration) across 46–51% of continental US land area. These differences are attributable to the high‐resolution site‐specific data used in the ML models compared to the relatively coarse grid represented in CMIP6 ESMs. Main conclusions Our high‐resolution estimates of baseline SOC stocks, identification of key environmental controllers, and projection of SOC changes from US land cover types under future climate scenarios suggest the need for high‐resolution simulations of SOC in ESMs to represent the heterogeneity of SOC. We found that the SOC change is sensitive to key soil related factors (e.g. soil drainage and soil order) that have not been historically considered as input parameters in ESMs, because currently more than 95% variability in the SOC of CMIP6 ESMs is controlled by net primary productivity, temperature, and precipitation. Using additional environmental factors to estimate the baseline SOC stocks and predict the future trajectory of SOC change can provide more accurate results.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

A strategy to identify materials exhibiting a large nonlinear phononics response: tuning the ultrafast structural response of LaAlO 3 with pressure

We use theory and first-principles calculations to investigate how structural changes induced by ultrafast optical excitation of infrared-active phonons change with hydrostatic pressure in LaAlO 3 . Our calculations show that the observed structural changes are sensitive to pressure, with the largest changes occurring at pressures near the boundary between the cubic perovskite and rhombohedral phases. We rationalize our findings by defining a figure of merit that depends only on intrinsic materials quantities, and show that the peak response near the phase boundary is dictated by different microscopic materials properties depending on the particular phonon mode being excited. Our work demonstrates how it is possible to systematically identify materials that may exhibit particularly large changes in structure and properties due to optical excitation of infrared-active phonons.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Direct study of changes in catalyst structure-kinetic properties during redox transitions using a new time-resolved technique

Direct study of changes in catalyst structure-kinetic properties during redox transitions using a new time-resolved technique The Temporal Analysis of Products (TAP) pulse response methodology1 is a transient technique offering the time scale needed to deconvolve many reaction steps from the complex network typical to industrial catalytic processes. The traditional TAP measurement observes the gas phase dynamic response but, hereto now, has been devoid of any direct measurement of change in the catalyst itself. The development of an operando technique that couples gas phase transient kinetics to dynamic metal centers and surface species is presented. Significance Unification of the TAP methodology with time-resolved spectroscopic measurement can offer unprecedented insight into the complex kinetic phenomena regulated by the solid catalyst.

03 - NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Reinforcement Learning‐Based Adaptation of Grid Following Inverter's Internal Controller to Networked Microgrids' Strengths

The varying topological configurations, generator commitments and dispatches, and dynamic load demand lead to changing system's strengths during the operations of networked microgrids. When the system's strengths significantly change, the fixed control gains at large devices may result in unsatisfactory system performance; this necessitates the tuning of the control gains at large devices to adapt to the changing system's strengths. In this paper, observer-based reinforcement learning (RL) is utilised to automatically tune the proportional-integral (PI) gains of phase lock loop (PLL) controller of grid-following (GFL) inverters to adapt to the changing strengths of microgrids and networked microgrids. The RL agent in this framework augments an observer predicting system's strengths, from which the RL control policy will adjust accordingly to tune the PLL controller's gains towards the system's strengths. Also, to enhance the control performance, the recently introduced Barrier function-based RL framework is leveraged for the design of reward function to prevent the high frequency nadir. An operational 26 kV electric distribution system, which is modelled as networked microgrids, is used to illustrate the need and effectiveness of the proposed RL-tuned control.

frequency response↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v2.0) contribution to CMIP7

The first version of the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) coordinated key simulations exploring the role of individual forcings in past, current and future climate as part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 6 (CMIP6). The simulations have been used extensively in the literature for detection and attribution of long-term changes, constraining projections of climate change, attributing extreme events and understanding drivers of past and future simulated climate changes. Attribution studies using DAMIP v1.0 simulations underpinned prominent assessments of human-induced warming in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report. Here, we describe the set of DAMIP v2.0 simulations, proposed for the next phase of CMIP, CMIP7. Detection and attribution studies rely on pre-industrial control simulations and historical simulations, which will be part of the Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of Klima (DECK) set of simulations for CMIP7. In addition, we identify the three highest-priority single-forcing experiments for CMIP7 to be run as “Assessment Fast Track” simulations in support of the Seventh Assessment Report of the IPCC: simulations with natural forcings only, anthropogenic well-mixed greenhouse gases only and anthropogenic aerosols only. Beyond this, the DAMIP v2.0 experimental design includes full-column ozone-only simulations and land-use-only simulations, such that the set of individual forcing experiments, when these are considered together, represents the full set of historical forcings. While concentration-driven simulations are prioritised for attribution, emissions-driven versions of the DAMIP experiments are also proposed to support understanding of the influence of carbon-cycle feedbacks on the simulated responses to individual forcings.

Gillett, Nathan P. [Environment and Climate Change↗