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At least 145 records · Page 8

Additive Manufacturing of Thermal Energy Storage Composites with Microencapsulated Phase Change Materials Supported in a Multipolymer Matrix

Additive manufacturing (AM) techniques to directly integrate phase change materials (PCMs) are of interest for efficient thermal energy storage (TES) architectures. Complex, high surface-to-volume ratio composites embedded with PCM can improve thermal management with reduced material waste for customizable device fabrication. Reducing feature sizes of TES-integrated heat exchangers using AM can increase heat transfer without thermal conductivity enhancement. Here, composite AM materials containing 60 wt% microencapsulated phase change materials (MEPCM) are fabricated using off-the-shelf printers at common speeds and resolutions. High MEPCM loading in filaments is achieved with powder extrusion using two polymers, thermoplastic-polyurethane (TPU) and polycaprolactone (PCL), that mediate flexibility and rigidity for effective extrusion and printing without filament fracture or buckling. Furthermore, with PCL and TPU at 20 wt% each and 60 wt% MEPCM (P 20 T 20 M 60 ), smooth, form-stable filaments are consistently printed. Powder-based extrusion displays negligible damaging effects on the MEPCM. Printed P 20 T 20 M 60 demonstrates 105 J/g of energy storage with no degradation through 250 thermal cycles, within 5% of the theoretical storage enthalpy. Combining PCL/TPU shows good interfacial adhesion between print layers and produces high surface area objects, like 15% gyroids, and dense, 100% infilled pucks. Prints are also scalable to a 900 cm 3 honeycomb heat exchanger with an estimated 9 Wh energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Thermal and Electrical Properties of Isocyanate Derived Organic Aerogels for Cryogenic Insulation Applications

The use and storage of cryogens such as liquefied nitrogen, helium, hydrogen among others requires reliable and efficient thermal insulation systems. Passive insulation from high performance materials that are well-known for their inherent low thermal conductivity would reduce the overall costs involved in design, manufacture and maintenance of such systems. One such class of materials are referred to as aerogels. These materials are known for their low density, high mesoporosity, high surface areas, low thermal conductivity and high acoustic impedance. Aerogels were invented by S.S. Kistler in 1931 and the most common type are those made of silica. However, the inherent fragility of silica aerogels makes them hard to mass produce, and therefore applications have been limited. A major breakthrough was introduced by our team almost 20 years ago with the invention of polymer crosslinked silica aerogels. Those materials shifted attention to all-polymer aerogels that have overcome all fragility issues associated with their inorganic counterparts. This study focuses on such polymeric aerogels that can be mass produced as large monoliths while maintaining the low thermal conductivity of traditional silica aerogels over a wide temperature range. Manufacturing flexibility of polymeric aerogels allows fabrication of blocks and sheets that can be applied in various configurations to insulate cryogenic and superconducting devices. The thermal conductivity with 80 K and room temperature boundary are reported as well as other properties (electrical), that need to be considered when designing devices for cryogenic applications.

Churu, Gitogo↗

Parametric evaluation of ducted fuel injection in an optically accessible mixing-controlled compression-ignition engine with two- and four-duct assemblies

Ducted fuel injection (DFI) is a strategy to improve fuel/charge-gas mixing in direct-injection compression-ignition engines. DFI involves injecting fuel along the axis of a small tube in the combustion chamber, which promotes the formation of locally leaner mixtures in the autoignition zone relative to conventional diesel combustion. Previous work has demonstrated that DFI is effective at curtailing engine-out soot emissions across a wide range of operating conditions. This study extends previous investigations, presenting engine-out emissions and efficiency trends between ducted two-orifice and ducted four-orifice injector tip configurations. For each configuration, parameters investigated include injection pressure, injection duration, intake manifold pressure, intake manifold temperature, start of combustion timing, and intake-oxygen mole fraction. For both configurations and across all parameters, DFI reduced engine-out soot emissions compared to conventional diesel combustion, with little effect on other emissions and engine efficiency. Emissions trends for both configurations were qualitatively the same across the parameters investigated. The four-duct configuration had higher thermal efficiency and indicated-specific engine-out nitrogen oxide emissions but lower indicated-specific engine-out hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide emissions than the two-duct assembly. Both configurations achieved indicated-specific engine-out emissions for both soot and nitrogen oxides that comply with current on- and off-road heavy-duty regulations in the United States without exhaust-gas aftertreatment at an intake-oxygen mole fraction of 12%. High-speed in-cylinder imaging of natural soot luminosity shows that some conditions include a second soot-production phase late in the cycle. The probability of these late-cycle events is sensitive to both the number of ducted sprays and the operating conditions.

Yraguen, Boni Frances↗

Extreme Miller cycle with high intake boost for improved efficiency and emissions in heavy-duty diesel engines

This study experimentally investigates the impact of extreme Miller cycle strategies paired with high intake manifold pressures on the combustion process, emissions, and thermal efficiency of heavy-duty diesel engines. Well-controlled experiments isolating the effect of Miller cycle strategies on the combustion process were conducted at constant engine speed and load (1160 rpm, 1.76 MPa net IMEP) on a single cylinder research engine equipped with a fully-flexible hydraulic valve train system. Late intake valve closing (LIVC) timing strategies were compared to a conventional intake valve profile under either constant cylinder composition, constant engine-out NO x emission, or constant overall turbocharger efficiency (η TC ) to investigate the operating constraints that favor Miller cycle operation over the baseline strategy. Furthermore, utilizing high boost with conventional intake valve closing timing resulted in improved fuel consumption at the expense of sharp increases in peak cylinder pressures, engine-out NO x emissions, and reduced exhaust temperatures. Miller cycle without EGR at constant λ demonstrated LIVC strategies effectively reduce engine-out NO x emissions by up to 35%. However, Miller cycle associated with very aggressive LIVC timings led to fuel consumption penalties due to increased pumping work and exhaust enthalpy. LIVC strategies allowed for increased charge dilution at the baseline NO x constraint of 3.2 g/kWh, resulting in significant fuel consumption benefits over the baseline case without compromising exhaust temperatures or peak cylinder pressures. As Miller cycle implementation was shown to affect the boundary conditions dictating η TC , the LIVC and conventional IVC cases were studied at an equivalent η TC point representative of high boost operation. With high boost, LIVC yielded reduced NO x emissions, reduced peak cylinder pressures, and elevated exhaust temperatures compared to the conventional IVC case without compromising fuel consumption.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Low-temperature oxidation pathways are critical to thermal incineration of PFAS-laden materials

With growing desire to destroy per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) now known to be detrimental to human health, a sound understanding of fluorocarbon combustion chemistry is important to efficient thermal destruction within incinerators. While most fluorocarbon combustion models and the sets of reactions contained within them were originally developed for the high temperatures encountered in flame suppression applications, they have often been used to assess PFAS destruction in incinerators, which emphasize a lower range of temperatures. We present results that demonstrate that low-temperature fluorocarbon oxidation pathways—not yet known to play a role in fluorocarbon combustion—impact key incinerator performance metrics, including: PFAS surrogate mole fractions, products of incomplete destruction, and waste destruction efficiencies. The results further point to the utility of NO as a potential additive. The present results show the influence of these pathways for CF 3 O 2 , for which some data are available, but analogous pathways would also occur for other fluoroalkylperoxy radicals, for which little is known. Furthermore, the results demonstrate the need for future work to identify and characterize low-temperature pathways more generally, consider such pathways in kinetic model development, and experimentally probe intermediate temperature conditions to better understand, design, and control thermal destruction technologies for improved PFAS management.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Low Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Vehicle Technologies Research, Development, Demonstration and Deployment Topic 5 Natural Gas Engine Enabling Technologies

A 10 liter natural gas engine has been developed with significant improvements in efficiency while maintaining ultra low NOx emissions and meeting all other EPA criteria emissions limits. This was accomplished through design and analysis of performance components specifically for operation with natural gas in contrast to current production engines which are a minimally modified diesel engine that retain most diesel design features including a flat deck swirl head. The architecture developed here includes a pent roof cylinder head with tumble charge motion and cooling passages specifically optimized for effective cooling around the spark plug and valve bridges. Also in contrast to current production natural gas engines, EGR was not used, in part to avoid the initial cost and warranty expense associated with EGR systems, but also for performance benefits of faster combustion, reduced risk of misfire and high open cycle efficiency due to the turbocharger’s ability to extract energy from the high temperature exhaust. The exhaust manifold uses high temperature material and thermal mechanical fatigue analysis was completed to ensure the ability to withstand high exhaust temperatures without EGR. Other features include dual overhead cam with late intake valve closing Miller cycle and 14:1 compression ratio steel pistons. Low NOx emissions are achieved with stoichiometric combustion and application of a close coupled plus underfloor three way catalysts. The program target of peak brake thermal efficiency of 42% has been demonstrated along with bsNOx of 0.02 g/hp-hr over HD-FTP and RMCSET emissions cycles.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Integrated Radio Frequency and Ultrasonics with Conventional Processes for Efficient Water Removal in Pulp and Paper and Other Biomaterial Applications

Conventional drying processes used in the pulp and paper industry primarily involve lengthy, surface based, multi-cylinder conductive and convective drying with low thermal efficiencies and often use some fossil-based energy. Integration of cross cutting, electrically-powered, volumetric drying process intensification technologies based on Radio Frequency (RF) and acoustics (Ultrasonics) (US) will directly impart energy into the biomaterials resulting in improved energy efficiency and throughput. Integration of RFUS-based drying technology is expected to enable U.S. manufacturing industry to reduce capital and operating costs, energy consumption, and carbon emissions while increasing energy efficiency and throughput, improving product quality and sustainability, and helping preserve U.S. manufacturing jobs. The hybrid drying approach incorporates directed radio frequency (RF) and ultrasonic (US) energy with conventional conduction, diffusion and convective heat and mass transfer overcoming the limitations of the conventional drying processes and that meets/exceeds the minimum goals. We have shown the effective removal of free and bound water in the biomaterials by leveraging the synergies of RF and US technologies integrated with conventional manufacturing processes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Versatile Heat Transfer Module

Development of micro-reactors that can be easily transported to remote areas for civilian or military applications is an immediate focus of U.S. nuclear industry and therefore is being pursued by multiple reactor vendors (e.g. HolosGen LLC, Westinghouse, Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation, URENCO, etc.) and actively supported by DOE-NE, DOE-ARPA-E and by the Department Of Defense (DoD). Very-high-temperature gas-cooled (VHTR) and heat pipe cooled reactor technologies are regarded as promising concepts for microreactors applications since they enable compact power conversion systems and display beneficial inherent safety features. Development of microreactors with enhanced performance must be supported by innovations in nuclear technologies. Several technologies being developed by the microreactor industry are being revisited with material technologies developed at the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). Innovative high-temperature compatible solutions are developed to enable advanced thermal-spectrum microreactor designs featuring improved neutronics performance at high-temperature operating conditions to enable high thermal efficiency and economic competitiveness. This report focuses on the Versatile Heat Transfer Module (VHTM) technology that is developed at ANL for heat-transfer in thermal-spectrum microreactors. This technology is built on a liquid alkali metal heat pipe concept while leveraging advanced nuclear material technologies for high-temperature applications at reduced neutronic penalty with potential improvement in inherent safety behavior. The VHTM can be applied to design high-temperature thermal-spectrum microreactor systems with reduced size, weight, uranium enrichment, or increased lifetime. The INFINIT technology deriving from the VHTM enables design of a highly compact long-life microreactor concept for fission surface power (FSP). Demonstration of multiphysics modeling capability was also completed to showcase the added inherent safety benefits obtained with this concept. The VHTM technology remain at an early development stage with low Technology Readiness Level and Manufacturing Readiness Level. The current demonstration of these technologies has focused on manufacturing capability, on performance of the hydrogen diffusion barrier under thermal cycling, while radiation tolerance demonstration is planned. The next step of the demonstration plan will be the assembly of miniature VHTM for high-temperature testing, which can be used as a prototype for future pilot scale demonstration. Such research is critical to pursue development of these technologies that have the clear potential to significantly improve the performance of currently investigated micro-reactors systems.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Development and Demonstration of Advanced Engine and Vehicle Technologies For Class 8 Heavy Duty Vehicle (Supertruck II)

The PACCAR SuperTruck II program has completed the planned technical work on the project. This work includes the planned vehicle demonstrator showing a greater than 100% improvement in vehicle freight efficiency (on a ton-mile-per-gallon basis) relative to a 2009 baseline, and an engine system demonstration achieving a greater than 55% engine brake thermal efficiency at a 65-mph cruise point on a dynamometer. Both program targets were exceeded by PACCAR with robust margins. Finally, PACCAR used technologies that have a possible route to production, with no specialty or unrealistic solutions proposed.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Practical low-temperature gasoline combustion for very high efficiency off-road, medium- and heavy-duty engines

Low-temperature gasoline combustion (LTGC) with additive-mixing fuel injection (AMFI) is a new combustion strategy that has been demonstrated to deliver 9%–25% better brake thermal efficiency than similar-sized market-leading diesel engines over the operating map. Moreover, the LTGC-AMFI engine shows near-zero smoke, and NOx emissions are 4–100 times lower than those of a diesel, sufficiently low that no aftertreatment, or only passive NOx aftertreatment, would be sufficient (diesel exhaust fluid is not required). LTGC-AMFI combustion is based on kinetically controlled compression ignition of a dilute charge with a variable amount of low-to-moderate fuel stratification. Fast combustion control is provided by adding minute amounts of an ignition-enhancing additive into the fuel each engine cycle to control its reactivity. This strategy was used to operate a medium-duty (MD) LTGC-AMFI engine at loads from idle to 16.3 bar BMEP and speeds from 600 to 2400 rpm with regular E10 gasoline, which covers nearly the entire operating map of a typical MD engine. Turbine-out temperatures were sufficient for an oxidation catalyst to control hydrocarbon and CO emissions. Autonomie simulations over the GEM ARB Transient and the GEM 55 mph Cruise driving cycles for class-6 trucks using this technology showed fuel economies of 8.1 and 11.4 mpg-gasoline-equivalent, respectively, corresponding to 18.6% and 13.4% improvements over a similar-size diesel engine. Engine-out NOx emissions were 0.024 and 0.01 g/bhp-h, respectively, well below current U.S. emission standards. These results show that switching from diesel to LTGC-AMFI engines would greatly reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for off-road, MD and HD applications, which will continue to rely on combustion engines because electrification is not practical in the foreseeable future. Finally, with their reduced fuel consumption, the lower cost of gasoline compared to diesel fuel, and much lower aftertreatment costs, LTGC-AMFI engines also offer a significantly lower total cost of ownership.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Thermal analyses of high-power advanced thermoacoustic radioisotope power system for future space exploration missions

This paper presents the results of 3-D thermal analyses of the heat source assembly of a 440 We advanced radioisotope power system (RPS) for future space exploration missions. This high thermal efficiency RPS employs a heat source assembly of eight Step 2 General Purpose Heat Source (GPHS) modules and four Thermoacoustic Power Converter (TAPC) units. Each unit is thermally coupled to two GPHS modules. Here, the analyses investigated the temperatures of the Iridium (Ir) alloy cladding of the 238 PuO 2 fuel pellets and the surface of the Fine Weave Pierced Fabric (FWPF) aeroshell in the GPHS modules to ensure reliable operation and safety in case of an unlikely reentry. Conductive coupling of the GPHS modules to the heater heads of the TAPC units produces relatively uniform axial and azimuthal distributions of heat flux and temperature. However, for this case the temperature of the Ir alloy cladding is lower than the desired values of 1173 K to maintain sufficient ductility. Adding a 5 mm wide He filled gap and decreasing the thickness of the graphite sleeve to 10 mm increased Ir cladding temperature to 1197–1174 K, which are in the desired range. The maximum surface temperatures of the FWPF graphite aeroshell of 1022–1131 K is well below the NASA specified limit of 1373 K. In addition, the total mass of the heat source assembly decreased by 19.6 kg, ~43% saving compared to original design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Comparison of Commercial, State-of-the-Art, Fossil-Based Ammonia Production

This NETL report provides a comprehensive techno-economic analysis of current, state-of-the-art, fossil-based ammonia production processes, explicitly utilizing natural gas as the feedstock. The study thoroughly investigates three distinct configurations: conventional Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) without carbon capture, SMR integrated with carbon capture and storage (CCS), and Autothermal Reforming (ATR) also with CCS. The analysis incorporates detailed equipment cost accounting as part of its methodology. The primary objective is to meticulously evaluate the cost and performance of these established and emerging technological pathways, considering factors such as capital expenditures, operational costs, and energy consumption. While the report acknowledges and quantifies environmental impacts, its central focus remains on the economic and technical feasibility of each process design employing these current technologies. The analysis provides a direct comparison of the Levelized Cost of Ammonia (LCOA) for each pathway, revealing how the integration of CCS within these state-of-the-art systems impacts the overall production cost. The ATR+CCS configuration, representing an advanced approach, emerged with a slightly more favorable LCOA compared to SMR+CCS. This benefit was attributed to its inherent process efficiencies, high carbon capture rates, and economy of scale advantages. The report details the energy consumption profiles for each case, including metrics like net energy consumption and thermal efficiency, which are critical for assessing the performance of these contemporary industrial processes. Sensitivity analyses further explore how variables such as natural gas price, capital costs, and capacity factors influence the LCOA across all scenarios, offering critical insights into the economic robustness and scalability of these current ammonia production technologies.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Enabling thermal energy storage in structural cementitious composites with a novel phase change material microcapsule featuring an inorganic shell and a bio-inspired silica coating

Phase change material (PCM) microcapsules offer a promising approach for integrating PCM into building materials for efficient thermal energy storage. Here, this study presents the development of a novel PCM microcapsule specifically designed for incorporation into cementitious materials. The microcapsule consists of a low-cost PCM core derived from vegetable oil by-products and a durable inorganic shell made from cenosphere, a hollow fly ash generated from coal burning power plants. A novel process is developed to apply a silica coating to these cenosphere-based PCM microcapsules (CPCM), resulting in bioinspired-silica-coated CPCM microcapsules (BCPCM). This coating process draws inspiration from marine microorganism-based silica production and utilizes low-cost sodium silicate as a precursor, enabling eco-friendly and cost-effective manufacturing at ambient temperature and mild pH conditions. The morphology, chemical stability, and thermal properties of the BCPCM along with its thermo-mechanical performance in cementitious composites were comprehensively analyzed. Experimental results demonstrate successful silica deposition on BCPCM, leading to enhanced latent heat properties of the produced BCPCM. With the silica coating, BCPCM exhibits a 50 °C delay in thermal decomposition compared to CPCM, enhancing fire resistance and preventing premature PCM leakage of the microcapsule. The bioinspired silica coating effectively restores over 10% of the strength loss for each percent increase in CPCM incorporated into the mortar. The thermal performance experiments reveal that increasing the BCPCM content reduces temperature peaks and rates of temperature increase, indicating an improved capacity for thermal energy storage. This new PCM microcapsule provides a cost-effective solution to integrate thermal energy storage to cementitious material, as evidenced that over 30% of aggregates (in volume) can be replaced by the microcapsule without a drastic loss of strength.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Insights from a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical analysis of a layered high-temperature thermal energy storage reservoir

Coupled thermal-hydraulic-mechanical (THM) modeling is applied to investigate the performance of a seasonal high-temperature aquifer thermal energy storage operation based on data and conditions from current site investigations at the Geostorage Forsthaus pilot project in Bern (Switzerland). The model includes subhorizontal sand lenses of various lengths and dips that are embedded in a low permeability clay matrix. Thermal energy storage is simulated by seasonal injection and withdrawal of hot (up to 90 °C) water from a main well, with reservoir pressure regulated by two auxiliary wells at a distance of about 70 m from the main well. The results show how targeted injection into deeper permeable storage formations, along with active deep well pressure control, can effectively minimize geomechanical impact and the potential risk of damaging subsurface storage and sealing formations, or even surface facilities. With such pressure control, the subsurface mechanical responses are dominated by thermal strain and stress, which can be monitored with subsurface fiber optics. The study demonstrates how coupled THM modeling can be applied for the design of a safe and efficient thermal energy storage operation, and how subsurface fiber optic monitoring can be applied for performance confirmation, allowing for more confident operational forecasting.

Rutqvist, Jonny↗

IMPROVING TRANSPORTATION EFFICIENCY THROUGH INTEGRATED VEHICLE, ENGINE, AND POWERTRAIN RESEARCH -SUPERTRUCK II

Daimler Truck North America (DTNA) completed a five year, $40.1 M SuperTruck 2 project to demonstrate technologies to achieve both vehicle and engine efficiency improvements. The vehicle objective was to develop and demonstrate a concept vehicle with at least 115% vehicle freight efficiency improvement over a weighted average of four cycles relative to a 2009 best-in-class baseline vehicle. The engine technology development goal was to achieve 55% brake thermal efficiency (BTE) as tested on a dynamometer at an equivalent of 65 MPH. Both project objectives were to develop technologies that are cost effective. SuperTruck 2 started in 2017 and built on the knowledge gained in SuperTruck 1. SuperTruck 2 enabled the ability to evaluate high risk high reward research centered on four areas that show the most potential for commercialization: aerodynamics, powertrain, rolling resistance and energy management. In addition, several industry, University and National laboratories were able to collaborate in developing technologies found to be successful in meeting the program objectives. Several technologies show promise towards production while some technologies do not show a quick path towards production.

Villeneuve, Darek↗

Volvo Pathway to Cost-Effective Commercialized Freight Efficiency (SuperTruck 2)

Volvo’s SuperTruck 2 (ST2) built on the success of the SuperTruck 1 (ST1) project, with the objective to research, develop, and demonstrate a Class 8 long-haul tractor-trailer concept truck designed with an integrated approach to maximize freight efficiency and achieve the following goals: - Greater than 100% improvement in vehicle freight efficiency (FE) on a ton-mile-per-gallon basis, with a stretch goal of 120% improvement relative to a 2009 baseline. - Greater than or equal to 55% engine brake thermal efficiency (BTE) demonstrated in an operational engine at a 65-mph cruise point on a dynamometer. - Develop technologies that are commercially cost effective in terms of a simple payback. This cooperative agreement with the US Department of Energy (DOE) had a total project cost of $40,000,000 with a 50% cost share, or $20,000,000, paid by the DOE. This project was awarded to Volvo Technology of America, LLC, who was the prime recipient and project lead. Metalsa, Michelin, Wabash, Bergstrom, University of Michigan, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Johnson Matthey, Knight Transportation, Wegmans, and Motivo were partners / sub-recipients in this project.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Cyclic Thermal and Structural Testing of a Hot Particle Storage Bin

Thermal energy storage is a key element in concentrating solar energy systems. In 2017 a Roadmap toward a third-generation system that could meet the SunSHOT goals of 0.06 $/kWe recommended increasing temperatures to > 700° C for heat transfer media to in-crease thermal efficiencies and lower levelized costs of heat. In 2021, the U.S. Department of Energy selected the particle pathway, G3P3, to build a 1 MWt prototype solar tower with 6 MWh thermal energy storage at the NSTTF in Albuquerque, NM. Of the primary components, the falling particle receiver, and particle-to-sCO2 heat exchanger have been demonstrated at the 250 kWt capacity. The storage component is now being demonstrated as part of the G3P3-USA and G3P3-KSA pilot plants. Storage bin liner materials have been demonstrated by KSU in 2016 and 2019. A flowing particle storage container was demonstrated in 2020 by KSU. The testing presented in this work will be the first to test the particle to wall interactions with mono-lithic refractory insulation, and to validate a transient thermal transport model with the unique kinetics of bulk solids in funnel-flow where cooler particles near the walls flow inward toward a hot central flow channel. This work will also de-risk and characterize the specific design of the G3P3-USA storage bin.

Sment, Jeremy↗

Uncertainty-Based Design: Finite Element and Explainable Machine Learning Modeling of Carbon–Carbon Composites for Ultra-High Temperature Solar Receivers

Design under uncertainty has significantly grown in research developments during the past decade. Additionally, machine learning (ML) and explainable ML (XML) have offered various opportunities to provide reliable predictable models. The current article investigates the use of finite element modeling (FEM), ML and XML predictions, and uncertain-based design of carbon-carbon (C-C) composites for use in ultra-high temperatures. A C-C composite concentrating solar power (CSP) as a microvascular receiver is considered as a case study. These C-C composites are fiber composites with directly integrated carbonized microchannels to form a lightweight, high-absorptivity material that includes an embedded microvascular network of channels. The topology of these microchannels is engineered to optimize heat transfer to a supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) heat transfer fluid. The mechanical characterization of C-C composites is highly challenging. Thus, designing every component made of C-C composites for ultra-high temperature applications needs an uncertainty-based analysis. As a part of a comprehensive project on the development of a novel carbonized microvascular C-C composite, this paper explores C-C composite sensitivity analysis, FEM, ML prediction, and XML analysis. The resulting composite can then be carbonized and coated with an oxidation-resistant coating to form a thermally efficient and mechanically robust C-C composite. An ANSYS 3-D-FE model was used to analyze the CSP’s stress/strain. To consider the variability in the mechanical and thermal properties of C-C composites, various mechanical properties are considered as the ANSYS FEM’s input. A synthetic dataset from 730 ANSYS runs was produced to feed into the ML and XML algorithms for uncertainty analysis and prediction. The ML and XML algorithms could accurately predict the CSP stresses/strains.

Daghigh, Vahid (ORCID:0000000298941620)↗