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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Composition design of high-entropy alloys with deep sets learning

High entropy alloys (HEAs) are an important material class in the development of next-generation structural materials, but the astronomically large composition space cannot be efficiently explored by experiments or first-principles calculations. Machine learning (ML) methods might address this challenge, but ML of HEAs has been hindered by the scarcity of HEA property data. In this work, the EMTO-CPA method was used to generate a large HEA dataset (spanning a composition space of 14 elements) containing 7086 cubic HEA structures with structural properties, 1911 of which have the complete elastic tensor calculated. The elastic property dataset was used to train a ML model with the Deep Sets architecture. The Deep Sets model has better predictive performance and generalizability compared to other ML models. Association rule mining was applied to the model predictions to describe the compositional dependence of HEA elastic properties and to demonstrate the potential for data-driven alloy design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

SymProp: Scaling Sparse Symmetric Tucker Decomposition via Symmetry Propagation

Sparse symmetric tensors are an important class of tensors, and their decompositions serve as powerful tools for revealing low-rank structures. This paper introduces SymProp, a novel approach for scaling sparse symmetric Tucker decomposition by propagating symmetry through intermediate computations. SymProp optimizes two key computational kernels: Sparse Symmetric Tensor Times Same Matrix chain (S3 TTMc) for Higher-Order Orthogonal Iteration (HOOI) and Sparse Symmetric Tensor Times Same Matrix chain Times Core (S3 TTMcTC) for Higher-Order QR Iteration (HOQRI). Our method employs a metaprogramming-based index iteration approach to efficiently handle the upper triangular parts of intermediate dense symmetric tensors. SymProp achieves up to 50.9× speedup over SPLATT and up to 360.8× over Compressed Sparse Symmetric (CSS) format on the S3 TTMc operation. Moreover, our S3 TTMc and S3 TTMcTC implementations support tensor orders four levels higher than state-of-the-art methods. Our HOQRI demonstrates superior scalability and up to a 33.6× speedup over optimized HOOI. By enabling more scalable Tucker decompositions for higher orders, decomposition ranks, and dimension sizes, SymProp opens new possibilities for analyzing complex hypergraph structures in fields such as network science, data mining, and machine learning.

Li, Zecheng [North Carolina State University]↗
DOE OSTI2022

Vickers hardness prediction from machine learning methods

Abstract The search for new superhard materials is of great interest for extreme industrial applications. However, the theoretical prediction of hardness is still a challenge for the scientific community, given the difficulty of modeling plastic behavior of solids. Different hardness models have been proposed over the years. Still, they are either too complicated to use, inaccurate when extrapolating to a wide variety of solids or require coding knowledge. In this investigation, we built a successful machine learning model that implements Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR) to predict hardness and uses the mechanical properties of a solid (bulk modulus, shear modulus, Young’s modulus, and Poisson’s ratio) as input variables. The model was trained with an experimental Vickers hardness database of 143 materials, assuring various kinds of compounds. The input properties were calculated from the theoretical elastic tensor. The Materials Project’s database was explored to search for new superhard materials, and our results are in good agreement with the experimental data available. Other alternative models to compute hardness from mechanical properties are also discussed in this work. Our results are available in a free-access easy to use online application to be further used in future studies of new materials at www.hardnesscalculator.com .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data-driven closure modeling for hypersonic turbulent flows

The Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equations remain a workhorse technology for simulating compressible fluid flows of practical interest. Due to model-form errors, however, RANS models can yield erroneous predictions that preclude their use on mission-critical problems. This report summarizes work performed from FY22-FY24 focused on improving RANS models for hypersonic flows using data-driven modeling and scientific machine learning. In this work we: 1. Investigate the current capabilities of RANS models in Sandia’s parallel aerodynamics and re-entry code (SPARC) for hypersonic flows with a focus on shock boundary layer interactions (SBLIs), 2. Assess several established corrections that exist in the literature aimed at improving predictions for SBLIs, 3. Develop improved models for the Reynolds stress tensor using tensor-basis neural networks, 4. Develop a neural-network-based variable turbulent Prandtl number model to reduce errors in wall heating in SBLIs. 5. Begin future investigations including employing the LIFE framework to improve wall heating predictions in SBLIs as well as the ensemble Kalman filter. We find that current RANS models in SPARC are deficient for complex SBLI flows. In particular, no current model jointly predicts wall heat flux, wall shear stress, and wall pressure with reasonable accuracy. Existing corrections help, but do not alleviate this issue altogether. The development of improved models for the Reynolds stress tensor via tensor-basis neural networks results in more predictive RANS models across a suite of low-speed and high-speed cases. For hypersonic boundary layers, the inclusion of the wall-normal Reynolds stress via TBNNs has an appreciable impact on the wall-normal momentum balance and wall quantities. However, we find that improvements to the Reynolds stress tensor do not address the over-prediction in wall heat flux in SBLIs. We find that a neural-network-based variable turbulent Prandtl number model systematically and substantially improves wall heating predictions for a range of SBLI cases.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Gradient flow based phase-field modeling using separable neural networks

Allen–Cahn equation is a reaction–diffusion equation and is widely used for modeling phase separation. Machine learning methods for solving the Allen–Cahn equation in its strong form suffer from inaccuracies in collocation techniques, errors in computing higher-order spatial derivatives, and the large system size required by the space–time approach. To overcome these challenges, we propose solving the gradient flow of the Ginzburg–Landau free energy functional, which is equivalent to the Allen–Cahn equation, thereby avoiding the second-order spatial derivatives associated with the Allen–Cahn equation. A minimizing movement scheme is employed to solve the gradient flow problem, eliminating the complexities of a space–time approach. We utilize a separable neural network that efficiently represents the phase field through low-rank tensor decomposition. As we use the minimizing movement scheme to numerically solve the gradient flow problem, we thus, refer to the proposed method as the Separable Deep Minimizing Movement (SDMM) method. The evaluation of the functional in the minimizing movement scheme using the Gauss quadrature technique bypasses the inaccuracies associated with collocation techniques traditionally used to solve partial differential equations. A hyperbolic tangent transformation is introduced on the phase field prior to the evaluation of the functional to ensure that it remains strictly bounded within the values of the two phases. For this transformation, theoretical guarantee for energy stability of the minimizing movement scheme is established. Our results suggest that this transformation helps to improve the accuracy and efficiency significantly. The proposed method resolves the challenges faced by state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, outperforming them in both accuracy and efficiency. It is also the first machine learning method to achieve an order of magnitude speed improvement over the finite element method. In addition to its formulation and computational implementation, several case studies illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Chapter 4: Physically informed deep learning networks for simulating microstructure evolution of 3D polycrystals

As discussed in the previous chapter, high energy diffraction microscopy (HEDM) is used to study the micromechanical evolution of a material during in situ loading. HEDM experiments have been used to verify crystal plasticity (CP) simulations [119, 91, 90, 120], for experimental planning, material design, and to further analyze experimental results. However, Fast Fourier transform-based CP (CP-FFT) or finite element-based CP (CP-FE) methods are often too slow to be used in real-time during an experiment. CP-FFT is faster than CP-FE simulations due to the absence of meshing, but can still take hours to simulate the response of a single volume depending on the size and number of strain steps [127]. Reducing computation time would create a larger exploration space in planning and design, and enable faster analysis of experimental results and real-time feedback during an experiment. This research expands upon previous works to develop a workflow for predicting the full-field evolution of a 3D polycrystal. The workflow is simplified from previous works to predict only orientation and elastic strain tensors (from which stress tensors are calculated). The network is physically informed through loss functions and network architecture for a more robust model. The orientation predictions are informed about the cubic crystal symmetry of the material by incorporating disorientation and misorientation information into the network architecture and loss. The Von Mises stress is used to enforce the correct stress-strain trends in the strain tensor predictions. Additional total strain steps from the elastic and elastoplastic region are included to better capture the stress-strain evolution at smaller total strain steps. Material and hardening parameters are additional inputs into the networks to further inform the network and to study the network’s ability to predict different materials other than those used for training.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Maximum Entropy Theory of Multiscale Coarse-Graining via Matching Thermodynamic Forces: Application to a Molecular Crystal (TATB)

The MSCG/FM (multiscale coarse-graining via force-matching) approach is an efficient supervised machine learning method to develop microscopically informed coarse-grained (CG) models. Here we present a theory based on the principle of maximum entropy (PME) enveloping the existing MSCG/FM approaches. This theory views the MSCG/FM method as a special case of matching the thermodynamic forces from the extended ensemble described by the set of thermodynamic (relevant) system coordinates. This set may include CG coordinates, the stress tensor, applied external fields, and so forth, and may be characterized by nonequilibrium conditions. Following the presentation of the theory, we discuss the consistent matching of both bonded and nonbonded interactions. The proposed PME formulation is used as a starting point to extend the MSCG/FM method to the constant strain ensemble, which together with the explicit matching of the bonded forces is better suited for coarse-graining anisotropic media at a submolecular resolution. The theory is demonstrated by performing the fine coarse-graining of crystalline 1,3,5-triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene (TATB), a well-known insensitive molecular energetic material, which exhibits highly anisotropic mechanical properties.

1,3,5-triamino-2,4,6-trinitrobenzene↗
DOE OSTI2023

Dimensionality Reduction with Variational Encoders Based on Subsystem Purification

Efficient methods for encoding and compression are likely to pave the way toward the problem of efficient trainability on higher-dimensional Hilbert spaces, overcoming issues of barren plateaus. Here, we propose an alternative approach to variational autoencoders to reduce the dimensionality of states represented in higher dimensional Hilbert spaces. To this end, we build a variational algorithm-based autoencoder circuit that takes as input a dataset and optimizes the parameters of a Parameterized Quantum Circuit (PQC) ansatz to produce an output state that can be represented as a tensor product of two subsystems by minimizing $Tr(ρ^2)$. The output of this circuit is passed through a series of controlled swap gates and measurements to output a state with half the number of qubits while retaining the features of the starting state in the same spirit as any dimension-reduction technique used in classical algorithms. The output obtained is used for supervised learning to guarantee the working of the encoding procedure thus developed. We make use of the Bars and Stripes (BAS) dataset for an 8 × 8 grid to create efficient encoding states and report a classification accuracy of 95% on the same. Thus, the demonstrated example provides proof for the working of the method in reducing states represented in large Hilbert spaces while maintaining the features required for any further machine learning algorithm that follows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Active- and transfer-learning applied to microscale-macroscale coupling to simulate viscoelastic flows

Active- and transfer-learning are applied to microscale dynamics of polymer flows for the multiscale discovery of effective constitutive approximations required in viscoelastic flow simulation. The result is macroscopic rheology directly connected to a microstructural model. Micro and macroscale simulations are adaptively coupled by means of Gaussian process regression (GPR) to run the expensive microscale computations only as necessary. This multiscale method is demonstrated with flows of a polymer solution as a model system. At the microscale level dissipative particle dynamics (DPD) is employed to model the fluid as a suspension of bead-spring micro-structures subjected to steady shear flow. The results yield the non-Newtonian viscosity and the first normal stress difference at strain rates as training data used in a GPR model. DPD parameters are calibrated with respect to experimental data for a real polymer solution. Compliance with these data requires adjustment of the DPD model's cutoff radius, which then becomes a function of the second invariant of the strain rate tensor. The FENE-P model is chosen for the macroscale description using the spectral element method (SEM) to simulate channel flow and flow past a circular cylinder. The DPD results at the lowest possible shear strain rate yield an estimate of the zero-shear rate viscosity, which allows the initiation of the macroscale flow by SEM as a Newtonian fluid. The resulting strain-rate field is surveyed to determine additional shear strain rate sampling points for the DPD system. This new information allows an initial fitting of parameters of the constitutive equation followed by new SEM simulations at the macroscale. Additionally, guided by active-learning GPR to select new sampling points, this process continues until convergence is achieved. The effectiveness of this new simulation paradigm for viscoelastic flows is tested with different macroscale operating conditions. The effective closure learned in the channel simulation is then transferred directly to the flow past a circular cylinder at low Reynolds number, where the results show that only two additional DPD simulations are required to achieve a satisfactory constitutive model. With an increase of the Reynolds number, the active-learning scheme automatically detects the inaccuracy of the learned constitutive model, and initiates additional DPD simulations for the extra data needed to once again close the microscale-macroscale coupled system. This new paradigm of active- and transfer-learning for multiscale modeling is readily applicable to other microscale-macroscale coupled simulations of complex fluids and other materials. Furthermore, the coupling between microscale and macroscale solvers can be seamlessly implemented with our open source multiscale universal interface (MUI) library.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cholesky-based experimental design for Gaussian process and kernel-based emulation and calibration.

Gaussian processes and other kernel-based methods are used extensively to construct approximations of multivariate data sets. The accuracy of these approximations is dependent on the data used. This paper presents a computationally efficient algorithm to greedily select training samples that minimize the weighted L p error of kernel-based approximations for a given number of data. The method successively generates nested samples, with the goal of minimizing the error in high probability regions of densities specified by users. The algorithm presented is extremely simple and can be implemented using existing pivoted Cholesky factorization methods. Training samples are generated in batches which allows training data to be evaluated (labeled) in parallel. For smooth kernels, the algorithm performs comparably with the greedy integrated variance design but has significantly lower complexity. Numerical experiments demonstrate the efficacy of the approach for bounded, unbounded, multi-modal and non-tensor product densities. We also show how to use the proposed algorithm to efficiently generate surrogates for inferring unknown model parameters from data using Bayesian inference.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hutchinson Trace Estimation for high-dimensional and high-order Physics-Informed Neural Networks

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have proven effective in solving partial differential equations (PDEs), especially when some data are available by seamlessly blending data and physics. However, extending PINNs to high-dimensional and even high-order PDEs encounters significant challenges due to the computational cost associated with automatic differentiation in the residual loss function calculation. Herein, we address the limitations of PINNs in handling high-dimensional and high-order PDEs by introducing the Hutchinson Trace Estimation (HTE) method. Starting with the second-order high-dimensional PDEs, which are ubiquitous in scientific computing, HTE is applied to transform the calculation of the entire Hessian matrix into a Hessian vector product (HVP). This approach not only alleviates the computational bottleneck via Taylor-mode automatic differentiation but also significantly reduces memory consumption from the Hessian matrix to an HVP’s scalar output. We further showcase HTE’s convergence to the original PINN loss and its unbiased behavior under specific conditions. Comparisons with the Stochastic Dimension Gradient Descent (SDGD) highlight the distinct advantages of HTE, particularly in scenarios with significant variability and variance among dimensions. We further extend the application of HTE to higher-order and higher-dimensional PDEs, specifically addressing the biharmonic equation. By employing tensor-vector products (TVP), HTE efficiently computes the colossal tensor associated with the fourth-order high-dimensional biharmonic equation, saving memory and enabling rapid computation. The effectiveness of HTE is illustrated through experimental setups, demonstrating comparable convergence rates with SDGD under memory and speed constraints. Additionally, HTE proves valuable in accelerating the Gradient-Enhanced PINN (gPINN) version as well as the Biharmonic equation. Overall, HTE opens up a new capability in scientific machine learning for tackling high-order and high-dimensional PDEs.

Curse of dimensionality↗
DOE OSTI2020

Research Introduction [Slides]

In the topic of Reverse Time Imaging, we proposed a new IC to reduce computation cost but reserve image resolution for distributed sensor networks. For Induced Seismicity in Oklahoma, we analyzed fault stress state analysis at state scale, and we applied machine learning techniques to polarity picking and seismicity rate forecasting. The results provide better understanding of fault properties, stress field, and the relationships among fault, stress state, injections, and potential seismic hazards. Lastly, for Microseismic Monitoring, we detected and located 770 low-frequency events (5-50 Hz): (1) Shallow events are highly clustered, consistent with the pathway from injection well 13-10A to monitoring well; moment tensor inversion shows dominant tensile cracking; (2) Deep events are scattered and show migration pattern to the basement; moment tensors show that most events are shear cracks.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Detecting Reactive Products in Carbon Capture Polymers with Chemical Shift Anisotropy and Machine Learning

Aminopolymers are attractive sorbents for CO 2 direct air capture applications due to their high density of amine groups, which can readily react with atmospheric levels of CO 2 to form chemisorbed species. The identity of these chemisorbed species and the functional groups that form upon oxidative degradation depends on both material properties and processing conditions, forming a variety of carbonyl-type sites such as ammonium carbamates, bicarbonates, carbonates, carbamic acids, ureas, and amides. 13 C solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) is often used to help elucidate the identity of these reacted species, but it is challenging due to the narrow chemical shift range of carbonyl sites. Herein, we demonstrate the application of a two-dimensional (2D) chemical shift anisotropy (CSA) recoupling pulse sequence (ROCSA) to obtain CSA tensor values at each isotropic chemical shift, overcoming limitations of isotropic peak resolution. CSA tensor values describe the local chemical environment and can readily differentiate between the chemisorbed and degradation products. To aid identification, we also developed a k-nearest neighbor (kNN) classification model to distinguish the functional groups via their CSA tensor parameters. This methodology was demonstrated on poly(ethylenimine) in γ-Al 2 O 3 exposed to CO 2 and showed that the chemisorbed products are ammonium carbamate and a mixed carbamate–carbamic acid species. The sample was analyzed again after desorption at 100 °C inducing mild degradation, and the remaining products were strongly bound carbamate and urea species. In conclusion, the combination of 2D CSA measurements coupled with a kNN classification model enhances the ability to accurately identify chemisorbed or degradation products in complex carbon capture materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Kernel fusion in atomistic spin dynamics simulations on Nvidia GPUs using tensor core

In atomistic spin dynamics simulations, the time cost of constructing the space- and time-displaced pair correlation function in real space increases quadratically as the number of spins N, leading to significant computational effort. The GEMM subroutine can be adopted to accelerate the calculation of the dynamical spin-spin correlation function, but the computational cost of simulating large spin systems (>40000 spins) on CPUs remains expensive. In this work, we perform the simulation on the graphics processing unit (GPU), a hardware solution widely used as an accelerator for scientific computing and deep learning. Here we show that GPUs can accelerate the simulation up to 25-fold compared to multi-core CPUs when using the GEMM subroutine on both. To hide memory latency, we fuse the element-wise operation into the GEMM kernel using CUTLASS that can improve the performance by 26% ~ 33% compared to implementation based on cuBLAS. Furthermore, we perform the on-the-fly calculation in the epilogue of the GEMM subroutine to avoid saving intermediate results on global memory, which makes the large-scale atomistic spin dynamics simulation feasible and affordable.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

The structure and migration of twin boundaries in tetragonal β -Sn: An application of machine learning based interatomic potentials

Although atomistic simulations have contributed significantly to our understanding of twin boundary structure and migration in metals and alloys with hexagonal close packed (HCP) crystal structures, few direct atomistic studies of twinning have been conducted for other types of low symmetry materials, in large part due to a lack of reliable interatomic potentials. In this work, we examine twin boundary structure and migration in a tetragonal material, β-Sn, comparing high resolution Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM) images of deformation twins in β-Sn to the results of direct atomistic simulations using multiple interatomic potentials. ML-based potentials developed in this work are found to give results consistent with our experimental data, revealing faceted twin boundary structures formed by the nucleation and motion of twinning disconnections. We use bicrystallographic methods in combination with atomistic simulations to analyze the structure, energy and shear coupled migration of observed twin facets in β-Sn. In analogy to Prismatic-Basal (PB/BP) interfaces in HCP metals, we discover low energy asymmetric Prismatic-A-plane (PA/AP) interfaces important to twin growth in β-Sn. Finally, a Moment Tensor Potential (MTP) and Rapid Artificial Neural Network (RANN) interatomic potential suitable for studying twinning and phase transformations in Sn are made publicly available as part of this work.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine-Learning-Based Multiscale Methods for 3D Modelling of Granular Materials by Incorporating History-Dependent State Variables

Over the past decades, the prevalence of machine learning (ML) methods has made the development of ML-based constitutive models for granular materials undoubtedly a popular subject. Numerous studies have been made to feature the loading path or history-dependent stress-strain response of granular media using neural networks. In this work, a novel finite element method (FEM)–ML multiscale approach was developed by incorporating internal variables to improve the simulation accuracy of 3D history-dependent granular materials for the first time. To this end, a surrogate constitutive model based on the single-step-based multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural network was used to replace representative volume element (RVE) simulations conducted by the discrete element method (DEM) in the multiscale FEM–DEM approach. Although the prediction principle of the MLP aligns with the FEM algorithm, artificially added internal variables are required to differentiate the loading history. To address this issue, history variables associated with the Frobenius norm are proposed to be fed into the MLP coupled with the strain tensor to extract the history-dependent behaviour of granular assemblies. The developed FEM–ML approach was demonstrated in 3D conventional triaxial compression (CTC) simulations. Compared to the multiscale FEM–DEM approach, the proposed FEM–ML method exhibits a significantly improved computational efficiency.

granular materials↗
DOE OSTI2026

AnisONet: A deep neural operator-based anisotropic permeability upscaler from pore to Darcy scale

Directional permeability variations, which govern directional fluid flow in porous media with anisotropy, are important to accurately predict flow behavior, reactive transport, and fluid–solid interactions for various processes such as enhanced geothermal systems, energy storage devices, and biological systems. However, the intricate architecture of porous media makes it difficult to predict directional permeabilities. In this work, we present a novel machine learning (ML) framework, AnisONet, built upon an integration of a convolutional neural network, Swin transformer, and the deep operator network architecture, designed to predict anisotropic permeability and upscale predictions to larger spatial domains. First, AnisONet was evaluated with three classes of two-dimensional (2D) porous media, including synthetic circular and elliptical grains and natural sandstone grains from micro-computed tomography images. A lattice Boltzmann model (LBM) was used to calculate directional permeabilities at every 10° angle, producing 19 data points per image of porous media. AnisONet is then trained to predict permeability as a function of rotation angle. AnisONet showed strong predictive capability of directional permeability. Second, we tested our model for five upscaling cases with a large image size in the finite-element method (FEM) for 2D Darcy flow with various permeability tensor construction methods. Overall, upscaled permeability tensors in FEM simulations produce a reasonably good match with LBM results, highlighting the importance of selecting appropriate tensor formation strategies for accurate permeability upscaling. AnisONet, as a directional permeability estimator, could be further developed for more complex geometries, with the potential to develop a foundational ML model for various applications in porous media.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing Short-Range Weather Forecasts through Temporal Variation Encoding: A Multiperiod Embedding Approach

Machine learning (ML) techniques have emerged as promising approaches to improve regional weather forecast accuracy and reliability through data-driven methods. We propose a novel ML-based weather forecasting model, the Multiperiod Embed Net (MPENet). A key distinguishing feature of MPENet is its explicit utilization of the inherent cyclic nature in weather dynamics, unlike the autoregressive strategies commonly used in other ML weather forecasting approaches. Critical cyclic structures are identified via Fourier analyses of dynamic time series. Cyclicity in the convolutional representation is achieved by transforming one-dimensional time series of meteorological variables into two-dimensional tensors based on identified periods. This approach enables the model to leverage intrinsic weather patterns, enhancing regional forecast performance. To demonstrate the effectiveness of MPENet, we conduct a comparative analysis with Nvidia’s FourCastNet. Both models are trained on High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) data from 2015 to 2022, over a 192 km × 192 km region in Tennessee. The comparisons are performed locally at two specific locations known to have different weather dynamics due to orographic effects: Crossville, on the relatively flat Cumberland Plateau with fewer topographic airflow disruptions, and Oak Ridge, in the ridge-and-valley region, where airflow is heavily influenced by surrounding valleys and mountains. Our results indicate that FourCastNet achieves strong accuracy at very short lead times, while MPENet maintains competitive skill and shows advantages in capturing temporal evolution over longer periods. Cross-correlation analyses of MPENet and FourCastNet predictions with the HRRR data suggest that encoding critical cyclicity into the network architecture leads to improvements in the forecasting skill.

Artificial intelligence↗