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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Extracting bb Higgs decay signals using multivariate techniques. W CLARKE SMITH (George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052) TIMOTHY BARKLOW (ATLAS group at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, Menlo Park, CA 94025)
NREL developed calibration models based on near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy coupled with multivariate statistics to predict compositional properties relevant to cellulosic biofuels production for a variety of sorghum cultivars. A robust calibration population was developed in an iterative fashion. The quality of models developed using the same sample geometry on two different types of NIR spectrometers and two different sample geometries on the same spectrometer did not vary greatly.
This report evaluates the chemistry of seep water occurring in three desert drainages near Shiprock, New Mexico: Many Devils Wash, Salt Creek Wash, and Eagle Nest Arroyo. Through the use of geochemical plotting tools and multivariate statistical analysis techniques, analytical results of samples collected from the three drainages are compared with the groundwater chemistry at a former uranium mill in the Shiprock area (the Shiprock site), managed by the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Legacy Management. The objective of this study was to determine, based on the water chemistry of the samples, if statistically significant patterns or groupings are apparent between the sample populations and, if so, whether there are any reasonable explanations for those groupings.
This report presents the mathematical de nition of a doubly-hierarchical one-way random e ects model for multivariate data.
Evidence suggests that exposure to elevated concentrations of air pollution during pregnancy is associated with increased risks of birth defects and other adverse birth outcomes. While current regulations put limits on total PM2.5 concentrations, there are many speciated pollutants within this size class that likely have distinct effects on perinatal health. However, due to correlations between these speciated pollutants, it can be difficult to decipher their effects in a model for birth outcomes. To combat this difficulty, we develop a multivariate spatio-temporal Bayesian model for speciated particulate matter using dynamic spatial factors. These spatial factors can then be interpolated to the pregnant women’s homes to be used to model birth defects. The birth defect model allows the impact of pollutants to vary across different weeks of the pregnancy in order to identify susceptible periods. Here, the proposed methodology is illustrated using pollutant monitoring data from the Environmental Protection Agency and birth records from the National Birth Defect Prevention Study.
This paper presents the use of in situ monitoring tools for molecular analysis of non-radioactive species found in the supernatant liquid and dissolvable salt cake of nuclear waste at Hanford. We have selected two in situ spectroscopic techniques that do not require any sample preparation or consumables: infrared (in the form of attenuated total reflectance Fourier transform infrared or ATR-FTIR) and Raman spectroscopy. This work aims to evaluate their performance for liquid waste simulants representative of the Hanford DFLAW (Direct Feed Low-Activity Waste) feed. In addition, we have evaluated the performance of four multivariate linear models that extract concentrations from spectral measurements for a data set that was designed to include key molecular species found in liquid low-activity waste. (authors)
The Van Allen radiation belts surrounding the Earth are filled with MeV-energy electrons. This region poses ionizing radiation risks for spacecraft that operate within it, including those in geostationary orbit (GEO) and medium Earth orbit. In order to provide alerts of electron flux enhancements, 16 prediction models of the electron log-flux variation throughout the equatorial outer radiation belt as a function of the McIlwain L parameter were developed using the multivariate autoregressive model and Kalman filter. Measurements of omnidirectional 2.3 MeV electron flux from the Van Allen Probes mission as well as >2 MeV electrons from the GOES 15 spacecraft were used as the predictors. Furthermore, we selected model explanatory parameters from solar wind parameters, the electron log-flux at GEO, and geomagnetic indices. For the innermost region of the outer radiation belt, the electron flux is best predicted by using the Dst index as the sole input parameter. For the central to outermost regions, at L≥4.8 and L ≥5.6, the electron flux is predicted most accurately by including also the solar wind velocity and then the dynamic pressure, respectively. The Dst index is the best overall single parameter for predicting at 3 ≤ L ≤ 6, while for the GEO flux prediction, the K P index is better than Dst. Finally, a test calculation demonstrates that the model successfully predicts the timing and location of the flux maximum as much as 2 days in advance and that the electron flux decreases faster with time at higher L values, both model features consistent with the actually observed behavior.
Here, sparse representations of atmospheric aerosols are needed for efficient regional- and global-scale chemical transport models. Here we introduce a new framework for representing aerosol distributions, based on the quadrature method of moments. Given a set of moment constraints, we show how linear programming, combined with an entropy-inspired cost function, can be used to construct optimized quadrature representations of aerosol distributions. The sparse representations derived from this approach accurately reproduce cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) activity for realistically complex distributions simulated by a particleresolved model. Additionally, the linear programming techniques described in this study can be used to bound key aerosol properties, such as the number concentration of CCN. Unlike the commonly used sparse representations, such as modal and sectional schemes, the maximum-entropy approach described here is not constrained to pre-determined size bins or assumed distribution shapes. This study is a first step toward a particle-based aerosol scheme that will track multivariate aerosol distributions with sufficient computational efficiency for large-scale simulations.
Ammonia synthesis from nitrate offers a promising approach for both nitrate removal and nitrogen recycling. In this study, a series of 2D multivariate-metal-organic frameworks (M 2 OFs) is synthesized, incorporating transition metals such as Co, Ni, Mn, and Ag to enhance these processes. These M 2 OFs exhibit remarkable ammonia production performance, with the highest performance achieved using the quaternary structure exceeding a current density of 1 A cm −2 at −0.8 V vs RHE, with an ammonia Faradic efficiency (F.E.) of ≈90%, and a yield rate of 68 mg h −1 cm −2 . Our findings reveal that the synergy among different metal centers in M 2 OFs provides a new efficient reaction pathway for nitrate reduction via surface hydrogen co-adsorption, a mechanism not attainable with single-metal MOFs.
Abstract Single‐atom catalysts (SACs) are of great interest because of their ultrahigh activity and selectivity. However, it is difficult to construct model SACs according to a general synthetic method, and therefore, discerning differences in activity of diverse single‐atom catalysts is not straightforward. Herein, a general strategy for synthesis of single‐atom metals implanted in N‐doped carbon (M 1 ‐N‐C; M=Fe, Co, Ni and Cu) has been developed starting from multivariate metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). The M 1 ‐N‐C catalysts, featuring identical chemical environments and supports, provided an ideal platform for differentiating the activity of single‐atom metal species. When employed in electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction, Ni 1 ‐N‐C exhibited a very high CO Faradaic efficiency (FE) up to 96.8 % that far surpassed Fe 1 ‐, Co 1 ‐ and Cu 1 ‐N‐C. Remarkably, the best‐performer, Ni 1 ‐N‐C, even demonstrated excellent CO FE at low CO 2 pressures, thereby representing a promising opportunity for the direct use of dilute CO 2 feedstock.
Single-atom catalysts (SACs) are of great interest because of their ultrahigh activity and selectivity. However, it is difficult to construct model SACs according to a general synthetic method, and therefore, discerning differences in activity of diverse single-atom catalysts is not straightforward. Herein, a general strategy for synthesis of single-atom metals implanted in N-doped carbon (M 1 -N-C; M=Fe, Co, Ni and Cu) has been developed starting from multivariate metal–organic frameworks (MOFs). The M 1 -N-C catalysts, featuring identical chemical environments and supports, provided an ideal platform for differentiating the activity of single-atom metal species. When employed in electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction, Ni 1 -N-C exhibited a very high CO Faradaic efficiency (FE) up to 96.8 % that far surpassed Fe 1 -, Co 1 - and Cu 1 -N-C. Remarkably, the best-performer, Ni1-N-C, even demonstrated excellent CO FE at low CO 2 pressures, thereby representing a promising opportunity for the direct use of dilute CO 2 feedstock.
We develop an adaptive, multivariate partitioning algorithm for solving nonconvex, Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Programs (MINLPs) with polynomial functions to global optimality. In particular, we present an iterative algorithm that exploits piecewise, convex relaxation approaches via disjunctive formulations to solve MINLPs that is different than conventional spatial branch-and-bound approaches. The algorithm partitions the domains of variables in an adaptive and non-uniform manner at every iteration to focus on productive areas of the search space. Furthermore, domain reduction techniques based on sequential, optimization-based bound-tightening and piecewise relaxation techniques, as a part of a presolve step, are integrated into the main algorithm. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm on well-known benchmark problems (including Pooling and Blending instances) from MINLPLib and compare our algorithm with state-of-the-art global optimization solvers. With our novel approach, we solve several large-scale instances, some of which are not solvable by state-of-the-art solvers. We also succeed in reducing the best known optimality gap for a hard, generalized pooling problem instance.
The reliability of chemical processes can be greatly improved by implementing inline monitoring systems. Combining multivariate analysis with non-destructive sensors can enhance the process without interfering with the operation. Here, we present here hierarchical models using both principal component analysis and partial least square analysis developed for different chemical components representative of solvent extraction process streams. A training set of 380 samples and an external validation set of 95 samples were prepared and Near infrared and Raman spectral data as well as conductivity under variable temperature conditions were collected. The results from the models indicate that careful selection of the spectral range is important. By compressing the data through Principal Component Analysis (PCA), we lower the rank of the data set to its most dominant features while maintaining the key principal components to be used in the regression analysis. Within the studied data set, concentration of five chemical components were modeled; total nitrate (NO 3 - ), total acid (H + ), neodymium (Nd 3+ ), sodium (Na + ), and ionic strength (I.S.). The best overall model prediction for each of the species studied used a combined data set comprised of complementary techniques including NIR, Raman, and conductivity. Finally, our study shows that chemometric models are powerful but requires significant amount of carefully analyzed data to capture variations in the chemistry.
Imidazolium acetate ionic liquids (ILs) have been utilized as promising solvents in many applications that involve varying water content and temperature. These experimental variables affect the anion-cation intermolecular interactions, which in turn influence the performance of the ILs in these applications. Here, this paper shows Raman spectroscopy can be used as an operando method to measure water content in IL solvents when simultaneous temperature changes may occur. The Raman spectra of 1-alkyl-3-methylimidazolium acetate ILs (alkyl chain length n = 2, 4, 6, 8) with varying water content (from 0.028 to 0.899 water mole fraction) and temperature (from 78.1 K to 423.1 K) were measured. Increasing the water content or decreasing the temperature of the tested ILs weakens the anion-cation intermolecular interactions. The water content of these ILs can be quantified even in conditions when the temperature is changing using Raman spectroscopy combined with multivariate regression analysis, including principal component regression (PCR), partial-least-squares regression (PLSR), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The ANN model combined with partial-least-squares (PLS) achieves the highest prediction accuracy of water content in ILs at varying temperatures (RMSECV = 0.017, R 2 CV = 99.1%, RMSEP = 0.019, R 2 P = 98.8%, RPD = 8.93). Raman spectroscopy provides a potential fast non-destructive operando method to monitor the water content of ILs even in applications when the temperature may be simultaneously altered; this information can lead to the optimized use of these ILs in many applications.
Our study investigates the Multivariate Poisson-lognormal (MVPLN) model that jointly models crash frequency and severity accounting for correlations. The ordinary univariate count models analyze crashes of different severity level separately ignoring the correlations among severity levels. The MVPLN model is capable to incorporate the general correlation structure and takes account of the over dispersion in the data that leads to a superior data fitting. But, the traditional estimation approach for MVPLN model is computationally expensive, which often limits the use of MVPLN model in practice. In this work, a parallel sampling scheme is introduced to improve the original Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimation approach of the MVPLN model, which significantly reduces the model estimation time. Two MVPLN models are developed using the pedestrian vehicle crash data collected in New York City from 2002 to 2006, and the highway-injury data from Washington State (5-year data from 1990 to 1994) The Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) is used to evaluate the model fitting. The estimation results show that the MVPLN models provide a superior fit over univariate Poisson-lognormal (PLN), univariate Poisson, and Negative Binomial models. Moreover, the correlations among the latent effects of different severity levels are found significant in both datasets that justifies the importance of jointly modeling crash frequency and severity accounting for correlations.
In this study, an efficient Bayesian framework equipped with a multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) technique is developed to alleviate computational burdens encountered in a conventional Bayesian inversion of a geothermal prospect. Fast MARS models are developed from training dataset generated by CPU-intensive hydrothermal models and used as surrogate of high-fidelity physical models in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. This Bayesian inference with MARS-enabled MCMC method is used to reduce prior estimates of uncertainty in structural or characteristic hydrothermal flow parameters of the model to posterior distributions. A geothermal prospect near Superstition Mountain in Imperial County of California in USA is used to illustrate the proposed framework and demonstrate the computational efficiency of MARS-based Bayesian inversion. The developed MARS models are also used to efficiently drive calculation of Sobol’ total sensitivity indices. Furthermore, only top sensitive parameters are included in Bayesian inference to further improve the computational efficiency of inversion. Sensitivity analysis also confirms that water circulation through high permeable structures, rather than heat conduction through impermeable granite, is the primary heat transfer method. The presented framework is demonstrated an efficient tool to update knowledge of geothermal prospects by inversing field data. Although only thermal data is used in this study, other type of data, such as flow and transport observations, can be jointly used in this method for underground hydrocarbon reservoirs.
Electrochemical reduction of CO 2 gas is a novel CO 2 utilization technique that has the potential to mitigate the global climate crisis caused by anthropogenic CO 2 emissions, and enable the large-scale storage of energy generated from renewable sources in the form of carbon-based chemicals and fuels. However, due to the complexity of the electrochemical reactions, the explicit first-principles models for CO2 reduction are not available yet, and there has been a limited effort to develop process modeling, optimization and control of CO 2 electrochemical reactors. To this end, a rotating cylinder electrode (RCE) reactor has been constructed at UCLA to understand the mass transfer and reaction kinetics effects separately on the productivity. In the RCE reactor, the applied potential strongly influences the reaction energetics and the electrode rotation speed affects the hydrodynamic boundary layer and modifies the film mass transfer coefficient, which involves convective and diffusive transport. Further, the present work aims to develop a multi-input multi-output (MIMO) control scheme for the RCE reactor that integrates techniques from artificial and recurrent neural network modeling, nonlinear optimization, and process controller design. Specifically, production rates of two products from the experimental reactor, ethylene and carbon monoxide, are controlled by manipulating two inputs, applied potential and catalyst rotation speed. Process dynamics and controllability are analyzed, a feedback control strategy is designed and the controllers are tuned accordingly. The experimental electrochemical cell is employed to gather data for process modeling and implement the multivariable control system. Finally, the experimental results are presented which demonstrate excellent closed-loop performance by the control system and regulation of the outputs at three different set-points including an economically-optimal set-point.
Non-targeted analysis of complex chemical mixtures can be difficult considering the convoluted nature of the matrix and the potential unknown chemical differences between samples or classes of samples. Ultrahigh pressure liquid chromatography coupled to quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry (UHPLC-QTOF) is an ideal technique to probe chemical differences for a wide variety of samples. While UHPLC-QTOF can discover minute chemical differences down to low part per billion (ppb) concentrations with a high degree of confidence, the application of high-resolution mass spectrometry can yield massive amounts of information (∼ 10 gb per sample) that cannot be analyzed manually. Therefore, the application of chemometric techniques is mandatory for the interrogation of complex samples. Fisher's ratio (FR) assisted multivariate curve resolution-alternating least squares (MCR-ALS) was used to the discover and identify the chemical differences between two classes of materials: 1) a pond water matrix and 2) the matrix spiked with a pharmaceutical standard mix containing 17 compounds. Thirteen of the seventeen spiked compounds were discovered using FR analysis, and then five were successfully deconvoluted using MCR-ALS wherein the number of curves chosen were automatically determined using singular value decomposition (SVD). In conclusion, the use of an automated FR assisted MCR-ALS will aid in discovering trace levels of chemical components without the need for the researcher to provide potentially biased input which will aid in non-targeted workflow.