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At least 145 records · Page 8

Surface and subsurface oceanographic features drive forage fish distributions and aggregations: Implications for prey availability to top predators in the US Northeast Shelf ecosystem

Abstract Forage fishes are a critical food web link in marine ecosystems, aggregating in a hierarchical patch structure over multiple spatial and temporal scales. Surface‐level forage fish aggregations (FFAs) represent a concentrated source of prey available to surface‐ and shallow‐foraging marine predators. Existing survey and analysis methods are often imperfect for studying forage fishes at scales appropriate to foraging predators, making it difficult to quantify predator–prey interactions. In many cases, general distributions of forage fish species are known; however, these may not represent surface‐level prey availability to predators. Likewise, we lack an understanding of the oceanographic drivers of spatial patterns of prey aggregation and availability or forage fish community patterns. Specifically, we applied Bayesian joint species distribution models to bottom trawl survey data to assess species‐ and community‐level forage fish distribution patterns across the US Northeast Continental Shelf (NES) ecosystem. Aerial digital surveys gathered data on surface FFAs at two project sites within the NES, which we used in a spatially explicit hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the abundance and size of surface FFAs. We used these models to examine the oceanographic drivers of forage fish distributions and aggregations. Our results suggest that, in the NES, regions of high community species richness are spatially consistent with regions of high surface FFA abundance. Bathymetric depth drove both patterns, while subsurface features, such as mixed layer depth, primarily influenced aggregation behavior and surface features, such as sea surface temperature, sub‐mesoscale eddies, and fronts influenced forage fish diversity. In combination, these models help quantify the availability of forage fishes to marine predators and represent a novel application of spatial models to aerial digital survey data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Application of the Multi-Species, Multi-Reaction Model to Coal-Derived Graphite for Lithium-Ion Batteries

Graphite is a critical material used as the negative electrode in lithium-ion batteries. Both natural and synthetic graphites are utilized, with the latter obtained from a range of carbon raw materials. In this paper, efforts to synthesize graphite from coal as a domestic feedstock for synthetic graphite are reported. Domestic coal-derived graphite could address national security and energy issues by standing up domestic supply chains for battery critical materials. The performance in lithium-ion coin cells of this coal derived graphite is compared to a commercial battery-grade graphite. For the first time, a multi-species, multi-reaction (MSMR) modeling technique is applied to synthetic graphite derived from coal. Key thermodynamic, transport, and kinetic parameters are obtained for the coal derived graphite and compared to the same parameters for commercial battery-grade graphite. Modeling of synthetic graphites will allow for virtual evaluation of these materials toward production of domestically sourced graphite.

Paul, Abigail (ORCID:0000000172892069)↗

Regional Distribution Models with Lack of Proximate Predictors: Africanized Honeybees Expanding North

Species distribution models have often been hampered by poor local species data, reliance on coarse-scale climate predictors and the assumption that species-environment relationships, even with non-proximate predictors, are consistent across geographical space. Yet locally accurate maps of invasive species, such as the Africanized honeybee (AHB) in North America, are needed to support conservation efforts. Current AHB range maps are relatively coarse and are inconsistent with observed data. Our aim was to improve distribution maps using more proximate predictors (phenology) and using regional models rather than one across the entire range of interest to explore potential differences in drivers.

PRedictors↗

Propagation Model for Cosmic Ray Species in the Galaxy

During the last decade there have been a number of space and balloon experiments with improved sensivity and statistics, which impose stricter constraints on cosmic ray propagation models. Propagation is the main issue in the interpretation of such data as antiproton and positron fluxes in cosmic rays, and diffuse gamma-ray emission. We develop a new propagation model that reproduces measurements of secondary antiprotons as well as primary and secondary nuclei. We will present results of our calculation of CR propagation in the Galaxy for this model using the GALPROP code.

White, Nicholas E.↗

Numerical Model for Cosmic Rays Species Production and Propagation in the Galaxy

In recent years, considerable progress has been made in studying the propagation and origin of cosmic rays, as new and more accurate data have become available. Many models have been developed to study cosmic ray interactions and propagation showed flexibility in resembling various astrophysical conditions and good agreement with observational data. However, some astrophysical problems cannot be addressed using these models, such as the stochastic nature of the cosmic rays source, small-scale structures and inhomogeneities in the interstellar gas that can affect radioactive secondary abundance in cosmic rays. We have developed a new model and a corresponding computer code that can address some of these limitations. The model depends on the expansion of the backward stochastic solution of the general diffusion transport equation (Zhang 1999) starting from an observer position to solve a group of diffusion transport equations each of which represents a particular element or isotope of cosmic ray nuclei. In this paper we are focusing on key abundance ratios such as B/C, sub-Fe/Fe, (10)Be/(9)Be, (26)Al/(27)Al, (36)Cl/(37)Cl and (54)Mn/(55)Mn, which all have well established cross sections, to evaluate our model. The effect of inhomogeneity in the interstellar medium is investigated. The contribution of certain cosmic ray nuclei to the production of other nuclei is addressed. The contribution of various galactic locations to the production of cosmic ray nuclei observed at solar system is also investigated.

Farahat, Ashraf↗

Model-Based Estimation of Sampling-Caused Uncertainty in Aerosol Remote Sensing for Climate Research Applications

To evaluate the effect of sampling frequency on the global monthly mean aerosol optical thickness (AOT), we use 6 years of geographical coordinates of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) L2 aerosol data, daily global aerosol fields generated by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies General Circulation Model and the chemical transport models Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport, Spectral Radiationtransport Model for Aerosol Species and Transport Model 5, at a spatial resolution between 1.125 deg × 1.125 deg and 2 deg × 3◦: the analysis is restricted to 60 deg S-60 deg N geographical latitude. We found that, in general, the MODIS coverage causes an underestimate of the global mean AOT over the ocean. The long-term mean absolute monthly difference between all and dark target (DT) pixels was 0.01-0.02 over the ocean and 0.03-0.09 over the land, depending on the model dataset. Negative DT biases peak during boreal summers, reaching 0.07-0.12 (30-45% of the global long-term mean AOT). Addition of the Deep Blue pixels tempers the seasonal dependence of the DT biases and reduces the mean AOT difference over land by 0.01-0.02. These results provide a quantitative measure of the effect the pixel exclusion due to cloud contamination, ocean sun-glint and land type has on the MODIS estimates of the global monthly mean AOT. We also simulate global monthly mean AOT estimates from measurements provided by pixel-wide along-track instruments such as the Aerosol Polarimetry Sensor and the Cloud-Aerosol LiDAR with Orthogonal Polarization. We estimate the probable range of the global AOT standard error for an along-track sensor to be 0.0005-0.0015 (ocean) and 0.0029-0.01 (land) or 0.5-1.2% and 1.1-4% of the corresponding global means. These estimates represent errors due to sampling only and do not include potential retrieval errors. They are smaller than or comparable to the published estimate of 0.01 as being a climatologically significant change in the global mean AOT, suggesting that sampling density is unlikely to limit the use of such instruments for climate applications at least on a global, monthly scale.

long-term variability↗

Comparisons of Mixing Efficiency for the Strut Fuel Injector Obtained from Large-Eddy and Reynolds-Averaged Simulations, and Experiments

Mixing efficiency is obtained for a strut fuel injector at hypervelocity flow conditions by using large-eddy simulations (LES), Reynolds-averaged simulations (RAS), and experiments. The injector and flow conditions have been previously investigated by using RAS and experiments as a part of the Enhanced Injection and Mixing Project (EIMP) at the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC). Because the fidelity of LES is a strong function of the grid, the mixing efficiency is obtained on two grids, the coarser of which is a factor of two coarser in each of the three dimensions with respect to the fine grid. The RAS uses the two-equation linear eddy viscosity and diffusivity modeling of Menter. In RAS, the species diffusivity model exhibits a strong dependence on the turbulent Schmidt number, which is often adjusted until some metric of engineering interest, such as the mixing efficiency, matches the experimental data. In the absence of experimental data, scale-resolving simulations, such as LES, have been proposed as surrogates for experiments that could provide the data needed to “calibrate” the turbulent Schmidt number in the RAS models. This approach is followed because LES requires significantly more computational resources (CPU, data storage, and time) than RAS, making it prohibitive for use in many engineering applications and specifically for parameter exploration or optimization. Here we examine the mixing efficiency obtained from several RAS with different values of the turbulent Schmidt number, and compare the results with those obtained from the LES and experiments. In addition, the least squares fitting approach was used to demonstrate how to obtain an estimate for the turbulent Schmidt number from LES analytically. These estimates were then used together with prior knowledge about RAS model sensitivity to select a turbulence model that was expected to best match the LES data.

LES↗

Comparisons of Mixing Efficiency for the Strut Fuel Injector Obtained from Large-Eddy and Reynolds-Averaged Simulations, and Experiments

Mixing efficiency is obtained for a strut fuel injector at hypervelocity flow conditions by using large-eddy simulations (LES), Reynolds-averaged simulations (RAS), and experiments. The injector and flow conditions have been previously investigated by using RAS and experiments as a part of the Enhanced Injection and Mixing Project (EIMP) at the NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC). Because the fidelity of LES is a strong function of the grid, the mixing efficiency is obtained on two grids, the coarser of which is a factor of two coarser in each of the three dimensions with respect to the fine grid. The RAS uses the two-equation linear eddy viscosity and diffusivity modeling of Menter. In RAS, the species diffusivity model exhibits a strong dependence on the turbulent Schmidt number, which is often adjusted until some metric of engineering interest, such as the mixing efficiency, matches the experimental data. In the absence of experimental data, scale-resolving simulations, such as LES, have been proposed as surrogates for experiments that could provide the data needed to “calibrate” the turbulent Schmidt number in the RAS models. This approach is followed because LES requires significantly more computational resources (CPU, data storage, and time) than RAS, making it prohibitive for use in many engineering applications and specifically for parameter exploration or optimization. Here we examine the mixing efficiency obtained from several RAS with different values of the turbulent Schmidt number, and compare the results with those obtained from the LES and experiments. In addition, the least squares fitting approach was used to demonstrate how to obtain an estimate for the turbulent Schmidt number from LES analytically. These estimates were then used together with prior knowledge about RAS model sensitivity to select a turbulence model that was expected to best match the LES data.

LES↗

Spatial Bayesian models project shifts in suitable habitat for Pacific Northwest tree species under climate change

Abstract We developed spatial Bayesian hierarchical models to assess potential climate change impacts on suitable habitat for five important tree species in the Pacific northwestern United States (California, Oregon, and Washington). Individual‐species models were fit with presence–absence data from forest inventory field plots and spatial relationships were specified through a conditional autoregressive model. This modeling approach allowed us to visualize uncertainty in response curves, map current and future prediction uncertainty, and provide interval estimates for change. Upward elevational or northward latitudinal shifts in climatically suitable habitat were projected for all species. Climate change impacts were the most damaging for noble fir ( Abies procera ), for which 79%–100% of the current range was projected to become climatically unsuitable by the 2080s. Although coastal Douglas‐fir ( Pseudotsuga menziesii var. menziesii ) has been projected by others to gain habitat in Canada, within our study area we projected a net loss of climatically suitable habitat (ca. 8000–31,400 km 2 ) under three of four future climate scenarios. A net loss in habitat was also projected for Oregon white oak ( Quercus garryana ) under three of four scenarios, with 40%–60% of the current range becoming unsuitable. Although there was no net loss of habitat for forest land blue oak under any scenario, other factors like competition may inhibit blue oak ( Quercus douglasii ) and white oak from occupying areas projected to increase in climatic suitability. Additionally, between 13% and 32% of blue oak's current range was projected to become unsuitable; some of these areas aligned with dieback following the 2012–2015 California drought, which our data set predates. Unlike the other four species, we projected a 17%–25% increase in climatically suitable habitat for California black oak ( Quercus kelloggii ), although 1%–20% of the current range was still projected to become unsuitable. Our findings indicate that, although some species will face more pressure in tracking climatically suitable habitat than others, climate change will impact the location of suitable habitat for many species.

Kralicek, Karin↗

Rotating cylinder electrode in reactive CO 2 capture: Identifying active C species via transport, VLE models and kinetics

Here, this article explores technical challenges and potential methodologies for understanding electrochemical Reactive CO 2 Capture (RCC) mechanisms. RCC offers potential energy cost advantages by directly converting captured CO 2 into fuels and chemicals, unlike traditional carbon capture and utilization (CCU) processes that require sequential capture, concentration, and compression. However, direct conversion of captured CO 2 introduces complexity due to additional equilibrium buffer reactions, making it challenging to identify active species for reduction in electrochemical studies. This article discusses methods to integrate transport, thermodynamics, and kinetics concepts to identify active carbon sources in RCC. Vapor‐Liquid Equilibrium (VLE) and transport models are validated against experimental results obtained in a gastight rotating cylinder electrode reactor and are shown as useful tools for studying RCC in heterogeneous electrocatalysts across different capture agents, solvents, and temperatures. This article establishes an experimental framework for advancing research in electrochemical RCC.

Electrocatalysis↗

Revisiting the Bonding Model for Gold(I) Species: The Importance of Pauli Repulsion Revealed in a Gold(I)‐Cyclobutadiene Complex

Abstract Understanding the bonding of gold(I) species has been central to the development of gold(I) catalysis. Herein, we present the synthesis and characterization of the first gold(I)‐cyclobutadiene complex, accompanied with bonding analysis by state‐of‐the‐art energy decomposition analysis methods. Analysis of possible coordination modes for the new species not only confirms established characteristics of gold(I) bonding, but also suggests that Pauli repulsion is a key yet hitherto overlooked element. Additionally, we obtain a new perspective on gold(I)‐bonding by comparison of the gold(I)‐cyclobutadiene to congeners stabilized by p‐, d‐, and f‐block metals. Consequently, we refine the gold(I) bonding model, with a delicate interplay of Pauli repulsion and charge transfer as the key driving force for various coordination motifs. Pauli repulsion is similarly determined as a significant interaction in Au I ‐alkyne species, corroborating this revised understanding of Au I bonding.

Wong, Zeng Rong↗

Revisiting the Bonding Model for Gold(I) Species: The Importance of Pauli Repulsion Revealed in a Gold(I)–Cyclobutadiene Complex

Understanding the bonding of gold(I) species has been central to the development of gold(I) catalysis. Herein, we present the synthesis and characterization of the first gold(I)-cyclobutadiene complex, accompanied with bonding analysis by state-of-the-art energy decomposition analysis methods. Analysis of possible coordination modes for the new species not only confirms established characteristics of gold(I) bonding, but also suggests that Pauli repulsion is a key yet hitherto overlooked element. Additionally, we obtain a new perspective on gold(I)-bonding by comparison of the gold(I)-cyclobutadiene to congeners stabilized by p-, d-, and f-block metals. Consequently, we refine the gold(I) bonding model, with a delicate interplay of Pauli repulsion and charge transfer as the key driving force for various coordination motifs. Finally, Pauli repulsion is similarly determined as a significant interaction in Au I -alkyne species, corroborating this revised understanding of Au I bonding.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Kinetic and Transport Modeling for Entry Flows in Hydrogen-Helium Atmospheres

Several different thermochemical models for H2/He mixtures are used to simulate a 1-D shock in a viscous CFD code at conditions relevant for hypersonic entry into the ice and gas giants. These models range from a 6-species, 1-temperature (1-T) model, to more complex 17 and 25-species state-to-state (StS) models. Corresponding radiance profiles for each of these models are then computed using a radiation code, and results are compared to experimental data from the NASA Ames Electric Arc Shock Tube (EAST) facility. Overall, the 6-species model with a quasi-steady state (QSS) solver for atomic H and modified ionization rates, along with the 17 and 25-species StS models, are found to reproduce the magnitude of the radiance seen in the EAST experiments reasonably accurately. Two additional changes to the modeling of species diffusion fluxes are also investigated: the exclusion of a ∇W term, as well as the inclusion of Soret/ Dufour effects. It is determined that these changes to the transport modeling have a negligible impact on the flowfield and therefore the radiance predictions for the H2/He shock conditions considered in this study.

Outer planets↗

Modeling Stratospheric Constituents: Reactive Species That Regulate Ozone

Photochemical loss of stratospheric ozone occurs primarily by catalytic cycles whose rates are limited by the concentration of OH, HO2, NO2, ClO, and/or BrO as well as the concentration of either atomic oxygen or of ozone itself. Once the concentrations of these gases are established, the photochemical loss rate of O3 depends on the rate coefficient of only a handful of key reactions. We have developed a method for testing our understanding of stratospheric ozone photochemistry by comparing measured and modeled concentrations of reactive hydrogen, nitrogen, chlorine and bromine radicals using a photochemical steady state model constrained by observed concentrations of long-lived precursors (e.g., NO(y), Cl(y), Br(y), O3, H2O, CH4) and environmental parameters such as ozone column, reflectivity, and aerosol surface area. We will show based on analyses of observations obtained by aircraft, balloon, and satellite platforms during the POLARIS campaign that our overall understanding of the processes that regulate these radical species is very good. The most notable current discrepancies are the tendency to underestimate observed NO2 by 15 to 30% for air masses that experience near continuous solar illumination over a 24 hour period and the tendency to underestimate observed OH and H02 by about 10 to 20% during midday and by much larger amounts at high solar zenith angle (SZA > 85). Possible resolutions to these discrepancies will be discussed. This study was carried out in close collaboration with many members of the POLARIS science team.

Salawitch, Ross J.↗

Evolutionary lineage explains trait variation among 75 coexisting grass species

Summary Evolutionary history plays a key role driving patterns of trait variation across plant species. For scaling and modeling purposes, grass species are typically organized into C 3 vs C 4 plant functional types (PFTs). Plant functional type groupings may obscure important functional differences among species. Rather, grouping grasses by evolutionary lineage may better represent grass functional diversity. We measured 11 structural and physiological traits in situ from 75 grass species within the North American tallgrass prairie. We tested whether traits differed significantly among photosynthetic pathways or lineages (tribe) in annual and perennial grass species. Critically, we found evidence that grass traits varied among lineages, including independent origins of C 4 photosynthesis. Using a rigorous model selection approach, tribe was included in the top models for five of nine traits for perennial species. Tribes were separable in a multivariate and phylogenetically controlled analysis of traits, owing to coordination of important structural and ecophysiological characteristics. Our findings suggest grouping grass species by photosynthetic pathway overlooks variation in several functional traits, particularly for C 4 species. These results indicate that further assessment of lineage‐based differences at other sites and across other grass species distributions may improve representation of C 4 species in trait comparison analyses and modeling investigations.

Donnelly, Ryan C.↗

Overview of Predictive Simulation Capability Development for Crater Evolution and Ejecta in Continuum/Rarefied Flows

As part of the Game Changing Development (GCD) Program funded by NASA’s Space Technology Mission Directorate (STMD), the development of simulation capability for the prediction of extra-terrestrial plume surface interaction (PSI) environments has been undertaken by the Fluid Dynamics Branch at NASA/MSFC. The Predictive Simulation Capability (PSC) Element is focused on creating simulation capability for the reliable and accurate prediction of PSI in Martian (~650 Pa) and Lunar (vacuum) ambient environments. In this paper, an overview and brief status on one area of capability development through this GCD PSI project, capturing the effects of mixed continuum/rarefied flow on crater development and ejecta sheets, is presented with respect to capability enhancements, predictive tool maturation, and validation of the Loci/GGFS tool against PSI data in Martian and Lunar environments. Axisymmetric modeling, overset mesh/moving mesh, and multiple-species mixture modeling capabilities are verified against Loci/CHEM, and a demonstration of the capabilities is presented for the Apollo Lunar Module.

Andrew Weaver↗