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At least 145 records · Page 8

Karhunen–Loève deep learning method for surrogate modeling and approximate Bayesian parameter estimation

We evaluate the performance of the Karhunen-Loève Deep Neural Network (KL-DNN) framework for surrogate modeling and approximate Bayesian parameter estimation in partial differential equation models. In the surrogate model, the Karhunen-Loève (KL) expansions are used for the dimensionality reduction of the number of unknown parameters and variables, and a deep neural network is employed to relate the reduced space of parameters to that of the state variables. The KL-DNN surrogate model is used to formulate a maximum-a-posteriori-like least-squares problem, which is randomized to draw samples of the posterior distribution of the parameters. We test the proposed framework for a hypothetical unconfined aquifer via comparison with the forward MODFLOW and inverse PEST++ iterative ensemble smoother (IES) solutions as well as the state-of-the-art Fourier neural operator (FNO) and deep operator networks (DeepONets) operator learning surrogate models. Our results show that the KL-DNN surrogate model outperforms FNO and DeepONet for forward predictions. For solving inverse problems, the randomized algorithm provides the same or more accurate Bayesian predictions of the parameters than IES as evidenced by the higher log-predictive probability of both the estimated parameter field and the forecast hydraulic head. The posterior mean obtained from the randomized algorithm is closer to the reference parameter field than that obtained with FNO as the maximum a posteriori estimate.

Approximate Bayesian inference↗

The contributions of microclimatic information in advancing ecosystem science

Drawing upon over 100 years of scholarly work on microclimate, we first present an overview of the history, key references, and critical issues surrounding the collection and utilization of microclimate records in ecosystem studies. We place particular emphasis on addressing specific and pressing issues related to the applications of microclimate at the community-ecosystem-landscape level, excluding those of controlled experiment such as growth chambers and greenhouses. Specifically, we: (1) highlight some key issues concerning the collection, quality assurance/quality control (QA/QC), and utilization of microclimatic data in ecosystem studies; (2) revisit microclimatic responses to the structural changes of ecosystems and landscapes; and (3) emphasize the significance of microclimate in understanding major ecosystem/landscape processes and functions. Vapor pressure deficit (VPD) is particularly emphasized for its calculation and use because of its burgeoning applications in the literature. Case studies for each of the three thematic topics are provided with selected references to demonstrate challenges and solutions. As the scientific community gears up to enhance microclimatic stations, we envision significant increases in the use of smart sensors, wireless access, networking, open databases, and computational capabilities. Understanding and addressing some of the issues raised in this synthesis paper may help advance microclimate research and foster collaboration with other relevant disciplines, such as ecosystem science.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) option for the conversion of FRM II

The Forschungs-Neutronenquelle Heinz Maier-Leibnitz (FRM II) is Germany’s most powerful research reactor and uses Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) fuel enriched at 93 %. The Technical University of Munich (TUM) operates the reactor and has been mandated to convert the FRM II to a lower-enrichment fuel. In preparation for the lower-enrichment fuel downselection, planned for 2023, TUM is evaluating multiple conversion scenarios. In this paper, it is demonstrated that a conversion of FRM II to Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) is scientifically possible when using the novel monolithic U-10Mo fuel system, which is currently in the qualification process. As a research reactor, safety criteria, neutron flux distribution and cycle length are key metrics. To begin, neutronic and thermal-hydraulic models were created based on current technical drawings and relevant material properties. Specifically tailored computational methods and coupling schemes have also been developed to properly evaluate all relevant characteristics for the conversion of the FRM II reactor. Using these models and methods, a systematic parameter study was performed to explore the defined design space. The results of that study indicate that many LEU designs using monolithic U-10Mo appear to be viable to convert FRM II to LEU. One example of an LEU solution for the FRM II reactor that fulfills the stated safety, compatibility and scientific performance requirements is discussed in more detail.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A critical literature review of the advances in methane dehydroaromatization over multifunctional metal-promoted zeolite catalysts

We report the drastic rise in shale gas production has encouraged the quest for alternative uses of methane as a chemical feedstock in the manufacturing industry. While two-step syngas routes for methane valorization are deployed commercially, direct one-step routes for methane conversion are attracting much attention. As steam cracking installations have shifted from using oil-based naphtha to shale-based natural gas liquids, production of aromatics has dropped. Methane dehydroaromatization (MDA) is a one-step reaction capable of valorizing methane to hydrogen and benzene. Challenges with the MDA reaction are two-fold: the reaction is thermodynamically limited with low one-pass methane conversion and even the best catalytic systems, Mo/zeolites, suffer rapid deactivation from coking. A catalyst design strategy to improve stability is the use of multifunctional Mo-X/zeolite systems where X is a dopant capable of modulating the stability. In this paper we provide a complete overview of the main Mo-X/zeolite systems used in MDA and critically draw connections among the different types of dopants (X) employed, as a function of the role they play in the reaction/deactivation pathway. We have also dedicated a section to emerging trends with non-Mo based catalysts. The goal of this review article is to establish a basis that will facilitate the identification of useful multifunctional catalytic systems, and recognize gaps in the knowledge of these systems that deserve more attention. Improving MDA systems to the point to which they can be commercially deployed requires a multifaceted approach that combines optimization of the designs of both the catalyst and the reactor configuration. We therefore also provide a brief overview of the most recent advances in process intensification strategies employed with different reactor configurations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Controlled workplace charging of electric vehicles: The impact of rate schedules on transformer aging

To accelerate adoption of non-residential charging for electric vehicles, sites must maximize utilization of existing electrical infrastructure. In this study we model electric vehicle charging at a workplace using real charging data and evaluate the lifetime of the site’s transformer as the number of charging stations is incrementally increased. We implement and compare a range of control schemes for workplace charging including minimizing the peak load, capping the total load, minimizing bills under different rate structures with time-of-use energy costs and demand charges, and directly minimizing the transformer’s aging. These are compared by the number of vehicles they allow the transformer to support, the transformer’s health, and the operator’s electricity bill. We draw a connection between minimizing the peak load and improving the transformer’s health. We observe that minimizing the electricity bill is the best scheme by both criteria when the bill includes a demand charge; in our experiment it allowed the infrastructure to support over 67% more cars than under uncontrolled charging. To protect the transformer we recommend that demand charges or capacity management be applied to parking lots of charging electric vehicles with high infrastructure utilization, and operators schedule charging to minimize their electricity bills.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Energy sector portfolio analysis with uncertainty

Governments are dealing with the challenge of how to efficiently invest in research and development portfolios related to energy technologies. Research and development investment decisions in the energy space are especially difficult due to numerous risks and uncertainties, and due to the complexity of energy's interactions with the broad economy. Historically, much of the U.S. Department of Energy's in-depth research and development analyses focused on assessing the impact of a research and development activity in isolation from other available opportunities and did not substantially consider risk and uncertainty. Endeavoring to combine integrated energy-economy modeling with uncertainty analysis and technology-specific research and development activities, the U.S. Department of Energy commissioned the development of the Stochastic Energy Deployment System to support and improve public energy research and development decision-making. The Stochastic Energy Deployment System draws from expert-elicited probability distributions for research and development-driven improvements in technology cost and performance, and it uses Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the likelihood of outcomes within a system dynamics energy-economy model. The framework estimates the uncertain benefits and costs of various research and development portfolios and provides insight into the probability of meeting national technology goals, while accounting for interactions with the larger economy and for interactions among research and development investments spanning many energy sectors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Home energy management under realistic and uncertain conditions: A comparison of heuristic, deterministic, and stochastic control methods

We report home energy management systems (HEMS) have been shown to reduce energy bills and to provide grid services including peak demand reduction and demand flexibility. However, uncertainty in residential energy systems is a significant issue and can reduce the benefits of a HEMS to the homeowner or grid operator. Sources of uncertainty include weather forecasts, predictions of energy-related occupant activities (e.g., hot water draws), and parameter estimation for the building envelope and energy-consuming equipment. This paper tackles the problem of uncertainty by developing a framework that simulates HEMS in uncertain conditions and evaluates the performance of multiple control strategies. A linear, reduced-order residential building model for model predictive control applications is derived and compared to a full-order model. Stochastic model predictive control is shown to perform better than deterministic and heuristic methods when considering realistic forecasts with uncertainty. The framework can evaluate the performance of HEMS in real-world applications, which can help de-risk HEMS deployment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Impacts of PTL coating gaps on cell performance for PEM water electrolyzer

The anode porous transport layer (PTL) is a critical component of polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) water electrolyzers, providing electrical conduction and water/oxygen transport to the anode catalyst layer. Platinum group metal (PGM) coatings are applied to titanium PTLs to prevent oxidation and preserve conductivity. To implement PEM water electrolysis on a large scale, it is essential to minimize the cost of mass-manufactured cell components while ensuring that defects in materials and components do not adversely affect the performance of the cell. In this study, we created gaps in the Pt coatings that are typically applied to PTLs to understand their effects on cell performance and inform on fabrication tolerances. The PTL coatings were fabricated by sputter deposition of Pt, intentionally leaving uncoated regions in either large patches or thin strips. For either geometry, the cell performance decreased with the increasing fraction of the uncoated regions. However, PTLs containing multiple thin uncoated strips caused a less severe performance effect than PTLs with continuous uncoated regions of the same relative total area. Through analysis of cell performance, impedance, and 3D charge transport modelling, here we demonstrate that both the anode catalyst layer and membrane play a role in distributing current to mitigate the impact of coating defects at a short length scale. These results allow to draw conclusions about the tolerance requirements with regards to PTL coating uniformity in terms of both the size and total area of defects.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Dynamic modeling of near isothermal compressor for Transcritical carbon dioxide cycle to support efficiency improvement

Compressors are the primary components of energy consumption in vapor compression systems, drawing considerable research effort to reduce carbon emissions and improve energy efficiency. This work presents an isothermal compressor that integrates the compression chamber with the gas cooler to achieve near-isothermal compression, resulting in up to 30% energy reduction compared to traditional isentropic compression, according to the experiment results. A detailed dynamic model for the isothermal compression cycle of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is first presented, coupled with a liquid-piston model for chamber design. The model is experimentally validated on a 3.5 kW prototype, yielding a 6.2% relative error in chamber pressure and a 0.5 K deviation in chamber temperature. The liquid piston exhibits reduced frictional heating and geometric adaptability relative to the mechanical piston. Leveraging these attributes, the study further evaluates approaches that enhance the heat transfer to achieve isothermal compression by increasing the effective heat transfer area during compression. As a result, simulations demonstrated up to a 5% improvement in the coefficient of performance over the baseline case through chamber design, providing guidelines for design of isothermal compression cycle.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Disturbance and diversity: Lichen species richness decreases with increasing anthropogenic disturbance

Anthropogenic disturbance is rapidly increasing through habitat degradation, development, and deforestation. Gaps remain in understanding the effects of this disturbance on diverse and ecologically important organisms such as lichens. In North America, studies have focused on epiphytic macrolichens and catastrophic disturbance, largely ignoring microlichens and less severe disturbances. The Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis predicts these moderate disturbances will lead to higher species richness. Here we examine the effects of anthropogenic disturbance in the form of land management on overall lichen richness, including microlichens, and on the species richness of eight lichen functional groups. The study draws on a comprehensive data set of 872 species, in 208 one-hectare plots throughout the Southern Appalachian Mountains, a global biodiversity hotspot in eastern North America. A habitat quality index based on an established forestry metric was used as a proxy for anthropogenic disturbance and was quantified using a 10-part score including categories such as percent native tree canopy cover and degree of fragmentation. Linear models were used to compare habitat quality scores to overall species richness and to species richness of functional groups. Rather than following the Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis, all groups uniformly follow a negative linear relationship: as disturbance increases, species richness decreases. This pattern held even for widely variable functional groups such as morphotype. Effective conservation of lichen richness should prioritize the maintenance of existing older, less-disturbed stands within large, contiguously forested areas.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Ten questions concerning low-cost indoor air quality sensors: Perspectives from research and practice

Low-cost indoor air quality (IAQ) sensors are increasingly being used in homes and commercial and public buildings, driven by growing concerns about the impact of air on health, cognitive performance, and occupant wellbeing. These sensors offer a potentially transformative opportunity to increase spatial and temporal coverage of IAQ monitoring at a fraction of the cost of conventional reference instruments. However, their widespread use raises questions around accuracy, calibration, placement, data handling and interpretation, and integration into existing standards and workflows. This paper presents ten critical questions concerning the use of low-cost IAQ sensors in buildings, drawing on the latest empirical research, field deployments, and emerging practice. It discusses potential frameworks for deployment and evaluation, examines current sensor capabilities for measuring common pollutants, identifies methodological gaps in validation and uncertainty quantification, and outlines the extent to which existing IAQ standards can accommodate sensor-based evidence. The paper also explores how monitoring needs and deployment models vary by building type, the potential of real-time IAQ data to support building operations, and the ethical and legal implications of widespread sensor use. While significant challenges remain in ensuring data quality and building stakeholder trust, new applications are emerging through open data initiatives and advances in analytics and visualization. As the technology, science, and standards co-evolve, low-cost IAQ sensors are poised to become integral to routine building operation, building science, and environmental health research.

Parkinson, Thomas↗

Evaluating consumer 3D printing nozzles as a low cost alternative for mesophase pitch-derived carbon fiber production

Synthetic fibers, such as Kevlar fibers, SiC fibers, and carbon fibers, are essential components for constructing high performance structures. Whether for engineering, sports, energy storage (batteries and supercapacitors), or aerospace applications, fiber microstructure plays a critical role in fiber properties and functionalities. However, studying fiber nozzle configurations and spinning parameters to achieve the desired microstructure remains challenging, costly, and time consuming. Here, mesophase pitch-derived fibers were used as an example to demonstrate that low cost, commercially available 3D printer nozzles can “print” fibers. Four different nozzles were used to “print” fibers and the effects of their features on fiber properties were observed and compared to other lab spun and commercial pitch- derived CF. A longer orifice length resulted in higher modulus fiber whereas a larger draw-down ratio yielded a stronger fiber. Furthermore, the findings provide a new opportunity for 3D printer hardware application and open up opportunities for developing low-cost fibers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Continuous recovery of phosphoric acid and Rare-Earths containing particles from phosphoric acid sludge using a decanter centrifuge

Recovery of rare earth elements (REEs) from various industrial and natural streams currently draws significant attention in efforts to meet the demands of the manufacturing industry. Among many industrial byproducts and waste streams, phosphoric acid sludge could be one of the most economically feasible resources for the recovery of REEs because solid particles in the sludge contain relatively concentrated REEs, up to 3,000 ppm, while the liquid component of the sludge is valuable phosphoric acid (P 2 O 5 ) that can be recovered and returned to the main product. Due to high viscosity and large solids content (e.g., 30–40 %), however, this byproduct stream requires multistep separation and purification processes. In this study, a single-step process involving a continuous-flow decanter centrifuge (CFDC) was employed to investigate its feasibility for continuous solid/liquid separation from real phosphoric acid sludge. High centrifugal forces generated from up to 1500 G gravity acceleration separate solid particles from the sludge, generating a liquid-rich stream and a solids-rich stream at the exit of the CFDC. A single pass of phosphoric-acid sludge through the CFDC yielded 95 % liquid recovery and 90 % recovery of REEs-containing solids from 20 to 34 wt% solids-containing sludge. Finally, a reduced order model developed for the CFDC operation showed good agreement with experimental data, and preliminary technoeconomic analysis revealed potential process feasibility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

On the competitive antagonism effect in combined chloride-sulfate attack: A numerical exploration

Highlights: • A chemo-physical-mechanical method based on thermodynamic modelling is implemented. • The contradicting findings from reported experiments are numerically explored. • The competitive antagonism effect is time-dependent rather than a conclusive term. • The competitive antagonism effect is quantifiable with a novel assessment criterion. It is of tremendous difficulty to draw a conclusive verdict on the complex process of mutual interference regarding the combined chloride-sulfate attack on concrete, where many have explored the topic, but contradicting results have been reported. In this paper, by taking advantages of the chemo-physical-mechanical method, based on the robust technique of thermodynamic modelling, the competitive antagonism effect in combined chloride-sulfate attack is investigated. Firstly, a range of reported tests are numerically modelled to demonstrate the effectiveness of the employed method in interpreting those opposing and diverse experimental outcomes. More importantly, a fresh conjecture incorporating a novel assessment criterion for the competitive antagonism effect is proposed and supported through a carefully designed illustrative example. Based on the numerical exploration, unique findings and implications for future engineering practices are revealed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Direct observation of C 3 S particle dissolution using fast nano X-ray computed tomography

Tricalcium silicate (C 3 S) occupies 50 % to 70 % of ordinary portland cement (OPC) by mass and it is an important component affecting the hydration of OPC [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6], [7]. Generally, the hydration of C 3 S is described by two processes: the dissolution of C 3 S particles and the precipitation of hydration products. While it is understood that the dissolution rates of C 3 S vary with time, more precise measurements are needed to understand this process. Many mechanisms have been proposed to explain the time-evolving dissolution rates of C 3 S [2]. The metastable barrier hypothesis suggests that a thin metastable layer of hydrates forms around the C 3 S particle surface and prohibits the access of grains to the aqueous solution [8], [9], [10], [11], [12]. The slow dissolution step hypothesis suggests that the increased ion concentration from the initial reaction delays the C 3 S dissolution [2], [13], [14], [15], [16], [17]. More recent publications suggest that C 3 S may react differently depending on the existence of crystallographic defects [18], [19], [20]. Etch pits are thought to open on the particle surface during the initial reaction and this contributes to the C 3 S dissolution [21], [22]. As hydrates precipitate and cover these highly reactive surfaces, hydration slows down and the induction period starts [18], [23], [24], [25], [26]. Many experiments have been conducted to test the aforementioned mechanisms. Some hydration studies utilize bulk measurements, such as isothermal calorimetry [27], [28], [29], pore solution analysis [30], quasi-elastic neutron scattering [31], and nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy [32], [33]. One limitation of these measurements is that they do not provide direct and detailed information on the individual C 3 S particles. Some other studies utilize imaging techniques, such as scanning electron microscopy (SEM) [34], [35], [36] and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) [37]. However, SEM/TEM cannot track the evolution of individual particles throughout hydration [34], [35], [38], [39], [40] and they do not give insights into the microstructure of materials before hydration [34], [35], [39]. This makes it challenging to draw strong conclusions from only SEM or TEM observations. Synchrotron X-ray tomography techniques have been used more broadly in recent years to study cement hydration. They are not only non-destructive but also able to image a sample in full 3D with resolutions that can reach from micron to nanoscale. Nano computed tomography (nCT) is one technique that has been applied to study cement hydration at the nanoscale [26], [41]. A typical nCT can reach a pixel size from 15 to 65 nm, providing enough detail for observing features <1 μm. However, nCT often takes >0.5 h to finish one scan. This makes the application of this technique on continuous scans for in-situ observations challenging. Fast X-ray computerized tomography (fCT) is another technique that has shown success in studying the time-evolving cement microstructures [20], [42], [43], [44], [45], [46], [47], [48], [49]. Due to the high flux of the X-ray beam from the synchrotron ring, fCT allows a scan to be captured within 1 min at a pixel size of 1 μm. This allows a paste sample to be continuously scanned during the hydration process. However, the micron-sized resolutions limit does not provide detailed insights for particles <5 μm [20], [49]. Fortunately, the combination of nCT and fCT has allowed the development of fast nano X-ray computed tomography (fnCT). fnCT can capture a 3D data set in <2 min at a pixel size of 50 nm. This makes this procedure an exciting method to evaluate hydrating pastes. fnCT collects multiple X-ray radiographs at various rotation angles and generates a 3D model of the scanned sample, which is also referred to as a 3D tomography [50], [51]. In one tomography, the X-ray absorptions of different components (e.g., C 3 S and hydrates) differ as functions of density and chemistry [52], [53]. These X-ray absorption contrasts can be used to extract detailed information about the 3D microstructure [26], [54], [55]. In this paper, fnCT is used to collect time-lapse tomographs of hydrating C 3 S paste from 18 min after mixing to 7 h of hydration. The bulk measurements of anhydrous C 3 S, as well as the microstructural changes of individual C 3 S particles, are directly observed, quantified, and discussed. The dissolution behavior of C 3 S particles at various size scales is systematically analyzed and compared. This work aims to find the relationship between the size of C 3 S particle sizes and their dissolution rates. This provides significant insights into the early-age hydration of C 3 S on length and time scales not previously possible. Because of the magnitude of the data and the substantial amount of observations, this work will solely focus on the change in the anhydrous particles. Changes in the hydration products will be reported in future work.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Parallels between enzyme catalysis, electrocatalysis, and photoelectrosynthesis

Catalysts are central to accelerating chemistry in biology and technology. In biochemistry, the relationship between the velocity of an enzymatic reaction and the concentration of chemical substrates is described via the Michaelis-Menten model. Additionally, the modeling and benchmarking of synthetic molecular electrocatalysts are also well developed. However, such efforts have not been as rigorously extended to photoelectrosynthetic reactions, where, in addition to chemical substrates and charge carriers, light is a required reagent. In this perspective, we draw parallels between concepts involving enzyme catalytic efficiency, the benchmarking of molecular electrocatalysts, and the performance of photoelectrosynthetic assemblies, while highlighting key differences, assumptions, and limitations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Agent-based simulation and child protection systems: Rationale, implementation, and verification

Simulation models are an important tool used in health care and other disciplines to support operational research and decision-making. In the child protection literature, simulation models are an under-utilized source of research evidence. Here, in this paper, we describe the rationale for and the development of an agent-based simulation of a child protection system in the US. Using the investigation, prevention service, and placement histories of 600,000 children served in an urban child welfare system, we walk the reader through the development of a prototype known as OSPEDALE. The governing equations built into OSPEDALE probabilistically simulate the onset of investigations. Then, drawing from empirical survival distributions, the governing equations trace the probability of subsequent interactions with the system (recurrence of maltreatment, service referrals, and placement) conditional on the characteristics of children, their assessed risk level, and prior child protection system involvement. As an initial test of OSPEDALE's utility, we compare empirical admission counts with counts generated from OSPEDALE. Though the verification step is admittedly simple, the comparison shows that OSPEDALE replicates the empirical count of new admissions closely enough to justify further investment in OSPEDALE. Management of public child protection systems is increasingly research evidence-dependent. The emphasis on research evidence as a decision-support tool has elevated evidence acquired through randomized clinical trials. Though important, the evidence from clinical trials represents only one type of research evidence. Properly specified, simulation models are another source of evidence with real-world relevance.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Nonflammable Nonaqueous Electrolytes for Lithium Batteries

As the energy density of state-of-the-art lithium (Li)-ion batteries (LIBs) increases, the safety concern of LIBs using liquid electrolytes is drawing increasing attention. Flammability of electrolytes is a critical link of the overall safety performance of LIBs and Li metal batteries. For this reason, intensive efforts have been devoted to suppressing the flammability of liquid electrolytes. In this short review, the common approaches to reduce the flammability of the liquid electrolytes will be summarized. The advantages and limitations of these approaches will also be discussed.

Jia, Hao↗