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DOE OSTI2025

Estimating Electron Temperature and Density Using Van Allen Probe Data: Typical Behavior of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Magnetosphere

Abstract The Earth's inner magnetosphere contains multiple electron populations influenced by different factors. The cold electrons of the plasmasphere, warm plasma that contributes to the ring current, and the relativistic plasma of the radiation belts often seem to behave independently. Using omni‐directional flux and energy measurements from the HOPE and Magnetic Electron Ion Spectrometer instruments aboard the Van Allen Probes, we provide a detailed density and temperature description of the inner magnetosphere, offering a comprehensive statistical analysis of the entire Van Allen Probe era. While number density and temperature data at geosynchronous orbit are available, this study focuses on the warm plasma in the inner magnetosphere . Values of density and temperature are extracted by fitting energy and phase space density to obtain the distribution function. The fitted distributions are related to the zeroth and second moments to estimate the number density and temperature. Analysis has indicated that a two Maxwellian fit is sufficient over a wide range of and that there are two independent plasma populations. The more energetic population has a median number density of approximately and a temperature of around 130 keV, with a temperature peak observed between L * = 4 and L * = 4.5. This population is relatively uniform in magnetic local time (MLT). In contrast, the less energetic warm electron population has a median number density of about and a temperature of 7.4 keV. Strong statistical trends in density and temperature across both L * and MLT are presented, along with potential sources driving these variations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Variable Blue Straggler Stars in the Open Cluster NGC 6819 Observed in the Kepler “Superstamp” Field

Abstract NGC 6819 is an open cluster of age 2.4 Gyr that was in the NASA Kepler spacecraft’s field of view from 2009 to 2013. The central part of the cluster was observed in a 200 × 200 pixel “superstamp” during these four years in 30 minute cadence photometry, providing a unique, high-precision, long time-series data set. The cluster contains “blue straggler” stars, i.e., stars on the main sequence above the cluster turnoff that should have left the main sequence to become red giants. We present light curves and pulsation frequency analyses derived from custom photometric reductions for five confirmed cluster members—four blue stragglers and one star near the main-sequence turnoff. Two of these stars show a rich spectrum of δ Scuti pulsation modes, with 236 and 124 significant frequencies identified, respectively, while two stars show mainly low-frequency modes, characteristic of γ Doradus variable stars. The fifth star, a known active X-ray binary, shows only several harmonics of two main frequencies. For the two δ Scuti stars, we use a frequency separation–mean density relation to estimate their mean densities, and then use these values along with their effective temperature to derive their stellar masses and radii. For the two stars showing low frequencies, we searched for period-spacing sequences that may be representative of gravity-mode or Rossby-mode sequences, but found no clear sequences. The common age for the cluster members, considered along with the frequencies, will provide valuable constraints for asteroseismic analyses, and may shed light on the origin of the blue stragglers.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Spatio-temporal and weather characterization of road loads of electrified heavy-duty commercial vehicles across U.S. interstate roads

Adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEV) in heavy duty (HD) commercial freight transportation is difficult due to technological and economic hurdles. Beyond safety and compliance, fleet and operational logistics necessitate both high uptime and parity with diesel system productivity/Total Cost of Ownership to support widespread deployment of electric powertrains. However, relatively high energy storage costs, along with the higher weight of BEV systems, limit the viability of HD commercial freight transport to shorter-range applications where smaller batteries will serve for mission energy requirements (single operational shift). Knowing the energy consumption and operating variations of these commercial vehicle systems is crucial for effectively sizing the energy storage systems. This paper is the first in a series of studies to understand the regional specific operating design domain variations of commercial Class 8 HD trucks and the associated impact to their energy requirements. In particular, the local weather conditions are shown to influence the total vehicle energy usage. Further, the impact of temperature, pressure, and humidity changes are shown to impact the local air density. This is needed to calculate aerodynamic drag on vehicles and has been found to play a significant role in the overall performance of a vehicle. Although the methodology of calculating air density varies only slightly throughout the literature, the application to transportation has still been limited. This study provides a means by which air density can be estimated for the contiguous U.S. using the NOAA MADIS dataset. These air density estimates were then used to determine vehicle performance in varying regions of the country to highlight the importance of consideration of weather variables when monitoring vehicle performance, but also to provide recommendations based on these locales upon fleet conversion to BEVs.

Moore, Amy↗

DOE OSTI2023

Parameter estimation with maximal updated densities

A recently developed measure-theoretic framework solves a stochastic inverse problem (SIP) for models where uncertainties in model output data are predominantly due to aleatoric (i.e., irreducible) uncertainties in model inputs (i.e., parameters). The subsequent inferential target is a distribution on parameters. Another type of inverse problem is to quantify uncertainties in estimates of “true” parameter values under the assumption that such uncertainties should be reduced as more data are incorporated into the problem, i.e., the uncertainty is considered epistemic. A major contribution of this work is the formulation and solution of such a parameter identification problem (PIP) within the measure-theoretic framework developed for the SIP. The approach is novel in that it utilizes a solution to a stochastic forward problem (SFP) to update an initial density only in the parameter directions informed by the model output data. In other words, this method performs “selective regularization” only in the parameter directions not informed by data. Further, the solution is defined by a maximal updated density (MUD) point where the updated density defines the measure-theoretic solution to the PIP. Another significant contribution of this work is the full theory of existence and uniqueness of MUD points for linear maps with Gaussian distributions. Data-constructed Quantity of Interest (QoI) maps are also presented and analyzed for solving the PIP within this measure-theoretic framework as a means of reducing uncertainties in the MUD estimate. We conclude with a demonstration of the general applicability of the method on two problems involving either spatial or temporal data for estimating uncertain model parameters. The first problem utilizes spatial data from a stationary partial differential equation to produce a MUD estimate of an uncertain boundary condition. The second problem utilizes temporal data obtained from the state-of-the-art ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) model to obtain a MUD estimate of uncertain wind drag coefficients for a simulated extreme weather event near the Shinnecock Inlet located in the Outer Barrier of Long Island, NY, USA.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Using X-ray spectrum imaging to quantify fission gas in high-burnup UO2 fuel

Analysis of fission gas bubbles (FGBs) in light-water reactor (LWR) fuel is needed to improve the understanding and predictive capability of fuel evolution under normal- and transient conditions. One of the most important parameters of a FGB is the pressure of the gas, primarily Xe, inside it. Bubble volume and location (inter- vs. intragranular) are important considerations as well. However, experimental analysis of such bubbles is challenging due to their small size and embedded nature, and usefulness of the data requires large numbers be analyzed. This paper proposes a method to measure the pressure of Xe bubbles using X-ray spectrum imaging (XSI) in scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM). From X-ray generation and instrumental parameters, the number of Xe atoms yielding a given number of Xe L-series X-ray counts is estimated, and then from the estimated volume of the bubble the Xe density is estimated, which can then be converted to pressure via an equation-of-state. We apply the method to XSI datasets from high burnup (HBu) fuel from North Anna 1 reactor in as-irradiated and post-LOCA-test conditions and find Xe pressures in the FGBs clustered around 1 GPa.

Parish, Chad [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000312097439)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Automated Bayesian high-throughput estimation of plasma temperature and density from emission spectroscopy

Here, this paper introduces a novel approach for automated high-throughput estimation of plasma temperature and density using atomic emission spectroscopy, integrating Bayesian inference with sophisticated physical models. We provide an in-depth examination of Bayesian methods applied to the complexities of plasma diagnostics, supported by a robust framework of physical and measurement models. Our methodology is demonstrated using experimental observations in the field of magneto-inertial fusion, focusing on individual and sequential shot analyses of the Plasma Liner Experiment at LANL. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in enhancing the accuracy and reliability of plasma parameter estimation and in using the analysis to reveal the deep hidden structure in the data. This study not only offers a new perspective of plasma analysis but also paves the way for further research and applications in nuclear instrumentation and related domains.

Bayesian inference↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation Of Glass Density to Support the Estimation of Fissile Mass Loadings in Sludge Batch 10 Glasses

Per a directive from the Department of Energy Savannah River Operations Office (DOE-SR) in 2008, the fissile mass loading concentration must remain below 897 g/m 3 in each high-level waste (HLW) glass canister produced by the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF). To support Sludge Batch 5 (SB5) processing, the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) developed a technical basis that facilitates the evaluation of fissile mass loading of the glass product. The calculation is based on the iron (Fe) concentration in the glass as determined by measurements from the Slurry Mix Evaporator acceptability analysis as well as the glass density. In April 2022, a subsequent DOE-SR directive increased the fissile mass loading limit to 2500 g/m 3 beginning with Sludge Batch 11. Thus, the 897 g/m 3 limit still applies to Sludge Batch 10 (SB10) processing. For SB5 through initial Sludge Batch 9 (SB9) processing prior to coupled operation with the Salt Waste Processing Facility (SWPF), SRNL provided DWPF a bounding glass density value that was based on a statistical evaluation of density measurements. To eliminate the need for experimental work, a composition-based density model for HLW glasses was developed at SRNL in 2019. The objective of this report is to present the bounding glass density determined with the composition-based density model for SB10 sludge-only (SO) and coupled processing.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation of Glass Density to Support the Estimation of Fissile Mass Loadings in Sludge Batch 10 Glasses

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Investigating effects of soil chemicals on density of small mammal bioindicators using spatial capture-recapture models

Monitoring the ecological impacts of environmental pollution and the effectiveness of remediation efforts requires identifying relationships between contaminants and the disruption of biological processes in populations, communities, or ecosystems. Wildlife are useful bioindicators, but traditional comparative experimental approaches rely on a staunch and typically unverifiable assumption that, in the absence of contaminants, reference and contaminated sites would support the same densities of bioindicators, thereby inferring direct causation from indirect data. We demonstrate the utility of spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models for overcoming these issues, testing if community density of common small mammal bioindicators was directly influenced by soil chemical concentrations. By modeling density as an inhomogeneous Poisson point process, we found evidence for an inverse spatial relationship between Peromyscus density and soil mercury concentrations, but not other chemicals, such as polychlorinated biphenyls, at a site formerly occupied by a nuclear reactor. Although the coefficient point estimate supported Peromyscus density being lower where mercury concentrations were higher (β = –0.44), the 95% confidence interval overlapped zero, suggesting no effect was also compatible with our data. Estimated density from the most parsimonious model (2.88 mice/ha; 95% CI = 1.63–5.08), which did not support a density-chemical relationship, was within the range of reported densities for Peromyscus that did not inhabit contaminated sites elsewhere. Environmental pollution remains a global threat to biodiversity and ecosystem and human health, and our study provides an illustrative example of the utility of SCR models for investigating the effects that chemicals may have on wildlife bioindicator populations and communities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Open Call LDRD: Physically Informed Autoencoders for Galactic Redshift Regression

Physical constraints have been suggested to make neural network models more generalizable, act scientifically plausible, and be more data-efficient over unconstrained baselines. In this report, we present preliminary work on evaluating the effects of adding soft physical constraints to computer vision neural networks trained to estimate the conditional density of redshift on input galaxy images for the Sloan Digital Sky Survey. We introduce physically motivated soft constraint terms that are not implemented with differential or integral operators. We frame this work as a simple ablation study where the effect of including soft physical constraints is compared to an unconstrained baseline. We compare networks using standard point estimate metrics for photometric redshift estimation, as well as metrics to evaluate how faithful our conditional density estimate represents the probability over the ensemble of our test dataset. We find no evidence that the implemented soft physical constraints are more effective regularizers than augmentation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

GalaxyFlow: upsampling hydrodynamical simulations for realistic mock stellar catalogues

ABSTRACT Cosmological N-body simulations of galaxies operate at the level of ‘star particles’ with a mass resolution on the scale of thousands of solar masses. Turning these simulations into stellar mock catalogues requires ‘upsampling’ the star particles into individual stars following the same phase-space density. In this paper, we introduce two new upsampling methods. First, we describe GalaxyFlow, a sophisticated upsampling method that utilizes normalizing flows to both estimate the stellar phase-space density and sample from it. Secondly, we improve on existing upsamplers based on adaptive kernel density estimation (KDE), using maximum likelihood estimation to fine-tune the bandwidth for such algorithms in a way that improves both the density estimation accuracy and upsampling results. We demonstrate our upsampling techniques on a neighbourhood of the Solar location in two simulated galaxies: Auriga 6 and h277. Both yield smooth stellar distributions that closely resemble the stellar densities seen in the Gaia DR3 catalogue. Furthermore, we introduce a novel multimodel classifier test to compare the accuracy of different upsampling methods quantitatively. This test confirms that GalaxyFlow more accurately estimates the density of the underlying star particles than methods based on KDE, at the cost of being more computationally intensive.

Lim, Sung Hak (ORCID:0000000330981092)↗

DOE OSTI2020

Extracting a mixing parameter from 2D radiographic imaging of variable-density turbulent flow

We extract a suitably averaged fluctuating density from the two-dimensional radiographic image of a flow. The X-ray attenuation is given by the Beer–Lambert law which exponentially damps the incident beam intensity by a factor proportional to the density, opacity and thickness of the target. By making reasonable assumptions for the mean density, opacity and effective thickness of the target flow, we estimate the density fluctuation contribution to the attenuation. The extracted density fluctuations averaged across the thickness of the flow in the direction of the beam may be used to form the density–specific-volume correlation $b$. In a statistical description of variable-density turbulence, $b$ quantifies the degree of mixedness. The ability to extract a measure of mixedness from experimental data would be a powerful tool that could be used in the validation of mix models. The scheme proposed is tested for DNS data computed for variable density buoyancy-driven mixing. We quantify the deficits in the extracted value of $b$ due to target thickness, Atwood number and modeled signal noise. This analysis justifies using the proposed scheme to infer the mix parameter from thin targets at moderate to low Atwood numbers. Furthermore, to illustrate how the scheme might be used in a practical problem, we demonstrate its application to a radiographic image of counter-shear flow obtained from experiments at the National Ignition Facility.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2024

Experimental and Computational Evaluation of Lipidomic In-Source Fragmentation as a Result of Postionization with Matrix-Assisted Laser Desorption/Ionization

Matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry imaging (MALDI-MSI) can provide spatially resolved molecular information about a sample. Recently, a postionization approach (MALDI-2) has been commercially integrated with MALDI-MSI, allowing for bettered sensitivity and consequent improved spatial resolution. While advantages of MALDI-2 have previously been established, we demonstrate here statistically increased in-source fragmentation (ISF) results from postionization with a commercial instrument. Via lipid standard analyses, known MALDI ISF pathways (e.g., loss of trimethylamine) were statistically increased in MALDI-2 compared to MALDI-1 (65–172% increase in fragmentation). Gas phase molecular modeling with density functional theory estimated that the most-weighted virtual orbitals to excite within lipids involve ester and phosphate bonds. Protonated lipid excitation energies are furthermore red-shifted compared to those of other adduct types [e.g., 254 nm for protonated PC(16:0/18:1)] and approach the MALDI-2 laser energy (266 nm). Analysis of rat brain homogenate detected statistically more positive-ion mode peaks with MALDI-2 (1090) than that with MALDI-1 (719), where Kernel density estimations showed that the majority of this enhancement occurs with low m/z ions (i.e., m/z 75–500). Taken together with the lipid standard data, these observations may indicate ISF due to postionization. Finally, while artifact contributions from matrix blanks were also noted, both experimental and computational data sets suggest that the overall extent of ISF is statistically increased in MALDI-2 compared to MALDI-1.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Cellular Automaton Simulation for Predicting Phase Evolution in Solid-State Reactions

New computational tools for solid-state synthesis recipe design are needed in order to accelerate the experimental realization of novel functional materials proposed by high-throughput materials discovery workflows. This work contributes a cellular automaton simulation framework for predicting the time-dependent evolution of intermediate and product phases during solid-state reactions as a function of precursor choice and amount, reaction atmosphere, and heating profile. The simulation captures the effects of reactant particle spatial distribution, particle melting, and reaction atmosphere. Reaction rates based on rudimentary kinetics are estimated using density functional theory data from the Materials Project and machine learning estimators for the melting point and the vibrational entropy component of the Gibbs free energy. The resulting simulation framework allows for the prediction of the likely outcome of a reaction recipe before any experiments are performed. We analyze five experimental solid-state recipes for BaTiO 3 , CaZrN 2 , and YMnO 3 found in the literature to illustrate the performance of the model in capturing reaction selectivity and reaction pathways as a function of temperature and precursor choice. This simulation framework offers an easier way to optimize existing recipes, aid in the identification of intermediates, and design effective recipes for yet unrealized inorganic solids in silico .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Modeling of a 43 GHz microplasma within a photonic crystal

The electron density (n e ) and argon metastable density (1 s 5 ) of a 43GHz microplasma are obtained using the zero-dimensional plasma kinetics solver (ZDPlasKin®) for an incident power of 160 and 1000mW and argon pressures of 10–600Torr (1.3 ×10 3 to 8.0 × 10 4 Pa). These simulations are compared with previously published experimental data. To determine the self-consistent electric field in the modeled plasma, the three-dimensional millimeter wave fields are computed as a function of electron density using ANSYS EM19.2, HFSS®. This electromagnetic field model is coupled to ZDPlasKin such that any increase in the simulated plasma density correctly attenuates the simulated electric field within the microplasma. The electron density is found to be sensitive to argon gas temperature, so a two-zone temperature model was needed to obtain agreement with experimental measurements. The temperature in the central core of the microplasma was determined by a previous experimental study. That temperature was used as an input to the model for the simulation of volume recombination losses. The outer regions of the microplasma are assumed to be in equilibrium with the walls (300K). This second temperature was used in the model to determine diffusion losses. The modeled electron and metastable densities are of the order 10 20 and 10 18 m –3 , respectively. This is in good agreement with those measured experimentally as long as the two-zone temperature model is used. In the absence of a hot gas core, the modeled three-body recombination rates are excessive and the simulation severely under-predicts the electron density and over-estimates the metastable density. We conclude that the millimeter wave microplasma has a hot core (2500K at 600 Torr) that rarifies the argon gas and effectively reduces three-body recombination. Furthermore, this allows one to achieve high electron density on the order of 10 20 m –3 with only 100mW of wave power.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Deep XMM–Newton observations of the most distant SPT-SZ galaxy cluster

ABSTRACT We present results from a 577 ks XMM–Newton observation of SPT-CL J0459–4947, the most distant cluster detected in the South Pole Telescope 2500 square degree (SPT-SZ) survey, and currently the most distant cluster discovered through its Sunyaev–Zel’dovich effect. The data confirm the cluster’s high redshift, z = 1.71 ± 0.02, in agreement with earlier, less precise optical/IR photometric estimates. From the gas density profile, we estimate a characteristic mass of $M_{500}=(1.8\pm 0.2)\times 10^{14}\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$; cluster emission is detected above the background to a radius of $\sim \!2.2\, r_{500}$, or approximately the virial radius. The intracluster gas is characterized by an emission-weighted average temperature of 7.2 ± 0.3 keV and metallicity with respect to Solar of $Z/\, Z_{\odot }=0.37\pm 0.08$. For the first time at such high redshift, this deep data set provides a measurement of metallicity outside the cluster centre; at radii $r\gt 0.3\, r_{500}$, we find $Z/\, Z_{\odot }=0.33\pm 0.17$ in good agreement with precise measurements at similar radii in the most nearby clusters, supporting an early enrichment scenario in which the bulk of the cluster gas is enriched to a universal metallicity prior to cluster formation, with little to no evolution thereafter. The leverage provided by the high redshift of this cluster tightens by a factor of 2 constraints on evolving metallicity models, when combined with previous measurements at lower redshifts.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

ODIN: Characterizing the Three-dimensional Structure of Two Protocluster Complexes at z = 3.1

We present a detailed study of the 3D morphology of two extended associations of multiple protoclusters at z = 3.1. These protocluster "complexes," designated COSMOS-z3.1-A and COSMOS-z3.1-C, are the most prominent overdensities of z = 3.1 Lyα emitters (LAEs) identified in the COSMOS field by the One-hundred-deg$^{2}$ DECam Imaging in Narrowbands survey. These protocluster complexes have been followed up with extensive spectroscopy from Keck, Gemini, and DESI. Using a probabilistic method that combines photometrically selected and spectroscopically confirmed LAEs, we reconstruct the 3D structure of these complexes on scales of ≈50 cMpc. We validate our reconstruction method using the IllustrisTNG300-1 cosmological hydrodynamical simulation and show that it consistently outperforms approaches relying solely on spectroscopic data. The resulting 3D maps reveal that both complexes are irregular and elongated along a single axis, emphasizing the impact of sightline on our perception of structure morphology. The complexes consist of multiple density peaks, 10 in COSMOS-z3.1-A and 4 in COSMOS-z3.1-C. The former is confirmed to be a proto-supercluster, similar to Hyperion at z = 2.4 but observed at an even earlier epoch. Multiple "tails" connected to the cores of the density peaks are seen, likely representing cosmic filaments feeding into these extremely overdense regions. The 3D reconstructions further provide strong evidence that Lyα blobs preferentially reside in the outskirts of the highest density regions. Descendant mass estimates of the density peaks suggest that COSMOS-z3.1-A and COSMOS-z3.1-C will evolve to become ultramassive structures by z = 0, with total masses log ( M / M ,⊙ ,) ≳ 15.3 , exceeding that of Coma.

Ramakrishnan, Vandana [Purdue U., West Lafayette] ↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wave and Particle Analysis of Z-Mode and O-Mode Emission in the Jovian Inner Magnetosphere

We report some of the most intense Z-mode and O-mode observations obtained by the Juno spacecraft while in orbit about Jupiter in a low to mid-latitude region near the inner edge of the Io torus. We have been able to estimate the density of the plasma in this region based on the lower frequency cutoff of the observed Z-mode emission. The results are compatible with the electron density measurements of the Jovian Auroral Distributions Experiment (JADE), on board the Juno spacecraft, if we account for unmeasured cold plasma. Direction-finding measurements indicate that the Z- and O-mode emission have distinct source regions. We have also used the measured phase space density of the JADE and the Jupiter energetic particle detector instruments to calculate estimated local growth rates of the observed O-mode and Z-mode emission assuming a loss cone instability and quasilinear analysis. The results suggest the emissions were observed near, but not within, a source region, and the free energy source is consistent with a loss cone. We have thus carried out the quasilinear wave analysis of the assumed remote Z- and O-mode wave growths. It is shown that the remotely generated waves, propagated through an inhomogeneous medium to the satellite location, may account for the observed wave characteristics. The importance of Z-mode in accelerating electrons in the inner Jovian magnetosphere makes these new wave mode confirmations at Jupiter of particular interest.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗