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Predicting industrial building energy consumption with statistical and machine-learning models informed by physical system parameters

The industrial sector consumes about one-third of global energy, making them a frequent target for energy use reduction. Variation in energy usage is observed with weather conditions, as space conditioning needs to change seasonally, and with production, energy-using equipment is directly tied to production rate. Previous models were based on engineering analyses of equipment and relied on site-specific details. Others consisted of single-variable regressors that did not capture all contributions to energy consumption. Further, new modeling techniques could be applied to rectify these weaknesses. Applying data from 45 different manufacturing plants obtained from industrial energy audits, a supervised machine-learning model is developed to create a general predictor for industrial building energy consumption. The model uses features of air enthalpy, solar radiation, and wind speed to predict weather-dependency; motor, steam, and compressed air system parameters to capture support equipment contributions; and operating schedule, production rate, number of employees, and floor area to determine production-dependency. Results showed that a model that used a linear regressor over a transformed feature space could outperform a support vector machine and utilize features more representative of physical systems. Using informed parameters to build a reliable predictor will more accurately characterize a manufacturing facility's energy savings opportunities.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Compressed basis GMRES on high-performance graphics processing units

Krylov methods provide a fast and highly parallel numerical tool for the iterative solution of many large-scale sparse linear systems. To a large extent, the performance of practical realizations of these methods is constrained by the communication bandwidth in current computer architectures, motivating the investigation of sophisticated techniques to avoid, reduce, and/or hide the message-passing costs (in distributed platforms) and the memory accesses (in all architectures). This article leverages Ginkgo’s memory accessor in order to integrate a communication-reduction strategy into the (Krylov) GMRES solver that decouples the storage format (i.e., the data representation in memory) of the orthogonal basis from the arithmetic precision that is employed during the operations with that basis. Given that the execution time of the GMRES solver is largely determined by the memory accesses, the cost of the datatype transforms can be mostly hidden, resulting in the acceleration of the iterative step via a decrease in the volume of bits being retrieved from memory. Together with the special properties of the orthonormal basis (whose elements are all bounded by 1), this paves the road toward the aggressive customization of the storage format, which includes some floating-point as well as fixed-point formats with mild impact on the convergence of the iterative process. We develop a high-performance implementation of the “compressed basis GMRES” solver in the Ginkgo sparse linear algebra library using a large set of test problems from the SuiteSparse Matrix Collection. We demonstrate robustness and performance advantages on a modern NVIDIA V100 graphics processing unit (GPU) of up to 50% over the standard GMRES solver that stores all data in IEEE double-precision.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Electron Tomography and Machine Learning for Understanding the Highly Ordered Structure of Leafhopper Brochosomes

Insects known as leafhoppers (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) produce hierarchically structured nanoparticles known as brochosomes that are exuded and applied to the insect cuticle, thereby providing camouflage and anti-wetting properties to aid insect survival. Although the physical properties of brochosomes are thought to depend on the leafhopper species, the structure–function relationships governing brochosome behavior are not fully understood. Brochosomes have complex hierarchical structures and morphological heterogeneity across species, due to which a multimodal characterization approach is required to effectively elucidate their nanoscale structure and properties. In this work, we study the structural and mechanical properties of brochosomes using a combination of atomic force microscopy (AFM), electron microscopy (EM), electron tomography, and machine learning (ML)-based quantification of large and complex scanning electron microscopy (SEM) image data sets. This suite of techniques allows for the characterization of internal and external brochosome structures, and ML-based image analysis methods of large data sets reveal correlations in the structure across several leafhopper species. Our results show that brochosomes are relatively rigid hollow spheres with characteristic dimensions and morphologies that depend on leafhopper species. Nanomechanical mapping AFM is used to determine a characteristic compression modulus for brochosomes on the order of 1–3 GPa, which is consistent with crystalline proteins. Altogether, this work provides an improved understanding of the structural and mechanical properties of leafhopper brochosomes using a new set of ML-based image classification tools that can be broadly applied to nanostructured biological materials.

Chemical structure↗

Processing and Archiving Camera Data Effectively for Operando Neutron Measurement of Metal Additive Manufacturing

As the name suggests, The Operando Neutron Measurement of Metal Additive Manufacturing project conducted by ORNL’s Manufacturing Demonstration Facility (MDF) is experimenting with advanced additive metal manufacturing techniques while analyzing the process using the Spallation Neutron Source’s (SNS) beamline. As part of this experiment, the MDF is seeking to employ 2 XIMEA visible light cameras and a single infrared camera to analyze and correct manufacturing in real-time. The MDF requires a solution for capturing the high-resolution data feed from the cameras with compression while preserving enough detail for their software to detect and correct errors in real time. Our solution was to develop a Robot Operating System (ROS) driver to feed the camera data into ROS. From ROS, the feed is compressed and temporarily stored locally to a stripped 4 NVMe SSD RAID array. Post-experiment, the data is transitioned to long-term storage for archival purposes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Aero-Optics of Hypersonic Turbulent Boundary Layers

Aero-optics refers to optical distortions due to index-of-refraction gradients that are induced by aerodynamic density gradients. At hypersonic flow conditions, the bulk velocity is many times the speed of sound and density gradients may originate from shock waves, compressible turbulent structures, acoustic waves, thermal variations, etc. Due to the combination of these factors, aero-optic distortions are expected to differ from those common to sub-sonic and lower super-sonic speeds. This report summarizes the results from a 2019-2022 Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project led by Sandia National Laboratories in collaboration with the University of Notre Dame, New Mexico State University, and the Georgia Institute of Technology. Efforts extended experimental and simulation methodologies for the study of turbulent hypersonic boundary layers. Notable experimental advancements include development of spectral de-aliasing techniques for highspeed wavefront measurements, a Spatially Selective Wavefront Sensor (SSWFS) technique, new experimental data at Mach 8 and 14, a Quadrature Fringe Imaging Interferometer (QFII) technique for time-resolved index-of-refraction measures, and application of QFII to shock-heated air. At the same time, model advancements include aero-optic analysis of several Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) datasets from Mach 0.5 to 14 and development of wall-modeled Large Eddy Simulation (LES) techniques for aero-optic predictions. At Mach 8 measured and predicted root mean square Optical Path Differences agree within confidence bounds but are higher than semi-empirical trends extrapolated from lower Mach conditions. Overall, results show that aero-optic effects in the hypersonic flow regime are not simple extensions from prior knowledge at lower speeds and instead reflect the added complexity of compressible hypersonic flow physics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Correction of the baseline fluctuations in the GEM-based ALICE TPC

To operate the ALICE Time Projection Chamber in continuous mode during the Run 3 and Run 4 data-taking periods of the Large Hadron Collider, the multi-wire proportional chamber-based readout was replaced with gas-electron multipliers. As expected, the detector performance is affected by the so-called common-mode effect, which leads to significant baseline fluctuations. A detailed study of the pulse shape with the new readout has revealed that it is also affected by ion tails. Since reconstruction and data compression are performed fully online, these effects must be corrected at the hardware level in the FPGA-based common readout units. The characteristics of the common-mode effect and of the ion tail, as well as the algorithms developed for their online correction, are described in this paper. The common-mode dependencies are studied using machine-learning techniques. Toy Monte Carlo simulations are performed to illustrate the importance of online corrections and to investigate the performance of the developed algorithms.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Dynamical Sketching for Enhanced Communication Efficiency in Federated Learning

Federated learning (FL) has revolutionized distributed machine learning by enabling collaborative model training without sharing local data. However, communication efficiency and privacy guarantees remain significant challenges. This paper introduces a dynamic sketching mechanism in FL, optimizing the trade-off between communication efficiency and model accuracy. By dynamically selecting the sketch matrix size, our approach adapts to the evolving characteristics of the data and the model, ensuring optimal performance across diverse scenarios. We leverage Bayesian optimization to systematically tune the sketch parameters, achieving an effective balance between resource efficiency and model performance. Experimental results on the MNIST dataset using a convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture validate the proposed method's efficiency and scalability. Our dynamic sketching approach significantly outperforms fixed-size sketching techniques, achieving higher compression ratios (up to 62x) and providing better privacy guarantees while maintaining high model accuracy. These findings highlight the robustness and versatility of our approach and make it a valuable solution for privacy-preserving, communication-efficient federated learning.

Afrose, Sharmin [ORNL]↗

Simulation and Emulation of X-Ray Diffraction from Dynamic Compression Experiments

Many important aspects of the dynamic thermo-mechanical response of materials occur at the mesoscale, i.e. a physical scale of interactions smaller than what can be adequately described by homogenous behaviors, yet larger than the scale of the atomic lattice. Concurrent advancements in computational power, continuum theory, and experimental diagnostics are enabling unprecedented understanding of such interactions. However, we cannot develop a sufficient level of confidence in such mesoscale capability until the constitutive description of the underlying constituents is reliably representative of their actual physical behavior. Therefore, there is a strong need to combine experimental, modeling, and data-science techniques to validate models of the thermomechanical response of individual single crystals. One experimental diagnostic with high potential impact to shock physics and materials science is in-situ x-ray diffraction. This paper is primarily focused on simulation of x-ray diffraction in shock physics, but with an aim toward quantifying parametric uncertainty of simulation models. Here, we develop and demonstrate a data-science and model-driven approach to constrain the parameterization of continuum models of crystal lattice deformation associated with the shock response of crystalline materials. The framework is built around the connection between continuum hydrodynamic simulations of lattice deformation and a new Bragg diffraction simulation code, BarberShop. The dynamic deformation of a crystal lattice is modeled using the DiscoFlux model within an arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian hydrodynamic code, FLAG. These detailed continuum simulations of lattice deformation can be computationally slow, thus a statistical model is used to emulate the evolution of lattice deformation fields in time and across the considered model parameter space. Emulated lattice deformation fields can then be generated rapidly for any combination of physics model parameters. In turn, these fields can be fed into BarberShop to realize a rapid prediction of Bragg diffraction patterns associated with particular values of physics model parameters. The framework enables parameterization of the single crystal model to obtain Bragg diffraction patterns that most closely resemble a corresponding measurement. Furthermore, the framework naturally provides sensitivities of the lattice deformation to the physics parameters. We highlight the utility of this framework through the application to a synthetic closed-loop inverse problem leading to the parameterization of a single crystal material model. As a model problem, we consider the dynamic response of the energetic molecular crystal, cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine (or RDX), under dynamic compression induced by simulated flyer plate impact experiments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Micropillar Compression of Additively Manufactured 316L Stainless Steels after 2 MeV Proton Irradiation: A Comparison Study between Planar and Cross-Sectional Micropillars

A micropillar compression study with two different techniques was performed on proton-irradiated additively manufactured (AM) 316L stainless steels. The sample was irradiated at 360 °C using 2 MeV protons to 1.8 average displacement per atom (dpa) in the near-surface region. A comparison study with mechanical test and microstructure characterization was made between planar and cross-sectional pillars prepared from the irradiated surface. While a 2 MeV proton irradiation creates a relatively flat damage zone up to 12 µm, the dpa gradient by a factor of 2 leads to significant dpa uncertainty along the pillar height direction for the conventional planar technique. Cross-sectional pillars can significantly reduce such dpa uncertainty. From one single sample, three cross-sectional pillars were able to show dpa-dependent hardening. Furthermore, post-compression transmission electron microscopy allows the determination of the deformation mechanism of individual micropillars. Cross-sectional micropillar compression can be used to study radiation-induced mechanical property changes with better resolution and less data fluctuation.

transmission electron microscopy↗

FY23 Progress Report on Viscosity and Thermal Conductivity Measurements of Molten Salts

As presented in this report, thermal conductivity and viscosity measurements were performed on key chloride pseudo-binary molten salt systems of relevance to molten salt reactor developers. Thermal conductivity measurements were conducted with a variable gap technique, in which a known heat flux is driven across a molten salt specimen and the temperature difference is measured, allowing calculation of the thermal conductivity. This is achieved by establishing a small gap between the bottom of a cylindrical inner containment, which houses electrical heating elements, and an outer containment, which houses cooling channels; the gap size can be varied by compression of a formed bellows. A new calibration scheme was developed herein, involving a correction factor to the heat flux based on He measurements at various temperatures. Furthermore, the data processing methodology was improved to minimize the impact of radiative heat transfer in the calculation of salt specimen thermal conductivity from the temperature difference measurements. Viscosity measurements were conducted with a rolling ball viscometer, in which a ball rolls some known distance in an angled tubular crucible, and the terminal velocity can be used to calculate the viscosity of the salt. The measurement can be performed in a quartz crucible, with which a standard camera can be used to track the ball, or in a metal crucible, with which x-ray radiography is required to track the ball. A new custom x-ray system was made and dedicated to the rolling ball viscometer to enable high throughput automated measurements with salts which require containment with metal. Both systems have been integrated with a ventilation stack which allows for off-gassing of radioactive material, enabling future measurements with U-bearing salts. The thermal conductivity measurements performed herein were with NaCl-KCl (44 mol% NaCl). This salt system was measured in the previous fiscal year, however the thermal conductivity values obtained were comparatively low, and so the system was remeasured with the aforementioned calibration scheme and improved post-processing techniques. The newly obtained thermal conductivity values for NaCl-KCl (44 mol% NaCl) indicate good agreement with kinetic theory and ab-initio models (within 5–10 %). The viscosity measurements performed herein were with three different compositions of NaCl-KCl: 75, 50, and 25 mol% NaCl; a new calibration scheme was applied to account for variable flow effects in the laminar regime. The results show reasonable agreement with literature (5–20 %, depending on the temperature, composition, and study); however, literature values are likely higher than true values based on pure end-member measurements performed in the comparative studies. The measurements conducted herein do show a trend such that viscosity increases with increasing NaCl concentration, which agrees well with one of two comparative studies. In general, the measurements conducted herein gives confidence in the capability to use these systems to accurately measure thermal conductivity and viscosity of actinide-bearing salts within the next fiscal year.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Automated Fitting of a Semi-empirical Multiphase Equation of State for Carbon

The equation of state (EOS) of carbon is important in high explosive, geophysical, and inertial confinement fusion applications. Within the semi-empirical Sesame framework, the EOS of each phase is represented by a sum of cold, vibrational, and thermal electronic Helmholtz free energy contributions. Each phase has ~5-10 independent parameters that are adjusted to reproduce single-phase data (e.g., thermal expansion, isothermal compression) as well as experimentally- and computationally- derived phase boundaries. Manual calibration of the full multiphase EOS is arduous. We present our progress in development of automated EOS parameterization based on minimization of an objective function. Here, this function encodes deviation of model EOS results from experimental/computational benchmarks. Optimization is implemented as a combination of global (particle swarm) and local optimization techniques.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Ramp-release experiments for strength measurements: Strain-rate dependence

This paper presents an enhanced analysis method for investigating material properties at high strain rates, extending the capability of established experimental techniques to gain more information. The ramp-release method has been applied to many experiments reported at high (≈10 5 − 10 6 s −1 ) strain-rates. More recent data gathered at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) has enabled higher (≈10 8 s −1 ) strain-rates to be studied. Here, we present an initial application of ramp-release analysis to NIF ramp-compression data, illustrating both the opportunities and the practical challenges of extending these methods to laser-driven platforms. The higher strain-rates accessed at the NIF mean that there is more strain-rate enhancement to strength, and the experimental configuration means that this enhancement is more readily seen in the data. This is enabled by the capability of avoiding peak-compression attenuation through the sample thickness with a designed hold period made possible by the pulse-shaping capability of NIF. We propose that this combination of experimental conditions and an enhanced analysis method enables the strain-rate enhancement to strength to be studied, and potentially for this to inform physics models at smaller scales than the continuum.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Novel Technique for Distributed Measuring of Strain in the Vadose Zone

Characterizing water content and pressure changes in the vadose zone is important to understanding a variety of geologic processes, ranging from permeability, to evapotranspiration, and aquifer recharge. Changes in water content, or pressure, cause strain in the solid porous medium of the vadose zone, and it is possible that measuring those strains could be used a characterization tool. The Coherence-length-gated Microwave Photonics Interferometry (CMPI) technique measures strain at high resolution along many intervals defined by pairs of reflectors distributed along an optical fiber. This technique has recently been developed at Clemson University, and it has the spatial, and temporal resolution to characterize the strains that are expected to occur with hydrologic changes in the vadose zone. However, the technique has never been used to measure strain in porous media, so its capabilities remain uncertain. The objective of this thesis is to evaluate the ability of using CMPI to measure strain changes in the vadose zone. The research approach consists of conducting laboratory tests using a column filled with sand that was subjected to changes in water content and pressure. An optical fiber with CMPI reflectors was deployed in a high surface area ribbon and used to measure strain along the axis of the column. The column was made from 8-inch, Schedule 40 PVC pipe (75 cm tall, 20 cm inner diameter) and filled with medium-grained sand (K = 2.5x10-6 m/s, porosity = 0.28, Coefficient of Uniformity = 2, van Genuchten (n = 4.34 and  = 0.00039 m-1), Young’s Modulus = 18 – 47 MPa). Five pressure and four temperature sensors attached to probes inserted into the wall. The optical fiber includes five reflectors spaced 10 cm apart on the inside and outside of the column along the vertical axis. Strain measurements are made between pairs of reflectors. The reflectors are created in 250-micron-diameter acrylate-coated single mode Corning SMF28e+ optical fiber using a femtosecond laser. The optical fiber was laminated between two pieces of polyester film creating a large surface area to transfer strain from the porous media to the optical fiber. The experiments were conducted by filling the column from the bottom or infiltrating water from the top. The water was allowed to equilibrate to room temperature prior to each test in order to limit thermoelastic strain. Five injection tests with a rate of 250 ml/min and three infiltration tests at varying rates were conducted, and the results show patterns of strain and pressure are generally similar. Hydrologic conditions define three zones based on the pressure magnitude and distribution. 1.) Ambient Zone where the pressure heads are quasi-static and the pressure gradient is roughly unity (head gradient of zero). This is the uppermost zone and is characterized by negative pressures. 2.) Transition Zone where the pressures increase from ambient to zero, are changing relatively rapidly and the pressure gradient is relatively steep (pressure head gradients of 2). The Transition zone is 10 to 15 cm thick. 3.) Positive Pressure Zone where the pressure is positive, the rate of change is slower than in the transition zone and the gradient is flatter (pressure head gradient 1.1 to 1.2). This is the lowest zone in the column. Injection of water causes the pressure to increase and the three zones to move upward. The Transition zone moves at a rate of approximately 0.0002 m/s +/- .00005, according to analyses of pressure profiles. This is the same as the average velocity of the water calculated as volumetric flux/effective porosity =5.4x10-5 m/s/0.28. Strain signals in the range of 10s  were observed with a noise level of generally less than 0.1  (signal to noise ratio of greater than 100) during injection and drainage. The spatial and temporal distributions of strain caused by injection depend on the location of the moving pressure zones. The locations of the different pressure zones were determined from pressure profiles at different times and these data were transferred to strain time series. This showed that strain in the Ambient pressure zone is either unchanged or slightly compressive, whereas strain in Transition zone is tensile and roughly proportional to the pressure change, and strain ranges from tensile to compressive in the Positive Pressure zone. In general, the strain is variable at the top of the Positive Pressure zone, but it appears to be consistently tensile lower in the zone. The spatial distribution of strain causes three distinct stages in the strain times series measured between pairs of CMPI reflectors. The strain is unchanged or slightly compressive during Stage 1, it increases (positive strain is tensile) approximately linearly at a rate of 0.02 to 0.03 μ/s during the Stage 2, and then flattens out in Stage 3. The strain increases again during Stage 4 of the time series. The pressure also changes in stages. It is unchanged during Stage 1 and then increases relatively rapidly at a rate of between 4 and 10 Pa/s during Stage 2 and continues to increase during Stages 3 and 4, but at a rate slightly slower than during Stage 2 (from 2.5 to 3.5 Pa/s). The rates of pressure and strain change are consistent with basic analyses. The rate of pressurization is similar to the calculated velocity of flow in the saturated zone, and this is similar to the measured velocity of the strain increase. The ratio of the pressurization rate and strain rate during Stage 2 (2.5 (Pa/s) /0.03 (μ/s)) is 80 MPa, which is approximately equal to the upper range expected considering the uniaxial compression and the Young’s Modulus of the sand. An interesting effect occurs when the upper surface of the sand becomes saturated. Significant compression (several 10s of ) occurs as the pressure and saturation increase at the upper surface. Compression occurs throughout the column, but the effect is greatest at the top of the column. The rate of compression is fastest slightly before ponding occurs, but it slows markedly and nearly stops when water starts to accumulate at the surface (ponding). This effect reverses when the surface of the sand is drained, resulting in tension throughout the column. The compression caused by this effect can be as large or larger than the tensile strain that accumulated during filling. This effect was unexpected because increasing pressure is normally associated with tensile strain. Nevertheless, this effect was observed consistently in all tests where the pressure changes at the upper surface, including tests where water was injected from below or infiltrated from above. This effect behaves as if the pore pressure at the upper surface of the sand exerts a normal force on the boundary (increasing pore pressure exerts a downward compression on the boundary). The results of these laboratory experiments indicate that CMPI can measure strain caused by fluid pressure changes in the vadose zone with a signal to noise ratio of 100 or more. Injection and drainage cause a strain signal that is complex, but repeatable. The magnitudes of the strain signal are consistent with magnitudes that are expected based on poroelastic calculations using independently measured properties of the sand. These results indicate that the CMPI technique with an optical fiber laminated in a polyester ribbon generates data that represent the strain distribution during hydrologic processes of imbibition and drainage in variably saturated sand. This suggests that distributed strain measurements using CMPI could be a viable approach for evaluating processes in the vadose zone, laying the groundwork for future field implementation.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

The oxygen stable isotope composition of CRM 125-A UO 2 standard reference material

While there is a clear need for standardized reference materials for analytical calibrations and for inter-laboratory comparisons, there are not currently any for the oxygen stable isotopic composition of uranium oxides. In this paper we summarize the results from four laboratories by seven different methods of oxygen stable isotope analyses using fluorination techniques of CRM 125-A UO 2 Standard Reference Material. We synthesize these data and methods to arrive at a consensus oxygen stable isotope composition for CRM 125-A $δ$ 18 O = -9.63‰ (±0.29‰) VSMOW. We discuss methodological differences between analytical approaches, including furnace vs laser heating, fluorination using BrF 5 or ClF 3 , as well as calibration strategies. We highlight the potential effects of calibration scale compression from single-point calibrations using reference material with $δ$ 18 O values having a large relative difference from the sample being analyzed. We demonstrate how calibration scale compression can yield differences in calibrated $δ$ 18 O values up to ~2‰ for samples with ~20‰ difference from a single reference material, if the calibration slope of different analytical systems differs by 0.1. In conclusion, we suggest the use of liquid water calibration standards sealed in silver capillary tubes for multi-point calibrations of fluorination analysis systems.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Expanded verification and validation studies of hypersonic aerodynamics with multiple physics-fidelity models

Hypersonic aerothermodynamics is an important domain of modern multiphysics simulation. The Multi-Fidelity Toolkit is a simulation tool being developed at Sandia National Laboratories to predict aerodynamic properties for compressible flows from a range of physics fidelities and computational speeds. These models include the Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equations, the Euler equations with momentum-energy integral technique (MEIT), and modified Newtonian aerodynamics with flat-plate boundary layer (MNA+FPBL) equations, and they can be invoked independently or coupled with hierarchical Kriging to interpolate between high-fidelity simulations using lower-fidelity data. However, as with any new simulation capability, verification and validation are necessary to gather credibility evidence. This work describes formal code- and solution-verification activities, as well as model validation with uncertainty considerations. Code verification activities on the MNA+FPBL model build on previous work by focusing on the viscous portion of the model. Viscous quantities of interest are compared against those from an analytical solution for flat-plate, inclined-plate, and cone geometries. The code verification methodology for the MEIT model is also presented. Test setup and results of code verification tests on the laminar and turbulent models within MEIT are shown. Solution-verification activities include grid-refinement studies on simulations that model the HIFiRE-1 wind tunnel experiments. These experiments are used for validation of all model fidelities. A thorough validation comparison with prediction error and uncertainty is also presented. Three additional HIFiRE-1 experimental runs are simulated in this study, and the solution verification and validation work examines the effects of the associated parameter changes on model performance. Finally, a study is presented that compares the computational costs and fidelities from each of the different models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quarterly Research Performance Progress Report (Q8)

As part of Task 1, we have started by testing our modeling capabilities by reproducing isothermal DFIT simulations presented in the literature. Once satisfied with the results we have started by targeting the modeling of the DFITs at conducted at well 58-32. We have a identified a specific test (cycle 4 in zone 2) as the most interesting to be model with GEOS hydraulic fracturing module. Thus, we have first produced results with an isothermal model and adjusted model parameters to get a satisfying match with field pressure data. The, we have added thermal effects and compared the modeling results with and without thermal effects to estimate how thermal effects may influence test interpretation. Models seem to suggest that, for small volumes of fluid, thermal effects are moderate. In Task 2, we have adapted GEOS phase-field formulation to be able to simulate near-wellbore hydraulic fracture nucleation and propagation. We have devised a novel formulation that, compared to other existing ones, incorporates rock strengths. We have submitted a journal publication about our work. We are currently employing this phase-field formulation to model the experiments taking place at U Pitt and help us understand the effect of various parameters. In Task 3, we have built a model of the region surround well 16A and have started modeling stage 3 stimulation because of its simpler planar geometry. After calibrating simulation parameters using known analytical solutions, we have simulated the stage 3 stimulation using our isothermal hydraulic fracturing module, varying the permeability field, the stress conditions including different physics to get a better understanding of the numerical challenges and of the effects of varying these parameters on the simulation results. In Task 4 laboratory experimentation, a set of specialized drilling and injection tools has been customized and constructed to accommodate an inclined well with an orientation of up to 30 degrees relative to material anisotropy or principal stress axes. These inclined samples have also undergone thermal stress and hydraulic fracturing at a temperature of 190 degrees Celsius. Furthermore, both vertical and deviated sampling testing setups enable an extended analysis of post-peak pressure behaviors, facilitating post-test pressure analyses such as the G-function, step rate, and fracture reopening measurements. Thus, the key components of in-situ stress estimation can be extracted and validated through our experiment, providing a solid foundation for validating existing in-situ stress estimation theories or proposing new ones. Simultaneously, we are integrating computer vision techniques with traditional experimental fracture observation methods such as multi-overcore/slicing and water-penetration fracture observation. This combination will prove beneficial in populating the hydraulic fracture patterns database, generated under challenging EGS conditions. This approach aims to deepen our understanding of the complexities in EGS reservoirs and pave the way for future data-driven investigations. Additionally, PITT has also equipped the ELE International compression machine, which is now prepared for conducting indirect tensile and fracture toughness tests. These tests will aid in characterizing how rock fabrics influence the resulting fracture patterns. Additionally, we have completed the required personnel training and gained access to Scanning Electron Microscopy (SEM) and Energy Dispersive Spectroscopy (EDS) for conducting more detailed characterization and analysis of rock fabrics, as well as the examination of thermal and hydraulically induced fracture patterns. Thus, the PITT team has effectively demonstrated the capabilities of our experimental apparatuses in exploring the thermal effects, well deviation angles, material anisotropy, and operational choices (such as circulation rate, injection fluid viscosity, and injection rate) and their impact on pressure responses and fracture trajectories under the Utah FORGE conditions.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Zero-Power Analog Optical Processing

The motivation behind this research is the growing challenge of handling the massive amounts of data generated by modern imaging systems. Conventional digital image processing techniques are struggling to keep pace with the demands of high-resolution and high-speed imaging systems for remote sensing due to their high-power consumption and data storage requirements. We present a novel approach based on analog photonics to address this challenge. The proposed system utilizes a silicon-photonics-based image encoder positioned after image formation and initial optical-to-electrical conversion. The photonic encoder compresses image data using a passive disordered photonic structure to perform kernel-type random projections of the raw data. The compressed data is then processed by a back-end neural network, which reconstructs the original image with high fidelity (structural similarity exceeding 90%). Our proposed approach has the potential to compress images with ~ 1000X lower power consumption compared to digital approaches with data rates exceeding 1 terapixel/second.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Combined search for electroweak production of winos, binos, higgsinos, and sleptons in proton-proton collisions at s = 13 TeV

A combination of the results of several searches for the electroweak production of the supersymmetric partners of standard model bosons, and of charged leptons, is presented. All searches use proton-proton collision data at s = 13 TeV recorded with the CMS detector at the LHC in 2016–2018. The analyzed data correspond to an integrated luminosity of up to 137 fb − 1 . The results are interpreted in terms of simplified models of supersymmetry. Two new interpretations are added with this combination: a model spectrum with the bino as the lightest supersymmetric particle together with mass-degenerate Higgsinos decaying to the bino and a standard model boson, and the compressed-spectrum region of a previously studied model of slepton pair production. Improved analysis techniques are employed to optimize sensitivity for the compressed spectra in the wino and slepton pair production models. The results are consistent with expectations from the standard model. The combination provides a more comprehensive coverage of the model parameter space than the individual searches, extending the exclusion by up to 125 GeV, and also targets some of the intermediate gaps in the mass coverage. © 2024 CERN, for the CMS Collaboration 2024 CERN

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗