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At least 145 records · Page 8

A baseline structure inventory with critical attribution for the US and its territories

Leveraging high performance computing, remote sensing, geographic data science, machine learning, and computer vision, Oak Ridge National Laboratory has partnered with Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to build a baseline structure inventory covering the US and its territories to support disaster preparedness, response, and recovery. The dataset contains more than 125 million structures with critical attribution, and is ready to be used by federal agencies, local government and first responders to accelerate on-the-ground response to disasters, further identify vulnerable areas, and develop strategies to enhance the resilience of critical structures and communities. Data can be freely and openly accessed through Figshare data repository, ESRI’s Living Atlas or FEMA’s Geodata platform.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Opening doors to physical sample tracking and attribution in Earth and environmental sciences

Physical samples and their associated data and metadata underpin scientific discoveries across disciplines and can enable new science when appropriately archived. However, there are significant gaps in current practices and infrastructure that prevent accurate provenance tracking, reproducibility, and attribution. For most samples, descriptive metadata are often sparse, inaccessible, or absent. Samples and associated data and metadata may also be scattered across numerous physical collections, data repositories, laboratories, data files, and papers with no clear linkage or provenance tracking as new information is generated over time. The Earth Science Information Partners (ESIP) Physical Samples Curation Cluster has therefore developed guidance for scientific authors on ‘Publishing Open Research Using Physical Samples.’ This involved synthesizing existing practices, gathering community feedback, and assessing real-world examples. We identified improvements needed to enable authors to efficiently cite and link Earth science samples and related data, and track their use. Our goal is to help improve discoverability, interoperability, and reuse of physical samples, and associated data and metadata. Though primarily focused on the needs of Earth and environmental sciences, these guidelines are broadly applicable.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Influence of intrinsic and extrinsic attributes on neonate survival in an invasive large mammal

Abstract Understanding factors influencing survival of neonates for wild species is important for successful management, particularly for determining drivers of population dynamics. Wild pigs ( Sus scrofa ) are invasive and populations are rapidly increasing in part due to high reproductive capacity. Survival of adults is generally high, however, survival of piglets, and particularly neonates, is largely unknown. We located neonates at the natal nest and quantified survival in relation to individual and maternal biological attributes, and environmental variables. During 2017–2020, we captured 50 neonates from 13 litters and documented 28 mortalities (56%) over six weeks. Survival was positively influenced by pelage coloration, likely as a form of camouflage from predators. Male neonates had higher survival. They were born larger than females, which could be beneficial for thermoregulation and competition for milk. Neonates born to larger sows had lower survival. Sow size was positively correlated with litter size, and this finding may reflect the increased nutritional demands of sustaining large litters, or difficulties in defending more neonates against predators. Neonates born in warmer months had higher survival than those born in cooler months. Neonates are inefficient thermoregulators, thus being born in warmer months could be beneficial for maintaining homeostasis as well as access to more food resources. These are the largest and most complete data for neonate wild pig survival and will inform population models for the development of management strategies to reduce negative impacts of this destructive invasive species on native ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-Attribute Subset Selection enables prediction of representative phenotypes across microbial populations

The interpretation of complex biological datasets requires the identification of representative variables that describe the data without critical information loss. This is particularly important in the analysis of large phenotypic datasets (phenomics). Here we introduce Multi-Attribute Subset Selection (MASS), an algorithm which separates a matrix of phenotypes (e.g., yield across microbial species and environmental conditions) into predictor and response sets of conditions. Using mixed integer linear programming, MASS expresses the response conditions as a linear combination of the predictor conditions, while simultaneously searching for the optimally descriptive set of predictors. We apply the algorithm to three microbial datasets and identify environmental conditions that predict phenotypes under other conditions, providing biologically interpretable axes for strain discrimination. MASS could be used to reduce the number of experiments needed to identify species or to map their metabolic capabilities. The generality of the algorithm allows addressing subset selection problems in areas beyond biology.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Evidence and attribution of the enhanced land carbon sink

Climate change has been partially mitigated by an increasing net land carbon sink in the terrestrial biosphere; understanding the processes that drive this sink is thus essential for protecting, managing and projecting this important ecosystem service. In this Review, we examine evidence for an enhanced land carbon sink and attribute the observed response to drivers and processes. This sink has doubled from 1.2 ± 0.5 PgC yr -1 in the 1960s to 3.1 ± 0.6 PgC yr -1 in the 2010s. This trend results largely from carbon dioxide fertilization increasing photosynthesis (driving an increase in the annual land carbon sink of >2 PgC globally since 1900), mainly in tropical forest regions, and elevated temperatures reducing cold limitation, mainly at higher latitudes. Continued long-term land carbon sequestration is possible through the end of this century under multiple emissions scenarios, especially if nature-based climate solutions and appropriate ecosystem management are used. In conclusion, a new generation of globally distributed field experiments is needed to improve understanding of future carbon sink potential by measuring belowground carbon release, the response to carbon dioxide enrichment, and long-term shifts in carbon allocation and turnover.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Adsorption of ethylenediamine on Cu surfaces: attributes of a successful capping molecule using first-principles calculations

The shape-controlled synthesis of Cu nanocrystals can benefit a wide range of applications, though challenges exist in achieving high and selective yields to a particular shape. Capping agents play a pivotal role in controlling shape, but their exact role remains ambiguous. In this study, the adsorption of ethylenediamine (EDA) on Cu(100) and Cu(111) was investigated with quantum density functional theory (DFT) to reveal the complex roles of EDA in promoting penta-twinned Cu nanowire growth. We find EDA has stronger binding on Cu(100) than on Cu(111), which agrees the general expectation that penta-twinned Cu nanowires express facets with stronger capping-molecule binding. Despite this stronger binding, ab initio thermodynamics reveals the surface energy of EDA-covered Cu(111) is lower than that EDA-covered Cu(100) at all solution-phase EDA chemical potentials, so there is no thermodynamic driving force for penta-twinned nanowires. We also investigated the capability of EDA to protect Cu surfaces from oxidation in water by quantifying energy barriers for a water molecule to diffuse through EDA layers on Cu(100) and Cu(111). The energy barrier on Cu(100) is significantly lower, which supports observations of faster oxidation of Cu(100) in electrochemical experiments. Thus, we elucidate another possible function of a capping agent – to enable selective oxidation of crystal facets. This finding adds to the general understanding of successful attributes of capping agents for shape-selective nanocrystal growth.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Attribution of the record-high 2023 SST using a deep-learning framework

Abstract The global-mean sea surface temperature (SST) reached a record high in 2023, exceeding the 2016 record by 0.14 °C. This unprecedented change in global-mean SST has major implications for our understanding of internal variability and the forced response in our changing climate. In this work, we use neural networks trained on simulated climate data to separate the contributions of internal variability and the forced response within observations. Performing attribution reveals that internal variability was responsible for +0.07 °C of the 2023 global mean SST, due to anomalously warm conditions in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Indian Ocean basins. Furthermore, these results provide a line of evidence for accelerated forced warming in recent years. Continued monitoring of the climate will be critical for understanding the drivers behind this unprecedented SST record.

Rader, Jamin K. (ORCID:0000000222045977)↗

Model validation and error attribution for a drifting qubit

Qubit performance is often reported in terms of a variety of single-value metrics, each providing a facet of the underlying noise mechanism limiting performance. However, the value of these metrics may drift over long timescales, and reporting a single number for qubit performance fails to account for the low-frequency noise processes that give rise to this drift. Here, in this work, we demonstrate how we can use the distribution of these values to validate or invalidate candidate noise models. We focus on the case of randomized benchmarking (RB), where typically a single error rate is reported but this error rate can drift over time when multiple passes of RB are performed. We show that using a statistical test as simple as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic on the distribution of RB error rates can be used to rule out noise models, assuming the experiment is performed over a long enough time interval to capture relevant low frequency noise. With confidence in a noise model, we show how care must be exercised when performing error attribution using the distribution of drifting RB error rate.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Efficient Extraction Of Building Elevation Attributes For Flood Risk Management Using Airborne LiDAR Data

In this paper, we address the need for extracting two key building elevation attributes—Lowest Adjacent Grade (LAG) and Highest Adjacent Grade (HAG)—which are crucial for effective flood risk management. Conventional methods, involving onsite surveying or the use of optical imagery-derived building footprints combined with Digital Elevation Models (DEMs), often face misalignment and time discrepancy issues due to varied remote sensing sources. We introduce a new, scalable method that exclusively relies on airborne LiDAR data to overcome these challenges. Our approach employs an object-based ground filtering technique, and the results were evaluated using two different DEMs and building footprint sets. The findings demonstrate that our single-source method, utilizing only airborne LiDAR data, significantly improves the accuracy of LAG and HAG calculations compared to traditional methods that use hand-digitized building footprints. The proposed approach offers a solution for comprehensive flood risk management endeavors.

Song, Hunsoo↗

AGS-GNN: Attribute-guided Sampling for Graph Neural Networks

We propose AGS-GNN, a novel attribute-guided sampling algorithm for Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) that exploits node features and connectivity structure of a graph while simultaneously adapting for both homophily and heterophily in graphs. (In homophilic graphs vertices of the same class are more likely to be connected, and vertices of different classes tend to be linked in heterophilic graphs.) While GNNs have been successfully applied to homophilic graphs, their application to heterophilic graphs remains challenging. The best-performing GNNs for heterophilic graphs do not fit the sampling paradigm, suffer high computational costs, and are not inductive. We employ samplers based on feature-similarity and feature-diversity to select subsets of neighbors for a node, and adaptively capture information from homophilic and heterophilic neighborhoods using dual channels. Currently, AGS-GNN is the only algorithm that we know of that explicitly controls homophily in the sampled subgraph through similar and diverse neighborhood samples. For diverse neighborhood sampling, we employ submodularity, which was not used in this context prior to our work. The sampling distribution is pre-computed and highly parallel, achieving the desired scalability. Using an extensive dataset consisting of 35 small (<=100K nodes) and large (>100K nodes) homophilic and heterophilic graphs, we demonstrate the superiority of AGS-GNN compare to the current approaches in the literature. AGS-GNN achieves comparable test accuracy to the best-performing heterophilic GNNs, even outperforming methods using the entire graph for node classification. AGS-GNN also converges faster compared to methods that sample neighborhoods randomly, and can be incorporated into existing GNN models that employ node or graph sampling.

artificial intelligence↗

Attribution of North American Subseasonal Precipitation Prediction Skill

The skill of NOAA’s official monthly U.S. precipitation forecasts (issued in the middle of the prior month) has historically been low, having shown modest skill over the southern United States, but little or no skill over large portions of the central United States. The goal of this study is to explain the seasonal and regional variations of the North American subseasonal (weeks 3–6) precipitation skill, specifically the reasons for its successes and its limitations. The performances of multiple recent-generation model reforecasts over 1999–2015 in predicting precipitation are compared to uninitialized simulation skill using the atmospheric component of the forecast systems. This parallel analysis permits attribution of precipitation skill to two distinct sources: one due to slowly evolving ocean surface boundary states and the other to faster time-scale initial atmospheric weather states. A strong regionality and seasonality in precipitation forecast performance is shown to be analogous to skill patterns dictated by boundary forcing constraints alone. The correspondence is found to be especially high for the North American pattern of the maximum monthly skill that is achieved in the reforecast. The boundary forcing of most importance originates from tropical Pacific SST influences, especially those related to El Niño–Southern Oscillation. Furthermore, we discuss physical constraints that may limit monthly precipitation skill and interpret the performance of existing models in the context of plausible upper limits.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Determining the Appropriate Emergency Planning Attributes for Microreactors

Micro-reactor designs incorporate design features that provide very low reactor decay heat power at 24 hours after shutdown that is manageable in comparison with larger reactors. This attribute translates into a low probability of core damage negligible offsite dose. This paper provides the conceptual framework for appropriately structuring emergency planning requirements for micro-reactors while ensuring the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) commitment to safety is met. Due to the diversity in reactor designs comprising the micro-reactor community, this paper identifies the necessary concepts that should be considered to ensure emergency plans for micro-reactors are appropriate for the risk. This paper does not mandate specific design features for micro-reactors but provides reactor designers a conceptual framework for a scalable, graded approach to Emergency Planning Standards that should be considered in their individual designs in order to support simplified emergency plans. Given that accident source terms associated with micro-reactors are essentially negligible when compared with those for large light water reactors, revisions to emergency planning standards are justified. A graded approach to implementing emergency planning guidance can be used to appropriately structure micro-reactor emergency plans and reduce the size of the emergency planning zone and plume exposure pathway. Appropriately structuring emergency planning requirements will better optimize licensee and offsite agencies emergency planning resources and reduce the resources associated with emergency planning.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The Impacts of System Boundary and Biogenic Carbon Accounting in an Attributional Life Cycle Analysis of U.S. Renewable Natural Gas Production Pathways

The slides provide an overview of the attributional LCA analysis of renewable natural gas production (RNG). Topics include: • Overview of previous NETL RNG work and inconsistencies in literature.<p>• Presentation of LCA methodology centered around system boundary and biogenic carbon accounting.</p><p>• Results for 60 distinct RNG production pathways.</p><p>• Discussion of results.</p>

biogenic CO2↗

Grid Reliability and U.S. Coal Fleet Attributes: Considerations for State Regulators

This briefing paper provides state utility regulators with a comprehensive and current understanding of the reliability attributes of coal as a generation resource, potential reliability impacts associated with near-term coal plant retirements, and possible mitigation strategies to ensure a stable and resilient energy system.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Improving Land Cover Classification Using Extended Multi-Attribute Profiles (EMAP) Enhanced Color, Near Infrared, and LiDAR Data

Hyperspectral (HS) data have found a wide range of applications in recent years. Researchers observed that more spectral information helps land cover classification performance in many cases. However, in some practical applications, HS data may not be available, due to cost, data storage, or bandwidth issues. Instead, users may only have RGB and near infrared (NIR) bands available for land cover classification. Sometimes, light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data may also be available to assist land cover classification. A natural research problem is to investigate how well land cover classification can be achieved under the aforementioned data constraints. In this paper, we investigate the performance of land cover classification while only using four bands (RGB+NIR) or five bands (RGB+NIR+LiDAR). A number of algorithms have been applied to a well-known dataset (2013 IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society Data Fusion Contest). One key observation is that some algorithms can achieve better land cover classification performance by using only four bands as compared to that of using all 144 bands in the original hyperspectral data with the help of synthetic bands generated by Extended Multi-attribute Profiles (EMAP). Moreover, LiDAR data do improve the land cover classification performance even further.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Aerosol transport pathways and source attribution in China during the COVID-19 outbreak

Abstract. Due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, human activities and industrial productions were strictly restricted during January–March 2020 in China. Despite the fact that anthropogenic aerosol emissions largely decreased, haze events still occurred. Characterization of aerosol transport pathways and attribution of aerosol sources from specific regions are beneficial to air quality and pandemic control strategies. This study establishes source–receptor relationships in various regions covering all of China during the COVID-19 outbreak based on the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 with Explicit Aerosol Source Tagging (CAM5-EAST). Our analysis shows that PM2.5 burden over the North China Plain between 30 January and 19 February is mostly contributed by local emissions (40 %–66 %). For other regions in China, PM2.5 burden is largely contributed from nonlocal sources. During the most polluted days of the COVID-19 outbreak, local emissions within the North China Plain and eastern China contributed 66 % and 87 % to the increase in surface PM2.5 concentrations, respectively. This is associated with the anomalous mid-tropospheric high pressure at the location of the climatological East Asia trough and the consequently weakened winds in the lower troposphere, leading to the local aerosol accumulation. The emissions outside China, especially those from South Asia and Southeast Asia, contribute over 50 % to the increase in PM2.5 concentration in southwestern China through transboundary transport during the most polluted day. As the reduction in emissions in the near future is desirable, aerosols from long-range transport and unfavorable meteorological conditions are increasingly important to regional air quality and need to be taken into account in clean-air plans.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

An attribution of the low single-scattering albedo of biomass burning aerosol over the southeastern Atlantic

Abstract. Aerosol over the remote southeastern Atlantic is some of the most sunlight-absorbing aerosol on the planet: the in situ free-tropospheric single-scattering albedo at the 530 nm wavelength (SSA530 nm) ranges from 0.83 to 0.89 within ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS) aircraft flights from late August–September. Here we seek to explain the low SSA. The SSA depends strongly on the black carbon (BC) number fraction, which ranges from 0.15 to 0.4. Low organic aerosol (OA)-to-BC mass ratios of 8–14 and modified combustion efficiency values >0.975 point indirectly to the dry, flame-efficient combustion of primarily grass fuels, with back trajectories ending in the miombo woodlands of Angola. The youngest aerosol, aged 4–5 d since emission, occupied the top half of a 5 km thick plume sampled directly west of Angola with a vertically consistent BC:ΔCO (carbon monoxide) ratio, indicating a homogenization of the source emissions. The younger aerosol, transported more quickly off of the continent by stronger winds, overlaid older, slower-moving aerosol with a larger mean particle size and fraction of BC-containing particles. This is consistent with ongoing gas condensation and the coagulation of smaller non-BC particles upon the BC-containing particles. The particle volumes and OA:BC mass ratios of the older aerosol were smaller, attributed primarily to evaporation following fragmentation, instead of dilution or thermodynamics. The CLARIFY (CLoud–Aerosol–Radiation Interaction and Forcing: Year 2017) aircraft campaign sampled aerosols that had traveled further to reach the more remote Ascension Island. CLARIFY reported higher BC number fractions, lower OA:BC mass ratios, and lower SSA yet larger mass absorption coefficients compared to this study's. Values from one ORACLES 2017 flight, held midway to Ascension Island, are intermediate, confirming the long-range changes. Overall the data are most consistent with continuing oxidation through fragmentation releasing aerosols that subsequently enter the gas phase, reducing the OA mass, rather than evaporation through dilution or thermodynamics. The data support the following best fit: SSA530nm=0.801+0055⋅(OA:BC) (r=0.84). The fires of southern Africa emit approximately one-third of the world's carbon; the emitted aerosols are distinct from other regional smoke emissions, and their composition needs to be represented appropriately to realistically depict regional aerosol radiative effects.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗