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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Uncertainty Analysis for a Criticality Benchmark [Slides]

This presentation discusses how KRUSTY was analyzed with LANL’s MCNP neutron transport code, Monte Carlo N-Particle. In the Monte Carlo method, neutrons are born in fission events and fly around the geometry having events (e.g., scatter, capture, fission, escape) according to the natural probabilities. “Natural probabilities” are given as neutron cross sections , which are measured and evaluated nuclear data. One of the goals of the benchmark project is to improve the nuclear cross sections (and the codes that use them). In this work, the response of interest is called k eff , which describes the neutron multiplication in a near critical system. Like most quantities, k eff is not measured directly; it is only inferred. In summation, MCNP results for k eff matched the measurements extremely well. The evaluated uncertainties are asymmetric and smaller than 0.00100 (e.g., + 0.00080 / – 0.00062). The largest uncertainties are due to alignment.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Uncertainty Analysis for a Criticality Benchmark [Slides]

This presentation discusses how KRUSTY was analyzed with LANL’s MCNP neutron transport code, Monte Carlo N-Particle. In the Monte Carlo method, neutrons are born in fission events and fly around the geometry having events (e.g., scatter, capture, fission, escape) according to the natural probabilities. “Natural probabilities” are given as neutron cross sections , which are measured and evaluated nuclear data. One of the goals of the benchmark project is to improve the nuclear cross sections (and the codes that use them). In this work, the response of interest is called k eff , which describes the neutron multiplication in a near critical system. Like most quantities, k eff is not measured directly; it is only inferred. In summation, MCNP results for k eff matched the measurements extremely well. The evaluated uncertainties are asymmetric and smaller than 0.00100 (e.g., + 0.00080 / – 0.00062). The largest uncertainties are due to alignment.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Shock initiation of the HMX-based explosive PBX 9012: Experiments, uncertainty analysis, and unreacted equation-of-state

In this study, shock initiation experiments have been carried out on the polymer-bonded explosive PBX 9012 [nominally 90% octahydro-1,3,5,7-tetranitro-1,3,5,7-tetrazine (HMX), 10% vinylidene–hexafluoropropylene copolymer (Viton A) by weight] in order to provide calibration data for the explosive’s unreacted equation-of-state (EOS) and shock-to-detonation transition for reactive burn rate calibration. The input pressures covered the range of 1.86–4.43 GPa. This provided run-to-detonation depths ranging from > 22.3 mm for the lowest pressure shot to 4.91 mm at the highest pressure. The relative shock sensitivity of PBX 9012 is compared to other HMX-explosives in terms of the Pop-plot, showing that the studied explosive is more sensitive than other similar HMX-based counterparts (with notable exceptions). The uncertainty in the shock velocity determinations from the shock tracker measurements are also investigated, yielding new uncertainty measures in the generated Hugoniot data and run-to-detonation coordinates. Finally, the unreacted equation-of-state is determined using a linear U s – u p Mie–Grüneisen relation and the Davis reactants EOS analytical form, the latter being more suited for reactive burn modeling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty analysis of Raman spectra for measuring ortho-parahydrogen compositions

Determining ortho-parahydrogen compositions at cryogenic temperatures is an important quality control for liquid hydrogen custody exchange. High orthohydrogen compositions lead to an exothermic reaction resulting in increased boil off and increased venting losses of liquid hydrogen product by either the supplier or consumer. Traditional methods for measuring ortho-parahydrogen compositions such as hot-wire anemometry, nuclear magnetic resonance, and infrared spectroscopy are typically inconvenient at best. As the number of cryogenic hydrogen systems continue to increase, there is an increased need for flexible, standardized techniques for post processing composition measurements. A Raman spectrometer implemented in the Cryo-Catalysis Hydrogen Experimental Facility (CHEF) has demonstrated incredible flexibility for composition measurements of cryogenic hydrogen flows through a wide range of temperatures and pressures with the Raman probe in-situ at cryogenic temperatures. This article analyzes the uncertainty of Raman spectroscopy data of cryogenic hydrogen equilibrated at temperatures in IONEX catalyst. Spectra from hydrogen catalyzed to the equilibrium ortho-parahydrogen composition are processed and compared to expected statistical distributions for method verification.

08 HYDROGEN↗
NASA NTRS2013

Trajectory Reconstruction and Uncertainty Analysis Using Mars Science Laboratory Pre-Flight Scale Model Aeroballistic Testing

As part of the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) trajectory reconstruction effort at NASA Langley Research Center, free-flight aeroballistic experiments of instrumented MSL scale models was conducted at Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland. The models carried an inertial measurement unit (IMU) and a flush air data system (FADS) similar to the MSL Entry Atmospheric Data System (MEADS) that provided data types similar to those from the MSL entry. Multiple sources of redundant data were available, including tracking radar and on-board magnetometers. These experimental data enabled the testing and validation of the various tools and methodologies that will be used for MSL trajectory reconstruction. The aerodynamic parameters Mach number, angle of attack, and sideslip angle were estimated using minimum variance with a priori to combine the pressure data and pre-flight computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. Both linear and non-linear pressure model terms were also estimated for each pressure transducer as a measure of the errors introduced by CFD and transducer calibration. Parameter uncertainties were estimated using a "consider parameters" approach.

Lugo, Rafael A.↗
NASA NTRS1996

Uncertainty Analysis for Oil-Film Interferometry Skin-Friction Measurement Techniques

Over the past 20 years, the use of oil-film interferometry to measure the skin friction coefficient (C(sub f) = tau/q where tau is the surface shear stress and q is the dynamic pressure) has increased. Different forms of this oil-film technique with various levels of accuracy and ease of use have been successfully applied in a wide range of flows. The method's popularity is growing due to its relative ease of implementation and minimal intrusiveness as well as an increased demand for C(sub f) measurements. Nonetheless, the accuracy of these methods has not been rigorously addressed to date. Most researchers have simply shown that the skin-friction measurements made using these techniques compare favorably with other measurements and theory, most of which are only accurate to within 5-20%. The use of skin-friction data in the design of commercial aircraft, whose drag at cruise is 50% skin-friction drag, and in the validation of computational fluid dynamics programs warrants better uncertainty estimates. Additional information is contained in the original extended abstract.

Naughton, Jonathan W.↗
NASA NTRS2018

Radiative Heating Indicators and Uncertainty Analysis for Mars 2020

This paper will present analysis to evaluate a functional form and associated parameters to determine the radiative heating at various back-shell locations of the Mars 2020 aeroshell. The radiative heating indicators are used for preliminary vehicle design, and to determine the worst-case trajectories for peak radiative heat flux and load. Historically, the functional form for radiative heating is based on free-stream parameters of density, velocity and a length scale, typically the nose-radius (or equivalent). However, a fit of this form has been shown to not provide significant enough accuracy when compared to simulation results. Therefore, a fit based on post-shock equilibrium calculations of CO and CO2 number density, temperature and pressure has been devised. The results from the TPS 15 01 trajectory were used to develop the fit. The fit was then applied to the MSL best estimated trajectory (BET). Furthermore, the paper will quantify the uncertainty in simulations of the radiative heating for Mars 2020.

Mars 2020↗
NASA NTRS2013

Coherent Uncertainty Analysis of Aerosol Measurements from Multiple Satellite Sensors

Aerosol retrievals from multiple spaceborne sensors, including MODIS (on Terra and Aqua), MISR, OMI, POLDER, CALIOP, and SeaWiFS altogether, a total of 11 different aerosol products were comparatively analyzed using data collocated with ground-based aerosol observations from the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) stations within the Multi-sensor Aerosol Products Sampling System (MAPSS, http://giovanni.gsfc.nasa.gov/mapss/ and http://giovanni.gsfc.nasa.gov/aerostat/). The analysis was performed by comparing quality-screened satellite aerosol optical depth or thickness (AOD or AOT) retrievals during 2006-2010 to available collocated AERONET measurements globally, regionally, and seasonally, and deriving a number of statistical measures of accuracy. We used a robust statistical approach to detect and remove possible outliers in the collocated data that can bias the results of the analysis. Overall, the proportion of outliers in each of the quality-screened AOD products was within 12%. Squared correlation coefficient (R2) values of the satellite AOD retrievals relative to AERONET exceeded 0.6, with R2 for most of the products exceeding 0.7 over land and 0.8 over ocean. Root mean square error (RMSE) values for most of the AOD products were within 0.15 over land and 0.09 over ocean. We have been able to generate global maps showing regions where the different products present advantages over the others, as well as the relative performance of each product over different landcover types. It was observed that while MODIS, MISR, and SeaWiFS provide accurate retrievals over most of the landcover types, multi-angle capabilities make MISR the only sensor to retrieve reliable AOD over barren and snow / ice surfaces. Likewise, active sensing enables CALIOP to retrieve aerosol properties over bright-surface shrublands more accurately than the other sensors, while POLDER, which is the only one of the sensors capable of measuring polarized aerosols, outperforms other sensors in certain smoke-dominated regions, including broadleaf evergreens in Brazil and South-East Asia.

remote sensing↗
DOE OSTI2019

Emergent Relationships Among Sea Ice, Longwave Radiation, and the Beaufort High Circulation Exposed Through Parameter Uncertainty Analysis

Using a perturbed parameter ensemble of a coupled climate model, emerging relationships are identified between sea ice area, net surface longwave radiation, and the atmospheric circulation over the Beaufort gyre. There is a strong positive correlation between sea ice area and the net longwave radiation over the ocean-ice surface during the melting season and a negative correlation during the freezing season. The mechanisms responsible for the longwave radiation balance at the surface are mainly driven by sea ice variations in the freezing season and by clouds in the melting season. A strong positive (negative) correlation is also found between the fall (summer) total sea ice area in the Arctic and the sea level pressure over the Beaufort High region. It is argued that as sea ice coverage is lost, static stability losses are severe in fall, resulting in enhanced evaporation, vertical motions, and weakening of the general large-scale anticyclonic circulation of the Beaufort High.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Application-Specific Implementations: Self-Consistent Analysis, Uncertainty Estimation, Instrumentation Effects

When UF 6 is located on the bottom of a cylindrical container lying flat, the Hage-Cifarelli formalism can be used to reconstruct the multiplication of the UF 6 and the strength of the 234 U (a,n) source, from which the 235 U can be inferred. However, when the UF 6 sticks to the ends or to the sides of the container, the reconstruction is no longer predictive in terms of source strength. The same conclusions were reached, whether one uses 3 He tubes or scintillators to detect the neutrons. Feynman’s point theory underlying the reconstruction would need to be improved to address the differences in source strenghts observed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Uncertainty Analysis of the NOvA Test Beam Wire Chambers

The Fermilab Test Beam is a beam designed for R&D for a variety of experiments taking place at Fermilab, for instance the NOvA experiment. An essential component of the NOvA Test Beam is four wire chambers which measure the transverse position of particles travelling along the beamline. Occasionally, a particle will not produce a hit in one of the four wire chambers resulting in a “3 hit track” instead of the usual “4 hit track”. In our research, we explored the possibility of including these 3 hit tracks into analysis, and how they impact relevant statistics.

Scheuermann, Elizabeth↗