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DOE OSTI2021

Towards a New Supply Chain Cybersecurity Risk Analysis Technique

Supply chain cyber-attacks, such as the SolarWinds Orion attack, are occurring with greater frequency. These attacks compromise a digital device before it is sent to customers, bypassing traditional security controls to remain persistent and undetected in operational environments. While supply chain attacks are prevalent, methods for analyzing the risk of these attacks are currently unavailable. This paper proposes new supply chain cyber-attack difficulty and risk metrics to evaluate the relative risk of an attack throughout the supply chain lifecycle. Difficulty metrics for each stakeholder in a digital device’s supply chain (e.g., hardware manufacturing, firmware development, software development, storage, and distribution entities) are calculated using scores from cybersecurity maturity questionnaires in a Bayesian Network leaky Noisy-MAX model. These difficulty metrics are then used to calculate an overall supply chain cyber-attack risk. Vulnerability and recoverability metrics are also proposed to evaluate the relative stakeholder influence in the attack risk. These proposed relative risk metrics enable continuous supply chain monitoring, provide decision-makers with information necessary for improved supplier selection, and help drive improvements in the cybersecurity posture of the stakeholders in their supply chain.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2013

Titanium Sheet Production from Commercial Powder

Powder metallurgy titanium sheet was produced from hydride dehydride (HDH) powder using a diverse industrial supply chain. Three different processing routes were developed and production protocols were established in each route to provide options for manufacturing sheet. The produced sheet was tested in accordance with American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) B265 specifications and found to be equivalent with grade 4 in yield strength and tensile strength and were at grade 2 levels for elongation. The produced sheet was tested in a newly designed flat plate heat exchanger specifically designed for enhanced reverse osmosis desalination. The powder metallurgy sheet was found to be equivalent in performance to commercially available sheet produced by the standard Kroll process. The testing allows for an alternate supply chain for thin gage titanium sheet to be developed that is not based on the often volatile, aerospace supply chain.

Muth, Thomas R.↗

DOE OSTI2014

A multi-echelon supply chain model for municipal solid waste management system

In this paper, a multi-echelon multi-period solid waste management system (MSWM) was developed by inoculating with multi-echelon supply chain. Waste managers, suppliers, industries and distributors could be engaged in joint strategic planning and operational execution. The principal of MSWM system is interactive planning of transportation and inventory for each organization in waste collection, delivery and disposal. An efficient inventory management plan for MSWM would lead to optimized productivity levels under available capacities (e.g., transportation and operational capacities). The applicability of the proposed system was illustrated by a case with three cities, one distribution and two waste disposal facilities. Solutions of the decision variable values under different significant levels indicate a consistent trend. With an increased significant level, the total generated waste would be decreased, and the total transported waste through distribution center to waste to energy and landfill would be decreased as well.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2019

Lessons from a large-scale systems dynamics modeling project: the example of the biomass scenario model

The biomass scenario model (BSM) is a dynamic model of the biomass-to-biofuels supply chain in the U.S.A., developed during a multi-year analysis effort conducted by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under sponsorship from the United States Department of Energy (DOE) Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO). The BSM project, which received the 2018 Applications Award by the International System Dynamics Society, has supported collaborative analyses, developed scenarios for industry development and facilitated stakeholder engagement. We summarize insights gained from the BSM project that may be useful to other large-scale dynamic modeling efforts. We summarize the project focus, the analysis process, key outcomes and observations on successful execution of such a product. Key points include the value of a multidisciplinary team with clear roles, engagement of experts and stakeholders, and use and reuse of simple, modular structures. As a result, the overall effort suggests that these practices may aid long-term, team-focused, multi-stakeholder modeling efforts.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Optimising the geospatial configuration of a future lithium ion battery recycling industry in the transition to electric vehicles and a circular economy

Rapid electrification of the transport system will generate substantial volumes of Lithium-ion-battery (LiB) waste as batteries reach their end-of-life. Much attention focuses on the recycling processes, neglecting a broader systemic view that considers the concentration of the costs and impacts associated with logistics and transportation. This paper provides an economic, environmental and geospatial analysis of a future LiB recycling industry in the UK. Hitherto, state-of-the-art assessment methods have evaluated life cycle impacts and costs but have not considered the geographical layer of the problem. This paper develops a GSC derived supply chain model for the UK electric vehicle and end-of-life vehicle battery industry. Considering both pyrometallurgical and hydrometallurgical recycling technologies, the optimisation process takes into account anticipated EV volumes, and, based on anticipated near-term technological evolution of LiBs, the evolution of the mix of battery cathodes in production, and presents a number of scenarios to show where LiB recycling facilities should ideally be geographically located. An economic and environmental assessment based on a customised EverBatt model is provided.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2019

2018 Offshore Wind Technologies (Market Report)

The 2018 Offshore Wind Technologies Market Report is intended to provide offshore wind policymakers, regulators, developers, researchers, engineers, financiers, supply chain participants, and other stakeholders with up-to-date quantitative information about the offshore wind market, technology, and cost trends in the United States and worldwide. This report is especially intended to provide detailed information on the domestic offshore wind industry to provide a U.S. context and help navigate technical and market barriers and opportunities.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Integrated Regional Technical Exchange Centers

The Ohio Fuel Cell Coalition (OFCC) with an award from the Department of Energy Fuel Cell Fuel Cell Technologies Office (FCTO), Award No. DE-EE0006931, conducted a project to facilitate the development of a robust supply chain for fuel cell and hydrogen systems that would accelerate mass production, reduced cost, and improve performance and durability of Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) fuel cell systems.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Offshore Wind Market Report: 2021 Edition

The Offshore Wind Market Report: 2021 Edition is intended to provide offshore wind policymakers, regulators, developers, researchers, engineers, financiers, supply chain participants, and other stakeholders with up-to-date quantitative information about the offshore wind market, technology, and cost trends in the United States and worldwide. This report details information on the domestic offshore wind industry to provide a U.S. context and help navigate technical and market barriers and opportunities.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Offshore Wind Market Report: 2022 Edition

The 2022 edition of the Offshore Wind Market Report provides offshore wind policymakers, regulators, developers, researchers, engineers, financiers, supply chain participants, and other stakeholders with up-to-date quantitative information about the offshore wind market, technology, and cost trends in the United States and worldwide. The report covers the global offshore wind industry for the 2021 calendar year and the most significant U.S. domestic industry progress and events from January 1, 2021, through May 31, 2022.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Offshore Wind Market Report: 2022 Edition

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Development Results on Replacement Materials for Current Scarce or High Supply Chain Risk Materials

In September 2020, the U.S. government issued an executive order to address the threat to the domestic supply chain from its reliance on critical minerals (CMs) from foreign competitors and to support the domestic mining and processing industry. The Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technology (AMMT) program is addressing this executive order by evaluating advanced manufacturing (AM) and its impact on the demands of CMs for energy production in general and how the deployment of AM in nuclear energy will support the projected goals of the Paris Accord and further a net-zero carbon economy (NZE) by 2050. Three strategic reports were previously prepared by the AMMT program to date and identified two areas for more detailed exploration: (1) the replacement of high-risk CMs such as cobalt and niobium by more abundant minerals and (2) the minimization and utilization of CM waste streams. The design of nuclear materials without critical elements as alloying elements, is a part of the nuclear materials strategy to overcome the critical minerals scarcity. In this report, two approaches are evaluated namely (1) replacement of critical elements as alloying elements in nuclear materials, and (2) the design of a new alloys that does not contain critical minerals as an alloying element.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2015

Recent Progress in Producing Lignin-Based Carbon Fibers for Functional Applications

Lignin, a biopolymer, has been investigated as a renewable and low-cost carbon fiber precursor since the 1960s. Although successful lab-scale production of lignin-based carbon fibers has been reported, there are currently not any commercial producers. This paper will highlight some of the known challenges with converting lignin-based precursors into carbon fiber, and the reported methods for purifying and modifying lignin to improve it as a precursor. Several of the challenges with lignin are related to its diversity in chemical structure and purity, depending on its biomass source (e.g. hardwood, softwood, grasses) and extraction method (e.g. organosolv, kraft). In order to make progress in this field, GrafTech and Oak Ridge National Laboratory are collaborating to develop lignin-based carbon fiber technology and to demonstrate it in functional applications, as part of a cooperative agreement with the DOE Advanced Manufacturing Office. The progress made to date with producing lignin-based carbon fiber for functional applications, as well as developing and qualifying a supply chain and value proposition, are also highlighted.

Paul, Ryan↗

DOE OSTI2026

RidgeAlloy: A high pressure die casting alloy that captures the approaching wave of automotive body sheet scrap

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has recently launched an effort to economically expand the North American aluminum supply chain by designing and developing a new family of Al-Mg-Si-Fe-Mn structural die cast aluminum alloys that can be made from up to 100% mixed 5xxx and 6xxx series automotive post-consumer sheet scrap and do not require heat treatment. The goal is to develop an alloy capable of capturing the approaching scrap wave of aluminum sheet intensive vehicles (in the 2030’s) into integrated structural high pressure die castings, rather than down-cycling these high-grade sheet alloys into non-structural castings. ORNL discovered a significant gap in the commercial thermodynamic databases that were unable to predict the trends of a key primary intermetallic phase as a function of composition. Experiments were performed to correct this gap and to create a unique, corrected quaternary database for Al-Mg-Si-Fe. High throughput computational methods, including solidification simulations, were used to identify a composition volume capable of avoiding this embrittling primary intermetallic phase, even at higher Fe + Si contents. Laboratory scale castings validated the thermodynamic and solidification predictions and resulted in lab-cast alloys with little primary intermetallic, and which met or exceeded structural casting properties requirements for yield strength and ductility. An accelerated demonstration of an HPDC automotive part was conducted in collaboration with two U.S. small businesses. Ingots made from 100% recycled 5xxx and 6xxx series scrap (plus Fe) were used to die cast one variant of this new family of Al-Mg-Si-Fe-Mn alloys (with high Si + Fe content) into a mid-sized HPDC structural-type automotive component. The HPDC alloy demonstration part showed good properties (especially ductility) and good castability for a complex component.

Plotkowski, Alex [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000154718681)↗

DOE OSTI2017

Measures of International Manufacturing and Trade of Clean Energy Technologies

The technologies that produce clean energy, such as solar photovoltaic panels and lithium ion batteries for electric vehicles, are globally manufactured and traded. As demand and deployment of these technologies grows exponentially, the innovation to reach significant economies of scale and drive down energy production costs becomes less in the technology and more in the manufacturing of the technology. Manufacturing innovations and other manufacturing decisions can reduce costs of labor, materials, equipment, operating costs, and transportation, across all the links in the supply chain. To better understand the manufacturing aspect of the clean energy economy, we have developed key metrics for systematically measuring and benchmarking international manufacturing of clean energy technologies. The metrics are: trade, market size, manufacturing value-added, and manufacturing capacity and production. These metrics were applied to twelve global economies and four representative technologies: wind turbine components, crystalline silicon solar photovoltaic modules, vehicle lithium ion battery cells, and light emitting diode packages for efficient lighting and other consumer products. The results indicated that clean energy technologies are being developed via complex, dynamic, and global supply chains, with individual economies benefiting from different technologies and links in the supply chain, through both domestic manufacturing and global trade.

2017↗

DOE OSTI2024

Near Net Shape Workshop Report

In 2021, President Biden issued Executive Order (EO) 14017, spurring the federal government to build more secure and diverse U.S. supply chains, including energy supply chains, to ensure economic prosperity and national security (White House 2021). In response to EO 14017, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) published America’s Strategy to Secure the Supply Chain for a Robust Clean Energy Transition (Igogo 2022) to outline the challenges and opportunities facing the energy supply chain along with key strategies to secure America’s position as a clean energy superpower in the years and decades to come. The expansion of domestic manufacturing capabilities is identified as one of the common risks and vulnerabilities for which DOE should develop comprehensive strategies to secure supply chains for the clean energy transition. The report states that “examples of manufacturing capabilities of concern include … large iron and steel castings for wind turbines, hydropower turbines, and nuclear reactor components.”

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2022

A review study of rare Earth, Cobalt, Lithium, and Manganese in Coal-based sources and process development for their recovery

The world’s majority predominantly relies on foreign sources for supplying critical minerals. This renders the countries susceptible to supply chain disruption and urges them to develop alternative sources to compete in technological advancements. Among many proven newly identified sources, coal and coal-based materials present their opportunities. Due to the complex structure of coal, many mineral forms can be found in coal-related sources, including critical element-containing minerals. Among the fifty critical elements and minerals defined by the USGS, the rare earth elements, cobalt, lithium, and manganese, are particularly significant as they have enormous importance in high-technology product development. These critical metals can be found in high concentrations in coal-derived sources, such as coal refuse, coal combustion products, and coal acid mine drainage, and be recovered through various separation techniques. Further, this study aims to advance the understanding of these elements' extraction and commercial potential from coal and coal-related sources and help address the world's challenges in the critical mineral supply chain. The concentrations and occurrences of these four commodities in coal-related sources were first reviewed. Later, their recovery processes were discussed, and a conceptual process flowsheet was proposed to selectively recover the rare earth elements, lithium, cobalt, and manganese from coal-based sources.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Game theoretic modeling and optimization of competition and collaboration in dual channel electronic waste supply chains

The rapid growth of electronic waste (e-waste) presents critical challenges for sustainable resource recovery and environmental protection. This study develops a dual-channel closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) model formulated as a hierarchical Stackelberg game, that integrates dynamic pricing and cost-sharing mechanisms to optimize both economic and environmental outcomes. The model explicitly captures strategic interactions between manufacturer-led and third-party recycling channels, accounting for consumer behavior, regulatory incentives, and market competition. Numerical simulations conducted (implemented over a four-iteration horizon using a commercial optimization solver) show that, relative to the baseline equilibrium, manufacturer profit increases from 11.6 thousand USD to 37.9 thousand USD (+226.8%), total recycled volume rises from 7,848 to 7,942 units (+1.2%), and collector profit nearly doubles under cost-sharing, enabling more equitable profit distribution. Furthermore, scenario-based simulations across Sub-Saharan Africa, high-income economies, and emerging Asian industrial countries reveal that infrastructure quality, policy intensity, and labor costs critically shape recycling efficiency and profit allocation. These findings demonstrate that subsidies alone are insufficient to ensure system efficiency. Instead, coordinated strategies that integrate internal incentive alignment with context-sensitive policy support are required. Overall, this study offers a robust framework for designing resilient, efficient, and regionally adaptable e-waste management systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

The Circular Economy Lifecycle Assessment and Visualization Framework: A Case Study of Wind Blade Circularity in Texas

Moving the current linear economy toward circularity is expected to have environmental, economic, and social impacts. Various modeling methods, including economic input-output modeling, life cycle assessment, agent-based modeling, and system dynamics, have been used to examine circular supply chains and analyze their impacts. This work describes the newly developed Circular Economy Lifecycle Assessment and Visualization (CELAVI) framework, which is designed to model how the impacts of supply chains might change as circularity increases. We first establish the framework with a discussion of modeling capabilities that are needed to capture circularity transitions; these capabilities are based on the fact that supply chains moving toward circularity are dynamic and therefore not at steady state, may encompass multiple industrial sectors or other interdependent supply chains and occupy a large spatial area. To demonstrate the capabilities of CELAVI, we present a case study on end-of-life wind turbine blades in the U.S. state of Texas. Our findings show that depending on exact process costs and transportation distances, mechanical recycling could lead to 69% or more of end-of-life turbine blade mass being kept in circulation rather than being landfilled, with only a 7.1% increase in global warming potential over the linear supply chain. We discuss next steps for framework development.

17 WIND ENERGY↗