Uranium from Seawater Cost Analysis: Recent Updates
Uranium from seawater can act as an economic backstop by putting an effective ceiling on the cost of recovering uranium. Although it is not meant to be a direct competitor with conventionally mined uranium there is significant effort, by a consortium of five national labs and ten universities, to improve the recovery process. Accurately predicting the cost associated with this method of uranium production is an important factor in determining a cost ceiling for uranium fuels and assuring supply security for uranium based nuclear fuel cycles. Given the evolving nature of this technology, this paper aims to provide an update of the economic model to reflect recent progress. The recovery system analyzed here is a passive collection process under persistent development by Oak Ridge and Pacific Northwest National Labs (ORNL and PNNL). The process relies on an amidoxime based uranium adsorbents constructed by co-grafting an amidoxime precursor and a hydrophilic comonomer onto a high density polyethylene (HDPE) backbone. After further chemical processing the adsorbent fibers are braided into 60 meter segments. The braids are then sent out to sea where they are moored to the bottom of the ocean. Upon realization of their soaking campaign the braids are winched up so the uranium may be eluted off the adsorbent. The acidic chemicals used in the elution process require an alkaline regeneration procedure to be applied to the adsorbent before it can be redeployed for another campaign. The deployment and elution process is repeated as many times as economically feasible, as dictated by the severity of degradation suffered by the braid due to the elution process and exposure to seawater. A large number of design and deployment parameters influence the final uranium production cost. Some are strongly affected by the chemical technologies, such as uranium uptake and degradation rate, while others are operational parameters, such as number of adsorbent uses and length of soaking campaign. Still others are both intrinsic and affected by operational choices, such as the ocean temperature and degree of oceanic biofouling. Recent experiments have been focused on improved characterization of the effect of: oceanic temperature, a novel elution method, adsorbent degradation rates, and oceanic biofouling, and they will therefore be the focus of this paper. The degradation results presented here are likely to represent a worst case scenario. Since chemically similar adsorbents were able to achieve a much lower degradation rate with the previous acidic elution process it is very possible that modifications can be made to the new adsorbents to ameliorate the degradation suffered, especially with the new bicarbonate elution process, which is believed to be less harsh. Similarly, the 30% loss in uptake suffered as a result of biofouling is likely an upper-bound. The experiments were conducted in full light and at 20 deg. C. In reality however the braids will be submersed approximately 100 meters beneath the surface, potentially subject to a temperature gradient that may influence biofouling patterns. Also the light reaching the adsorbent surface may not be as intense as in laboratory conditions due to seawater turbidity and shadows cast by nearby braids. In light of these factors, it is appropriate to present a range of costs, reflecting the best and worst case scenarios of all of the parameters considered here. Table II shows the updated parameter ranges and uranium production costs. Ongoing work, particularly into the mitigation of biofouling and degradation, is expected to tighten this cost range and reduce the predicted cost. (authors)