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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 145 records · Page 8
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Cation and Anion Channelrhodopsins: Sequence Motifs and Taxonomic Distribution

Cation and anion channelrhodopsins (CCRs and ACRs, respectively) primarily from two algal species, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii and Guillardia theta, have become widely used as optogenetic tools to control cell membrane potential with light. We mined algal and other protist polynucleotide sequencing projects and metagenomic samples to identify 75 channelrhodopsin homologs from four channelrhodopsin families, including one revealed in dinoflagellates in this study. We carried out electrophysiological analysis of 33 natural channelrhodopsin variants from different phylogenetic lineages and 10 metagenomic homologs in search of sequence determinants of ion selectivity, photocurrent desensitization, and spectral tuning in channelrhodopsins. Our results show that association of a reduced number of glutamates near the conductance path with anion selectivity depends on a wider protein context, because prasinophyte homologs with a glutamate pattern identical to that in cryptophyte ACRs are cation selective. Desensitization is also broadly context dependent, as in one branch of stramenopile ACRs and their metagenomic homologs, its extent roughly correlates with phylogenetic relationship of their sequences. Regarding spectral tuning, we identified two prasinophyte CCRs with red-shifted spectra to 585 nm. They exhibit a third residue pattern in their retinal-binding pockets distinctly different from those of the only two types of red-shifted channelrhodopsins known (i.e., the CCR Chrimson and RubyACRs). In cryptophyte ACRs we identified three specific residue positions in the retinal-binding pocket that define the wavelength of their spectral maxima. Lastly, we found that dinoflagellate rhodopsins with a TCP motif in the third transmembrane helix and a metagenomic homolog exhibit channel activity. Channelrhodopsins are widely used in neuroscience and cardiology as research tools and are considered prospective therapeutics, but their natural diversity and mechanisms remain poorly characterized. Genomic and metagenomic sequencing projects are producing an ever-increasing wealth of data, whereas biophysical characterization of the encoded proteins lags behind. In this study, we used manual and automated patch clamp recording of representative members of four channelrhodopsin families, including a family in dinoflagellates that we report in this study. Our results contribute to a better understanding of molecular determinants of ionic selectivity, photocurrent desensitization, and spectral tuning in channelrhodopsins.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Cross-kingdom expression of synthetic genetic elements promotes discovery of metabolites in the human microbiome

Small molecules encoded by biosynthetic pathways mediate cross-species interactions and harbor untapped potential, which has provided valuable compounds for medicine and biotechnology. Since studying biosynthetic gene clusters in their native context is often difficult, alternative efforts rely on heterologous expression, which is limited by host-specific metabolic capacity and regulation. Here, in this work, we describe a computational-experimental technology to redesign genes and their regulatory regions with hybrid elements for cross-species expression in Gram-negative and -positive bacteria and eukaryotes, decoupling biosynthetic capacity from host-range constraints to activate silenced pathways. These synthetic genetic elements enabled the discovery of a class of microbiome-derived nucleotide metabolites—tyrocitabines—from Lactobacillus iners. Tyrocitabines feature a remarkable orthoester-phosphate, inhibit translational activity, and invoke unexpected biosynthetic machinery, including a class of “Amadori synthases” and “abortive” tRNA synthetases. Our approach establishes a general strategy for the redesign, expression, mobilization, and characterization of genetic elements in diverse organisms and communities.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Controlled catalyst-transfer polymerization in graphene nanoribbon synthesis

Exercising direct control over the unusual electronic structures arising from quantum confinement effects in graphene nanoribbons (GNRs) is intimately linked to geometric boundary conditions imposed by the structure of the ribbon. Besides composition and position of substitutional dopant atoms, the symmetry of the unit cell, width, length, and termination of a GNR govern its electronic structure. Here, we present a rational design that integrates each of these interdependent variables within a modular bottom-up synthesis. Our hybrid chemical approach relies on a catalyst-transfer polymerization that establishes excellent control over length, width, and end groups. Complemented by a surface-assisted cyclodehydrogenation step, uniquely enabled by matrix-assisted direct (MAD) transfer protocols, geometry and functional handles encoded in a polymer template are faithfully mapped onto the structure of the corresponding GNR. Bond-resolved scanning tunneling microscopy (BRSTM) and spectroscopy (STS) validate the robust correlation between polymer template design and GNR electronic structure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Natural switches in behaviour rapidly modulate hippocampal coding

Throughout their daily lives, animals and humans often switch between different behaviours. However, neuroscience research typically studies the brain while the animal is performing one behavioural task at a time, and little is known about how brain circuits represent switches between different behaviours. Here we tested this question using an ethological setting: two bats flew together in a long 135 m tunnel, and switched between navigation when flying alone (solo) and collision avoidance as they flew past each other (cross-over). Bats increased their echolocation click rate before each cross-over, indicating attention to the other bat. Hippocampal CA1 neurons represented the bat’s own position when flying alone (place coding). Notably, during cross-overs, neurons switched rapidly to jointly represent the interbat distance by self-position. This neuronal switch was very fast—as fast as 100 ms—which could be revealed owing to the very rapid natural behavioural switch. The neuronal switch correlated with the attention signal, as indexed by echolocation. Interestingly, the different place fields of the same neuron often exhibited very different tuning to interbat distance, creating a complex non-separable coding of position by distance. Theoretical analysis showed that this complex representation yields more efficient coding. Overall, our results suggest that during dynamic natural behaviour, hippocampal neurons can rapidly switch their core computation to represent the relevant behavioural variables, supporting behavioural flexibility.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Database of Nonaqueous Proton-Conducting Materials

This work presents the assembly of 48 papers, representing 74 different compounds and blends, into a machine-readable database of nonaqueous proton-conducting materials. SMILES was used to encode the chemical structures of the molecules, and we tabulated the reported proton conductivity, proton diffusion coefficient, and material composition for a total of 3152 data points. The data spans a broad range of temperatures ranging from -70 to 260 °C. To explore this landscape of nonaqueous proton conductors, DFT was used to calculate the proton affinity of 18 unique proton carriers. The results were then compared to the activation energy derived from fitting experimental data to the Arrhenius equation. It was found that while the widely recognized positive correlation between the activation energy and proton affinity may hold among closely related molecules, this correlation does not necessarily apply across a broader range of molecules. This work serves as an example of the potential analyses that can be conducted using literature data combined with emerging research tools in computation and data science to address specific materials design problems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Building Neutron Scattering Infrastructure in Louisiana for Advanced Materials (Final Report)

The main objective of the Louisiana Consortium for Neutron Scattering (LaCNS) is to build a major neutron scattering infrastructure capable of treating both soft and hard materials. The goal is to create a sustainable effort having the quality, breadth, and depth necessary to produce competitive proposals including collaborative and center type proposals. Our scientific aim is to understand the role of coupling in emergent complex materials and its impact on the structure/property relationship and to explore how to tune the key couplings to guide the design of materials with the desired properties. This naturally includes building a base of users of the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) and the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) in Louisiana; to train highly talented graduate and post-doctoral students in synthesis, neutron scattering, and simulation and modeling techniques, thereby helping to produce the next generation of scientist who use neutron scattering techniques as a crucial part of their research. The goal of our hard matter program is to understand the interplay between spin, charge, orbital, and lattice degrees of freedom in carefully selected complex materials. We have made considerable progress on number of complex systems including the oxide Sr3(Ru1-xMnx)2O7 where short-range magnetic ordering with anisotropic spin texture is initiated at the metal-insulator transition that clearly indicates a strong spin-charge coupling. Another critical area is in quantum materials. For example, in the topological semimetal BaMnSb2, we found a 3D canted antiferromagnetic Weyl semimetal with a 2D electronic structure and a nontrivial Berry phase. In addition, in the hexagonal chiral Mn1/3NbS2 system, we found soliton/soliton and soliton/antisoliton domain walls where the application of small fields or small currents can be used to control nanoscopic magnetic domains where the control of domain walls is crucially important for information storage. In addition, chemical transformation investigations were performed on the VISION instrument at Spallation Neutron Source (SNS). The soft matter effort was focused on understanding the role of non-covalent interactions on the structure and dynamics of fluid-based soft matter. One key focus was on sequence-defined (SD) amphiphilic peptoid polymers that allow encoding of molecular interactions and thereby systematic investigations of how charge directs the solution self-assembly of amphiphilic polymers in water. Another important area was on the dynamics of lipids self-assembled into membranes for exploring the permeability and mechanical using both neutron spin echo (NSE) spectroscopy and quasielastic neutron scattering (QENS) to distinguished between viscoelasticity and permeability at the molecular scale. Overall, the LaCNS project was quite successful, generating 145 publications and 245 presentations. Our graduate and post-doctoral students were well trained resulting in positions in national laboratories (Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Argonne National Laboratory and Los Alamos National Laboratory), major research universities, and industry. We also developed a uniaxial pressure cell along with ORNL for SNS. A critical goal of this project was to establish a foundation for competing nationally in federally funded research programs. To this end, we were quite successful in generating over twenty-two federally and non-federally funded grants including awards from NSF, DOE, and DOD, and two early career awards. Equally important, we were able to secure a key major piece of instrumentation via a large ARO grant for a state-of-the-art electron microscope.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Signal Transduction Pathways of Chloroplast Quality Control (Final Report)

Chloroplasts (photosynthetic plastids) of higher plants contain about 3000 proteins of which more than 95% are encoded by nuclear genes. To avoid the accumulation of reactive oxygen species that are the inherent by-product of photosynthesis, gene expression of these spatially separated genomes is regulated by two-way signaling. Thus, while plastid differentiation and development are largely under nuclear control, developmentally arrested or damaged plastids can regulate expression of nuclear genes via retrograde signaling pathways. In previous years of DOE-funded study, we performed a number of genetic screens that implicated the chloroplast-localized tetrapyrrole biosynthesis pathway as the source of both positive and stress-related retrograde signals. Using that work as a foundation, we have recently uncovered a new type of retrograde signal that leads to the selective removal of damaged chloroplasts from the cell. However, the mechanisms of such a chloroplast quality control pathway are not well characterized or understood.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Human sperm TMEM95 binds eggs and facilitates membrane fusion

Tmem95 encodes a sperm acrosomal membrane protein, whose knockout has a male-specific sterility phenotype in mice. Tmem95 knockout murine sperm can bind to, but do not fuse with, eggs. How TMEM95 plays a role in membrane fusion of sperm and eggs has remained elusive. Here, we utilize a sperm penetration assay as a model system to investigate the function of human TMEM95. We show that human TMEM95 binds to hamster egg membranes, providing evidence for a TMEM95 receptor on eggs. Using X-ray crystallography, we reveal an evolutionarily conserved, positively charged region of TMEM95 as a putative receptor-binding surface. Amino acid substitutions within this region of TMEM95 ablate egg-binding activity. We identify monoclonal antibodies against TMEM95 that reduce the number of human sperm fused with hamster eggs in sperm penetration assays. Strikingly, these antibodies do not block binding of sperm to eggs. Taken together, these results provide strong evidence for a specific, receptor-mediated interaction of sperm TMEM95 with eggs and suggest that this interaction may have a role in facilitating membrane fusion during fertilization.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hyper Spectral Anomaly Detection

The HSA is a statistics based anomaly detection model. The model performs unsupervised anomaly detection, based on a datapoint's density and similarity within a dataset. Density and similarity data are encoded into an affinity matrix. The affinity matrix is evolved to summarize the data's structure on greater topographical scales within the data's function space. The set of evolved affinity matrices and an anomaly score vector are passed to a user defined penalized objective function. The penalized objective function of anomaly scores is then minimized. Data points where the absolute value of the z-scores of anomaly scores greater than a specified threshold are predicted as anomalies. A novel multi-filter feature has also been implemented. To reduce false positive rates, the multi-filter records the indexes of the HSA predictions. A new dataset and data loader are instantiated consisting of all the initial HSA predictions and non-anomalous data points in a 10% and 90% split respectively. The HSA is then run through this data set and a count of number of times a data point is predicted is kept. In this way the initial predictions may be compared with data spanning the entire dataset. After the multi-filter is complete, all datapoints will have an associated anomaly score, as well as a multi-filter prediction count to further filter the anomalous predictions.

Rogers, DempseyD [Idaho National Laboratory (INL),↗
DOE OSTI2026

SEGUID v2: Extending SEGUID checksums for circular, linear, single- and double-stranded biological sequences

Background Synthetic biology involves combining different DNA fragments, each containing functional biological parts, to address specific problems. Fundamental gene-function research often requires cloning and propagating DNA fragments, such as those from the iGEM Parts Registry or Addgene, typically distributed as circular plasmids. Addgene’s repository alone offers around 150,000 plasmids. To ensure data integrity, cryptographic checksums can be calculated for the sequences. Each sequence has a unique checksum, making checksums useful for validation and quick lookups of associated annotations. For example, the SEGUID checksum uniquely identifies protein sequences with a 27-character string. Objectives The original SEGUID, while effective for protein sequences and single-stranded DNA (ssDNA), is not suitable for circular DNA since there is no natural starting position nor for double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) since two separate sequences are present. Challenges include how to uniquely represent linear dsDNA, circular ssDNA, and circular dsDNA. To meet these needs, we propose SEGUID v2, which extends the original SEGUID to handle additional types of sequences. Conclusions SEGUID v2 produces orientation and rotation invariant checksums for single-stranded, double-stranded, possibly staggered, linear, and circular DNA and RNA sequences. Customizable alphabets allow for other types of sequences. In contrast to the original SEGUID, which uses Base64, SEGUID v2 uses Base64url to encode the SHA-1 hash. This ensures SEGUID v2 checksums can be used as-is in filenames, regardless of platform, and in URLs, with minimal friction. Availability SEGUID v2 is readily available for major programming languages, distributed under the MIT license. JavaScript package seguid is available on npm, Python package seguid on PyPi, R package seguid on CRAN, and a Tcl script on GitHub. These tools, along with documentation, examples, and an online SEGUID Calculator , can be found at https://www.seguid.org .

Pereira, Humberto↗
DOE OSTI2025

Molecular and structural characterization of a Bacillus cereus strain producing an anthrax-like capsule

Bacillus cereus is a ubiquitous Gram-positive, spore-forming, rod-shaped saprophytic bacterium, occasionally reported to cause food-borne illnesses. However, instances of B. cereus strains harboring anthrax toxin and capsule genes have elevated certain strains as formidable pathogens and biothreats. This study focuses on the genomic analysis and the structural characterization of capsular material produced by the virulent B. cereus PATH2418 strain, isolated from the wound of a traumatic open fracture patient. The genome was sequenced using Nanopore MinION sequencing, revealing a chromosome of 5,270,283 bp and three plasmids. One plasmid, pATH1, was found to encode an operon for the biosynthesis of a bacterial capsule. This operon had sequence homology to the Bacillus anthracis capBCADE operon, which encodes the poly-γ-D-glutamate (PDGA) capsule. The capsule production in B. cereus PATH2418 was influenced by temperature and CO 2 levels. Structural analysis of the capsular material using a combined approach of nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) techniques confirmed the presence of a high-molecular-weight poly-γ-glutamate capsule, with an enantiomeric composition of approximately 67% D-glutamic acid and 33% L-glutamic acid, matching that of B. anthracis.

Bacillus cereus↗
DOE OSTI2020

Surface plasmon polariton pulse shaping via two-dimensional Bragg grating pairs

Abstract We demonstrate control over the spatial and temporal properties of surface plasmon polaritons (SPPs) launched from nanohole arrays in silver. The arrays provide wave vector matching to allow the conversion of free-space photons into counter-propagating SPPs. SPPs launched from multiple arrays interfere at well-defined spatial positions, and the interference fringes form an all-SPP periodic nano-optical grating which evolves in space and time as the SPPs propagate. The spatio-temporal characteristics of the optical grating can be tuned through various nanohole array parameters such as tilt angle, separation, and array width. In addition, we examine multiperiodic arrays (MPAs) consisting of arrays with different pitches placed adjacent to one another. This platform allows the temporal interference of SPPs with different central wavelengths to be tailored through the MPA geometric and structural parameters. The temporal interference serves as an encoded signal, whereby the frequency components can be controlled by the array properties.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Encoding multistate charge order and chirality in endotaxial heterostructures

Abstract High-density phase change memory (PCM) storage is proposed for materials with multiple intermediate resistance states, which have been observed in 1 T -TaS 2 due to charge density wave (CDW) phase transitions. However, the metastability responsible for this behavior makes the presence of multistate switching unpredictable in TaS 2 devices. Here, we demonstrate the fabrication of nanothick verti-lateral H -TaS 2 /1 T -TaS 2 heterostructures in which the number of endotaxial metallic H -TaS 2 monolayers dictates the number of resistance transitions in 1 T -TaS 2 lamellae near room temperature. Further, we also observe optically active heterochirality in the CDW superlattice structure, which is modulated in concert with the resistivity steps, and we show how strain engineering can be used to nucleate these polytype conversions. This work positions the principle of endotaxial heterostructures as a promising conceptual framework for reliable, non-volatile, and multi-level switching of structure, chirality, and resistance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-Accuracy Angle Generator for Angular Calibrations to Support Optical Metrology Laboratories and Light Source Facilities

The overarching vision for this project was to build the most accurate full-rotation angular positioning system in the Americas, and that goal remains. In labs performing similar work, the environment is typically closer to a clean room than an office space, like we had before the upgrades. We are now positioned to achieve our intended result with our upgraded infrastructure, system hardware, calibration techniques, and software. As detailed below, the combination of the pandemic schedule and technical challenges have set us back, but we will continue on the path toward our vision beyond the end of this Phase 2. It’s too important for us, for industry, and for the nation not to do so.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Identification and characterization of the low molecular mass ferredoxins involved in central metabolism in Heliomicrobium modesticaldum

The homodimeric Type I reaction center (RC) from Heliomicrobium modesticaldum lacks the PsaC subunit found in Photosystem I and instead uses the interpolypeptide [4Fe–4S] cluster F X as the terminal electron acceptor. Our goal was to identify which of the small mobile dicluster ferredoxins encoded by the H. modesticaldum genome are capable of accepting electrons from the heliobacterial RC (HbRC) and pyruvate:ferredoxin oxidoreductase (PFOR), a key metabolic enzyme. Analysis of the genome revealed seven candidates: HM1_1462 (PshB1), HM1_1461 (PshB2), HM1_2505 (Fdx3), HM1_0869 (FdxB), HM1_1043, HM1_0357, and HM1_2767. Heterologous expression in Escherichia coli and studies using time-resolved optical spectroscopy revealed that only PshB1, PshB2, and Fdx3 are capable of accepting electrons from the HbRC and PFOR. Modeling studies using AlphaFold show that only PshB1, PshB2, and Fdx3 should be capable of docking on PFOR at a positively charged patch that overlays a surface-proximal [4Fe–4S] cluster. Proteomic analysis of wild-type and gene deletion strains ΔpshB1, ΔpshB2, ΔpshB1pshB2, and Δfdx3 grown under nitrogen-replete conditions revealed that Fdx3 is undetectable in the wild-type, ΔpshB1, and Δfdx3 strains, but it is present in the ΔpshB2 and ΔpshB1pshB2 strains, implying that Fdx3 may substitute for PshB2. When grown under nitrogen-deplete conditions, Fdx3 is present in the wild-type and all deletion strains except for Δfdx3. None of the knockout strains demonstrated significant impairment during chemotrophic dark growth on pyruvate, photoheterotrophic light growth on pyruvate, or phototrophic growth on acetate+CO 2 , indicating a high degree of redundancy among these three electron transfer proteins. As a result, loss of both PshB1 and PshB2, but not FdxB, resulted in poor growth under N 2 -fixing conditions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Structure of the poxvirus decapping enzyme D9 reveals its mechanism of cap recognition and catalysis

Poxviruses encode decapping enzymes that remove the protective 5' cap from both host and viral mRNAs to commit transcripts for decay by the cellular exonuclease Xrn1. Decapping by these enzymes is critical for poxvirus pathogenicity by means of simultaneously suppressing host protein synthesis and limiting the accumulation of viral double-stranded RNA (dsRNA), a trigger for antiviral responses. Here we present a high-resolution structural view of the vaccinia virus decapping enzyme D9. This Nudix enzyme contains a domain organization different from other decapping enzymes in which a three-helix bundle is inserted into the catalytic Nudix domain. The 5' mRNA cap is positioned in a bipartite active site at the interface of the two domains. Specificity for the methylated guanosine cap is achieved by stacking between conserved aromatic residues in a manner similar to that observed in canonical cap-binding proteins VP39, eIF4E, and CBP20, and distinct from eukaryotic decapping enzyme Dcp2.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Stroboscopic x-ray diffraction microscopy of dynamic strain in diamond thin-film bulk acoustic resonators for quantum control of nitrogen-vacancy centers

Bulk-mode acoustic waves in a crystalline material exert lattice strain through the thickness of the sample, which couples to the spin Hamiltonian of defect-based qubits such as the nitrogen-vacancy (N-V) center defect in diamond. This mechanism has previously been harnessed for unconventional quantum spin control, spin decoherence protection, and quantum sensing. Bulk-mode acoustic wave devices are also important in the microelectronics industry as microwave filters. A key challenge in both applications is a lack of appropriate operando microscopy tools for quantifying and visualizing gigahertz-frequency dynamic strain. Here, in this work, we directly image acoustic strain within N-V center-coupled diamond thin-film bulk acoustic wave resonators using stroboscopic scanning hard x-ray diffraction microscopy at the Advanced Photon Source. The far-field scattering patterns of the nanofocused x-ray diffraction encode strain information entirely through the illuminated thickness of the resonator. These patterns have a real-space spatial variation that is consistent with the bulk strain’s expected modal distribution and a momentum-space angular variation from which the strain amplitude can be quantitatively deduced. We also perform optical measurements of strain-driven Rabi precession of of the N-V center spin ensemble, providing an additional quantitative measurement of the strain amplitude. As a result, we directly measure one of the six N-V spin-stress coupling parameters, 𝑏 =2.73⁢(2) MHz/GPa, by correlating these measurements at the same spatial position and applied microwave power. Our results demonstrate a unique technique for directly imaging ac lattice strain in micromechanical structures and provide a direct measurement of a fundamental constant for the N-V center defect spin Hamiltonian.

acoustic techniques↗
DOE OSTI2023

Investigating permafrost carbon dynamics in Alaska with artificial intelligence

Abstract Positive feedbacks between permafrost degradation and the release of soil carbon into the atmosphere impact land–atmosphere interactions, disrupt the global carbon cycle, and accelerate climate change. The widespread distribution of thawing permafrost is causing a cascade of geophysical and biochemical disturbances with global impacts. Currently, few earth system models account for permafrost carbon feedback (PCF) mechanisms. This research study integrates artificial intelligence (AI) tools and information derived from field-scale surveys across the tundra and boreal landscapes in Alaska. We identify and interpret the permafrost carbon cycling links and feedback sensitivities with GeoCryoAI, a hybridized multimodal deep learning (DL) architecture of stacked convolutionally layered, memory-encoded recurrent neural networks (NN). This framework integratesin-situmeasurements and flux tower observations for teacher forcing and model training. Preliminary experiments to quantify, validate, and forecast permafrost degradation and carbon efflux across Alaska demonstrate the fidelity of this data-driven architecture. More specifically, GeoCryoAI logs the ecological memory and effectively learns covariate dynamics while demonstrating an aptitude to simulate and forecast PCF dynamics—active layer thickness (ALT), carbon dioxide flux (CO 2 ), and methane flux (CH 4 )—with high precision and minimal loss (i.e. ALT RMSE : 1.327 cm [1969–2022]; CO 2 RMSE : 0.697µmolCO 2 m −2 s −1 [2003–2021]; CH 4 RMSE : 0.715 nmolCH 4 m −2 s −1 [2011–2022]). ALT variability is a sensitive harbinger of change, a unique signal characterizing the PCF, and our model is the first characterization of these dynamics across space and time.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗