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NASA NTRS2019

Uncertainty Quantification for JPL Retrievals

We define the notions of verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ), and place them in the context of retrievals of Earth science data. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of characterizing the uncertainty of a measurement system relative to the true, physical quantity it measures. UQ is needed when measurements are used for scientific inference, assimilated into models with other data, and used for decision-making and risk analysis. Many measurements come with measures of standard error and bias, but these uncertainty measures are often inaccurate, due to the operational need to assume crisp values for parameters which are in fact uncertain, as well as the failure of technical assumptions needed by operational error-estimation approaches. UQ provides a way to study which assumptions fail to hold, and a tool to improve the measurement. We describe a particular, broadly-applicable UQ setup that has been successful for JPL retrievals including OCO-2, and provide recommendations for furthering the UQ state of the practice at JPL.

Turmon, Michael↗

NASA NTRS2019

On the Maximum Pair Multiplicity of Pulsar Cascades

We study electron–positron pair production in polar caps of energetic pulsars to determine the maximum multiplicity of pair plasma a pulsar can produce under the most favorable conditions. This paper complements and updates our study of pair cascades presented in Timokhin & Harding (2015) with a more accurate treatment of the effects of ultrastrong B approximately greater than 3 x 10 (exp 12) G magnetic fields and emission processes of primary and secondary particles. We include pairs produced by curvature and synchrotron radiation photons as well as resonant Compton-scattered photons. We develop a semianalytical model of electron–positron cascades that can efficiently simulate pair cascades with an arbitrary number of microphysical processes and use it to explore cascade properties for a wide range of pulsar parameters. We argue that the maximum cascade multiplicity cannot exceed approximately a few x 10 (exp 5) and that the multiplicity has a rather weak dependence on pulsar period. The highest multiplicity is achieved in pulsars with magnetic field 4 x 10 (exp 12) is approximately greater than B is approximately greater than 10 (exp 13) G and hot surfaces, with T is approximately greater than 10 (exp 6)K. We also derive analytical expressions for several physical quantities relevant for electromagnetic cascade in pulsars, which may be useful in future works on pulsar cascades, including the upper limit on cascade multiplicity and various approximations for the parameter χ, the exponential factor in the expression for photon attenuation in strong magnetic fields.

Timokhin, A. N.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

AN INTRODUCTION TO THE GEONEX LEVEL-1G PRODUCTS: TOP-OF-ATMOSPHERE REFLECTANCE AND BRIGHTNESS TEMPERATURE

This paper introduces the GeoNEX (Geostationary-NASA Earth eXchange) Level-1G products of top-of-atmosphere (TOA) reflectance and brightness temperature. The products use data streams from the latest geostationary (GEO) sensors including the GOES-16/17 ABI and the Himawari-8/9 AHI. The GeoNEX processing pipeline starts by converting digital numbers to physical quantities with the latest radiometric calibration information. It integrates algorithms to automatically detect and remove residual geolocation errors, to estimate the pixel-wise data-acquisition time, and to accurately calculate the solar illumination angles for each pixel in the domain at every time step. The outputs are reprojected to a globally tiled common grid in geographic coordinates designed to facilitate inter-comparisons and/or synergies between the GeoNEX products and existing Earth observation datasets from polar-orbiting satellites. Therefore, the GeoNEX L1G products provide accurate and consistent TOA reflectance and brightness temperature datasets for scientific analyses and downstream product development.

Geostationary satellite, GOES-16, Himawari-8, NASA↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Filling the Gaps in Understanding Solar Flares

Solar flares provide a laboratory for plasma physics and magnetohydrodynamic processes. While the mechanism of transferring magnetic flux between topological domains via reconnection is accepted in a general sense, some of the finer details remain to be worked out: What elusive thresholds, pertaining to which physical quantities, determine the initiation of flux transfer that cascades into the energy release observed in the impulsive phase of a flare? What role does turbulence play in accelerating or prolonging magnetic reconnection? To what degree do magnetic waves contribute to the transport of energy, or to the acceleration of particles in the impulsive phase? While our innate human curiosity and our instinctive impulse to explore compel us to investigate these intricacies of million-degree magnetized plasmas, the impacts of space weather on our technology-dependent society and economy obligate us to pursue a quantitative understanding, with the ultimate goal being trustworthy predictive capabilities. In this presentation, I will touch upon a few aspects of solar flares where improvements in observational and analytical capabilities can be expected to help us fill gaps in our understanding, as well as some of the recent, current, and near-term developments that are carrying the field forward.

David E. McKenzie↗

NASA NTRS2023

A Hybrid Transfer Function Procedure for Broadband Auralization Within Small Flight Vehicle Interiors

Auralization of the sound fields within flight vehicle interiors is of interest to aircraft designers considering crew and passenger ride quality. Computer models can be used to predict the filtering effects that the fuselage structure and interior volume have on the exterior sound field in order to simulate the resulting cabin interior noise. However, this can become expensive when a wide frequency range of analysis suitable for passenger auralization is desired. This is particularly the case when using deterministic modeling methods such as finite element analysis (FEA) wherein prohibitively high levels of detail and finite element discretizations are required to resolve the wavelengths at high frequencies. On the contrary, Statistical Energy Analysis (SEA), while not capturing important modal behaviors at low frequencies, is better suited for higher frequency analyses where structural and interior dynamics exhibit high modal overlap and spatially averaged physical quantities suffice. For this reason, a hybrid procedure is considered here that utilizes FE modal solutions at lower frequencies and SEA results at higher frequencies. A transfer function dataset containing the exterior to interior vibroacoustic filtering effect is calculated accordingly and subsequently stored to be used for a variety of exterior dynamic load cases. At low frequencies, the transfer function dataset detail is related to the level of FE model refinement whereas at high frequencies it functions as an equalizer array with a level of detail corresponding to the SEA subsystem partitioning scheme. The above procedure is described herein and demonstrated on a six passenger flight vehicle with eight propulsors in a hover flight condition.

auralization↗

NASA NTRS2023

A Hybrid Transfer Function Procedure for Broadband Auralization Within Small Flight Vehicle Interiors

auralization↗

NASA NTRS2014

A Comparison of the Red Green Blue (RGB) Air Mass Imagery and Hyperspectral Infrared Retrieved Profiles and NOAA G-IV Dropsondes

RGB air mass imagery is derived from multiple channels or paired channel differences. The combination of channels and channel differences means the resulting imagery does not represent a quantity or physical parameter such as brightness temperature in conventional single channel imagery. Without a specific quantity to reference, forecasters are often confused as to what RGB products represent. Hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles and NOAA G-IV dropsondes provide insight about the vertical structure of the air mass represented on the RGB air mass imagery and are a first step to validating the imagery.

Berndt, Emily↗

NASA NTRS2014

A Comparison of the Red Green Blue Air Mass Imagery and Hyperspectral Infrared Retrieved Profiles

The Red Green Blue (RGB) Air Mass imagery is derived from multiple channels or paired channel differences. Multiple channel products typically provide additional information than a single channel can provide alone. The RGB Air Mass imagery simplifies the interpretation of temperature and moisture characteristics of air masses surrounding synoptic and mesoscale features. Despite the ease of interpretation of multiple channel products, the combination of channels and channel differences means the resulting product does not represent a quantity or physical parameter such as brightness temperature in conventional single channel satellite imagery. Without a specific quantity to reference, forecasters are often confused as to what RGB products represent. Hyperspectral infrared retrieved profiles of temperature, moisture, and ozone can provide insight about the air mass represented on the RGB Air Mass product and provide confidence in the product and representation of air masses despite the lack of a quantity to reference for interpretation. This study focuses on RGB Air Mass analysis of Hurricane Sandy as it moved north along the U.S. East Coast, while transitioning to a hybrid extratropical storm. Soundings and total column ozone retrievals were analyzed using data from the Cross-track Infrared and Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder Suite (CrIMSS) on the Suomi National Polar Orbiting Partnership satellite and the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) on the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Aqua satellite along with dropsondes that were collected from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Air Force research aircraft. By comparing these datasets to the RGB Air Mass, it is possible to capture quantitative information that could help in analyzing the synoptic environment enough to diagnose the onset of extratropical transition. This was done by identifying any stratospheric air intrusions (SAIs) that existed in the vicinity of Sandy as the wind field expanded and the cloud pattern evolved into an atypical pattern.

Berndt, E. B.↗

NASA NTRS1986

The technique of linear prediction filters applied to studies of solar wind-magnetosphere coupling

Linear prediction filtering is a powerful empirical technique suitable for the study of stimulus-response behavior. The technique enables one to determine the most general linear relationship between multiple time-varying quantities, assuming that the physical systems relating the quantities are linear and time invariant. Several researchers have applied linear prediction analysis to investigate solar wind-magnetosphere interactions. This short review describes the method of linear prediction analysis, its application to solar wind-magnetosphere coupling studies both in terms of physical processes, and the results of investigations which have used this technique.

Clauer, C. Robert↗

NASA NTRS1982

Light scattering calculations for the nephelometer experiment on the 1981/1982 Jupiter Orbiter-Probe mission

A variety of studies were carried out to help establish the accuracy of quantities describing physical characteristics of cloud particles (such as size, shape, and composition) that are to be inferred from light scattering data obtained with the nephelameter experiment on the Galileo spacecraft. The objectives were to provide data for validating and testing procedures for analyzing the Galileo nephelameter data with light scattering observations in a variety of on-going laboratory and field measurement programs for which simultaneous observations of the physical characteristics of the scattering particles were available.

Grams, G. W.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Topology of vortices in conical flow

The possibility of the existence of a viscous vortex in a conical flow is discussed. Existence of a viscous vortex is shown to be consistent with a flow-field model where only the velocity components and the total enthalpy behave conically. Existence of a viscous vortex is not consistent with the fully conical, flow-field model; however, far from the nose tip, the physical flow quantities tend to behave asymptotically as a full conical flow. Such a viscous vortex, when it exists, must spiral inwards to the focal point. It can be used as a reasonable model to start numerical solutions of various kinds.

Almosnino, D.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Triton - Do we see to the surface?

The quantity and physical state of methane and nitrogen in the atmosphere of Neptune's satellite Triton and on the surface are evaluated by means of new telescopic data and laboratory measurements of these volatiles. Methane ice is seen in some spectral regions, indicating that the atmosphere is sufficiently transparent to permit sunlight penetration to the surface. Some of the molecular nitrogen absorption occurs in the atmosphere, though some must occur in condensed nitrogen (liquid or solid) on Triton's surface, or in a thin cloud of condensed nitrogen. The Voyager spacecraft cameras should see the surface of Triton.

Cruikshank, D. P.↗

NASA NTRS1994

Accurate interlaminar stress recovery from finite element analysis

The accuracy and robustness of a two-dimensional smoothing methodology is examined for the problem of recovering accurate interlaminar shear stress distributions in laminated composite and sandwich plates. The smoothing methodology is based on a variational formulation which combines discrete least-squares and penalty-constraint functionals in a single variational form. The smoothing analysis utilizes optimal strains computed at discrete locations in a finite element analysis. These discrete strain data are smoothed with a smoothing element discretization, producing superior accuracy strains and their first gradients. The approach enables the resulting smooth strain field to be practically C1-continuous throughout the domain of smoothing, exhibiting superconvergent properties of the smoothed quantity. The continuous strain gradients are also obtained directly from the solution. The recovered strain gradients are subsequently employed in the integration o equilibrium equations to obtain accurate interlaminar shear stresses. The problem is a simply-supported rectangular plate under a doubly sinusoidal load. The problem has an exact analytic solution which serves as a measure of goodness of the recovered interlaminar shear stresses. The method has the versatility of being applicable to the analysis of rather general and complex structures built of distinct components and materials, such as found in aircraft design. For these types of structures, the smoothing is achieved with 'patches', each patch covering the domain in which the smoothed quantity is physically continuous.

Tessler, Alexander↗

NASA NTRS2006

Instrument for Aircraft-Icing and Cloud-Physics Measurements

The figure shows a compact, rugged, simple sensor head that is part of an instrumentation system for making measurements to characterize the severity of aircraft-icing conditions and/or to perform research on cloud physics. The quantities that are calculated from measurement data acquired by this system and that are used to quantify the severity of icing conditions include sizes of cloud water drops, cloud liquid water content (LWC), cloud ice water content (IWC), and cloud total water content (TWC). The sensor head is mounted on the outside of an aircraft, positioned and oriented to intercept the ambient airflow. The sensor head consists of an open housing that is heated in a controlled manner to keep it free of ice and that contains four hot-wire elements. The hot-wire sensing elements have different shapes and sizes and, therefore, exhibit different measurement efficiencies with respect to droplet size and water phase (liquid, frozen, or mixed). Three of the hot-wire sensing elements are oriented across the airflow so as to intercept incoming cloud water. For each of these elements, the LWC or TWC affects the power required to maintain a constant temperature in the presence of cloud water.

Lilie, Lyle↗

NASA NTRS2012

Inductive Pulsed Plasma Thruster Model with Time-Evolution of Energy and State Properties

A model for pulsed inductive plasma acceleration is presented that consists of a set of circuit equations coupled to both a one-dimensional equation of motion and an equation governing the partitioning of energy. The latter two equations are obtained for the plasma current sheet by treating it as a single element of finite volume and integrating the governing equations over that volume. The integrated terms are replaced where necessary by physically-equivalent quantities that are calculated through the solution of other parts of the governing equation set. The model improves upon previous one-dimensional performance models by permitting the time-evolution of the energy and state properties of the plasma, the latter allowing for the tailoring of the model to different gases that may be chosen as propellants. The time evolution of the various energy modes in the system and the associated plasma properties, calculated for argon propellant, are presented to demonstrate the efficacy of the model. The model produces a result where efficiency is maximized at a given value of the electrodynamic scaling term known as the dynamic impedance parameter. Qualitatively and quantitatively, the model compares favorably with performance measured for two separate inductive pulsed plasma thrusters, with disagreements attributable to simplifying assumptions employed in the generation of the model solution.

Polzin, Kurt A.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Improving Photometry and Stellar Signal Preservation with Pixel-Level Systematic Error Correction

The Kepler Mission has demonstrated that excellent stellar photometric performance can be achieved using apertures constructed from optimally selected CCD pixels. The clever methods used to correct for systematic errors, while very successful, still have some limitations in their ability to extract long-term trends in stellar flux. They also leave poorly correlated bias sources, such as drifting moiré pattern, uncorrected. We will illustrate several approaches where applying systematic error correction algorithms to the pixel time series, rather than the co-added raw flux time series, provide significant advantages. Examples include, spatially localized determination of time varying moiré pattern biases, greater sensitivity to radiation-induced pixel sensitivity drops (SPSDs), improved precision of co-trending basis vectors (CBV), and a means of distinguishing the stellar variability from co-trending terms even when they are correlated. For the last item, the approach enables physical interpretation of appropriately scaled coefficients derived in the fit of pixel time series to the CBV as linear combinations of various spatial derivatives of the pixel response function (PRF). We demonstrate that the residuals of a fit of soderived pixel coefficients to various PRF-related components can be deterministically interpreted in terms of physically meaningful quantities, such as the component of the stellar flux time series which is correlated with the CBV, as well as, relative pixel gain, proper motion and parallax. The approach also enables us to parameterize and assess the limiting factors in the uncertainties in these quantities.

Kolodzijczak, Jeffrey J.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Radiation Belt Electron Dynamics Driven by Large-Amplitude Whistlers

Acceleration of radiation belt electrons driven by oblique large-amplitude whistler waves is studied. We show analytically and numerically that this is a stochastic process; the intensity of which depends on the wave power modified by Bessel functions. The type of this dependence is determined by the character of the nonlinear interaction due to coupling between action and phase. The results show that physically significant quantities have a relatively weak dependence on the wave power.

whistlers↗

NASA NTRS2010

Overview of the Graphical User Interface for the GERMcode (GCR Event-Based Risk Model)

The descriptions of biophysical events from heavy ions are of interest in radiobiology, cancer therapy, and space exploration. The biophysical description of the passage of heavy ions in tissue and shielding materials is best described by a stochastic approach that includes both ion track structure and nuclear interactions. A new computer model called the GCR Event-based Risk Model (GERM) code was developed for the description of biophysical events from heavy ion beams at the NASA Space Radiation Laboratory (NSRL). The GERMcode calculates basic physical and biophysical quantities of high-energy protons and heavy ions that have been studied at NSRL for the purpose of simulating space radiobiological effects. For mono-energetic beams, the code evaluates the linear-energy transfer (LET), range (R), and absorption in tissue equivalent material for a given Charge (Z), Mass Number (A) and kinetic energy (E) of an ion. In addition, a set of biophysical properties are evaluated such as the Poisson distribution of ion or delta-ray hits for a specified cellular area, cell survival curves, and mutation and tumor probabilities. The GERMcode also calculates the radiation transport of the beam line for either a fixed number of user-specified depths or at multiple positions along the Bragg curve of the particle. The contributions from primary ion and nuclear secondaries are evaluated. The GERMcode accounts for the major nuclear interaction processes of importance for describing heavy ion beams, including nuclear fragmentation, elastic scattering, and knockout-cascade processes by using the quantum multiple scattering fragmentation (QMSFRG) model. The QMSFRG model has been shown to be in excellent agreement with available experimental data for nuclear fragmentation cross sections, and has been used by the GERMcode for application to thick target experiments. The GERMcode provides scientists participating in NSRL experiments with the data needed for the interpretation of their experiments, including the ability to model the beam line, the shielding of samples and sample holders, and the estimates of basic physical and biological outputs of the designed experiments. We present an overview of the GERMcode GUI, as well as providing training applications.

Kim, Myung-Hee Y.↗