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At least 145 records · Page 8

Historic Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation in Mato Grosso, Brazil: 1. Source Data Uncertainties

Historic carbon emissions are an important foundation for proposed efforts to Reduce Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation and enhance forest carbon stocks through conservation and sustainable forest management (REDD+). The level of uncertainty in historic carbon emissions estimates is also critical for REDD+, since high uncertainties could limit climate benefits from mitigation actions. Here, we analyzed source data uncertainties based on the range of available deforestation, forest degradation, and forest carbon stock estimates for the Brazilian state of Mato Grosso during 1990-2008. Results: Deforestation estimates showed good agreement for multi-year trends of increasing and decreasing deforestation during the study period. However, annual deforestation rates differed by >20% in more than half of the years between 1997-2008, even for products based on similar input data. Tier 2 estimates of average forest carbon stocks varied between 99-192 Mg C/ha, with greatest differences in northwest Mato Grosso. Carbon stocks in deforested areas increased over the study period, yet this increasing trend in deforested biomass was smaller than the difference among carbon stock datasets for these areas. Conclusions: Patterns of spatial and temporal disagreement among available data products provide a roadmap for future efforts to reduce source data uncertainties for estimates of historic forest carbon emissions. Specifically, regions with large discrepancies in available estimates of both deforestation and forest carbon stocks are priority areas for evaluating and improving existing estimates. Full carbon accounting for REDD+ will also require filling data gaps, including forest degradation and secondary forest, with annual data on all forest transitions.

Morton, Douglas C.↗

Probability and Confidence Trade-space (PACT) Evaluation: Accounting for Uncertainty in Sparing Assessments

There are two general shortcomings to the current annual sparing assessment: 1. The vehicle functions are currently assessed according to confidence targets, which can be misleading- overly conservative or optimistic. 2. The current confidence levels are arbitrarily determined and do not account for epistemic uncertainty (lack of knowledge) in the ORU failure rate. There are two major categories of uncertainty that impact Sparing Assessment: (a) Aleatory Uncertainty: Natural variability in distribution of actual failures around an Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) (b) Epistemic Uncertainty : Lack of knowledge about the true value of an Orbital Replacement Unit's (ORU) MTBF We propose an approach to revise confidence targets and account for both categories of uncertainty, an approach we call Probability and Confidence Trade-space (PACT) evaluation.

Anderson, Leif↗

How Should Life Support Be Modeled and Simulated?

Why do most space life support research groups build and investigate large models for systems simulation? The need for them seems accepted, but are we asking the right questions and solving the real problems? The modeling results leave many questions unanswered. How then should space life support be modeled and simulated? Life support system research and development uses modeling and simulation to study dynamic behavior as part of systems engineering and analysis. It is used to size material flows and buffers and plan contingent operations. A DoD sponsored study used the systems engineering approach to define a set of best practices for modeling and simulation. These best practices describe a systems engineering process of developing and validating requirements, defining and analyzing the model concept, and designing and testing the model. Other general principles for modeling and simulation are presented. Some specific additional advice includes performing a static analysis before developing a dynamic simulation, applying the mass and energy conservation laws, modeling on the appropriate system level, using simplified subsystem representations, designing the model to solve a specific problem, and testing the model on several different problems. Modeling and simulation is necessary in life support design but many problems are outside its scope.

Jones, Harry W.↗

Solar Cruiser TRAC Boom Development

The TRAC boom studied is a 30 meter, high-aspect ratio and highly nonlinear structural element planned for the NASA Solar Cruiser spacecraft where it would serve as the solar sail’s skeletal system designed to deploy the packaged reflective sail membrane as well as support operational sail tension loads for flight. Key design drivers for this boom are understanding and characterizing load-deformation behavior and quantifying buckling performance–under flight conditions (zero gravity). Knowing that the full-scale solar sail system cannot be feasibly tested for flight conditions under Earth’s gravity, a building block approach is methodically followed to verify finite element analysis (FEA) predictions and to evolve the finite element model (FEM) accordingly, beginning with the lowest level complexity to match global elastic behavior to the highest level complexity to bound theoretical responses under conservative expected flight conditions. Although the testing campaign for the TRAC boom has not developed yet to produce a full-scale test data point that loads the boom to failure, the fidelity of simulations have evolved with success and warrant further interest and work on this high-aspect ratio, but highly stable, deployable structural boom.

Lee Nguyen↗

Factorizable Schemes for the Equations of Fluid Flow

We present an upwind high-resolution factorizable (UHF) discrete scheme for the compressible Euler equations that allows to distinguish between full-potential and advection factors at the discrete level. The scheme approximates equations in their general conservative form and is related to the family of genuinely multidimensional upwind schemes developed previously and demonstrated to have good shock-capturing capabilities. A unique property of this scheme is that in addition to the aforementioned features it is also factorizable, i.e., it allows to distinguish between full-potential and advection factors at the discrete level. The latter property facilitates the construction of optimally efficient multigrid solvers. This is done through a relaxation procedure that utilizes the factorizability property.

Sidilkover, David↗

On the design of stable, consistent, and conservative high-order methods for multi-material hydrodynamics

Obtaining stable and high-order numerical solutions for multi-material hydrodynamics is an open challenge. Although slope limiters are widely used to maintain monotonicity near discontinuities, typical limiting procedures violate closure laws at the discrete level when applied to multi-material hydrodynamics equations. Due to this, the high-order expansions of quantities related by the closure laws are no longer consistent. The commonly observed symptom of this consistency-violation is that the numerical method fails to maintain constant pressure and velocity across material interfaces. This leads to sub-optimal convergence rates for smooth multi-material problems as well. Specialized limiting procedures that satisfy consistency while maintaining conservation need to be developed for such equations. A novel procedure that re-instates consistency into slope-limited high-order discretizations applied to the multi-material hydrodynamics equations is presented here. Using simple examples, it is demonstrated that the presented method satisfies closure laws at the discrete level, while maintaining conservative properties of the high-order method. Furthermore, this procedure involves a projection step which relies on the compact basis of the underlying spatial discretization, i.e. for discontinuous schemes (viz. DG and FV) the projection is local, and does not involve global matrix solves. Comparisons with conventional approaches emphasizes the necessity of the consistent closure-law preserving limiting approach, in order to maintain design order of accuracy for smooth multi-material problems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Gravitational influences on the behavior of confined diffusion flames

Closed form, mathematical representations for the shapes of laminar diffusion flames stabilized on two-dimensional slot burners are derived for arbitrary gravitational levels. The solution technique employs the Schvab-Zeldovich conserved species variable. Effects of gravity on the velocity field are incorporated through the momentum equation; these effects, in turn, influence the species field. The results reduce smoothly to the classical Burke-Schumann solution as gravity approaches zero. It is shown that both flame height and width increase with decreasing gravity levels. Several interesting cases are considered explicitly; these include effects of negative and extremely high values of gravity. In the latter case, it is shown that the flame collapses onto the burner surface. The analysis finds application in the modeling of steady and unsteady gas and solid propellant diffusion flames.

Hegde, U.↗

Understanding Catalyst ‘Volcano’ Dependence Through Fermi-Level Controlled Kinetics Using Electronic Theory

The ubiquitous two-step Michaelis–Menten and Temkin–Boudart reaction mechanisms are extended to include the influence of the catalyst electronic subsystem in a 5-step mechanism. The resulting kinetic equation provides an alternative explanation for the well-known volcano-shaped dependence found in catalysis. The equilibrium constants of fast electronic steps are highlighted for their influence on adsorption and desorption through the relative concentration of charged versus neutral intermediates. This generalized concept can be widely applied to determine the optimal catalyst, based on the Fermi level of the material, for reactions proceeding via this universal reaction.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Critical habitat identification of peripheral Sage Thrashers under climate change

Abstract The Sage Thrasher ( Oreoscoptes montanus ) has been assessed as “Endangered” in Canada since 1992. Like other species with a geographic range that barely extends into Canada, Sage Thrashers are rare. Thirty‐one percent of Canada's bird species listed for recovery under the Canadian Species at Risk Act (SARA) are at the periphery of their range. A listing of “endangered” under SARA requires identification of critical habitat for the species. With anticipated climate change, recovery of species requires a more proactive intervention than relying on historical occurrence to locate suitable habitat. We synthesized 19 years of Sage Thrasher occurrence and related habitat data across the species' northern range in British Columbia (BC) and Washington (WA) to define critical habitat characteristics. We found Sage Thrashers selected less leaf litter and less grass cover in flat or low‐slope regions farther from anthropogenic or natural habitat breaks; habitat sensitive to the expected climate change impacts of fire, changes in precipitation, and invasive species establishment. By augmenting the BC data collected in the species' peripheral range with data from their core distribution in WA, we identified key habitat elements of an otherwise data‐poor species that do not breed in sufficient numbers in Canada to reliably characterize their habitat. These methods improve the identification of “critical habitat” for peripheral species like Sage Thrashers in preparation for climate‐induced range expansion northward. The framework developed demonstrates a useful template for conservation strategies for data‐limited peripheral populations in other regions. Focusing on the landscape‐level variables that indicate good habitat, and not the locations of habitat, can identify suitable future areas for conservation.

Millikin, Rhonda L.↗

A note on the accuracy of spectral method applied to nonlinear conservation laws

Fourier spectral method can achieve exponential accuracy both on the approximation level and for solving partial differential equations if the solutions are analytic. For a linear partial differential equation with a discontinuous solution, Fourier spectral method produces poor point-wise accuracy without post-processing, but still maintains exponential accuracy for all moments against analytic functions. In this note we assess the accuracy of Fourier spectral method applied to nonlinear conservation laws through a numerical case study. We find that the moments with respect to analytic functions are no longer very accurate. However the numerical solution does contain accurate information which can be extracted by a post-processing based on Gegenbauer polynomials.

Shu, Chi-Wang↗

The James Webb Space Telescope Mission Status

The James Webb Space Telescope (Webb) is a large, infrared space telescope that recently completed its on-orbit commissioning activities and will now embark on the first year of approved science. Its architecture includes many first-of-its-kind innovations for space, including a segmented primary mirror that is 6.6 m in diameter and a 5-layer sunshield used to passively cool the telescope and its four science instruments. Although Webb had an extensive test program, the system-level performance often relied on predictions based on integrated modeling, using conservative factors for the model uncertainties and primarily focusing on evaluating the performance requirements at end of life. A set of commissioning activities were designed for a system-level characterization of the performance. This proceeding will provide the status of the mission, including a discussion of the major events, on-orbit system performance, and early science highlights.

Michael McElwain↗

Multi-material ALE remap with interface sharpening using high-order matrix-free finite element methods

The arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) technique involves remapping field quantities from a Lagrangian mesh to an optimized mesh in a conservative, accurate and bounds-preserving manner. For methods based on arbitrary order finite elements, as described in a reference, material volume fractions are advected in pseudo-time using flux-corrected transport (FCT) without any form of interface reconstruction. In practice, this can lead to excessive propagation of small volume fractions throughout the domain. In addition, this method requires assembly of a global advection matrix to compute the bounds-preserving low-order FCT solution. In this work, we introduce a new approach for ALE remap using a high-order matrix-free technique which incorporates a flux modification to sharpen material interfaces in a conservative manner. Our approach begins with computing a bounds-preserving low-order solution to the ALE remap equations at the element level. We then compute a sharp interface solution (not guaranteed to be bounds-preserving) which comes from solving an augmented version of the ALE remap equations with a conservative flux modification which acts to sharpen material volume fractions based on their gradients and transport directions. Using the sharp interface solution, we make global corrections to the bounds-preserving solution while maintaining preservation of bounds. By blending with the sharpened solution at the global level we are able to globally conserve mass without hindering the remap pseudo-time step. This new interface-aware ALE remap method is based entirely on partial assembly techniques where globally assembled matrix operators are no longer needed, resulting in a globally matrix-free FCT method for multi-material, multi-field ALE remap with high performance on GPU architectures. We present results of our new remap method on 1D, 2D and 3D benchmarks and describe the algorithmic tailoring for GPU architectures that was developed.

Vargas, Arturo [Lawrence Livermore National Labora↗

Evaluating the combined effects of light and water availability on the early growth and physiology of Tamarindus indica : Implications for restoration

Abstract Premise The tamarind tree (Tamarindus indica) is a species of significant cultural, economic, and ecological value, with a pantropical distribution. However, the tamarind is experiencing a decline in wild populations in its native range, but the reasons for its decline remain unknown. Methods We examined the critical early life‐history stages for tamarind establishment to understand how varying levels of light and water availability and watering frequency affect its regeneration. Through three greenhouse experiments, we assessed the impact of these resources on the germination, survival, growth, and physiological responses of tamarind seedlings and saplings. Results Water availability was critical for seed germination, but not light levels or pre‐germination treatments. Light was the primary limiting factor for seedling growth. Tamarinds in high light availability grew taller, had more biomass and larger diameter, but the effect of light was modulated by water availability, indicating that there was an interaction between both resources. Water and light affected specific leaf area and leaf dry matter content but not biomass allocation, root‐to‐shoot ratio, or stomatal conductance. Water availability influenced sapling growth, but watering frequency did not, indicating a resilience of tamarind saplings to changes in rainfall periodicity but a sensitivity to total rainfall amounts. Conclusions Our study underscores the importance of considering both light and water availability in tamarind restoration efforts and contribute to understanding plant responses and trade‐offs under different levels of critical resources. Our findings will inform conservation strategies to support the regeneration and long‐term survival ofTamarindus indicain its native habitats.

Plant Sciences↗

Evaluation of Minimum Detectable Activities for Stack Sample Analyses

The Rad-NESHAP program takes samples at major point sources to track how much of select nuclides are being emitted out of the stack. Samples are taken at the site where the radiological operations are being performed. The samples are then sent to analytical laboratories for analysis to determine what nuclides exist in the sample. However, due to the sensitivity of the instruments, false positives are often reported. To reduce the number of false positives, the results reported from the analytical labs are compared to set detection limits. Anything below the set detection limit is considered part of the background while anything above the limit is considered a positive hit. Therefore, the detection limit must be set low enough that any false negatives do not result in a significant dose missed at the end of the year but high enough that there are not enough false positives to skew the annual dose being reported. All detection limits listed in this section for the analyses below were designed to meet the stated equivalent emissions rate and subsequent off-site doses. These minimum detectable activities (MDAs) were developed in the 1990s and documented in the memo cited for each analysis below. These limits and memos are all currently referenced in the Quality Assurance Project Plan (QAPP) for the Rad-NESHAP Compliance Task, which is being updated to a Project Implementation Plan (PIP) concurrently with this document. As part of this update process, the original MDAs defined in this section needed to be verified that they were still conservative and meet the off-site dose levels stated.

2019 MDA↗

Simple gas chromatographic system for analysis of microbial respiratory gases

Dual column ambient temperature system, consisting of pair of capillary columns, microbead thermistor detector and micro gas-sampling valve, is used in remote life-detection equipment for space experiments. Performance outweighs advantage gained by utilizing single-column systems to reduce weight, conserve carrier gas and operate at lower power levels.

Carle, G. C.↗

The OPGT/MJS plasma wave science team

Some properties of a model magnetosphere for Saturn were studied in order to determine the bounds that can be set on surface field strength and trapped particle population. The primary observational constraint was that nonthermal radiation similar to the Jovian radio emissions must be undetectable from Earth. It is argued that for a Saturn surface field of approximately one gauss, particles that are energized as they diffuse in from the magnetopause with conservation of magnetic moment will produce synchrotron radiation levels that are undetectable at a range of 9.5 AU. The plasma instabilities that heat the oncoming wind particles at the bow shock and others that can limit the stably-trapped flux levels are also discussed.

Scarf, F. L.↗

Some comments on the magnetosphere and plasma environment of Saturn.

Some properties of a model magnetosphere for Saturn are studied in order to determine the bounds that can be set on the surface field strength and the trapped particle population. The primary observational constraint is that nonthermal radiation similar to the Jovian radio emissions must be undetectable from earth. It is argued that for a Saturn surface field of approximately one gauss, those particles that are energized as they diffuse in from the magnetopause with conservation of magnetic moment will produce synchrotron radiation levels that are undetectable at a range of 9.5 AU. The plasma instabilities that heat the oncoming wind particles at the bow shock and others that can limit the stably-trapped flux levels are also discussed briefly.

Scarf, F. L.↗

Methane band limb-brightening on Uranus

Area scanner measurements of the brightness distributions of Uranus at 6300 and 7250 A are presented. At the former wavelength, which is characteristic of continuum radiation, the observed limb-darkening is consistent with the results of Stratoscope observations. At the latter wavelength, in the center of a strong methane absorption band, the planet shows substantial limb-brightening as has been reported by other investigators. The limb-brightening and geometric albedo of Uranus in this methane band can be explained in terms of a clear atmospheric model in which the methane partial pressure above the saturation level is equal to its equilibrium vapor pressure. This conclusion is relatively insensitive to the methane mixing ratio below the saturation level. The presence of a high-altitude, conservatively, isotropically scattering haze of optical thickness 0.1, such as that previously proposed as a possible cause of the 7250-A limb-brightening, would produce a geometric albedo at this wavelength that is substantially larger than the value observed for Uranus.

Pilcher, C. B.↗