Combining In-Situ Data, Satellite Observations, and Models to Support Air Quality Forecasting from Global to Sub-City Scales
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Spaceborne Lidar Retrievals of PM2.5 for Air Quality Studies and Applications
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) substantially contributes to air pollution and negatively affects human health. While many studies have investigated the use of passive column-integrated aerosol optical depth to infer surface PM2.5, the use of lidar observations for air quality characterization is not nearly as extensive. Lidar measurements are critical, however, due to the vertical aerosol information they provide, including near the surface. In this presentation, we first provide an overview of various lidar-based approaches for estimating PM2.5 concentrations and then discuss how lidar measurements can assist other air quality applications. For example, estimates of PM2.5 have been obtained in a physics-based approach through CALIOP near-surface aerosol extinction retrievals, assumptions on the mass extinction efficiency, and incorporating other parameters (an aerosol hygroscopic growth factor and PM2.5/PM10 ratio). Application of this algorithm over the contiguous United States (CONUS) from 2006 to 2018 yielded larger PM2.5 values over the eastern and western CONUS (~10-15 μg/m³) and lower PM2.5 levels in the central CONUS (~5 μg/m³). These spatial patterns were similar to those from gridded PM2.5 concentrations obtained through in situ measurements at ground stations operated by the US Environmental Protection Agency. In another approach, the Cloud Aerosol Transport System (CATS) lidar was used with the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model in a 1D ensemble-based variational technique to obtain PM2.5 over the US and Europe, and the spatial patterns of the CATS/GEOS based PM2.5 concentrations generally captured those from surface stations (with corresponding hourly EPA PM2.5 vs CATS PM2.5 statistics of R=0.4 and bias=1.5 μg/m³). In our recent work, as part of the Models, In situ, and Remote sensing of Aerosols (MIRA) Working Group, we have applied both the CALIOP and CATS/GEOS based approaches over the highly polluted country of India during the post-monsoon season (September-October 2016). We derived elevated levels of two-month mean PM2.5 (~100 μg/m³) in northern India, especially near New Delhi. These high PM2.5 concentrations in the Indo-Gangetic plain are driven in large part from the seasonal burning of crop residue and meteorological conditions typical at this time of the year, such as low wind speeds and a shallow boundary layer. While the satellite-derived PM2.5 moderately replicates (R = ~0.7-0.9) the spatial variability in the two-month mean of surface in situ PM2.5 from monitoring sites operated by the Central and State Pollution Control Boards, we show results from specific scenes for which there are large deviations between the satellite-derived PM2.5 and in situ measurements. Other current work on this topic focuses on developing PM2.5 estimates using airborne high spectral resolution lidar measurements through machine learning regression algorithms and involves several parameters (e.g., aerosol extinction, color ratio, lidar ratio). Application of this method over major metropolitan areas in the US and Asia have resulted in high correlations (R = 0.93) with surface measurements. This airborne lidar approach can be adapted to spaceborne lidar measurements, and all three of these approaches can be applied to ESA’s EarthCARE Atmospheric Lidar instrument, setting the stage for the future Cloud Aerosol Lidar for Global Scale Observations of the Ocean-Land Atmosphere System (CALIGOLA) mission. Ultimately, beyond estimates of PM2.5, the aerosol vertical distribution from lidars can benefit studies involving passive sensor approaches for PM2.5 proxies (including from geostationary satellites), wildfire smoke plume injection heights, volcanic emissions (e.g., ash height retrievals), and aerosol/air quality model assimilation, evaluation, and forecasts.
Travis D Toth↗
Thermal Stimulation and Injectivity Testing at Raft River, ID EGS Site
The Raft River geothermal field is the site of an innovative Department of Energy Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) project to determine the viability of using combined thermal and hydraulic stimulation techniques to improve energy production. Well RRG-9 is currently undergoing a stimulation program using injectate from the US Geothermal Raft River Power Plant and cold water from a cooling tower make-up water well. The stimulation began on 13 June 2013 with injection from the power plant at a temperature of about 39 °C and a pressure of 275 psig. Next, two positive displacement plunger type pumps were used to increase the injection pressure and flow rate for about one month. The highest rate achieved was 258 gpm at a pressure of 741 psig. During this time, fluid from the cooler water well was injected for about 2 weeks at various pressures. Then, the pumps were removed and plant injection resumed on 25 September. Plant injection will continue until the spring of 2014, when a high pressure hydraulic stimulation will be conducted. A series of seismic monitoring stations deployed around the well are providing data on seismic events occurring at the site. Over the past year, 51 microseismic events have been recorded, all less than Magnitude 1. During injection, several diagnostic tests were conducted to gain a better understanding of the well and reservoir. A step-rate test was performed on 22 August to measure the in-situ stress and aid in modeling in-situ fractures. A tracer was injected into the well on 9 September. No tracer was detected in adjacent production wells after several months. A second borehole televiewer survey was conducted for comparison to pre-stimulation images. Here, a third borehole televiewer survey is planned after the high pressure stimulation. Injection test data is evaluated in real time. A modified Hall plot analysis indicates the effective permeability is increasing. The injectivity index supports the results of the modified Hall plot analysis. As the thermal stimulation has continued, the injectivity index has consistently followed an upward trend from 0.1 gpm/psi to 0.53 gpm/psi.
enhanced geothermal systems↗
Evaluating Model Parameterizations of Submicron Aerosol Scattering and Absorption with in situ Data from ARCTAS 2008
Accurate modeling of the scattering and absorption of ultraviolet and visible radiation by aerosols is essential for accurate simulations of atmospheric chemistry and climate. Closure studies using in situ measurements of aerosol scattering and absorption can be used to evaluate and improve models of aerosol optical properties without interference from model errors in aerosol emissions, transport, chemistry, or deposition rates. Here we evaluate the ability of four externally mixed, fixed size distribution parameterizations used in global models to simulate submicron aerosol scattering and absorption at three wavelengths using in situ data gathered during the 2008 Arctic Research of the Composition of the Troposphere from Aircraft and Satellites (ARCTAS) campaign. The four models are the NASA Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) Combo model, GEOS-Chem v9- 02, the baseline configuration of a version of GEOS-Chem with online radiative transfer calculations (called GC-RT), and the Optical Properties of Aerosol and Clouds (OPAC v3.1) package. We also use the ARCTAS data to perform the first evaluation of the ability of the Aerosol Simulation Program (ASP v2.1) to simulate submicron aerosol scattering and absorption when in situ data on the aerosol size distribution are used, and examine the impact of different mixing rules for black carbon (BC) on the results. We find that the GMI model tends to overestimate submicron scattering and absorption at shorter wavelengths by 10-23 percent, and that GMI has smaller absolute mean biases for submicron absorption than OPAC v3.1, GEOS-Chem v9-02, or GC-RT. However, the changes to the density and refractive index of BC in GCRT improve the simulation of submicron aerosol absorption at all wavelengths relative to GEOS-Chem v9-02. Adding a variable size distribution, as in ASP v2.1, improves model performance for scattering but not for absorption, likely due to the assumption in ASP v2.1 that BC is present at a constant mass fraction throughout the aerosol size distribution. Using a core-shell mixing rule in ASP overestimates aerosol absorption, especially for the fresh biomass burning aerosol measured in ARCTAS-B, suggesting the need for modeling the time-varying mixing states of aerosols in future versions of ASP.
Alvarado, Matthew J.↗
Achieving 5.9% elastic strain in kilograms of metallic glasses: Nanoscopic strain engineering goes macro
The ideal elastic limit is the upper bound of the achievable strength and elastic strain of solids. However, the elastic strains that bulk materials can sustain are usually below 2%, due to the localization of inelastic deformations at the lattice scale. In this study, we achieved >5% elastic strain in bulk quantity of metallic glass, by exploiting the more uniform and smaller-magnitude atomic-scale lattice strains of martensitic transformation as a loading medium in a bulk metallic nanocomposite. The self-limiting nature of martensitic transformation helps to prevent lattice strain transfer that leads to the localization of deformation and damage. This lattice strain egalitarian strategy enables bulk metallic materials in kilogram-quantity to achieve near-ideal elastic limit. This concept is verified in a model in situ bulk amorphous (TiNiFe)-nanocrystalline (TiNi(Fe)) composite, in which the TiNiFe amorphous matrix exhibits a maximum tensile elastic strain of similar to 5.9%, which approaches its theoretical elastic limit. As a result, the model bulk composite possesses a large recoverable strain of similar to 7%, a maximum tensile strength of above 2 GPa, and a large elastic resilience of similar to 79.4 MJ/m 3 . The recoverable strain and elastic resilience are unmatched by known high strength bulk metallic materials. This design concept opens new opportunities for the development of high-performance bulk materials and elastic strain engineering of the physiochemical properties of glasses.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Sensor-model prediction, monitoring and in-situ control of liquid RTM advanced fiber architecture composite processing
In-situ frequency dependent electromagnetic sensors (FDEMS) and the Loos resin transfer model have been used to select and control the processing properties of an epoxy resin during liquid pressure RTM impregnation and cure. Once correlated with viscosity and degree of cure the FDEMS sensor monitors and the RTM processing model predicts the reaction advancement of the resin, viscosity and the impregnation of the fabric. This provides a direct means for predicting, monitoring, and controlling the liquid RTM process in-situ in the mold throughout the fabrication process and the effects of time, temperature, vacuum and pressure. Most importantly, the FDEMS-sensor model system has been developed to make intelligent decisions, thereby automating the liquid RTM process and removing the need for operator direction.
Kranbuehl, D.↗
The CEOP Inter-Monsoon Studies (CIMS)
Prediction of climate relies on models, and better model prediction depends on good model physics. Improving model physics requires the maximal utilization of climate data of the past, present and future. CEOP provides the first example of a comprehensive, integrated global and regional data set, consisting of globally gridded data, reference site in-situ observations, model location time series (MOLTS), and integrated satellite data for a two-year period covering two complete annual cycles of 2003-2004. The monsoon regions are the most important socio-economically in terms of devastation by floods and droughts, and potential impacts from climate change md fluctuatinns nf the hydrologic cyc!e. Scientifically, it is most challenging, because of complex interactions of atmosphere, land and oceans, local vs. remote forcings in contributing to climate variability and change in the region. Given that many common features, and physical teleconnection exist among different monsoon regions, an international research focus on monsoon must be coordinated and sustained. Current models of the monsoon are grossly inadequate for regional predictions. For improvement, models must be confronted with relevant observations, and model physic developers must be made to be aware of the wealth of information from existing climate data, field measurements, and satellite data that can be used to improve models. Model transferability studles must be conducted. CIMS is a major initiative under CEOP to engage the modeling and the observational communities to join in a coordinated effort to study the monsoons. The objectives of CIMS are (a) To provide a better understanding of fundamental physical processes (diurnal cycle, annual cycle, and intraseasonal oscillations) in monsoon regions around the world and (b) To demonstrate the synergy and utility of CEOP data in providing a pathway for model physics evaluation and improvement. In this talk, I will present the basic concepts of CIMS and the key scientific problems facing monsoon climates and provide examples of common monsoon features, and possible monsoon induced teleconnections linking different parts of the world.
Lau, William K. M.↗
Characterizing IHE Response to Multiple Shock Loading
The response of high explosives to shock loading is traditionally measured with a steady loading pressure. In many accident scenarios involving fragment impact, however, a loading duration that is shorter than the build up to detonation may occur. Fragments passing through multiple materials before reaching a high explosive charge may produce loading that is comprised of more than one shock wave. Additionally, the build up to detonation in high explosive corner turning loads the explosive a short duration pressure pulse, since rarefactions can often rapidly overtake the reactive wave. For these reasons, we have studied the response of the insensitive high explosive (IHE) materials PBX 9502 and LX-17 to complex loadings of varied intensity and duration. We refer to a single loading of limited duration as a “thin pulse”, whereas more complex scenarios were studied with an impactor that produces a double shock in the explosive. The following report presents experimental data and analyses of thin pulse shock initiation and double shock experiments designed to guide development of models of Insensitive High Explosives (IHEs) under controlled one-dimensional conditions relevant to accident scenarios and corner turning. Thin pulse shock initiation data on PBX 9502 and LX-17 were obtained under varied pulse duration, pressed density, and temperature conditions in order to probe various parameters essential for the development of a physics-based Cheetah reactive flow hotspot model. In situ pressure gauges provide insight into the degree of reaction in the explosive that are not obtainable with optical PDV measurements or distance measurements such as run to detonation. Double shock data was obtained to inform a Composition Aware Cheetah model which can be applied to any TATB-based IHEs. This model supports efforts to find a new IHE formulation and potentially incorporate new binders into IHE formulations. Simulations of each experiment are included to demonstrate the utility of these focused experiments to developing models of HE behavior. One-dimensional gas gun experiments are essential for characterizing shocked HE behavior and informing HE models.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
PolarMERRA: A Polar-Focused Global Reanalysis Project for Scientific and Stakeholder Needs
The adequate modeling of physical processes in the Arctic and Antarctic is vital for developing prediction capabilities and for obtaining an understanding of rapidly evolving polar conditions, including their potential global impacts. These processes are often poorly represented in global models and reanalyses, owing to a legacy modeling focus on midlatitude processes, as well as a scarcity of observations needed for model development in polar regions. The polarMERRA initiative, a joint effort between NASA’s Cryospheric Sciences and Modeling and Prediction programs, seeks to improve the representation of cryospheric and polar atmospheric processes and to develop an open-source framework for a quantitively evaluation of polar-relevant variables against current and future satellite and in-situ observations, models, and reanalyses. Here, we evaluate the impacts of spatial resolution and modifications to sea ice, ice sheet, and atmospheric parameterizations on the representation of high latitude conditions by using a quantitative scorecard approach that leverages NASA’s extensive satellite record. Investigations are conducted using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System model (GEOS) and its data assimilation system (GEOS DAS). Through a quantitative identification of process deficiencies, bias reductions in key surface variables, including temperature and precipitation over cryospheric surfaces, may be achieved. The polarMERRA project additionally seeks to identify additional data sources for use in the GEOS DAS, and to incorporate data and parameterization improvements into future model and reanalysis products for scientific and stakeholder use.
Lauren C Andrews↗
Comparison of Land Skin Temperature from a Land Model, Remote Sensing, and In-situ Measurement
Land skin temperature (Ts) is an important parameter in the energy exchange between the land surface and atmosphere. Here hourly Ts from the Community Land Model Version 4.0, MODIS satellite observations, and in-situ observations in 2003 were compared. Compared with the in-situ observations over four semi-arid stations, both MODIS and modeled Ts show negative biases, but MODIS shows an overall better performance. Global distribution of differences between MODIS and modeled Ts shows diurnal, seasonal, and spatial variations. Over sparsely vegetated areas, the model Ts is generally lower than the MODIS observed Ts during the daytime, while the situation is opposite at nighttime. The revision of roughness length for heat and the constraint of minimum friction velocity from Zeng et al. [2012] bring the modeled Ts closer to MODIS during the day, and have little effect on Ts at night. Five factors contributing to the Ts differences between the model and MODIS are identified, including the difficulty in properly accounting for cloud cover information at the appropriate temporal and spatial resolutions, and uncertainties in surface energy balance computation, atmospheric forcing data, surface emissivity, and MODIS Ts data. These findings have implications for the cross-evaluation of modeled and remotely sensed Ts, as well as the data assimilation of Ts observations into Earth system models.
Modeling↗
Thermal Modelling of the in-Situ Consolidation of Automated Fiber Placement of Thermoplastic Composites
NASA is developing carbon fiber reinforced thermoplastic composites processing methods under the Hi-rate Composites Aircraft Manufacturing (HiCAM) project. The in-situ consolidation automated fiber placement (AFP) of thermoplastics (ICAT) process has high potential to increase manufacturing throughput and lower costs as it combines the repeatability and fast lay down rates of AFP with the thermoformability of thermoplastic materials to achieve part consolidation out of the autoclave. Physics-based process models are employed in the ICAT process development to understand, fundamentally, the thermal response of the carbon fiber (CF)/polyaryletherketone (PAEK) material during the rapid heating and cooling associated with laser-assisted AFP. A one-dimensional (1-D) closed-form model was developed capable of predicting the temperature profile through-the-thickness of the tape material. In addition, a two-dimensional (2-D) model was developed to predict the heat transfer through-the-thickness and in the laydown x-direction of the AFP head motion. The solution of the Fourier heat-transfer equations in the 2-D model is approximated using the explicit finite difference numerical method. The temperature profile during placement of PAEK slit-tape materials at various laser target temperatures and placement speeds were measured during ICAT process development trials at Electroimpact®, Inc. †† and the resulting experimental data is compared with the predictions of the 1-D and 2-D models.
Thermoplastics↗
Thermal Modelling of the In-Situ Consolidation of Automated Fiber Placement Of Thermoplastic Composites
NASA is developing carbon fiber reinforced thermoplastic composites processing methods under the Hi-rate Composites Aircraft Manufacturing (HiCAM) project. The in-situ consolidation automated fiber placement (AFP) of thermoplastics (ICAT) process has high potential to increase manufacturing throughput and lower costs as it combines the repeatability and fast lay down rates of AFP with the thermoformability of thermoplastic materials to achieve part consolidation out of the autoclave. Physics-based process models are employed in the ICAT process development to understand, fundamentally, the thermal response of the carbon fiber (CF)/polyaryletherketone (PAEK) material during the rapid heating and cooling associated with laser-assisted AFP. A one-dimensional (1-D) closed-form model was developed capable of predicting the temperature profile through-the-thickness of the tape material. In addition, a two-dimensional (2-D) model was developed to predict the heat transfer through-the-thickness and in the laydown x-direction of the AFP head motion. The solution of the Fourier heat-transfer equations in the 2-D model is approximated using the explicit finite difference numerical method. The temperature profile during placement of PAEK slit-tape materials at various laser target temperatures and placement speeds were measured during ICAT process development trials at Electroimpact®, Inc. †† and the resulting experimental data is compared with the predictions of the 1-D and 2-D models.
Christopher J. Stelter↗
Contaminant Migration Modeling to Support the In Situ Decommissioning of Hardened Nuclear Facilities - 20215
The decommissioning of hardened nuclear facilities provides a unique challenge in balancing current worker dose with exposure to future receptors and media. In situ decommissioning (ISD) is a cost-effective and safe option for the closure of such facilities but requires a detailed understanding of the threat that radioactive and hazardous constituents remaining in the facilities pose to groundwater and surrounding surface water. The Savannah River Site (SRS) extensively employs contaminant migration models within the decommissioning process to develop site-specific removal, grouting, and monitoring strategies in support of safe and effective final end states of nuclear facilities. This work discusses the use of contaminant migration modeling in the ISD process at SRS, including specific examples from the closure of P-Reactor and R-Reactor, Building 235-F, F-Canyon and F/H Laboratory Complex. Migration models developed during the closure of P-Reactor and R-Reactor were divided into four source areas: the reactor vessel, the process area, the disassembly basin, and the purification wing. Each source area was assigned a specific inventory and migration pathway and was then subject to varying hypothetical removal, capping, and grouting schemes. Modeling indicated that groundwater Maximum Concentration Limits (MCLs) might be exceeded if no action was taken for eleven and ten constituents of concern (COCs) at P-Reactor and R-Reactor, respectively. These exceedances could occur in as few as 200 to 500 years. Alternatively, the migration modeling demonstrated that the selected ISD actions reduced contaminant mobility which allowed for significant radioactive decay and resulted in fewer predicted exceedances of groundwater MCLs (five COCs for P-Reactor; eight COCs for R-Reactor). In response to the modeling results for P-Reactor and R-Reactor, effectiveness monitoring programs were developed to target contaminants, specific to each reactor, that may migrate to groundwater. Contaminant migration modeling also revealed that roof collapse was a large factor in the release of COCs to the environment, giving rise to roof improvements, and an inspection and vegetation control program to ensure roof stability over time. Contaminant migration modeling is also aiding in the closure planning for hardened facilities in F Area. Building 235-F housed the Actinide Billet Line, which produced Np-237 billets for irradiation in SRS reactors, and the Plutonium Fuel Form (PuFF) facility that produced Pu-238 heat sources for the space program. As a result of these missions, areas within Building 235-F contain considerable residual amounts of both Pu-238 and Np-237. Contaminant migration modeling of Building 235-F was originally performed in 2012 to identify the feasibility of ISD and the amount of radioactive material removal required to prevent the exceedance of groundwater MCLs. The original model indicated that a 60% reduction in the PuFF facility Pu-238 inventory could keep groundwater concentrations below standards, while Np-237 did not pose a threat to groundwater. However, updates to the model with an emphasis on source impact pathways revealed that, due to the orientation of the source areas relative to groundwater flow, no amount of reasonable removal of Pu-238 would keep groundwater concentrations below MCLs and that Np-237 could be a large contributor to localized MCL exceedances. With this insight, the refined 2019 model is being used to assist in the development of grouting plans specific to each facility source area, where bentonite may be utilized to slow the migration of Pu-238 and its daughter products from the PuFF facility and a reducing grout may decrease Np-237 transport by ensuring the nuclide remains in the less mobile +IV oxidation state. The beginning phases of contaminant migration modeling are underway for F-Canyon and associated facilities using lessons learned from the Reactors and Building 235-F. A contaminant migration pathway, similar to the pathway used for the reactor vessels, is being developed for the hot and warm canyons. The F-Canyon inventories are being spatially refined to identify specific and localized source zones, comparable to Building 235-F, that may impact groundwater. Contaminant migration modeling provides vital input within the ISD process, from facility investigation to post closure effectiveness monitoring, making it a valuable tool in the development of safe and effective end states for hardened nuclear facilities at SRS. (authors)
12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
A Novel Method to Train Classification Models for Structure Detection in In Situ Spacecraft Data
We present a method for creating spacecraft-like data which can be used to train Machine Learning (ML) models to detect and classify structures in in situ spacecraft data. First, we use the Grad-Shafranov equation to numerically solve for several magnetohydrostatic equilibria which are variations on a known analytic equilibrium. These equilibria are then used as the initial conditions for Particle-In-Cell simulations in which the structures of interest are observed and labeled. We then take one-dimensional slices through the simulations to replicate what a spacecraft collecting data from the simulation would observe. This sliced data then can be used as training data for the initial training of ML models intended for use on spacecraft data. We demonstrate the method applied to the problem of detecting small-scale plasmoids in the magnetotail, which is important for understanding complex magnetotail reconnection dynamics. The simple 1D classifier we train is able to detect more than 70% of the plasmoid points in the data set but also produces a large number of false positives. Our further work on this example problem is detailed, and further potential uses of the method are discussed.
79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
Surface engineering to enhance heat generation and joint strength in dissimilar materials AZ31 and DP590 ultrasonic welding
A multiscale simulation approach was developed and employed to optimize the sheet surface conditions for higher interfacial temperature and joint strength in ultrasonic welding of magnesium alloy AZ31 and dual-phase steel DP590. First, a mesoscale model was used to study the relationship between friction coefficient and surface roughness, which can be modified by various engineering methods. Then a macroscopic process model was employed to study the effects of surface roughness on heat generation, indicating that a temperature increase can be achieved with rougher surfaces on two sides of both DP590 and AZ31 sheets. Samples prepared by sanding and filing, as well as grinding, were first characterized for surface roughness and then welded under ultrasonic vibration. An infrared camera was used to measure temperatures in situ for model validation. Overall, lap shear test results for the welded joint showed that the joint strength can be improved by 10~25% using filing and round grinding methods as a result of the enhanced heat generation and mechanical interlocking on the interface.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Decoupling plasma, catalyst, and gaseous mechanisms for non-oxidative methane conversion
Direct non-oxidative methane (CH 4 ) conversion to value-added hydrogen (H 2 ) and C 2 products remains hindered by fundamental catalytic scaling constraints and rapid surface deactivation at elevated temperatures. Plasma-enabled catalysis offers a promising route to overcome the thermodynamic and kinetic barriers of direct non-oxidative methane upgrading at mild conditions, yet control over C–C product selectivity and catalyst stability remains elusive. Here, we establish a unified mechanistic framework including Langmuir–Hinshelwood (L–H) and Langmuir–Rideal (L–R) mechanisms that disentangles the roles of plasma excitation (including vibrationally activated species and radicals), surface temperature (T sur ), and catalyst binding energy in steering CH 4 conversion to H 2 and C 2 hydrocarbons. Through a combination of density functional theory (DFT) informed microkinetic modeling, in situ and ex situ surface characterization, and product quantification under dielectric barrier discharge conditions, we show that vibrationally excited CH 4 lowers activation barriers selectively for dissociative chemisorption, enabling surface activation across a wide range of transition metal catalysts at low thermal energy input. We find that once CH 4 is dissociatively chemisorbed, the branching between C 2 H 2 , C 2 H 4 , and C 2 H 6 is governed by surface properties (carbon binding energy, T sur , etc), regardless of plasma excitation. The DFT informed microkinetic model decouples the effects of molecular activation from surface properties and indentifies operating windows that maximize target yields while suppressing carbon accumulation and subsequent catalytic inactivation. Experiments on polycrystalline Cu/Al 2 O 3 , Ni/Al 2 O 3 , and Pt/Al 2 O 3 validate these predictions, revealing catalyst-dependent branching toward ethane or ethylene and distinct deactivation profiles. We unify these trends into a generalized three-dimensional plasma-thermal-catalytic design space, from which reduced descriptors such as T vib /T sur in the limit of vibrationally excited L–H pathways emerge as predictive metrics. These results enable rational tuning of methane conversion pathways and unlock selective C 2 formation using earth-abundant metals under mild plasma conditions.
catalyst inactivation↗
Models of an In-Situ Propellant Production Plant for Mars Exploration
An in-situ propellant production system (ISPP) is designed to make rocket fuel from chemicals in the Martian atmosphere in order to reduce the amount of materials that would need to be brought from Earth to support Mars missions. We have developed a description of a hypothetical ISPP system that we would like to make available to researchers who are interested in the problem of automatically diagnosing failures in complex NASA systems. This problem description will help researchers to investigate problems of interest to NASA. We would like to make the following material publicly available: (1) a 'common sense' model of an ISPP system; (2) low- and medium-fidelity simulations of the ISPP system written in Microsoft Excel and HCC; and (3) previously published data and diagrams concerning ISPP components. We do not believe there are any export considerations on these materials for the following reasons: (1) These models are not useful for guidance and real time control of vehicles, encrpytion, or any other software purpose categorized under the Export Control Classification Numbers; and (2) The models are very high level and would not by themselves enable real-time control of a real hardware system. The models are at the level of common sense. They capture, for example, that if a heater is turned on an increase in temperature should result(see the attached excerpt). We do not believe there is any commercial value to this material, given the low commercial demand for propellant plants on mars. We have spoken to acting Code IC Division Chief Dan Clancy, and he concurs with our desire to make these materials publicly available via a technical report.
Goodrich, Charlie↗
A model for predicting the results of in situ meteoroid experiments - Pioneer 8 and 9 results and phenomenological evidence
Qualitative micrometeoroid model for predicting results of in situ experiments, considering correlation to Pioneer 8 and 9 results
Berg, O. E.↗