A global review of long-range transported lead concentration and isotopic ratio records in snow and ice
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Hanna L. Brooks↗
SEARCH · Engineering Papers
Results for “ISOTOPE RATIO”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Oxygen Isotope Ratios in Hydrogen-deficient Carbon Stars: A Correlation with Effective Temperature and Implications for White Dwarf Merger Outcomes
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Advait Mehla↗
Isotope Ratio Features for Classification of Dissolution Events Using Effluents Measurements
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Rao, Nageswara↗
Certification of Uranium Isotope Amount Ratios in a Suite of Uranium Ore Concentrate Certified Reference Materials
Here, in this study, data from thirteen laboratories from around the world are presented for a successful certification of uranium isotope ratios in uranium ore concentrate (UOC) certified reference materials from the National Research Council Canada. Different mass spectrometric measurement principles (including SF-ICP-MS, quadruple ICP-MS, TIMS, MC-ICP-MS, SIMS and AMS) and measurement procedures were employed. In general, data from all sources exhibit good consistency with TIMS and MC-ICP-MS showing superior performance. The three candidate UOC CRMs (UCLO-1, UCHI-1 and UPER-1) have natural uranium isotope ratios with certified values of 0.5304(7) x 10 -4 , 0.5475(2) x 10 -4 and 0.5361(4) x 10 -4 for n( 234 U)/n( 238 U) and 0.007 2563(13), 0.007 2563(10) and 0.007 2542(11) for n( 235 U)/n( 238 U), respectively, with expanded uncertainty (k = 2) applicable to the last digit of the value given in the parentheses. Information values for n( 236 U)/n( 238 U) in these three CRMs, measured by AMS, are also provided: 10 x 10 -12 , 200 x 10 -12 and 22 x 10 -12 . The uncertainties of the proposed certified values of uranium isotope ratios in UOC CRMs are superior to available reference materials, and the values of n( 234 U)/n( 238 U) and n( 236 U)/n( 238 U) show significant variation among the three CRMs.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Evaluation of several relevant fractionation processes as possible explanation for radioxenon isotopic activity ratios in samples taken near underground nuclear explosions in shafts and tunnels
Gas samples taken from two historic underground nuclear tests done in 1989 at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS), formerly the Nevada Test Site (NTS), were examined to determine how xenon isotopes fractionate because of early-time cavity processes, transport through the rock, or dispersal through tunnels. Xenon isotopes are currently being used to distinguish civilian sources of xenon in the atmosphere from sources associated with underground nuclear explosions (UNEs). The two nuclear tests included (1) BARNWELL, a test conducted in a vertical shaft approximately 600 m below ground surface at Pahute Mesa, and (2) DISKO ELM, a horizontal line-of-sight test done in P-tunnel approximately 261 m below the surface of Aqueduct Mesa. Numerical flow and transport models developed for the two sites had mixed success when attempting to match the observed xenon isotope ratios. At the BARNWELL site, the simulated xenon isotope ratios were consistent with measurements from the chimney and ground surface and appeared to have been affected primarily by fractionation during subsurface transport. At the DISKO ELM site, samples taken from two elevations in the chimney failed to show the degree of fractionation predicted by the models during transport and did not show evidence for significant fractionation due to early-time condensation of refractory xenon-precursor radionuclides into the melt glass. Gas samples taken from the adjacent tunnels in the days following the test showed mixed evidence for early-time separation of xenon isotopes from their iodine precursors.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Winds, Water Budgets and Stable Isotopes in Tropical Cyclones using TRMM and QUICKSCAT
Water vapor is the most abundant greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. Changes in its concentration and distribution are controlled by the hydrologic cycle. Because of its capacity to absorb and emit long wave radiation, release latent heat during condensation in storms and reflect short wave radiation when clouds form it has a major impact on Global climate change. The stable isotope ratios of water are H20 H2l6O and H0 H2l6O. These ratios change whenever water undergoes a phase change. They also change in both rain and water vapor whenever an air parcel is exposed to rain. In addition the relative changes in the two ratios differ as a &nction of the relative humidity. In short, the stable isotope ratios in water vapor in the atmosphere contain an integrated history of the processes affecting the concentration and distribution of water vapor in the atmosphere. Therefore the measurement and interpretation of changes in these stable isotope ratios are a powerful tool matched by no other method in tracing the transport history of water in the atmosphere. Our initial studies under this grant focused on the changes of the stable isotope ratios of precipitation and water vapor in tropical cyclones. The changes in time and space were found to be very large and to trace the transport of water in the storms reflecting changes in basic structural features. Because the stable isotope ratios of rains from tropical cyclones are so low flooding associated with land falling tropical cyclones introduces a negative isotopic spike into the coastal surface waters. In addition the stable isotope ratios of water vapor in the vicinity of tropical cyclones is anomalously low. This suggests that carbonate shelled organisms such as ostracoda living in coastal waters have the potential to record the isotopic spike and thereby provide a long term record of tropical storm activity in sediment cores containing fossil shells. Likewise, tree rings in coastal environments offer a similar potential. We have analyzed the oxygen isotopic composition of ostrcoda shells formed in the floodwaters of Tropical Storm Allison (2001) and discovered the negative isotopic 1 16 spike. Because we had learned that storm activity has a major impact on the stable isotope ratios of water vapor in the tropics and sub-tropics we decided to analyze the isotopic compositions of water vapor in different locations in the tropics. We did this in Puerto Escondido, Mexico in July 1998, near Kwajalein Island in the Pacific in 1999 as part of a TRMM summer field program and in 2001 in Key West, Florida as part of the CAMEX 4 summer field program. Our isotopic studies along with our earlier tropical cyclone studies showed that the low isotopic ratios in water vapor induced by exposure to rains the storms persisted for 48 hours often far away from the original storm site. We also noted that positive isotopic spikes were introduced into atmospheric water vapor if winds were high and extensive sea spray was present. These findings have a significant impact on the interpretation of the stable isotope studies of tropical ice cores found in the high mountain regions of the tropics. The assumption made in interpreting the ice core record is that the source water vapor evaporated from the sea surface is in near isotopic equilibrium with the seawater and undergoes a decrease during its transport that reflects the change in temperature from the sea surface to the site of the ice core. Because an additional isotopic depletion occurs at the sea surface source area that depends on the intensity, duration and size of the tropical rain system the isotopic variations found in the ice cores must take into account changes in past storm activity in the tropics. These systems must be an important source of water vapor to the ice cores because they charge the troposphere with water vapor to a far greater vertical height than evaporation in quiescent regions. Finally, an interest in increased heat transfer in thnterior of tropical cyclones resulting from greater amounts of sea spray is a topic of considerable interest to the research community. Increases in sea spray may be related to rapid changes in the intensity of hurricanes, a feature of hurricanes that currently is very poorly forecast. Project CBLAST of the Hurricane Research Division of NOAA is an active program that uses P3 research aircraft to evaluate this problem. An instrument has been designed and built at the University of Houston that will be placed on the P3 research aircraft during the 2004 hurricane season. It continuously measures the salt content of rain in hurricanes. Changes in the salt content of the rains should reflect the abundance of sea spray at the sea surface. In this way maps of sea spray intensity in hurricanes may be forthcoming. This should help computer modelers who simulate hurricanes to better understand the potential of changes in sea spray to change the intensity of hurricanes. The cost of designing, building and installing this instrument was borne largely by funding from this NASA grant. A list of presentations at national meetings and publications that were as the result of funding from this NASA grant are found in the report.
Lawrence, James R.↗
Tunable Laser Spectrometers for Planetary Science
Distinguishing planetary formation and evolution pathways and understanding the origins of volatiles on planetary bodies requires determination of relative abundances and isotope ratios in the noble gases, and also of the isotope ratios in C, H, N, O and S at high precisions. Traditional planetary mass spectrometers uniquely provide excellent survey capability including the noble gas relative abundances and their isotope ratios. However, to distinguish planetary evolution models for the outer planets, stable isotope ratios in C and O require precisions of ∼10 or better, readily achievable with a tunable laser spectrometer (TLS). As demonstrated on the Mars Curiosity rover, and as planned for a now-selected NASA Venus mission, tunable laser spectrometers play a unique role synergistic with the capabilities of planetary mass spectrometers. The TLS technique of recording infrared absorption spectra at ultrahigh resolution (resolving power λ/δλ ∼ 5 million) provides unambiguous detection of a wide variety of gases such as H2O, H2O2, H2CO, HOCl, NO, NO2, HNO3, N2O, O3, CO, CO2, NH3, N2H4, PH3, H2S, SO2, OCS, HCl, HF, O2, HCN, and CH4, C2H2, C2H4, C2H6 at parts-per-billion levels. Through line-depth or line-area ratio comparisons of adjacent spectral lines, planetary TLS instruments can achieve isotope ratio measurements in C, H, N, O, and S molecules at precisions of ∼1–2, including for the triple isotope components of O and S. Expected performance of TLS instruments for Venus, Saturn, Enceladus and Uranus will be described as constrained by actual measurements reported at Mars on the Curiosity rover.
Planetary↗
LANL contributions to isoWater R package
The ratio of heavy-to-light stable isotope abundance in water vapor is a tracer of atmospheric processes including evapotranspiration, condensation, mixing, and transport. Measurements of these isotope ratios at the surface, in the atmospheric column, or from satellites provide insights into atmospheric processes that cannot be gained from measurements of water vapor mixing ratios alone. A number of theoretical models for how water vapor isotope ratios should vary in response to atmospheric processes have been developed, and LANL contributions to the isoWater R package provides a simplified interface for calculating expected vapor isotope ratios based on these models and adding them to plots of water vapor isotope ratios.
Fiorella, Richard↗
A Machine Learning Method for the Forensics Attribution of Separated Plutonium
Plutonium (Pu) source attribution would be a powerful tool to support nuclear nonproliferation efforts. This capability to find the source of a Pu sample would act as a deterrent to smuggling efforts, and also help regulatory agencies verify declared nuclear activities. Work at Texas A&M University yielded a nuclear forensics methodology, which is capable of determining separated Pu’s reactor of origin, fuel burnup, and the time since irradiation (TSI)—three parameters of interest. The methodology used a set of ten intra-element isotopic ratios found in separated Pu, which was compared to a library of isotopic ratio values produced using neutronics simulations for reactors of interest. By calculating the probability that unknown Pu sample’s isotopic ratio set matched a set in the library, the methodology could predict the three parameters of interest of the sample. One shortcoming of this methodology was an inability to correctly attribute spoofed Pu, where Pu sourced from two different reactors or two different fuel burnup levels are mixed. A new methodology to rectify this vulnerability using machine learning (ML) technique is developed, instead of the maximum likelihood calculation previously used and the results are satisfactory. The ML approach leverages the existing simulated data for training the algorithm, but use them efficiently by only using intra-element isotope ratios that contribute to the attribution one of the three parameters at a time. Previously, all isotope ratios were used to attribute all three parameters together. The new methodology attributes the Pu parameters in three steps, one for each parameter, rather than resolving all of the three parameters simultaneously like the previous maximum likelihood approach. First, a support vector machine classifier with a set of seven isotopic ratios finds the reactor of origin and a set of regression models trained using gaussian process predicts the burnup with a different set of seven isotopes. Finally, TSI is calculated analytically using decay equations. Thus far, the new methodology is capable of attributing pure Pu samples and has been validated using experimental data. The next step will to be augment the classifier training data set with spoofed Pu data.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Accuracy and precision of ESI-Orbitrap-IRMS observations of hours to tens of hours via reservoir injection
Here, orbitrap isotope ratio mass spectrometry (Orbitrap-IRMS) has recently been applied to high-precision, natural-abundance isotope ratio measurements of a diverse range of compounds, including amino acids, oxyanions, fatty acids, and metals. These measurements can characterize many isotope ratios simultaneously at high (≈1.0‰) precision. In a successful experiment, observed precision will track the shot-noise limit and be limited by experimental time. Some isotope ratios, for example those involving 17 O in organic compounds or multiply-substituted (‘clumped’) isotopologues, require experimental times of hours to tens of hours to achieve desired precision, while current sample introduction techniques focus on observations on the order of seconds to tens of minutes. In this study, we characterize Orbitrap-IRMS performance for three long duration measurements (individual acquisitions ≥1 h and as long as 24 h) using an automated reservoir injection system coupled to a Q Exactive HF Orbitrap with an electrospray ionization (ESI) source. First, we characterize long-term intra-measurement stability through a 24-h long measurement of acetone. We report the following isotope ratios and precisions (as acquisition errors, errors on the observed ratio within this measurement (σ AE )): 13 C/ 12 C (σ AE = 0.07‰), 17 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 1.1‰), 18 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 0.3‰), and 13 C 13 C/ 12 C (σ AE = 0.65‰). The σ AE of each tracks the shot noise limit throughout and is limited by the challenging conditions (high resolution and low numbers of ions per scan) required for 17 O/ 16 O measurement in the presence of 13 C via Orbitrap. Second, we characterize inter-measurement stability via a sequence of seven 75-min analyses of perchlorate. We observe the following ratios and acquisition errors: 37 Cl/ 35 Cl (σ AE = 0.09‰); 17 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 1.6‰); 18 O/ 16 O (σ AE = 0.7‰), 37 Cl 17 O/ 35 Cl 16 O (σ AE = 2.7‰), and 37 Cl 18 O/ 35 Cl 16 O (σ AE = 1.2‰). However, we find that inter-measurement drift between acquisitions limits our accuracy and precision for standardized measurements (i.e., error on reported δ values) to ≈1‰ for the 37 Cl/ 35 Cl measurement. Hence, the benefits of low σ AE may not be fully realized. Third, we demonstrate accuracy via sample/standard comparisons of a methionine sample with 13 C enrichment of ≈20‰ relative to a known standard. Using a sequence of seven 60-min analyses, we recover the following isotope ratios and standardized precisions (i.e., error on reported δ values, denoted propagated acquisition errors, σ PAE ): 33 S/ 32 S (σ PAE = 1.0‰), 34 S/ 32 S (σ PAE = 0.7‰), 15 N/ 14 N (σ PAE = 2.1‰), 2 H/ 1 H (σ PAE = 3.2‰), 13 C/ 12 C (σ PAE = 0.4‰), 18 O/ 16 O (σ PAE = 1.6‰), & 13 C 13 C/ 12 C (σ PAE = 2.8‰) with confirmation of accurate results for the known 13 C/ 12 C and 13 C 13 C/ 12 C enrichments. Together, our results demonstrate the viability of Orbitrap-IRMS for long duration measurements of diverse sample types via an automated reservoir injection system. Inter-measurement stability remains a challenge; we expect our methods to be most applicable to extended measurements of hard-to-observe properties, such as 17 O in organics and clumped isotopologues.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Organic contamination detection for isotopic analysis of water by laser spectroscopy
Hydrogen and oxygen stable isotope ratios (δ 2 H, δ 17 O, and δ 18 O values) are commonly used tracers of water. These ratios can be measured by isotope ratio infrared spectroscopy (IRIS). However, IRIS approaches are prone to errors induced by organic compounds present in plant, soil, and natural water samples. A novel approach using 17 O-excess values has shown promise for flagging spectrally contaminated plant samples during IRIS analysis. A systematic assessment of this flagging system is needed to prove it useful. Errors induced by methanol and ethanol water mixtures on measured IRIS and isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS) results were evaluated. For IRIS analyses both liquid- and vapour-mode (via direct vapour equilibration) methods are used. The δ 2 H, δ 17 O, and δ 18 O values were measured and compared with known reference values to determine the errors induced by methanol and ethanol contamination. In addition, the 17 O-excess contamination detection approach was tested. This is a post-processing detection tool for both liquid and vapour IRIS triple-isotope analyses, utilizing calculated 17 O-excess values to flag contaminated samples. Organic contamination induced significant errors in IRIS results, not seen in IRMS results. Methanol caused larger errors than ethanol. Results from vapour-IRIS analyses had larger errors than those from liquid-IRIS analyses. The 17 O-excess approach identified methanol driven error in liquid- and vapour-mode IRIS samples at levels where isotope results became unacceptably erroneous. For ethanol contaminated samples, a mix of erroneous and correct flagging occurred with the 17 O-excess method. Here our results indicate that methanol is the more problematic contaminant for data corruption. The 17 O-excess method was therefore useful for data quality control. Organic contamination caused significant errors in IRIS stable isotope results. These errors were larger during vapour analyses than during liquid IRIS analyses, and larger for methanol than ethanol contamination. The 17 O-excess method is highly sensitive for detecting narrowband (methanol) contamination error in vapour and liquid analysis modes in IRIS.
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
The C-12/C-13 Ratio as a Chemistry Indicator
Isotopic ratios of elements are considered powerful tools, e.g. in tracing the origin of solar system body materials, or the degree of nucleosynthesis processing throughout the Galaxy. In interstellar molecules, some isotopic ratios like H/D and C-12/C-13 can also be used as indicators of their chemical origin. Isotope fractionation in gas-phase chemical reactions and gas-dust interaction makes observations of the ratio between C-12 and C-13 isotopologues suitable to distinguish between different formation scenarios. We will present observations of the C-12/C-13 ratio in methanol and formaldehyde towards a sample of embedded, massive young stellar objects. In relation to this we also present results from theoretical modeling showing the usefulness of the C-12/C-13 ratio as a chemistry indicator.
Wirstroem, Eva↗
A new highly enriched 233 U reference material for improved simultaneous determination of uranium amount and isotope amount ratios in trace level samples
A highly-enriched 233 U reference material (>0.99987 n( 233 U)/n(U)) has been prepared and characterized for use as an isotope dilution mass spectrometry spike. An ion exchange separation was performed on 1 g of high purity 233 U to further reduce trace amounts of contaminant Pu in the material. The purified 233 U was then prepared as a master solution which was analyzed for molality of uranium by modified Davies and Gray titration. A portion of the master solution was quantitatively diluted and dispensed for reference material units. Selected units were analyzed for verification of uranium amount and to characterize uranium isotope amount ratios by multi-collector inductively couple plasma mass spectrometry. Furthermore, modelling of spike-corrected isotopic data show that the new spike will enable simultaneous measurements of uranium amount and isotope amount ratios with resulting uncertainties that are substantially less sensitive to over spiking than widely used 233 U certified reference materials.
233U↗
Real-Time Inventory Change Detection for the Protactinium Decay Inventory of the Molten Salt Breeder Reactor
This work presents a novel monitoring method for detecting material loss from the decay inventory of the molten salt breeder reactor (MSBR) by monitoring for changes to the system dynamics using an isotopic ratio. Here the isotopic masses in the decay inventory of a MSBR were simulated under several material loss scenarios. In each case, the ratio of 231 Pa to 233 Pa served as a sensitive and lasting indicator of material loss. This isotope ratio quickly decreased outside the normal range after a material loss, and the ratio remained depressed for several years after the loss. The dynamics of this ratio were driven by the periodic batch discard from the decay inventory every 220 days, which was specified in the MSBR design to periodically remove fission product buildup. For this method, isotopic ratios were found to be rapid and enduring indicators of inventory change if they comprise a pair with a short half-life (e.g., 233 Pa) and a long half-life (e.g., 231 Pa) relative to the effective half-life induced by the driving system process (e.g., the batch discard cycle). Using such an isotope pair enabled a method to monitor for changes to the effective half-life of the system and by extension changes to the system inputs and outputs.
22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
SIMS Data Correction Procedure for Quasi‐Simultaneous Arrival ( QSA ) Under‐counting and Ramifications of Misapplication
Isotope geochemistry requires isotope ratios measured using secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) to be made with optimal precision and accuracy. Under some analytical conditions when using electron multiplier detectors, secondary ions may be under‐counted because of quasi‐simultaneous arrival (QSA) at the first dynode. The relative magnitude of the associated QSA correction to raw measured isotopic ratios can be up to seventy permil or more. Therefore, not applying the correction, or misapplication of it could lead to significant inaccuracies in published isotope ratio data. Examples and ramifications of the latter are described in addition to a straightforward procedure for QSA under‐counting correction.
Geochemistry & Geophysics↗
Measurement of Plutonium Ratios for CRM 137A Recertification
This report documents the analytical methodologies used by the Chemical and Isotopics Mass Spectrometry (CIMS) Group at the US Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) for plutonium isotopic ratio characterizations on purified ~1 mg units prepared by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) from a mother solution created from an existing 250 mg unit of certified reference material (CRM) 137. The analytical processes described are designed to maintain traceability of the final certified attributes and to eliminate sources of systematic bias for the measurements described. The measurands for certification are the plutonium isotope ratios: 238 Pu/ 239 Pu, 240 Pu/ 239 Pu, 241 Pu/ 239 Pu, and 242 Pu/ 239 Pu. The preparation and analytical process included the following activities: Preparation of reference materials to be used as calibrants to establish traceability to the SI unit of mass for the isotopic analyses and quality controls. For the plutonium isotopic analyses, CRM 128 (a CRM comprising equal atoms of 239 Pu and 242 Pu) was used as the primary calibrant; Each CRM 137A unit was reconstituted using dilute high-purity HNO3. From each, seven replicates were distributed for the isotopic characterizations by thermal ionization mass spectrometry (TIMS) using the total evaporation (TE) method for isotope ratio measurements and MC-ICP-MS using a dynamic peak hooping method for secondary isotope ratio measurements; Due to time delay in the analyses from the last purification of the original CRM 137 mother solution by LLNL, an aliquot of the three provided plutonium units was purified using Eichrom TEVA separation methods to remove americium in-growth and uranium impurities; Minimally corrected data were reported from each analysis using reporting templates provided by the New Brunswick Laboratory Program Office (NBL PO) for the specific methods used for isotopic measurements. In addition, a copy of the instrument exports, Excel templates for isotopic data corrections, and the uncertainty budgets completed with the GUM Workbench software package were submitted to NBL PO.
07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
Direct isotopic analysis of solid uranium particulates on cotton swipes by microextraction-ICP-MS
Direct isotope ratio analysis of solid uranium particulates on cotton swipes was achieved using a solution-based microextraction technique, coupled to a quadrupole inductively coupled plasma - mass spectrometer (ICP-MS). This microextraction-ICP-MS methodology provides rapid isotopic analysis which could be applicable to nuclear safeguards measurements. Particulates of uranyl nitrate hexahydrate (UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ·6H 2 O) and uranyl fluoride (UO 2 F 2 ) ranging from 6 μm to 40 μm in length were transferred to cotton swipes with a particle manipulator. The microextraction probe then delivers a 5% nitric acid (HNO3) solvent onto the swipe surface to extract the uranium species. The extracted sample is then delivered to the ICP-MS for isotopic determination. The majority of uranium signal (~99% and ~94% for UO2(NO3)2·6H2O and UO 2 F 2 , respectively) was detected in the first 15 s extraction, while subsequent extractions on the same location had low or no U signal, suggesting near complete removal of the solid uranium compounds from the swipe surface. Ten samples (for each of the uranium compounds), were analyzed for their isotopic composition. For UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ·6H 2 O, the determined isotope ratios resulted in a % relative difference (% RD) from the referenced isotope ratios of 0.97, 1.0, and 7.3% for 234 U/ 238 U, 235 U/ 238 U, and 236 U/ 238 U, respectively. The % RD of the UO 2 F 2 isotope ratios were 1.9 and 0.60% for 234 U/ 238 U and 235 U/ 238 U, respectively. The preliminary limits of detection were determined to be 0.002, 0.4, and 60 pg for 234 U, 235 U and 238 U, respectively This work demonstrates that microextraction ICP-MS is a rapid and sensitive method that could directly determine uranium isotope ratios of UO 2 (NO 3 ) 2 ·6H 2 O and UO 2 F 2 particulates on cotton swipes.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Impact of Thermonuclear Reaction Rate Uncertainties on the Identification of Presolar Grains from Classical Novae
Approximately 30%–40% of classical novae generate dust between 20 and 100 days following the eruption. However, there has yet to be a definitive identification of presolar stardust grains originating from classical novae. While multiple studies have suggested a nova origin for specific grains, aligning simultaneously all measured isotopic ratios of a specific grain with those predicted from simulations remains challenging. Using Monte Carlo simulations, this work investigates how uncertainties in thermonuclear reaction rates influence the isotopic ratios predicted in simulations of classical novae, specifically impacting the identification of presolar grains. In particular, we address two questions: (i) What is the impact of uncertainties in reaction rates on the range of isotopic ratios predicted by classical nova simulations? (ii) Which reaction rate uncertainties most significantly influence the predicted abundance ratios in presolar grains? Our results show that current reaction rate uncertainties affect the isotopic ratios of 12 C/ 13 C, 14 N/ 15 N, 16 O/ 17 O, 16 O/ 18 O, 24 Mg/ 25 Mg, 24 Mg/ 26 Mg, 26 Al/ 27 Al, and 28 Si/ 29 Si by less than 20% in either carbon–oxygen or oxygen–neon (ONe) novae, especially when considering the mixing of matter throughout the entire envelope. However, the isotopic ratios of 28 Si/ 30 Si, 32 S/ 33 S, and 32 S/ 34 S in ONe novae are exceptions: their variability greatly exceeds a factor of 2 due to the uncertainties in the reaction rates of 30 P(p,γ) 31 S, 33 S(p,γ) 34 Cl, and 34 S(p,γ) 35 Cl, respectively. These results highlight the significant influence of specific reaction rates on the predicted abundance ratios and underscore the necessity for accurate nuclear measurements to reduce these uncertainties.
Classical novae↗