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At least 145 records · Page 8

The avoidance of unwanted catch and cooperation: the case of the British Columbia groundfish trawl fishery

Abstract This paper focuses on a particularly successful avoidance of unwanted catch of protected, endangered, and threatened (PET) species in the form of ecologically important sponge and coral, to be found off Canada's Pacific coast. The fishery causing the unwanted catch—the British Columbia groundfish trawl fishery. A campaign to protect the sponge/coral led by environmental NGOs (ENGOs) resulted in the industry's access to the key California market being threatened. For reasons explained, the national resource manager's ability to take effective direct action had become severely compromised. The groundfish trawl fishing industry responded to the economic threat with a bottom up approach to the unwanted catch problem, by negotiating a habitat agreement with a consortium of ENGOs, with the blessing and full support of the national resource manager. The agreement, now in its tenth year of operation, has proved to be a remarkable success in avoidance of unwanted catch. The paper argues that the success rests fundamentally upon the fact that the fishers have been and are playing a stand alone stable cooperative game, which has led them in turn to play stable cooperative games with both the national resource manager and the ENGO consortium. The paper analyses the factors leading to the stand alone stable cooperative fisher game, doing so by necessity through the lens of game theory.

Grønbæk, L.↗

Bacterial and fungal composition and exometabolites control the development and persistence of soil water repellency

Soil water repellency (SWR), the reduced affinity of soil for water, is a phenomenon that affects soils globally. With worsening climate change, SWR is expected to increase emphasizing the need to understand the mechanisms driving SWR development and persistence. The importance of the soil microbes in SWR has been postulated for decades, but limited research has been conducted into whole-community interactions and the role of community metabolic activity. To address this gap in knowledge, we investigated the direct effect of microbial community composition, activity, and diversity, as well as their associated metabolites on the development and persistence of SWR by inoculating microcosms containing model soils with 15 different microbial communities and quantified respiration and SWR over time. Six communities that consistently produced either a hydrophobic or hydrophilic phenotype were characterized using metagenomics and metabolomics to determine the impact of microbial and metabolite composition and diversity on SWR. We identified several bacterial genera with significant changes in abundance between SWR phenotypes including Nocardiopsis and Kocuria in hydrophilic and Streptomyces and Cutibacterium in hydrophobic. We discovered that hydrophilic communities were more positively connected when compared to hydrophobic communities, which could be due to an increase in defense mechanism genes. Additionally, we identified specific metabolites associated with hydrophilic and hydrophobic phenotypes including an increase in the osmolyte ectoine in hydrophilic and an increase in plant-derived decomposition products in hydrophobic communities. Finally, our research suggests that fungi, previously thought to cause hydrophobicity, may actually contribute to hydrophilicity through their preferential consumption of hydrophobic compounds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Testing unified theories for ozone response in C 4 species

Abstract There is tremendous interspecific variability in O 3 sensitivity among C 3 species, but variation among C 4 species has been less clearly documented. It is also unclear whether stomatal conductance and leaf structure such as leaf mass per area (LMA) determine the variation in sensitivity to O 3 across species. In this study, we investigated leaf morphological, chemical, and photosynthetic responses of 22 genotypes of four C 4 bioenergy species (switchgrass, sorghum, maize, and miscanthus) to elevated O 3 in side‐by‐side field experiments using free‐air O 3 concentration enrichment (FACE). The C 4 species varied largely in leaf morphology, physiology, and nutrient composition. Elevated O 3 did not alter leaf morphology, nutrient content, stomatal conductance, chlorophyll fluorescence, and respiration in most genotypes but reduced net CO 2 assimilation in maize and photosynthetic capacity in sorghum and maize. Species with lower LMA and higher stomatal conductance tended to show greater losses in photosynthetic rate and capacity in elevated O 3 compared with species with higher LMA and lower stomatal conductance. Stomatal conductance was the strongest determinant of leaf photosynthetic rate and capacity. The response of both area‐ and mass‐based leaf photosynthetic rate and capacity to elevated O 3 were not affected by LMA directly but negatively influenced by LMA indirectly through stomatal conductance. These results demonstrate that there is significant variation in O 3 sensitivity among C 4 species with maize and sorghum showing greater sensitivity of photosynthesis to O 3 than switchgrass and miscanthus. Interspecific variation in O 3 sensitivity was determined by direct effects of stomatal conductance and indirect effects of LMA. This is the first study to provide a test of unifying theories explaining variation in O 3 sensitivity in C 4 bioenergy grasses. These findings advance understanding of O 3 tolerance in C 4 grasses and could aid in optimal placement of diverse C 4 bioenergy feedstock across a polluted landscape.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Carbon-Based Multi-Phase Rotating Detonation Engine

Abstract This article focuses on extending an H2/air rotating detonation engine's detonability limits by introducing solid carbon particles into the combustor. Carbon black particles consisting of 1% volatility and a carbon concentration of 99% were used as a solid-phase mixing agent for enhanced reaction wave dynamics. Carbon black was found to sustain detonations over multiple operational regimes formerly unattainable without carbon particles. The experiments confirm that detonations were attainable over a wide range of operational parameters, including the total mass flux flowing through the annulus (≅120–270 kg/s m2), the hydrogen/air equivalence ratios (0.65–1.0), and carbon additions (0–20 g). Chemiluminescence imaging was used to visualize the detonation wave within the annulus, quantify detonation wave velocities, and define a detonability map. The detonability map demonstrates the advantage of carbon addition, shows that detonation-based combustion can be sustained at leaner equivalence ratios, reduces hydrogen consumption dependency. The detonation wave velocities decreased as the H2/air equivalence ratio was reduced, where, in general, the detonation wave velocities decreased with respect to the Chapman–Jouguet velocity, suggesting a decrease in the detonation waves efficiency with reduced H2 concentrations. However, an extraordinary phenomenon was witnessed at very lean H2/air equivalence ratios and low mass flux conditions, where the detonation wave velocity increased upward of 100 m/s. This variation is a direct effect of the carbon particles, which drive the detonation wave. Thus, the results demonstrate that carbon particles’ addition provides an economically feasible solution to sustain high-efficiency energy production.

Energy & Fuels↗

Q-IRIS: The Evolution of the IRIS Task-Based Runtime to Enable Classical-Quantum Workflows

Extreme heterogeneity in emerging HPC systems are starting to include quantum accelerators, motivating runtimes that can coordinate between classical and quantum workloads. We present a proof-of-concept hybrid execution framework integrating the IRIS asynchronous task-based runtime with the XACC quantum programming framework via the Quantum Intermediate Representation Execution Engine (QIR-EE). IRIS orchestrates multiple programs written in the quantum intermediate representation (QIR) across heterogeneous backends (including multiple quantum simulators), enabling concurrent execution of classical and quantum tasks. Although not a performance study, we report measurable outcomes through the successful asynchronous scheduling and execution of multiple quantum workloads. To illustrate practical runtime implications, we decompose a four-qubit circuit into smaller subcircuits through a process known as quantum circuit cutting, reducing per-task quantum simulation load and demonstrating how task granularity can improve simulator throughput and reduce queueing behavior -- effects directly relevant to early quantum hardware environments. We conclude by outlining key challenges for scaling hybrid runtimes, including coordinated scheduling, classical-quantum interaction management, and support for diverse backend resources in heterogeneous systems.

Miniskar, Narasinga Rao [ORNL] (ORCID:000000018259↗

Process Control and Energy Efficiency

We review the impact of control systems and strategies on the energy efficiency of chemical processes. We show that, in many ways, good control performance is a necessary but not sufficient condition for energy efficiency. The direct effect of process control on energy efficiency is manyfold: Reducing output variability allows for operating chemical plants closer to their limits, where the energy/economic optima typically lie. Further, good control enables novel, transient operating strategies, such as conversion smoothing and demand response. Indirectly, control systems are key to the implementation and operation of more energy-efficient plant designs, as dictated by the process integration and intensification paradigms. Our conclusions are supported with references to numerous examples from the literature.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Sources of stochasticity in the growth of cloud droplets: supersaturation fluctuations versus turbulent transport

The role played by fluctuations of supersaturation in the growth of cloud droplets is examined in this study. The stochastic condensation framework and the three regimes of activation of cloud droplets – namely, mean-dominant, fluctuation-influenced, and fluctuation-dominant, are used for analyzing the data from high-resolution large-eddy simulations of the Pi convection-cloud chamber. Based on a detailed budget analysis the significance of all the terms in the evolution of the droplet size distribution equation is evaluated in all three regimes. The analysis indicates that the mean-growth rate is a dominant process in shaping the droplet size distribution in all three regimes. Turbulence introduces two sources of stochasticity, turbulent transport and particle lifetime, and supersaturation fluctuations. The transport of cloud droplets plays an important role in all three regimes, whereas the direct effect of supersaturation fluctuations is primarily related to the activation and growth of the small droplets in the fluctuation-influenced and fluctuation-dominant regimes. Here, we compare our results against the previous studies (experimental and theory) of the Pi chamber, and discuss the limitations of the existing models based on the stochastic condensation framework. Furthermore, we extend the discussion of our results to atmospheric clouds, and in particular focus on recent adiabatic turbulent cloud parcel simulations based on the stochastic condensation framework, and emphasize the importance of entrainment/mixing and turbulent transport in shaping the droplet size distribution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Constitutive Structural Parameter for the Work Hardening Behavior of Additively Manufactured Ti-6Al-4V

The mechanical behavior of Ti-6Al-4V produced by additive manufacturing processes is assessed based on a formulation developed from the Kocks-Mecking relationship. A constitutive parameter derived for the microstructure is characteristic of the work hardening behavior determined by the plastic strain between the proportional limit and the strength at the instability point. The varied plasticity behavior associated with surface and build direction effects can be evaluated with this approach as presented for the case of Ti-6Al-4V under uniaxial tension.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High Frequency Transverse Instabilities in Low NOx Gas Turbines

This program addresses the topic of combustion instabilities under the goal of developing “Low-NOx Combustion Technology for ‘Air-Breathing’ Advanced Turbines”. With recent advances in high-temperature withstanding materials, the push towards higher efficiency has resulted in efforts to design high temperature, low NOx gas turbines. The development of such low NOx systems is often plagued with combustion instabilities. These instabilities manifest with acoustic modes that are longitudinal, transverse or both. A large body of literature and work exists addressing the underlying mechanisms and models for longitudinal instabilities and these have been successfully implemented in the design tools for low NOx gas turbines. The flame response aspect of the thermoacoustic feedback loop was often modeled in an acoustically compact framework since for low frequencies, the flame length scale was small compared to the acoustic wavelength. This enabled simplification where the modeling focused only on the overall flame response and not the local spatial distribution of the flame response. In addition, additional mechanisms such as the direct effect of pressure fluctuations on the flame response could be neglected. In contrast, high frequency instabilities which often are transverse in nature, have received relatively less attention in the literature. The flame is no longer acoustically compact and thus the local distribution of heat release must be accurately understood. The flame responds to velocity fluctuations, equivalence ratio fluctuations as before, but also to pressure fluctuations through kinetic effects. These aspects of high-frequency instabilities make it a challenging problem that requires a detailed elucidation of the underlying mechanisms and creating models for them. In this program we significantly improved the understanding of these instabilities through a combination of experiments (informed by interactions with OEMs), modeling of measured data and reduced order modeling of flame response. The results from the program can be used as basis for robust design tools that are essential for successfully developing gas turbines that operate in an environmentally acceptable manner with mitigation strategies for high-frequency instabilities.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Understanding the Vertical Transport and Removal of Aerosols during Deep Convective Events

Atmospheric aerosols affect the global energy budget by scattering and absorbing sunlight (direct effects) and by changing the microphysical structure, lifetime, and coverage of clouds (indirect effects). Globally, the free troposphere is a major source of nucleation- and Aitken-mode aerosols due to the enhanced new particle formation rates at high altitudes. Recent studies have shown deep convective systems are capable of transporting these small aerosols from the free troposphere to the boundary layer by strong convective downdrafts and weaker downward motions in the stratiform regions. These vertically transported aerosols can grow into cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and play a significant role in the global climate. During the deep convective processes, existing accumulation-mode aerosols that act as coagulation sinks of smaller particles are also removed by wet scavenging. Compared to the vertical transport of these particles by entrainment mixing, which is slower but more prevalent, the deep convective downdraft processes may be more rapid and efficient in the vertical transport of aerosols. However, most of the current climate models do not include this mechanism as a source of CCN, mainly because the frequency of deep convective events varies significantly with geographic location and thus their contributions to CCN are unpredictable.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Simulation of Physics-Based 0-10Hz Strong Motion Using High Performance Computing Supporting Refinements to Regional Ground Motion Models for the Central Eastern US

In collaboration with the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) the LLNL has developed a computationally efficient simulation platform designed to perform physics-based ground motion simulations for crustal earthquakes in the Stable Continental Regions of Central and Eastern US (CEUS), using high-performance computing. The main objective of the earthquake simulations was to use synthetic ground motion to provide constrains to refinements of existing ergodic Ground Motion Models (GMMs), for large magnitude earthquakes and near-fault distances, for which these models are less reliable. Physics-based broadband (0-10Hz) ground motion simulations were used to estimate the near-fault ground motion amplitudes and within event and between-event variabilities associated with fault rupture characteristics. In our simulations we used a 3D regional velocity model that was based on Saikia’s 1D velocity model (1994). In simulations performed during the first stage of this project the Saikia’s velocity model demonstrated better performance in modelling high frequency regional wave propagation for the CEUS region recorded during the Mw5.0 November 7, 2016, Cushing Oklahoma (Taylor et al., 2017), and Mw5.8 September 3, 2016, Pawnee Oklahoma earthquakes. The proposed regional 3D model includes random perturbations to the 1D background model using the stochastic scheme of Pitarka and Mellors (2021). In addition, validation analysis of the rupture generator and regional wave propagation models, using comparisons with different GMMs for Mw6.5 and Mw7.0 scenario earthquakes in the CEUS region resulted in a very good match between the simulated and empirical ground motion models. For the purposes of seismic hazard assessment at the existing and planned nuclear power plants, NRC is interested in studies aimed at improving the current ground motion models (GMM) for both Stable Continental Regions (SCR) in the Central and Eastern US and Active Crustal Regions (ACR) in the Western US. Due to lack of recorded data, these improvements require synthetic data for short fault distances and large magnitude earthquakes for which the existing recorded data is not enough to uniquely constrain the GMMs. The need for simulations and strong motion data is especially critical for the CEUS region where we do not have recorded data from potentially large damaging earthquakes with moment magnitudes 6.0 and higher. In this the project, we focused on 10Hz simulations of Mw7.0 scenario earthquakes with strike slip and thrust faulting mechanisms. We used more than 50 Mw7.0 earthquake rupture scenarios to investigate the ground motion uncertainty due to unknown earthquake rupture parameters, in particular, the slip distribution, rupture velocity, and faulting mechanism, and their implication on ground motion amplification due to forward rupture directivity effects.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Examining Aerosol Vertical Transport and Removal during Deep Convective Events

Atmospheric aerosols affect the global energy budget by scattering and absorbing sunlight (direct effects) and by changing the microphysical structure, lifetime, and coverage of clouds (indirect effects). Globally, the free troposphere is a major source of nucleation- and Aitken-mode aerosols due to the enhanced new particle formation rates at high altitudes. Recent studies have shown deep convective systems are capable of transporting these small aerosols from the free troposphere to the boundary layer by strong convective downdrafts and weaker downward motions in the stratiform regions. These vertically transported aerosols can grow into cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and play a significant role in the global climate. During the deep convective processes, existing accumulation-mode aerosols that act as coagulation sinks of smaller particles are also removed by wet scavenging. Compared to the vertical transport of these particles by entrainment mixing, which is slower but more prevalent, the deep convective downdraft processes may be more rapid and efficient in the vertical transport of aerosols. However, most of the current climate models do not include this mechanism as a source of CCN, mainly because the frequency of deep convective events varies significantly with geographic location and thus their contributions to CCN are unpredictable. We target this critical gap in understanding the vertical transport and removal of aerosols by deep convections. We proposed to analyze a multi-year, multi-site measurement record available from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) ARM program, including the observations from the 2014/15 Observations and Modeling of the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon) field campaign, the 2017/18 Aerosol and Cloud Experiments in the Eastern North Atlantic (ACE-ENA) field campaign, the 2018/19 Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign, the 2021/22 Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment (TRACER) field campaign, and the long-term measurements collected at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) atmospheric observatory, where deep convective clouds were frequently observed. This project is aimed at the following three objectives: (1) Gaining a detailed and quantitative understanding of the aerosols transported by a convective downdraft and their evolution in the atmosphere; (2) Examining the wet scavenging mechanisms and efficiencies of aerosols at altitudes of deep convective systems based on ground and aircraft measurements; (3) Evaluating the contribution of deep convective systems to CCN as both a source and a sink of atmospheric aerosols and its seasonal variabilities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Laser Powder Directed Energy Deposition of Steels for Nuclear Applications

This comprehensive investigation examines the structure–property relationships in two nuclear alloy systems—Alloy 709 (A709) austenitic stainless steel and Grade 92 (G-92) ferritic/martensitic (F/M) steel—manufactured via directed energy deposition (DED) for sodium-cooled fast reactor applications. This study establishes the fundamental mechanisms for controlling microstructures for optimizing the mechanical performance of additively manufactured nuclear materials through systematic heat treatment optimization and multiscale characterization. As-deposited A709 steel develops a complex multiscale strengthening architecture consisting of a fine cellular solidification structure with diameter of 2-3 µm within10–50 µm grains, elevated dislocation densities from rapid thermal cycling, and grain boundary precipitates that activate concurrent Hall–Petch, dislocation, and precipitation hardening mechanisms to achieve exceptional properties [yield strength (YS): 603 MPa, ultimate tensile strength (UTS): 844 MPa, Vickers hardness: 220 HV] that achieve a 44% superior strength compared to that of the wrought material. Heat treatments produce different results. Solution annealing (SA) dissolves the cellular structure and reduces the hardness to 190 HV. Precipitation treatment (PT) keeps the cellular structure but adds carbides, allowing the hardness to reach 205 HV. The best approach combines both treatments (SA+PT) and creates uniform precipitate distributions with M 23 C 6 carbides at the grain boundaries and MX carbonitrides in the matrix, achieving a hardness of 195 HV. However, directional differences persist, with a 12%–15% strength variation between orientations due to the inherited layered microstructural architecture that survives aggressive heat treatment. While tensile testing at 550°C demonstrates 40%–50% thermal softening with dynamic strain aging, DED A709 steel still maintains a 71% higher YS than that of the wrought material. Ion irradiation studies (100–400 dpa) of DED A709 steel reveal progressive radiation damage with increasing void density and radiation-induced segregation causing nickel enrichment and chromium depletion, which will ultimately compromise mechanical properties. As-deposited G-92 exhibits exceptional strength (UTS: 1650–1700 MPa, 430 HV) through a complex microstructure containing both ferrite and martensite phases, a high geometrically necessary dislocation (GND) density (17.04×10 14 /m 2 ), and fine carbides. Heat treatments create distinct changes. Normalizing produces fresh martensite with the highest hardness (460 HV) and an increased GND density (20.23×10 14 /m 2 ). Tempering develops dual precipitation systems and reduces the hardness to 290 HV. The optimal approach uses sequential normalizing plus tempering, achieving balanced properties with the lowest hardness (250 HV) and a reduced GND density (11.01×10 14 /m 2 ). A processing-dependent anisotropy is observed: horizontal specimens achieve superior ductile behavior, while vertical specimens exhibit brittle failure. A tempering heat treatment successfully mitigates this anisotropic behavior by transforming the hard martensitic as-deposited structure into tempered martensite enabling both horizontal and vertical specimens to exhibit similar stress–strain characteristics with visible necking behavior. Remarkably, testing at 550°C reveals a reversal in the anisotropy, where as-deposited specimens achieve near isotropy with superior thermal stability (a 15%–20% strength reduction), while tempered specimens develop an orientation dependence with a 25%–30% strength reduction. Both alloy systems demonstrate that DED processing creates specimens with a superior strength through refined microstructural features, though with distinct strengthening mechanisms—austenitic through cellular structures and precipitates versus F/M through phase transformations and precipitates. Heat treatment optimization requires alloy-specific approaches, with A709 benefiting from controlled precipitation while G-92 requires careful phase transformation control. The results show that DED manufacturing can produce nuclear materials with exceptional performance, but directional effects and temperature-dependent behavior must be carefully considered for reactor component design and qualification.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

IL-17A Increases Doxorubicin Efficacy in Triple Negative Breast Cancer

Due to lack of targetable receptors and intertumoral heterogeneity, triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) remains particularly difficult to treat. Doxorubicin (DOX) is typically used as nonselective neoadjuvant chemotherapy, but the diversity of treatment efficacy remains unclear. Comparable to variability in clinical response, an experimental model of TNBC using a 4T1 syngeneic mouse model was found to elicit a differential response to a seven-day treatment regimen of DOX. Single-cell RNA sequencing identified an increase in T cells in tumors that responded to DOX treatment compared to tumors that continued to grow uninhibited. Additionally, compared to resistant tumors, DOX sensitive tumors contained significantly more CD4 T helper cells (339%), γδ T cells (727%), Naïve T cells (278%), and activated CD8 T cells (130%). Furthermore, transcriptional profiles of tumor infiltrated T cells in DOX responsive tumors revealed decreased exhaustion, increased chemokine/cytokine expression, and increased activation and cytotoxic activity. γδ T cell derived IL-17A was identified to be highly abundant in the sensitive tumor microenvironment. IL-17A was also found to directly increase sensitivity of TNBC cells in combination with DOX treatment. In TNBC tumors sensitive to DOX, increased IL-17A levels lead to a direct effect on cancer cell responsiveness and chronic stimulation of tumor infiltrated T cells leading to improved chemotherapeutic efficacy. IL-17A’s role as a chemosensitive cytokine in TNBC may offer new opportunities for treating chemoresistant breast tumors and other cancer types.

4T1↗

The Influence of Carbon Fiber Composite Specimen Design Parameters on Artificial Lightning Strike Current Dissipation and Material Thermal Damage

Previous artificial lightning strike direct effect research has examined a broad range of specimen design parameters. No works have studied how such specimen design parameters and electrical boundary conditions impact the dissipation of electric current flow through individual plies. This article assesses the influence of carbon fiber composite specimen design parameters (design parameters = specimen size, shape, and stacking sequence) and electrical boundary conditions on the dissipation of current and the spread of damage resulting from Joule heating. Thermal-electric finite element (FE) modelling is used and laboratory scale (<1 m long) and aircraft scale (>1 m long) models are generated in which laminated ply current dissipation is predicted, considering a fixed artificial lightning current waveform. The simulation results establish a positive correlation between the current exiting the specimen from a given ply and the amount of thermal damage in that ply. The results also establish that the distance to ground, from the strike location to the zero potential boundary conditions (ground), is the controlling factor which dictates the electric current dissipation in each ply. Significantly, this distance to ground is dependent on each of the specimen shape, dimensions, stacking sequence, and location of ground boundary conditions. Therefore, it is not possible to decouple current dissipation and damage from specimen design and boundary condition setup. However, it is possible to define a specimen size for a given specimen shape, stacking sequence, and waveform which limit the influence of specimen dimensions on the resulting current distribution and damage. For a rectangular specimen design which appears in literature multiple times, as 100 × 150 mm and with a stacking sequence of [45/0/-45/90] 4s , a specimen design of greater than 300 × 200 mm is required to limit the influence of specimen dimensions on current distribution and damage.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Cutting out the middleman: calibrating and validating a dynamic vegetation model (ED2-PROSPECT5) using remotely sensed surface reflectance

Canopy radiative transfer is the primary mechanism by which models relate vegetation composition and state to the surface energy balance, which is important to light- and temperature-sensitive plant processes as well as understanding land–atmosphere feedbacks. In addition, certain parameters (e.g., specific leaf area, SLA) that have an outsized influence on vegetation model behavior can be constrained by observations of shortwave reflectance, thus reducing model predictive uncertainty. Importantly, calibrating against radiative transfer outputs allows models to directly use remote sensing reflectance products without relying on highly derived products (such as MODIS leaf area index) whose assumptions may be incompatible with the target vegetation model and whose uncertainties are usually not well quantified. Here, we created the EDR model by coupling the two-stream representation of canopy radiative transfer in the Ecosystem Demography model version 2 (ED2) with a leaf radiative transfer model (PROSPECT-5) and a simple soil reflectance model to predict full-range, high-spectral-resolution surface reflectance that is dependent on the underlying ED2 model state. We then calibrated this model against estimates of hemispherical reflectance (corrected for directional effects) from the NASA Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) and survey data from 54 temperate forest plots in the northeastern United States. The calibration significantly reduced uncertainty in model parameters related to leaf biochemistry and morphology and canopy structure for five plant functional types.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The impact of entrained air on ocean waves

We make a physical–mathematical analysis of the implications that the presence of a large number of tiny bubbles may have, when present, on the thin upper layer of the sea. In our oceanographic example, the bubbles are due to intense rain. It was found that the bubbles increase momentum dissipation in the near surface and affect the surface tension force. For short waves, the implications of increased vorticity are momentum exchanges between wave and mean flow and modifications to the wave dispersion relation. For the direct effect we have analyzed, the implications are estimated to be non-significant when compared to other processes of the ocean. However, we hint at the possibility that our analysis may be useful in other areas of research or practical application.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Retiring environmental risks of marine renewable energy devices: The “habitat change” case

The installation, presence, operation, and decommissioning of marine renewable energy (MRE) devices inevitably alters the surrounding ocean habitats. These changes may include direct effects on the benthos from the installation or removal of foundations and anchors, changes in community composition on and near devices, artificial reef effects, and indirect effects such as alteration of the food web or facilitation of non-native, invasive species dispersal. Although there is no expectation that MRE devices affect marine environments differently than other anthropogenic ocean uses, regulators and stakeholders continue to have questions about potential negative impacts to species and habitats from development. Research studies and survey reports that inform our understanding of habitat changes related to MRE devices and associated equipment were compiled into an evidence base, sorted into categories of effects, and evaluated by a group of international experts to assess potential risk to habitats and biota from small numbers of MRE devices, as well as to identify knowledge gaps. These gaps were organized by category and divided up by relevance to consenting, research, or project development and monitoring responsibilities. Identifying these “known unknowns” allows for study design and collaboration from various perspectives to fill the knowledge gaps. Distribution of the evidence base and remaining uncertainties and knowledge gaps to the MRE community, coupled with new research, will help advance the MRE industry while resolving concerns about the potential risks of habitat change for small numbers of devices.

Hemery, Lenaig G.↗