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At least 145 records · Page 8

Model-Based Energy and Cost Analysis of Direct Air Capture Using ePTFE-Based Laminate-Structured Gas–Solid Contactors

Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies will play a significant role in limiting global warming if implemented on a large scale. Direct air capture (DAC) is a scalable approach for removing atmospheric carbon, yet the true scope of its scalability remains unclear due to the early stage of technology development and high first plant costs. This study provides groundwork for understanding the technoeconomic trade-offs in developing DAC systems using laminate-structured gas–solid contactors, encompassing the analysis of both contactor and process design spaces. The robust mass transfer and process models outlined in this study provide tools for evaluating DAC processes and designing DAC plants based on cost and energy analysis. First, the key contactor geometrical parameters are identified to understand the CO 2 productivity–energy demand trade-offs, where geometries yielding higher mass transfer rates can achieve higher CO 2 productivities at the expense of energy consumption by fans and steam use. Next, a detailed process parametric study is conducted for DAC systems coupled with steam-assisted temperature-vacuum swing adsorption (S-TVSA) to visualize the trade-offs in the multidimensional design space. The main cost driver dramatically changes over different process conditions, but the operating cost prevailed on the Pareto front, with potential to operate as low as 150 $/tonne-CO 2 (within the cost range of 148–504 $/tonne-CO 2 in this study where the DAC system is coupled with industrial facilities for steam production).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Uranium from Seawater Cost Analysis: Recent Updates

Uranium from seawater can act as an economic backstop by putting an effective ceiling on the cost of recovering uranium. Although it is not meant to be a direct competitor with conventionally mined uranium there is significant effort, by a consortium of five national labs and ten universities, to improve the recovery process. Accurately predicting the cost associated with this method of uranium production is an important factor in determining a cost ceiling for uranium fuels and assuring supply security for uranium based nuclear fuel cycles. Given the evolving nature of this technology, this paper aims to provide an update of the economic model to reflect recent progress. The recovery system analyzed here is a passive collection process under persistent development by Oak Ridge and Pacific Northwest National Labs (ORNL and PNNL). The process relies on an amidoxime based uranium adsorbents constructed by co-grafting an amidoxime precursor and a hydrophilic comonomer onto a high density polyethylene (HDPE) backbone. After further chemical processing the adsorbent fibers are braided into 60 meter segments. The braids are then sent out to sea where they are moored to the bottom of the ocean. Upon realization of their soaking campaign the braids are winched up so the uranium may be eluted off the adsorbent. The acidic chemicals used in the elution process require an alkaline regeneration procedure to be applied to the adsorbent before it can be redeployed for another campaign. The deployment and elution process is repeated as many times as economically feasible, as dictated by the severity of degradation suffered by the braid due to the elution process and exposure to seawater. A large number of design and deployment parameters influence the final uranium production cost. Some are strongly affected by the chemical technologies, such as uranium uptake and degradation rate, while others are operational parameters, such as number of adsorbent uses and length of soaking campaign. Still others are both intrinsic and affected by operational choices, such as the ocean temperature and degree of oceanic biofouling. Recent experiments have been focused on improved characterization of the effect of: oceanic temperature, a novel elution method, adsorbent degradation rates, and oceanic biofouling, and they will therefore be the focus of this paper. The degradation results presented here are likely to represent a worst case scenario. Since chemically similar adsorbents were able to achieve a much lower degradation rate with the previous acidic elution process it is very possible that modifications can be made to the new adsorbents to ameliorate the degradation suffered, especially with the new bicarbonate elution process, which is believed to be less harsh. Similarly, the 30% loss in uptake suffered as a result of biofouling is likely an upper-bound. The experiments were conducted in full light and at 20 deg. C. In reality however the braids will be submersed approximately 100 meters beneath the surface, potentially subject to a temperature gradient that may influence biofouling patterns. Also the light reaching the adsorbent surface may not be as intense as in laboratory conditions due to seawater turbidity and shadows cast by nearby braids. In light of these factors, it is appropriate to present a range of costs, reflecting the best and worst case scenarios of all of the parameters considered here. Table II shows the updated parameter ranges and uranium production costs. Ongoing work, particularly into the mitigation of biofouling and degradation, is expected to tighten this cost range and reduce the predicted cost. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NECAP: NASA's Energy-Cost Analysis Program. Part 1: User's manual

The NECAP is a sophisticated building design and energy analysis tool which has embodied within it all of the latest ASHRAE state-of-the-art techniques for performing thermal load calculation and energy usage predictions. It is a set of six individual computer programs which include: response factor program, data verification program, thermal load analysis program, variable temperature program, system and equipment simulation program, and owning and operating cost program. Each segment of NECAP is described, and instructions are set forth for preparing the required input data and for interpreting the resulting reports.

Henninger, R. H.↗

A Higher Fidelity Cost Analysis of Wind and Uranium from Seawater Acquisition symbiotic Infrastructure

The vastness of the worlds oceans makes the low concentration of naturally existing uranium, 3.3 ppb, appealing as a recoverable natural resource. Although ample uranium is available currently through conventional means, uranium from seawater is a widely studied topic due to the long term security it can assure the nuclear fuel cycle. It is important to mention that seawater uranium is not meant to act as a direct competitor to terrestrial uranium, but instead create a cost ceiling that provides economic stability and potential savings. Additionally, seawater uranium could circumvent some of the environmental impacts associated with recovery of any land based resource. The system currently studied by a nation-wide consortium of national lab and university partners involves the passive recovery of uranium using polymer based adsorbents. High Density Polyethylene fibers undergo a radiation induced graft co-polymerization process involving amidoxime, to attract uranium, and a polar co-monomer to increase hydrophilicity. After further chemical conditioning adsorbent fibers are braided into 60 meter strands for marine deployment. Braids are moored to the ocean floor for the duration of their soaking campaign. After sufficient seawater exposure they are winched up so the adsorbed uranium may be eluted off the braids. This deployment and elution process is repeated multiple times before the adsorbent's ultimate disposal, where its lifetime is dictated by the degradation it suffers with each re-cycle. Previous economic analyses have identified the adsorbent production and mooring as the most expensive components of the recovery process. Therefore, a later publication by Picard et al. proposed an alternative deployment method in an effort to reduce seawater uranium production cost. The Wind and Uranium from Seawater Acquisition symbiotic Infrastructure (WUSABI) couples uranium recovery with off shore wind to reduce mooring capital cost. The uranium harvesting structure attached to the underwater base of the wind turbine supports elution tanks and an adsorbent pulley system. This allows for a nearly autonomous mooring and elution procedure as adsorbent is in constant motion, reaching the elution tanks at the end of its soaking campaign. Although the original publication did include a short economic section, further analysis was carried out to provide a higher fidelity production cost estimate for uranium recovered by this system. Sufficient detail was provided regarding the capital and operating costs of the novel uranium harvesting units. The adsorbent production and uranium elution and purification steps however were estimated by simpler methods, for example applying a previously reported cost for producing a unit mass of adsorbent. This methodology, although satisfactory for the zeroth-order approximation desired in the original publication, overlooks many of the complexities and feedbacks embedded in the full cost model, which are necessary to provide a more accurate estimate. Perhaps more importantly, given the constant updates regarding adsorbent synthesis and performance this value quickly become outdated. Syncing an improved estimate for the WUSABI harvesting units with the existing economic analysis for adsorbent production and elution, which evolves in tandem with the technology, provides a more robust production cost estimate that will remain current over time. In addition to the updates and higher level of detail provided in this independent analysis, consistency in methodology allows for accurate comparison of uranium production costs across recovery methods. (authors)

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Cost Analysis and Projections for U.S.-Manufactured Automotive Lithium-ion Batteries

This document reports on a study conducted to estimate the cost of U.S-produced automotive battery packs for model years (MY) 2023 to 2035, using Argonne National Laboratory’s BatPaC tool. The costs were estimated by designing batteries for several classes of vehicles for four discrete model years (2023, 2026, 2030, and 2035), where a representative battery technology and material prices are selected based on information available today. Correlations were developed from the four discrete years to enable annual pack cost estimates as a function of pack size (kWh) and model year. A consolidated cost curve was then developed that includes battery size, technology by model year, and the anticipated sales volumes of each class of vehicles over the years. This cost curve estimates the volume-averaged, U.S.-manufactured battery pack cost of PHEVs and BEVs in the United States to be $\$140$/kWh for the model year 2023, which will reduce to $\$86$/kWh in MY2035. Applying tax credits from section 45X of the Inflation Reduction Act can further reduce the average pack cost to as low as $\$56$/kWh in MY2029. The report also includes several sensitivity studies that investigate the effect of pack production volume, material prices, fast charge requirements, and labor rates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Manufacturing cost analysis of a parabolic dish concentrator (General Electric design) for solar thermal electric power systems in selected production volumes

The manufacturing cost of a General Electric 12 meter diameter concentrator was estimated. This parabolic dish concentrator for solar thermal system was costed in annual production volumes of 100 - 1,000 - 5,000 - 10,000 - 50,000 100,000 - 400,000 and 1,000,000 units. Presented for each volume are the costs of direct labor, material, burden, tooling, capital equipment and buildings. Also presented is the direct labor personnel and factory space requirements. All costs are based on early 1981 economics.

Source record↗

Cost analysis of oxygen recovery systems

The design and development of equipment for flight use in earth-orbital programs, when optimally approached cost effectively, proceed through the following logical progression: (1) bench testing of breadboard designs, (2) the fabrication and evaluation of prototype equipment, (3) redesign to meet flight-imposed requirements, and (4) qualification and testing of a flight-ready system. Each of these steps is intended to produce the basic design information necessary to progress to the next step. The cost of each step is normally substantially less than that of the following step. An evaluation of the cost elements involved in each of the steps and their impact on total program cost are presented. Cost analyses of four leading oxygen recovery subsystems which include two carbon dioxide reduction subsystem, Sabatier and Bosch, and two water electrolysis subsystems, the solid polymer electrolyte and the circulating KOH electrolyte are described.

Yakut, M. M.↗

Uranium from Seawater Cost Analysis: Recent Updates

While it is not meant to be a direct competitor with conventionally mined uranium, seawater uranium has significant potential to sway policy makers and the public toward the long term viability of nuclear power. Given the large mass of uranium contained within the ocean and its continual replenishment by freshwater run-off and the ocean floor, seawater uranium can be considered for all practical purposes a renewable resource. In addition to this assurance of supply security placing nuclear power on equal footing with other renewable energy generation technologies, seawater uranium removes a key uncertainty by establishing a cost ceiling on uranium based fuels. Given the evolving nature of this technology, this paper aims to provide an update of the economic model to reflect recent progress. This analysis will reference a passive collection system currently under development by Oak Ridge and Pacific Northwest National Labs. This system consists of a polymer modified to contain amidoxime functional groups, a ligand with high uranium affinity. The adsorbing material is then braided into long segments so it may be moored to the bottom of the ocean where it passively collects uranium for a period on the order of weeks to months. Upon completion of its soaking campaign adsorbent is winched to the surface by work boats so the uranium may be eluted off the braids. After a chemical rinse the braids may then be redeployed for another soaking campaign and uranium elution. The adsorbent can be redeployed as many times as is economically feasible, which is a function of the degradation the material suffers upon each reuse. Noteworthy experimental progress has tightened the gap separating estimates of the optimistic and pessimistic case uranium production cost relative to the most recent analysis. It has been demonstrated before that significant uncertainty in adsorbent performance, and thus recovery cost, arises primarily from variability in adsorbent degradation upon reuse and the effects of marine biofouling on uptake. While the underlying recovery mechanism remains, significant changes have been made regarding the method of adsorbent synthesis, propagating to improvements in adsorbent durability. Additionally, further experimentation regarding the area of marine biofouling has tightened the range of expected adsorbent performance when placed in true marine conditions.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Decarbonizing Medium- & Heavy-Duty On-Road Vehicles: Zero-Emission Vehicles Cost Analysis

We simulate adoption and energy consumption of zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) in the medium and heavy duty (MD/HD) sector. With continued improvement in ZEV technologies, total-cost-of-driving parity with conventional vehicles is achievable by 2035 for all MD/HD vehicle classes. Two technological solutions – battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) are viable in multiple market segments, offering alternative pathways for decarbonization. In this scenario, ZEV sales reach 99+% by 2045 and 42% by 2030. 80% of the MD/HD stock transitions to ZEVs by 2050, reducing CO2 emissions by 69% from 2019. Disparities in adoption rate and vehicle usage between vehicle classes and between short and long-haul applications highlight opportunities for targeted policies (to reduce emissions it is critical to understand what vehicles transition to ZEV, not just how many vehicles). Results are highly sensitive to assumed fuel prices, technology improvement trajectories, adoption decision-making, and assumptions about future freight demand and vehicle use.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Cost analysis of hot-air solar-heating systems

Report describes results of study of two operational test sites (Huntsville, Alabama and Carlsbad, New Mexico) furnishing stimates of actual costs and potential cost savings of new and retrofit hot-air solar heating and hot-water system for single family dwellings.

Hawkins, B. J.↗

Performance and cost analysis of liquid fuel production from H 2 and CO 2 based on the Fischer-Tropsch process

Electro-fuels can be produced from concentrated sources of carbon dioxide and hydrogen using electricity generated from renewable sources; this process enables energy storage at high volumetric energy density. Among the electro-fuels options, FT (Fischer-Tropsch) fuel is attractive for heavy-duty trucks and non-road transportation applications. This study conducts a techno-economic analysis of FT liquid fuel production from H 2 and CO 2 using a detailed performance analysis. Minimum fuel selling price is estimated for a broad range of H 2 and CO 2 prices and for a range of potential CO 2 credits. The analysis indicates that H 2 price has the largest impact on the minimum selling price of FT fuel. FT fuel production with a CO 2 price of $17.3/metric ton requires an H 2 price of $0.8/kg to be cost-competitive with the pre-tax petroleum diesel price of $3.1/gal in 2050 (before the application of any CO 2 credits). When the H 2 price is $2.0/kg from central water electrolysis (2020 target), the minimum selling price of the FT fuel is $5.4–5.9/gal. A sensitivity analysis shows that future system optimization of FT fuel production could focus on improving the H 2 and CO 2 recycle contributions and FT fuel conversion ratio. The analysis results can be combined with various upstream systems for H 2 and CO 2 production.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Space biology initiative program definition review. Trade study 5: Modification of existing hardware (COTS) versus new hardware build cost analysis

The JSC Life Sciences Project Division has been directly supporting NASA Headquarters, Life Sciences Division, in the preparation of data from JSC and ARC to assist in defining the Space Biology Initiative (SBI). GE Government Services and Horizon Aerospace have provided contract support for the development and integration of review data, reports, presentations, and detailed supporting data. An SBI Definition (Non-Advocate) Review at NASA Headquarters, Code B, has been scheduled for the June-July 1989 time period. In a previous NASA Headquarters review, NASA determined that additional supporting data would be beneficial to determine the potential advantages in modifying commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) hardware for some SBI hardware items. In order to meet the demands of program implementation planning with the definition review in late spring of 1989, the definition trade study analysis must be adjusted in scope and schedule to be complete for the SBI Definition (Non-Advocate) Review. The relative costs of modifying existing commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) hardware is compared to fabricating new hardware. An historical basis for new build versus modifying COTS to meet current NMI specifications for manned space flight hardware is surveyed and identified. Selected SBI hardware are identified as potential candidates for off-the-shelf modification and statistical estimates on the relative cost of modifying COTS versus new build are provided.

Jackson, L. Neal↗

Life cycle cost analysis comparing redesigned CCHP to existing heat pump systems for cities in cold climates

This report indicates that the project progress has met the Go criterion, i.e. demonstrating favorable results of life cycle cost assessment for the redesigned CCHPs. Considering the market price of a baseline heat pump, and required improvements in heat exchangers, fans and an electronic expansion valve of the CCHPs, we estimated that the CCHP using a 3-stage scroll compressor will incur with a cost increment of $\$386$ per rated cooling tonnage, and the CCHP using tandem compressors will increase by $\$770$. Based on the energy savings of the CCHPs, simulated by EnergyPlus, the two CCHPs achieve payback periods less than 4 years among all the cold climate cities. Within a typical heat pump life cycle of 20 years, the CCHPs can achieve cost savings around $\$2000$ per rated cooling tonnage, and the savings are even higher for the extremely cold cities like Duluth and Fairbanks.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Shuttle-Derived Launch Vehicles, Volume 1

The design, performance, and programmatic definition of shuttle derived launch vehicles (SDLV) established by two different contractors were assessed and the relative life cycle costs of space transportation systems using the shuttle alone were compared with costs for a mix of shuttles and SDLV's. The ground rules and assumptions used in the evaluation are summarized and the work breakdown structure is included. Approaches used in deriving SDLV costs, including calibration factors and historical data are described. Both SDLV cost estimates and SDLV/STS cost comparisons are summarized. Standard formats are used to report comprehensive SDLV life cycle estimates. Hardware cost estimates (below subsystem level) obtained using the RCA PRICE 84 cost model are included along with other supporting data.

Source record↗

fuel cycle cost analysis of Th/U MOX fuel in a block-type HTR - 18619

With a rapid development of nuclear energy in these years, the supply of nuclear fuel is becoming more and more important. Thorium regains attention because of its abundant reserves and excellent physical properties. As a next generation reactor, the high temperature reactor (HTR) is a promising choice for thorium utilization because of its deeper burnup, harder spectrum and better inherent safety. Therefore, a 600 MWth 108-column modular high temperature reactor (MHR) core model with 20%UO{sub 2}-80%ThO{sub 2}; MOX fuel is adapted. A traditional two-step calculation scheme, lattice calculation then core calculation, is used to get the neutronic performance of equilibrium cycle including uranium enrichment and mass of fuel. Using these data, the fuel cycle cost of HTR can be calculated by the levelized lifetime cost method. In order to take into account the variation of unit price, a well-established, standard statistical analysis technique is used by Monte Carlo simulation, (thus, the probability distribution of fuel cycle cost can be obtained. Furthermore, sensitivity calculations are made to analyze the impact on the fuel cycle cost of variations in the unit prices for each fuel cycle component. The result shows that the most influential parameters are unit price of natural uranium, enrichment and discount rate. Finally a comparison of fuel cycle cost between 100%UO{sub 2} and 20%UO{sub 2}-80%ThO{sub 2} MOX fuel is made. The latter is 11% cheaper than the former. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗