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Final Design for Thermal/Epithermal eXperiments (TEX) with Lithium Absorbers to Provide Validation Benchmarks for Y-12 Electrorefining Facility

One of the main goals of the Thermal/Epithermal eXperiments (TEX) project is to use existing Nuclear Criticality Safety Program (NCSP) assets to create critical experiment plutonium and uranium test beds for materials important to criticality safety that have insufficient benchmark evaluations. The plutonium test bed experiments were completed in 2018 and are published in the 2020 edition of the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook. The uranium test bed assemblies were completed in 2023 and accepted in the 2024 edition of the ICSBEP Handbook. The Nuclear Criticality Safety (NCS) group at Y-12 National Security Complex has identified programmatic need for validation cases for uranium electrorefining operations at Y-12. The electrorefining operation credits lithium enriched in 6 Li in addition to 35 Cl as absorbers in the design criticality safety evaluation for precluding criticality under upset conditions in the large and geometrically unfavorable electro-refiner. There is, however, inadequate experimental validation for the 6 Li absorbers. As an extension of the TEX uranium test bed, TEX-Cl critical experiments were performed with sodium chloride salt to address the 35 Cl thermal absorption as well as other validation needs at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). These experiments were completed in 2024 and accepted into the 2025 ICSBEP Handbook. To continue the methodology used in TEX-Cl, TEX-Li aims to accomplish the same. The overall design of both experiments was to use commercially available, high purity, salts with polyethylene moderator and HEU plates to configure a critical assembly. Three experiments are planned for TEX-Li using encapsulated lithium carbonate (Li 2 CO 3 ), with natural 6 Li abundance. For all experiments, the highly enriched uranium (HEU) Jemima plates will be used as fissile material. Multiple layers will be stacked together with encapsulated Li 2 CO 3 alternated with polyethylene in standard configurations. Standard stacking was found to be optimal in matching the different sensitivity profiles provided by the Y-12 models. Three configurations are proposed with varying polyethylene moderation and a constant 1/4” absorber thickness. The first uses 11 layers of 5/4” polyethylene, the second uses 9 layers of 3/4” polyethylene, and the third uses 10 layers of 1/2” polyethylene. Calculations showed that some alternative forms of lithium-based materials provided slightly less-optimal sensitivity profiles when compared to lithium carbonate but come with other drawbacks. These alternatives included lithium aluminate (LiAlO 2 ), Aluminum-2050 alloy, Aluminum-8090, Aluminum-2095, lithium hydride (LiH), and lithium fluoride (LiF). Lithium aluminate and aluminum-2050 provided comparable sensitivity profiles when compared to lithium carbonate and can be used instead if lithium carbonate cannot be readily procured. After a broad material study, lithium carbonate outperformed any alternative material with a balance in affordability and workability. The assessment of experimental uncertainties of the non-absorber and absorber components was predicted to be 0.00089 and 0.00093 Δk eff , respectively. The largest uncertainties may be reduced with precision dimensional inspection of the components. Many of the parts and equipment for IER 575 have already been fabricated or procured for previous projects and therefore do not contribute significantly to the overall cost of this experiment. This includes the Jemima plates and Comet critical assembly machine, which are existing NCSP assets, as well as the aluminum platen and polyethylene reflector rings, which were fabricated and authorized for the TEX experiment involving HEU with polyethylene. Lithium carbonate containers will be procured by LANL and will be filled by LLNL. The total material costs for TEX-Li experiments are estimated to be on the order of $\$$47,400. Precision inspection, including dimensional, mass, density, and impurity, is recommended for all components for an estimated cost of $\$$12,000.

35Cl↗

Techno-Economic Performance of Eavor Loop 2.0

This project evaluated techno-economic performance for a sample Eavor-Loop 2.0 design for electricity production and direct-use heating. The Eavor-Loop 2.0 design investigated is a 7.5-km deep closed-loop geothermal system consisting of 12 laterals for a total of more than 90 km of downhole well and lateral length. Both a high geothermal gradient scenario of 60 degrees C/km and a low geothermal gradient scenario of 30 degrees C/km were considered. With pure water injected at 60 degrees C and 80 kg/s, reservoir simulations with the Slender-Body Theory simulator indicate average production temperatures over a 30-year lifetime of ~125 degrees C and ~210 degrees C for the low and high geothermal gradient scenario, respectively. These correspond to heat production of ~22 M Wth and ~51 M Wth, respectively. Using IPSEpro simulations, we find average power production of ~2.2 M We and ~8.6 M We, respectively, for a subcritical organic Rankine cycle power plant with air-cooled condensers. Cost estimates indicate the overall capital and levelized costs are dominated by the lateral drilling cost. Obtaining a levelized cost of electricity below $70/M Wh requires a geothermal gradient of 60 degrees C/km, a discount rate below 9%, and lateral drilling cost below $400/m. A well cost model indicates that ~$400/m for the Eavor-Loop 2.0 design investigated can be obtained for a drilling rate of penetration about 40 ft/hr (with bit life of 50 hours), and omitting casing and cement. Traditional (geothermal) well drilling has achieved these drilling rate conditions, including the Utah FORGE project where the rate of penetration has exceeded 50 ft/hr in granite. However, it is unclear if these conditions are still valid for drilling the Eavor-Loop 2.0 laterals (i.e., ~82 km of laterals at 4 to 7.5-km vertical depth with rock temperatures up to 460 degrees C), as such downhole completion has never been developed before. Competitive levelized cost of heat values ($1.2-$8.2/GJ) are calculated, even for the low geothermal gradient scenario (30 degrees C/km) and lateral drilling cost of $600/m.

advanced geothermal system↗

Offshore Wind Technology Data Update (2019) [Slides]

The 2019 Offshore Wind Technology Data Update compiles information from peer-reviewed literature, market reports, press releases, industry news reports, manufacturer specification sheets, and offshore wind project announcements to provide a comprehensive snapshot of the state of the global wind industry in 2019. These data, including capacity projections, project characteristics, technology trends, and cost estimates, are categorized, tabulated, and plotted to provide easily recognizable and understandable summaries. A particular focus is given to the United States offshore wind project pipeline, including project announcements, state procurements, deployment timelines, infrastructure investments, grid interconnections, and other related developments. The update is intended to be used as a reference document by researchers, analysts, industry practitioners, and government officials.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Preconceptual Designs of Coupled Power Delivery between a 4-Loop PWR and 100-500 MWe HTSE Plants

This study develops a preconceptual design for the integration between a large-scale high-temperature electrolysis facility and a NPP. Two hydrogen facility sizes are considered: 100 MWnom and 500 MWnom. Both steam supply designs use cold reheat steam extraction as a heat source. A reboiler inside the protected area of the power plant transfers steam heat to the demineralized water supply for the hydrogen plant. After the heat transfer, the extracted steam condenses and returns to the condenser while the process steam routes out of the protected area to the electrolyzers. Electrical power is tapped off from the high voltage side of the GSU transformer, where it is then transported via a 345-kV transmission line to the hydrogen facility. Circuit breakers and disconnects are located at both ends of the transmission line. Step down transformers and miscellaneous switchgear/buses are located at the end of the transmission line inside the HTEF boundary. Control capabilities for the steam interfacing equipment and electrical dispatch are accessible from the Main Control Room, and protective relays for the transmission line are located inside the Relay Room. Computer modeling was performed for the thermal and electrical designs. PEPSE analysis provided the steady-state parameters for thermal extraction from the turbine cycle. These parameters were used to inform transients and size equipment in combination with Applied Flow Technology (AFT) Arrow and AFT Fathom modeling for steam and water piping, respectively. Electrical transients were analyzed using PSCAD. An ETAP model was used to evaluate power flow and short circuit, which enabled the sizing of transformers and protective equipment. A cost estimate was developed for both integration designs when considering plant separation distances of 250 m and 500 m. From these estimates, the modifications for thermal and electrical interfacing of a first-of-a-kind nuclear-integrated hydrogen facility are anticipated to cost between $60–250/kWnom., where the subscript “nom” refers to the nominal size of the hydrogen plant. On a thermal power basis, the thermal power has a cost of approximately $8/MWth for a 500 MWnom high temperature electrolysis plant located 500 m distant from the NPP. That value decreases to approximately $7.5/MWth for a 250 m separation distance between the hydrogen plant and the NPP. This value is lower than previous estimates of the cost of heat extracted from NPPs primarily because in this work the steam is extracted from cold reheat instead of the main steam line, which reduces the cost of the dispatched steam by approximately $3.5/MWth. Nuclear steam extraction can provide a profit avenue for many plants and is not restricted to hydrogen production. Ammonia production, oil refining, and paper production, among other industrial processes all require thermal energy, which can be provided by NPPs. Future work should look further at the details of thermal extraction for a variety of use cases. This can include increased levels of extraction and multiple simultaneous users. Additionally, site-specific studies should be performed to develop industry experience and improve cost accuracy.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Towards Cost-Competitive Microreactors

To assess the cost competitiveness of microreactors, a new tool integrating reactor design calculations with economic models was developed. Using detailed cost data and design specifications from the MARVEL project (85 kWth), the tool estimates costs for a more representative commercial microreactor (20 MWth). The LCOE for a 20 MWth MARVEL-like reactor is estimated at $236/MWh, with an overnight cost of about $12,000/kW (excluding fuel). Mass production could reduce costs by 70%, making the 10th unit cost around $3,700/kWe, which is economically competitive. The new neutronics-economics coupling tool also enables studying the impact of the design parameters on the economic figures of merit. The impact of changing the enrichment and reactor capacity on the LCOE has been studied.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Advanced Fuel Cycle Cost Basis Report: Module D1-7 Contact-Handled Pelletized Pressurized Heavy Water (PHWR) UOX Fuel Fabrication (Rev.1)

In addition to literature-based pressurized heavy-water reactor (PHWR) fuel price information in the 2017 AFC-CBR, the what-it-takes (WIT) unit cost data in this update is informed by new analysis and escalation of the 1978 PHWR-UOX fuel life cycle cost (LCC) data from ORNL reports prepared for the 1977–1980 Nonproliferation Alternative Systems Assessment Program (NASAP). (These reports are referenced and summarized in detail in Module D1-PR.) The PHWR fuel fabrication LCC data in these reports is scaled from a bottom-up cost estimate for a reference technology pressurized-water reactor (PWR)—uranium oxide (UOX) fuel fabrication plant by using algorithms that consider the manufacturing process complexity, fuel design complexity, plant floor space requirements, and the radiation and health, safety, and environmental (HS&E) regulatory environment of PHWR-UOX fuel production vis-à-vis light-water reactor (LWR)-UOX production (PWR fuel in this case). The module name has been changed from “Canadian Deuterium Uranium (CANDU)” to the more generic PHWR fuel fabrication in recognition that not all power reactors that might use this fuel type are considered. Unfortunately, the detailed algorithms and their design bases were not archived at the end of the NASAP effort of the commercial CANDU concept specifically developed in the middle of the last century by Atomic Energy of Canada Limited (AECL).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

FECM/NETL Natural Gas with Hydrogen Pipeline Cost Model (2024): Description and User’s Manual

This is the user’s manual for The FECM/NETL Natural Gas with Hydrogen Pipeline Cost Model (NG-H2_P_COM) that estimates costs for transporting gaseous hydrogen with natural gas in a pipeline from a source, such as a hydrogen production facility, to a final destination which may be a user of the hydrogen and natural gas or a distribution center where hydrogen in the pipeline with natural gas is diverted to multiple end users. This user’s manual provides two main functions. First, the detailed statement describes the equations and algorithms that are used by the model to calculate technical quantities (such as blend hydrogen percentage, reuse percentage of the pipeline and stations, the pipe diameter size and length needed to transport a user-specified hydrogen with natural gas rate in a specified distance) and engineering-economic quantities (such as capital costs, operating costs, and cash flows). Second, the document is a user’s manual for the model that describes the procedures the user must follow to configure and setup the model, run the model, analyze the results, and visualize the outcomes. Such details offer user a quick and handy way to utilize the model for their application and decision making. The model can be accessed at this URL: https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=cf3f6564-3c55-4aa5-b712-7160e558d9f6. The Model Results and Comparative Analysis can be accessed here: https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=83862799-a28c-4944-a809-90b7e23d4af6.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

UKy-CAER Heat Integrated Transformative CO 2 Capture Process in Pulverized Coal Power Plants

The goal of this Phase II Topical Report is to summarize the work for public domain conducted on project DE-FE0031583. Building upon the Design Basis completed during Phase I and in accordance with the Statement of Project Objectives (SOPO), the University of Kentucky (UK) Center for Applied Energy Research (CAER) (Recipient) along with team members has completed the Front End Engineering Design (FEED) for its advanced, versatile post-combustion CO 2 capture system (CCS) at the 10 MWe large pilot scale to be installed at the Wyoming (WY) Integrated Test Center (ITC), using a heat integrated process with split-rich fed, two-stage stripping and any advanced solvent to enhance the CO 2 absorber performance and lower the cost of CO 2 capture. The proposed project (Phases I-III) involves the design, fabrication, installation, testing and evaluation of a large pilot scale facility that will demonstrate the UK CAER transformative CCS integrated with an operating power plant. The work performed in Phase I, detailed in the Phase I Topical Report that was submitted in March 2019, included formation of a project team, securing the host site, and completing pre-FEED design basis, a cost estimation, a preliminary techno-economic analysis (TEA) and an environmental information volume (EIV). The work performed in Phase II, detailed in this Phase II Topical Report, includes completion of FEEDs, completion of a process risk analysis (PRA), obtaining necessary permits, updating the EIV and TEA, updating the cost and schedule estimate for the Phase III scope of work (SOW) and securing the necessary cost share. Updated information is provided on the current status of the UK CAER CCS technology and the project is ready to begin immediately detailed design, construction and operation of the proposed pilot.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Techno-Economic Analysis of a Nuclear Reactor System coupled with a Liquid Metal Battery

There is a need for nuclear reactor systems to become more dynamic as defossilization and renewable energy sources continue to reshape the energy grid. One option to meet these changing demands is to pair the reactor with an energy storage system. This work details a technoeconomic analysis and sensitivity analysis of a high temperature gas cooled microreactor, supercritical carbon dioxide power cycle, and liquid metal battery. Dynamic modeling has shown that these three systems compliment each other to provide load following and black-start capabilities to the grid. Current cost estimates for installing the systems yield a competitive levelized cost of electricity and levelized cost of storage, indicating that such a combined system may be economically viable as technological advances lead to them being technically feasible.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Multimodal CO2 Transportation Cost Model

This model provides a cost estimate for transporting CO2 via truck or rail in the United States using commercially available equipment and technologies. The model includes an analysis of direct and indirect CO2 emissions to determine costs per net tonne of CO2 transported. Publicly available data and methods published in the peer-reviewed literature are used to the extent possible; references are available at the bottom of the "Calculations" sheet. Upstream (i.e., liquefaction, buffer storage) and downstream (i.e., buffer storage, reconditioning) activities are included in the model of emissions and costs. All capital and operating expenditures are estimated in the "Calculations" sheet. The cost of financing the project is determined in the "FINEX" sheet. All user inputs are done via drop down menus in on the "User Interface" sheet. Summary results are also provided on the "User Interface" sheet.

Myers, CoreyA↗

H 2 Production Pathways Cost Analysis (2016 - 2021) (Final Report)

This final report documents cost analysis conducted for the Department of Energy over a five year period (2016 to 2021) pertaining to hydrogen production and delivery system components, focusing on the key remaining challenges of the technology pathways within the Hydrogen Production and Delivery sub-program portfolio. A particular focus was placed on electrolysis for the generation of hydrogen. The effort primarily used the H2A discounted cash flow computational model as a tool to project hydrogen cost ($/kgH 2 ) and determine status improvements resulting from technology advancements. The effort also considered cost as a function of production volume, employed error bars to illustrate uncertainties in the cost estimates, and utilized sensitivity analyses to show the potential for cost reductions. The project examined a range of hydrogen production and delivery related systems. These included WireTough wire-wrapped pressure vessels for hydrogen storage, proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis, solid oxide electrolysis (SOE), anion exchange membrane (AEM) electrolysis, photoelectrochemical (PEC) electrolysis, solar thermochemical hydrogen (STCH) production, the cost of energy transmission, and a study on the necessary price of hydrogen to produce competitively-priced electricity via fuel cell conversion.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Supercritical CO2 Recuperators, Presented at The ASME Turbo Expo 2017, June 29, 2017, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High Effectiveness, Compact, High Pressure and Low-Cost Recuperator, Presented at The Fifth International Symposium – Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, San Antonio, Texas, March 28-31, 2016, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

High Effectiveness, Compact, High Pressure and Low Cost Recuperator for Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, Paper Presented at The Fifth International Symposium – Super-Critical CO2 Power Cycles, San Antonio, Texas, March 28-31, 2016, by Dr. John Kelly, President, Altex Technologies Corporation

Closed Brayton super-critical CO2 power cycles are well suited to waste heat bottoming cycles, due to their increased efficiency and compactness, relative to Rankine steam bottoming cycles. Since waste heat applications would be retrofits, the power system compactness is important. To achieve high efficiency, these power cycles require high pressure recuperative type heat exchangers, of substantial heat duty. Current Printed Circuit Heat Exchangers (PCHE), originally developed for high pressure gas and oil applications, can be used as recuperators, but costs are higher than desired. Altex is developing a purpose-built high pressure and effectiveness recuperator to provide the reliability, compactness, performance and pressure capability of current recuperators, but at a reduced cost. The High Effectiveness Low Cost (HELC) recuperative heat exchanger design yields volume and weight metrics of .0024 m3/UA and 10.2 kg/UA, which are 4% and 77.3% below recuperator target metrics, respectively. A 50 kW test article was designed and fabricated. Performance tests on water and oil showed that the HELC design model could predict heat transfer, to within 10% of the measured value. This model was then used to project HELC performance, when operating on supercritical CO2. Besides performance tests, the test article was hydrostatically tested, for integrity at up to 4,000 psi pressure. At these conditions, some distortion of channels was encountered. To mitigate distortion, the inserts were redesigned and these results were used to project the cost of 500 kW and 5,083 kW HELC units. The cost metric for the 5,083 kW unit was determined to be $1,349/UA, which is 10% lower than the recuperator desired cost metric desired target of $1,500/UA. In addition, the 5,083 kW unit HELC cost of $61.09/kW is 33.6% lower than the $92/kW estimated cost for a PCHE. Hydrostatic pressure tests, at up to 4,000psi, showed that the unit did not leak. However, channels were distorted at this pressure differential. Design updates to minimize stress concentrations and distortion were prepared and analyzed, to show that distortion could be controlled, but to date tests have not been run to prove the design. Project results show the potential of the HELC approach, but more work is required to confirm this potential, at the larger scales of interest.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub (Final Report)

The Roughrider Carbon Storage Hub was a 2-year project (October 2023 – September 2025) conducted by the Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) focused on advancing the feasibility of a commercial-scale carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) geologic storage hub in McKenzie County, North Dakota. The project’s objective was to investigate the potential that stacked storage complexes (multiple deep saline formations) can safely and economically store at least 50 million tonnes of CO 2 within 30 years. The captured CO 2 would be sourced from industrial emitters including project partner ONEOK, Inc.’s gas-processing plants and a planned gas-to-liquids facility. Drilling of the Roughrider 1 stratigraphic test well (14,979-ft total depth) was completed in November 2024. The wellbore intersected four candidate storage formations: Inyan Kara, Broom Creek, Mission Canyon, and Black Island–Deadwood. Operational challenges, including a stuck drill string, were resolved without long-term impact. A comprehensive logging and coring program was conducted, followed by successful well abandonment and site reclamation. Over 660 ft of 4-in. whole core was retrieved. Core plug samples were processed and analyzed for petrophysical and geochemical properties. Results confirmed promising porosity and permeability in the Inyan Kara and Broom Creek Formations and removal of the Mission Canyon and Black Island–Deadwood horizons from further investigation. Data derived from the logging and coring program were used to improve initial geologic models built from legacy data. CO 2 injection simulations showed that the Inyan Kara alone can feasibly store the target mass of CO 2 . Because of subtle differences in geologic structure and porosity trends between the formations, a stacked storage scenario using the Broom Creek and Inyan Kara Formations resulted in a larger overall plume area than using the Inyan Kara alone. Preliminary CO 2 pipeline routes from the industrial sources were mapped utilizing existing rights of way and evaluated for capacity and cost using U.S. Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management/National Energy Technology Laboratory models and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency emissions data. Integrating capture, transport, and storage cost estimates with policy incentives (e.g., 45Q credits) provided a total cost-per-ton analysis. Results indicate that the small scale of the volumes to be transported over the cumulative large distances does not support the project’s financial viability. However, the groundwork laid during this project from geological, regulatory, and social perspectives positions the Roughrider hub site as a promising candidate for commercial carbon storage in North Dakota, especially if the economy of scale is introduced for CO 2 transportation to the hub site.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Data-Informed Evaluation Framework for Integrated Energy Systems: Insights from Power, Process Heat, and Hydrogen Production Applications

The multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework provides a systematic evaluation of the diverse preferences and performance metrics associated with alternative solutions. This approach is advantageous over a single-criterion methodology, which are only valid under conditions that assume ceteris paribus or an "apples-to-apples" comparison. However, selecting suitable technologies for integrated energy systems (IES) can be likened to an "apples-to-oranges" comparison, given the heterogeneous factors at stake. These factors include economics and performance parameters, geological compatibility, and environmental impacts. Consequently, past research has often employed a mixture of qualitative and quantitative criteria tailored to the specific interests of each study. While the method proves effective in handling the intricate interplay of criteria, the resulting rankings and scores can vary from study to study. This inconsistency is introduced from the use of subjectively defined thresholds and weights. As a result, decision-makers frequently find it challenging to establish clear connections between specific criteria and the resulting scores, as the transformation of criteria into ordinal scores results in a substantial loss of information. To address this challenge, we introduce a data-informed IES evaluation framework that offers comprehensive, interpretable, and traceable evaluations backed by quantifiable rationale. First, we identified key IES evaluation criteria from a decade of literature, focusing on relevant IES applications in power, process heat, and hydrogen production. We leveraged state-of-the-art cost estimates from the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and technical data from 78 reactor designs from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development - Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD-NEA). Lastly, we established thresholds by analyzing the mean, variance, root mean square, and slope of values across alternatives, categorizing the preferences of decision-makers into distinct utility functions, such as linear, saturating, exponential, and stepwise. Our approach yielded two main outcomes: (1) it provided consistent assessments across different stakeholder groups and (2) it visualized uncertainties in the decision-making context via comprehensive sensitivity analysis. To demonstrate the impact of our framework, we conducted case studies on 6 reactor designs (AP1000, NuScale, BWRX-300, Xe-100, eVinci, iMSR) for the three applications. Our data-driven framework proved to be highly effective in addressing heterogenous uncertainties faced by varied decision-makers? preferences and IES applications, as well as cost and technical estimates of advanced reactors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Data-Informed Evaluation Framework for Integrated Energy Systems: Insights from Power, Process Heat, and Hydrogen Production Applications

The multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework provides a systematic evaluation of the diverse preferences and performance metrics associated with alternative solutions. This approach is advantageous over a single-criterion methodology, which are only valid under conditions that assume ceteris paribus or an "apples-to-apples" comparison. However, selecting suitable technologies for integrated energy systems (IES) can be likened to an "apples-to-oranges" comparison, given the heterogeneous factors at stake. These factors include economics and performance parameters, geological compatibility, and environmental impacts. Consequently, past research has often employed a mixture of qualitative and quantitative criteria tailored to the specific interests of each study. While the method proves effective in handling the intricate interplay of criteria, the resulting rankings and scores can vary from study to study. This inconsistency is introduced from the use of subjectively defined thresholds and weights. As a result, decision-makers frequently find it challenging to establish clear connections between specific criteria and the resulting scores, as the transformation of criteria into ordinal scores results in a substantial loss of information. To address this challenge, we introduce a data-informed IES evaluation framework that offers comprehensive, interpretable, and traceable evaluations backed by quantifiable rationale. First, we identified key IES evaluation criteria from a decade of literature, focusing on relevant IES applications in power, process heat, and hydrogen production. We leveraged state-of-the-art cost estimates from the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) and technical data from 78 reactor designs from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development - Nuclear Energy Agency (OECD-NEA). Lastly, we established thresholds by analyzing the mean, variance, root mean square, and slope of values across alternatives, categorizing the preferences of decision-makers into distinct utility functions, such as linear, saturating, exponential, and stepwise. Our approach yielded two main outcomes: (1) it provided consistent assessments across different stakeholder groups and (2) it visualized uncertainties in the decision-making context via comprehensive sensitivity analysis. To demonstrate the impact of our framework, we conducted case studies on 6 reactor designs (AP1000, NuScale, BWRX-300, Xe-100, eVinci, iMSR) for the three applications. Our data-driven framework proved to be highly effective in addressing heterogenous uncertainties faced by varied decision-makers? preferences and IES applications, as well as cost and technical estimates of advanced reactors.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗