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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2025

Bias correcting regional scale Earth system model projections: novel approach using empirical mode decomposition

Bias correction is a crucial step in using Earth system model outputs for assessments, as it adjusts systematic errors by comparing the model to observations. However, standard methods – ranging from mean-based linear scaling to distribution-based quantile mapping typically treat bias correction as a single-scale process, overlooking the fact that biases can manifest differently across daily, seasonal, and annual timescales. In this study, we propose a novel, timescale-aware bias-correction approach built on Empirical Mode Decomposition. By decomposing the meteorological signal into multiple oscillatory components and aggregating them to represent distinct timescales, we apply targeted corrections to each component, thereby preserving both short- and long-term structure in the data. Experimental illustrations show that the timescale-aware EMDBC framework matches the performance of conventional quantile-delta mapping (QDM) at the native daily scale and achieves progressively larger bias reductions at bi-weekly, seasonal, and annual scales. As a result, the proposed approach offers a more robust path to accurate and reliable Earth system projections, strengthening their utility for resilience and adaptation planning.

Ganguli, Arkaprabha [Argonne National Laboratory (↗

DOE OSTI2022

Long Term Per-Component Power and Thermal Measurements of the OLCF Summit System

As we move into the exascale era, the power and energy footprints of high-performance computing (HPC) systems have grown significantly larger. Due to the harsh power and thermal conditions the system, components are exposed to extreme operating conditions. Operation of such modern HPC systems requires deep insights into long term system behavior to maintain its efficiency as well as its longevity. To help the HPC community to gain such insights, we provide a dataset that records the long-term power and thermal behavior of the 200PF pre-exascale supercomputer at the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF), Summit. This system is an IBM AC922 based system that has 9,252 IBM Power9 CPUs and 27,756 Nvidia V100 GPUs and can consume up to 13MW power at peak. Heat removal is performed using medium temperature direct liquid cooling and rear-door heat exchanger based secondary cooling loop. Originally extracted from a high-resolution (1Hz) per-component (GPUs, CPUs) measurements from the system, we primarily provide a dataset that has 10-second and 1-minute mean power and thermal measurements selected from five month-long segments over the course of 2020 (January and August), 2021 (February and August), and 2022 (January). For convenience, we also provide various sub datasets randomly sampled from the time and space (hosts) of the cluster. Further details and example code for analysis can be found in the following GitHub repository: https://github.com/at-aaims/summit_power_and_thermal_data

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NASA NTRS2013

Distributed Engine Control Empirical/Analytical Verification Tools

NASA's vision for an intelligent engine will be realized with the development of a truly distributed control system featuring highly reliable, modular, and dependable components capable of both surviving the harsh engine operating environment and decentralized functionality. A set of control system verification tools was developed and applied to a C-MAPSS40K engine model, and metrics were established to assess the stability and performance of these control systems on the same platform. A software tool was developed that allows designers to assemble easily a distributed control system in software and immediately assess the overall impacts of the system on the target (simulated) platform, allowing control system designers to converge rapidly on acceptable architectures with consideration to all required hardware elements. The software developed in this program will be installed on a distributed hardware-in-the-loop (DHIL) simulation tool to assist NASA and the Distributed Engine Control Working Group (DECWG) in integrating DCS (distributed engine control systems) components onto existing and next-generation engines.The distributed engine control simulator blockset for MATLAB/Simulink and hardware simulator provides the capability to simulate virtual subcomponents, as well as swap actual subcomponents for hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) analysis. Subcomponents can be the communication network, smart sensor or actuator nodes, or a centralized control system. The distributed engine control blockset for MATLAB/Simulink is a software development tool. The software includes an engine simulation, a communication network simulation, control algorithms, and analysis algorithms set up in a modular environment for rapid simulation of different network architectures; the hardware consists of an embedded device running parts of the CMAPSS engine simulator and controlled through Simulink. The distributed engine control simulation, evaluation, and analysis technology provides unique capabilities to study the effects of a given change to the control system in the context of the distributed paradigm. The simulation tool can support treatment of all components within the control system, both virtual and real; these include communication data network, smart sensor and actuator nodes, centralized control system (FADEC full authority digital engine control), and the aircraft engine itself. The DECsim tool can allow simulation-based prototyping of control laws, control architectures, and decentralization strategies before hardware is integrated into the system. With the configuration specified, the simulator allows a variety of key factors to be systematically assessed. Such factors include control system performance, reliability, weight, and bandwidth utilization.

DeCastro, Jonathan↗

DOE OSTI2020

Maximising the investment returns of a grid‐connected battery considering degradation cost

Energy storage systems (ESSs) are being deployed widely due to numerous benefits including operational flexibility, high ramping capability, and decreasing costs. This study investigates the economic benefits provided by battery ESSs when they are deployed for market‐related applications, considering the battery degradation cost. A comprehensive investment planning framework is presented, which estimates the maximum revenue that the ESS can generate over its lifetime and provides the necessary tools to investors for aiding the decision making process regarding an ESS project. The applications chosen for this study are energy arbitrage and frequency regulation. Lithium‐ion batteries are considered due to their wide popularity arising from high efficiency, high energy density, and declining costs. A new degradation cost model based on energy throughput and cycle count is developed for Lithium‐ion batteries participating in electricity markets. The lifetime revenue of ESS is calculated considering battery degradation and a cost–benefit analysis is performed to provide investors with an estimate of the net present value, return on investment and payback period. The effect of considering the degradation cost on the estimated revenue is also studied. The proposed approach is demonstrated on the IEEE Reliability Test System and historical data from PJM Interconnection.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Passivation Mechanisms in Locally Etched P-Type Poly-Si on Silicon Nitride/Silicon Oxide Stack

Tunneling oxide passivated contacts are quickly becoming the industry standard for high-efficiency c-Si based photovoltaic cells. Further development of these structures is essential to enable higher efficiencies and better reliability of cells. By utilizing poly-Si/SixNy/SiOx stacks, very high efficiencies have been demonstrated on small area cells. In this work we investigate the cause of the excellent passivation seen by these structures and show that the primary reason of the excellent passivation seen is the blocking B diffusion to the SiOx/c -Si interface. We also show that the interface between the silicon nitride and polysilicon affects B diffusion through to the c-Si interface. Finally, we demonstrate that the composition of the nitride used is of great importance, and that an incorrect nitride composition leads to B diffusion, and is directly correlated to poor passivation performance.

industries↗

NASA NTRS1979

Optimum design of spacecraft radiators for large capacity or long duration mission applications

Results of trade studies comparing optimum pumped fluid and hybrid heat pipe/pumped fluid radiator designs are presented. Design variables considered in the system optimization analyses include transport fluid properties and Reynolds number, pump loop component reliabilities, micrometeoroid protection, heat pipe spacing, manifolding and flow routing in pumped fluid designs, transport tubing spacing and diameters, and radiator fin parameters. Criteria for evaluating candidate radiator system designs include mass, radiator area, and overall system reliability. The studies show advantages in constructing large systems from small independent subsystems with oversizing to account for subsystem failures. The optimum size and survivability of the subsystems are identified as a function of the radiator construction, the system heat rejection requirements, the mission duration, and the system reliability requirements.

Leach, J. W.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Achieving extraordinary thermal stability of salt hydrate eutectic composites by amending crystallization behaviour with thickener

Commercial thermal energy storage (TES) systems necessitate reliable thermal performance throughout their operational lifetime. Repeated volume changes of the phase change materials (PCMs) during thermal cycling disengages thermal contacts between the conductive fillers like expanded graphite (EG) in TES composites, causing unstable thermal conductivity (k) that fades with cycling. Our in-operando crystallization studies on eutectic PCM made of zinc nitrate hexahydrate (ZNH) and KNO 3 revealed that the thermal stability of PCM composites can be considerably degraded by the formation of large and sharp-cornered PCM crystals during the freezing cycle. While the crystals can push EG particles, disengaging thermal contacts between them, we have newly discovered that carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) can be used to retain the thermal contacts by forming networks of smaller PCM crystals. Furthermore, the scalable synthesis methodology of EG/ZNH eutectic composites was introduced. Here, in this study, EG particles were strongly connected into a matrix via a stable, corrosion resistant polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) binder, stabilizing thermal networks and thereby maintaining k up to 1000 melt/freeze cycles. The thermal conductivity of our 25 vol% EG sample (13.3 W m -1 K -1 ) is more than 48% higher than other salt hydrate eutectic composites reported in the literature. We expect this study to provide insights on cooperative interaction between different components of TES systems (PCM, filler, thickener, binder) for exceptionally robust thermal properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

OLCF Summit Supercomputer GPU Snapshots During Double-Bit Errors and Normal Operations

As we move into the exascale era, the power and energy footprints of high-performance computing (HPC) systems have grown significantly larger. Due to the harsh power and thermal conditions the system, components are exposed to extreme operating conditions. Operation of such modern HPC systems requires deep insights into long term system behavior to maintain its efficiency as well as its longevity. To help the HPC community to gain such insights, we provide double-bit errors using system telemetry data and logs collected from the Summit supercomputer, equipped with 27,648 Tesla V100 GPUs with 2nd-generation high-bandwidth memory (HBM2). The dataset relies on Nvidia XID records internally collected by GPU firmware at the time of failure occurrence, on the reboot-time logs of each Summit node, on node-level job scheduler records collected after each job termination, and on a 1Hz data rate from the baseboard management controllers (BMCs) of each Summit compute node using the OpenBMC event subscription protocol. Technical details can be found in the paper Oles et. al “Understanding GPU Memory Corruption at Extreme Scale: The Summit Case Study” ICS’24 (https://doi.org/10.1145/3650200.3656615).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Assessment of Thin Plastic Scintillation Detectors for Beta-Particle Measurements at the Advanced Test Reactor Critical Facility

The Fission Wire Measurement System is a custom measurement system designed in the 1960s to measure the beta-particle activity of irradiated uranium-aluminum fission wires. This measurement is conducted to determine the fission rate profile of the Advanced Reactor Test Critical facility. The Advanced Test Reactor Critical facility is an open-pool, low-power test reactor used to qualify experiment configurations and verify core models prior to full-power experiment irradiations in the Advanced Test Reactor. Power distribution measurements in ATR-C use uranium-aluminum wires that are distributed throughout the core to validate simulation and modeling results. These measurements require from 340 to 1500 wires to be irradiated and measured within a 12-hour window. The system consists of 4 measurement channels and one reference channel, each with a 2-pi proportional gas flow detector and the measurement channels each have an automated sample changer. The gas flow detectors are of a custom design for this detector system that use methane gas with a large anode wire compared to modern proportional counters. These detectors, which are nearly 60 years old are irreplaceable. The measurements from these gas detectors are affected by the gas flow rate, atmospheric and line pressure, and are very sensitive to the applied high voltage. Recent improvements have been made to the control and data acquisition system, but the detectors have remained the same. The nature of the measurement of the fission product decay activity is such that the energy spectrum of the signal is changing with time. Thin, 250-um thick, plastic scintillators were commercially obtained as a potential replacement for the gas flow detectors. The original calibration of the uranium-aluminum fission wires was conducted in 1965 using a series of irradiations of gold foils and the wires in a well-characterized thermal neutron field. These measurements provided a time-dependent fission rate conversion factor from the gold foil data to calibrate the fission wires based on the response from the 2-pi proportional gas detectors. Transitioning to the new detectors requires qualification and testing. The sensitivity of the scintillators to changes in the energy spectrum of the fission wires and translation of the calibration factor have been completed. These measurements indicated that the sensitivity of the scintillators over time changes at a different rate than the sensitivity of the gas flow detectors. However, the inverse activity of measurements of both detector types is linear with time. Initial results indicate that the scintillator detectors will be a sufficient replacement for the gas detectors with minor adjustments to the fission rate conversion factor. Replacement of the detectors will improve the fission wire measurements and provide a more stable and reliable measurement system.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗

NASA NTRS2017

Developing Reliable Life Support for Mars

A human mission to Mars will require highly reliable life support systems. Mars life support systems may recycle water and oxygen using systems similar to those on the International Space Station (ISS). However, achieving sufficient reliability is less difficult for ISS than it will be for Mars. If an ISS system has a serious failure, it is possible to provide spare parts, or directly supply water or oxygen, or if necessary bring the crew back to Earth. Life support for Mars must be designed, tested, and improved as needed to achieve high demonstrated reliability. A quantitative reliability goal should be established and used to guide development t. The designers should select reliable components and minimize interface and integration problems. In theory a system can achieve the component-limited reliability, but testing often reveal unexpected failures due to design mistakes or flawed components. Testing should extend long enough to detect any unexpected failure modes and to verify the expected reliability. Iterated redesign and retest may be required to achieve the reliability goal. If the reliability is less than required, it may be improved by providing spare components or redundant systems. The number of spares required to achieve a given reliability goal depends on the component failure rate. If the failure rate is under estimated, the number of spares will be insufficient and the system may fail. If the design is likely to have undiscovered design or component problems, it is advisable to use dissimilar redundancy, even though this multiplies the design and development cost. In the ideal case, a human tended closed system operational test should be conducted to gain confidence in operations, maintenance, and repair. The difficulty in achieving high reliability in unproven complex systems may require the use of simpler, more mature, intrinsically higher reliability systems. The limitations of budget, schedule, and technology may suggest accepting lower and less certain expected reliability. A plan to develop reliable life support is needed to achieve the best possible reliability.

life support↗

DOE OSTI2024

Exploring the Performance and Reliability of Screen-Printable Fire-Through Copper Paste on PERC Solar Cells

In this work, we present the performance and reliability of a fire-through copper (Cu) paste which has been screen printed on c-Si solar cell with passivated emitter rear contact (PERC). The Cu paste is fired through silicon nitride (SiN) anti-reflection coating at a peak temperature of 630 degrees C . SEM images of the Cu paste show a Cu core with ~200 nm oxide shell around the particles. This conductive oxide layer acts as a diffusion barrier between Cu and Si and prevents the degradation of cell performance during accelerated aging conditions. An efficiency of 19.250% has been achieved with Voc=654mV,FF= 76.68%, Jsc=38.40 m.A/cm 2 for champion PERC cells. Accelerated testing of the PERC mini-modules in damp heat chamber with 85 degrees C and 85% humidity have demonstrated that the devices are operational even after 1,500 hours. Devices with screen printed Ag contacts on the front side have been studied in parallel to the Cu contacts for comparison.

copper↗

DOE OSTI2024

Explained: Fundamentals of Power Grid Reliability and Clean Electricity

Maintaining reliability of the bulk power system, which supplies and transmits electricity, is a critical priority for electric grid planners, operators, and regulators. As we move toward a cleaner electricity system with more technologies like wind, solar, and battery storage, the way in which we plan for and achieve reliability will change. This fact sheet provides additional technical background to the topics covered in three other reliability explainers on how we measure, enforce, and plan for reliable systems with more clean electricity.

POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

NASA NTRS2012

Space Launch System Accelerated Booster Development Cycle

With the retirement of the Space Shuttle, NASA is seeking to reinvigorate the national space program and recapture the public s interest in human space exploration by developing missions to the Moon, near-earth asteroids, Lagrange points, Mars, and beyond. The would-be successor to the Space Shuttle, NASA s Constellation Program, planned to take humans back to the Moon by 2020, but due to budgetary constraints was cancelled in 2010 in search of a more "affordable, sustainable, and realistic" concept2. Following a number of studies, the much anticipated Space Launch System (SLS) was unveiled in September of 2011. The SLS core architecture consists of a cryogenic first stage with five Space Shuttle Main Engines (SSMEs), and a cryogenic second stage using a new J-2X engine3. The baseline configuration employs two 5-segment solid rocket boosters to achieve a 70 metric ton payload capability, but a new, more capable booster system will be required to attain the goal of 130 metric tons to orbit. To this end, NASA s Marshall Space Flight Center recently released a NASA Research Announcement (NRA) entitled "Space Launch System (SLS) Advanced Booster Engineering Demonstration and/or Risk Reduction." The increased emphasis on affordability is evident in the language used in the NRA, which is focused on risk reduction "leading to an affordable Advanced Booster that meets the evolved capabilities of SLS" and "enabling competition" to "enhance SLS affordability. The purpose of the work presented in this paper is to perform an independent assessment of the elements that make up an affordable and realistic path forward for the SLS booster system, utilizing advanced design methods and technology evaluation techniques. The goal is to identify elements that will enable a more sustainable development program by exploring the trade space of heavy lift booster systems and focusing on affordability, operability, and reliability at the system and subsystem levels5. For this study, affordability is defined as lifecycle cost, which includes design, development, test, and engineering (DDT&E), production and operational costs (P&O). For this study, the system objectives include reducing DDT&E schedule by a factor of three, showing 99.9% reliability, flying up to four times per year, serving both crew and cargo missions, and evolving to a lift capability of 130 metric tons.3 After identifying gaps in the current system s capabilities, this study seeks to identify non-traditional and innovative technologies and processes that may improve performance in these areas and assess their impacts on booster system development. The DDT&E phase may be improved by incorporating incremental development testing and integrated demonstrations to mitigate risk. To further reduce DDT&E, this study will also consider how aspects of the booster system may have commonality with other users, such as the Department of Defense, commercial applications, or international partners; by sharing some of the risk and investment, the overall development cost may be reduced. Consideration is not limited to solid and liquid rocket boosters. A set of functional performance characteristics, such as engine thrust, specific impulse (Isp), mixture ratio, and throttle range are identified and their impacts on the system are evaluated. This study also identifies how such characteristics affect overall life cycle cost, including DDT&E and fixed and variable P&O.

Arockiam, Nicole↗

NASA NTRS1987

Mass and power estimates for Mars in-situ propellant production systems

An in-situ propellant production (ISPP) concept, a method for producing oxygen from carbon dioxide in the Martian atmosphere, is evaluated. The concept considered here employs zirconia membrane technology to separate O2 from CO2. Several options which can improve the reliability of the CO2/O2 ISPP system and also reduce the mass and power requirements are examined, and it is noted that the use of absorption pumps and advanced zirconia membranes significantly improves system reliability by eliminating the rotating turbomachinery of mechanical pumps. Mass and power requirements of ISPP systems designed to produce O2 only from CO2 (for an unmanned Mars mission) and to produce both CO and O2 from CO2 (for a manned Mars mission) are evaluated.

Frisbee, R. H.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Photovoltaic fleet degradation insights

Abstract In the PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative, high‐frequency data from commercial and utility‐scale photovoltaic (PV) systems have been collected to examine performance loss rates (PLRs) at a fleet scale. To date, performance data from more than 7.2‐gigawatt (GW) capacity, 1700 sites and 19,000 inverters—approximately equivalent to 6% to 7% of the entire US PV market—have been collected. An overall PLR of −0.75%/year was found, which is in line with historical and recent findings. Tracked silicon (Si) and cadmium telluride (CdTe) performed comparably with all fixed‐tilt systems. Higher PLRs were found for hotter temperature zones; cooler climates exhibit a median −0.48%/year loss, which increases to −0.88%/year in hotter climates. High‐efficiency module technologies showed median PLRs in line with conventional Si technologies but demonstrated markedly different PLR behavior when filtered only for low‐light conditions <600 W/m 2 . Causes for this technology‐dependent behavior are under investigation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Chapter 2: Genetics of Unstudied Thermophiles for Industry

Thermophilic organisms hold great potential for industry due to their numerous advantages in biotechnological applications such as higher reaction rate, higher substrate loading, decreased susceptibility to reaction contamination, energy savings in industrial fermentations, and ability to express thermostable proteins that can be utilized in many important industrial processes. Bioprospecting for thermophiles will continue to reveal new enzymatic and metabolic paradigms with industrial applicability. In order to translate these paradigms to production scale, routine methods for microbial genetic engineering are needed, yet remain to be developed in many newly isolated thermophiles. Major challenges and recent developments in the establishment of reliable genetic systems in thermophiles are discussed. Here, we use a hyperthermophilic, cellulolytic bacterium, Caldicellulosiruptor bescii, as a case study to demonstrate the development of a genetic system for an industrially useful thermophile, describing in detail methods for transformation, genetic tool utilization, and chromosomal modification using targeted gene deletion and insertion techniques.

93 SC - Biological and Environmental Research (BER↗

DOE OSTI2023

Hierarchical thermal-conductive polymer nanocomposites for thermal management

Managing heat in electrical conductors is a major challenge to meet the demands for sustainable energy use and electrical reliability, most notably power electronics and energy-critical electrical machines. Achieving such disparate functionalities, such as high temperature thermal and electrical reliability, require rational design and manufacturing of thermal conductor material and its hierarchical structures. Here we present hierarchical thermal-conductive nanocomposites, consisting of nanostructured ceramic conformal coating and aligned ultrahigh molecular weight polyethylene fiber, to tailor heat dissipation in electric conductors. The hybrid aligned thermal interface exhibits a highly desirable temperature dependent anisotropic high thermal conductivity with 0.98W m –1 K –1 and dielectric strength with 3.4. In addition, electrically insulating thermal interfaces demonstrate high-performing and reliable electrical systems under the dynamic load conditions. The surface temperature of heterogeneous ceramic-polymer encapsulated conductor is 17.8 °C lower than that of polymer-encapsulated conductor at the same electrical load. Consequently, the findings shown here hold great promises for directing heat extraction in electrical machine systems, advancing thermal management for emerging electronic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Additive manufacturing of ceramic materials for energy applications: Road map and opportunities

Among engineering materials, ceramics are indispensable in energy applications such as batteries, capacitors, solar cells, smart glass, fuel cells and electrolyzers, nuclear power plants, thermoelectrics, thermoionics, carbon capture and storage, control of harmful emission from combustion engines, piezoelectrics, turbines and heat exchangers, among others. Advances in additive manufacturing (AM) offer new opportunities to fabricate these devices in geometries unachievable previously and may provide higher efficiencies and performance, all at lower costs. This article reviews the state of the art in ceramic materials for various energy applications. The focus of the review is on material selections, processing, and opportunities for AM technologies in energy related ceramic materials manufacturing. The aim of the article is to provide a roadmap for stakeholders such as industry, academia and funding agencies on research and development in additive manufacturing of ceramic materials toward more efficient, cost-effective, and reliable energy systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗