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At least 1,423 records · Page 79

Connecting ambient toxicity testing with community-level responses of benthic macroinvertebrates in an impacted stream in East Tennessee, USA

Single-species laboratory toxicity tests are a standard tool for evaluating potential impairment of freshwater systems; however, it remains uncertain how well they reflect community-level impacts in natural environments. This study presents a multi-decadal dataset (2005-2025) pairing ambient toxicity testing with macroinvertebrate surveys along Bear Creek on the Oak Ridge Reservation (Tennessee, USA) downstream of an industrial complex to assess the ability of laboratory tests using stream water to track community-level effects. Biannual three-brood Ceriodaphnia dubia tests from 2005 to 2025 often showed reduced reproduction at select sites. Integrating water quality data showed strong positive correlations between sublethal toxicity and specific conductance. Macroinvertebrate diversity metrics, family-level occurrence, and densities were also associated with conductance and contemporaneous C. dubia responses. Laboratory-measured sublethal toxicity was a stronger indicator of macroinvertebrate change than conductance alone, although responses varied among sites and seasons. At the site with the highest diversity, densities and richness of Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, Trichoptera (EPT) and non-EPT taxa were significantly related to C. dubia reproduction, with greater toxicity corresponding to lower diversity. At the family level, some pollution-tolerant taxa were more prevalent and at higher densities during periods of sublethal toxicity, while some sensitive families were absent or reduced. These patterns may reflect site-specific mixtures of acute and chronic stressors, with laboratory toxicity tests more effectively capturing short-term impacts. Overall, these multi-decadal observations suggest that laboratory toxicity tests can help track water-quality changes linked to shifts in aquatic community diversity, despite variable responses reflecting the complexity of dynamic stressors in this impacted freshwater system.

Stevenson, Louise [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000349679897)↗

Comparison of Machine Learning-Based Predictive Models of the Nutrient Loads Delivered from the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin to the Gulf of Mexico

Predicting nutrient loads is essential to understanding and managing one of the environmental issues faced by the northern Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone, which poses a severe threat to the Gulf’s healthy ecosystem and economy. The development of hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico is strongly associated with the eutrophication process initiated by excessive nutrient loads. Due to the complexities in the excessive nutrient loads to the Gulf of Mexico, it is challenging to understand and predict the underlying temporal variation of nutrient loads. The study was aimed at identifying an optimal predictive machine learning model to capture and predict nonlinear behavior of the nutrient loads delivered from the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB) to the Gulf of Mexico. For this purpose, monthly nutrient loads (N and P) in tons were collected from US Geological Survey (USGS) monitoring station 07373420 from 1980 to 2020. Machine learning models—including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), gaussian process regression (GPR), single-layer multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a long short-term memory (LSTM) with the single hidden layer—were developed to predict the monthly nutrient loads, and model performances were evaluated by standard assessment metrics—Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Correlation Coefficient (R). The residuals of predictive models were examined by the Durbin–Watson statistic. The results showed that MLP and LSTM persistently achieved better accuracy in predicting monthly TN and TP loads compared to GPR and ARIMA. In addition, GPR models achieved slightly better test RMSE score than ARIMA models while their correlation coefficients are much lower than ARIMA models. Moreover, MLP performed slightly better than LSTM in predicting monthly TP loads while LSTM slightly outperformed for TN loads. Furthermore, it was found that the optimizer and number of inputs didn’t show effects on the LSTM performance while they exhibited impacts on MLP outcomes. This study explores the capability of machine learning models to accurately predict nonlinearly fluctuating nutrient loads delivered to the Gulf of Mexico. Further efforts focus on improving the accuracy of forecasting using hybrid models which combine several machine learning models with superior predictive performance for nutrient fluxes throughout the MARB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

CO 2 –Brine Contact Angle Measurements on Navajo, Nugget, Bentheimer, Bandera Brown, Berea, and Mt. Simon Sandstones

In this study, contact angles were measured for CO 2 bubbles on six different sandstones (Navajo, Nugget, Bentheimer, Bandera Brown, Berea, and Mt. Simon) that could potentially represent properties of CO 2 storage depositional environments. The impacts of pressure and temperature were studied by focusing on the CO 2 phase behavior in three different scenarios: gaseous, liquid, and supercritical conditions. Despite controlling the sample preparation and cleanliness, CO 2 -brine equilibration conditions, and pressure and temperature, there were inconsistencies in contact angle trends that could largely be attributed to natural sample heterogeneity resulting from localized variations in topography, surface roughness, and mineral composition across the surface. Despite these variations, the analysis of 298 measurements from this study showed that 81% of the contact angles were below 40° representing strongly water-wet to (moderately) water-wet behaviors. Also, 17.3% of the measurements were between 40° and 60° (weakly water-wet) and primarily belonged to small CO 2 bubbles (< 500 μm) that were heavily impacted by localized surface heterogeneity in natural sandstone samples. Additionally, only 1.7% of the measurements had angles greater than 60° and could be classified as CO 2 -wet behavior, but these measurements occurred on extremely small bubbles (100-200 μm) that were very dependent on localized surface heterogeneity. While some of the detailed physics of the CO 2 -brine-sandstone interface is still poorly understood, from an application standpoint, the sandstones of this study were best characterized as strongly water-wet to (moderately) water-wet.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Electrochemical Oxidation of HMF via Hydrogen Atom Transfer and Hydride Transfer on NiOOH and the Impact of NiOOH Composition

Abstract A great deal of attention has been directed toward studying the electrochemical oxidation of 5‐hydroxymethylfurfural (HMF), a molecule that can be obtained from biomass‐derived cellulose and hemicellulose, to 2,5‐furandicarboxylic acid (FDCA), a molecule that can replace the petroleum‐derived terephthalic acid in the production of widely used polymers such as polyethylene terephthalate. NiOOH is one of the best and most well studied electrocatalysts for achieving this transformation; however, the mechanism by which it does so is still poorly understood. This study quantitatively examines how two different dehydrogenation mechanisms on NiOOH impact the oxidation of HMF and its oxidation intermediates on the way to FDCA. The first mechanism is a well‐established indirect oxidation mechanism featuring chemical hydrogen atom transfer to Ni 3+ sites while the second mechanism is a newly discovered potential‐dependent (PD) oxidation mechanism involving electrochemically induced hydride transfer to Ni 4+ sites. The composition of NiOOH was also tuned to shift the potential of the Ni(OH) 2 /NiOOH redox couple and to investigate how this affects the rates of indirect and PD oxidation as well as intermediate accumulation during a constant potential electrolysis. The new insights gained by this study will allow for the rational design of more efficient electrochemical dehydrogenation catalysts.

2,5-furandicarboxylic acid↗

Effects of dose rate on the microstructure and deuterium retention in γ-LiAlO 2 pellets

This report presents experimental findings obtained from November 2024 to September 2025. Defect accumulation and microstructural evolution during ion irradiation at elevated temperatures are governed by two competing processes: defect production, driven by dose rate, and defect recovery, controlled by defect diffusion, interaction, and annihilation. At a given dose, the resulting microstructural evolution depends on both the dose rate and irradiation temperature. As a continuation of our FY24 tritium science project, which investigated temperature effects at a fixed dose rate, this study focuses on dose-rate effects at a fixed temperature to provide deeper insights into the irradiated microstructure and compositional changes in γ-LiAlO 2 pellets. The study aims to elucidate the impact of dose rate on microstructure, precipitate morphology, deuterium retention, and lithium volatility in γ-LiAlO 2 pellets under sequential 120 keV He + and 80 keV D 2 + ion irradiation. Three dose rates of 7.3×10 4 , 2.9×10 4 and 6.8×10 5 dpa/s were applied to achieve the same total ion fluence of 2×10 17 (He + +D + )/cm 2 at 500 °C, corresponding to a maximum combined dose of 7.55 dpa at ~255 nm. The irradiated pellets were subsequently characterized using scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM) and time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS). The microstructural response of γ-LiAlO 2 to ion irradiation was found to be strongly dose-rate dependent. At medium and high dose rates, irradiation produced a surface amorphized layer and an underlying crystalline layer containing LiAl 5 O 8 precipitates, with implanted gases accumulating and forming blisters at the crystalline-amorphous interface. It remains to be investigated whether the amorphized layer was produced by He + ion irradiation prior to D 2 + ion irradiation. In contrast, at low dose rates, the material remained crystalline, with cavities, likely gas-filled, distributed around precipitates, within the γ-LiAlO 2 matrix, and along grain boundaries. While precipitate morphology exhibited anisotropy, their size showed little sensitivity to dose rate in the applied range of this study. This result, however, does not rule out the possibility that further reductions in dose rate could influence precipitate size. High dose-rate irradiation enhanced protonium–deuterium isotopic exchange and lithium depletion in the amorphized region. Collectively, the results show that dose rate governs amorphization, gas redistribution, isotopic exchange, and lithium depletion, providing important insights into the mechanisms underlying structural evolution in γ-LiAlO 2 pellets under reactor-relevant irradiation conditions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Precision Mass Measurements Reveal Low Neutron Pairing in Tin beyond 𝑁=82 and Its Impact on Stellar Nucleosynthesis

We present a study on neutron-rich tin (𝑍 =50) isotopes beyond the doubly closed shell of 𝑁 = 82 through high-precision mass measurements, including the first-ever measurements of the masses of 136 Sn, 137 Sn, and 138 Sn isotopes. These measurements enhance our understanding of the nuclear structure and astrophysical nucleosynthesis in this previously unexplored region. The new mass data are used for evaluation of the final abundances of mass numbers 𝐴 =135 and 137 in 𝑟-process network calculations. Our findings reveal a notable change in the empirical pairing gap for tin isotopes beyond the 𝑁 = 82 closed shell and a shift in the two-neutron-separation energy slope compared to heavier elements above the shell closure. A new set of ab initio calculations effectively describes these observed trends.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Model Assumptions and Data Characteristics: Impacts on Domain Adaptation in Building Segmentation

Studies on domain adaptation (DA) for remote sensing (RS) imagery analysis lack consistency in selection and description of evaluation scenarios. Without properly characterizing datasets, model assumptions, and evaluation scenarios, it is difficult to objectively compare DA methods and reach conclusions about their suitability across different applications. With this motivation, this work seeks to empirically assess to which extent the interaction between data characteristics and model assumptions influences the effectiveness of DA methods. Using the widely explored task of building footprint segmentation as a case study, we perform a large-scale study across over 200 DA scenarios that include variations across view angles, areas observed, and sensors used for data acquisition. Rather than adopting different model architectures or optimization criteria, we contrast the performances of two DA methods based on adversarial learning that differ only in their assumptions about source and target domains. Informed by metadata and data characteristics unveiled using traditional computer vision (CV) techniques as well as pretrained deep models, we provide a detailed meta-analysis of experiments highlighting the importance of accurately considering data assumptions for DA in RS segmentation tasks. As demonstrated by a “cherry-picking” exercise, different claims regarding which model is best could be made by selecting different subsets of evaluation scenarios. While well-calibrated assumptions can be beneficial, mismatching assumptions can lead to negative biases in DA applications. Furthermore, this study intends to motivate the community toward more consistent evaluation protocols while providing recommendations and insights toward creating novel benchmark datasets, documenting data characteristics, application-specific knowledge, and model assumptions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Mining and Validating Social Media Data for COVID-19–Related Human Behaviors Between January and July 2020: Infodemiology Study

Background: Health authorities can minimize the impact of an emergent infectious disease outbreak through effective and timely risk communication, which can build trust and adherence to subsequent behavioral messaging. Monitoring the psychological impacts of an outbreak, as well as public adherence to such messaging, is also important for minimizing long-term effects of an outbreak. Objective: We used social media data from Twitter to identify human behaviors relevant to COVID-19 transmission, as well as the perceived impacts of COVID-19 on individuals, as a first step toward real-time monitoring of public perceptions to inform public health communications. Methods: We developed a coding schema for 6 categories and 11 subcategories, which included both a wide number of behaviors as well codes focused on the impacts of the pandemic (eg, economic and mental health impacts). We used this to develop training data and develop supervised learning classifiers for classes with sufficient labels. Classifiers that performed adequately were applied to our remaining corpus, and temporal and geospatial trends were assessed. We compared the classified patterns to ground truth mobility data and actual COVID-19 confirmed cases to assess the signal achieved here. Results: We applied our labeling schema to approximately 7200 tweets. The worst-performing classifiers had F1 scores of only 0.18 to 0.28 when trying to identify tweets about monitoring symptoms and testing. Classifiers about social distancing, however, were much stronger, with F1 scores of 0.64 to 0.66. We applied the social distancing classifiers to over 228 million tweets. We showed temporal patterns consistent with real-world events, and we showed correlations of up to –0.5 between social distancing signals on Twitter and ground truth mobility throughout the United States. Conclusions: Behaviors discussed on Twitter are exceptionally varied. Twitter can provide useful information for parameterizing models that incorporate human behavior, as well as for informing public health communication strategies by describing awareness of and compliance with suggested behaviors.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Alterations in soil pH emerge as a key driver of the impact of global change on soil microbial nitrogen cycling: Evidence from a global meta-analysis

Soil nitrogen (N) cycling is critical to the productivity of terrestrial ecosystems. However, the impact of global change factors (GCFs) on the microbial mediators of N cycling pathways has yet to be synthesized, and it also remains unclear whether the response of the abundance of N-cycling genes can predict changes in their corresponding processes. We synthesized 8322 paired observations of soil microorganisms related to N cycling from field experiments in which GCFs (climate change and nutrient addition) were manipulated. We found that the abundance of soil microbes and most N-cycling genes were resistant to elevated CO 2 , experimental warming and water addition/reduction; however, N addition and the combination of N addition with other GCFs significantly increased the abundance of ammonia oxidizer bacteria (amoA-AOB). The results indicated that in steady-state (natural) conditions, the main factors driving the global abundance of soil bacteria, archaea and N-cycling genes varied in terms of the contributions of climatic and edaphic factors. However, upon manipulation of GCFs, the induced change in soil pH was the most essential factor associated with changes in the abundance of soil microbes and N-cycling genes. Notably, the changes in ammonia-oxidizing archaea (amoA-AOA) and amoA-AOB genes, in addition to genes involved in denitrification (nirS and nirK), were significantly correlated with the rates of their corresponding processes, but GCF-induced shifts in the potential nitrification rate (PNR) were explained well by changes in the abundance of the amoA-AOB gene under GCFs. In conclusion, our study highlights how ongoing GCFs impact the abundance of soil microbes and N-cycling genes, which might have a profound impact on terrestrial N cycling. Our field-based results provide new insights into the drivers of the abundance of soil microbes and N-cycling genes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic hosting capacity analysis for distributed photovoltaic resources—Framework and case study

Distributed photovoltaic systems can cause adverse distribution system impacts, including voltage violations at customer locations and thermal overload of lines, transformers, and other equipment resulting from high current. The installed capacity at which violations first occur and above which would require system upgrades is called the hosting capacity. Current static methods for determining hosting capacity tend to either consider infrequent worst-case snapshots in time and/or capture coarse time and spatial resolution. Because the duration of violations cannot be captured with these traditional methods, the metric thresholds used in these studies conservatively use the strictest constraints given in operating standards, even though both worse voltage performance and higher overloads may be temporarily acceptable. However, assessing the full details requires accurately capturing time-dependence, voltage-regulating equipment operations, and performance of advanced controls-based mitigation techniques. In this paper, we propose a dynamic distributed photovoltaic hosting capacity methodology to address these issues by conducting power flow analysis for a full year. A key contribution is the formulation of time aware metrics to take these annual results and identify the hosting capacity. Through a case study, we show that this approach can more fully capture grid impacts of distributed photovoltaic than traditional methods and the dynamic hosting capacity was 60%–200% higher than the static hosting capacity in this case study.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

The Close AGN Reference Survey (CARS)

Active galactic nuclei (AGN) are thought to be responsible for the suppression of star formation in massive ~10 10 M ⊙ galaxies. While this process is a key feature in numerical simulations of galaxy formation, it has not been unambiguously confirmed in observational studies yet. The characterization of the star formation rate (SFR) in AGN host galaxies is challenging as AGN light contaminates most SFR tracers. Furthermore, the various SFR tracers are sensitive to different timescales of star formation from approximately a few to 100 Myr. We aim to obtain and compare SFR estimates from different tracers for AGN host galaxies in the Close AGN Reference Survey (CARS) to provide new observational insights into the recent SFR history of those systems. We constructed integrated panchromatic spectral energy distributions to measure the far infrared (FIR) luminosity as a tracer for the recent (< 100 Myr) SFR. In addition we used the integral-field unit observation of the CARS targets to employ the Hα luminosity decontaminated by AGN excitation as a proxy for the current (< 5 Myr) SFR. We find that significant differences in specific SFR of the AGN host galaxies as compared with the larger galaxy population disappear once cold gas mass, in addition to stellar mass, is used to predict the SFR for a specific AGN host. Only a tentative trend with the inclination of the host galaxy remains, such that SFR appears slightly lower than expected when the galaxies of unobscured AGN appear more edge-on along our line-of-sight, particular for dust-insensitive FIR-based SFRs. We identify individual galaxies with a significant difference in their SFR which can be related to a recent enhancement or decline in their SFR history that might be related to various processes including interactions, gas consumption, outflows, and AGN feedback. AGN can be present in various stages of galaxy evolution which makes it difficult to relate the SFR solely to the impact of the AGN. Our study shows that stellar mass alone is an insufficient parameter to estimate the expected SFR of an AGN host galaxy compared to the underlying non-AGN galaxy population. We do not find any strong evidence for a global positive or negative AGN feedback in the CARS sample. However, there is tentative evidence that (1) the relative orientation of the AGN engine with respect to the host galaxies might alter the efficiency of AGN feedback and that (2) the recent SFH is an additional tool to identify rapid changes in galaxy growth driven by the AGN or other processes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The response of the Amazon ecosystem to the photosynthetically active radiation fields: integrating impacts of biomass burning aerosol and clouds in the NASA GEOS Earth system model

The Amazon experiences fires every year, and the resulting biomass burning aerosols, together with cloud particles, influence the penetration of sunlight through the atmosphere, increasing the ratio of diffuse to direct photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) reaching the vegetation canopy and thereby potentially increasing ecosystem productivity. In this study, we use the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model with coupled aerosol, cloud, radiation, and ecosystem modules to investigate the impact of Amazon biomass burning aerosols on ecosystem productivity, as well as the role of the Amazon's clouds in tempering this impact. The study focuses on a 7-year period (2010–2016) during which the Amazon experienced a variety of dynamic environments (e.g., La Niña, normal years, and El Niño). The direct radiative impact of biomass burning aerosols on ecosystem productivity – called here the aerosol diffuse radiation fertilization effect – is found to increase Amazonian gross primary production (GPP) by 2.6 % via a 3.8 % increase in diffuse PAR (DFPAR) despite a 5.4 % decrease in direct PAR (DRPAR) on multiyear average during burning seasons. On a monthly basis, this increase in GPP can be as large as 9.9 % (occurring in August 2010). Consequently, the net primary production (NPP) in the Amazon is increased by 1.5 %, or ~92 Tg C yr -1 – equivalent to ~37 % of the average carbon lost due to Amazon fires over the 7 years considered. Clouds, however, strongly regulate the effectiveness of the aerosol diffuse radiation fertilization effect. The efficiency of this fertilization effect is the highest in cloud-free conditions and linearly decreases with increasing cloud amount until the cloud fraction reaches ~0.8, at which point the aerosol-influenced light changes from being a stimulator to an inhibitor of plant growth. Nevertheless, interannual changes in the overall strength of the aerosol diffuse radiation fertilization effect are primarily controlled by the large interannual changes in biomass burning aerosols rather than by changes in cloudiness during the studied period.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

BOTTLE 2 - Analysis

The use of analysis is foundational to BOTTLE. In particular, we conduct techno-economic analysis (TEA), life cycle assessment (LCA), and supply chain modeling for each new BOTTLE innovation, spanning new deconstruction and upcycling technologies to redesigned polymers. These critical analysis tools are used in parallel with laboratory research to ensure that BOTTLE technologies can ultimately meet our key metrics. The BOTTLE team used analysis early in the current 3-year project cycle to identify research priorities from a scale, energy, and economics perspective (Nicholson et al., Joule 2021), and recently we presented a comprehensive framework for comparing new circularity-focused approaches to linear, incumbent practices (Nicholson et al., Ann. Rev. Chem. Biomolec. Eng. 2022). This presentation will also review case studies in analysis for closed-loop PET recycling across a range of recycling methods, baseline studies that we have conducted for plastics pyrolysis and gasification as another comparator for BOTTLE technologies, and a comprehensive study of existing closed-loop recycling technologies from a full suite of environmental impacts and feedstock quality metrics. We have undertaken studies of circular polymers being developed in the Redesign task, and we will present an exemplary case for a bio-based acrylic polymer that can replace polymethyl methacrylate. Overall, analysis is critical to enable the BOTTLE Consortium to focus on impactful, realistic technologies.

BIOMASS FUELS↗

Energy Impact of Radiative Cooling Paints in Warehouses Under Various United States Climates

Although radiative cooling research is widely found in the literature, no comprehensive study has yet been conducted on the impact of novel radiant cooling (>0.91 reflectance) on the energy efficiency of warehouses. Here, in this work, we develop three building models based on a Department of Energy prototype warehouse model using trnsys, representing a typical warehouse with a black roof, a typical warehouse with a white roof, and a warehouse with novel radiative cooling (RC) paint on its roof. These models are run for 15 different cities, each representative of a different ASHRAE climate zone, to better understand the impact of RC in many different climates. It was found that an RC-coated roof in a warehouse could reduce the building's annual heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) loads by up to 14.11 kWh/m 2 of the roof area compared to a black roof, resulting in a maximum reduction in energy costs of 0.55 $\$$/m 2 or $\$$2646/year for a large 4835 m 2 warehouse. Similarly, replacing the typical white roof coating with an RC coating could reduce the warehouse's energy consumption by up to 8.17 kWh/ m 2 of roof area, thus reducing energy costs by as much as 0.29 $\$$/m 2 or $\$$1386/year for a 4835 m 2 warehouse. In addition, applying RC paint to an unconditioned warehouse could reduce the building's ASHRAE Standard 55 indoor temperature exceedance by up to 1330 h/year compared to a black roof and up to 532 h/year compared to a white roof.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Electrochemical phenyl oxidation: A limiting factor of oxygen evolution reaction in water electrolysis

This mini review explains the electrochemical phenyl oxidation of ionomers in the anode catalyst layers of the water electrolyzer that significantly impacts the performance and durability of the device. Although the relevant studies on phenyl oxidation on platinum group metal-free catalysts under high electrode potential are scarce, several studies with platinum group metal catalysts indicated that the impact of electrochemical phenyl oxidation can be profound. In the first part, this review summarizes ionomer-catalyst interactions that impact alkaline electrochemical devices, emphasizing the importance of minimizing interactions between the phenyl moiety of ionomers and oxygen evolution reaction catalysts. In the second part, we discuss the adsorption energies of phenyl groups found in ionomer fragments on different oxygen evolution catalysts. Finally, the mitigation strategies of electrochemical phenyl oxidation for advanced water electrolyzers are briefly discussed at the end of the review.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Utility Sector Impacts of Reduced Electricity Demand: Updates to Methodology and Results

This report presents revisions to the methodology for estimating the utility sector impacts associated with electricity demand reductions, first published in our 2014 study. The earlier report described how to calculate utility impact factors based on data from the Energy Information Agency's Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) projections of electricity supply and demand. The 2014 methodology relied on data from the AEO Reference case, and side cases implementing demand-side policies with a substantial impact on total demand. Beginning in 2015, the AEO publication schedule was revised to limit the number of side cases published with each AEO, and no suitable demand-focused side cases have been released since 2014. Hence, this paper presents a generalization of the methodology that allows a uniform approach irrespective of the nature of the side cases published with the AEO. The impact factors we calculate represent coeffcients of variation between a unit reduction to site electricity demand and corresponding supply-side changes, including reductions to electric power generation and primary fuel consumption by fuel type, emissions of criteria pollutants (Hg, NO x and SO 2 ) and greenhouse gases (CO 2 , N 2 O and CH 4 ), and total installed capacity by plant type. The impact factors are time-dependent, and also depend on the demand sector and end use. In this report, we apply the methodology to all AEO publications from 2014-2019, and all scenarios. We quantify the variation in factors across different side cases within each AEO, and across different AEO publications, and compare this to the variation due to changes in methodology.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Corrosion of Al-Fe self-pierce riveting joints with multiphysics-based modeling and experiments

Self-piercing riveting (SPR) is an extensively used joining technique to assemble dissimilar materials. However, this joining of the dissimilar materials can generate galvanic/crevice corrosion, which can drastically impact the mechanical properties and the service life of the joint. In this study, a multiphysics-based hybrid modeling approach is developed for the galvanic corrosion of the Al-Fe SPR joints, which can consider the corrosion initiation and corrosion evaluation jointly. Experimental studies are first performed to extract information regarding the corrosion initiation sites, corrosion evolution and overall corrosion induced material loss in SPR joints. The initiation information is then passed onto the multiphysics FE model thus making it a hybrid model. This model can help understand the influences of metal microstructure on the corrosion propagation while the morphology changes can also be analyzed. Using the developed hybrid modeling approach, thorough parametric studies can be performed to explore the coupled impacts of multiple corrosion factors on the corrosion behavior of the joints. The developed hybrid model is validated on the prediction of galvanic corrosion for the SPR joints by comparing with experimental observations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

TMD program at JLab

Measurements of multiplicities and asymmetries of multiparticle final states in wide kinematics, including dihadrons and vector mesons, will be crucial for a separation of different structure functions, and different contributions to specific structure functions, used in phenomenological studies of Semi-Inclusive DIS (SIDIS). Measurements of various beam Single Spin Asymmetries are discussed as a possible tool to separate different kinematical regions as well as different dynamical contributions. Precision measurements in JLab, including detailed studies of the $Q^2$ dependences of observables, would also allow testing the impact of several theoretical assumptions used in phenomenological studies of generalized PDFs (GPDs, TMDs) , also providing a mechanism for validation of the extraction frameworks, which is critical for the proper evaluation of systematic uncertainties.

Avagyan, Harutyun↗