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At least 1,423 records · Page 79

Output-weighted sampling for multi-armed bandits with extreme payoffs

We present a new type of acquisition function for online decision-making in multi-armed and contextual bandit problems with extreme payoffs. Specifically, we model the payoff function as a Gaussian process and formulate a novel type of upper confidence bound acquisition function that guides exploration towards the bandits that are deemed most relevant according to the variability of the observed rewards. This is achieved by computing a tractable likelihood ratio that quantifies the importance of the output relative to the inputs and essentially acts as an attention mechanism that promotes exploration of extreme rewards. Our formulation is supported by asymptotic zero-regret guarantees, and its performance is demonstrated across several synthetic benchmarks, as well as two realistic examples involving noisy sensor network data. Finally, we provide a JAX library for efficient bandit optimization using Gaussian processes.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

On quasar evolution.

We examine the consequences for quasar statistics of a class of models describing the evolution of individual strong sources. The continuity equation for the change of density and luminosity with cosmological epoch determines the population, once a model for the evolution of an individual object is chosen. A dynamical model of spinning objects seems to agree satisfactorily with the present observational sample, both in density and in luminosity function; such a model requires that an individual object strongly brightens as time goes on. A genetic relationship between quasars and radio galaxies which qualitatively fits the observations is suggested by the model.

Cavaliere, A.↗

Mathematical algorithms to maximize performance in numerical weather prediction

Numerical weather prediction models, which involve the solution of non-linear partial differential equations at points on an extensive three dimensional grid, are ideally suited for processing on vector machines. It was logical therefore that the new global forecast model to be implemented at the Meteorological Office should be written in vector code for the CYBER 205. In order to achieve full efficiency and to reduce storage requirements the model used 32-bit arithmetic which was found to provide high enough precision. Unfortunately, however, the trigonometrical and logarithmic functions provided by CDC could only handle 64-bit vectors and, although written in efficient scalar code, did not take advantage of the special facilities of a vector processor. It was therefore necessary to rewrite the functions in vector code to handle both 32 and 64-bit vectors. There was also no half-precision compiler available for the Cyber 205 at that time and so the functions, like the model, had to make extensive use of the special call syntax. This made the code more difficult to write but it allowed much greater flexibility in that it became possible to access the exponent of a floating-point number independently of its coefficient. A description is given of the technique and the results which were achieved are summarized.

Foreman, A.↗

Architectural Methodology Report

The establishment of conventions between two communicating entities in the end systems is essential for communications. Examples of the kind of decisions that need to be made in establishing a protocol convention include the nature of the data representation, the for-mat and the speed of the date representation over the communications path, and the sequence of control messages (if any) which are sent. One of the main functions of a protocol is to establish a standard path between the communicating entities. This is necessary to create a virtual communications medium with certain desirable characteristics. In essence, it is the function of the protocol to transform the characteristics of the physical communications environment into a more useful virtual communications model. The final function of a protocol is to establish standard data elements for communications over the path; that is, the protocol serves to create a virtual data element for exchange. Other systems may be constructed in which the transferred element is a program or a job. Finally, there are special purpose applications in which the element to be transferred may be a complex structure such as all or part of a graphic display. NASA's Glenn Research Center (GRC) defines and develops advanced technology for high priority national needs in communications technologies for application to aeronautics and space. GRC tasked Computer Networks and Software Inc. (CNS) to describe the methodologies used in developing a protocol architecture for an in-space Internet node. The node would support NASA:s four mission areas: Earth Science; Space Science; Human Exploration and Development of Space (HEDS); Aerospace Technology. This report presents the methodology for developing the protocol architecture. The methodology addresses the architecture for a computer communications environment. It does not address an analog voice architecture.

Dhas, Chris↗

Dependence of Microelastic-plastic Nonlinearity of Martensitic Stainless Steel on Fatigue Damage Accumulation

Self-organized substructural arrangements of dislocations formed in wavy slip metals during cyclic stress-induced fatigue produce substantial changes in the material microelastic-plastic nonlinearity, a quantitative measure of which is the nonlinearity parameter Beta extracted from acoustic harmonic generation measurements. The contributions to Beta from the substructural evolution of dislocations and crack growth for fatigued martensitic 410Cb stainless steel are calculated from the Cantrell model as a function of percent full fatigue life to fracture. A wave interaction factor f(sub WI) is introduced into the model to account experimentally for the relative volume of material fatigue damage included in the volume of material swept out by an interrogating acoustic wave. For cyclic stress-controlled loading at 551 MPa and f(sub WI) = 0.013 the model predicts a monotonic increase in Beta from dislocation substructures of almost 100 percent from the virgin state to roughly 95 percent full life. Negligible contributions from cracks are predicted in this range of fatigue life. However, over the last five percent of fatigue life the model predicts a rapid monotonic increase of Beta by several thousand percent that is dominated by crack growth. The theoretical predictions are in good agreement with experimental measurements of 410Cb stainless steel samples fatigued in uniaxial, stress-controlled cyclic loading at 551 MPa from zero to full tensile load with a measured f(sub WI) of 0.013.

Cantrell, John H.↗

An Image-Plane Approach to Gravitational Lens Modeling of Interferometric Data

Strong gravitational lensing acts as a cosmic telescope, enabling the study of the high-redshift universe. Astronomical interferometers, such as the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA), have provided high-resolution images of strongly lensed sources at millimeter and submillimeter wavelengths. To model the mass and light distributions of lensing and source galaxies from strongly lensed images, strong lens modeling for interferometric observations is conventionally performed in the visibility space, which is computationally expensive. In this paper, we implement an image-plane lens modeling methodology for interferometric dirty images by accounting for noise correlations. We show that the image-plane likelihood function produces accurate model values when tested on simulated ALMA observations with an ensemble of noise realizations. We also apply our technique to ALMA observations of two sources selected from the South Pole Telescope survey, comparing our results with previous visibility-based models. Our model results are consistent with previous models for both parametric and pixelated source-plane reconstructions. We implement this methodology for interferometric lens modeling in the open-source software package lenstronomy.

Zhang, Nan [Illinois U., Urbana (main)] (ORCID:000↗

Accessing the Single-Particle Structure of the Pygmy Dipole Resonance in 208 Pb

New experimental data on the neutron single-particle character of the Pygmy Dipole Resonance (PDR) in Pb 208 are presented. They were obtained from ( d , p ) and resonant proton scattering experiments performed at the Q3D spectrograph of the Maier-Leibnitz Laboratory in Garching, Germany. The new data are compared to the large suite of complementary, experimental data available for Pb 208 and establish ( d , p ) as an additional, valuable, experimental probe to study the PDR and its collectivity. Furthermore, besides the single-particle character of the states, different features of the strength distributions are discussed and compared to large-scale shell model (LSSM) and energy-density functional plus quasiparticle-phonon model theoretical approaches to elucidate the microscopic structure of the PDR in Pb 208 .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

JWST Point Spread Function Quality and Stability: Ground Testing, Integrated Modeling, and Space Validation

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) is a large (6.5 m) cryogenic segmented aperture telescope with science instruments that cover the near- and mid-infrared from 0.6-27 microns. The large aperture not only provides high photometric sensitivity, but it also enables high angular resolution across the bandpass, with a diffraction limited point spread function (PSF) at wavelengths longer than 2 microns. The JWST PSF quality and stability are intimately tied to the science capabilities as it is convolved with the astrophysical scene. However, the PSF evolves at a variety of timescales based on telescope jitter and thermal distortion as the observatory attitude is varied. We present the image quality and stability requirements, recent predictions from integrated modeling, measurements made during ground-based testing, and performance characterization activities that will be carried out as part of the commissioning process.

McElwain, Michael↗

On the impact of the galaxy window function on cosmological parameter estimation

One important source of systematics in galaxy redshift surveys comes from the estimation of the galaxy window function. Up until now, the impact of the uncertainty in estimating the galaxy window function on parameter inference has not been properly studied. In this paper, we show that the uncertainty and the bias in estimating the galaxy window function will be salient for ongoing and next-generation galaxy surveys using a simulation-based approach. With a specific case study of cross-correlating emission-line galaxies from the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys and the Planck cosmic microwave background lensing map, we show that neural network-based regression approaches to modelling the window function are superior in comparison to linear regression-based models. Here, we additionally show that the definition of the galaxy overdensity estimator can impact the overall signal-to-noise of observed power spectra. Finally, we show that the additive biases coming from the window functions can significantly bias the modes of the inferred parameters and also degrade their precision. Thus, a careful understanding of the window functions will be essential to conduct cosmological experiments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Capturing the Coverage Dependence of Aromatics’ Adsorption through Mean-Field Models

To capture the dominant interactions (surface-mediated and through-space steric) in catalytic hydrodeoxygenation systems, coverage-dependent mean-field models of aromatic adsorption are developed on Pt(111) and Ru(0001). We derive three key insights from this work: (1) we can universally apply mean-field models to capture the coverage-dependent behavior of oxygenated aromatics on transition metal surfaces, (2) we can deconvolute surface-mediated and throughspace steric interactions from the mean-field model, and (3) we can develop relatively accurate models that predict the adsorption energy of aromatics on transition metal surfaces for the full coverage range using the work function at lowest modeled coverage. In conclusion, our approach enables the rapid prediction of coverage-dependent behavior of oxygenated aromatics on transition metal surfaces, reducing the computational cost associated with these studies by an order of magnitude.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Parametric matrix models

We present a general class of machine learning algorithms called parametric matrix models. In contrast with most existing machine learning models that imitate the biology of neurons, parametric matrix models use matrix equations that emulate physical systems. Similar to how physics problems are usually solved, parametric matrix models learn the governing equations that lead to the desired outputs. Parametric matrix models can be efficiently trained from empirical data, and the equations may use algebraic, differential, or integral relations. While originally designed for scientific computing, we prove that parametric matrix models are universal function approximators that can be applied to general machine learning problems. After introducing the underlying theory, we apply parametric matrix models to a series of different challenges that show their performance for a wide range of problems. For all the challenges tested here, parametric matrix models produce accurate results within an efficient and interpretable computational framework that allows for input feature extrapolation.

Computational science↗

Reviewing MACCS Capabilities for Assessing Tritium Releases to the Environment

Tritium has a unique physical and chemical behavior which causes it to be highly mobile in the environment. As it behaves similarly to hydrogen in the environment, it may also be readily incorporated into the water cycle and other biological processes. These factors and other environmental transformations may also cause the oxidation of an elemental tritium release, resulting in a multiple order of magnitude increase in dose coefficient and radiotoxicity. While source term development and understanding for advanced reactors are still underway, tritium may be a radionuclide of interest. It is thus important to understand how tritium moves through the environment and how the MACCS accident consequence code handles acute tritium releases in an accident scenario. Additionally, existing tritium models may have functionalities that could inform updates to MACCS to handle tritium. In this report tritium transport is reviewed and existing tritium models are summarized in view of potential updates to MACCS.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Analysis and design of an adaptive multi-loop controlled two winding buck/boost regulator

Small signal low frequency linear average model is derived for a multi-loop controlled two-winding buck/boost converter employing average techniques and the describing function method. The model reveals that a well-designed multi-loop control can provide a second-order zero adaptive to output filter parameter changes due to component tolerances, temperature changes, aging, and the effect of duty cycle modulation. It also can provide stabilization effect by shifting the positive zero to the left-half S-plane. Design guidelines are formulated to optimize regulator-loop dependent characteristics.

Mahmoud, M. F.↗

Adaptive model-based control systems and methods for controlling a gas turbine

Adaptive model-based control systems and methods are described so that performance and/or operability of a gas turbine in an aircraft engine, power plant, marine propulsion, or industrial application can be optimized under normal, deteriorated, faulted, failed and/or damaged operation. First, a model of each relevant system or component is created, and the model is adapted to the engine. Then, if/when deterioration, a fault, a failure or some kind of damage to an engine component or system is detected, that information is input to the model-based control as changes to the model, constraints, objective function, or other control parameters. With all the information about the engine condition, and state and directives on the control goals in terms of an objective function and constraints, the control then solves an optimization so the optimal control action can be determined and taken. This model and control may be updated in real-time to account for engine-to-engine variation, deterioration, damage, faults and/or failures using optimal corrective control action command(s).

Brunell, Brent Jerome↗

Spatial Correlations of the Poisson Model for Radiation Transport

Characterizing the relationship between bulk physical properties and mixing in randomly heterogeneous media is a central challenge across many areas of science and engineering. A benchmark model for such studies is the Poisson model, a random tessellation of space by a Poisson process of hyperplanes. In radiation transport studies, the lack of exact expressions for the Poisson model’s spatial multipoint functions has led to approximate methods being used, introducing unquantified sources of error. Here, we recently introduced an exact solution for the Poisson model’s multipoint functions and closely related conditional probability functions (CPFs), providing a new opportunity to understand and reduce these sources of error. In this paper, we enable a more rigorous investigation of radiation transport in stochastic media by applying the recently introduced exact solution for the Poisson model’s CPFs. This paper consists of three main contributions. First, we introduce a unified framework for CPFs of the Poisson model, encompassing the recently introduced exact CPFs as well as the previously introduced atomic mix, nearest-neighbor, and combination CPFs. This framework also includes existing pruning techniques for the approximate CPFs, such as angular exclusion, as well as a novel form of angular exclusion suitable for the exact CPFs. Second, we use the exact CPFs to characterize the spatial regions where each approximate three-point CPF is most accurate, thereby explaining the observed hierarchy of accuracy among the approximate models. Finally, we evaluate material transmittance, reflectance, and flux in a three-dimensional test problem using conditional point sampling, demonstrating the relationship between CPF accuracy and transport simulation accuracy.

Poisson model↗

Studies in Astronomical Time Series Analysis: VII. An Enquiry Concerning Non-Linearity, the RMS-Mean Flux Relation, and log-Normal Flux Distributions

A broad and widely used class of stationary, linear, additive time series models can have statistical properties which many authors have asserted imply that the underlying process must be non-linear, non-stationary, multiplicative, or inconsistent with shot noise. This result is demonstrated with exact and numerical evaluation of the model flux distribution function and dependence of flux standard deviation on mean flux (here and in the literature called the rms-flux relation). These models can: (1) exhibit normal, log-normal or other flux distributions; (2) show linear or slightly non-linear rms-mean flux dependencies; as well as (3) match arbitrary second order statistics of the time series data. Accordingly the above assertions cannot be made on the basis of statistical time series analysis alone. Also idscussed are ambiguities in the meaning of terms relevant to this study – linear, stationary and multiplicative – and functions that can transform observed fluxes to a normal distribution as well or better than the logarithm.

Jeffrey D Scargle↗

Negative components in the representation $\frac{𝑑^{2}⁡(𝜎⁢𝐸)}{𝑑⁡𝐸^2}$ of heavy-ion fusion cross sections

Negative components are observed in the representation $\frac{𝑑^{2}⁡(𝜎⁢𝐸)}{𝑑⁡𝐸^2}$ in heavy-ion fusions related to recent studies of noticeable oscillations in the high-energy region of the fusion excitation functions. A modified multiGaussian model has been developed, which includes contributions for both positive and negative components in the $\frac{𝑑^{2}⁡(𝜎⁢𝐸)}{𝑑⁡𝐸^2}$ representation. The model reproduces the heavy-ion fusion excitation functions very well, including oscillations. The property of these negative components in the $\frac{𝑑^{2}⁡(𝜎⁢𝐸)}{𝑑⁡𝐸^2}$ spectrum and the reaction mechanism of fusion at energies above the Coulomb barrier are investigated. Finally, the model also reproduces well light heavy-ion fusion reactions between 12 C and 16 O at high energy; results imply that the compound nucleus channel effect may have an important contribution at the high energy region for all fusion systems.

low & intermediate energy heavy-ion reactions↗

A simple, analytical, axisymmetric microburst model for downdraft estimation

A simple analytical microburst model was developed for use in estimating vertical winds from horizontal wind measurements. It is an axisymmetric, steady state model that uses shaping functions to satisfy the mass continuity equation and simulate boundary layer effects. The model is defined through four model variables: the radius and altitude of the maximum horizontal wind, a shaping function variable, and a scale factor. The model closely agrees with a high fidelity analytical model and measured data, particularily in the radial direction and at lower altitudes. At higher altitudes, the model tends to overestimate the wind magnitude relative to the measured data.

Vicroy, Dan D.↗