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At least 1,423 records · Page 79

On the Mesoscale Structure of Coronal Mass Ejections at Mercury’s Orbit: BepiColombo and Parker Solar Probe Observations

On 2022 February 15, an impressive filament eruption was observed off the solar eastern limb from three remote-sensing viewpoints, namely, Earth, STEREO-A, and Solar Orbiter. In addition to representing the most-distant observed filament at extreme ultraviolet wavelengths—captured by Solar Orbiter's field of view extending to above 6 R ⊙ —this event was also associated with the release of a fast (∼2200 km s −1 ) coronal mass ejection (CME) that was directed toward BepiColombo and Parker Solar Probe. These two probes were separated by 2° in latitude, 4° in longitude, and 0.03 au in radial distance around the time of the CME-driven shock arrival in situ. The relative proximity of the two probes to each other and the Sun (∼0.35 au) allows us to study the mesoscale structure of CMEs at Mercury's orbit for the first time. We analyze similarities and differences in the main CME-related structures measured at the two locations, namely, the interplanetary shock, the sheath region, and the magnetic ejecta. We find that, despite the separation between the two spacecraft being well within the typical uncertainties associated with determination of CME geometric parameters from remote-sensing observations, the two sets of in situ measurements display some profound differences that make understanding the overall 3D CME structure particularly challenging. Finally, we discuss our findings within the context of space weather at Mercury's distance and in terms of the need to investigate solar transients via spacecraft constellations with small separations, which has been gaining significant attention during recent years.

Erika Palmerio↗

Particle emission with identification from an atmospheric pressure plasma liquid interface

A conspicuous emission phenomenon of luminous particles from the liquid anode surface of an atmospheric pressure DC glow discharge is reported. The emission has been shown to occur when the plasma forms a pattern on the surface of the liquid electrolyte. Here, the spatial-temporal evolutions of the trajectories of emitted particles were studied using a high-speed imaging system. Particles were sampled in flight using a witness plate for analysis. Critical particle characteristics were examined using electron microscope technologies. The morphology of the resulting splats and compositions suggest that they are molten droplets with a great deal of structure, including evidence of nanoprecipitation. A theoretical model was employed to estimate the particle size from the measured splats, which provides a radius range within a hundred micrometers. This experiment leads to the postulation of a mechanism in which particle emission at the plasma liquid interface is likely driven by the Taylor cone effect.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The Second-phase Development of the China JinPing Underground Laboratory

During 2013-2015 an expansion of the China JinPing underground Laboratory (CJPL) will be undertaken along a main branch of a bypass tunnel in the JinPing tunnel complex. This second phase of CJPL will increase laboratory space to approximately 96,000 m 3 , which can be compared to the existing CJPL-I volume of ∼ 4,000 m 3 . One design configuration has eight additional hall spaces, each over 60 m long and approximately12 m in width, with overburdens of about 2.4 km of rock, oriented parallel to and away from the main water transport and auto traffic tunnels. There are additional possibilities for further expansions at a nearby second bypass tunnel and along the entrance and exit branches of both bypass tunnels, potentially leading to an expanded CJPL comparable in size to Gran Sasso. Concurrent with the excavation activities, planning is underway for dark matter and other rare- event detectors, as well as for geophysics/engineering and other coupled multi-disciplinary sensors. In the town meeting on 8 September, 2013 at Asilomar, CA, associated with the 13 th International Conference on Topics in Astroparticle and Underground Physics (TAUP), presentations and panel discussions addressed plans for one-ton expansions of the current CJPL germanium detector array of the China Darkmatter EXperiment (CDEX) collaboration and of the duel-phase xenon detector of the Panda-X collaboration, as well as possible new detector initiatives for dark matter studies, low-energy solar neutrino detection, neutrinoless double beta searches, and geoneutrinos. JinPing was also discussed as a site for a low-energy nuclear astrophysics accelerator. Geophysics/engineering opportunities include acoustic and micro-seismic monitoring of rock bursts during and after excavation, coupled-process in situ measurements, local, regional, and global monitoring of seismically induced radon emission, and electromagnetic signals. Additional ideas and projects will likely be developed in the next few years, driven by China’s domestic needs and by international experiments requiring access to very great depths.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Influences of granular constraints and surface effects on the heterogeneity of elastic, superelastic, and plastic responses of polycrystalline shape memory alloys

Deformation heterogeneities at the microstructural length-scale developed in polycrystalline shape memory alloys (SMAs) during superelastic loading are studied using both experiments and simulations. In situ X-ray diffraction, specifically the far-field high energy diffraction microscopy (ff-HEDM) technique, was used to non-destructively measure the grain-averaged statistics of position, crystal orientation, elastic strain tensor, and volume for hundreds of austenite grains in a superelastically loaded nickel-titanium (NiTi) SMA. These experimental data were also used to create a synthetic microstructure within a finite element model. The development of intragranular stresses were then simulated during tensile loading of the model using anisotropic elasticity. Driving forces for phase transformation and slip were calculated from these stresses. The grain-average responses of individual austenite crystals examined before and after multiple stress-induced transformation events showed that grains in the specimen interior carry more axial stress than the surface grains as the superelastic response "shakes down". Examination of the heterogeneity within individual grains showed that regions near grain boundaries exhibit larger stress variation compared to the grain interiors. As a result, this intragranular heterogeneity is more strongly driven by the constraints of neighboring grains than the initial stress state and orientation of the individual grains.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Expanded analysis of machine learning models for nuclear transient identification using TPOT

Industries around the world are becoming more and more data driven. The nuclear field is no exception with several different applications being proposed. One popular area of research is the use of machine learning in transient detection. This paper seeks to build upon a previous study which made use of the AutoML package TPOT to train traditional machine learning models to classify transient events occurring with a reactor. Synthetic data was once again collected using a GPWR reactor simulator. Data on 12 different events was collected using 15 different initial conditions. Here, a dataset consisting of over 100,000 data points was compiled and used to train 7 different machine learning models using a pre-defined TPOT dictionary with 12 different preprocessing techniques. Three of the trained models were able to produce validation results in the 90s with the expanded dataset. Once the models were trained, it was possible to look into where during the simulation, misclassifications occurred. Using these three models, analysis was done to determine if TPOT could be used to train models that were effective if important features were missing. The results from this were positive with the newly trained models scoring close to the original models. Finally, to conclude this study, the three high performing models were retrained using different random states to see if there was any major variation when different states were used.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-Particle Three-Dimensional Covariance Imaging: “Coincidence” Insights into the Many-Body Fragmentation of Strong-Field Ionized D 2 O

We demonstrate the applicability of covariance analysis to three-dimensional velocity-map imaging experiments using a fast timestamping detector. Studying the photofragmentation of strong-field doubly ionized D$_2$O molecules, we show that combining high count rate measurements with covariance analysis yields the same level of information typically limited to the `gold standard' of true, low count rate coincidence experiments, when averaging over a large ensemble of photofragmentation events. This increases the effective data acquisition rate by approximately two orders of magnitude, enabling a new class of experimental studies. This is illustrated through an investigation into the dependence of three-body D$_2$O$^{2+}$ dissociation on the intensity of the ionizing laser, revealing mechanistic insights into the nuclear dynamics driven during the laser pulse. Here, the experimental methodology laid out, with its drastic reduction in acquisition time, is expected to be of great benefit to future photofragment imaging studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

HORIZON-SCALE LEPTON ACCELERATION IN JETS: EXPLAINING THE COMPACT RADIO EMISSION IN M87

It has now become clear that the radio jet in the giant elliptical galaxy M87 must turn on very close to the black hole. This implies the efficient acceleration of leptons within the jet at scales much smaller than feasible by the typical dissipative events usually invoked to explain jet synchrotron emission. Here we show that the stagnation surface, the separatrix between material that falls back into the black hole and material that is accelerated outward forming the jet, is a natural site of pair formation and particle acceleration. This occurs via an inverse Compton pair catastrophe driven by unscreened electric fields within the charge-starved region about the stagnation surface and substantially amplified by a post-gap cascade. For typical estimates of the jet properties in M87, we find excellent quantitive agreement between the predicted relativistic lepton densities and those required by recent high-frequency radio observations of M87. This mechanism fails to adequately fill a putative jet from Sagittarius A{sup *} with relativistic leptons, which may explain the lack of an obvious radio jet in the Galactic center. Finally, this process implies a relationship between the kinetic jet power and the gamma-ray luminosity of blazars, produced during the post-gap cascade.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Vertical instability forecasting and controllability assessment of multi-device tokamak plasmas in DECAF with data-driven optimization

Abstract Reliable vertical position control will be an essential element of any future tokamak-based fusion power plant in order to reduce disruptions and maximize performance. We investigate methods to improve vertical controllability boundary determination in plasma operational space and demonstrate a data-driven approach based on direct pseudoinversion of operational space data that is rigorously quantitative, applicable in real-time plasma control systems, and physically intuitive to interpret. Applied to historical shot data from entire run campaigns on the MAST-U, KSTAR, and NSTX tokamaks, this approach, implemented in DECAF, improves vertical displacement event identification accuracy to 98.9%–100%. Further, we explore the application of a physics-based vertical stability metric as an early warning forecaster for vertical displacement events. The development of a linear surrogate model for the plasma current density profile, with a coefficient of determination of 0.992 on the training dataset, enables potential employment of this forecaster in real-time. The application of this approach on historical data from the MAST-U MU02 campaign yields a forecaster with 62.6% accuracy, indicating promise for this method when further refined and potentially coupled with other stability metrics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Component based dataflow processing framework

In this paper we present SOA based CLAs12 event Reconstruction and Analyses (CLARA) framework used to develop Earth Science multi-sensor data fusion, processing, and analytics applications (NAIADS: NASA JLAB collaboration). CLARA design focus is on two main traits: a) real-time data stream processing, and b) service oriented architecture (SOA) in a flow based programming (FBP) paradigm. Data driven and data centric architecture of CLARA presents an environment for developing agile, elastic, multilingual data processing applications. The CLARA framework presents solutions, capable of processing large volumes of data interactively and substantially faster than batch systems.

Gyurjyan, V.↗

PMT Gain Calibration In MicroBooNE

Liquid argon (LAr) is an ideal scintillating detector medium: it is very bright, releasing O(10, 000) photons per MeV of deposited energy, and is also transparent to its own scintillation. Light data in liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) experiments in general and MicroBooNE in particular has many important uses. In MicroBooNE, light collected over all photosensors is used as a first and second level trigger. At the data acquisition stage ~ 5PE is required for triggering. An additional software trigger of ≈ 20PE helps reject a large portion of cosmic ray background in events with no neutrino interaction occurring during the beam spill. Scintillation can also be used for the determination of absolute drift coordinate of non-beam related events. Additionally, matching reconstructed light to reconstructed TPC charge is a powerful tool for cosmic ray rejection. Finally due to the specific properties of LAr scintillation, light information can be used for particle identification. For many of these tasks good modeling of the light response of the detector is crucial. Applying data-driven corrections to optical detector data and simulation (prediction) allows to obtain a well calibrated energy scale from the PMTs. This reduces discrepancies between data and simulation, and calibrates out non-uniformities of data over the full data taking period. Thus it is expected to factor in improving systematic uncertainties on MicroBooNE’s flagship analyses - the low energy excess (LEE) search and LAr-ν cross-section measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

2022 Summer Resource Adequacy in the ERCOT Region

This report is a 2022 update to the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) report that examined the potential system performance of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) system during the summer of 2021. Anticipated summer reserve margins in ERCOT have risen year-over-year from the 15.7 percent reported in ERCOT’s Final Seasonal Assessment of Resource Adequacy (SARA) for Summer 2021 to 22.8 percent in the Final SARA for Summer 2022, driven mostly by increases in wind and solar generation. Using data from ERCOT’s 2022 Summer SARA, Capacity, Demand and Reserves (CDR) reports, and historical performance data obtained from ERCOT and Hitachi Energy Velocity Suite, six economic dispatch scenarios using PROMOD were developed to assess the risk to ERCOT of a load shedding event for Summer 2022. The results suggests that ERCOT may be facing a very tight resource adequacy situation, with the potential for a serious shortfall during the summer peak, usually the end of July through mid-August, if demand and generator outage rates significantly exceed peak levels. Under these conditions, ERCOT will need to call on its operating tools, including Energy Emergency Alerts (EEA) and calls to conserve electricity, to maintain reliability and continue serving load. Those measures alone may not be sufficient to avert a shedding of load.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Late Pleistocene and Holocene Glacial Evolution and Isotasy in the Antarctic Peninsula

Employing a numerical model of Payne et al. that simulates the late-Pleistocene evolution of the former Antarctic Peninsula Ice Sheet (APIS) as a basis, we compute the present-day postglacial vertical isostasy of this region. The region may also experience significant mid-to late-Holocene glacial mass changes. Climate and oceanographic studies indicate that the ice mass imbalance of this region may be of larger magnitude that elsewhere in Antarctica. We compute the crustal response to these more recent ice mass changes and Holocene fluctuations with a simple gravitating Earth model consisting of an elastic lithosphere and a viscoelastic mantle (half-space). The calculations demonstrate that the present-day response could be significant, possibly at the level of about 4 - 11 mm/yr. Such significant crustal motion could be driven by glacial mass changes integrated over the last 1000 years if the regional mantle viscosity is below about 2 x 10(exp 20) Pa sec. In this lower viscosity range, present-day crustal motion has a significant phase-lagged character and the composite lithosphere/mantle viscoelastic response to late-Holocene events dominates over purely elastic (instantaneous) responses to present-day ice mass changes. For a higher mantle viscosity, greater than about 5 x 10(exp 20) Pa sec, the predicted present-day vertical isostasy is dominated by gravitational response to glacial unloading during the 18 - 6 kyr BP collapse of the APIS, and is analogous to that known to be occurring in the Gulf of Bothnia and Hudson Bay.

Ivins, E. R.↗

Consequences of the Breakout Model for Particle Acceleration in CMEs and Flares

The largest and most efficient particle accelerators in the solar system are the giant events consisting of a fast coronal mass ejection (CME) and an intense X-class solar flare. Both flares and CMEs can produce l0(exp 32) ergs or more in nonthermal particles. Two general processes are believed to be responsible: particle acceleration at the strong shock ahead of the CME, and reconnection-driven acceleration in the flare current sheet. Although shock acceleration is relatively well understood, the mechanism by which flare reconnection produces nonthermal particles is still an issue of great debate. We address the question of CME/flare particle acceleration in the context of the breakout model using 2.5D MHD simulations with adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). The AMR capability allows us to achieve ultra-high numerical resolution and, thereby, determine the detailed structure and dynamics of the flare reconnection region. Furthermore, we employ newly developed numerical analysis tools for identifying and characterizing magnetic nulls, so that we can quantify accurately the number and location of magnetic islands during reconnection. Our calculations show that flare reconnection is dominated by the formation of magnetic islands. In agreement with many other studies, we find that the number of islands scales with the effective Lundquist number. This result supports the recent work by Drake and co-workers that postulates particle acceleration by magnetic islands. On the other hand, our calculations also show that the flare reconnection region is populated by numerous shocks and other indicators of strong turbulence, which can also accelerate particles. We discuss the implications of our calculations for the flare particle acceleration mechanism and for observational tests of the models.

Antiochos, S. K.↗

NuSTAR reveals the hidden nature of SS433

SS433 is the only Galactic binary system known to persistently accrete at highly super-critical (or hyper-critical) rates, similar to those in tidal disruption events, and likely needed to explain the rapid growth of those very high redshift quasars containing massive SMBHs. Probing the inner regions of SS433 in the X-rays is crucial to understanding this system, and super-critical accretion in general, but is highly challenging due to obscuration by the surrounding wind, driven from the accretion flow. NuSTAR observed SS433 in the hard X-ray band across multiple phases of its 162 day super-orbital precession period. Spectral-timing tools allow us to infer that the hard X-ray emission from the inner regions is likely being scattered towards us by the walls of the wind-cone. By comparing to numerical models, we determine an intrinsic X-ray luminosity of >= 2 x 10^37 erg/s and that, if viewed face on, we would infer an apparent luminosity of > 1 x 10^39 erg/s, confirming SS433’s long-suspected nature as an ultraluminous X-ray source (ULX). We present the discovery of a narrow, ~ 100 s lag due to atomic processes occurring in outflowing material travelling at least 0.14-0.29c, which matches absorption lines seen in ULXs and – in the future – will allow us to map a super-critical outflow for the first time.

M J Middleton↗

DeepDriveMD: Deep-Learning Driven Adaptive Molecular Simulations for Protein Folding

Simulations of biological macromolecules are important in understanding the physical basis of complex processes such as protein folding. However, even with increasing computational capacity and specialized architectures, the ability to simulate protein folding at atomistic scales still remains challenging. This stems from the dual aspects of high dimensionality of protein conformational landscapes, and the inability of atomistic molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to sufficiently sample these landscapes to observe folding events. Machine learning/deep learning (ML/DL) techniques, when combined with atomistic MD simulations offer the opportunity to potentially overcome these limitations by: (1) effectively reducing the dimensionality of MD simulations to automatically build latent representations that correspond to biophysically relevant reaction coordinates (RCs), and (2) driving MD simulations to automatically sample potentially novel conformational states based on these RCs. We examine how coupling DL approaches with MD simulations can lead to effective approaches to fold small proteins on supercomputers. In particular, we study the computational costs and effectiveness of scaling DL-coupled MD workflows implemented using RADICAL-Cybertools in folding two prototypical systems, namely Fs-peptide and the fast-folding variant of the villin head piece protein. We demonstrate that a DL-coupled MD workflow is able to effectively learn latent representations and drive adaptive simulations. Compared to traditional MD-based approaches, our approach achieves an effective performance gain in sampling the folded states by at least 2.3x. Together, our study provides quantitative basis to understand how coupling DL approaches to MD simulations, can lead to effective performance gains and reduced times to solution on supercomputing resources.

Lee, Hyungro↗

Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to precipitation extremes: A synthesis of grassland precipitation manipulation experiments

Climatic changes are altering Earth's hydrological cycle, resulting in altered precipitation amounts, increased interannual variability of precipitation, and more frequent extreme precipitation events. These trends will likely continue into the future, having substantial impacts on net primary productivity (NPP) and associated ecosystem services such as food production and carbon sequestration. Frequently, experimental manipulations of precipitation have linked altered precipitation regimes to changes in NPP. Yet, findings have been diverse and substantial uncertainty still surrounds generalities describing patterns of ecosystem sensitivity to altered precipitation. Additionally, we do not know whether previously observed correlations between NPP and precipitation remain accurate when precipitation changes become extreme. We synthesized results from 83 case studies of experimental precipitation manipulations in grasslands worldwide. Here, we used meta-analytical techniques to search for generalities and asymmetries of aboveground NPP (ANPP) and belowground NPP (BNPP) responses to both the direction and magnitude of precipitation change. Sensitivity (i.e., productivity response standardized by the amount of precipitation change) of BNPP was similar under precipitation additions and reductions, but ANPP was more sensitive to precipitation additions than reductions; this was especially evident in drier ecosystems. Additionally, overall relationships between the magnitude of productivity responses and the magnitude of precipitation change were saturating in form. The saturating form of this relationship was likely driven by ANPP responses to very extreme precipitation increases, although there were limited studies imposing extreme precipitation change, and there was considerable variation among experiments. Finally, this highlights the importance of incorporating gradients of manipulations, ranging from extreme drought to extreme precipitation increases into future climate change experiments. Additionally, policy and land management decisions related to global change scenarios should consider how ANPP and BNPP responses may differ, and that ecosystem responses to extreme events might not be predicted from relationships found under moderate environmental changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Report on RIA Relevant Modified Burst Testing of ATF Cladding Materials

The mechanical performance of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) cladding candidates in light-water reactors (LWRs) must be similar to or better than that of current conventional nuclear fuel claddings to reduce dose to the public and ensure a that the core coolable geometry is maintained during a postulated reactivity-initiated accident (RIA) in light-water reactors (LWRs). During an RIA event, the rapid thermal expansion of nuclear fuel can deform the cladding once the fuel–cladding gap closes. In some cases, the pellet–cladding mechanical interaction (PCMI) can induce mechanical failure in ATF candidates. Thus, the mechanical response of ATF cladding must be investigated by mimicking the conditions of RIA and potentially performing Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) experiments to establish or verify the safety envelope. The work presented in this report investigated the failure behavior of as-received, hydrided, and chromium-coated (Cr-coated) Zircaloy-4 (Zry-4) cladding tube under strain-driven mechanical conditions, mimicking postulated RIA loading conditions. Mechanical testing was performed at 300°C via modified burst test (MBT) equipment with pulse width control previously developed under the Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Advanced Fuel Campaign (AFC). The mechanical strains were determined using 2D digital image correlation (DIC) techniques. The base Zry-4 acquired by Cameco Inc. was in stress-relieved annealed (SRA) condition. Because of the observed large deformation of the cladding tubes, the failure strain definition was updated for the MBT, which can also be applied to other tube tests where significant bulging (out-of-plane deformation) is present. The failure strain was determined to be affected by the speed of the test or the RIA event. As the RIA-like event duration decreased from 75 to 15 ms, the failure strain decreased 5, 7 and 1% for as-received, hydrided, and Cr-coated specimens, respectively. Fractography on the Cr-coated specimens indicated the presence of two failure mechanisms: (i) crenulation at the outer surface of the coating due to the tensile tractional forces along with coatings grain microstructure and (ii) formation of critical defect at the coating/cladding interface that initiated coating rupture after severe plastic deformation of the Zry- 4 substrate. Based on the MBT results and fractography observations, performing mechanical property testing at high strain rates—in particular on Cr-coated tubes—and semi-integral TREAT experiments are required future efforts to ensure ATF cladding performance during transients. The testing recommended would also inform the development of long-term generalized cladding technologies.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Machine Learning-Driven Quantification of CO2 Plume Dynamics at Illinois Basin Decatur Project Sites Using Microseismic Data

This study utilizes machine learning to quantify CO2 plume extents by analyzing microseismic data from the Illinois Basin Decatur Project (IBDP). Leveraging a unique dataset of well logs, microseismic records, and CO2 injection metrics, this work aims to predict the temporal evolution of subsurface CO2 saturation plumes. The findings illustrate that machine learning can predict plume dynamics, revealing vertical clustering of microseismic events over distinct time periods within certain proximities to the injection well, consistent with an invasion percolation model. The buoyant CO2 plume partially trapped within sandstone intervals periodically breaches localized barriers or baffles, which act as leaky seals and impede vertical migration until buoyancy overcomes gravity and capillary forces, leading to breakthroughs along vertical zones of weakness. Between different unsupervised clustering techniques, K-Means and DBSCAN were applied and analyzed in detail, where K-means outperformed DBSCAN in this specific study by indicating the combination of the highest Silhouette Score and the lowest Davies–Bouldin Index. The predictive capability of machine learning models in quantifying CO2 saturation plume extension is significant for real-time monitoring and management of CO2 sequestration sites. The models exhibit high accuracy, validated against physical models and injection data from the IBDP, reinforcing the viability of CO2 geological sequestration as a climate change mitigation strategy and enhancing advanced tools for safe management of these operations.

Iyegbekedo, Ikponmwosa↗