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At least 1,423 records · Page 79
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

ATF Cladding Mechanical Properties Report: Capability Demonstration

This report documents mechanical testing capability demonstration activities performed in fiscal year (FY)2025 at Oak Ridge National Laboratory(ORNL)on chromium-coated (Cr-coated) and uncoated advanced zirconium alloy claddings irradiated in the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) to approximately 4 displacements per atom (dpa), corresponding to ~13GWd/t burnup. Specimens were prepared in axial tension (ATT) and ring tension (RTT) geometries, and passive silicon carbide(SiC)thermometry (TM) was employed to determine irradiation temperatures, which averaged 38–43 °C below the 330 °C design target. Mechanical testing at ambient temperature demonstrated the expected irradiation-induced hardening, with yield strength(YS)and ultimate tensile strength(UTS)values increasing substantially relative to unirradiated counterparts. However, this strengthening was accompanied by a reduction in ductility, as indicated by lower uniform and total elongations(UE and TE). Both coated and uncoated claddings exhibited similar mechanical response, though Cr-coated specimens showed surface cracking perpendicular to the loading direction, attributable to the hardness mismatch between the coating and substrate. Fracture in all cases remained ductile, and no coating spallation was observed following HFIR irradiation. Complementary efforts were directed toward the fabrication of test specimens from commercially irradiated cladding (rod 47I, ~31.1 GWd/t average burnup). Axial sectioning and computer numerical control(CNC)machining successfully produced ATT geometries suitable for benchmarking against HFIR-irradiated specimens. This capability enables direct comparison of cladding behavior between test reactor and commercial reactor environments, thereby supporting the validation of HFIR as a surrogate irradiation platform for accident tolerant fuel (ATF) development. Once HFIR irradiations are completed in FY26,the relevant comparison tests will be completed. Collectively, the FY 2025 PIE campaign has provided mechanical performance data for irradiated advanced claddings The demonstrated capabilities support the framework for mechanical testing and further evaluations in subsequent years. These efforts will represent an important contribution toward the licensing and deployment of Cr-coated zirconium alloy cladding as a near-term ATF solution.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sequential Kalman tuning of the t -preconditioned Crank-Nicolson algorithm: efficient, adaptive and gradient-free inference for Bayesian inverse problems

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) has been proposed as an efficient method for the approximate solution of Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward models. However, when applied to the Bayesian inverse problem EKI is only exact in the regime of Gaussian target measures and linear forward models. Here, in this work we propose embedding EKI and Flow Annealed Kalman Inversion, its normalizing flow (NF) preconditioned variant, within a Bayesian annealing scheme as part of an adaptive implementation of the t-preconditioned Crank-Nicolson (tpCN) sampler. The tpCN sampler differs from standard pCN in that its proposal is reversible with respect to the multivariate t-distribution. The more flexible tail behaviour allows for better adaptation to sampling from non-Gaussian targets. Within our Sequential Kalman Tuning (SKT) adaptation scheme, EKI is used to initialize and precondition the tpCN sampler for each annealed target. The subsequent tpCN iterations ensure particles are correctly distributed according to each annealed target, avoiding the accumulation of errors that would otherwise impact EKI. We demonstrate the performance of SKT for tpCN on three challenging numerical benchmarks, showing significant improvements in the rate of convergence compared to adaptation within standard SMC with importance weighted resampling at each temperature level, and compared to similar adaptive implementations of standard pCN. The SKT scheme applied to tpCN offers an efficient, practical solution for solving the Bayesian inverse problem when gradients of the forward model are not available. Code implementing the SKT schemes for tpCN is available at https://github.com/RichardGrumitt/KalmanMC.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Pass-efficient methods for compression of high-dimensional turbulent flow data

The future of high-performance computing, specifically on future Exascale computers, will presumably see memory capacity and bandwidth fail to keep pace with data generated, for instance, from massively parallel partial differential equation (PDE) systems. Current strategies proposed to address this bottleneck entail the omission of large fractions of data, as well as the incorporation of in situ compression algorithms to avoid overuse of memory. To ensure that post-processing operations are successful, this must be done in a way that a sufficiently accurate representation of the solution is stored. Moreover, in situations where the input/output system becomes a bottleneck in analysis, visualization, etc., or the execution of the PDE solver is expensive, the number of passes made over the data must be minimized. In the interest of addressing this problem, this work focuses on the utility of pass-efficient, parallelizable, low-rank, matrix decomposition methods in compressing high-dimensional simulation data from turbulent flows. Additionally, a particular emphasis is placed on using coarse representation of the data – compatible with the PDE discretization grid – to accelerate the construction of the low-rank factorization. This includes the presentation of a novel single-pass matrix decomposition algorithm for computing the so-called interpolative decomposition. The methods are described extensively and numerical experiments on two turbulent channel flow data are performed. In the first (unladen) channel flow case, compression factors exceeding 400 are achieved while maintaining accuracy with respect to first- and second-order flow statistics. In the particle-laden case, compression factors of 100 are achieved and the compressed data is used to recover particle velocities. These results show that these compression methods can enable efficient computation of various quantities of interest in both the carrier and disperse phases.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Space-Time Block Preconditioning for Incompressible Flow

Parallel-in-time methods have become increasingly popular in the simulation of time-dependent numerical PDEs, allowing for the efficient use of additional message passing interface processes when spatial parallelism saturates. Most methods treat the solution and parallelism in space and time separately. In contrast, all-at-once methods solve the full space-time system directly, largely treating time as simply another spatial dimension. All-at-once methods offer a number of benefits over separate treatment of space and time, most notably significantly increased parallelism and faster time to solution (when applicable). However, the development of fast, scalable all-at-once methods has largely been limited to time-dependent (advection-)diffusion problems. This paper introduces the concept of space-time block preconditioning for the all-at-once solution of incompressible flow. By extending well-known concepts of spatial block preconditioning to the space-time setting, we develop a block preconditioner whose application requires the solution of a space-time (advection-)diffusion equation in the velocity block, coupled with a pressure Schur complement approximation consisting of independent spatial solves at each time-step, and a space-time matrix-vector multiplication. The new method is tested on four classical models in incompressible flow. Finally, the results indicate perfect scalability in refinement of spatial and temporal mesh spacing, perfect scalability in nonlinear Picard iteration count when applied to a nonlinear Navier--Stokes problem, and minimal overhead in terms of number of preconditioner applications compared with sequential time-stepping.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Vidyut3d: A Gpu Accelerated Fluid Solver for Non-Equilibrium Plasmas on Adaptive Grids

We present the numerical methods, programming methodology, verification, and performance assessment of a non-equilibrium plasma fluid solver that can effectively utilize current and upcoming central processing and graphics processing unit (CPU+GPU) architectures, in this work. Our plasma fluid model solves the coupled conservation equations for species transport, electrostatic Poisson and electron temperature on adaptive Cartesian grids. Our solver is written using performance portable adaptive-grid/particle management library, AMReX, and is portable over widely available vendor specific GPU architectures. We present verification of our solver using method of manufactured solutions that indicate formal second order accuracy with central diffusion and fifth-order weighted-essentially-non-oscillatory (WENO) advection scheme. We also verify our solver with published literature on capacitive discharges and atmospheric pressure streamer propagation. We demonstrate the use of our solver on two 3D simulation cases: an atmospheric streamer propagation in Ar-H2 mixtures and a low pressure twin electrode radio frequency reactor. Our performance studies on three different CPU+GPU architectures indicate approximately 150-400X speed-up using AMD and NVIDIA GPUs per time step compared to a single CPU core for a 4 million cell simulation with 15 species.

Sitaraman, Hariswaran↗
DOE OSTI2024

Solution of the Schrödinger equation for quasi-one-dimensional materials using helical waves

We formulate and implement a spectral method for solving the Schrödinger equation, as it applies to quasi-one-dimensional materials and structures. This allows for computation of the electronic structure of important technological materials such as nanotubes (of arbitrary chirality), nanowires, nanoribbons, chiral nanoassemblies, nanosprings and nanocoils, in an accurate, efficient and systematic manner. Our work is motivated by the observation that one of the most successful methods for carrying out electronic structure calculations of bulk/crystalline systems — the plane-wave method — is a spectral method based on eigenfunction expansion. Our scheme avoids computationally onerous approximations involving periodic supercells often employed in conventional plane-wave calculations of quasi-one-dimensional materials, and also overcomes several limitations of other discretization strategies, e.g., those based on finite differences and atomic orbitals. The basis functions in our method — called helical waves (or twisted waves) — are eigenfunctions of the Laplacian with symmetry adapted boundary conditions, and are expressible in terms of plane waves and Bessel functions in helical coordinates. We describe the setup of fast transforms to carry out discretization of the governing equations using our basis set, and the use of matrix-free iterative diagonalization to obtain the electronic eigenstates. Miscellaneous computational details, including the choice of eigensolvers, use of a preconditioning scheme, evaluation of oscillatory radial integrals and the imposition of a kinetic energy cutoff are discussed. We have implemented these strategies into a computational package called HelicES (Helical Electronic Structure). We demonstrate the utility of our method in carrying out systematic electronic structure calculations of various quasi-one-dimensional materials through numerous examples involving nanotubes, nanoribbons and nanowires. We also explore the convergence properties of our method, and assess its accuracy and computational efficiency by comparison against reference finite difference, transfer matrix method and plane-wave results. We anticipate that our method will find applications in computational nanomechanics and multiscale modeling, for carrying out transport calculations of interest to the field of semiconductor devices, and for the discovery of novel chiral phases of matter that are of relevance to the burgeoning quantum hardware industry.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2022

Space-Split Algorithm for Sensitivity Analysis of Discrete Chaotic Systems With Multidimensional Unstable Manifolds

Accurate approximations of the change of a system's output and its statistics with respect to the input are highly desired in computational dynamics. Ruelle's linear response theory provides breakthrough mathematical machinery for computing the linear response of chaotic dynamical systems. In this paper, we propose an algorithm for sensitivity analysis of discrete chaos with an arbitrary number of positive Lyapunov exponents. We combine the concept of perturbation space-splitting, which regularizes Ruelle's original expression, together with measure-based parameterization of the expanding subspace. We use these tools to rigorously derive trajectory-following recursive relations that converge exponentially fast, and construct a memory-efficient Monte Carlo scheme for derivatives of the output statistics. Thanks to the regularization and lack of simplifying assumptions on the system's behavior, our method is immune to the common problems of other popular methods such as the exploding tangent solutions and unphysical shadowing directions. Here, we provide a ready-to-use algorithm, analyze its complexity, and demonstrate several numerical examples of sensitivity computation using physically-inspired low-dimensional systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Probing Intra-Halo Light with Galaxy Stacking in CIBER Images

We study the stellar halos of 0.2 ≲ $z$ ≲ 0.5 galaxies with stellar masses spanning $M$* ~ 10 10.5 to 10 12 $M$ ⊙ (approximately $L$* galaxies at this redshift) using imaging data from the Cosmic Infrared Background Experiment (CIBER). A previous CIBER fluctuation analysis suggested that intra-halo light (IHL) contributes a significant portion of the near-infrared extragalactic background light (EBL), the integrated emission from all sources throughout cosmic history. In this work, we carry out a stacking analysis with a sample of ~30,000 Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) photometric galaxies from CIBER images in two near-infrared bands (1.1 and 1.8 $μ$m) to directly probe the IHL associated with these galaxies. We stack galaxies in five sub-samples split by brightness and detect an extended galaxy profile beyond the instrument point-spread function (PSF) derived by stacking stars. We jointly fit a model for the inherent galaxy light profile plus large-scale one- and two-halo clustering to measure the extended galaxy IHL. We detect nonlinear one-halo clustering in the 1.8 $μ$m band at a level consistent with numerical simulations. Furthermore, by extrapolating the fraction of extended galaxy light, we measure to all galaxy mass scales, we find ~30%/15% of the total galaxy light budget from galaxies is at radius $r$ > 10/20 kpc, respectively. These results are new at near-infrared wavelengths at the $L$* mass scale and suggest that the IHL emission and one-halo clustering could have appreciable contributions to the amplitude of large-scale EBL background fluctuations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hijacking a rapid and scalable metagenomic method reveals subgenome dynamics and evolution in polyploid plants

Premise: The genomes of polyploid plants archive the evolutionary events leading to their present forms. However, plant polyploid genomes present numerous hurdles to the genome comparison algorithms for classification of polyploid types and exploring genome dynamics. Methods: Here, the problem of intra- and inter-genome comparison for examining polyploid genomes is reframed as a metagenomic problem, enabling the use of the rapid and scalable MinHashing approach. To determine how types of polyploidy are described by this metagenomic approach, plant genomes were examined from across the polyploid spectrum for both k-mer composition and frequency with a range of k-mer sizes. In this approach, no subgenome-specific k-mers are identified; rather, whole-chromosome k-mer subspaces were utilized. Results: Given chromosome-scale genome assemblies with sufficient subgenome-specific repetitive element content, literature-verified subgenomic and genomic evolutionary relationships were revealed, including distinguishing auto- from allopolyploidy and putative progenitor genome assignment. The sequences responsible were the rapidly evolving landscape of transposable elements. An investigation into the MinHashing parameters revealed that the downsampled k-mer space (genomic signatures) produced excellent approximations of sequence similarity. Furthermore, the clustering approach used for comparison of the genomic signatures is scrutinized to ensure applicability of the metagenomics-based method. Discussion: The easily implementable and highly computationally efficient MinHashing-based sequence comparison strategy enables comparative subgenomics and genomics for large and complex polyploid plant genomes. Such comparisons provide evidence for polyploidy-type subgenomic assignments. In cases where subgenome-specific repeat signal may not be adequate given a chromosomes' global k-mer profile, alternative methods that are more specific but more computationally complex outperform this approach.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Numerical Simulation of a Natural Convection–Driven Air-Cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System Experiment

Ensuring the efficient removal of decay heat from the reactor vessel is essential for the safety of advanced reactor technologies. Several Generation-IV concepts incorporate variations in the reactor vessel cooling systems to achieve this objective. High-temperature gas-cooled reactors utilize a reactor cavity cooling system (RCCS), a passive ex-vessel system designed to operate without active components or external power during accident conditions. The RCCS removes decay heat primarily through radiative and convective heat transfer mechanisms. Here, this study presents a comprehensive validation of a computational fluid dynamics Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes model for the University of Wisconsin-Madison air-cooled RCCS facility. Validation was conducted for both high- and low-power natural convection cases under a uniform heating profile. Near-wall resolution was found to be critical for accurately modeling natural convection in the RCCS; employing an all-𝑦 + wall treatment resulted in wall temperature discrepancies exceeding 50 °⁢𝐶 compared to a wall-resolved mesh. Thermal-hydraulic behaviors under natural and forced convection conditions were compared within the heated cavity and RCCS. A turbulence model sensitivity analysis indicated that low-Reynolds number k-ɛ, k-ω shear stress transport (SST), and Reynolds stress transport models produce similar wall temperature predictions. A buoyancy modeling sensitivity study revealed that the Boussinesq approximation significantly underpredicted thermal-hydraulic behavior in the RCCS. Based on these findings, modeling recommendations are provided. The validated data set along with identified sensitivities refine the modeling of natural convection in the RCCS. The information produced by this study supports RCCS design, optimization, and safety evaluations, enabling the calibration and verification of reduced-order thermal-hydraulic models.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Helicon full-wave modeling with scrape-off-layer turbulence on the DIII-D tokamak

Helicon waves have been recently proposed as an off-axis current drive actuator due to their expected high current drive efficiency in the mid-radius region in high beta tokamaks. This paper focuses on a numerical study to better understand effects of scrape-off-layer (SOL) turbulence on helicon wave propagation and absorption on the DIII-D tokamak using a recently developed helicon full-wave model with turbulent density inputs from synthetic single wavelength SOL turbulence and first-principles HERMES multi-wavelength turbulence models. With both input turbulence models, three key effects are observed: the helicon wave can scatter to undesirable locations in the plasma, large helicon wave electric fields can form in localized regions near the SOL turbulence, and the helicon wave can mode convert to slow waves in the SOL. This is shown to cause helicon wave refraction to undesirable locations and strong helicon wave absorption in the SOL resulting in significantly less helicon wave power in the core plasma. Using synthetic SOL turbulence, the simulations additionally show that high amplitudes and long wavelengths greater than a few cm on average have the largest effect on modifying the helicon wave propagation and absorption; the modeling predicts, for example, that approximately 60% of helicon power can be absorbed in the SOL for $\tilde{n}$ /n ~ 0.8 and lambda_perp ~ 0.05 m. Here, several potential physical mechanisms that may explain the interaction of helicon waves with SOL turbulence in these simulations are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

An Analytic Benchmark for Neutron Boltzmann Transport with Downscattering—Part I: Flux and Eigenvalue Solutions

Computing in the energy dimension is one of the greatest challenges confronting present-day deterministic neutron transport solvers. Accurately resolving the neutron flux as neutrons downscatter across resonances in the nuclear cross sections currently requires considerable computing power and suffers from approximation errors. Flux uncertainty resulting from the uncertainty of the resonance structure is the single-largest cause of reactivity uncertainty. Any additional reference solution for the critical neutron downscattering problem with resonance phenomena would be a boon to verification and validation of neutronics codes. This paper establishes a benchmark to verify the accuracy of neutron transport criticality solvers along the energy dimension. For the first time, the analytic solution of the flux amplitude is derived in the particular case of an infinite homogeneous medium with isotropic scattering in the center of mass and an arbitrary number of no-threshold, neutral particle reaction resonances (e.g., radiative capture, fission, and resonance scattering). Furthermore, original analytic expressions are established to quantify the discrepancy between the ψ k (E) and ψ α (E) flux amplitudes, respective solutions of the multiplication factor k, or the exponential time-evolution frequency α eigenproblems. The physical study of these relations led to analysis of their first-order relative difference near the criticality condition α=0. Finally, numerical solutions are provided to a benchmark problem constituted of the first resonance of 239 Pu, the 6.67-eV resonance of 238 U, and a scattering isotope with a flat cross section, allowing for the computational verification of the energy resolution of current neutron transport criticality codes. Through these novel results, this analytic benchmark can serve as a reference to verify the energy resolution and sensitivity analysis of neutron transport criticality calculations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Mapping the magnetic field in the Taurus/B211 filamentary cloud with SOFIA HAWC + and comparing with simulation

ABSTRACT Optical and infrared polarization mapping and recent Planck observations of the filametary cloud L1495 in Taurus show that the large-scale magnetic field is approximately perpendicular to the long axis of the cloud. We use the HAWC + polarimeter on SOFIA to probe the complex magnetic field in the B211 part of the cloud. Our results reveal a dispersion of polarization angles of 36°, about five times that measured on a larger scale by Planck. Applying the Davis–Chandrasekhar–Fermi (DCF) method with velocity information obtained from Institut de Radioastronomie Millimétrique 30 m C18O(1-0) observations, we find two distinct sub-regions with magnetic field strengths differing by more than a factor 3. The quieter sub-region is magnetically critical and sub-Alfv$\acute{\rm e}$nic; the field is comparable to the average field measured in molecular clumps based on Zeeman observations. The more chaotic, super-Alfv$\acute{\rm e}$nic sub-region shows at least three velocity components, indicating interaction among multiple substructures. Its field is much less than the average Zeeman field in molecular clumps, suggesting that the DCF value of the field there may be an underestimate. Numerical simulation of filamentary cloud formation shows that filamentary substructures can strongly perturb the magnetic field. DCF and true field values in the simulation are compared. Pre-stellar cores are observed in B211 and are seen in our simulation. The appendices give a derivation of the standard DCF method that allows for a dispersion in polarization angles that is not small, present an alternate derivation of the structure function version of the DCF method, and treat fragmentation of filaments.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Scalable Interior‐Point Gauss–Newton Method for PDE‐Constrained Optimization With Bound Constraints

Here, we present a scalable approach to solve a class of partial differential equation (PDE)‐constrained optimization problems with bound constraints. This approach utilizes a robust full‐space interior‐point (IP)‐Gauss–Newton optimization method. To cope with the poorly‐conditioned IP‐Gauss–Newton saddle‐point linear systems that need to be solved approximately, once per optimization step, we propose two spectrally related preconditioners. These preconditioners leverage the limited informativeness of data in regularized PDE‐constrained optimization problems. A block Gauss–Seidel preconditioner is proposed for the GMRES‐based solution of the IP‐Gauss–Newton linear systems. It is shown, for a large‐class of PDE‐ and bound‐constrained optimization problems, that the spectrum of the block Gauss–Seidel preconditioned IP‐Gauss–Newton matrix is asymptotically independent of discretization and is not impacted by the ill‐conditioning that notoriously plagues interior‐point methods. We exploit symmetry of the IP‐Gauss–Newton linear systems and propose a regularization and log‐barrier Hessian preconditioner for the preconditioned conjugate gradient (PCG)‐based solution of the equivalent IP‐Gauss–Newton–Schur complement linear systems. The eigenvalues of the block Gauss–Seidel preconditioned IP‐Gauss–Newton matrix, that are not equal to one, are identical to the eigenvalues of the regularization and log‐barrier Hessian preconditioned Schur complement matrix. The scalability of the approach is demonstrated on two example problems. The numerical solution of these optimization problems is shown to require a discretization independent number of IP‐Gauss–Newton linear solves. Furthermore, the linear systems are solved in a discretization and IP ill‐conditioning independent number of preconditioned Krylov subspace iterations. The parallel scalability of the preconditioner, achieved via algebraic multigrid component solvers when applicable, and the aforementioned algorithmic scalability permits a parallel scalable means to compute solutions of a large class of PDE‐ and bound‐constrained problems.

PDE-constrained optimization↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electron-scale current sheets and energy dissipation in 3D kinetic-scale plasma turbulence with low electron beta

ABSTRACT Three-dimensional kinetic-scale turbulence is studied numerically in the regime where electrons are strongly magnetized (the ratio of plasma species pressure to magnetic pressure is βe = 0.1 for electrons and βi = 1 for ions). Such a regime is relevant in the vicinity of the solar corona, the Earth’s magnetosheath, and other astrophysical systems. The simulations, performed using the fluid-kinetic spectral plasma solver (sps) code, demonstrate that the turbulent cascade in such regimes can reach scales smaller than the electron inertial scale, and results in the formation of electron-scale current sheets (ESCS). Statistical analysis of the geometrical properties of the detected ESCS is performed using an algorithm based on the medial axis transform. A typical half-thickness of the current sheets is found to be on the order of electron inertial length or below, while their half-length falls between the electron and ion inertial length. The pressure–strain interaction, used as a measure of energy dissipation, exhibits high intermittency, with the majority of the total energy exchange occurring in current structures occupying approximately 20 per cent of the total volume. Some of the current sheets corresponding to the largest pressure–strain interaction are found to be associated with Alfvénic electron jets and magnetic configurations typical of reconnection. These reconnection candidates represent about 1 per cent of all the current sheets identified.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Computational Methods for Multi-Physics Simulation of Melting in Steelmaking

Iron and steel production accounts for approximately 8% of global carbon dioxide (CO) emissions. Pathways to decarbonize include replacing fossil fuels in iron ore reduction and electrifying other steelmaking processes. Iron pellets produced by hydrogen, called Hydrogen Direct Reduced Iron (HDRI), have property differences from those produced using conventional DRI processes. These differences may impact melting in electric arc furnaces (EAF) and other downstream processes. The physical properties of iron pellets vary significantly with temperature during heating, complicating predictions of their behavior. In this project, we seek to develop an integrated simulation, including the fluid flow and convective thermal transport around the pellet particle. We also examine conduction and phase changes within the particle as they impact the melting process. We use adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) to resolve both the changing size of the particle and the complex physics of the interaction between the pellet and the surrounding fluid. We base our simulations on the AMReX-incflo module, which allows large-scale Navier-Stokes simulation while resolving the changing particle size during melting. As we advance our numerical tools, we anticipate an improved understanding of the dynamics of HDRI melting, which will, in turn, accelerate the adoption of low-carbon technologies in the steelmaking industry.

AMReX↗
DOE OSTI2022

Calibration of cloud and aerosol related parameters for solar irradiance forecasts in WRF-solar

Model parameters are a major source of uncertainty in numerical weather prediction. Recently, the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Solar extensions (WRF-Solar) has been upgraded by enhancing the treatment of sub-grid scale cloud and aerosols with augmentations of a sub-grid scale cloud scheme (CLD3) and an upgraded aerosol-aware Thompson-Eidhammer scheme (TE14). However, the value of model parameters associated with these parameterizations are assigned based on limited measurements or theoretical calculations. Calibrating the most sensitive parameters has the potential to improve solar irradiance predictions. Here, we adopted a multiobjective surrogate-based optimization (SBO) framework to calibrate nine parameters used in CLD3 and TE14 that lead to the largest sensitivity in simulated irradiance. The normalized mean-absolute-error (NMAE) of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and direct normal irradiance (DNI) are minimized by calibrating WRF-Solar over two regions including the Southern Great Plains (SGP) and Central California, in order to focus on parameter calibration under cloudy conditions with different aerosol loading. The results show that generalized linear model (GLM)-based surrogate models approximate physical models well, particularly when the third order and three-way interaction terms are considered. The SBO framework efficiently searches the parameter space for optimal solutions with less computational costs than directly calibrating the physical model. We first calibrate CLD3 parameters over the less-polluted SGP region. Optimized CLD3 parameters alone result in NMAE reduction by 14% for the site-mean and up to 33% for individual cases over the SGP region. With further calibration of TE14 parameters over the Central California during active fire periods, the optimized parameters lead to over 20% reductions of NMAE. Our investigation reveals, however, that optimizing TE14 has a limited impact on irradiance simulations under less-polluted conditions in the SGP.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Changing temperature profiles and the risk of dengue outbreaks

As temperatures change worldwide, the pattern and competency of disease vectors will change, altering the global distribution of both the burden of infectious disease and the risk of the emergence of those diseases into new regions. To evaluate the risk of potential summer dengue outbreaks triggered by infected travelers under various climate scenarios, we develop an SEIR-type model, run numerical simulations, and conduct sensitivity analyses under a range of temperature profiles. Our model extends existing theoretical frameworks for studying dengue dynamics by introducing temperature dependence of two key parameters: the mosquito extrinsic incubation period and the lifespan of mosquitoes, which empirical data suggests are both highly temperature dependent. We find that changing temperature significantly alters dengue risk in an inverted U-shape, with temperatures in the range 27-31°C producing the highest risk. As temperatures increase beyond 31°C, the determinants of dengue risk begin to shift from mosquito biting rate and carrying capacity to the duration of the human infectious period, suggesting that changing temperatures not only alter dengue risk but also the potential efficacy of control measures. To illustrate the role of spatial and temporal temperature heterogeneity, we select five US cities where the primary dengue vector, the mosquito Aedes aegypti , has been observed, and which have had dengue cases in the past: Los Angeles, Houston, Miami, Brownsville, and Phoenix. Our analysis suggests that an increase of 3°C leads to an approximate doubling of the risk of dengue in Los Angeles and Houston, but a reduction of risk in Miami, Brownsville, and Phoenix due to extreme heat.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗