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NASA NTRS2024

Double Power-law Formation by Sequential Particle Acceleration

Spectral double power laws are common in solar high-energy phenomena such as flares and interplanetary energetic-electron events. However, the physical mechanism that produces the changes in power-law index within a single spectrum is unclear. We developed a fully analytical method of forming single power-law spectra from sequential acceleration of particles orbiting inside and hopping between simulated large-scale magnetic islands formed by flare reconnection. Here, we extend the analytical method to the formation of double power-law spectra by assuming sequential acceleration in two successive regions with different acceleration and particle-transport rates. The resulting spectral distribution is continuous and smooth, with a flattening at low energies, two power-law regions at mid-energies, and a steep rollover at high energies. The model provides analytical expressions for the spectral indices, all energy breaks, and normalization constants as functions of just three physical parameters of each acceleration region: (1) the energy gain in each accelerator, (2) the percentage of particles transferred between accelerators, and (3) the number of accelerators visited. One of the most salient predictions of our work is that the spectral index at high (low) energies is determined by the parameters of the first "seed" (second) acceleration region. By constructing the spectral distribution through an iterative analytical process, the evolution toward a double power law is easily characterized and explained. Our analytical model provides tools to interpret space- and ground-based observations from RHESSI, FOXSI, NuSTAR, Solar Orbiter/STIX, EOVSA, and future high-energy missions.

Solar flares↗
NASA NTRS2026

Isotopic Evidence for A Cold and Distant Origin of 3I/Atlas

Interstellar objects provide the only directly observable samples of icy planetesimals formed around other stars, and can therefore provide insight into the diversity of physical and chemical conditions occurring during exoplanet formation1−3. Here we report isotopic measurements of the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS, which reveal an elemental composition unlike any Solar System body. The water in 3I/ATLAS is enriched in deuterium, at a level of D/H = (0.98 ± 0.06)%, which is more than an order of magnitude higher than in known comets, while its range of 12 C/ 13 C ratios (141–191 for CO 2 and 123–172 for CO) exceeds typical values found in the Solar System, as well as nearby interstellar clouds and protoplanetary disks. Such extreme isotopic signatures indicate formation at temperatures ≲ 30 K in a relatively metal-poor environment. When interpreted with respect to models for Galactic chemical evolution, the carbon isotopic composition implies that 3I/ATLAS may have accreted as long ago as 12 billion years, following a period of intense, early star formation. 3I/ATLAS thus represents a preserved fragment of an ancient planetary system.

Martin A Cordiner↗
DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation of Surface Crack Formation in Photovoltaic Backsheets Using Fragmentation and Finite Element Simulations: Preprint

Backsheet cracking is among the most commonly observed degradation modes of photovoltaic (PV) modules in the field. Cracks can reduce the ability of backsheets to fulfil their functions, for example, protection of the modules from the environment or electrical insulation. This work presents an evaluation of the degradation and cracking propensity of two backsheets during accelerated IEC TS 62788-7-2 A3 (International Electrotechnical Commission) aging with the fragmentation test: a co-extruded polyamide backsheet (AAA), and a laminated multilayer backsheet with a polyethylene terephthalate core and outer layer and ethylene vinyl acetate inner layer (PPE). Results show the surface embrittlement of the AAA outer layer during exposure. A longer time of exposure causes cracks to form at lower strains during stretching and creates deeper cracks. Accordingly, Young's modulus of the outer layer increases, as measured by cross-sectional nanoindentation. PPE exhibits cracking after exposure as well. While no similar increase of modulus or crack depth can be observed, the outer layer of PPE exhibits more obvious signs of erosion during exposure, including progressive morphological changes and thickness losses. A finite element model to simulate surface crack formation is devised, based on initially zero-thickness decohesion elements. Decohesion criteria define a critical stress, at which these elements grow, and cracks can begin to form. These criteria are obtained via parameter optimization by comparison between simulation and experiment. The model is used to interpret crack formation in both backsheets.

backsheet↗
DOE OSTI2016

Evaporative thermal resistance and its influence on microlayer evaporation

The ability to predict various aspects of boiling is important for both safety and design of water-cooled reactors. Component-scale modelling is necessarily done by semi-mechanistic, semi-empirical approaches, generally based on heat flux partitioning. This needs to be informed by multiple detailed experimental observations of boiling behavior. Such measurements are difficult to make, and much effort is being applied to microscopic computational modelling of the detailed boiling process. Aims of such activities include the mechanistic prediction of growth and detachment of one bubble during nucleate boiling, and the quantification of the associated heat transfer partitioning (evaporation, micro-convection, quenching). We here study a subset of the full problem, and focus on the thermal response of the boiling substrate to the early growth of a single vapour bubble during pool boiling of water at atmospheric pressure. In such conditions, a thin liquid film ('microlayer') is left behind beneath the bubble as this expands. The microlayer evaporates due to the temperature difference between the solid-liquid and vapour-liquid interface. Its thickness being small, of order of microns, the local evaporation rate per unit area of bubble base can be high, up to one kilogram per second. Microlayer evaporation can therefore be important in early stages of bubble growth. In this contribution, thermal response of the boiling substrate to microlayer evaporation is studied with a two-dimensional, axisymmetric transient conduction model, coupled with an algebraic sub-model of the liquid film. The flow of heat through the microlayer is modelled as conduction in the liquid and with a pseudo-convective 'evaporative' heat transfer coefficient at the liquid-vapor interface, accounting for the interface superheat driving the evaporation process. Thermal coupling (conjugate heat transfer) between microlayer and solid substrate is obtained with a time dependent non-homogeneous Neumann boundary condition, derived from the algebraic microlayer sub-model and applied at the top surface of the solid computational domain. The thermal resistance associated to the evaporative heat transfer mechanism is shown to depend on a highly uncertain parameter, termed an 'evaporation coefficient'. After some exploratory calculations of the likely importance of the evaporative resistance in the present context, the model is employed to interpret some recent microlayer measurements. Satisfactory agreement between computed and measured evolution of the microlayer profile is obtained if small values (between 0.01 and 0.10) of the evaporation coefficient are used. The order of magnitude of the predicted evaporation rate from the microlayer is consistent with experimental observations. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2017

Examples of Use of SINBAD Database for Nuclear Data and Code Validation

Benchmark experiments can serve several purposes and the availability of suitable experimental data is fundamental to ensure that modelling tools meet the requirements of nuclear industry and licensing needs. Essentially, they are used for: - validation of nuclear cross-section data, - validation of nuclear codes and models used, - qualification and training of users through benchmarking and code comparison exercises. The Shielding Integral Benchmark Archive and Database (SINBAD) project was started in the early 1990's at the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency Data Bank (NEA DB) and the Radiation Safety Information Computational Center (RSICC) as a collection of quality experiments for validating and benchmarking computer codes and data for radiation transport and shielding applications. Currently, the SINBAD database comprises over 100 benchmark compilations and evaluations of relevance to: - reactor shielding, pressure vessel dosimetry (48); - fusion blanket neutronics (31); - accelerator shielding (23). In order to facilitate their use, the data are organized in the standardized format structure. The index and the master document (called abstract) use the Hyper Text Markup Language (HTML) format with links to text files, figures, Portable Document Format (pdf) documents and computer code inputs. The format allows easy access and forward/backward navigation among the data and has proved to be suitable, general enough and above all easy (and low-cost) to maintain. In addition to the characterization of the radiation source, description of the shielding set-up, the instrumentation and the relevant detector measurements, most sets in SINBAD contain also the deterministic or Monte Carlo radiation transport computer model used for the interpretation of the experiment and, where available, results from uncertainty analysis. The set of primary documents used for the benchmark compilation and evaluation are provided in computer readable form. The database is intended for different types of users, including nuclear data evaluators, computer code developers, experiment designers and university students. SINBAD is available from the NEA Data Bank and RSICC (see https://www.oecdnea.org/science/wprs/shielding/sinbad/). Up to now several hundreds of SINBAD packages were distributed from the NEA DB and RSICC. Since 2011 the maintenance and further development of the database is coordinated in the scope of the OECD NEA Nuclear Science Committee (NSC) Working Party on Scientific Issues of Reactor Systems (WPRS) Expert Group on Radiation Transport and Shielding (EGRTS). A key objective of the group is to identify, evaluate and preserve experimental data on shielding benchmarks. The Expert Group maintains close links with the International Reactor Physics Experiment Evaluation (IRPhE) and International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation (ICSBEP) projects, as well as in co-ordination with the JEFF and EFF NEA Data Bank projects and with the SATIF community of accelerator shielding specialists. In the last years, much effort was devoted to the quality review of the available benchmark information.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Vision Foundation Models in Remote Sensing: A survey

Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies have profoundly transformed the field of remote sensing (RS), revolutionizing data collection, processing, and analysis. Traditionally reliant on manual interpretation and task-specific models, RS research has been significantly enhanced by the advent of foundation models (FMs)—large-scale pretrained AI models capable of performing a wide array of tasks with unprecedented accuracy and efficiency. This article provides a comprehensive survey of FMs in the RS domain. We categorize these models based on their architectures, pretraining datasets, and methodologies. Through detailed performance comparisons, we highlight emerging trends and the significant advancements achieved by those FMs. Additionally, we discuss technical challenges, practical implications, and future research directions, addressing the need for high-quality data, computational resources, and improved model generalization. Our research also finds that pretraining methods, particularly self-supervised learning (SSL) techniques like contrastive learning (CL) and masked autoencoders (MAEs), remarkably enhance the performance and robustness of FMs. This survey aims to serve as a resource for researchers and practitioners by providing a panorama of advances and promising pathways for the continued development and application of FMs in RS.

data models↗
DOE OSTI2021

Characterization of shale using Helium and Argon at high pressures

In order to estimate the shale gas in place and the eventual recovery during shale gas operations, one of the key requirements is to accurately characterize the shale’s petrophysical and transport properties such as porosity, permeability, diffusivity, and storage capacity. Despite the many efforts reported in the technical literature aiming to provide an improved understanding of the complex pore structures and the associated fluid flow in gas shales, complete characterization of organic-rich shale samples still poses a big challenge. Here, we have characterized mass transfer and sorption in shale at different length scales using Helium (He) and Argon (Ar) as probe gases. Thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) with a shale cube of ~1 cm 3 in size and gas expansion experiments with a full-diameter core (3.5” in diameter) were used to measure sorption kinetics/isotherms and mass transfer, respectively. Both samples are from the same depth/location in the Marcellus shale formation. The TGA steady-state technique was initially used to generate excess sorption isotherms for Ar, while dynamic TGA experiments were used to study its sorption kinetics. The TGA experiments demonstrate that Ar, which has a similar sorption potential as Methane, but is generally assumed to be inert, adsorbs onto the surfaces of the mesoporous and microporous regions of the shale samples according to a Langmuir-type behavior. Helium expansion experiments, on the full-diameter core, were used to measure the overall porosity, on the basis that He is a non-sorbing and inert gas as compared to Ar. The He expansion experiments, furthermore, allow us to delineate the mass transfer of gas across the inherent hierarchy of pore sizes, including macropores (macro- and microcracks), mesopores and micropores. Similar expansion experiments were also performed with Ar to study the combined impact of mass transfer and sorption. A triple-porosity model (TPM) was utilized to interpret the He expansion experiments with the shale core and to extract (estimate) relevant transport parameters. We report and compare here the diffusivities and permeabilities of the whole core for both He and Ar, as calculated from the modeling and fitting of the experimental data. On the premise that the shale cube is representative of the matrix region of the core, the Ar sorption kinetics from the cube experiments were subsequently combined with the transport parameters extracted from the He experiments to predict the behavior of the Ar expansion test with the full-diameter core. An excellent agreement is observed between the model predictions and the experimental data. The experimental observations and their interpretation indicate that one must be cautious when using Ar to estimate the true porosity and permeability of shales. In addition, we demonstrate that He and Ar probe gases, when used in tandem, can be employed effectively as a tool to characterize shales in terms of mass transfer and sorption dynamics across scales.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sampling in Long-Screened Wells: Issues, Misconceptions, and Solutions

The issues associated with long-screened wells (LSWs) (and open boreholes) at contaminated sites are well documented in the groundwater literature but are still not fully appreciated in practice. As established in seminal and review papers going back over three decades, the interpretation of sampling results from LSWs is challenging in the presence of vertical hydraulic gradients and borehole flow; furthermore, LSWs allow for vertical redistribution of contamination between aquifer layers. Acknowledgment of these issues has led to the development of new technologies and well designs to enable discrete-zone monitoring (DZM), yet LSWs remain common for many reasons, for example, as multipurpose wells, for geophysical logging, and (or) as legacy installations. Despite the literature on LSWs and despite the adoption of DZM at many sites, the use of LSWs persists and the challenges of interpreting sampling results from LSWs remain. In this issue paper, we provide a conceptual overview of the problems posed by LSWs and review existing literature and past work to improve the interpretation of sampling in LSWs. We draw on experience from previous studies at the Hanford Site in eastern WA, USA, and use synthetic examples to illustrate key concepts and challenges for interpretation. A recently published analytical modeling framework is used to develop illustrative synthetic examples and demonstrate a workflow for building scientific intuition to understand issues around interpreting samples from LSWs, which is critical to effective characterization and groundwater remediation at sites with LSWs.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1988

Requirements for theoretical models of outflows

Recent observational and theoretical investigations of astrophysical mass outflows are reviewed, with a focus on the basic physical principles. Specific limitations on the observational data and their interpretation are listed and discussed. Modeling problems considered include the role of the critical point in determining the mass-loss rate and terminal velocity, the physical processes controlling density at the critical point, the possible coexistence of multiple mass-loss mechanisms, time scales, instabilities and phase changes, multiphase atmospheres and winds, the definition of geometries, the role of the environment, explosive transient events, stochastic phenomena, mode-mode coupling and damping processes, departures from ionization equilibrium, and nonthermal phenomena.

Linsky, Jeffrey L.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Surface Expression of Bed Topography in Greenland and Antarctica

It has long been recognized that major subglacial topographic features beneath the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets – whether especially prominent or wide – can generate an observable surface expression. Recent advances in digital elevation models (ArcticDEM, REMA) and bed-to-surface transfer theory now permit widespread observation of this phenomena and a more robust interpretation. Hillshading a digital elevation model from the direction of ice flow permits straightforward detection of major surface features. For Greenland, comparison against the growing catalog of airborne radar-sounding data confirms that the large majority of these features are associated with subglacial topography – typically valleys. These observations suggest a better path toward interpolating subglacial topography between sparse radar observations by developing methods that also require fidelity to observed surface relief.

Joe Macgregor↗
DOE OSTI2023

Improving the Estimation of the Atmospheric Water Vapor Pressure Using Interpretable Long Short-Term Memory Networks: Dataset, Python code, and trained models

Atmospheric water vapor pressure is an essential meteorological control on land surface and hydrologic processes. It is not as frequently observed as other meteorologic conditions, but often inferred through the August–Roche–Magnus formula by simply assuming dew point and daily minimum temperatures are equivalent or by empirically correlating the two temperatures using an aridity correction. The performance of both methods varies considerably across different regions and during different time periods; obtaining consistently accurate estimates across space and time remains a great challenge. We applied an interpretable Long Short-Term Memory (iLSTM) network conditioned on static, location specific attributes to estimate daily vapor pressure for 83 FLUXNET sites in the United States and Canada. This data package includes all raw data of the 83 FLUXNET sites, input data for model training/validation/test, trained models and results, and python codes for the manuscript "Improving the Estimation of the Atmospheric Water Vapor Pressure Using an Interpretable Long Short-term Memory Network". Specifically, it consists of five parts. - First, "1_Daymet_data_83sites.zip" includes raw data downloaded from Daymet for the 83 sites used in the paper according to their longitude and latitude, in which vapor pressure is used. It also includes a pre-processed CSV data file combining all data from the 83 sites which is specifically used for the paper. - Second, "2_Fluxnet2015_data_83sites.zip" includes raw half hourly data of the 83 sites downloaded from FLUXNET2015 data portal, pre-processed daily data of the 83 sites, a CSV file including combined pre-processed daily data of the 83 sites, and a CSV file including the information (site ID, site name, latitude, longitude, data available period) of the 83 sites. - Third, "3_MODIS_LAI_data_83sites_raw.zip" includes raw leaf area index (LAI) data downloaded from the AppEEARs data portal. - Fourth, "4_Scripts.zip" includes all scripts related to model training and post-processing of a trained model, and a jupyter notebook showing an example for model post-processing. Two typo errors in files titled "run2get_args.py" and "postprocess.py" were corrected on March 27, 2024 to avoid confusions. - Finally, "Trained_models_and_results.zip" includes three folders and three files with suffix ".npy", and each folder corresponds to one file with suffix ".npy" with the same title. Each of the three folders include all trained models associated with one iLSTM model configuration (35 models for each configuration, details are described in the paper). Each file with suffix ".npy" includes the post-processed results of the corresponding 35 models under one iLSTM model configuration.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Numerical evaluation of photosensitive tracers as a strategy for separating surface and subsurface transient storage in streams

For this work, we numerically evaluated photosensitive tracers as a potential strategy for separating the effects of surface and hyporheic storage zones (SSZs and HSZs, respectively) on stream corridor transport. Correctly separating HSZ and SSZ effects is critical to estimating the hydro-biogeochemical function of a stream because HSZs and SSZs expose solutes to significantly different biogeochemical conditions, like sunlight exposure, microbial processes, and oxygen availability. Our numerical experiments used a multiscale river-corridor transport model implemented in the ATS code, which accommodates multiple storage zones with distinct travel time distributions and biogeochemical reactions. For parameter inferences, we used Bayesian inverse modeling. We found that breakthrough curves for photo-decaying tracers from day and night injection can delineate surface and hyporheic transient storage contributions, but only when interpreted jointly through a two-storage zone model. Numerical experiments that used only daytime injection or interpreted breakthrough curves with a single storage zone model yielded good fit to breakthrough curves, but parameter estimates were biased and controlling processes misattributed, examples of good model fits for the wrong reasons. Using those biased parameter estimates in reactive transport simulations resulted in significantly different projections of denitrification, which underscores the potential for stream function to be mischaracterized if tracer tests are interpreted through an inappropriately simplified model for transient storage. More generally, this study highlights the role of modeling in evaluating the experimental design and identifying the potential of system mischaracterization and its implications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1993

Topex Microwave Radiometer thermal control - Post-system-test modifications and on-orbit performance

The Topex Microwave Radiometer has had an excellent thermal performance since launch. The instrument, however, went through a hardware modification right before launch to correct for a thermal design inadequacy that was uncovered during the spacecraft thermal vacuum test. This paper reports on how the initially obscure problem was tracked down, and how the thermal models were revised, validated, and utilized to investigate the solution options and guide the hardware modification decisions. Details related to test data interpretation, analytical uncertainties, and model-prediction vs. test-data correlation, are documented. Instrument/spacecraft interface issues, where the problem originated and where in general pitfalls abound, are dealt with specifically. Finally, on-orbit thermal performance data are presented, which exhibit good agreement with flight predictions, and lessons learned are discussed.

Lin, Edward I.↗
NASA NTRS2011

Short Wavelength Electromagnetic Perturbations Excited Near the Solar Probe Plus Spacecraft in the Inner Heliosphere: 2.5D Hybrid Modeling

A 2.5D numerical plasma model of the interaction of the solar wind (SW) with the Solar Probe Plus spacecraft (SPPSC) is presented. These results should be interpreted as a basic plasma model derived from the SW-interaction with the spacecraft (SC), which could have consequences for both plasma wave and electron plasma measurements on board the SC in the inner heliosphere. Compression waves and electric field jumps with amplitudes of about 1.5 V/m and (12-18) V/m were also observed. A strong polarization electric field was also observed in the wing of the plasma wake. However, 2.5D hybrid modeling did not show excitation of whistler/Alfven waves in the upstream connected with the bidirectional current closure that was observed in short-time 3D modeling SPPSC and near a tether in the ionosphere. The observed strong electromagnetic perturbations may be a crucial point in the electromagnetic measurements planned for the future Solar Probe Plus (SPP) mission. The results of modeling electromagnetic field perturbations in the SW due to shot noise in absence of SPPSC are also discussed.

Lipatov, Alexander S.↗
NASA NTRS1993

TOPEX Microwave Radiometer Thermal Control: Post-System-Test Modifications and On-Orbit Performance

The Topex Microwave Radiometer has had an excellent thermal performance since launch. The instrument, however, went through a hardware modification right before launch to correct for athermal design inadequacy that was uncovered during the spacecraft thermal vacuum test. This paper reports on how the initially obscure problem was tracked down, and how the thermal models were revised, validated, and utilized to investigate the solution options and guide the hardware modification decisions. Details related to test data interpretation, analytical uncertainties, and model-prediction vs. test-data correlation, are documented. Instrument/spacecraft interface issues, where the problem originated and where in general pitfalls abound, are dealt with specifically. Finally, on-orbit thermal performance data are presented, which exhibit good agreement with flight predictions, and lessons learned are discussed.

Lin, Edward I.↗
DOE OSTI2020

AP-Net: An atomic-pairwise neural network for smooth and transferable interaction potentials

Intermolecular interactions are critical to many chemical phenomena, but their accurate computation using ab initio methods is often limited by computational cost. The recent emergence of machine learning (ML) potentials may be a promising alternative. Useful ML models should not only estimate accurate interaction energies but also predict smooth and asymptotically correct potential energy surfaces. However, existing ML models are not guaranteed to obey these constraints. Indeed, systemic deficiencies are apparent in the predictions of our previous hydrogen-bond model as well as the popular ANI-1X model, which we attribute to the use of an atomic energy partition. As a solution, we propose an alternative atomic-pairwise framework specifically for intermolecular ML potentials, and we introduce AP-Net—a neural network model for interaction energies. The AP-Net model is developed using this physically motivated atomic-pairwise paradigm and also exploits the interpretability of symmetry adapted perturbation theory (SAPT). We show that in contrast to other models, AP-Net produces smooth, physically meaningful intermolecular potentials exhibiting correct asymptotic behavior. Initially trained on only a limited number of mostly hydrogen-bonded dimers, AP-Net makes accurate predictions across the chemically diverse S66x8 dataset, demonstrating significant transferability. On a test set including experimental hydrogen-bonded dimers, AP-Net predicts total interaction energies with a mean absolute error of 0.37 kcal mol−1, reducing errors by a factor of 2–5 across SAPT components from previous neural network potentials. The pairwise interaction energies of the model are physically interpretable, and an investigation of predicted electrostatic energies suggests that the model “learns” the physics of hydrogen-bonded interactions.

Glick, Zachary L. (ORCID:0000000309002849)↗
NASA NTRS2010

Uterine Contraction Modeling and Simulation

Building a training system for medical personnel to properly interpret fetal heart rate tracing requires developing accurate models that can relate various signal patterns to certain pathologies. In addition to modeling the fetal heart rate signal itself, the change of uterine pressure that bears strong relation to fetal heart rate and provides indications of maternal and fetal status should also be considered. In this work, we have developed a group of parametric models to simulate uterine contractions during labor and delivery. Through analysis of real patient records, we propose to model uterine contraction signals by three major components: regular contractions, impulsive noise caused by fetal movements, and low amplitude noise invoked by maternal breathing and measuring apparatus. The regular contractions are modeled by an asymmetric generalized Gaussian function and least squares estimation is used to compute the parameter values of the asymmetric generalized Gaussian function based on uterine contractions of real patients. Regular contractions are detected based on thresholding and derivative analysis of uterine contractions. Impulsive noise caused by fetal movements and low amplitude noise by maternal breathing and measuring apparatus are modeled by rational polynomial functions and Perlin noise, respectively. Experiment results show the synthesized uterine contractions can mimic the real uterine contractions realistically, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Liu, Miao↗
DOE OSTI2019

Parametric Controls on Vegetation Responses to Biogeochemical Forcing in the CLM5

Future projections of land carbon uptake in Earth System Models are affected by land surface model responses to both CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization. The Community Land Model, Version 5 (CLM5), contains a suite of modifications to carbon and nitrogen cycle representation. Globally, the CLM5 has a larger CO 2 response and smaller nitrogen response than its predecessors. To improve our understanding of the controls over the fertilization responses of the new model, we assess sensitivity to eight parameters pertinent to the cycling of carbon and nitrogen by vegetation, both under present-day conditions and with CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization. The impact of fertilization varies with both model parameters and with the balance of limiting factors (water, temperature, nutrients, and light) in the pre-fertilization model state. The model parameters that impact the pre-fertilization state are in general not the same as those that control fertilization responses, meaning that goodness of fit to present-day conditions does not necessarily imply a constraint on future transient projections. Where pre-fertilization state has low leaf area, fertilization-induced increases in leaf production amplify the model response to the initial fertilization via further increases in photosynthesis. Model responses to CO 2 and N fertilization are strongly impacted by how much plant communities can increase their rates of nitrogen fixation and also directly affected by costs of N extraction from soil and stoichiometric flexibility. Illustration of how parametric flexibility impacts model outputs should help inform the interpretation of carbon-climate feedbacks estimated by in fully coupled Earth system model simulations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗