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At least 1,423 records · Page 79

Satellite Gravimetry Applied to Drought Monitoring

Near-surface wetness conditions change rapidly with the weather, which limits their usefulness as drought indicators. Deeper stores of water, including root-zone soil wetness and groundwater, portend longer-term weather trends and climate variations, thus they are well suited for quantifying droughts. However, the existing in situ networks for monitoring these variables suffer from significant discontinuities (short records and spatial undersampling), as well as the inherent human and mechanical errors associated with the soil moisture and groundwater observation. Remote sensing is a promising alternative, but standard remote sensors, which measure various wavelengths of light emitted or reflected from Earth's surface and atmosphere, can only directly detect wetness conditions within the first few centimeters of the land s surface. Such sensors include the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer - Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) C-band passive microwave measurement system on the National Aeronautic and Space Administration's (NASA) Aqua satellite, and the combined active and passive L-band microwave system currently under development for NASA's planned Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite mission. These instruments are sensitive to water as deep as the top 2 cm and 5 cm of the soil column, respectively, with the specific depth depending on vegetation cover. Thermal infrared (TIR) imaging has been used to infer water stored in the full root zone, with limitations: auxiliary information including soil grain size is required, the TIR temperature versus soil water content curve becomes flat as wetness increases, and dense vegetation and cloud cover impede measurement. Numerical models of land surface hydrology are another potential solution, but the quality of output from such models is limited by errors in the input data and tradeoffs between model realism and computational efficiency. This chapter is divided into eight sections, the next of which describes the theory behind satellite gravimetry. Following that is a summary of the GRACE mission and how hydrological information is gleaned from its gravity products. The fourth section provides examples of hydrological science enabled by GRACE. The fifth and sixth sections list the challenging aspects of GRACE derived hydrology data and how they are being overcome, including the use of data assimilation. The seventh section describes recent progress in applying GRACE for drought monitoring, including the development of new soil moisture and drought indicator products, and that is followed by a discussion of future prospects in satellite gravimetry based drought monitoring.

Rodell, Matthew↗

Fast Radiative Transfer Model and Retrieval Algorithm Development for Satellite Remote Sensing Applications

The radiative transfer model (RTM) has a wide range of applications in satellite remote sensing and atmospheric radiation studies. For example, it can be used as a forward model for an inversion algorithm and a satellite data assimilation system, or as a L1 data simulator for pre-launch end-to-end satellite sensor performance studies. However, millions of line-by-line (LBL) radiative transfer calculations at fine monochromatic frequencies are needed in order to properly calculate spectral contributions of water vapor and trace gases in the atmosphere in infrared and solar spectral regions. Therefore, fast, and accurate radiative transfer models are needed. A Principal Component-based radiative transfer model (PCRTM) was developed at NASA Langley to fulfil this need. The PCRTM can simulate the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiance or reflectance spectra from 250 nm to 2000 micrometers with several orders of magnitude faster speed as compared to a LBL RTM. It is also extremely accurate compared to LBL RTM benchmarks. The PCRTM model has been developed for hyperspectral sensors such as AIRS, CrIS, IASI, NAST-I, SHIS, CPF, TEMPO, EMIT, OMI, and SCIAMACHY. By using the PCRTM as forward model for an inversion algorithm, one can reduce the data dimension significantly while maintaining original information content by compressing the TOA radiance spectrum into PC-scores. The PCRTM can directly compute the PC-scores and their derivatives with respect to retrieved parameters. Examples of using various PCRTM inversion algorithms to retrieve atmospheric temperature, water vapor, and trace gas profiles, as well as cloud and surface properties from satellite hyperspectral remote sensors will be given. Some of the algorithms have been transitioned to NASA's Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC) for public access of high-quality L2 and L3 data.

Xu Liu↗

Ultimate limits to error probabilities for ionospheric models based on solar geophysical indices and how these compare with the state of the art

An ideal model based on a given set of geophysical indices is defined as a model that provides a least squares fit to the data set as a function of the indices considered. Satellite measurements of electron content for three stations at different magnetic latitudes were used to provide such data sets which were each fitted to the geophysical indices. The magnitude of the difference between the measured value and the derived equation for the data set was used to estimate the probability of making an error greater than a given magnitude for such an ideal model. Atmospheric Explorer C data is used to examine the causes of the fluctuations and suggestions are made about how real improvements can be made in ionospheric forecasting ability. Joule heating inputs in the auroral electrojets are related to the AL and AU magnetic indices. Magnetic indices based on the time integral of the energy deposited in the electrojets are proposed for modeling processes affected by auroral zone heating.

Nisbet, J. S.↗

Evaluation of silicon carbide as a divertor armor material in DIII-D H-mode discharges

Silicon carbide (SiC) represents a promising but largely untested plasma-facing material (PFM) for next-step fusion devices. In this work, an analytic mixed-material erosion model is developed by calculating the physical (via SDTrimSP) and chemical (via empirical scalings) sputtering yield from SiC, Si, and C. The Si content in the near-surface SiC layer is predicted to increase during D plasma bombardment due to more efficient physical and chemical sputtering of C relative to Si. Silicon erosion from SiC thereby occurs primarily from sputtering of the enriched Si layer, rather than directly from the SiC itself. SiC coatings on ATJ graphite, manufactured via chemical vapor deposition, were exposed to repeated H-mode plasma discharges in the DIII-D tokamak to test this model. The qualitative trends from analytic modeling are reproduced by the experimental measurements, obtained via spectroscopic inference using the S/XB method. Quantitatively the model slightly under-predicts measured erosion rates, which is attributed to uncertainties in the ion impact angle distribution, as well as the effect of edge-localized modes. After exposure, minimal changes to the macroscopic or microscopic surface morphology of the SiC coatings were observed. Compositional analysis reveals Si enrichment of about 10%, in line with expectations from the erosion model. Extrapolating to a DEMO-type device, an order-of-magnitude decrease in impurity sourcing, and up to a factor of 2 decrease in impurity radiation, is expected with SiC walls, relative to graphite, if low C plasma impurity content can be achieved. Furthermore, these favorable erosion properties motivate further investigations of SiC as a low-Z, non-metallic PFM.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Structural and physicochemical insights into pH-responsive poly(DEAEMA- co -HEMA)-grafted mesoporous silica nanoparticles

Mesoporous silica nanoparticles (SiO 2 ) grafted with responsive polymer shells are versatile hybrid systems. Understanding their three-dimensional organization in the hydrated state remains a significant challenge. Here, in this study, SiO 2 nanoparticles were functionalized with a poly(DEAEMA-co-HEMA) shell via a “grafting-from” polymerization strategy in aqueous media. Successful surface modification was confirmed by FTIR, thermogravimetric analysis, transmission electron microscopy, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, N 2 sorption, and ζ-potential, yielding grafting contents of 22% (p1 DEAEMA-co-HEMA ) and 49% (p2 DEAEMA-co-HEMA ). Small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) with solvent contrast variation was employed to elucidate the solution-state core–shell architecture of p1 and p2 hybrids at pH 2, where the grafted polymer shell is protonated and highly hydrated. Near contrast matching of the silica core, theoretically estimated at 58% D 2 O, suppressed the scattering intensity, enhancing sensitivity to the polymer shell. Constrained core–shell ellipsoid modeling across solvent contrasts revealed a systematic increase in shell thickness, overall particle dimensions, and shell anisotropy with increasing grafting content. In solution, the hydrated polymer shells were markedly more extended and structurally anisotropic than suggested by dry-state techniques structural characterization, highlighting the importance of solution-state structural analysis for accurately describing grafted polymer architectures.

Core-shell biomaterials↗

Single-crystal elasticity of (Al,Fe)-bearing bridgmanite up to 82 GPa

Abstract Thermoelastic properties of mantle candidate minerals are essential to our understanding of geophysical phenomena, geochemistry, and geodynamic evolutions of the silicate Earth. However, the lower-mantle mineralogy remains much debated due to the lack of single-crystal elastic moduli (Cij) and aggregate sound velocities of (Al,Fe)-bearing bridgmanite, the most abundant mineral of the planet, at the lower mantle pressure-temperature (P-T) conditions. Here we report single-crystal Cij of (Al,Fe)-bearing bridgmanite, Mg0.88Fe0.1Al0.14Si0.90O3 (Fe10-Al14-Bgm) with Fe3+/ΣFe = ~0.65, up to ~82 GPa using X-ray diffraction (XRD), Brillouin light scattering (BLS), and impulsive stimulated light scattering (ISLS) measurements in diamond-anvil cells (DACs). Two crystal platelets with orientations of (–0.50, 0.05, –0.86) and (0.65, –0.59, 0.48), that are sensitive to deriving all nine Cij, are used for compressional and shear wave velocity (νP and νS) measurements as a function of azimuthal angles over 200° at each experimental pressure. Our results show that all Cij of singe-crystal Fe10-Al14-Bgm increase monotonically with pressure with small uncertainties of 1–2% (±1σ), except C55 and C23, which have uncertainties of 3–4%. Using the third-order Eulerian finite-strain equations to model the elasticity data yields the aggregate adiabatic bulk and shear moduli and respective pressure derivatives at the reference pressure of 25 GPa: KS = 326 ± 4 GPa, µ = 211 ± 2 GPa, KS′ = 3.32 ± 0.04, and µ′ = 1.66 ± 0.02 GPa. The high-pressure aggregate νS and νP of Fe10-Al14-Bgm are 2.6–3.5% and 3.1–4.7% lower than those of MgSiO3 bridgmanite end-member, respectively. These data are used with literature reports on bridgmanite with different Fe and Al contents to quantitatively evaluate pressure and compositional effects on their elastic properties. Comparing with one-dimensional seismic profiles, our modeled velocity profiles of major lower-mantle mineral assemblages at relevant P-T suggest that the lower mantle could likely consist of about 89 vol% (Al,Fe)-bearing bridgmanite. After considering uncertainties, our best-fit model is still indistinguishable from pyrolitic or chondritic models.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Augmented reduced order models for turbulence

The authors introduce an augmented-basis method (ABM) to stabilize reduced-order models (ROMs) of turbulent incompressible flows. The method begins with standard basis functions derived from proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) of snapshot sets taken from a full-order model. These are then augmented with divergence-free projections of a subset of the nonlinear interaction terms that constitute a significant fraction of the time-derivative of the solution. The augmenting bases, which are rich in localized high wavenumber content, are better able to dissipate turbulent kinetic energy than the standard POD bases. Several examples illustrate that the ABM significantly out-performs L 2 -, H 1 - and Leray-stabilized POD ROM approaches. The ABM yields accuracy that is comparable to constraint-based stabilization approaches yet is suitable for parametric model-order reduction in which one uses the ROM to evaluate quantities of interests at parameter values that differ from those used to generate the full-order model snapshots. Several numerical experiments point to the importance of localized high wavenumber content in the generation of stable, accurate, and efficient ROMs for turbulent flows.

Kaneko, Kento↗

Airfoil deposition model

The methodology to predict deposit evolution (deposition rate and subsequent flow of liquid deposits) as a function of fuel and air impurity content and relevant aerodynamic parameters for turbine airfoils is developed in this research. The spectrum of deposition conditions encountered in gas turbine operations includes the mechanisms of vapor deposition, small particle deposition with thermophoresis, and larger particle deposition with inertial effects. The focus is on using a simplified version of the comprehensive multicomponent vapor diffusion formalism to make deposition predictions for: (1) simple geometry collectors; and (2) gas turbine blade shapes, including both developing laminar and turbulent boundary layers. For the gas turbine blade the insights developed in previous programs are being combined with heat and mass transfer coefficient calculations using the STAN 5 boundary layer code to predict vapor deposition rates and corresponding liquid layer thicknesses on turbine blades. A computer program is being written which utilizes the local values of the calculated deposition rate and skin friction to calculate the increment in liquid condensate layer growth along a collector surface.

Kohl, F. J.↗

Performance of Heterogeneous Sulfate Aerosol Formation Mechanisms Against Aircraft and Ground-Based Observations in Seoul, South Korea

Haze events are a common occurrence in East Asia, where local meteorology combines with anthropogenic emissions under certain conditions to create rapid increases in secondary aerosol. Often these events are driven by rapid production of secondary sulfate-nitrate-ammonium (SIA) aerosol. Models have typically included simple parameterizations of the production of sulfate during these events which vary widely in their magnitude. There are a range of different mechanistic descriptions of the chemical processes occurring during these events in large part due to poor constraints on aerosol pH and transition metal content, both of which are important to determining the key pathway(s) driving aerosol production. Here, we use the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model to interpret detailed ground and aircraft observations from May and June 2016 during the Korea-United States Air Quality (KORUS-AQ) field study to evaluate the mechanistic pathways governing sulfate production during a haze event. We apply our model of sulfate production mechanisms to ground-based speciated aerosol measurements in winter, summer, and fall in Seoul.

Katherine R Travis↗

The Joint Assimilation of Remotely Sensed Leaf Area Index and Surface Soil Moisture into a Land Surface Model

This work tests the hypothesis that jointly assimilating satellite observations of leaf area index and surface soil moisture into a land surface model improves the estimation of land vegetation and water variables. An Ensemble Kalman Filter is used to test such hypothesis across the Contiguous United States during April 2015 – December 2018. The performance of the proposed methodology is assessed for several modeled vegetation and water variables (evapotranspiration, net ecosystem exchange, and soil moisture) in terms of random errors and anomaly correlation coefficients against a set of independent validation datasets (i.e., Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model, FLUXCOM, and International Soil Moisture Network). Results show that the assimilation of leaf area index mostly improves the estimation of evapotranspiration and net ecosystem exchange, whereas the assimilation of surface soil moisture alone improves surface soil moisture content, especially in the western US, in terms of both root mean squared error and anomaly correlation coefficient. The joint assimilation of vegetation and soil moisture information combines the results of individual vegetation and soil moisture assimilations and reduces errors (and increases correlations with the reference datasets) in evapotranspiration, net ecosystem exchange, and surface soil moisture simulated by the land surface model. However, because soil moisture satellite observations only provide information on the water content in the top 5 cm of the soil column, the impact of the proposed data assimilation technique on root zone soil moisture is limited. This work moves one step forward in the direction of improving our estimation and understanding of land surface interactions using a multi-variate data assimilation approach, which can be particularly useful in regions of the world where ground observations are sparse or missing altogether.

Data assimilation↗

A technoeconomic analysis of poly- and single-crystalline NMCxyz from material synthesis to battery pack design

A process model was developed for estimating the cost of manufacturing lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (LiNi x Mn y Co z O 2 , NMCxyz), the main cathode active material in lithium-ion batteries used for electric vehicles in the United States. The model was used to estimate the prices of NMC622, NMC811, and NMC955 with poly- and single-crystalline morphologies. The Battery Performance and Cost Model (BatPaC) was used to translate the NMC prices into battery pack prices. A decrease in cobalt content from NMC622 (20% Co) to NMC955 (5% Ni) decreases the material price by $\$$0.85/kg (−3%) due to a decrease in the cost of battery materials, which account for >60% of the total price. NMC622 only produce cheaper packs if the nickel sulfate cost is > 4 × its baseline, indicating higher nickel materials will lower pack cost under normal market conditions. Single-crystalline materials are $\$$2/kg (+8%) more expensive than their polycrystalline counterparts due to higher manufacturing costs from longer, hotter calcinations in less densely packed saggars. This increases the pack price by ∼$\$$3/kWh, assuming identical electrochemical properties. In conclusion, the single-crystalline materials could yield cheaper packs if cycled to higher upper cutoff voltages (i.e., 4.35 to 4.43 V for the single-crystalline material vs. 4.25 V for their polycrystalline counterparts).

Cost modeling↗

Geochemical Modeling of Celestite (SrSO 4 ) Precipitation and Reactive Transport in Shales

Celestite (SrSO 4 ) precipitation is a prevalent example of secondary sulfate mineral scaling issues in hydraulic fracturing systems, particularly in basins where large concentrations of naturally occurring strontium are present. Herein, we present a validated and flexible geochemical model capable of predicting celestite formation under such unconventional environments. Simulations were built using CrunchFlow and guided by experimental data derived from batch reactors. These data allowed the constraint of key kinetic and thermodynamic parameters for celestite precipitation under relevant synthetic hydraulic fracturing fluid conditions. Effects of ionic strength, saturation index, and the presence of additives were considered in the combined experimental and modeling construction. This geochemical model was then expanded into a more complex system where interactions between hydraulic fracturing fluids and shale rocks were allowed to occur subject to diffusive transport. We find that the carbonate content of a given shale and the presence of persulfate breaker in the system strongly impact the location and extent of celestite formation. The results of this study provide a novel multicomponent reactive transport model that may be used to guide future experimental design in the pursuit of celestite and other sulfate mineral scale mitigation under extreme conditions typical of hydraulic fracturing in shale formations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling ammonia-fueled co-flow dual-channel protonic-ceramic fuel cells

This paper reports the model development for a dual-channel protonic-ceramic fuel cell (PCFC) operating on ammonia fuel. The model considers the coupled interactions of several physical and chemical processes, including three-dimensional heat conduction within the bipolar plates and the membrane-electrode assembly (MEA), one-dimensional flow within the fuel and air channels, detailed heterogeneous catalytic reactions within the porous composite anode structure, Butler–Volmer representation of the charge-transfer chemistry, and Nernst–Planck transport of three charged defects (protons, oxygen vacancies, and small polarons) within the dense electrolyte membrane. The membrane-electrode assembly is composed of a Ni-BCZYYb (BaCe 0.7 Zr 0.1 Y 0.1 Yb 0.1 O 3-δ ) anode, a BCZYYb electrolyte membrane, and a BCFZY (BaCo 0.4 Fe 0.4 Zr 0.1 Y 0.1 O 3-δ ) cathode. Chemical and physical parameters for the MEA model are established using previously published button-cell data. One aspect of the study is to investigate the partial ammonia decomposition upstream of the fuel cell. Such fuel cracking increases the H 2 content of the fuel entering the PCFC, which may have benefits. However, endothermic ammonia pyrolysis within the composite anode structure assists with thermal control of the cell. The dual-channel model can be considered as the unit cell of a full fuel-cell stack.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A predictive strain-gradient model with no undetermined constants or length scales

A general meso–scale (GM) crystal plasticity (CP) model was developed that accounts for lower-order (strain hardening) and higher-order (internal stress) effects of geometrically necessary dislocations (GNDs). It is predictive: no arbitrary parameters or length scales were invoked and no ad hoc numerical techniques were employed. It uses general stress field equations for GND content and a novel harmonization technique to enforce consistency of elastic long-range singular defect fields with applied elastic-plastic fields. The model facilitates implementation in commercial finite element programs without requiring special elements, special boundary conditions, or access to element shape functions. GM simulations confirmed, with improved accuracy, previously published predictions of the Hall-Petch effect, Bauschinger effect, and anelasticity. Previously unpredicted phenomena were also predicted: anelasticity and hysteresis for single Ta crystals and strain-hardening stagnation. The internal stresses (higher-order effect) dominate at large length scales, while at small length scales, the GND density hardening (lower-order effect) dominates. As a result, GM predicts that strain heterogeneity and consequent GND internal stresses are important factors in anelasticity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Explore the Potential to Formulate Feedstock Blends from Diverse Biomass inputs for Improved Processing Performance at Lower Costs

This work aims to understand the pelleting characteristics of 2-inch top-pine residue blended with switchgrass at high moisture content. The process variables tested are blend moisture content, length-to-diameter (L/D) ratio in the pellet die, and the blend ratio. A flat-die pellet mill was also used in this study. The pine and switchgrass blend ratios that were tested include (1) 25% 2-inch top pine residue with 75% switchgrass; (2) 50% 2-inch top pine residue with 50% switchgrass; and (3) 75% 2-inch top pine residue with 25% switchgrass. The pelleting process conditions tested included the L/D ratio in the pellet die (i.e., 1.5 to 2.6) and the blend moisture content (20 to 30%, w.b.). Analysis of experimental data indicated that blending 25% switchgrass with 75% 2-inch top pine residue and 50% switchgrass with 50% 2-inch top pine residue resulted in pellets with a bulk density of >550 kg/m3 and durability of >95. Optimization of the response surface models developed for process conditions in terms of product properties indicated that a higher L/D ratio of 2.6 and a lower blend-moisture content of 20% (w.b.) maximized bulk density and durability. Higher pine in the blends improved the pellet durability and reduced energy consumption. Tests were also conducted on blends of pine and switchgrass using a pilot scale pellet mill by varying the blend moisture content and compression ratio of the pellet die. Pelleting tests on pure pine and switchgrass and their blends in a pilot scale ring die pellet mill with a throughput of 1 ton/h has indicated pellets with durability >500 kg/m3 and durability in the range of >90 and >95 %. The demonstration of high moisture pelleting of blends of 2- and 6-inch top pine residues and switchgrass blends indicated that good quality pellets with durability >90 % and bulk density of >500 kg/m3 can be produced.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Neural network uncertainty assessment using Bayesian statistics: a remote sensing application

Neural network (NN) techniques have proved successful for many regression problems, in particular for remote sensing; however, uncertainty estimates are rarely provided. In this article, a Bayesian technique to evaluate uncertainties of the NN parameters (i.e., synaptic weights) is first presented. In contrast to more traditional approaches based on point estimation of the NN weights, we assess uncertainties on such estimates to monitor the robustness of the NN model. These theoretical developments are illustrated by applying them to the problem of retrieving surface skin temperature, microwave surface emissivities, and integrated water vapor content from a combined analysis of satellite microwave and infrared observations over land. The weight uncertainty estimates are then used to compute analytically the uncertainties in the network outputs (i.e., error bars and correlation structure of these errors). Such quantities are very important for evaluating any application of an NN model. The uncertainties on the NN Jacobians are then considered in the third part of this article. Used for regression fitting, NN models can be used effectively to represent highly nonlinear, multivariate functions. In this situation, most emphasis is put on estimating the output errors, but almost no attention has been given to errors associated with the internal structure of the regression model. The complex structure of dependency inside the NN is the essence of the model, and assessing its quality, coherency, and physical character makes all the difference between a blackbox model with small output errors and a reliable, robust, and physically coherent model. Such dependency structures are described to the first order by the NN Jacobians: they indicate the sensitivity of one output with respect to the inputs of the model for given input data. We use a Monte Carlo integration procedure to estimate the robustness of the NN Jacobians. A regularization strategy based on principal component analysis is proposed to suppress the multicollinearities in order to make these Jacobians robust and physically meaningful.

Neural Networks (Computer)↗

Unveiling the Essential Parameters Driving Mineral Reactions during CO2 Storage in Carbonate Aquifers through Proxy Models

Numerical simulation is a commonly employed technique for studying carbon dioxide (CO2) storage processes in porous media, particularly saline aquifers. It enables the representation of diverse trapping mechanisms and the assessment of CO2 retention capacity within the subsurface. The intricate physicochemical phenomena involved necessitate the incorporation of multiphase flow, accurate depiction of fluid and rock properties, and their interactions. Among these factors, geochemical reaction rates and mechanisms are pivotal for successful CO2 trapping in carbonate reactive rocks. However, research on kinetic parameters and the influence of lithology on CO2 storage remains limited. This limitation is partly due to the challenges faced in laboratory experiments, where the time scale of the reactions and the lack of in situ conditions hinder accurate measurement of mineral reaction rates. This study employs proxy models constructed using response surfaces calibrated with simulation results to address uncertainties associated with geochemical reactions. Monte Carlo simulation is utilized to explore a broader range of parameters and identify influential factors affecting CO2 mineralization. The findings indicate that an open database containing kinetic parameters can support uncertainty assessment. Additionally, the proxy models effectively represent objective functions related to CO2 injectivity and mineralization, with calcite dissolution playing a predominant role. pH, calcite concentration, and CO2 injection rate significantly impact dolomite precipitation, while quartz content remains unaffected.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗