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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Analysis of Bioburden Associated with Nonmetallic Spacecraft Materials

Planetary Protection (PP) requirements help to ensure the integrity of life-detection science conducted on solar system bodies, particularly those with liquid water. Such requirements are often met by a combination of cleaning and verification steps to reduce microbial contamination (i.e. bioburden) to an acceptable limit. There are only two cleaning methods approved by the National and Space Administration (NASA), vapor hydrogen peroxide (VHP) and heat microbial reduction (HMR), the latter of which is the most commonly employed. However, HMR can be harsh and produce its own concerns about material integrity, like aging or increasing hardness. When bioburden reduction methods cannot be employed, the project must rely on assumed NASA specification values of bioburden which can cause compliance issues with strict PP bioburden limitations. This work aimed to more accurately define the risk of contamination of a target body by providing empirical data associated with raw materials commonly used in solid rocket motors for lander missions. In this study, we pulverized nonmetallic materials using a cryogenic grinder, then analyzed the resulting substrate for microbial colony forming units (CFU). We found that many nonmetallic materials do not harbor large bioburden when compared with the NASA specification values, though a range existed depending on the material, treatment, and handling. The results from this work provide quantitative data to help reduce concerns of contamination, while also providing a foundation for follow up studies into additional sterilization methods and molecular identification of contaminating microbes.

Planetary Protection↗
DOE OSTI1994

Nuclear Safety [Vol. 35, No. 1, January-June 1994]

Nuclear Safety is a review journal that covers significant developments in the field of nuclear safety. Its scope includes the analysis and control of hazards associated with nuclear energy, operations involving fissionable materials, and the products of nuclear fission and their effects on the environment. Primary emphasis is on safety in reactor design, construction, and operation; however, the safety aspects of the entire fuel cycle, including fuel fabrication, spent-fuel processing, nuclear waste disposal, handling of radioisotopes, and environmental effects of these operations, are also treated. Table of Contents for this issue follows. THE CHERNOBYL ACCIDENT: 1 Chernobyl Accident Management Actions, A. R Sich; GENERAL SAFETY CONSIDERATIONS: 25 The IAEA-ASSET Approach to Avoiding Accidents is to Recognize the Precursors to Prevent Incidents, F. Reisch; ACCIDENT ANALYSIS: 36 A Review of the Available Information on the Triggering Stage of a Steam Explosion, D. F. Fletcher; 58 Analysis and Modeling of Flow-Blockage-Induced Steam Explosion Events in the High-Flux Isotope Reactor, R. P. Taleyarkhan, V. Georgevich, C. W. Nestor, U. Gat, B. L. Lepard, D. H. Cook, J. Freels, S. J. Chang, C. Luttrell, R. C. Gwaltney, and J. Kirkpatrick; 74 An Analysis of Disassembling the Radial Reflector of a Thermionic Space Nuclear Reactor Power System, M. S. El-Genk and D. V. Paramonov; CONTROL AND INSTRUMENTATION: 86 Standards for High-Integrity Software, D. R. Wallace, D. R. Kuhn, L M. Ippolito, and L. Beltracchi; DESIGN FEATURES: 98 Adoption of New Design Features for the Next Generation Nuclear Power Reactors, L. S. Tong; 114 Review of Nuclear Piping Seismic Design Requirements, G. C. Slagis and S. E. Moore; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS: 128 PC-Based Probabilistic Safety Assessment Study for a Geological Waste Repository Placed in a Bedded Salt Formation, S. A. Khan; OPERATING EXPERIENCES: 142 Managing Aging in Nuclear Power Plants: Insights from NRC’s Maintenance Team Inspection Reports, A. Fresco and M. Subudhi; 150 Reactor Shutdown Experience, Compiled by J. W. Cletcher; 153 Selected Safety-Related Events, Compiled by G. A. Murphy; RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: 158 Reports, Standards, and Safety Guides, D. S. Queener; 168 Proposed Rule Changes as of Dec. 31, 1993; ANNOUNCEMENTS: 177 Symposium on Radioactive and Mixed Waste—Risk as a Basis for Waste Classification; 177 1995 Incineration Conference 178 Ninth Power Plant Dynamics Control and Testing Symposium; 174 The Authors

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Chemical imaging of individual stratospheric particles sampled over North America

The increasing size, severity, and frequency of wildfires have led to dramatic increases in particulate matter concentrations in the troposphere. Severe wildfires can generate intense convective systems capable of transporting large quantities of biomass burning organic aerosols (BBOA) to the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS). Chemically complex organic matter and light-absorbing carbonaceous material is introduced into stratospheric regions that were historically isolated from direct surface emissions. In this study, stratospheric particles were sampled over North America during the Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) campaign, an aircraft-based research project designed to characterize convective perturbation in the UTLS. Particle samples collected from six research flights during summer 2022 were analyzed using Computer-Controlled Scanning Electron Microscopy and Scanning Transmission X-ray Microscopy to investigate particle size distributions, morphology, chemical composition, and mixing state of stratospheric particles along transects across the continental United States and adjacent Pacific Ocean airspace. Analysis revealed that all sampled particles contained detectable levels of carbon, with most exhibiting organic volume fractions of 0.37 ± 0.20. Notably, about 5% of the particles also contained soot inclusions, which indicates the presence of refractory black carbon transported to stratospheric altitudes and provides direct evidence of wildfire-derived black carbon reaching the UTLS. Typical particle morphology exhibits organic shells over soot and inorganic cores and suggests secondary processing and aging of BBOA during transport to and within the UTLS. These findings provide compelling evidence that wildfire emissions play a critical role in affecting the long-term composition and radiative properties of stratospheric particles.

Sharpe, Steven [Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN (↗
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating quenching in cosmological simulations of galaxy formation with spectral covariance in the optical window

ABSTRACT Cosmological hydrodynamical simulations provide valuable insights on galaxy evolution when coupled with observational data. Comparisons with real galaxies are typically performed via scaling relations of the observables. Here, we follow an alternative approach based on the spectral covariance in a model-independent way. We build upon previous work by Sharbaf et al. that studied the covariance of high-quality SDSS (Sloan Digital Sky Survey) continuum-subtracted spectra in a relatively narrow range of velocity dispersion ($\sigma \in [100,150]$ km s$^{-1}$). Here, the same analysis is applied to synthetic data from the eagle and IllustrisTNG100 simulations, to assess the ability of these runs to mimic real galaxies. The real and simulated spectra are consistent regarding spectral covariance, although with subtle differences that can inform the implementation of subgrid physics. Spectral fitting done a posteriori on stacks segregated with respect to latent space reveals that the first principal component (PC1) is predominantly influenced by the stellar age distribution, with an underlying age–metallicity degeneracy. Good agreement is found regarding star formation prescriptions but there is disagreement with active galactic nucleus (AGN) feedback, that also affects the subset of quiescent galaxies. We show a substantial difference in the implementation of the AGN subgrid prescriptions, regarding central black hole seeding, that could lead to the mismatch. Differences are manifest between these two simulations in the star formation histories stacked with respect to latent space. We emphasize that this methodology only relies on the spectral covariance to assess whether simulations provide a true representation of galaxy formation.

Sharbaf, Z. (ORCID:0009000450545946)↗
DOE OSTI2022

Residual Stress Modeling and Advanced Diffraction Measurements of 347H Steel Weldments

The 347H stainless steel is a primary high-temperature material for many energy and power generation industries. Stress relief cracking (SRC) has been a particular concern in welding of this material. The residual stress induced by welding and its evolution during post-welding heat treatment (PWHT) and subsequent operating and service conditions is one of the primary factors contributing to SRC. The lifetime of welded structure components is also controlled by the precipitation kinetics that accompanies PWHT, stress relaxation process, and long-term aging and complex synergistic factors. Various theories have been proposed in the past to explain SRC. However, a widely accepted approach to predicting the entire damage evolution and the resulting performance reduction is still lacking. This study is to demonstrate a reliable solution for two critical issues that affect the predictions. First, the residual stress distribution obtained from both simulation and neutron diffraction is compared, which increases the accuracy of mechanical analysis simulation model and therefore builds a solid basis for the lifetime prediction model. Second, the generation, evolution, and annihilation of precipitates are monitored by the synchrotron diffraction experiment. Preliminary results demonstrate the critical importance of precipitation kinetics on the residual stress distribution/redistribution during heat treatments.

Yang, Yi↗
DOE OSTI2020

Advanced Non-Tread Materials for Fuel-Efficient Tires

PPG Industries, Inc. proposes to develop a new silica filler that can increase fuel efficiency by 2% while maximizing key performance properties in non-tread tire components compared to current carbon black/silica filler blends. In this project PPG focused on a sidewall compound. The developed compounds/components will reduce energy losses by approximately 25%, with no more than a 5% loss of resistance to degradative forces (targeting better performance). PPG plans to achieve this goal by characterizing the impact the silica filler can have on rubber properties and then tuning the silica morphology and surface chemistry for this end use. PPG will also provide guidance in optimizing the compound formulation to make the best use of this new filler. A key aspect is to understand and maintain, if not improve, the aging performance as evaluated by crack growth resistance under ozone environment. Two key strategies were used to meet the rolling resistance goal while maintaining other performance properties. The first factor was understanding the surface treatments and chemical makeup of the silica and its effects on compound performance. The second factor was using the best performing silicas and determining the optimum compound modifications to achieve the final sidewall compound performance. Using statistical analysis throughout the optimization process, it was determined that changing the silica morphology played a role in improving the reduction of tear strength while reducing rolling resistance and the improvements observed varied depending on the CB type.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development of Carbon Molecular Sieves Hollow Fiber Membranes based on Polybenzimidazole Doped with Polyprotic Acids with Superior H 2 /CO 2 Separation Properties (Final Report)

The goal of this project was to develop a highly efficient membrane-based process to capture CO 2 from coal-derived syngas with 95% CO 2 purity, achieving the cost of electricity (COE) 30% below the baseline capture approaches (i.e., Selexol process) when coupled with the advancement in other areas of the power generation facility. Our core approach is based on high-permeance hollow fiber membranes (HFMs) with superior H 2 /CO 2 separation properties at the syngas process conditions, which can then be further utilized to design membrane reactors for process intensification of H 2 production and purification and CO 2 capture. Three organizations with complementary skills collaborated to achieve the goal, including the University at Buffalo (UB), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), and Trimeric Corporation (Trimeric). We formulated logical steps to bring the membrane technology from Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 3 (Experimental proof of concept) to TRL 4 (Laboratory scale validation in relevant environment). During the budget period (BP) 1, we screened various polymeric materials and identified polybenzimidazole doped with inorganic polyprotic acids as the desirable platform. The acid doping increases the H 2 /CO 2 selectivity, and the sequential carbonization increases H 2 permeability while retaining the high selectivity. By manipulating the acid type and doping level and the carbonization temperature, we demonstrated advanced carbon molecular sieving (CMS) materials with H 2 permeability of above 200 Barrer (1 Barrer = 10 -10 cm 3 (STP) cm cm -2 s -2 cmHg -1 ) and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of above 40 at 200-300°C with simulated syngas containing CO and water vapor. For example, the PBI-(H 3 PO 4 ) 0.11 carbonized at 700 °C exhibits H 2 permeability of 200 Barrer and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 60 at 200 °C, and H 2 permeability of 240 Barrer and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 54 at 225 °C, which meets the targeted properties and surpasses Robeson’s upper bound. During the BP2, we focused on the conversion of the advanced CMS materials to stable HFMs. Membranes with H 2 permeance of 1,090 GPU (1 GPU = 10 -6 cm 3 (STP) cm -2 s -2 cmHg -1 ) and H 2 /CO 2 selectivity of 57 at 300 °C were successfully fabricated. The effects of temperature, gas compositions, pressure, and time on the separation properties were systematically investigated. Pencil modules were continuously evaluated for 219 h (dry pure gas) and 669 h (dry simulated syngas) and showed initial decline in permeance and increased H 2 /CO 2 selectivity over time, ultimately achieving a steady state stable value, indicating that the ageing phenomena in the nanoporous structures of the membranes during the test. Membrane reactors were fabricated based on the CMS membranes and evaluated for water-gas shift (WGS) reaction. The use of membranes slightly improves the conversion of the CO. However, parametric tests of the membrane reactors at various temperatures and flow rates need to be conducted, as well as the membranes with improved separation performance. We performed a sensitivity analysis on the impact of H 2 /CO 2 selectivity on the COE based on a hybrid process of a membrane unit and cryogenic unit developed by Membrane Technology and Research, Inc. (MTR). Three H 2 /CO 2 selectivity (40, 60, and 15) cases were developed and compared with the baseline capture process (Case B5B) provided by the DOE report. Increasing the membrane H 2 /CO 2 selectivity reduces COE, but the rate of the decrease of COE also diminishes. The COE values for H 2 /CO 2 selectivities of 40 and 60 were nearly the same. As the H 2 /CO 2 selectivity increases, the inert recycling decreases, leading to smaller equipment, less auxiliary power requirements, and less heating, cooling, and refrigeration duty. The refrigeration system used to liquefy the CO 2 is the most expensive piece of equipment and consumes the most electricity within the CO 2 capture process. Increasing the CO 2 concentration in the recycle stream would improve the economics of the process by reducing the refrigeration duty requirement of the unit and also allow for higher liquefaction temperatures. The high H 2 -selective membrane developed by our team may be applicable in other separation processes where lower pressure H 2 retains value. Typically, hydrogen retains its pressure when it is separated from syngas components. Residual components may be used as low-quality fuel and then vented to the atmosphere. Applications might include control of H 2 /CO ratios or mitigation of the water gas shift reaction by CO 2 recycling to the feed of a gasifier or steam methane reformer. To summarize, we have developed industrial HFMs with the best H 2 /CO 2 separation performance reported in the literature. The membranes demonstrate stability with simulated syngas and show great potential for membrane reactors for WGS reactions, lowering the cost of blue H 2 production.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
NASA NTRS2020

A Census of Ultraluminous X-ray Sources in the Local Universe

Using the Chandra Source Catalog 2.0and a newly compiled catalogue of galaxies in the local Universe, we deliver a census of ultraluminous X-ray source (ULX) populations in nearby galaxies. We find 629 ULX candidates in 309 galaxies with distance smaller than 40 Mpc. The foreground/background contamination is∼20 per cent. The ULX populations in bona fide star-forming galaxies scale on average with star formation rate and stellar mass (M) such that the number of ULXs per galaxy is 0.45+0.06−0.09×SFRMyr−1+3.3+3.8−3.2×MM. The scaling depends strongly on the morphological type. This analysis shows that early spiral galaxies contain an additional population of ULXs that scales with Mstar. We also confirm the strong anticorrelation of the ULX rate with the host galaxy’s metallicity. In the case of early-type galaxies, we find that there is a non-linear dependence oft he number of ULXs with Mstar which is interpreted as the result of star formation history differences. Taking into account age and metallicity effects, we find that the predictions from X-ray binary population synthesis models are consistent with the observed ULX rates in early-type galaxies, as well as spiral/irregular galaxies.

K Kovlakas↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Surface Exposure History of Asteroid Bennu Based on Cosmogenic Radionuclides in OSIRIS-Rex Samples

The surface of asteroid Bennu changes over time because of impacts, mass movement, and particle ejections [1-4]. The OSIRIS-REx samples were collected from a 20-m-diameter crater on Bennu called Hokioi. One of the driving hypotheses of the mission is that Hokioi is part of a population of small (<25 m) craters that are less than 0.1 Myr old and contain relatively unweathered material [1,4]. Our goal is to understand the recent surface exposure history of Bennu, utilizing radionuclides (10Be, 26Al, 36Cl, 41Ca) produced by both galactic and solar cosmic rays. We received ~12 mg of aggregate sample OREX-803014-0. We picked five of the larger particles with masses ranging from 0.24 to 0.68 mg. We dissolved each particle, along with 0.15 mg Be and 1.0 mg Cl carrier, in HF/HNO3 mixture, and did the same for the remaining aggregate sample of 9.8 mg. After dissolution, we took a small aliquot for chemical analysis, added 0.7 mg of Al carrier, and separated Be, Al, and Cl for analysis of cosmogenic 10Be, 26Al, and 36Cl by accelerator mass spectrometry [5]. Preliminary 26Al results show concentrations of 21–27 dpm/kg for the Bennu samples, with an average of 22.5 ± 0.6 dpm/kg for the five particles and 21.1 ± 0.7 dpm/kg for the remaining aggregate. These values are close to the expected 26Al saturation values of 25–30 dpm/kg for the top 1 m of Bennu’s regolith, suggesting a minimum exposure age of 1.5–2.0 Myr near the surface. Our initial Bennu results also resemble those found for Ryugu samples [6,7]; thus, we can hypothesize that the two asteroids have had similar surface exposure histories.

K C Welten↗
DOE OSTI2024

Time trend analysis of rare cancer incidence 2011–2018: Nationwide population-based cancer registries in Japan

Rare cancers collectively account for a significant proportion of the overall cancer burden in Japan. We aimed to describe and examine the incidence of each rare cancer and the temporal changes using the internationally agreed rare cancer classification. Cancer cases registered in regional population-based cancer registries from 2011 to 2015 and the National Cancer Registry (NCR) from 2016 to 2018 were classified into 18 families, 68 Tier-1 cancer groupings, and 216 single cancer entities based on the RARECAREnet list. Crude incidence rates and age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) were calculated for Tier-1 and Tier-2 cancers. The annual percent change and the 95% and 99% confidence limits for annual ASR for each of the 68 Tier-1 cancers were estimated using the log-linear regression of the weighted least squares method. The differences in ASRs between 2011 and 2018 were evaluated as an absolute change. A total of 5,640,879 cases were classified into Tier-1 and Tier-2 cancers. The ASRs of 18 out of 52 Tier-1 cancers in the rare cancer families increased, whereas the ASR for epithelial tumors of gallbladder decreased. The ASRs of 6 out of the 16 Tier-1 cancers in the common cancer families increased, whereas those of epithelial tumors of stomach and liver decreased. There was no significant change in the incidence of the other 40 Tier-1 cancers. The incidence of several cancers increased due to the dissemination of diagnostic concepts, improved diagnostic techniques, changes in coding practice, and the initiation of the NCR.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Regional differences in tobacco smoking and lung cancer in Portugal in 2018: a population-based analysis using nationwide incidence and mortality data

Objectives: This study aims to estimate the proportion of lung cancer cases and deaths attributable to tobacco smoking in Portugal in 2018, complemented by trends in incidence and mortality, by sex and region. Design: Cancer cases for 1998–2011 and cancer deaths for 1991–2018 were obtained from population-based registries and Statistics Portugal, respectively. We projected cases for 2018 and used reported deaths for the same year to estimate, using Peto’s method, the number and proportion of lung cancer cases and deaths caused by tobacco smoking in 2018. We calculated the age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates in each year of diagnosis and death. We fitted a joinpoint regression to the observed data to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) in the rates. Setting: Portugal. Results: In 2018, an estimated 3859 cases and 3192 deaths from lung cancer were attributable to tobacco smoking in Portugal, with men presenting a population attributable fraction (PAF) of 82.6% (n=3064) for incidence and 84.1% (n=2749) for mortality, while in women those values were 51.0% (n=795) and 42.7% (n=443), respectively. In both sexes and metrics, the Azores were the region with the highest PAF and the Centre with the lowest. During 1998–2011, the APC for incidence ranged from 0.6% to 3.0% in men and 3.6% to 7.9% in women, depending on region, with mortality presenting a similar pattern between sexes. Conclusion: Exposure to tobacco smoking has accounted for most of the lung cancer cases and deaths estimated in Portugal in 2018. Differential patterns of tobacco consumption across the country, varying implementation of primary prevention programmes and differences in personal cancer awareness may have contributed to the disparities observed. Primary prevention of lung cancer remains a public health priority, particularly among women.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Investigation of pyruvic acid photolysis at the air-liquid interface as a source of aqueous secondary organic aerosols

Pyruvic acid (PA) is a ubiquitous 2-oxocarboxylic acid in the atmosphere. Its photochemical process at the air-liquid (a-l) interface has been suggested as an important source of aqueous secondary organic aerosols. Here, we investigated the photochemical reaction pathways of PA at the a-l interface using synchrotron-based vacuum ultraviolet single-photon ionization mass spectrometry (VUV SPI-MS) coupled with the System for Analysis at the Liquid Vacuum Interface (SALVI) microreactor. Results from mass spectral analysis and the determination of appearance energies (AEs) indicate that photolysis of PA can generate radicals, then they recombine with carboxylic acids and simple molecular oligomers. Furthermore, the preliminary products could form larger oligomers via radical reaction or esterification in the presence of hydroxyl and carboxyl functional groups. Mass spectral comparison shows that most photochemical reactions would complete within 4 h. The expanded photochemistry-driven reaction flowchart of PA is proposed based on the newly discovered products. Our results reveal that the interfacial PA photochemical reactions have different mechanisms from the bulk liquid due to the interfacial properties, such as molecular density, composition, and ion concentration. Our findings show that in situ mass spectral analysis with bright photon ionization is useful to elucidate the contribution of a-l interfacial reactions leading to aqSOA formation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
NASA NTRS1980

Ancient solar wind in lunar microbreccias

Possible components of the ancient solar wind, particularly the N-15/N-14 ratio, are investigated on the basis of lunar microbreccia studies. Nitrogen contents and isotope ratios were determined for Apollo 11 and 15 microbreccia samples by means of vacuum pyrolysis techniques. The Apollo 11 soil breccias, which had been closed to the addition of recent solar wind due to their compaction, are found to contain the lowest N-15/N-14 ratios yet reported for the solar wind, extending the range of variation of the ratio to between a delta N-15 of -190% in the past to +120% at present. Nitrogen isotope analysis of the Apollo 15 drill core, which had undergone two episodes of solar wind exposure, also support the secular variation in the N-15 content of the solar wind, which is attributed to spallation reactions in the sun. The formation of the breccias at the Apollo 11 and 15 sites is discussed on the basis of the observed nitrogen systematics, and differences between N-15 and Ne-21 cosmic ray exposure ages implied are attributed to the diffusive loss of neon from lunar soils.

Thiemens, M. H.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

From Source to Surface: An Investigation of Magmatic Lunar Volatiles

Lunar missions led by NASA discovered water ice on the Moon’s surface [1-3], revolutionizing views of the abundance, distribution, and potential sources of H2O and other volatiles. Volatiles play an important role in affecting the rheological properties of minerals and melts and influencing magma eruption processes. In order to determine the indigenous volatile inventory of the Moon, it is vital to identify the magmatic and secondary processes that may have affected the volatile contents in lunar minerals [4]. As part of the Apollo Next Generation Sample Analysis (ANGSA) program we are investigating the petrogenesis of a set of four Apollo lunar basalts collected from the rim of Steno Crater 71035, 71037, 71055, and specially curated sample 71036. Our team is studying the petrology in 2D and 3D (this work), chronology (Pomeroy et al., LPSC 2022), oxidation state of sulfur in apatite (Brounce et al., LPSC 2022), and volatile inventory of the sample set in order to understand the age and genetic relationships among the basalts, their magma ascent conditions and eruptive signatures, and their degassing and surface histories. Here we present the first detailed study of the 2D and 3D mineralogy, textures, 3D vesiculation, and chemistry of these basalts to shed light on their magmatic, volcanic, and post-eruptive histories. Note: Extended abstract on document.

Z. E. Wilbur↗
DOE OSTI2020

Adult weight change and premenopausal breast cancer risk: A prospective pooled analysis of data from 628,463 women

Early-adulthood body size is strongly inversely associated with risk of premenopausal breast cancer. It is unclear whether subsequent changes in weight affect risk. We pooled individual-level data from 17 prospective studies to investigate the association of weight change with premenopausal breast cancer risk, considering strata of initial weight, timing of weight change, other breast cancer risk factors and breast cancer subtype. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained using Cox regression. Among 628,463 women, 10,886 were diagnosed with breast cancer before menopause. Models adjusted for initial weight at ages 18–24 years and other breast cancer risk factors showed that weight gain from ages 18–24 to 35–44 or to 45–54 years was inversely associated with breast cancer overall (e.g., HR per 5 kg to ages 45–54: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.95–0.98) and with oestrogen-receptor(ER)-positive breast cancer (HR per 5 kg to ages 45–54: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.94–0.98). Weight gain from ages 25–34 was inversely associated with ER-positive breast cancer only and weight gain from ages 35–44 was not associated with risk. None of these weight gains were associated with ER-negative breast cancer. Weight loss was not consistently associated with overall or ER-specific risk after adjusting for initial weight. Weight increase from early-adulthood to ages 45–54 years is associated with a reduced premenopausal breast cancer risk independently of early-adulthood weight. Biological explanations are needed to account for these two separate factors.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Predicting encapsulant delamination in photovoltaic modules bridging photochemical reaction kinetics and fracture mechanics

Abstract Photovoltaic (PV) modules are subjected to environmental stressors (UV exposure, temperature, and humidity) that cause degradation within the encapsulant and its interfaces with adjacent glass and cell substrates. To save experimental time and to enable long‐term assessment with intensive degradation only taking place after many years, the development of predictive models is indispensable. Previous works have modeled the delamination of the ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) encapsulant/glass and encapsulant/cell interfaces under field aging conditions with fundamental photochemical degradation reactions that lead to molecular scission and loss of interfacial adhesion, characterized by the fracture resistance, G c . However, these models were fundamentally limited in that the following aspects were not incorporated: (i) molecular crosslinking in the field, (ii) synergistic autocatalytic interactions of degradation mechanisms, (iii) connection between degraded encapsulant structure and its mechanical properties, and (iv) rigorous treatment of the plasticity contribution to G c with finite element models. Here, we present a time‐dependent multiscale model that addresses these limitations and is applicable to a wide range of encapsulants and interfaces. For the reference EVA encapsulant and its interfaces with the glass and cell, the presented model predicts an initial rise in G c in the first 3 years of field aging from crosslinking, then a subsequent sharp decline from degradation mechanisms. We used nanoindentation to measure the changes in EVA mechanical properties over exposure time to tune the model parameters. The model predictions of G c and mechanical properties match with experimental data and show an improvement compared to previous models. The model can even predict switches in failure interfaces, such as the observed EVA/cell to EVA/glass transition. We also conducted a sensitivity analysis study by varying the degradation and crosslinking kinetic parameters to demonstrate their effects on G c . Model extensions to polyolefin elastomer‐ and silicone‐encapsulants and their interfaces are also demonstrated.

Liu, Kuan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Development of an In-Situ Method for Cable Condition Monitoring in Nuclear Power Plants (SBIR Phase IIB Final Report)

This is the final report of a Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) project that Analysis and Measurement Services Corporation (AMS) has conducted for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) over a seven-and-a-half year period (February 2013 through April 2020 with the awards of Phase I, Phase II and Phase IIB projects). The goal of the project was to design, develop, validate, and demonstrate a technique for in-situ testing of cable insulation polymers that will identify, locate, and provide the degree of aging for cables commonly used in nuclear power plants. During the Phase I project, AMS established that the frequency domain reflectometry (FDR) technique can successfully identify and measure cable insulation degradation that can be trended with aging. In Phase II, AMS performed extensive cable aging studies to correlate FDR measurements with other laboratory condition monitoring techniques and developed aging condition categories to quantify the severity of insulation degradation. In Phase IIB, the project expanded the research to include a wider variety of cable polymers that are used in the commercial nuclear power industry. This work also involved developing acceptance criteria to objectively assess age-related cable degradation while sharing the results of this research with industry, academia, and national laboratories to advance the state of the art in cable aging management technologies. The products developed under this research project provide the nuclear industry with an effective condition monitoring tool to support safe and long-term plant operation. Throughout the project, collaborations and support were received from a variety of industry organizations and individuals including DOE National Laboratories as well as nuclear plant utilities and several other industry experts and cable manufacturers. Contributions from these organizations included the donation of new cables, naturally aged cables, and research collaboration. The validation and commercialization of the products of this project were achieved through opportunities to test and demonstrate the technologies’ capabilities on-site at nuclear power generation and research facilities as well as in the laboratory alongside industry peers and cable testing service companies. The research resulted in a technology that can be used to identify, locate, and quantify age-related degradation in several types of cable polymers. This included developing software and hardware as well as the methodology for using the FDR technique to assess age-related degradation of installed cables. The technology developed under this project can provide nuclear plant management, engineers, and technicians with an in-situ electrical test method to determine if in-service cables need to be replaced, monitored on a periodic basis, or show no evidence of significant age-related degradation that may require action. Near the end of this Phase IIB project, the FDR product was sold to a nuclear power utility in South Korea. This sale of a dedicated aging assessment tool is the beginning of a comprehensive contract with the expectation of twelve (12) units sold to that country. Additionally, the FDR technology has been sold to several industry organizations including a nuclear research institute and the Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant. This technology is also being leased by other nuclear industry service companies for incorporation into aging management programs. The cable testing technology that was developed under this project was also integrated into a comprehensive cable aging assessment service that is being offered to the nuclear industry at the request of U.S. nuclear utilities and is currently part of onsite testing services provided by AMS.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Network Models of Active Degradation Mechanisms and Pathways for Service Life Prediction of Indoor and Outdoor PV Modules

ct: PV service lifetime prediction (SLP) enables accurate calculation of levelized cost of energy (LCOE), which is crucial to rationalizing PV investment and installation. However, SLP is challeging since PV reliability in the field is affected by many combined factors, including various environmental stresses and module quality. In order to map out the active degradation mechanisms and pathways that best resemble real world conditions, we introduce the framework of a study protocol and use network models fitted to data, to enable analysis and SLP of complex PV systems with multiple active degradation mechanisms. The study protocol is the experimental design, including module variants and different exposure conditions, selection of evaluation methods, time-series data acquisition and training of network models to these data. We present SLP of minimodules in the lab and PV systems in the field. For lab SLP, minimodules with 8 variants based on manufacturer, architecture, and encapsulation were prepared and aged in modified damp heat with or without full spectrum light exposure. Stepwise I-V and Suns-Voc data acquisition tracks changes in electrical properties including Rs,IV, Isc,IV, Vmp,PIV providing insights into power loss of minimodules. Network structural equation modeling (netSEM) was utilized to construct degradation pathway models that identify active degradation mechanisms and predict power loss over time. For field SLP, datastreams of Pmp values and I-V curve datastreams of two types of modules installed in three distinctly different Köppen-Geiger climate zones for 9 years were acquired. With power loss modes corresponding to uniform current loss (ΔPIsc), recombination (ΔPVoc), series resistance (ΔPRs), and current mismatch (ΔPImis) determined, the performance loss rates (PLR) were determined using PVplr. We show how to establish a study protocol framework to ensure appropriate parametric variations and valid data collection from the variants of your complex systems. Then the data-driven netSEM model fitting provides a comprehensive mapping of multiple active degradation mechanisms, and accurate service life prediction.

network model, degradation, photovoltaic, solar↗