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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Estimating Precommercial Heterogeneous Catalyst Price: A Simple Step-Based Method

Developers of novel catalysts often have limited access to information on the costs of their catalytic materials. The R&D and commercialization decisions made by these researchers would benefit from cost estimates that are accurate and directly comparable to the prices of incumbent catalytic materials, but developing such estimates requires detailed knowledge of industrial synthesis methods and their costs. In order to address one critical part of this need for cost information, namely, the capital and operating costs of using catalyst manufacturing process equipment, a simple and researcher-accessible 'step method' is described herein. This method is based on the estimating techniques that contract manufacturers of industrial catalysts use to develop price quotes for their services. It allows the development of an estimate of catalyst synthesis costs by selection of individual processing steps from a list. Data and methods to allow estimation of processing cost via the step method are provided for synthesis quantities of 1-1000 tons. Price estimates for three example materials, including Pt/C, Ni/Al 2 O 3 , and fluid catalytic cracking catalysts, are described in detail and shown to compare favorably (within +/-20%) with market prices for those materials. Lastly, the step method is placed in the context of a forthcoming free and publicly available catalyst cost estimation tool that will incorporate raw materials pricing, dedicated catalyst plants for higher-volume syntheses, spent catalyst value, and other features.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Predicting Effective Diffusion Coefficients in Mudrocks Using a Fractal Model and Small-Angle Neutron Scattering Measurements

The determination of effective diffusion coefficients of gases or solutes in the water–saturated pore space of mudrocks is time consuming and technically challenging. Yet, reliable values of effective diffusion coefficients are important to predict migration of hydrocarbon gases in unconventional reservoirs, dissipation of (explosive) gases through clay barriers in radioactive waste repositories, mineral alteration of seals to geological CO 2 storage reservoirs and contaminant migration through aquitards. In this study, small angle and very small angle neutron scattering techniques have been utilized to determine a range of transport properties in mudrocks, including porosity, pore size distributions and surface and volume fractal dimensions of pores and grains, from which diffusive transport parameters can be estimated. Using a fractal model derived from Archie's Law, we calculate effective diffusion coefficients from these parameters and compare them to laboratory–derived effective diffusion coefficients for CO 2 , H 2 , CH 4 and HTO on either the same or related mudrock samples. The samples include Opalinus Shale from the underground laboratory in Mont Terri, Switzerland; Boom Clay from a core drilled in Mol, Belgium and a marine claystone cored in Utah, USA. The predicted values were compared to laboratory diffusion measurements. The measured and modeled diffusion coefficients show good agreement, differing generally by less than factor 5. Furthermore, neutron or X–ray scattering analysis is therefore proposed as a novel method for fast, accurate estimation of effective diffusion coefficients in mudrocks, together with simultaneous measurement of multiple transport parameters including porosity, pore size distributions and surface areas, important for (reactive) transport modelling.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

LOW-MASS X-RAY BINARIES INDICATE A TOP-HEAVY STELLAR INITIAL MASS FUNCTION IN ULTRACOMPACT DWARF GALAXIES

It has been shown before that the high mass-to-light ratios of ultracompact dwarf galaxies (UCDs) can be explained if their stellar initial mass function (IMF) was top-heavy, i.e., that the IMF was skewed toward high-mass stars. In this case, neutron stars (NSs) and black holes would provide unseen mass in the UCDs. In order to test this scenario with an independent method, we use data on which a fraction of UCDs has a bright X-ray source. These X-ray sources are interpreted as low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs), i.e., binaries where a NS accretes matter from an evolving low-mass star. We find that LMXBs are indeed up to 10 times more frequent in UCDs than expected if the IMF was invariant. The top-heavy IMF required to account for this overabundance is the same as that needed to explain the unusually high mass-to-light ratios of UCDs and a top-heavy IMF appears to be the only simultaneous explanation for both findings. Furthermore, we show that the high rate of type II supernovae in the starburst galaxy Arp 220 suggests a top-heavy IMF in that system. This finding is consistent with the notion that starburst galaxies are sites where UCDs are likely to be formed and that the IMF of UCDs is top-heavy. It is estimated that the IMF becomes top-heavy whenever the star formation rate per volume surpasses 0.1 M{sub Sun} yr{sup -1} pc{sup -3} in pc-scale regions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

THE LOW-VELOCITY, RAPIDLY FADING TYPE Ia SUPERNOVA 2002es

SN 2002es is a peculiar subluminous Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) with a combination of observed characteristics never before seen in an SN Ia. At maximum light, SN 2002es shares spectroscopic properties with the underluminous SN 1991bg subclass of SNe Ia, but with substantially lower expansion velocities ({approx}6000 km s{sup -1}) more typical of the peculiar SN 2002cx subclass. Photometrically, SN 2002es differs from both SN 1991bg-like and SN 2002cx-like supernovae. Although at maximum light it is subluminous (M{sub B} = -17.78 mag), SN 2002es has a relatively broad light curve ({Delta}m{sub 15}(B) = 1.28 {+-} 0.04 mag), making it a significant outlier in the light-curve width versus luminosity relationship. We estimate a {sup 56}Ni mass of 0.17 {+-} 0.05 M{sub Sun} synthesized in the explosion, relatively low for an SN Ia. One month after maximum light, we find an unexpected plummet in the bolometric luminosity. The late-time decay of the light curves is inconsistent with our estimated {sup 56}Ni mass, indicating that either the light curve was not completely powered by {sup 56}Ni decay or the ejecta became optically thin to {gamma}-rays within a month after maximum light. The host galaxy is classified as an S0 galaxy with little to no star formation, indicating that the progenitor of SN 2002es is likely from an old stellar population. We also present a less extensive data set for SN 1999bh, an object which shares similar photometric and spectroscopic properties. Both objects were found as part of the Lick Observatory Supernova Search, allowing us to estimate that these objects should account for 2.5% of SNe Ia within a fixed volume. Current theoretical models are unable to explain the observed characteristics of SN 2002es.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Many-isocenter optimization for robotic radiotherapy

Despite significant dosimetric gains, clinical implementation of the 4π non-coplanar radiotherapy on the widely available C-arm gantry system is hindered by limited clearance, and the need to perform complex coordinated gantry and couch motion. A robotic radiotherapy platform would be conducive to such treatment but a new conflict between field size and MLC modulation resolution needs to be managed for versatile applications. This study investigates the dosimetry and delivery efficiency of purposefully creating many isocenters to achieve simultaneously high MLC modulation resolution and large tumor coverage. An integrated optimization framework was proposed for simultaneous beam orientation optimization (BOO), isocenter selection, and fluence map optimization (FMO). The framework includes a least-square dose fidelity objective, a total variation term for regularizing the fluence smoothness, and a group sparsity term for beam selection. A minimal number of isocenters were identified for efficient target coverage. Colliding beams excluded, high-resolution small-field 4π intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) treatment plans with 50 cm source-to-isocenter distance (SID-50) on 10 Head and Neck (H&N) cancer patients were compared with low-resolution large-field plans with 100 cm SID (SID-100). With the same or better target coverage, the average reduction of [Dmean, Dmax] of 20-beam SID-50 plans from 20-beam SID-100 plans were [2.09 Gy, 1.19 Gy] for organs at risk (OARs) overall, [3.05 Gy, 0.04 Gy] for parotid gland, [3.62 Gy, 5.19 Gy] for larynx, and [3.27 Gy, 1.10 Gy] for mandible. R50 and integral dose were reduced by 5.3% and 9.6%, respectively. Wilcoxon signed-rank test showed significant difference (p < 0.05) in planning target volume (PTV) homogeneity, PTV Dmax, R50, Integral dose, and OAR Dmean and Dmax. The estimated delivery time of 20-beam [SID-50, SID-100] plans were [19, 18] min and [14, 9] min, assuming 5 fractions and 30 fractions, respectively. Finally, with clinically acceptable delivery efficiency, many-isocenter optimization is dosimetrically desirable for treating large targets with high modulation resolution on the robotic platform.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Large covariance matrices: accurate models without mocks

Abstract Covariance matrix estimation is a persistent challenge for cosmology. We focus on a class of model covariance matrices that can be generated with high accuracy and precision, using a tiny fraction of the computational resources that would be required to achieve comparably precise covariance matrices using mock catalogues. In previous work, the free parameters in these models were determined using sample covariance matrices computed using a large number of mocks, but we demonstrate that those parameters can be estimated consistently and with good precision by applying jackknife methods to a single survey volume. This enables model covariance matrices that are calibrated from data alone, with no reference to mocks.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Relaxation times for disoriented isospin condensates in high energy heavy ion collisions

Fluctuations between charged and neutral kaons measured by the ALICE Collaboration in Pb-Pb collisions at the CERN Large Hadron Collider (LHC) exceed conventional explanations. Previously it was shown that if the scalar condensate is accompanied by an electrically neutral isospin-1 field then the combination can produce large equilibrium fluctuations where ⟨$\overline{𝑢}$ ⁢𝑢⟩≠⟨ $\overline{𝑑}$𝑑⟩. Hadronizing strange and antistrange quarks might then strongly fluctuate between charged ($\overline{𝑢}$⁢𝑠 or $\overline{𝑠}$⁢𝑢) and neutral (𝑑⁢$\overline{𝑠}$⁢ or 𝑠⁢$\overline{𝑑}$) kaons. Here, we estimate the times for the condensates to achieve their equilibrium probability distributions within causal volumes in high energy heavy ion collisions. This is achieved by modeling the temperature dependence of the condensates, mesonic collective excitations, decay rates of the associated fields, and employing the Langevin and Fokker-Planck equations. Within this model, we find that the equilibration times are short compared with the expansion time, making disoriented isospin condensates a viable explanation for the anomalous fluctuations observed at the LHC.

Quark-gluon plasma↗

Determination of heat conductivity and thermal diffusivity of waste glass melter feed: Extension to high temperatures

The heat conductivity ({lambda}) and the thermal diffusivity (a) of reacting glass batch, or melter feed, control the heat flux into and within the cold cap, a layer of reacting material floating on the pool of molten glass in an all-electric continuous waste glass melter. After previously estimating {lambda} of melter feed at temperatures up to 680 deg C, we focus in this work on the {lambda}(T) function at T > 680 deg C, at which the feed material becomes foamy. We used a customized experimental setup consisting of a large cylindrical crucible with an assembly of thermocouples, which monitored the evolution of the temperature field while the crucible with feed was heated at a constant rate from room temperature up to 1100°C. Approximating measured temperature profiles by polynomial functions, we used the heat transfer equation to estimate the {lambda}(T) approximation function, which we subsequently optimized using the finite-volume method combined with least-squares analysis. The heat conductivity increased as the temperature increased until the feed began to expand into foam, at which point the conductivity dropped. It began to increase again as the foam turned into a bubble-free glass melt. We discuss the implications of this behavior for the mathematical modeling of the cold cap.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Non-Constant Learning Rates in Retrospective Experience Curve Analyses and their Correlation to Deployment Programs

A key challenge for policy-makers and technology market forecasters is to estimate future technology costs and in particular the rate of cost reduction versus production volume. A related, critical question is what role should state and federal governments have in advancing energy efficient and renewable energy technologies? This work provides retrospective experience curves and learning rates for several energy-related technologies, each of which have a known history of federal and state deployment programs. We derive learning rates for eight technologies including energy efficient lighting technologies, stationary fuel cell systems, and residential solar photovoltaics, and provide an overview and timeline of historical deployment programs such as state and federal standards and state and national incentive programs for each technology. Piecewise linear regimes are observed in a range of technology experience curves, and public investments or deployment programs are found to be strongly correlated to an increase in learning rate across multiple technologies. A downward bend in the experience curve is found in 5 out of the 8 energy-related technologies presented here (electronic ballasts, magnetic ballasts, compact fluorescent lighting, general service fluorescent lighting, and the installed cost of solar PV). In each of the five downward-bending experience curves, we believe that an increase in the learning rate can be linked to deployment programs to some degree. This work sheds light on the endogenous versus exogenous contributions to technological innovation and highlights the impact of exogenous government sponsored deployment programs. This work can inform future policy investment direction and can shed light on market transformation and technology learning behavior.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Beam-induced power in HEX SCW

A superconducting wiggler (SCW) is planned to be installed in NSLS-II for HEX beamline. Interaction of the electron beam with the resistive-wall impedance of the low-gap SCW liner and with the geometric impedance of the transition sections results in excitation of electromagnetic fields, dissipation of which contributes heat load in the cold volume. The beam-induced power caused by the beam-impedance interaction is estimated using analytical formulae and computer simulations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

COPSS II: the molecular gas content of ten million cubic megaparsecs at redshift z ∼ 3

We present a measurement of the abundance of carbon monoxide in the early universe, utilizing the final results from the CO Power Spectrum Survey (COPSS). Between 2013 and 2015, we performed observations with the Sunyaev–Zel’dovich Array to measure aggregate CO emission from z∼3 galaxies with the intensity mapping technique. Data were collected on 19 fields, covering an area of 0.7 square degrees, over the frequency range 27--35 GHz. With these data, along with data analyzed in COPSS I, we are able to observe the CO(1–0) transition within the redshift range z=2.3--3.3 for spatial frequencies between k=0.5--10 h Mpc{sup −1}, spanning a comoving volume of 4.9×10{sup 6} h{sup −3} Mpc{sup 3}. We present estimates of contributions from continuum sources and ground illumination within our measurement. We constrain the amplitude of the CO power spectrum to P{sub CO}=3.0{sub −1.3}{sup +1.3}×10{sup 3} μK{sup 2}(h{sup −1}Mpc){sup 3}, or Δ{sub CO}{sup 2}(k=1 h Mpc{sup −1})=1.5{sub −0.7}{sup +0.7}×10{sup 3} μK{sup 2}, at 68% confidence, and P{sub CO}>0 at 98.9% confidence. These results are a factor of 10 improvement in sensitivity compared to those of COPSS I. With this measurement, we constrain on the CO(1–0) galaxy luminosity function at z∼3. Assuming that CO emission is proportional to halo mass and using theoretical estimates of the scatter in this relationship, we constrain the ratio of CO(1--0) luminosity to halo mass to A{sub CO}=6.3{sub −2.1}{sup +1.4}×10{sup −7} L{sub ⊙} M{sub ⊙}{sup −1}. Assuming a Milky Way-like linear relationship between CO luminosity and molecular gas mass, we estimate a mass fraction of molecular gas of f{sub H{sub 2}}=5.5{sub −2.2}{sup +3.4}×10{sup −2} for halos with masses of ∼10{sup 12}M{sub ⊙}. Using theoretical estimates for the scaling of molecular gas mass fraction and halo mass, we estimate the cosmic molecular gas density to be ρ{sub z∼3}(H{sub 2})=1.1{sub −0.4}{sup +0.7}×10{sup 8} M{sub ⊙} Mpc{sup −3}.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Long-term hydro-economic analysis tool for evaluating global groundwater cost and supply: Superwell v1.1

Abstract. Groundwater plays a key role in meeting water demands, supplying over 40 % of irrigation water globally, with this role likely to grow as water demands and surface water variability increase. A better understanding of the future role of groundwater in meeting sectoral demands requires an integrated hydro-economic evaluation of its cost and availability. Yet substantial gaps remain in our knowledge and modeling capabilities related to groundwater availability, recharge, feasible locations for extraction, extractable volumes, and associated extraction costs, which are essential for large-scale analyses of integrated human–water system scenarios, particularly at the global scale. To address these needs, we developed Superwell, a physics-based groundwater extraction and cost accounting model that operates at sub-annual temporal and at the coarsest 0.5° (≈50 km × 50 km) gridded spatial resolution with global coverage. The model produces location-specific groundwater supply–cost curves that provide the levelized cost to access different quantities of available groundwater. The inputs to Superwell include recent high-resolution hydrogeologic datasets of permeability, porosity, aquifer thickness, depth to water table, recharge, and hydrogeological complexity zones. It also accounts for well capital and maintenance costs, as well as the energy costs required to lift water to the surface. The model employs a Theis-based scheme coupled with an amortization-based cost accounting formulation to simulate groundwater extraction and quantify the cost of groundwater pumping. The result is a spatiotemporally flexible, physically realistic, economics-based model that produces groundwater supply–cost curves. We show examples of these supply–cost curves and the insights that can be derived from them across a set of scenarios designed to explore model outcomes. The supply–cost curves produced by the model show that most (90 %) nonrenewable groundwater in storage globally is extractable at costs lower than USD 0.57 m−3, while half of the volume remains extractable at under USD 0.108 m−3. The global unit cost is estimated to range from a minimum of USD 0.004 m−3 to a maximum of USD 3.971 m−3. We also demonstrate and discuss examples of how these cost curves could be used by linking Superwell's outputs with other models to explore coupled human–environmental system challenges, such as water resources planning and management, or broader analyses of multisectoral feedbacks.

Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)↗

Evaluation of usefulness of Skylab EREP S-190 and S-192 imagery in multistage forest surveys

The author has identified the following significant results. The digital timber volume prediction system was tested with another test area in the Trinity Alps. The estimated gain in precision was somewhat lower than the estimate for the first test area (35%). A combined interpretation of the two areas was made, yielding an estimated gain of 44%, with high statistical significance. This interpretation was used to calibrate the system for an interpretation of 43 primary sample units distributed over 1600 square miles. Preliminary results indicate that a gain of 35% can be realized over this large area in northern California.

Langley, P. G.↗

Microwave profiling of snowpack free-water content

A microwave system is proposed to measure the amount of liquid-phase water in a snowpack operating in the range of 1 to 10 GHz. Attenuation of the beam between source and receivers is produced by the water in the snow. The relationships of frequency, distance, and volume percent of water are calculated for an assumed detector sensitivity, together with the estimated cost of a representative system. A laboratory test is described that shows the attenuation for snow at maximum wetness at 9.35 GHz. A configuration is proposed that involves a vertical tube containing microwave and radioactive sources and another vertical tube containing microwave and gamma-ray detectors, so that density and wetness profiles are obtained simultaneously over essentially the same path.

Linlor, W. I.↗

Advanced Recording and Preprocessing of Physiological Signals

The measurement of the volume flow-rate of blood in an artery or vein requires both an estimate of the flow velocity and its spatial distribution and the corresponding cross-sectional area. Transcutaneous measurements of these parameters can be performed using ultrasonic techniques that are analogous to the measurement of moving objects by use of a radar. Modern digital data recording and preprocessing methods were applied to the measurement of blood-flow velocity by means of the CW Doppler ultrasonic technique. Only the average flow velocity was measured and no distribution or size information was obtained. Evaluations of current flowmeter design and performance, ultrasonic transducer fabrication methods, and other related items are given. The main thrust was the development of effective data-handling and processing methods by application of modern digital techniques. The evaluation resulted in useful improvements in both the flowmeter instrumentation and the ultrasonic transducers. Effective digital processing algorithms that provided enhanced blood-flow measurement accuracy and sensitivity were developed. Block diagrams illustrative of the equipment setup are included.

Bentley, P. B.↗

Methods for calculation of engineering parameters for gas separation

A group additivity method is generated which allows estimation, from the structural formulas alone, of the energy of vaporization and the molar volume at 25 C of many nonpolar organic liquids. Using these two parameters and appropriate thermodynamic relations, the vapor pressure of the liquid phase and the solubility of various gases in nonpolar organic liquids are predicted. It is also possible to use the data to evaluate organic and some inorganic liquids for use in gas separation stages or liquids as heat exchange fluids in prospective thermochemical cycles for hydrogen production.

Lawson, D. D.↗

Steady-state magma discharge at Etna 1971-81

Throughout the past decade Mount Etna has been in almost continuous activity and even during periods of repose incandescent lava has often been visible in at least one of the summit vents. Using observations by Italian, British and French volcanological teams, the volumes of lava produced by each eruption from 1971 to July 1981 have been estimated. The computed output of magma for this period approximates to a rate of 0.7 cu m/s. This is compared with the output rate estimates for Etna's historic past. The steady-state nature of the output during the past decade has implications for the interpretation of the volcano's internal plumbing and the petrology of its lavas, and the assumption that this state will be maintained allows a discussion of the timing and magnitude of future eruptions.

Wadge, G.↗