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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Best Practices Handbook for the Collection and Use of Solar Resource Data for Solar Energy Applications: Fourth Edition

As the world increasingly seeks low-carbon energy solutions, solar power emerges as the most abundant resource on our planet. However, the challenge of effectively harnessing this energy is crucial in the coming years. Solar energy applications such as photovoltaics, solar heating and cooling, and concentrating solar power use different technologies to capitalize on sunlight. Each system has unique capabilities and requirements, underscoring the need for reliable information about solar resources across diverse installations, from residential rooftops to large-scale power plants. This is especially important for substantial projects, often exceeding $1 billion in construction costs. Before embarking on such ventures, it is imperative to obtain accurate data concerning solar resource quality and reliability at specific sites. Developers require detailed historical information, including seasonal, daily, hourly, and, ideally, subhourly variability to effectively predict a power plant's annual performance. Without these vital data, financial analyses fall short. Moreover, with the growing adoption of distributed photovoltaics, integrating these generation sources becomes critical to maintaining grid reliability and stability. By accurately forecasting generation patterns, utilities and system operators can facilitate greater integration of solar energy, thus ensuring the operational stability of the grid. The complexity and importance of these issues have prompted the foremost experts in the field to collaborate under the auspices of the International Energy Agency's (IEA's) Photovoltaic Power Systems Programme (PVPS) Task 16 to publish this handbook, which summarizes state-of-the-art information about all these topics. The efforts focus on providing reliable data and insights that can help shape our investments in solar energy and drive a sustainable future.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Validation of Synthetic U.S. Electric Power Distribution System Data Sets

There is a strong need for synthetic yet realistic distribution system test data sets that are as diverse, large, and complex to solve as real systems. Such data sets can facilitate the development of advanced algorithms and the assessment of emerging distributed energy resources while avoiding the need to acquire proprietary critical infrastructure or private data. Such synthetic data sets, however, are useful only if they are realistic enough to look and behave similarly to actual systems. This paper presents a comprehensive framework for validating synthetic distribution data sets using a three-pronged statistical, operational, and expert validation approach. Furthermore, it also presents a set of statistical and operational metric targets for achieving realistic data sets based on detailed characterization of more than 10,000 real U.S. utility feeders. The paper demonstrates the use of the proposed validation approach to validate three large-scale synthetic data sets developed by the authors representing Santa Fe, New Mexico; Greensboro, North Carolina; and the San Francisco Bay Area, California.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Maintaining Trust in Reduction: Preserving the Accuracy of Quantities of Interest for Lossy Compression

As the growth of data sizes continues to outpace computational resources, there is a pressing need for data reduction techniques that can significantly reduce the amount of data and quantify the error incurred in compression. Compressing scientific data presents many challenges for reduction techniques since it is often on non-uniform or unstructured meshes, is from a high-dimensional space, and has many Quantities of Interests (QoIs) that need to be preserved. To illustrate these challenges, we focus on data from a large scale fusion code, XGC. XGC uses a Particle-In-Cell (PIC) technique which generates hundreds of PetaBytes (PBs) of data a day, from thousands of timesteps. XGC uses an unstructured mesh, and needs to compute many QoIs from the raw data, f.One critical aspect of the reduction is that we need to ensure that QoIs derived from the data (density, temperature, flux surface averaged momentums, etc.) maintain a relative high accuracy. We show that by compressing XGC data on the high-dimensional, nonuniform grid on which the data is defined, and adaptively quantizing the decomposed coefficients based on the characteristics of the QoIs, the compression ratios at various error tolerances obtained using a multilevel compressor (MGARD) increases more than ten times. We then present how to mathematically guarantee that the accuracy of the QoIs computed from the reduced f is preserved during the compression. We show that the error in the XGC density can be kept under a user-specified tolerance over 1000 timesteps of simulation using the mathematical QoI error control theory of MGARD, whereas traditional error control on the data to be reduced does not guarantee the accuracy of the QoIs.

Gong, Qian↗
DOE OSTI2021

A New Impedance-Based Modeling and Stability Analysis Approach for Power Oscillations Between Grid-Forming Inverters

This paper presents a new modeling and analysis approach to address the small-signal stability issues among interconnected grid-forming (GFM) inverters. A novel phasor domain “power impedance” model is developed to capture the terminal characteristics of GFM inverters. Based on the developed models, a sum-type impedance stability criterion is proposed to analyze the power oscillations between GFM Inverters. The developed models are validated with EMT simulations and the stability analysis results using the proposed stability criterion can match both EMT simulations and eigenvalue analysis. In addition, the application of the developed model can be extended to the stability analysis of large-scale power system with high penetration of GFM inverters.

Liu, Hanchao↗
DOE OSTI2023

Entropy-driven Optimal Sub-sampling of Fluid Dynamics for Developing Machine-learned Surrogates

Optimal sub-sampling of large datasets from fluid dynamics simulations is essential for training reduced-order machine learned models. A method using Shannon entropy was developed to weight flow features according to their level of information content, such that the most informative features can be extracted and used for training a surrogate model. The method is demonstrated in the canonical flow over a cylinder problem simulated with OpenFOAM. Both time-independent predictions and temporal forecasting were investigated as well as two types of prediction targets: local per-grid-point predictions and global per-time-step predictions. When tested on training a surrogate model, results indicate that our entropy-based sampling method typically outperforms random sampling and yields more reproducible results in less iterations. Finally, the method was used to train a surrogate model for modeling turbulence in magnetohydrodynamic flows, which revealed various challenges and opportunities for future research.

Brewer, Wes↗
DOE OSTI2020

ZND Verification Tests for Reactive Burn Models in FLAG

The ZND theory, named after Zeldovich, von Neumann, and Doering, provides a simple model for one-dimensional ideal steady-state detonation. It assumes that the detonation wave front starts with a shock that is a discontinuous jump and is followed by a finite-length reaction zone. Reactive burn (also called reactive flow) models are based on ZND theory, as they model the shock initiation and detonation process with a finite reaction rate. The ZND wave propagation test is essentially the only available test case where an analytic solution exists for verification of reactive burn models in numerical codes. However, there are extensions and variants of the ZND test that have been devised for verification of multidimensional flows. The objective of this work is to provide verification of the reactive burn models currently implemented in the Lagrangian hydrocode FLAG and investigate the influence of mesh resolution, artificial viscosity models, and the Arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) Euler relaxer on the simulation results. The burn models of interest are the Wescott-Stewart-Davis (WSD) model, the Scaled Uniform Reactive Flow (SURF) model (specifically with the SURFplus model extension), and the Arrhenius shock temperature state dependent WSD (AWSD) model. Previously, Ralph Menikoff has used ZND tests for verification of the SURF and SURFplus models in the Eulerian hydrocode xRAGE. The ZND tests here are somewhat different than the approach by Menikoff. In particular, we use a piston-driven ZND detonation wave (via a prescribed constant velocity boundary condition) in a Lagrangian framework whereas Menikoff had a ZND wave followed by a invariant rarefaction wave. The xRAGE simulations were carried out on uniform grids and adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) grids. Although AMR was recently implemented in FLAG and now fully functional for 2D simulations, it will not be evaluated with ZND tests at this time. Some work has been done previously for validating the reactive burn models in FLAG. For example, the validation studies of SURF with shock-to-detonation (SDT) tests, cylinder tests, and gap-stick tests. Further validation of the AWSD, WSD, and SURF models is described in for SDT, multi-shock, cylinder, and corner-turning tests. Recently, a large parameter study with approximately twenty SDT tests was performed to validate the AWSD, WSD, SURF, and SURFplus models while also investigating mesh resolution and artificial viscosity settings. To the best of our knowledge, the current work represents the first documented verification of these burn models in FLAG. The reader should note that many of the tables and figures in this report use units of cm/g/µs, which are the default units for FLAG. However, some lengths and velocities are expressed in µm and mm/µs, respectively, which are typical units for detonation analyses.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2020

A model for discrete fracture-clay rock interaction incorporating electrostatic effects on transport

Abstract A model based on the code CrunchClay is presented for a fracture-clay matrix system that takes electrostatic effects on transport into account. The electrostatic effects on transport include those associated with the development of a diffusion potential as captured by the Nernst-Planck equation, and the formation of a diffuse layer bordering negatively charged clay particles within which partial anion exclusion occurs. The model is based on a dual continuum formulation that accounts for diffuse layer and bulk water pore space, providing a more flexible framework than is found in the classical mean electrostatic potential models. The diffuse layer model is obtained by volume averaging ion concentrations in the Poisson-Boltzmann equation, but also includes the treatment of longitudinal transport within this continuum. The calculation of transport within the bulk and diffuse layer porosity is based on a new formulation for the Nernst-Planck equation that considers averaging of diffusion coefficients and accumulation factors at grid cell interfaces. Equations for function residuals and the associated Jacobian matrix are presented such that the system of nonlinear differential-algebraic equations can be solved with Newton’s method. As an example, we consider a 2D system with a single discrete fracture within which flow and advective transport occurs that is coupled to diffusion in the clay-rich matrix. The simulation results demonstrate the lack of retardation for anions (e.g., 36 Cl − ) of the contaminant plume within the fracture flow system because they are largely excluded from the charged clay rock, while the migration of cations (e.g., 90 Sr ++ ) is more strongly attenuated. The diffusive loss of divalent cations in particular from the fracture is accentuated by their accumulation in the diffuse layer within the clay-rich matrix.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

GPU-enabled extreme-scale turbulence simulations: Fourier pseudo-spectral algorithms at the exascale using OpenMP offloading

Fourier pseudo-spectral methods for nonlinear partial differential equations are of wide interest in many areas of advanced computational science, including direct numerical simulation of three-dimensional (3-D) turbulence governed by the Navier-Stokes equations in fluid dynamics. This paper presents a new capability for simulating turbulence at a new record resolution up to 35 trillion grid points, on the world's first exascale computer, Frontier, comprising AMD MI250x GPUs with HPE's Slingshot interconnect and operated by the US Department of Energy's Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF). Key programming strategies designed to take maximum advantage of the machine architecture involve performing almost all computations on the GPU which has the same memory capacity as the CPU, performing all-to-all communication among sets of parallel processes directly on the GPU, and targeting GPUs efficiently using OpenMP offloading for intensive number-crunching including 1-D Fast Fourier Transforms (FFT) performed using AMD ROCm library calls. With 99% of computing power on Frontier being on the GPU, leaving the CPU idle leads to a net performance gain via avoiding the overhead of data movement between host and device except when needed for some I/O purposes. Memory footprint including the size of communication buffers for MPI_ALLTOALL is managed carefully to maximize the largest problem size possible for a given node count. Detailed performance data including separate contributions from different categories of operations to the elapsed wall time per step are reported for five grid resolutions, from 2048 3 on a single node to 32768 3 on 4096 or 8192 nodes out of 9408 on the system. Both 1D and 2D domain decompositions which divide a 3D periodic domain into slabs and pencils respectively are implemented. The present code suite (labeled by the acronym GESTS, GPUs for Extreme Scale Turbulence Simulations) achieves a figure of merit (in grid points per second) exceeding goals set in the Center for Accelerated Application Readiness (CAAR) program for Frontier. The performance attained is highly favorable in both weak scaling and strong scaling, with notable departures only for 2048 3 where communication is entirely intra-node, and for 32768 3 , where a challenge due to small message sizes does arise. Communication performance is addressed further using a lightweight test code that performs all-to-all communication in a manner matching the full turbulence simulation code. Performance at large problem sizes is affected by both small message size due to high node counts as well as dragonfly network topology features on the machine, but is consistent with official expectations of sustained performance on Frontier. Overall, although not perfect, the scalability achieved at the extreme problem size of 32768 3 (and up to 8192 nodes — which corresponds to hardware rated at just under 1 exaflop/sec of theoretical peak computational performance) is arguably better than the scalability observed using prior state-of-the-art algorithms on Frontier's predecessor machine (Summit) at OLCF. New science results for the study of intermittency in turbulence enabled by this code and its extensions are to be reported separately in the near future.

3D fast Fourier transform↗
DOE OSTI2020

High-temperature thermal energy storage with thermophotovoltaic energy conversion (Final Report)

This project began with a simple concept: that thermal energy storage paired with thermophotovoltaic power conversion could be a cost-effective solution to the challenge of renewables variability. Renewable energy sources such as solar and wind energy are clean, affordable, and abundant worldwide, but their variability presents a major problem for the incorporation of a large amount of these resources in global power systems. Systems with high penetrations of renewables frequently see periods of overproduction, where renewable energy is thrown away, and periods of underproduction, where expensive and polluting fossil fuel resources must be used to fill in the gaps. While energy storage technologies such as lithium ion batteries can help store energy from times of overproduction to times the energy is needed, current and projected future prices for these technologies are not low enough to support very renewables-heavy power grids. The research also focused on the techno-economics of using thermal energy storage and thermophotovoltaics to store the energy from solar and wind energy sources when they are available and release this energy back to the grid when it is needed. One of the biggest outcomes of this research was the conclusion that battery prices must drop 10x from their current values in order to meet this need, and this is unlikely to happen with current technologies such as lithium ion batteries.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Surface Pressure Fluctuations Induced by a Hypersonic Turbulent Boundary Layer on a Sharp Cone at Angle of Attack

High-fidelity simulations are performed to characterize the turbulence-induced wall pressure fluctuations on a sharp cone at a 5.5° angle-of-attack in a Mach 8 flow. Wall-resolved large-eddy simulation (LES) and wall-modeled large-eddy simulation (WMLES) results are compared to measurements at several locations on the cone body, where comparisons with high-frequency PCB sensors are good, while comparison with low-frequency kulite sensors varies depending on the location. For a given streamwise location, simulation results show significant azimuthal variation in the wall pressure fluctuation statistics. Comparisons between LES and WMLES results indicate that WMLES can accurately reproduce the low-frequency component of the autospectra quite well, while slight sensitivity is apparent in the coherence. A grid sensitivity study for WMLES further demonstrated sensitivity in the wall pressure fluctuation coherence, but not in the autospectra.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

Initial Uncertainty Analysis of Carbon Tetrachloride Contamination and Remediation in the Ringold A and Lower Mud Units at the Central Plateau

The long-term effectiveness of groundwater cleanup at the Hanford Site Central Plateau depends on predictive models that can capture key uncertainties in contaminant fate and transport. Carbon tetrachloride (CCl 4 ), a persistent and toxic compound, presents particular challenges due to variability in degradation rates, uncertainty in initial plume distribution, and subsurface heterogeneity. These uncertainties directly influence plume persistence, migration pathways, and remedy performance, and thus must be systematically evaluated to support long-term remediation planning. To address these gaps, a large-scale Monte Carlo analysis was conducted using the Plateau to River (P2R) model framework. The modeling approach parameterized three primary uncertainty factors: (1) degradation rate, (2) initial plume distribution, and (3) hydraulic conductivity. Degradation was represented as a first-order process, with half-lives ranging from 70 to 700 years. Initial plume distributions were created using a geostatistical simulation method (sgsim), which generates many equally plausible versions of how contaminants might be distributed underground. From this, 100 different scenarios were mapped onto the P2R grid. Variability in hydraulic conductivity was represented in a similar way, with 100 scenarios each for the Ringold Lower Mud and Ringold A units (layers 6 and 7), based on fitted exponential variograms and conditioned to well data. In total, more than 1000 realizations were simulated to assess plume behavior under uncertainty. Results demonstrate that degradation kinetics exert the strongest control over plume persistence: Shorter half-lives produced rapid mass reduction, while longer half-lives yielded persistent plumes with limited attenuation. A nonlinear response was observed, with steep mass reductions at half-lives greater than 200 years and near-linear declines beyond this threshold, reflecting interactions between degradation and pumping. The initial plume distribution strongly influenced early transport patterns, with broader sources generating larger plume footprints, although pump-and-treat operations constrained plume migration to managed areas. By comparison, hydraulic conductivity variability in the Ringold units had only a secondary influence, modifying spreading behavior without altering the dominant migration pathways governed by source configuration and hydraulic controls. Overall, the analysis highlights that uncertainty in degradation rate and initial plume configuration are the primary drivers of variability in plume predictions, while conductivity heterogeneity plays a limited role. These findings underscore the need for improved site-specific data on degradation processes and source characterization to enhance the reliability of long-term performance assessments and to better inform remedial decision-making at the Central Plateau.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of Extreme Wave Conditions for Wave Energy Converter Design and Project Risk Assessment

Best practices and international standards for determining n-year return period extreme wave (sea states) conditions allow wave energy converter designers and project developers the option to apply simple univariate or more complex bivariate extreme value analysis methods. The present study compares extreme sea state estimates derived from univariate and bivariate methods and investigates the performance of spectral wave models for predicting extreme sea states at buoy locations within several regional wave climates along the US East and West Coasts. Two common third-generation spectral wave models are evaluated, a WAVEWATCH III® model with a grid resolution of 4 arc-minutes (6–7 km), and a Simulating WAves Nearshore model, with a coastal resolution of 200–300 m. Both models are used to generate multi-year hindcasts, from which extreme sea state statistics used for wave conditions characterization can be derived and compared to those based on in-situ observations at National Data Buoy Center stations. Comparison of results using different univariate and bivariate methods from the same data source indicates reasonable agreement on average. Discrepancies are predominantly random. Large discrepancies are common and increase with return period. There is a systematic underbias for extreme significant wave heights derived from model hindcasts compared to those derived from buoy measurements. This underbias is dependent on model spatial resolution. However, simple linear corrections can effectively compensate for this bias. A similar approach is not possible for correcting model-derived environmental contours, but other methods, e.g., machine learning, should be explored.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2021

State-of-the-Art Techniques for Large-Scale Stochastic Unit Commitment

Recent advances in deterministic unit commitment, both formulaic and algorithmic, along with modern algorithmic approaches for stochastic programming, have enabled the solution of stochastic unit commitment problems with hundreds of scenarios on large-scale transmission networks. In this presentation, we will give an overview of these methods, including lazy transmission constraint generation, lower-bounding techniques, and heuristics, all of which can be executed in concert with customized decomposition approaches for optimization under uncertainty. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these techniques on the TAMU Texas7K synthetic transmission network, leveraging realistic high-resolution forecasts based on NREL renewable resource availability data. The software leveraged for these demonstrations is available via the open-source software packages EGRET (for electrical grid optimization) and mpi-sppy (for optimization under uncertainty).

27 ARPA - Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy↗
DOE OSTI2021

Europe’s energy policy based on large-scale use of renewables most likely will require supplemental power supplies to balance their electrical power systems

Political decisions toward an increased role for renewable energy sources (wind & solar) in Europe will have an impact on the functioning of the electrical power systems that will have to be offset due to the inherent intermittent nature of renewable sources. The offset can be accomplished either through increasing non-renewable energy supply and production from other means, including purchasing Russian piped natural gas and LNG, or decreasing demand by curtailing power consumption. Europe likely will also need increased energy supplies to cover reduced gas production in the North Sea and Netherlands. Also, expected disconnection of Baltic states from the BRELL (Belarus-Russia-EstoniaLatvia-Lithuania) grid will force these countries to acquire electricity from Europe, resulting in increased demands on the European power grid that will require additional capacity to offset.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

Development of Nanocomposite Coatings for Future Large-Scale Time Projection Chambers

In the context of this award we tested the performance of thin high-resistivity coatings for their potential usage as field shaping systems in future large scale xenon Time Projection Chambers (TPC). A successful implementation of such thin coatings would likely simplify the design of potential future detectors, allowing to overcome some of the challenges observed with traditional systems constituted by massive discrete electrodes. We studied a wide range of materials and characterized their optical and electrical performances as functions of temperature and wavelength. The measurement campaign indicated that uniform coatings covering the full PTFE substrate (usually used as reflector in LXe TPCs) impact too severely on the light collection performance of such detectors when used with deep UV light. Despite tuning the composition and thicknesses of nanocomposite coatings, we were not able to identify a single coating, properly working at LXe temperature, that would simultaneously fulfill the resistance and optical requirements. Following the risk mitigation strategy identified in the proposal we moved the focus of the R&D to identify proper materials that, when coated with grid-like patterns on PTFE, would not alter meaningfully its optical properties (with respect to bare PTFE panels) but would still serve as effective field shaping systems, properly containing the drift field in TPC detectors. Among the various materials we identified germanium as the most promising one, providing a good adhesion to PTFE and the proper range of sheet resistivity. The Ge-patterned coating tested within a small scale LXe TPC showed good performance as a field shape system and, as desired, did not reduce the detector light yield. These results are encouraging and such technology should further be investigated as a potential alternative to more traditional field shaping electrodes. Incidentally, in the context of this R&D, we stumbled upon an unexpected behavior suggesting that some of the treatments performed on the PTFE panels, in preparation of the coatings, meaningfully boosted the PTFE reflectivity. The most probable candidate is the O2 plasma cleaning procedure. This hypothesis will be tested in the near future by operating the small scale TPC at UChicago first with regular PTFE panels and then with panels bombarded with O2 plasma (but no coatings). This finding, if confirmed, might open up the possibility of further boosting UV light collection in future large detectors by performing such a treatment on the PTFE surfaces.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reynolds number dependence of Lagrangian dispersion in direct numerical simulations of anisotropic magnetohydrodynamic turbulence

Large-scale magnetic fields thread through the electrically conducting matter of the interplanetary and interstellar medium, stellar interiors and other astrophysical plasmas, producing anisotropic flows with regions of high-Reynolds-number turbulence. It is common to encounter turbulent flows structured by a magnetic field with a strength approximately equal to the root-mean-square magnetic fluctuations. In this work, direct numerical simulations of anisotropic magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence influenced by such a magnetic field are conducted for a series of cases that have identical resolution, and increasing grid sizes up to $2048^3$ . The result is a series of closely comparable simulations at Reynolds numbers ranging from 1400 up to 21 000. We investigate the influence of the Reynolds number from the Lagrangian viewpoint by tracking fluid particles and calculating single-particle and two-particle statistics. The influence of Alfvénic fluctuations and the fundamental anisotropy on the MHD turbulence in these statistics is discussed. Single-particle diffusion curves exhibit mildly superdiffusive behaviours that differ in the direction aligned with the magnetic field and the direction perpendicular to it. Competing alignment processes affect the dispersion of particle pairs, in particular at the beginning of the inertial subrange of time scales. Scalings for relative dispersion, which become clearer in the inertial subrange for a larger Reynolds number, can be observed that are steeper than indicated by the Richardson prediction.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

SpecSims: A Scalable Speculative Tree-based Simulation Cloning Framework for Finite Memory Machines

Simulation cloning is a technique in which cloned simulations whose state spaces differ partially from their parent simulation due to intervening events are spawned at runtime and concurrently advanced. It is a powerful method to carry out what-if analysis by speculatively exploring and evaluating the impact of various permutations of intervening cascade of events. Due to the exponential growth in the number of possible clones even for a small number of distinct intervening events, the practical efficacy of the approach is often severely limited by the maximum available memory of the computing host. In this paper, we introduce a novel speculative simulation cloning framework that executes a simulation cloning campaign capable of efficiently exploring an exponentially large space of clone simulations created by permutation of intervening events under a finite memory constraint. We provide a theoretical analysis of the runtime characteristics of our proposed approach and highlight its novel advantages such as memory-aware and as-long-as-needed execution. Furthermore, in support of our analytical findings and to demonstrate its practical feasibility, we implement a prototype of the cloning framework on a shared memory system and report its performance characteristics in the context of a heat diffusion simulation, and a power grid simulation subject to cascading disruptions from geomagnetic disturbances.

Simulation framework↗