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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2018

The social vulnerability approach for social impact assessment

Highlights: • Social vulnerability is a process in two stages: the Structural and the Acquired.• SVA is apt for the diagnosis and management of social impacts caused by projects. • SVA is based on the Natural disaster and the Assets Based approaches. • Structural Vulnerability influences the very nature of the project. • Understanding the project as a possible hazard improves its analysis. - Abstract: The Social Impact Assessment (SIA) literature has highlighted the need to focus attention on the most vulnerable groups to improve the management of socio-environmental risk. However, methodological proposals to introduce vulnerability in SIAs are still incipient. The aim of this article is to present a proposal to analyze the role of social vulnerability in the production of risks generated by large infrastructure projects. Taking the theoretical-methodological advances made from the social vulnerability and natural disasters approach, and from the social vulnerability, development and poverty approaches, we have designed a Social Vulnerability Approach (SVA) which we aim at incorporating into the SIA of large infrastructure projects. To illustrate our methodological proposal, the case of the socio-environmental conflict generated by the HydroAysen Project (which entailed the construction of a set of hydroelectric dams on the Baker and Pascua rivers in the Chilean Patagonia region) has been selected. Our proposal allows us to identify elements of vulnerability throughout the whole project cycle and, therefore, windows for intervention in order to reduce social vulnerability as well as other kind of hazards that large infrastructure projects may generate on affected populations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Impact of Concrete Composition on Criticality at Nuclear Power Plants

There is no standard concrete composition for criticality analysis. Concrete is a composite material composed of aggregate bonded together with cement which hardens over time. Aggregate consists of large chunks of material in a concrete mix, generally coarse gravel or crushed rocks such as limestone or granite, along with finer materials such as sand. Water is mixed with the dry powder cement/aggregate blend. The concrete solidifies and hardens. After the concrete is hardened there can be water loss with time. The main components in concrete generally have small neutron cross sections so the absorption cross section is often dominated by the impurities. The content of the impurities are rarely documented in a manner that is generally needed for crediting in a criticality analysis. This paper assesses the impact of conservative concrete on a sample dry storage rack and a spent fuel pool. The SCALE computer code has four types of concrete in the Standard Composition Library.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2017

H2@Scale: Technical and Economic Potential of Hydrogen as an Energy Intermediate

The H2@Scale concept is focused on developing hydrogen as an energy carrier and using hydrogen's properties to improve the national energy system. Specifically hydrogen has the abilities to (1) supply a clean energy source for industry and transportation and (2) increase the profitability of variable renewable electricity generators such as wind turbines and solar photovoltaic (PV) farms by providing value for otherwise potentially-curtailed electricity. Thus the concept also has the potential to reduce oil dependency by providing a low-carbon fuel for fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and pollutants such as NOx, and support domestic energy production, manufacturing, and U.S. economic competitiveness. The analysis reported here focuses on the potential market size and value proposition for the H2@Scale concept. It involves three analysis phases: 1. Initial phase estimating the technical potential for hydrogen markets and the resources required to meet them; 2. National-scale analysis of the economic potential for hydrogen and the interactions between willingness to pay by hydrogen users and the cost to produce hydrogen from various sources; and 3. In-depth analysis of spatial and economic issues impacting hydrogen production and utilization and the markets. Preliminary analysis of the technical potential indicates that the technical potential for hydrogen use is approximately 60 million metric tons (MMT) annually for light duty FCEVs, heavy duty vehicles, ammonia production, oil refining, biofuel hydrotreating, metals refining, and injection into the natural gas system. The technical potential of utility-scale PV and wind generation independently are much greater than that necessary to produce 60 MMT / year hydrogen. Uranium, natural gas, and coal reserves are each sufficient to produce 60 MMT / year hydrogen in addition to their current uses for decades to centuries. National estimates of the economic potential of hydrogen production using steam methane reforming of natural gas, high temperature electrolysis coupled with nuclear power plants, and low temperature electrolysis are reported. To generate the estimates, supply curves for those technologies are used. They are compared to demand curves that describe the market size for hydrogen uses and willingness to pay for that hydrogen. Scenarios are developed at prices where supply meets demand and are used to estimate energy use, emissions, and economic impacts.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2017

Potential Size of and Value Proposition for H2@Scale Concept

The H2@Scale concept is focused on developing hydrogen as an energy carrier and using hydrogen's properties to improve the national energy system. Specifically hydrogen has the abilities to (1) supply a clean energy source for industry and transportation and (2) increase the profitability of variable renewable electricity generators such as wind turbines and solar photovoltaic (PV) farms by providing value for otherwise potentially-curtailed electricity. Thus the concept also has the potential to reduce oil dependency by providing a low-carbon fuel for fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs), reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and pollutants such as NOx, and support domestic energy production, manufacturing, and U.S. economic competitiveness. The analysis reported here focuses on the potential market size and value proposition for the H2@Scale concept. It involves three analysis phases: 1. Initial phase estimating the technical potential for hydrogen markets and the resources required to meet them; 2. National-scale analysis of the economic potential for hydrogen and the interactions between willingness to pay by hydrogen users and the cost to produce hydrogen from various sources; and 3. In-depth analysis of spatial and economic issues impacting hydrogen production and utilization and the markets. Preliminary analysis of the technical potential indicates that the technical potential for hydrogen use is approximately 60 million metric tons (MMT) annually for light duty FCEVs, heavy duty vehicles, ammonia production, oil refining, biofuel hydrotreating, metals refining, and injection into the natural gas system. The technical potential of utility-scale PV and wind generation independently are much greater than that necessary to produce 60 MMT / year hydrogen. Uranium, natural gas, and coal reserves are each sufficient to produce 60 MMT / year hydrogen in addition to their current uses for decades to centuries. National estimates of the economic potential of hydrogen production using steam methane reforming of natural gas, high temperature electrolysis coupled with nuclear power plants, and low temperature electrolysis are reported. To generate the estimates, supply curves for those technologies are used. They are compared to demand curves that describe the market size for hydrogen uses and willingness to pay for that hydrogen. Scenarios are developed at prices where supply meets demand and are used to estimate energy use, emissions, and economic impacts.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

The Potential Role of Concentrating Solar Power within the Context of DOE's 2030 Solar Cost Targets

To continue the momentum for cost reduction in solar technologies, DOE recently established 2030 cost targets for that would make solar one of the lowest-cost sources of new electricity in the United States. The potential impacts of achieving the 2030 cost targets for solar photovoltaics (PV) were recently explored in a related publication, which found significant potential for solar PV deployment and generation, particularly when coupled with low-cost storage. Building on this previous report, the present analysis evaluates the potential impacts of simultaneously achieving the 2030 cost targets for both PV and concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage (CSP-TES) systems in the contiguous United States, with a detailed evaluation of the role that CSP-TES plays in realizing those impacts. The evolution of the contiguous U.S. electricity system is evaluated with NREL's Renewable Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) model, which has been specifically designed to represent the time and locational value of renewable generation technologies in the U.S. power system. This analysis suggests achievement of the SunShot cost targets for CSP-TES might lead to dramatic growth in CSP-TES capacity, with accelerated deployment after the 2030 target is achieved. Based on our representation of the 2030 cost targets in ReEDS, economically-competitive CSP-TES could primarily be deployed in a dispatch able, high-capacity factor configuration, which allows it to provide valuable services to the power sector and results in a generation profile for CSP-TES that is complementary to that of variable PV. Aggressive cost reductions for CSP-TES could also make such a configuration economically competitive across the contiguous United States, which is a a result that warrants additional analysis in terms of potential siting, permitting, regulatory, and construction challenges in these new regions and markets. The modeled capacity expansion of both CSP-TES and PV in our scenarios that achieve the 2030 cost targets requires most growth in transmission capacity at a pace that is consistent with historical buildout rates, and could result in reduced electricity prices and power system costs, water usage, and air emissions. Finally, sensitivity analysis suggests that the cumulative capacity and geographic extent of CSP-TES deployment in our low-cost solar scenarios is highly sensitive to the post-2030 cost reductions for CSP-TES and future price of natural gas, and that significant competition exists among renewable energy and energy storage technologies, assuming aggressive cost reductions for each. For example, significant competition between CSP-TES and PV with battery storage indicates the similar role that these systems play in capacity planning and grid operations, as well as the fact that low-cost battery storage would help improve the capacity value of low-cost PV into the future.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Impact of edge harmonic oscillations on the divertor heat flux in NSTX

Previously, ELM-free and inter-ELM divertor peak heat flux reduction induced by an edge harmonic oscillation (EHO) was observed in NSTX (K.F. Gan et al., 2017 Nucl. Fusion 57 126053). This paper introduces new analysis of the EHO impact on the divertor heat flux. It was found that enhanced edge turbulence significantly altered the divertor heat flux footprint in NSTX H-modes, relative to ELM-free discharges. When the background edge fluctuation level was low, the EHO significantly increased the heat flux width and decreased the divertor peak heat flux. When the background edge fluctuation level was high, the EHO actually increased the divertor peak heat flux. As a result, it was also found that the heat flux width increased with increasing frequency of the EHO.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2014

Backup Power Cost of Ownership Analysis and Incumbent Technology Comparison

This cost of ownership analysis identifies the factors impacting the value proposition for fuel cell backup power and presents the estimated annualized cost of ownership for fuel cell backup power systems compared with the incumbent technologies of battery and diesel generator systems. The analysis compares three different backup power technologies (diesel, battery, and fuel cell) operating in similar circumstances in four run time scenarios (8, 52, 72, and 176 hours).

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2016

Investigation of similarity metrics for simulation based scaling analysis

Scaling analysis is a technique for characterizing degree of similarity between processes to occur in a real prototypic system and those to occur in its reduced scale (experimental) analog. In the context of nuclear reactor thermal-hydraulics and safety, scaling analysis is instrumental in assessing the applicability of data obtained from a scaled test facility for calibration of models and validation of simulation codes. Quantification of scale-related distortions is the key element in scaling analysis. In this work, we examine an approach for scaling analysis using computer simulation codes. Similarity analysis using information-theoretic approach is performed by comparing performance of experiment and application to variation of system conditions. Three different information theoretic measures namely mutual information, Kullback-Leibler divergence and overlap coefficient are selected for their potential use as metric for similarity analysis. We test the metrics by comparing them against physics-based scaling ratios, which are well known in fundamental thermal-hydraulic processes. In this exploratory analysis, a case of pressure drop of a steady-state flow through a channel is employed to test the proposed approach. It was found that in the absence of model uncertainties, mutual information serve as an effective measure of the scale effects present in the experiment. However, model uncertainty can significantly impact the quality of similarity analysis. Our analysis indicates that model uncertainties can have significant impact on the information theoretic metrics used for scaling analysis. Furthermore, if the model uncertainties exceeds beyond a critical value, the scale effect present in the experiment cannot be adequately evaluated. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2017

Analyzing the Impacts of a Biogas-to-Electricity Purchase Incentive on Electric Vehicle Deployment with the MA 3 T Vehicle Choice Model

In 2014, the EPA approved a biogas-to-electricity pathway under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS). However, no specific applications for this pathway have been approved to date. This analysis helps understand the impact of the pathway by representing the biogas-to-electricity pathway as a point of purchase incentive and tests the impact of this incentive on EV deployment using a vehicle consumer choice model.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2016

A microstructural analysis of isoprenol ether-based polycarboxylates and the impact of structural motifs on the dispersing effectiveness

Generally, polycarboxylate superplasticizers (PCEs) are synthesized via aqueous free radical copolymerization. The conditions during copolymerization such as relative reactivity and feeding mode and ratio of monomers can cause different monomer sequences in the final product. In this study, the sequence of monomers in PCE polymers synthesized from acrylic acid and isoprenyloxy polyethylene glycol (IPEG) macromonomer was characterized by {sup 13}C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Three different triads of monomer sequences (EAE, AAE and AAA; E = ether, A = acid monomer) were detected. It was found that IPEG PCEs predominantly contain the structural motifs of AAE and EAE, and less of AAA. Higher additions of acrylic acid do not incorporate into the structure of PCE, but convert to HMW polyacrylate as by-product instead. A PCE with optimal dispersing effectiveness was achieved at high contents of IPEG macromonomer, a molecular weight (M{sub w}) around 40,000 Da and narrow molecular weight distribution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

In-situ thermal analysis of intermetallic and thermite projectiles in high velocity impact experiments

Particle fragmentation influences thermochemical energy conversion processes in different ways and is of significance in energy generation technologies. Different reactive material formulations trigger varied thermal response in extreme environments such as high velocity impact. Here we investigated optical thermal response of powder gun launched intermetallic (Al:Zr) and thermite (Al:MoO 3 ) projectiles using pyrometry and thermography. Projectiles were launched at 1250 m/s into an air-filled chamber and impacted a steel witness plate to create a dust explosion. The pyrometer was configured to measure temperatures directly at the point of impact, while the thermographic system measured temperatures throughout the explosion chamber. Results show that impact temperatures ranged between 3500 and 4000 K, but that the dynamics of energy conversion were different for the intermetallic and thermite projectiles. The intermetallic exhibited secondary reactions due to fragmented debris impacting the walls of the chamber. The thermite exhibited greater gas generation, propelling the debris field, and producing a more stochastic response with faster spreading and dissipation of thermal energy. Unique features such as microexplosions within fragmented particles were also analyzed. While both reactive materials produce similar temperatures, their mechanisms of energy conversion and release are different, indicating the potential of these materials for different ballistic applications.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Techno-economic analysis of the water, energy, and greenhouse gas emissions impacts from the adoption of water efficiency practices in the U.S. manufacturing sector

Water is a critical resource for all of manufacturing. As such, mitigating risks to the supply of water to manufacturing plants facilitates maintaining a vital manufacturing sector. Reductions in water use through water efficiency is one method for mitigating risk, however little is known about its potential in the United States (U.S.) manufacturing sector. Herein, we address this gap and calculate the water reduction potential in U.S. manufacturing from commercially available water efficiency opportunities specific to the manufacturing sector. A list of water efficiency measures specific to the manufacturing sector is compiled and applied to estimates of U.S. manufacturing water withdrawals. The energy and carbon dioxide equivalent (CO 2 e) emission impacts from implementation of these measures are also quantified to better inform the resource, environmental, and economic trade-offs from implementation of these measures. We find that the water savings potential from the evaluated measures is up to 60 percent of U.S. manufacturing water withdrawal for certain subsectors, with the energy and emissions impact dependent on the measure. Further, we calculate the levelized cost of conserved water for several water efficiency measures (-$\$4,000$ to $\$85$/thousand m 3 , where negative values indicate net cost savings and positive values indicate net cost expenditures) and compare them to the levelized cost of alternative water sources ($\$600$ to $\$3,400$/thousand m 3 ). The results show significant opportunities for water and energy use reductions at levelized costs at least one order of magnitude lower than alternative water supplies, with some being revenue-generating.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2018

Establishing rapid analysis of Pu isotopes in seawater to study the impact of Fukushima nuclear accident in the Northwest Pacific

In order to evaluate the impact of the Fukushima derived Pu isotopes on seawater, a new analytical method to rapidly determine Pu isotopes in seawater by SF-ICP-MS including Fe(OH)2 primary co-precipitation, CaF 2 /LaF 3 secondary co-precipitation and TEVA+UTEVA+DGA extraction chromatographic separation was established. High concentration efficiency (~100%) and high U decontamination factor (~10 7 ) were achieved. The plutonium chemical recoveries were 74–88% with the mean of 83 ± 5%. The precisions for both 240 Pu/ 239 Pu atom ratios and 239+240 Pu activity concentrations were less than 5% when 15 L of seawater samples with the typical 239+240 Pu activity of the Northwest Pacific were measured. It just needs 12 hours to determine plutonium using this new method. The limit of detection (LOD) for 239 Pu and 240 Pu were both 0.08 fg/mL, corresponding to 0.01 mBq/m 3 for 239 Pu and 0.05 mBq/m 3 for 240 Pu when a 15 L volume of seawater was measured. This method was applied to determine the seawater samples collected 446–1316 km off the FDNPP accident site in the Northwest Pacific in July of 2013. The obtained 239+240 Pu activity concentrations of 1.21–2.19 mBq/m 3 and the 240 Pu/ 239 Pu atom ratios of 0.198–0.322 implied that there was no significant Pu contamination from the accident to the Northwest Pacific.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2022

Trimethyloxonium-mediated methylation strategies for the rapid and simultaneous analysis of chlorinated phenols in various soils by electron impact gas chromatography–mass spectrometry

Abstract The efficient methylation of a panel of five industrial and environmentally-relevant chlorophenols (CPs) employing trimethyloxonium tetrafluoroborate (TMO) for their qualitative detection and identification by electron impact gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (EI-GC–MS) is presented. The protocol’s execution is simple and smoothly converts the phenols into their O-methylated counterparts conveniently at ambient temperature. The efficiency of two versions of the protocol was successfully tested in their ability to simultaneously derivatize five CPs (2-chlorophenol, 2,4-dichlorophenol, 2,4,6-trichlorophenol, pentachlorophenol and triclosan) in six distinct, separate soil matrices (Nebraska EPA standard soil, Virginia Type A soil, Ottawa sand, Baker sand, Silt and Georgia EPA standard soil) when present at low levels (~ 10 μgg −1 ). The first version involves the direct derivatization of the spiked soils with the methylating salt while the second one involves an initial soil extraction step of the CPs followed by methylation. The MDL values for each methylated CP were determined and lower values were found (4.1–13.2 ng . mL −1 ) for both sand matrices (Ottawa and Baker) as well as for the Georgia EPA standard soil, while larger values (8.2–21.8 ng . mL −1 ) were found for the Virginia Type soil, Nebraska EPA standard soil and Silt. The presented protocol offers a safer and more practical alternative to the universally employed diazomethane method and can be readily applicable to matrices other than soils. Furthermore, the protocols described herein may find applicability to the methylation of other analytes bearing acidic protons.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2014

Dose impact in radiographic lung injury following lung SBRT: Statistical analysis and geometric interpretation

Purpose: To demonstrate a new method of evaluating dose response of treatment-induced lung radiographic injury post-SBRT (stereotactic body radiotherapy) treatment and the discovery of bimodal dose behavior within clinically identified injury volumes. Methods: Follow-up CT scans at 3, 6, and 12 months were acquired from 24 patients treated with SBRT for stage-1 primary lung cancers or oligometastic lesions. Injury regions in these scans were propagated to the planning CT coordinates by performing deformable registration of the follow-ups to the planning CTs. A bimodal behavior was repeatedly observed from the probability distribution for dose values within the deformed injury regions. Based on a mixture-Gaussian assumption, an Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm was used to obtain characteristic parameters for such distribution. Geometric analysis was performed to interpret such parameters and infer the critical dose level that is potentially inductive of post-SBRT lung injury. Results: The Gaussian mixture obtained from the EM algorithm closely approximates the empirical dose histogram within the injury volume with good consistency. The average Kullback-Leibler divergence values between the empirical differential dose volume histogram and the EM-obtained Gaussian mixture distribution were calculated to be 0.069, 0.063, and 0.092 for the 3, 6, and 12 month follow-up groups, respectively. The lower Gaussian component was located at approximately 70% prescription dose (35 Gy) for all three follow-up time points. The higher Gaussian component, contributed by the dose received by planning target volume, was located at around 107% of the prescription dose. Geometrical analysis suggests the mean of the lower Gaussian component, located at 35 Gy, as a possible indicator for a critical dose that induces lung injury after SBRT. Conclusions: An innovative and improved method for analyzing the correspondence between lung radiographic injury and SBRT treatment dose has been demonstrated. Bimodal behavior was observed in the dose distribution of lung injury after SBRT. Novel statistical and geometrical analysis has shown that the systematically quantified low-dose peak at approximately 35 Gy, or 70% prescription dose, is a good indication of a critical dose for injury. The determined critical dose of 35 Gy resembles the critical dose volume limit of 30 Gy for ipsilateral bronchus in RTOG 0618 and results from previous studies. The authors seek to further extend this improved analysis method to a larger cohort to better understand the interpatient variation in radiographic lung injury dose response post-SBRT.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2014

Offshore Wind Market and Economic Analysis

This report is the third annual assessment of the U.S. offshore wind market. It includes the following major sections: Section 1: key data on developments in the offshore wind technology sector and the global development of offshore wind projects, with a particular focus on progress in the United States; Section 2: analysis of policy developments at the federal and state levels that have been effective in advancing offshore wind deployment in the United States; Section 3: analysis of actual and projected economic impact, including regional development and job creation; Section 4: analysis of developments in relevant sectors of the economy with the potential to affect offshore wind deployment in the United States

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2016

Feeder Voltage Regulation with High-Penetration PV Using Advanced Inverters and a Distribution Management System: A Duke Energy Case Study

Duke Energy, Alstom Grid, and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory teamed up to better understand the impacts of solar photovoltaics (PV) on distribution system operations. The core goal of the project is to compare the operational - specifically, voltage regulation - impacts of three classes of PV inverter operations: 1.) Active power only (Baseline); 2.) Local inverter control (e.g., PF...not equal...1, Q(V), etc.); and 3.) Integrated volt-VAR control (centralized through the distribution management system). These comparisons were made using multiple approaches, each of which represents an important research-and-development effort on its own: a) Quasi-steady-state time-series modeling for approximately 1 year of operations using the Alstom eTerra (DOTS) system as a simulation engine, augmented by Python scripting for scenario and time-series control and using external models for an advanced inverter; b) Power-hardware-in-the-loop (PHIL) testing of a 500-kVA-class advanced inverter and traditional voltage regulating equipment. This PHIL testing used cosimulation to link full-scale feeder simulation using DOTS in real time to hardware testing; c) Advanced visualization to provide improved insights into time-series results and other PV operational impacts; and d) Cost-benefit analysis to compare the financial and business-model impacts of each integration approach.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗