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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Time Series Dimension Reduction for Surrogate Models of Port Scanning Cyber Emulations

Surrogate model development is a key resource in the scientific modeling community for providing computational expedience when simulating complex systems without loss of great fidelity. The initial step to development of a surrogate model is identification of the primary governing components of the system. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used data science technique that provides inspection of such driving factors, when the objective for modeling is to capture the greatest sources of variance inherent to a dataset. Although an efficient linear dimension reduction tool, PCA makes the fundamental assumption that the data is continuous and normally distributed. Thus, it provides ideal performance when these conditions are met. In the case for which cyber emulations provide realizations of a port scanning scenario, the data to be modeled follows a discrete time series function comprised of monotonically increasing piece-wise constant steps. The sources of variance are related to the timing and magnitude of these steps. Therefore, we consider using XPCA, an extension to PCA for continuous and discrete random variates. This report provides the documentation of the trade-offs between the PCA and XPCA linear dimension reduction algorithms, for the intended purpose to identify key components of greatest variance in our time series data. These components will ultimately provide the basis for future surrogate models of port scanning cyber emulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

LANL Institutional Computing Highlight: Local Time-Stepping in Global to Regional Ocean Modeling (Annual Report) [Slides]

Multi-resolution global ocean simulations are possible with the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Ocean (MPAS-Ocean), although the model is currently constrained to a uniform time step. The time step is determined by the size of the smallest cell in the grid, according to the CFL condition. To overcome this issue, a local time stepping (LTS) scheme has been designed for MPAS-Ocean. We have made progress on implementing the LTS scheme, as well as quantitative results and performance tests.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Parallel-In-Time Integration for Hyperbolic Problems (Final Report)

The work for the subcontract was situated in the area of parallel-in-time integration for advection-dominated and hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs). Parallel-in-time integration is an active area of research due to its ability to enable faster numerical simulations for applications throughout many areas of science. Over the past two decades, much progress has been made in this area; however, this progress has largely been limited to non-hyperbolic, diffusion-dominated PDEs. Given the ubiquity of numerical simulations of advection-dominated hyperbolic PDEs throughout the sciences, there is a strong need to develop efficient parallel-in-time techniques for hyperbolic problems, which was the main topic of this subcontract.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Adaptive Mesh Refinement for Parallel in Time Methods

The project applied the multigrid-reduction-in-time (MGRIT) algorithm to an existing sub-cycled adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) code to investigate the performance of flows dominated by inertial physics. Previous work demonstrated good performance from MGRIT+AMR applied to flows dominated by diffusive physics. Consistent with previous experience, inertial physics negatively affected convergence rates and performance. Efforts to circumvent this issue by appealing to the physics of turbulence were investigated. It has been demonstrated that scales can be effectively transferred between multigrid levels for a turbulent flow resulting in a) partial convergence observed and b) nearly identical results to sequential time-stepping. Performance improvements have not yet been demonstrated - attempts at coarsening the grid on coarser MG levels compromises the solution quality and leads to divergence. This report summarize the accomplishments for the time-frame from 10/5/2020 to 12/31/2020 with an informal no-cost-extension to 05/20/2021

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Time Domain Thermoreflectance (TDTR) Studies of Microstructural Characterization of as-Fabricated and/or Irradiated TPBAR Components

Paddock et al. demonstrated for the first-time the measurement of thermal diffusivity from thin metal films using picosecond transient thermoreflectance in 1986. This project attempted to use a similar experimental setup based on a femtosecond time domain thermoreflectance (TDTR) to measure the damage to the crystal lattice of LiAlO 2 from irradiation in the reactor and production of tritium and helium. The TDTR is based on a pump-probe laser configuration where the pump laser is used to heat the sample and the probe laser is used to follow the thermal evolution created by the pump laser. The goal for this project is to measure the differences in thermal diffusivity between LiAlO 2 and the irradiated Li AIO 2 sample in a reactor. Unfortunately, COVID-19 restricted laboratory research time and the availability of researchers capable to conduct TDTR work. In addition, the ultrafast laser (Astrella 35fs laser) required to conduct the work was inoperable making this particulate work impossible to conduct in FY20 and FY21. The purpose of the thermal diffusion measurements with a TDTR setup is to probe the damage and disorder to the crystal lattice of pristine and irradiated samples. Since TDTR was not available for this work, a different approach using Raman and luminescence spectroscopy was used to characterize the crystal lattice damage in LiAlO 2 from irradiation.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Multi-INT Signature Collection and Exploitation for Security: Improving Discrimination, Analyses, and Passive Tracking Capabilities for Time- and Distance-Varying Signatures in the Seismoacoustic Regime

This project demonstrates the feasibility of a passive tracking capability for ground-based and airborne moving sources using multiple information streams from acoustic and seismic signals. These moving source types are characterized by their variability with time and distance (exemplified but not limited to the familiar doppler shift of a passing vehicle) and the signatures used for detection should have similar characteristics. We have demonstrated that time-varying sensor signatures (TVS) combined with time-stable sensor signatures provide a more complete understanding of moving source behavior. Importantly, we have collected a new, relevant LANL dataset of moving sources (small uncrewed aerial vehicle flights and ground vehicle movement), developed new signatures, and demonstrated the capability to identify, track and forecast the position of these moving sources.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Real-time data reduction at 100 Tbps: Challenge and opportunity for AI-based data reduction for next-generation large-scale nuclear physics collider experiment

The modern large-scale nuclear physics (NP) experiments in high-energy particle colliders utilize streaming-readout electronics to digitize detector response at O(100) Tbps bandwidth. Prominent examples at Brookhaven National Lab (BNL) include the sPHENIX experiment at Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC), which is under construction, and the experiments proposed for the Electron-Ion Collider (EIC), planned for the 2030s . One of the main challenges for these streaming readout systems is to manage the data rate with sufficient data reduction in real time so the end-data fit persistent storage for offline analysis, which is typically at O(1000) times smaller and O(100) Gbps. Such data reduction traditionally is achieved via real-time high level triggers, which select and save a small subset of collisions of interest. Although triggering is applicable to high energy collider experiments such as those at the Large Hardron Collider at CERN, it is insufficient for these nuclear physics experiments which study diverse collision topologies. And traditional triggering approach is inefficient to preserve the max information harvested from the operation of colliders that costs O(100)M per year to DOE. Meanwhile, in recent years, ML-based high-throughput data reduction has emerged as a promising approach to efficiently preserve max information for a given space of persistent storage, e.g. via AI data compression, feature extraction, and noise filtering.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Development of Real-Time, In-pile Creep Test Rigs for Characterizing the Structural Materials of Nuclear Components

New and improved materials are being considered for supporting both existing and next-generation nuclear reactors. Reactor materials can significantly degrade with time, thus limiting or altering their properties in harsh reactor environments. To accurately understand such material degradation, real-time data obtained under prototypic irradiation conditions are required. In particular, understanding the creep behavior of materials exposed to irradiation and elevated temperatures is essential for safety concern evaluations. To provide these capabilities, Idaho National Laboratory (INL)’s High Temperature Test Laboratory (HTTL) developed several instrumented test rigs for obtaining real-time data from specimens in well-controlled pressurized-water reactor (PWR) coolant conditions at the Materials Test Reactor. This technical report focuses on INL’s efforts to evaluate and enhance the former creep test rig prototype that relied on linear variable differential transformers in laboratory settings. Specifically, the test rig can detect changes in the length of creep specimens, which is useful for measuring thermal expansion and creep deformation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Real-time observation of multi-electron processes in atoms and diatomic molecules

We report on the implementation of a reliable experimental approach to observe, in real-time, electron dynamics in atoms and molecules at the attosecond time scale. The experimental approach combines a source of shape-controlled attosecond pulses, a stabilized XUV/IR interferometer for time-resolved measurements, and a multi-particle imaging system (Coltrims). In addition, we report new capabilities to control electron dynamics in quantum systems.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

A Robust Event Diagnostics Platform: Integrating Tensor Analytics and Machine Learning into Real-time Grid Monitoring

The objective of this project is to develop a robust event diagnostics (RED) platform by integrating state-of-the-art tensor analytics and machine learning into real-time grid monitoring. The proposed platform can effectively analyze and discover the information hiding within the provided PMU data for effective real-time grid monitoring. The proposed RED platform provides a set of robust diagnostics tools for grid operation and management, including 1) data quality assessment, 2) data completion, 3) event detection, and 4) robust event classification. All the functionalities of the RED platform can help the operator to make informed decisions and respond in a timely manner. The developed RED platform will serve as an innovative advisory tool to reliably identify key events and discover new insights about the events and grid characteristics in the PMU data, and contribute to the efficient, safe, reliable operation and design of the nation’s electric system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Combining DPG in space with DPG time-marching scheme for the transient advection-reaction equation

In this article, we present a general methodology to combine the Discontinuous PetrovGalerkin (DPG) method in space and time in the context of methods of lines for transient advection-reaction problems. We first introduce a semidiscretization in space with a DPG method redefining the ideas of optimal testing and practicality of the method in this context. Then, we apply the recently developed DPG-based time-marching scheme, which is of exponential-type, to the resulting system of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). We also discuss how to efficiently compute the action of the exponential of the matrix coming from the space semidiscretization without assembling the full matrix. Finally, we verify the proposed method for 1D+time advection-reaction problems showing optimal convergence rates for smooth solutions and more stable results for linear conservation laws comparing to the classical exponential integrators.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Atomic Force Microscope Active Optical Probe for Single-Molecule Imaging and Time-Resolved Optical Spectroscopy (DOE SBIR Phase II/IIA Final Report)

Actoprobe LLC reports on the results of its DOE SBIR Phase II/IIA project on the development of Atomic Force Microscope Active Optical Probe for Single-Molecule Imaging and Time-Resolved Optical Spectroscopy. While chemistry science and technology greatly benefit from Atomic Force Microscopy in surface characterization, time-resolved chemical imaging on the single-molecule level lags far behind. Current scanning probe microscopy only obtains information about mechanical but not optical/chemical properties. To address this problem, the Actoprobe LLC research team has proposed a novel class of Atomic Force Microscopy probes, Ultra-Fast Pulsed Active Atomic Force Microscopy Optical Probes (UFP AAOPs), that will allow ultrafast time-resolved optical and chemical imaging at the nanoscale. As envisioned, these unique optical probes will perform the functions of conventional Atomic Force Microscopy probes and, in addition, will simultaneously provide chemical information about molecular scale interactions. This innovation is accomplished by integrating an ultrafast pulsed Quantum Dot laser source into an Atomic Force Microscopy probe. This report describes our progress with the fabrication of an ultrafast micrometer-size semiconductor laser, based on “artificial atoms” - Quantum Dots, integrated with an Atomic Force Microscopy probe. In this Phase II/IIA project, we have demonstrated the feasibility of the UFP AAOP concept by fabricating a first prototype of the UFP AAOP. The excellent performance of the probe has been proven in terms of AFM and optical spatial resolution through rigorous tests. The UFP AAOP provides pulses with less than 4 ps duration and higher than 11 GHz repetition rate, and spatial resolution better than 300 nm at 1240 nm wavelength. Technically, it is possible to reduce the pulse width to less than 1 ps and to improve lateral resolution to ~ 0.5 nm, which implies the potential capability for the probe to characterize chemical compounds with single-molecule resolution. The UFP AAOP fabrication procedure has been developed for wafer-scale production of multiple devices, with the yield of the process estimated to be lower than 1% with the limited fabrication capabilities and equipment available for use in the research project. However, using high-volume production tools and special GaAs processing equipment, the yield can be significantly improved, theoretically to ~ 50%. Finally, economic feasibility and scale-up manufacturing potential were analyzed for UFP AAOP and found to be very promising. In summary, the Actoprobe team has successfully demonstrated the feasibility of the UFP AAOP concept.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Expedited Real Time Processing for the NETL HYPER Cyber-Physical System (Final Report)

The primary objective of the proposed project was to provide the National Energy Technology Laboratory’s Hybrid Performance (Hyper) Facility the needed numerical methods algorithm(s), software development and implementation support to enact real time cyber-physical systems (CPSs) that simulate process dynamics on the order of five milliseconds or smaller. The proposed paths forward comprised three distinct approaches to hasten transient simulations. They fell under the numerical methods categorical options of: 1) optimizing key parameters within the facility’s pre-existing real time processing scheme; 2) introducing an “informed” processing approach wherein a priori computations expedite real time attempts; and 3) implementing alternatives to the employed explicit-implicit blended finite difference (spatio-temporal) approach. Each of these three classes were proposed independently as options for improvement, yet in some cases one class of approach could have complemented another.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

Continuous fiber malleable thermoset composites with sub-1-minute dwell times; validation of impact performance and evaluation of the efficacy of the compression forming process. CRADA Final Report

Mallinda is developing polyimine malleable thermoset prepreg composite materials which have excellent mechanical properties (100 GPa tensile modulus, 2 GPA tensile strength, 2.4% elongation at break) and high operating temperatures (Tg>200°C). At scale, polyimine resins are commensurate in price with commodity epoxy resins. What distinguishes malleable thermoset prepreg from traditional thermoset prepreg materials, is that they are fully cured during Mallinda’s roll-to-roll production of prepreg laminate. This results in 5 key value-differentiating benefits. First, it simplifies manufacturing logistics by enabling ambient transportation and storage, and by significantly extending out-life and shelf-life almost indefinitely. Second, elimination of autoclave curing reduces the economic and energy costs to the customer. Third, scrap rates can be reduced as malleable thermoset prepreg materials are directly reusable. Fourth, the manufacturing consolidation step can be roughly 10x faster than traditional thermosets, because the resin is already cured. Parts can be made via compression forming by the application of heat and pressure to quickly vitrify and consolidate a multilayer part – easily leading to sub 3-minute cycle times (at lab scale we have demonstrated a 20 second dwell time, with room for further optimization). Finally, the closed-loop cradle-to-cradle solution-based recyclability of malleable thermoset composites can also contribute significantly to the future of sustainable lightweight materials. The focus of this project was the development, optimization and validation of malleable thermoset composite materials which exhibit manufacturing cycle times of 3-minute or less, high speed impact performance on par with incumbent technologies, and defect-free consolidation of 3 dimensional parts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

LANL Institutional Computing Close-out Report for Project t22_ocean_time_step

This year, my team made a very productive use of LANL IC time. Four papers were published that used IC resources, and two more are under review. These publications fall into three categories: 1.) Improving tide modeling in the global ocean by adding self attraction and loading (Barton et. al. 2022), ice shelf cavities (Pal et al. 2023), and local time stepping (Lilly et al. 2023). 2.) A new sea ice numerical formulation (Capodaglio 2023). 3.) Performance comparisons, methods, and test cases for ocean model development, This includes a verification suite for ocean models (Bishnu, submitted) and a comparison between Julia and Fortran (Strauss, submitted). A new time-stepping method was introduced in Calandrini et al. (2022). These publications, and the use of LANL IC resources, go hand-in-hand with our mentoring efforts to train young scientists. Two of the lead authors are graduate students who are conducting their PhD research: Kristin Barton at the University of Michigan and Jeremy Lilly at Oregon State. These are both their first publications, and they both have DOE funding and DOE mentors. In addition, Bishnu is a post-doctoral researcher at LANL; Strauss conducted his research as a senior in high school; and Capodaglio, Calandrini and Pal are all early-career scientists who were converted to staff in 2021 or 2022. Here we highlight two publications on improvements in tidal modeling: Barton et al. 2022 and Lilly et al. 2023.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Final Report DE-FE0031785 Mohsen Ahmadian, Ph.D. Demonstration of Proof of Concept of a Multiphysics Approach for Real-Time Remote Monitoring of Dynamic Changes in Pressure and Salinity in Hydraulically Fractured Networks

Hydraulic fracturing has evolved into a multistep process with varying flow rates, carrier fluids (e.g., gel or slickwater), proppant loadings, and proppant grain sizes. As a result, primary recovery from a hydraulically fractured tight-oil reservoir is often a tiny fraction of the original oil in place, ranging between 5 and 10%. As stated in the FOA1990, “part of this problem is due to the inability of current well completion processes to effectively stimulate the entire reservoir volume in contact with the wellbore. Innovative technologies are needed that can help improve the effectiveness of reservoir completion methods, maximize stimulated reservoir volumes, and optimize recovery over the entire producing life span of a well”. We first need to enhance the current fracture diagnostic techniques to improve a well-completion design. However, detecting and delineating a subsurface hydraulic fracture is extremely difficult because the induced fracture network is only fractionally propped, and these propped fractures are generally very thin. Microseismic and tiltmeter monitoring techniques can provide information on the fracture extent but provide little or no information on the movement and final distribution of proppant or production fluids. On the other hand, electromagnetic (EM) imaging has shown the capability to monitor proppant distribution throughout the fracture area, especially in the presence of Electrically Active Proppants (EAPs). A previous EM survey of hydraulic fracturing at the Devine Fracture Pilot Site (DFPS) and subsequent EM code developments demonstrated this survey as a robust technique to remotely interrogate the extent of the EAP-filled hydraulic fracture during its propagation. The objectives of the project were threefold: (1) to capitalize on the material properties of an EAP to demonstrate remote monitoring of relative changes in pressure, pressure, and flow that are commonly encountered during production from a hydraulically fractured reservoir; (2) to evaluate EM imaging tools, to achieve Objective 1 in near real-time; and (3) to develop a multi-physics joint inversion approach to precisely predict flow patterns and physiochemical changes within an EAP-filled fracture network. This research project was built upon our previous work at the Devine Test Site managed by the Bureau of Economic Geology (BEG) at The University of Texas at Austin (UT-Austin). It also leveraged a significant investment from the Advanced Energy Consortium (AEC) to address the DOE's interest in subsurface flow, containment, and characterization by multiple signals. This three-year and three-month project succeeded in demonstrating the feasibility of a real-time dynamic fluid flow mapping technique at Technology Readiness Level 5 (TRL5) by utilizing a commercially available surface-based Controlled-Source Electromagnetic (CSEM) method (Objectives 1, 2). We demonstrated that injections into an EAP-filled fracture could be successfully coupled with real-time electric field measurements on the surface, leading to remote monitoring of dynamic changes within the EAP-filled fracture. Furthermore, the observed electric field in our study is influenced by bottomhole pressure, flow rate, and salinity, which is demonstrated by comparing these parameters with the electrical field potentials. EM simulations solely based on assumptions of fracture conductivity changes during injection did not reproduce the whole measured electric field magnitudes. Preliminary estimates showed that including Streaming Potential (SP) in our geophysical model is likely needed to reduce the simulation misfit.

02 PETROLEUM↗

STOCHASTIC OPTIMAL POWER FLOW FOR REAL-TIME MANAGEMENT OF DISTRIBUTED RENEWABLE GENERATION AND DEMAND RESPONSE (Final Report)

To meet the grand challenge of a sustainable energy future, there has been a surge of interest in renewable energy. Today, the uncertainty associated with renewable resources is handled by using operating reserves. The high penetration of renewable resources, however, introduces difficult-to-control dynamics and challenges for power system operation. Decision support tools are necessary at the bulk system operational level to recognize and efficiently utilize renewable resources and distributed demand response products in concert with traditional grid resources. It is envisaged that responsive load can potentially have very significant cost advantages over either spinning or non-spinning ramping reserve. Critical decisions are made during hour(s)-ahead and real-time power system operation regarding the commitment and dispatch of generators to ensure power delivery is both reliable and economic. These decisions are typically made by a security constrained optimal flow, which determines future generator commitments, dispatches, and ensures adequate reserves are available in the event of a contingency (unexpected outage) or if future system conditions deviate from forecasts. However, security has been always based on a pre-specified subset of contingency constraints whose enforcement does not guarantee security under all possible future possibilities while also giving little or no weight to the likelihood of each contingent event or the severity of its consequences. Existing tools, which are based exclusively on deterministic optimization models, do not yield optimal operational decisions to address these new challenges, in terms of both reliability and cost-effectiveness. This project has focused on developing a stochastic optimal power flow (SOPF) framework, which integrates renewable resource uncertainty, load uncertainty, distributed storage (DS), demand response (DR) products, in a holistic manner to address the uncertainty associated with ever-increasing renewable resources, along with the inclusion of distributed demand response products in future power systems. A proof-of-concept problem was created using the Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland (PJM) power system network. Synthetic wind generation was added to the system to simulate 50% wind penetration. A 1-hour test of SOPF operation indicated more than 6% operational cost savings. The project continued by adding the Midwestern Independent System Operator (MISO) as a partner, with focus shifting from SOPF to Stochastic Look-Ahead Unit Commitment (SLAC). Unlike PJM, MISO is faced with significant renewable energy resources within its footprint and is challenged with substantial uncertainty in its operations. The SLAC distinguishes itself from existing tools that operators use. At best, today’s tools solve two to three cases independently, where one or two system parameters, such as forecasted load level (e.g., a low, base, and high forecast), are varied and the resulting scenarios are analyzed independently. The stochastic-based optimization of SLAC leverages statistical information from an ensemble of potential operational scenarios and their respective likelihood. The SLAC output can be translated into valuable information to the operator such as suggested commitments, optimal scheduling and dispatch of resources, reserve requirements at both locational and zonal resolutions, ramping availability and requirements, availability of demand response including operational guidance concerning the near-term and real-time coordination between distributed energy resources, and utilization of distributed storage resources. The developed SOPF/SLAC tool, a stand-alone tool compatible with existing EMSs, will provide system operators with unprecedented visibility, flexibility and predictability to these resources and operational guidance concerning the real-time coordination between DERs and DR/DS products. The game changing and practical impact of this disruptive technology will be dramatic and will usher in a new era in the electric power industry, wherein green energy concepts are fully embraced, and electric power costs are lowered throughout the nation.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Parallel-in-Time Integration for Nonlinear Hyperbolic Problems (Final Report)

The work for the subcontract was situated in the area of parallel-in-time integration for hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs). Parallel-in-time integration is an active area of research due to its ability to enable faster numerical simulations for applications throughout many areas of science. Over the past two decades, much progress has been made in this area; however, this progress has largely been limited to diffusion-dominated PDEs, with some recent success in scalar linear hyperbolic PDEs. Given the ubiquity of numerical simulations of hyperbolic PDEs throughout the sciences, in particular, nonlinear hyperbolic systems, there is a strong need to develop efficient parallel-in-time techniques for hyperbolic problems beyond simple scalar and linear cases, which is the main topic of this subcontract. The main focus of the work was to further develop and perfect coarse-grid operators for the Multigrid Reduction-inTime (MGRIT) method applied to hyperbolic PDEs that were recently proposed in PhD thesis, based on a modified semi-Lagrangian approach.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗