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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

TRACC_PB SOSS Integrated Traffic Simulation for CLT Ramp Operation

This presentation provides the current task under the NASA-DLR research collaboration for airport surface. It presents the effort done to adapt TRACC and SOSS software components to simulate airport (CLT) ramp area traffic management using TRACC's conflict free taxi trajectory optimization and SOSS's fast time simulation platform.

surface operations↗

Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization with Gaussian Processes for Double Shell Inertial Confinement Fusion Target Design

Reliable, secure access to energy is a major focus for national security efforts. One potential route to such energy is through fusion reactions in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments. Such experiments are carried out at facilities such as the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in Livermore, California, where high powered lasers are used to compress a DT fuel-containing target to the necessary high temperature, high pressure conditions. These experiments are limited in number, which creates a heavy dependence on high fidelity predictive physics simulations and analysis performed “pre shot,” or before the experiment occurs. Many of these simulations in higher dimensions (2D and 3D) are computationally expensive, so finding optimal simulation-based designs presents its own challenges. In this work, we present our multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPs) for ICF double shell targets, where a 1D surrogate model is used to help find a 2D surrogate model, enabling us to find optimal targets in the higher fidelity (2D), while saving computational cost.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Atlas IIAS ascent trajectory design for the SOHO mission

In 1995, an Atlas IIAS launch vehicle will loft the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) as part of the International Solar and Terrestrial Physics program. The operational phase of the SOHO mission will be conducted from a `halo orbit' about the Sun-Earth interior libration point. Depending on the time of the year of launch, the optimal transfer requires a parking orbit of variable duration to satisfy widely varying inertial targets. A simulation capability has been developed that optimizes the launch vehicle ascent and spacecraft transfer phases of flight together, subject to both launch vehicle and spacecraft constraints. It will be shown that this `ground-up' simulation removes the need for an intermediate target vector at Centaur upper stage/spacecraft separation. Although providing only a modest gain in deliverable satellite mass, this capability substantially improves the mission integration process by removing the strict reliance on near-Earth target vectors. Trajectory data from several cases are presented and future applications of this capability are also discussed.

Willen, Robert E.↗

Evaluation of NASA's end-to-end data systems using DSDS+

The Data Systems Dynamic Simulator (DSDS+) is a software tool being developed by the authors to evaluate candidate architectures for NASA's end-to-end data systems. Via modeling and simulation, we are able to quickly predict the performance characteristics of each architecture, to evaluate 'what-if' scenarios, and to perform sensitivity analyses. As such, we are using modeling and simulation to help NASA select the optimal system configuration, and to quantify the performance characteristics of this system prior to its delivery. This paper is divided into the following six sections: (1) The role of modeling and simulation in the systems engineering process. In this section, we briefly describe the different types of results obtained by modeling each phase of the systems engineering life cycle, from concept definition through operations and maintenance; (2) Recent applications of DSDS+. In this section, we describe ongoing applications of DSDS+ in support of the Earth Observing System (EOS), and we present some of the simulation results generated of candidate system designs. So far, we have modeled individual EOS subsystems (e.g. the Solid State Recorders used onboard the spacecraft), and we have also developed an integrated model of the EOS end-to-end data processing and data communications systems (from the payloads onboard to the principle investigator facilities on the ground); (3) Overview of DSDS+. In this section we define what a discrete-event model is, and how it works. The discussion is presented relative to the DSDS+ simulation tool that we have developed, including it's run-time optimization algorithms that enables DSDS+ to execute substantially faster than comparable discrete-event simulation tools; (4) Summary. In this section, we summarize our findings and 'lessons learned' during the development and application of DSDS+ to model NASA's data systems; (5) Further Information; and (6) Acknowledgements.

Rouff, Christopher↗

Comparison of Supervised and Un-Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms for Threat Detection and Scintillator Performance for Radiation Portal Monitoring

Following the events of September 11, 2001, international border crossing have been equipped with radiation portal monitors (RPMs) to identify illicit radioactive material. Polyvinyl toluene (PVT) scintillators are commonly used due to their low cost and reasonable maintainability, however they offer low spectral resolution. Despite the fact that over twenty years has transpired since this event, radioisotopes are still typically identified by hand-crafted classification algorithms, e.g., total counts or energy windowing, and exhibit relatively poor performance in detecting threats at the low false alarm rates required to support the stream of commerce. While some improvement to performance has been realized via the use of supervised machine learning, these classification algorithms typically utilize simulations in lieu of real data due to the sparsity of data for one or more classes. Accordingly, the performance of these algorithms is somewhat less than optimal when examining experiments or simulations with model mismatch. Consequently, in this work, we examine the application of a number of unsupervised machine learning, anomaly detection based algorithms, to circumvent the inverse crime when analyzing spectroscopy data for RPMs. We also compare anomaly detection results with those obtained via the use of supervised classification detection ML algorithms when model mismatch is introduced between the simulated threat items utilized for training/testing. Finally, we compared the performance of the PVT scintillators to those obtained with higher resolution detectors using both anomaly detection and supervised classification algorithms.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Light-Duty Vehicle Attribute Projections (Years 2015-2030)

This report describes the approach and results associated with projecting vehicle attributes for future light-duty vehicle classes and powertrains, from year 2015 to 2030. The focus is the California light-duty vehicle market and the projected attributes include fuel economy, acceleration, driving range (total and all-electric), and manufacturer suggested retail price from year 2015 to year 2030. Attributes are weighted by California vehicle sales, which are projected using a historically validated consumer choice model - the Automotive Deployment Option Projection Tool (ADOPT) - integrated with a modeling framework that simulates vehicle fuel economy, cost, and acceleration performance while optimizing vehicle components - the Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator model (FASTSim). Both models were developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and have been adapted to represent the future California light-duty vehicle market for the present report. The analysis includes several scenarios pertaining to electricity and, essentially, electric vehicle demand in California, as established by the Energy Commission. Results suggest that implementation of certain policies, such as the Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards, impacts vehicle attribute projections. The results also show that standards and policy targets are not exclusively met by changes in vehicle attributes, but also through shifts in market demand and sales for certain vehicle powertrains.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Power and Efficiency Optimized in Traveling-Wave Tubes Over a Broad Frequency Bandwidth

A traveling-wave tube (TWT) is an electron beam device that is used to amplify electromagnetic communication waves at radio and microwave frequencies. TWT's are critical components in deep space probes, communication satellites, and high-power radar systems. Power conversion efficiency is of paramount importance for TWT's employed in deep space probes and communication satellites. A previous effort was very successful in increasing efficiency and power at a single frequency (ref. 1). Such an algorithm is sufficient for narrow bandwidth designs, but for optimal designs in applications that require high radiofrequency power over a wide bandwidth, such as high-density communications or high-resolution radar, the variation of the circuit response with respect to frequency must be considered. This work at the NASA Glenn Research Center is the first to develop techniques for optimizing TWT efficiency and output power over a broad frequency bandwidth (ref. 2). The techniques are based on simulated annealing, which has the advantage over conventional optimization techniques in that it enables the best possible solution to be obtained (ref. 3). Two new broadband simulated annealing algorithms were developed that optimize (1) minimum saturated power efficiency over a frequency bandwidth and (2) simultaneous bandwidth and minimum power efficiency over the frequency band with constant input power. The algorithms were incorporated into the NASA coupled-cavity TWT computer model (ref. 4) and used to design optimal phase velocity tapers using the 59- to 64-GHz Hughes 961HA coupled-cavity TWT as a baseline model. In comparison to the baseline design, the computational results of the first broad-band design algorithm show an improvement of 73.9 percent in minimum saturated efficiency (see the top graph). The second broadband design algorithm (see the bottom graph) improves minimum radiofrequency efficiency with constant input power drive by a factor of 2.7 at the high band edge (64 GHz) and increases simultaneous bandwidth by 500 MHz.

Wilson, Jeffrey D.↗

Validating first-principles molecular dynamics calculations of oxide/water interfaces with x-ray reflectivity data

Metal oxide/water interfaces play a crucial role in many electrochemical and photocatalytic processes, such as photoelectrochemical water splitting, the creation of fuel from sunlight, and electrochemical CO 2 reduction. First-principles electronic structure calculations can reveal unique insights into these processes, such as the role of the alignment of the oxide electronic energy levels with those of liquid water. An essential prerequisite for the success of such calculations is the ability to predict accurate structural models of these interfaces, which in turn requires careful experimental validation. Here we report a general, quantitative validation protocol for first-principles molecular dynamics simulations of oxide/aqueous interfaces. The approach makes direct comparisons of interfacial x-ray reflectivity (XR) signals from experimental measurements and those obtained from ab initio simulations with semilocal and van der Waals functionals. The protocol is demonstrated here for the case of the Al 2 O 3 (001)/water interface, one of the simplest oxide/water interfaces. We discuss the technical requirements needed for validation, including the choice of the density functional, the simulation cell size, and the optimal choice of the thermodynamic ensemble. Our results establish a general paradigm for the validation of structural models and interactions at solid/water interfaces derived from first-principles simulations. Furthermore, while there is qualitative agreement between the simulated structures and the experimental best-fit structure, direct comparisons of simulated and measured XR intensities show quantitative discrepancies that derive from both bulk regions (i.e., alumina and water) as well as the interfacial region, highlighting the need for accurate density functionals to properly describe interfacial interactions. Our results show that XR data are sensitive not only to the atomic structure (i.e., the atom locations) but also to the electron-density distributions in both the substrate and at the interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

New machine learning techniques for simulation-based inference: InferoStatic nets, kernel score estimation, and kernel likelihood ratio estimation

We propose an intuitive, machine-learning approach to multiparameter inference, dubbed the InferoStatic Networks (ISN) method, to model the score and likelihood ratio estimators in cases when the probability density can be sampled but not computed directly. The ISN uses a backend neural network that models a scalar function called the inferostatic potential \varphi φ . In addition, we introduce new strategies, respectively called Kernel Score Estimation (KSE) and Kernel Likelihood Ratio Estimation (KLRE), to learn the score and the likelihood ratio functions from simulated data. We illustrate the new techniques with some toy examples and compare to existing approaches in the literature. We mention en passant some new loss functions that optimally incorporate latent information from simulations into the training procedure.

Kong, Kyoungchul↗

Codebase release 0.1 for infstat

We propose an intuitive, machine-learning approach to multiparameter inference, dubbed the InferoStatic Networks (ISN) method, to model the score and likelihood ratio estimators in cases when the probability density can be sampled but not computed directly. The ISN uses a backend neural network that models a scalar function called the inferostatic potential \varphi φ . In addition, we introduce new strategies, respectively called Kernel Score Estimation (KSE) and Kernel Likelihood Ratio Estimation (KLRE), to learn the score and the likelihood ratio functions from simulated data. We illustrate the new techniques with some toy examples and compare to existing approaches in the literature. We mention en passant some new loss functions that optimally incorporate latent information from simulations into the training procedure.

Kong, Kyoungchul↗

Parallelization and Performance Portability in Hydrodynamics Codes

With the eve of Exascale computing, performance and portability are at the forefront of all scientific codes. Adding more cores and more energy to a system is no longer a sustainable way to achieve performance, and extra effort must now be made to improve performance in all areas of code and code development. Using hydrodynamic codes as a basis, this work explores numerous techniques to achieve performance in different ways. Adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) is a necessary technique to improve memory optimization in mesh-based simulations. However it is invasive and conventionally difficult to integrate into existing applications, so we present a new branch of AMR to create a smooth transition to these optimizations, which not only improves performance, but also greatly reduces developer effort. We introduce the concept of this improvement as Phantom-Cell AMR, and assess theoretically the improvements, as well as present an application of its use. Other work included involves and investigation into an efficient data structure that ensures optimal memory layout for cache performance, with a target of making codes performant and portable across all architectures. All of the work targets both performance and portability, not just on CPU hardware, but specifically across GPU architectures. Parallel performance is key to all of the methods presented, but the research makes a great effort to improve the portability of all applications to prepare for current high performance computing systems and those on the horizon.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

New Machine Learning Techniques for Simulation-Based Inference: InferoStatic Nets, Kernel Score Estimation, and Kernel Likelihood Ratio Estimation

We propose an intuitive, machine-learning approach to multiparameter inference, dubbed the InferoStatic Networks (ISN) method, to model the score and likelihood ratio estimators in cases when the probability density can be sampled but not computed directly. The ISN uses a backend neural network that models a scalar function called the inferostatic potential $\varphi$. In addition, we introduce new strategies, respectively called Kernel Score Estimation (KSE) and Kernel Likelihood Ratio Estimation (KLRE), to learn the score and the likelihood ratio functions from simulated data. We illustrate the new techniques with some toy examples and compare to existing approaches in the literature. We mention en passant some new loss functions that optimally incorporate latent information from simulations into the training procedure.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Accelerating laser ray tracing in high fidelity physics simulations of laser melting using squeeze U-net

Laser melting is a core component of the ongoing industrial revolution, dubbed Industry 4.0, as lasers facilitate fast and precise melting and fusion in advanced manufacturing. There is a strong need to optimize the laser process using simulations. However, this has proven challenging as high fidelity simulations are needed for predictive modeling and this is currently prohibitively expensive even when run on hundreds of processors on high performance computers. The challenge is capturing complex physics of laser material interaction, fluid dynamics, thermal physics and material phase transformations at various length and time scales. To close this technological gap, we modified a squeeze U-net to accelerate the laser ray tracing component of such high fidelity models by ~4x–40x while preserving the core physics principle of conservation of energy with 97% accuracy. This approach enables the accurate modeling of global laser energy absorption as a function of local surface temperatures and complex surface topologies, which govern the reflection directions and energy losses of laser rays upon interacting with the material surface.

Computer science↗

Efficient prediction of concentrating solar power plant productivity using data clustering

Concentrating solar power (CSP) plants convert solar energy to electricity and can be deployed with a thermal storage capability to shift electricity generation from time periods with available solar resource to those with high electricity demand or electricity price. Rigorous optimization of plant design and operational strategies can improve the market-competitiveness and commercial viability; however, such optimization may require hundreds of annual performance simulations, each of which can be computationally expensive when including considerations such as optimization of dispatch scheduling, sub-hourly time resolution, and stochastic effects due to uncertain weather or electricity price forecasts. This paper proposes a methodology to reduce the computational burden associated with simulation of electricity yield and revenue for CSP plants over a single- or multi-year period. Data-clustering techniques are employed to select a small number of limited-duration time blocks for simulation that, when appropriately weighted, can reproduce generation and revenue over a single year or within each year of a multi-year period. After selection of appropriate data features and weighting factors defining similarity between time-series profiles, the methodology captured annual revenue within 2.3%, 1.7%, or 1.2% using simulation of 10, 30, or 50 three-day exemplar time blocks, respectively, for each of three single-year location/weather/market scenarios and five plant configurations ranging from low to high solar multiple and storage capacity. When applied to multi-year datasets, the proposed methodology can capture inter-year variability that is unavailable from typical meteorological year (TMY) datasets while simultaneously requiring simulation of less than a single year of data.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An enhanced artificial neural network with a shuffled complex evolutionary global optimization with principal component analysis

The classical Back-Propagation (BP) scheme with gradient-based optimization in training Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) suffers from many drawbacks, such as the premature convergence, and the tendency of being trapped in local optimums. Therefore, as an alternative for the BP and gradient-based optimization schemes, various Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs), i.e., Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Simulated Annealing (SA), and Differential Evolution (DE), have gained popularity in the field of ANN weight training. This study applied a new efficient and effective Shuffled Complex Evolutionary Global Optimization Algorithm with Principal Component Analysis – University of California Irvine (SP-UCI) to the weight training process of a three-layer feed-forward ANN. A large-scale numerical comparison is conducted among the SP-UCI-, PSO-, GA-, SA-, and DE-based ANNs on 17 benchmark, complex, and real-world datasets. Here the results show that SP-UCI-based ANN outperforms other EA-based ANNs in the context of convergence and generalization. Results suggest that the SP-UCI algorithm possesses good potential in support of the weight training of ANN in real-word problems. In addition, the suitability of different kinds of EAs on training ANN is discussed. The large-scale comparison experiments conducted in this paper are fundamental references for selecting proper ANN weight training algorithms in practice.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Fast Gaussian Process Estimation for Large-Scale In Situ Inference using Convolutional Neural Networks

Exascale computing will bring with it significant I/O limitations. One foreseeable consequence of such restrictions is that the user can save only a small fraction of complex simulation data to disk for subsequent analysis. An alternative is to fit statistical models to data in situ, that is, inside the simulation as it runs. This option requires extremely fast statistical estimation to avoid slowing down the simulation. Gaussian processes (GPs) have state-of-the-art predictive performance for modeling spatial data. However, standard estimation methods for GPs scale quite poorly to large data sets as parameter estimation requires inverting a covariance matrix to the size of the data set. In the presented work, we use a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict the GP parameters for a spatial data set, from a simulation or otherwise, rather than optimize the parameters directly. Here, our presented case study models spatial data from E3SM, the Department of Energy’s Exascale climate model. The CNN is trained on synthetic data simulated from GP models with known parameters and then applied to data from the climate simulation. In the presented examples, the neural network scheme produces parameter estimates that compare well with standard methods such as maximum likelihood estimation in predictive performance but is obtained four orders of magnitude faster.

big data↗

The influence of fire aerosols on surface climate and gross primary production in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM)

Fire-emitted aerosols play an important role in influencing Earth’s climate, directly by scattering and absorbing radiation and indirectly by influencing cloud microphysics. The quantification of fire-aerosol interactions, however, remains challenging and subject to uncertainties in emissions, plume parameterizations, and aerosol properties. Here we optimized fire-associated aerosol emissions in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) using the Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED) and AERONET aerosol optical depth (AOD) observations during 1997-2016. Furthermore, we distributed fire emissions vertically using smoke plume heights from Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) satellite observations. From the optimization, we estimate that global fires emit 45.5 Tg y -1 of primary particulate organic matter and 3.9 Tg y -1 of black carbon. We then performed two climate simulations with and without the optimized fire emissions. We find that fire aerosols significantly increase global AOD by 14 ± 7% and contribute to a reduction in net shortwave radiation at the surface (-2.3 ± 0.5 W m -2 ). Together, fire-induced direct and indirect aerosol effects cause annual mean global land surface air temperature to decrease by 0.17 ± 0.15°C, relative humidity to increase by 0.4 ± 0.3%, and diffuse light fraction to increase by 0.5 ± 0.3%. In response, GPP declines by 2.8 Pg C y -1 , as a result of large positive drivers (decreases in temperature and increases in humidity and diffuse light) nearly cancelling out large negative drivers (decreases shortwave radiation and soil moisture). Our analysis highlights the importance of fire aerosols in modifying surface climate and photosynthesis across the tropics.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optimization of Elastodynamic Finite Integration Technique on Intel Xeon Phi Knights Landing Processors

This work describes the development and optimization of an implementation of an isotropic elastodynamic finite integration technique (EFIT) code for parallelized computation on Intel Knights Landing (KNL) hardware. EFIT is a numerical approach resulting in standard staggered-grid finite difference equations for the elastodynamic equations of motion to simulate bulk waves is solids. The computationally efficient simulation of elastodynamic wave propagation and interactions in aerospace materials is of high-interest in the fields of nondestructive evaluation (NDE) and structural health monitoring (SHM). Ultrasonic inspection uses an ultrasonic signal, generated at the surface of the material/structure via use of a piezoelectric transducer, to propagate sound waves into the material where it interacts with any existing defects, as well as with structural boundaries and any material inhomogeneity. Reflections from defects and boundaries are then measured by a transducer. Realistic ultrasound simulation tools can significantly aid the development and optimization of inspection techniques and can assist in the interpretation of experimental data. The optimization of an elastodynamics simulation code for the KNL Many Integrated Core processor was performed. The optimization focused on data locality and vectorization. Results show that tiling of the data to exploit the cache behavior and allow for significant utilization of the KNL hardware. The MPI implementation allows for a scalable implementation enabling large problems to be simulated. The model results were validated against theoretical dispersion curves to within 2% of the group velocity, and within 0.5% of the phase velocity of the A0 mode. Aggressive use of tiling, threading, and vectorization techniques allowed for dramatically improved time to solution.

William C. Schneck↗