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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Sensitivity of Short-Term Weather Forecasts to Assimilated AIRS Data: Implications for NPOESS Applications

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) is acting as a heritage and risk reduction instrument for the Cross-track lnfrared Sounder (CrIS) to be flown aboard the NPP and NPOESS satellites. The hyperspectral nature of AIRS and CrIS provides high-quality soundings that, along with their asynoptic observation time over North America, make them attractive sources to fill the spatial and temporal data voids in upper air temperature and moisture measurements for use in data assimilation and numerical weather prediction. Observations from AlRS can be assimilated either as direct radiances or retrieved thermodynamic profiles, and the Short-Term Prediction Research and Transition (SPORT) Center at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center has used both data types to improve short-term (0-48h), regional forecasts. The purpose of this paper is to share SPORT'S experiences using AlRS radiances and retrieved profiles in regional data assimilation activities by showing that proper handling of issues-including cloud contamination and land emissivity characterization-are necessary to produce optimal analyses and forecasts.

Zavodsky, Bradley↗

Constraining the properties of gaseous halos via cross-correlations of upcoming galaxy surveys and thermal Sunyaev-Zel’dovich maps

The thermal Sunyaev-Zel’dovich (tSZ) effect induces a Compton-$\mathit{y}$ distortion in cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature maps that is sensitive to a line-of-sight integral of the ionized gas pressure. By correlating the positions of galaxies with maps of the Compton-$\mathit{y}$ distortion, one can probe baryonic feedback processes and study the thermodynamic properties of a significant fraction of the gas in the Universe. Using a model fitting approach, we forecast how well future galaxy and CMB surveys will be able to measure these correlations, and show that powerful constraints on halo pressure profiles can be obtained. In this work, our forecasts are focused on correlations between galaxies and halos identified by the upcoming Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument survey and tSZ maps from the Simons Observatory and CMB-S4 experiments, but have general applicability to other surveys, such as the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope. We include prescriptions for observational systematics, such as halo miscentering and halo mass bias, demonstrating several important degeneracies with pressure profile parameters. Assuming modest priors on these systematics, we find that measurements of halo-$\mathit{y}$ and galaxy-$\mathit{y}$ correlations with future surveys yield tight constraints on the pressure profiles of group-scale dark matter halos, and enable current feedback models to either be confirmed or ruled out.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Engineered IL-18 variants with half-life extension and improved stability for cancer immunotherapy

Background The pro-inflammatory cytokine, interleukin-18 (IL-18), plays an instrumental role in bolstering anti-tumor immunity. However, the therapeutic application of IL-18 has been limited due to its susceptibility to neutralization by IL-18 binding protein (IL-18BP), short in vivo half-life, and unfavorable physicochemical properties. Methods In order to overcome the poor drug-like properties of IL-18, we installed an artificial disulfide bond, removed the native, unpaired cysteines, and fused the stabilized cytokine to an IgG Fc domain. The stability, potency, pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic properties as well as efficacy of disulfide-stabilized IL-18 Fc-fusion (dsIL-18-Fc) were assessed via in vitro and in vivo studies. Results The stability and mammalian host cell production yields of dsIL-18-Fc were improved, compared to the wild-type (WT) cytokine, while maintaining its biological potency and interactions with IL-18 receptor α (IL-18Rα) and IL-18BP. Recombinant fusion of the cytokine to an IgG Fc domain provided extended half-life. Notably, despite maintaining sensitivity to IL-18BP, dsIL-18-Fc was effective at activating both T and natural killer (NK) cells, and elicited a strong anti-tumor response, either as a single agent, or in conjunction with anti-programmed cell death-ligand 1 (anti-PD-L1) therapy. Conclusions We engineered IL-18 for reinforced stability, extended half-life, and improved manufacturability. The therapeutic benefit of dsIL-18-Fc, coupled with a more favorable manufacturability profile and enhanced drug-like properties, underscores the potential utility of this engineered cytokine in cancer immunotherapy.

Immunology↗

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon formation in carbon-rich stellar envelopes

A detailed chemical kinetic scheme is applied to stellar envelope profiles of gas density and temperature profiles in order to study the formation of PAH molecules in carbon-rich stellar outflows. Chemical concentration profiles are calculated for several envelope models by integrating the coupled continuity equations that include spherically expanding flows from an inner boundary at the shock formation radius. The influence of the 'inverse greenhouse' effect experienced by small PAHs is investigated and shown to increase the PAH yield by many orders of magnitude. It is shown that the route through propargyl radicals could be an important channel to produce benzene. PAH formation yields are found to be extremely sensitive to gas density and temperature and are much smaller than values inferred from the observed dust content of late-type carbon-rich stellar envelopes. It is therefore unlikely that aromatic molecules are generated in the stellar outflow itself.

Cherchneff, Isabelle↗

Advanced Atmospheric Water Vapor DIAL Detection System

Measurement of atmospheric water vapor is very important for understanding the Earth's climate and water cycle. The remote sensing Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL) technique is a powerful method to perform such measurement from aircraft and space. This thesis describes a new advanced detection system, which incorporates major improvements regarding sensitivity and size. These improvements include a low noise advanced avalanche photodiode detector, a custom analog circuit, a 14-bit digitizer, a microcontroller for on board averaging and finally a fast computer interface. This thesis describes the design and validation of this new water vapor DIAL detection system which was integrated onto a small Printed Circuit Board (PCB) with minimal weight and power consumption. Comparing its measurements to an existing DIAL system for aerosol and water vapor profiling validated the detection system.

Refaat, Tamer F.↗

Enhanced Design of Turbo-jet LPT by Separation Control Using Phased Plasma Actuators

This work deals with the documentation and control of flow separation that occurs over turbine blades in the low-pressure turbine stage at low Reynolds numbers that exist at high altitude cruise. We utilize a specially constructed linear cascade that is designed to study the flow field over a generic LPT cascade consisting of Pratt & Whitney 'Pak B' shaped blades. This facility was constructed under a previous one-year NASA Glenn RC initiative. The center blade in the cascade is instrumented to measure the surface pressure coefficient distribution. Optical access allows two-component LDV measurement for boundary layer profiles. Experimental conditions have been chosen to give a range of chord Reynolds numbers from 10 to 100K, and a range of free-stream turbulence levels from u'/U(sub infinity)= 0.08 to 3 percent. The surface pressure measurements were used to define a region of separation and reattachment that depend on the free-stream conditions. The location of separation was found to be relatively insensitive to the experimental conditions. However, reattachment location was very sensitive to the turbulence level and Reynolds number. Excellent agreement was found between the measured pressure distributions and predictions from Euler and RANS simulations. Two-component LDV measurements are presently underway to document the mean and fluctuating velocity components in the boundary layer over the center blade for the range of experimental conditions. The fabrication of the plasma actuator is underway. These are designed to produce either streamwise vortices, or a downstream-directed wall jet. A precursor experiment for the former approach was performed with an array of vortex generators placed just upstream of the separation line. These led to reattachment except for the lowest Reynolds number. Progress has also been made on the proposed concept for a laterally moving wake. This involved constructing a smaller wind tunnel and molding an array of symmetric airfoils to form an array. Following its development, it will be scaled up and used to introduce lateral moving wakes upstream up the Pak-B cascade.

Ashpis, David↗

Using OSSEs to Evaluate the Impacts of Geostationary Infrared Sounders

An observing system simulation experiment (OSSE) was performed to assess the impact of assimilating hyperspectral infrared (IR) radiances from geostationary orbit on numerical weather prediction, with a focus on the proposed sounder on board the Geostationary Extended Observations (GeoXO) program’s central satellite. Infrared sounders on a geostationary platform would fill several gaps left by IR sounders on polar-orbiting satellites, and the increased temporal resolution would allow the observation of weather phenomena evolution. The framework for this OSSE was the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) OSSE system, which includes a full suite of meteorological observations. The experiment additionally assimilated four identical IR sounders from geostationary orbit to create a “ring” of vertical profiling observations. Based on the experimentation, assimilation of the IR sounders provided a beneficial impact on the analyzed mass and wind fields, particularly in the tropics, and produced an error reduction in the initial 24–48 h of the subsequent forecasts. Specific attention was paid to the impact of the GeoXO Sounder (GXS) over the contiguous United States (CONUS) as this is a region that is well-observed and as such difficult to improve. The forecast sensitivity to observation impact (FSOI) metric, computed across all four synoptic times over the CONUS, reveals that the GXS had the largest impact on the 24-h forecast error of the assimilated hyperspectral infrared satellite radiances as measured using a moist energy error norm. Based on this analysis, the proposed GXS has the potential to improve numerical weather prediction globally and over the CONUS.

OSSE↗

The Sensitivity of Joint Inversions of Seismic and Geodynamic Data to Mantle Viscosity

Seismic tomography has revealed the existence of large-scale velocity heterogeneities in the mantle. The interpretation of seismic velocity anomalies in terms of temperature and chemical composition is nonunique. We use geodynamic observations including gravity, plate motions, dynamic topography, and excess ellipticity of the core-mantle boundary combined with seismic observations to investigate the thermo-chemical structure of the mantle through joint inversions. An outstanding issue, however, is the physical connection between mantle density anomalies and the surface geodynamic observations, which requires knowledge of the mantle viscosity structure. Here we perform joint inversions assuming different viscosity profiles and examine the dependence of the results on the viscosity. We first assume that mantle heterogeneity is due to thermal variations, which places a constraint on the relation between seismic velocity and density, and we subsequently relax the constraint to allow for potential nonthermal effects. In all of our joint inversions, a nonthermal origin of density anomalies is required to explain the geodynamic data, though the amount varies with the assumed viscosity structure. A common observation is a high-density chemical signal in the center of the large low-shear-velocity provinces at the base of the mantle resulting in a near neutral or slightly dense overall buoyancy there. Using the derived density models and their corresponding viscosity profiles, we also calculate instantaneous mantle flow fields. The predicted flow fields derived from joint inversions are generally similar but are quite different from flow fields using density models derived from a posteriori scaling of pure seismic tomography models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Bimolecular Peroxy Radical (RO 2 ) Reactions and Their Relevance in Radical Initiated Oxidation of Hydrocarbons

The kinetics of peroxy radical (RO 2 ) reactions have been of long-standing interest in atmospheric and combustion chemistry. Nevertheless, the lack of kinetic studies at higher temperatures for their reactions with other radicals such as OH has precluded the inclusion of this class of reactions in detailed kinetics models developed for combustion applications. In this work, guided by the limited room temperature experimental studies on selected alkyl-peroxy radicals and literature theoretical kinetics on the prototypical CH 3 O 2 + OH system, we have performed parametric studies on the effect of uncertainties in the rate coefficients and branching ratios to potential product channels for RO 2 + OH reactions at higher temperatures. Literature kinetics models were used to simulate autoignition delays, laminar flame speeds, and speciation profiles in flow and stirred reactors for a variety of common combustion-relevant fuels. Inclusion of RO 2 + OH reactions was found to retard autoignition in fuel-lean (φ = 0.5) mixtures of ethane and dimethyl ether in air. The observed effects were noticeably more pronounced in ozone-enriched combustion of ethane and dimethyl ether. The simulations also examined the influence of ozone doping levels, pressures, and equivalence ratios for both ethane and dimethyl ether oxidation. Sensitivity and flux analyses revealed that the RO 2 + OH reaction is a significant sink of RO 2 radicals at the early stage of autoignition, affecting fuel oxidation through RO 2 ↔ QOOH, RO 2 ↔ alkene + HO 2 , or RO 2 + HO 2 ↔ ROOH + O 2 . Additionally, the kinetic stability of the trioxide formed from RO 2 + OH reactions was investigated using master equation analyses. Last, we discuss other bimolecular reactions that are missing in literature kinetics models but are relevant to hydrocarbon oxidation initiated by external radical sources (plasma-enhanced, ozone-enriched combustion, etc.). In conclusion, the present simulations provide a strong motivation for better characterizing the bimolecular kinetics of peroxy radicals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

The NCAR Airborne Infrared Lidar System (NAILS)

A planned airborne lidar system is presented which is intended to provide a remote sensing facility for a variety of applications. The eventual goal of the system development is a Doppler wind measurement capability for boundary layer dynamics and cloud physics applications. The first stage of development is focused initially on a direct detection lidar to measure aerosol profiles and depolarization from cloud backscatter. Because of the Doppler goal, interest in larger particles to define the top of the mixed layer, and eye safety, the first stage of the system is based on a pulsed CO2 laser. A compact, relatively simple and inexpensive system that achieves flexibility to meet the data requirements of a variety of investigators by being easily modified rather than having many different capabilities built in is the goal. Although the direct detection sensitivity is less than that for heterodyne detection, the simpler system allows the achievement of useful scientific results and operating experience towards more complex lidars while staying within budget and time constraints.

Schwiesow, R. L.↗

Meteoric Magnesium Ions in the Martian Atmosphere

From a thorough modeling of the altitude profile of meteoritic ionization in the Martian atmosphere we deduce that a persistent layer of magnesium ions should exist around an altitude of 70 km. Based on current estimates of the meteoroid mass flux density, a peak ion density of about 10(exp 4) ions/cm is predicted. Allowing for the uncertainties in all of the model parameters, this value is probably within an order of magnitude of the correct density. Of these parameters, the peak density is most sensitive to the meteoroid mass flux density which directly determines the ablated line density into a source function for Mg. Unlike the terrestrial case, where the metallic ion production is dominated by charge-exchange of the deposited neutral Mg with the ambient ions, Mg+ in the Martian atmosphere is produced predominantly by photoionization. The low ultraviolet absorption of the Martian atmosphere makes Mars an excellent laboratory in which to study meteoric ablation. Resonance lines not seen in the spectra of terrestrial meteors may be visible to a surface observatory in the Martian highlands.

Pesnell, William Dean↗

Pulse Profiles, Accretion Column and a flare in Gx 1+4 During a Faint State

The Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer (RXTE) spacecraft observed the X-ray pulsar GX 1+4 for a period of 34 hours on July 19/20 1996. The source faded from an intensity of approx. 20 mcrab to a minimum of less than or equal to 0.7 mcrab and then partially recovered towards the end of the observation. This extended minimum lasted approx. 40,000 seconds. Phase folded light curves at a barycentric rotation period of 124.36568 +/- 0.00020 seconds show that near the center of the extended minimum the source stopped pulsing in the traditional sense but retained a weak dip feature at the rotation period. Away from the extended minimum the dips are progressively narrower at higher energies and may be interpreted as obscurations or eclipses of the hot spot by the accretion column. The pulse profile changed from leading-edge bright before the extended minimum to trailing-edge bright after it. Data from the Burst and Transz'ent Source Experiment (BATSE) show that a torque reversal occurred less than 10 days after our observation. Our data indicate that the observed rotation departs from a constant period with a P/P value off approx. -5% per year at a 4.5(sigma) significance. We infer that we may have serendipitously obtained data. with high sensitivity and temporal resolution about the time of an accretion disk spin reversal. We also observed a rapid flare which had some precursor activity close to the center of the extended minimum.

Giles, A. B.↗

Three CA-Related Covariance Issues and Their Solutions

This presentation addresses three issues that arise in the use of DoD-produced satellite state estimate covariances in the conjunction assessment process: the realism of the provided covariances, how to address correlated error between two satellites' covariance matrices, and how to proceed when a furnished covariance is non-positive-definite. To address the first, DoD has implemented a set of two "consider parameters" with which to alter/expand the covariance to account for atmospheric density forecast error and satellite frontal area uncertainty, the two largest sources of unmodeled position prediction error for LEO orbits; these values are governed by a satellite's orbital parameters and ballistic coefficient histories, as well as the current and predicted space weather situation. This approach substantially improves the realism of the covariance by accounting for expected prediction errors that are not part of the fit process that generates the covariance. The second issue of covariance correlation is a complicated one, but the main shared error source—global atmospheric density error that is common to both satellites can be characterized and, through sensitivity vectors, quantified at the conjunction's time of closest approach and removed from the joint covariance, which is used in the CA probability of collision (Pc) calculation. Finally, while according to the orbit determination theory a non-positive-definite (NPD) covariance is not possible, numerical truncation and covariance interpolation can conspire to produce NPD results, which render the covariance unusable for certain CA risk assessment calculations, such as Monte Carlo Pc determination. Three similar techniques are profiled and the simplest of them recommended as a reasonable remediation technique when NPD covariances are encountered by CA practitioners.

Dynamic Consider Parameter↗

Extreme Lake-Effect Snow from a GPM Microwave Imager Perspective: Observational Analysis and Precipitation Retrieval Evaluation

This study focuses on the ability of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) passive microwave sensors to detect and provide quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) for extreme lake-effect snowfall events over the United States lower Great Lakes region. GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) high frequency channels can clearly detect intense shallow convective snowfall events. However, GMI Goddard PROfiling (GPROF) QPE retrievals produce inconsistent results when compared against the Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor (MRMS) ground-based radar reference dataset. While GPROF retrievals adequately capture intense snowfall rates and spatial patterns of one event, GPROF systematically underestimates intense snowfall rates in another event. Furthermore, GPROF produces abundant light snowfall rates that do not conform with MRMS observations. Ad-hoc precipitation rate thresholds are suggested to partially mitigate GPROF’s overproduction of light snowfall rates. The sensitivity and retrieval efficiency of GPROF to key parameters (2-meter temperature, total precipitable water, and background surface type) used to constrain the GPROF a-priori retrieval database are investigated. Results demonstrate that typical lake-effect snow environmental and surface conditions, especially coastal surfaces, are underpopulated in the database and adversely affect GPROF retrievals. For the two presented case studies, using snow cover a-priori database in the locations of originally deemed as coastline improves retrieval. This study suggests that it is particularly important to have more accurate GPROF surface classifications and better representativeness of the a-priori databases to improve intense lake-effect snow detection and retrieval performance.

Lisa Milani↗

Validation of Ozone Profile Retrievals Derived from the OMPS LP Version 2.5 Algorithm Against Correlative Satellite Measurements

The Limb Profiler (LP) is a part of the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite launched on board of the Suomi NPP satellite in October 2011. The LP measures solar radiation scattered from the atmospheric limb in ultraviolet and visible spectral ranges between the surface and 80 km. These measurements of scattered solar radiances allow for the retrieval of ozone profiles from cloud tops up to 55 km. The LP started operational observations in April 2012. In this study we evaluate more than 5.5 years of ozone profile measurements from the OMPS LP processed with the new NASA GSFC version 2.5 retrieval algorithm. We provide a brief description of the key changes that had been implemented in this new algorithm, including a pointing correction, new cloud height detection, explicit aerosol correction and a reduction of the number of wavelengths used in the retrievals. The OMPS LP ozone retrievals have been compared with independent satellite profile measurements obtained from the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS), Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) and Odin Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imaging System (OSIRIS). We document observed biases and seasonal differences and evaluate the stability of the version 2.5 ozone record over 5.5 years. Our analysis indicates that the mean differences between LP and correlative measurements are well within required +/- 10% between 18 and 42 km. In the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere (>43 km) LP tends to have a negative bias. We find larger biases in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere, but LP ozone retrievals have significantly improved in version 2.5 compared to version 2 due to the implemented aerosol correction. In the northern high latitudes we observe larger biases between 20 and 32 km due to the remaining thermal sensitivity issue. Our analysis shows that LP ozone retrievals agree well with the correlative satellite observations in characterizing vertical, spatial and temporal ozone distribution associated with natural processes, like the seasonal cycle and quasi-biennial oscillations. We found a small positive drift approx. 0.5%/yr in the LP ozone record against MLS and OSIRIS that is more pronounced at altitudes above 35 km. This pattern in the relative drift is consistent with a possible 100m drift in the LP sensor pointing detected by one of our altitude-resolving methods.

Ozone Mapping↗

Numerical investigation of thermomechanical response of multiscale porous Ultra-High Temperature Ceramics

Recent advances in Ultra-High Temperature Ceramics (UHTC) manufacturing have permitted the development of multiscale porous UHTC microstructures. Within the target application of hypersonic vehicles, dense UHTCs are suitable for thermal protection on leading edges, whereas porous UHTCs may find a role in providing thermally insulated interfaces for temperature-sensitive interior components. Designing vehicles incorporating porous UHTCs requires a characterization of their thermomechanical properties across the full range of expected operating temperatures spanning –20 °C–2500 °C. This research represents a preliminary study in performing this characterization. Several numerical experiments are performed using a coupled thermomechanical implementation of the Material Point Method to determine the temperature dependence of effective material properties both with and without damage. Furthermore, complex time-dependent boundary conditions derived from known hypersonic flight profiles are simulated in order to probe the various couplings between deformation, damage and heat transfer. It is shown that the model reveals the importance of micro-buckling in determining effective material stiffness and thermal conductivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Energy-resolved fast-neutron radiography using an event-mode neutron imaging detector

Energy-resolved fast-neutron radiography is a powerful non-destructive technique that can be used to remotely measure the quantity and distribution of elements and isotopes in a sample. This is done by comparing the energy-dependent neutron transmission of a sample with the known cross-sections of individual isotopes. The reconstruction of the composition is possible due to the unique features (e.g. resonances) in the cross-sections of individual isotopes. At short-pulsed (≲ 1 ns) neutron sources, such information is accessible via time-of-flight neutron imaging in principle, but requires a detector with nanosecond temporal resolution. Conventional neutron detectors can meet this requirement only by heavily compromising spatial resolution or efficiency. Here, we present a unique approach on fast neutron resonance radiography using a scintillator-based event-mode imaging detector at a short-pulsed neutron source, including first results on spatially mapped resonance profiles using MeV neutrons. The event mode approach applied in the presented detector allows recording of individual neutron interactions with nanosecond precision in time and sub-mm resolution in space. As a result, the entire available neutron energy spectrum can be measured for each pulse. At the same time, the use of a thick scintillator screen and lenses to focus the produced light results in a highly flexible field of view and a high interaction probability in the sensitive volume of the detector.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Divertor detachment in the pre-fusion power operation phase in ITER during application of resonant magnetic perturbations

Detachment of the divertor plasma during application of resonant magnetic perturbation (RMP) fields is evaluated for hydrogen H-mode plasma during the first pre-fusion power operation (PFPO-1) phase in ITER by 3D plasma boundary modelling with EMC3–EIRENE. Plasma response effects from a linearized, resistive, single fluid MHD model are discussed, which includes partial screening of the externally applied field—but also field amplification near the separatrix. Furthermore, this field amplification is found to play a pivotal role for the magnetic footprint on the divertor targets, but is sensitive to model parameters. Extensions of the footprint beyond the straight portions of the ITER vertical divertor targets, optimized for high stationary heat flux handling, may be possible depending on the level of toroidal rotation in the plasma. Exhaust from the bulk plasma is guided by the helical corrugations (lobes) of the perturbed separatrix, and this results in an upstream heat flux that is distributed over these lobes with lower peak values than in the typical radial heat flux profiles seen in the absence of magnetic perturbations. As a consequence, an earlier onset (with respect to the upstream density) of detachment is found in the traditional strike zone when RMPs are applied, but secondary, non-axisymmetric strike locations appear—and those remain attached at temperatures above 10 eV. Neon seeding can mitigate these non-axisymmetric heat loads, but this becomes less efficient for large magnetic footprints.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗