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Prototyping and Testing a New Volumetric Curvature Tool for Modeling Reservoir Compartments and Leakage Pathways in the Arbuckle Saline Aquifer: Reducing Uncertainty in CO 2 Storage and Permanence

This DOE-funded project evaluates the utility of seismic volumetric curvature (VC) for predicting stratal and structural architecture diagnostic of paleokarst reservoirs. Of special interest are applications geared toward carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS). VC has been championed for identifying faults (offset <¼ λ) that cannot be imaged by conventional 3-D seismic attributes such as coherence. The objective of this research was to evaluate VC-techniques for reducing uncertainties in reservoir compartmentalization studies and seal risk assessments especially for saline aquifers. A 2000-ft horizontal lateral was purposefully drilled across VC-imaged lineaments—interpreted to record a fractured and a fault-bounded doline—to physically confirm their presence. The 15-mi² study area is located in southeastern Bemis-Shutts Field, which is situated along the crest of the Central Kansas Uplift (CKU) in Ellis County, Kansas. The uppermost Arbuckle (200+ ft) has extensive paleokarst including collapsed paleocaverns and dolines related to exceedingly prolonged pre-Simpson (Sauk–Tippecanoe) and/or pre-Pennsylvanian subaerial exposure. A lateral borehole was successfully drilled across the full extent (~1100 ft) of a VC-inferred paleokarst doline. Triple combo (GR-neutron/density-resistivity), full-wave sonic, and borehole micro-imager logs were successfully run to TD on drill-pipe. Results from the formation evaluation reveal breccias (e.g., crackle, mosaic, chaotic), fractures, faults, vugs (1-6"), and unaffected host strata consistent with the pre-spud interpretation. Well-rounded pebbles were also observed on the image log. VC-inferred lineaments coincide with 20–80-ft wide intervals of high GR values (100+ API), matrix-rich breccias, and faults. To further demonstrate their utility, VC attributes are integrated into a geocellular modeling workflow: 1) to constrain the structural model; 2) to generate facies probability grids, and; 3) to collocate petrophysical models to separate-vug rock fabrics along solution-enlarged fault and fracture systems. Simulation-based studies demonstrate a potential alternative field development model for developing CO 2 storage sites that target carbonate reservoirs overprinted by paleokarst. Simulation results for this complex reservoir indicate that individual fault blocks could function as discrete containers for CO 2 storage thereby reducing the risk of plume migration outside the legally defined extent of the permitted storage site. Vertically extensive, anastomosing, solution-enlarged fault/fracture systems — infilled by clay-rich sediments — would operate as non-to-low permeability vertical "curtains" that restrict CO 2 movement beyond the confines of the CO 2 storage site. Such a location could be developed in a checker-board fashion with CO 2 injection operations occurring in one block and surveillance operations occurring in the adjacent block. Such naturally partitioned reservoirs may be ideal candidates for reducing risks associated with CO 2 plume breakthrough.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Schubert Review 2017 2-page summary of AmBe project

Accelerator-based neutron sources to replace Americium Beryllium (AmBe) radiological sources used for oil well logging are needed for safety and security purposes. DT neutron generators have successfully been used in the past for some measurements, but are less sensitive to rock porosity than the AmBe spectrum is. Additionally, the well-logging industry has decades of data calibrated to the AmBe neutron spectrum. Ideally, if this industry were required to use an accelerator source, they would like a similar neutron spectrum to the AmBe source, with a yield of at least 1×10 7 n/s.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Completion Report for Well ER-4-1 Corrective Action Unit 97: Yucca Flat/Climax Mine, Revision 0

Well ER-4-1 was drilled for the U.S. Department of Energy, Nevada National Security Administration Nevada Field Office in support of the Underground Test Area (UGTA) Activity. The well was drilled and completed from March 23 to April 13, 2016, as part of the Corrective Action Investigation Plan (CAIP) for Yucca Flat/Climax Mine Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 97. The primary purpose of the well was to collect hydrogeologic data to assist in validating concepts of the groundwater flow system within the Yucca Flat/Climax Mine CAU, and to test for potential radionuclides in groundwater from the STRAIT (U4a) underground test. The completed well includes one piezometer (p1), to a depth of 663.16 meters (m) (2,175.71 feet [ft]) below ground surface (bgs) and open from the Alluvial aquifer (AA3) to the Oak Spring Butte confining unit (OSBCU) hydrostratigraphic units; and a main completion (m1), which includes 6.625-inch (in.) casing with slotted interval (m1) installed to 906.80 m (2,975.05 ft) bgs in the Lower carbonate aquifer (LCA). A 13.375-in. diameter surface casing was installed from the surface to a depth of 809.00 m (2,654.21 ft) bgs. Well ER-4-1 experienced a number of technical issues during drilling, including borehole instability and sloughing conditions. An intermediate, 10.75-in./9.625-in. casing string was installed to 856.94 m (2,811.48 ft) bgs to control these issues. Borehole stability and erosion problems appear to be associated with the Tunnel Formation (Tn) and the Older tunnel beds (Ton). Overall efforts to stabilize the borehole were successful. Data collected during borehole construction include composite drill cutting samples collected every 3.0 m (10 ft), a partial suite of geophysical logs to a maximum depth of 766.57 m (2,515 ft) bgs, water-quality measurements (including tritium), water-level measurements, and two depth-discrete bailer samples collected at 538.89 m and 646.18 m (1,768 ft and 2,120 ft) bgs respectively. The well penetrated 187.45 m (615 ft) of Quaternary/Tertiary alluvium (QTa), 671.47 m (2,203 ft) of Tertiary Volcanic rocks (Tv), and 66.20 m (217.19 ft) of Paleozoic rocks (|). The stratigraphy and lithology were generally as expected with some exceptions. The top of Paleozoic rocks (|) was predicted to occur at 822.35 m (2,698 ft) bgs and was intercepted at 858.93 m (2,818 ft), a difference of 36.58 m (120 ft). As expected, the Paleozoic rocks (|) are the principal water producing formation in Well ER-4-1. Depth to water was measured after drilling as follows: In the piezometers: p1 at 320.39 m (1,051.16 ft) bgs, (measured January 4, 2017); and in the main production casing interval: m1 at 539.17 m (1,768.92 ft) bgs, (measured December 12, 2016) Geophysical logs and depth-discrete bailer sample analytical results suggest likely zones of prompt injection (underground-test-related) fission products from 472.44 to 481.48 m (1,550 to 1,580 ft) bgs and at approximately 539.50 m (1,770 ft) bgs. Subsequent work at Well ER-4-1 will be included in future reports. Field measurements for tritium were mostly below the Safe Drinking Water Act limit (20,000 picocuries per liter) with the exception of two zones showing elevated tritium concentrations. The first zone is located at approximately 365.76 to 390.14 m (1,200 to 1,280 ft) bgs and a second zone at approximately 542.54 to 566.93 m (1,780 to 1,860 ft) bgs. All Fluid Management Plan requirements were met.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Structural and Stratigraphic Controls on Methane Hydrate occurrence and distribution: Gulf of Mexico, Walker Ridge 313 and Green Canyon 955: Final Report

The goal of this project was to determine structural and stratigraphic controls on hydrate occurrence and distribution in Green Canyon (GC) 955 and Walker Ridge (WR) 313 blocks using seismic and well data. Gas hydrate was discovered in these blocks in coarse- and fine-grained sediments during the 2009 Joint Industrial project (JIP) Leg 11 drilling expedition. Although the immediate interest of the exploration community is exclusively hydrate which is present in coarse–grained sediments, factors that control hydrate and free gas distribution in the two blocks and whether coarse and fine-grained hydrate-bearing units are related in any manner, formed the core of this research. The project spanned from 10/01/2012 to 07/31/2016. In the project, in both the leased blocks, the interval spanning the gas hydrate stability zone (GHSZ) was characterized using a joint analysis of sparse Ocean Bottom Seismic (OBS) and dense, surface–towed multichannel seismic (MCS) data. The project team had the luxury of calibrating their results with two well logs. Advance processing methods such as depth migration and full-waveform inversion (FWI) were used for seismic data analysis. Hydrate quantification was achieved through interpretation of the FWI velocity field using appropriate rock physics models at both blocks. The seismic modeling/inversion methodology (common to both GC955 and WR313 blocks) was as follows. First, the MCS data were depth migrated using a P-wave velocity (VP) model constructed using inversion of reflection arrival times of a few (four in both cases) key horizons carefully picked in the OBS data to farthest possible offsets. Then, the resolution of the traveltime VP model was improved to wavelength scale by inverting OBS gathers up to the highest frequency possible (21.75 Hz for GC955 and 17.5 for WR313) using FWI. Finally, the hydrate saturation (or the volume fraction) was estimated at the well location assuming one of the other hydrate morphology (filling the primary or the secondary porosity) was extrapolated out from the wells using the FWI VP as a guide. General outcomes were as follows. First and foremost, an imaging methodology using sparse seismic data, which is easily replicable at other sites with similar datasets, has been demonstrated. The end product of this methodology at both the leased blocks is quantitative estimates of hydrate distribution. Second, at both locations there is strong evidence that the base of the GHSZ, which does not appear as a clear Bottom Simulating Reflection (BSR), manifests in the VP perturbations created by FWI, suggesting that FWI is sensitive to subtle compositional changes in shallow sediments and establishes it as a valuable tool for investigations of hydrate-bearing basins. Third, through joint interpretation of the depth migrated image and the FWI VP model, how structure and stratigraphy jointly determine hydrate and free gas distribution in both blocks could be clearly visualized. The joint interpretation also suggests that the coarse and fine grained hydrate-bearing sediments at both leased are connected. Site specific results, in addition to general results, are as follows. At GC955 the overlying fine-grained hydrate-bearing unit could have been sourced from the underlying hydrate coarse-grained channel-levee complex through a chimney feature. The channel-levee system at GC955 is compartmentalized by faults, of which only a few may be impermeable. Although compartmentalized, the channel-levee system in the GC955 as a whole might be in communication except selected zones. At WR313 the overlying fine-grained fracture-filled hydrate unit appears to be sourced from below the GHSZ. The reason that only a particular fine-grained unit has hydrate, despite having lower porosity that the bounding units, could be the presence of secondary porosity (such as those formed from clay dewatering under compaction). In conclusion, the project was a pioneering effort in in joint analysis of OBS and MCS datasets for advancing the knowledge about a hydrate and free–gas system dynamics using advanced processing methods such as FWI and depth migration. Results obtained in this project can greatly advance the tools and techniques used for delineating specific hydrate prospects. Results obtained in this project can also be seamlessly incorporated into other DOE funded project on modeling the potential productivity and commercial viability of hydrate from sand-dominated reservoirs. The OBS and MCS data in this project were acquired in 2012 (after the JIP II drilling) by the USGS and therefore the results are a posteriori. Nonetheless, the seismic inversion workflow established through this project can be used to generate various what-if quantification scenarios even in absence of logs and serve as a valuable tool for guiding drilling operations. Results from this project can augment other DOE sponsored projects on determining the commercial viability of methane production from the Gulf of Mexico.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Open V2X at ESIF: June 2015 - February 2017 (Final Report)

The University of Delaware (UD), and their industrial partners, have carried out testing, documentation, and standards development at ESIF. These activities are intended to help meet the objective of NREL's INTEGRATE program, to enable clean energy technologies to increase the hosting capacity of the grid, by providing grid services in a holistic manner using an open source, interoperable platform. In particular, the 'Open V2X at ESIF' project worked to facilitate standardization and interoperability for Electric Vehicle technologies, including battery electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid vehicles (hence EV) to provide grid services. This was done by interconnecting and testing EV and EVSE (charging station) hardware from different manufacturers, by developing standards and test protocols for standards, and by documenting new protocols to be proposed as standards. Contractor-supplied equipment used in the testing included Vehicle Smart Links (VSLs) installed in an EV and School Bus, single-phase and three-phase charging stations, and an optimizing aggregator (software running on a server, hence just 'Aggregator'). The Aggregator software was developed by U of Delaware and is now licensed to Nuvve Corp for commercial development, and licensed to NRG/EVgo for demonstrations. The Aggregator monitors capacity and operations of the EVs and EVSEs, dispatches them in response to requests, and reports their operations and metered power flow. In operation, as vehicles move, plug-in and unplug, the aggregator tracks the total capacity available within a defined jurisdiction or RTO (Regional Transmission Organization, synonym for ISO or TSO), and dispatches part or all of that capacity based on market or direct dispatch signals from a grid entity. The VSL is the data acquisition and control module in the resource itself (EVSE or EV), with rich communication between a single Optimizing Aggregator and many VSL (one in each resource). All requests and dispatch events are also logged by the aggregator to make the provision of grid power auditable. For these tests, the dispatch was typically a recorded signal, the VSL was in the EV or EVSE, and the recording of experimental performance was often carried out by the normal logging functions of the aggregator.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

US-India Consortium for Development of Sustainable Advanced Lignocellulosic Biofuel Systems

This multi-institutional project had as it main objectives to develop a fully integrated platform for the production of advanced biofuels, specifically butanol, from sustainably produced switchgrass and biomass sorghum and to develop economic models that could guide the establishment of a crop to fuel value chain. The project was organized into three work packages: (1) WP1 Feedstock Development and Supply. Activities in this WP resulted in the development of improved biomass sorghum cultivars and biomass hybrids that generate high yields of biomass with limited inputs of water, fertilizer and agri-chemicals and that display less recalcitrance to enzymatic saccharification at the biorefinery; the identification of physiological responses and genes associated with sorghum’s tolerance to water logging as the basis for the development of biomass sorghums that can be cultivated on land prone to flooding; the identification of water-logging tolerant switchgrass genotypes among existing germplasm; the identification of management practices that maximize switchgrass biomass yield (fertilizer applications, harvest regimens) on commercial farms on different types of soil in Missouri. (2) WP2 Biorefinery Technologies. This WP included the development of a recombinant E. coli strain able to convert fermentable sugars derived from biomass sorghum and switchgrass to butyrate as a precursor for the advanced biofuel butanol. Butanol is toxic to most microbes, so that yields tend to be low. In contrast, butyrate can be produced in high titer and high yield by several naturally occurring bacteria, but these species are strictly anaerobic, which complicates commercial production. Our strategy involved developing a recombinant strain of E. coli able to produce high yields and high titers of butyrate. The butyrate can then be reduced to butanol via chemical conversion. In addition, a techno-economic analysis of converting sorghum and switchgrass biomass to ethanol was conducted based on data obtained at a pilot biorefinery. These data combined with small-scale butanol production data were used as the basis for a techno-economic analysis of biomass-to-butanol conversion. Furthermore, the biorefinery stillage was evaluated as a source of fertilizer or soil amendment. In contrast to the use of biochar as a soil amendment, stillage resulted in enhanced microbial activity in the soil and release of CO2. Stillage was determined to be a suitable feedstock for biogas production in an anaerobic digester. Biorefinery lignin can be blended with polymers to create novel UV-resistant materials promising for application in outer space, and as a source of organic acids for use in plastics. These applications offer opportunities to create value from the biorefinery residues. (3) WP3. This WP focused on development of economic models that can help define the most successful strategy for implementing biofuel production from bioenergy crops. Southeastern Missouri was determined to be the best location for a bio-butanol facility that processes biomass crops, due to the abundance of feedstock within a small radius of the facility. The most effective transportation method is by rail car. Feedstock availability was considered a more important driver for commercial success than the availability of a butanol market. The average cost of producing switchgrass biomass was calculated to be $65/ton assuming a biomass yield of 8 tons per hectare (the upper end of the yield in the commercial trials in WP2). Lower yields drive up costs, but improved genotypes will conversely reduce costs. Based on farmer surveys, conducting university extension activities was determined to positively influence farmers’ willingness to consider switchgrass. Other factors included experience with pasture land and forest land, and the availability of policies that provide a safety net to the farmers in case of instability in the biofuels market. This instability can be mitigated in part by ensuring adequate biomass supplies through diversification. The project supported the training of 20 graduate students and resulted in 57 peer-reviewed journal articles (with eight additional in review or in progress), eight book chapters and five patents.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Multi-Scale Modeling Framework for Mercury Biogeochemistry

Multi-Scale modeling of mercury (Hg) geochemical speciation and reactions has been performed by integrating atomistic quantum chemical calculations with continuum scale speciation models. Major progress has been made in the improvement of quantum chemical models to calculate critical thermodynamic data for Hg complexes in aquatic environments. Rapid and reliable quantum chemical approaches have been developed for calculating acid dissociation constants (pK a ) and stability constants (log K), with calculated mean unsigned errors of 0.5 and 1.5 log units, respectively for ligand molecules and Hg complexes. At the continuum scale, systematic analysis of uncertainty propagation in mercury (Hg) speciation modeling has been conducted and was used to identify environmental conditions under which thermodynamic constant uncertainties are significant and recommended to be accounted for. The integrated framework for multi-scale modeling of mercury geochemistry is open to the research community through the web-based multiscale modeling aqueous speciation resource, AQUA-MER. The improved quantum chemical approaches for thermodynamic constant calculations are accessible through AQUA-MER and can be used to provide the missing constants in the continuum scale speciation calculations. In addition to low molecular mass Hg complex speciation, modeling natural aquatic environments also involve the transport of high molecular weight dissolved organic matter (DOM) in reactive flows simultaneously with equilibrium and kinetic reactions. To this end, atomistic MD simulations were performed to capture the details of aggregation, mechanisms and distribution of functional groups in DOM at the molecular level. The elemental composition and calculated bulk properties of the DOM models are in close agreement with experimental measurements. A travel-time based reactive transport model in the hyporheic zone of stream corridors was established for the multicomponent Hg-DOM-S system and implemented through PFLOTRAN.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Pulsed Neutron Capture for Monitoring CO 2 Storage with Enhanced Oil Recovery in Northern Michigan

The Midwest Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) was founded in 2003 as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership initiative. Since its founding, MRCSP has made significant strides toward making CCUS a viable option for states in the region. The public/private consortium, funded through the DOE Regional Carbon Sequestration Initiative, brings together nearly 40 industry partners and 10 states. Battelle, as the project lead, oversees research, development and operations and coordinates activities among the partners. The incremental, phased approach has built a valuable knowledge base for the industry and paved the way for commercial-scale adoption of CCUS technologies. From 2008 to 2020, MRCSP Phase III focused on the development of large-scale injection projects. This report is part of a series of reports prepared under the Midwestern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) Phase III (Development Phase). These reports summarize and detail the findings of the work conducted under the Phase III project. Pulsed neutron capture (PNC) logging has been used as part of the MRCSP monitoring of CO 2 injection and storage during assessment of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) in several Northern Niagara Pinnacle Reef Trend (NNPRT) reefs in Michigan. This technique and data processing cost less than traditional fluid sampling and presents a low risk to well operations by utilizing through-tubing logging capabilities. Additionally, monitoring CO 2 migration and break-through can be conducted from a single monitoring well in the reservoir. A total of four reefs were selected for these studies to monitor CO 2 migration and to test the viability and effectiveness of the PNC technology for saturation monitoring in a low porosity and highly diverse lithology environment. This study provides assessment of the technology and recommendations for utilization of saturation analysis.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

SECARB Report on Post-Injection In-Situ Monitoring

The Southeast Carbon Sequestration Partnership Phase III Anthropogenic Test at Citronelle Field is the United States’ largest prototype of commercial CO 2 capture from a coal-fired power station and transportation, injection, storage and monitoring. This report focuses on the results of the post-injection monitoring period for the Anthropogenic Test. Monitoring methods include both direct and indirect measurements. The Class V Experimental Permit requires extensive monitoring of injected CO 2 at the surface and at deep and shallow depths. The safety, integrity and information objectives of the CO 2 monitoring plan are in place to: (1) create and sustain wellbore integrity; (2) assure safe CO 2 injection operations; (3) verify the location and migration of the injected CO 2 plume; and (4) monitor for any CO 2 leakage. A robust suite of monitoring approaches is utilized for the in-situ monitoring and include, pressure monitoring, various seismic surveys, pulsed neutron logging, reservoir fluid sampling and injection surveys. Data and observations collected using these monitoring methods will be used in the numerical model to inform the post-injection site care monitoring plan. This report describes actions pertaining to in situ monitoring at the Anthropogenic Test Site that were undertaken during the period of September 2014 to May 2016. These monitoring techniques include the acquisition of pressure data, seismic data, pulsed neutron capture logs, reservoir fluid sampling, and tracer gas monitoring. CO 2 injection operations began on August 20, 2012 and terminated on September 1, 2014.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Phasor-Measurement-Unit-Based Data Analytics Using Digital Twin and PhasorAnalytics Software

A major objective of this project was to apply GE’s commercial machine learning and data analytics toolsets to large-scale, real-world, anonymized Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) datasets in order to extract signatures, correlated and/or causal factors, and precursor patterns associated with significant power system phenomena. The project had a particular emphasis on extraction of insights relevant to asset health monitoring, real-time load modeling and cybersecurity monitoring. Additionally, the team was directed to undertake a comprehensive data quality analysis for the provided datasets and encouraged to estimate the ‘machine-learning readiness’ of the datasets by documenting any major obstacles to the application of commercial machine learning algorithms. To accomplish the aforementioned objectives, the project team’s work centered around the identification of key event signatures and application of the identified event signatures for event detection and event classification. The industry-validated, semi-supervised machine learning strategy employed for event signature identification involved several major tasks, including data-preprocessing, generation of an overabundance of features, normal data identification, normality modeling, and event signature identification through a methodical, quantitative ranking of features in order of relevance to each studied event type. Throughout the project, data quality issues and mitigation techniques were investigated. In this report, insights are provided regarding the readiness of the provided synchrophasor datasets for application of machine learning and data analytics. The methodologies employed for this technical strategy are summarized in this report. With regards to data preprocessing and feature generation, the provided Training and Test Datasets were ingested into GE’s big data environment. Subsequently, the team applied bad data cleansing and data imputation scripts, event detection scripts, and application programming interfaces (APIs) to the datasets for convenient data access. The project team completed development and validation of dozens of physics-based, statistics-based and transformation-based feature functions used for the extraction of over 60 synchrophasor features. Using a new parallel feature generation technology developed on this project, over 60 features have been rapidly generated for the full two years’ worth of Training and Test Dataset data associated with both the Eastern and Western interconnects. Even accommodating for temporal down-sampling inherent to the feature extraction procedure, this parallel feature generation activity resulted in a massive feature set with a storage requirement approximately equal to that of the raw training dataset itself. With regards to normal data identification and normality modeling, a normality model was built using the feature data extracted from the Training Dataset and iteratively refined subsequent to incremental adjustments and expansions of the Training Dataset feature data. With respect to event characterization and signature identification, an event signature identification pipeline was developed and used in conjunction with the normality model to identify over 15 event signatures for key event categories within the Training Dataset. The identified event signatures were used to characterize hundreds of key events in terms of relative severity, duration, and location of the event. An investigation was undertaken to identify correlated and causal factors involved in transformer events. A separate investigation into temporal trends in ring-down analysis results was undertaken to determine possible associations between system dynamics and various other factors such as loading, season or year. To validate the identified event signatures, additional work was undertaken to develop signature-based anomaly detection and classification tools suitable for convenient application to the synchrophasor datasets. The anomaly detection and classification tools, suitable for online application, were then applied to the entirety of the Eastern Interconnect Training and Test Datasets. Performance of the event detection and classification tools was evaluated upon receipt of the Test Dataset event logs (i.e., the labels for events contained in the Test Dataset), and promising results were obtained despite several challenges (documented herein) associated with application of supervised or semi-supervised machine learning methods to large-scale, anonymized datasets. Finally, the detection and classification tools were used to detect, classify, and characterize thousands of new events not included in the original event logs provided by the DOE within both the Training and Test Datasets.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Effects of Model Uncertainties in Underground Chemical Explosions on Far-field Results

We used the CTH shock physics code to simulate the explosion of an 18-t chemical explosive at a depth of 250 m. We used the CTH in the two-dimensional axisymmetric (cylindrical) geometry (2DC) and most simulations included fully tamped explosions in wet tuff. Our study focused on parametric studies of three of the traditional strength models available in CTH, namely, geologic-yield, elastic perfectly-plastic von Mises, and Johnson-Cook strength (flow stress) models. We processed CTH results through a code that generates Reduced Displacement Potential (RDP) histories for each simulation. Since RDP is the solution of the linear wave equation in spherical coordinates, it is mainly valid at far-enough distance from the explosion the elastic radius. Among various parameters examined, we found the yield strength to have the greatest effect on the resulting RDP, where the peak RDP reduces almost linearly in log-log space as the yield strength increases. Moreover, an underground chemical explosion results in a cavity whose final diameter is inversely proportional to the material yield strength, i.e., as the material's yield strength increases the resulting final cavity radius decreases. Additionally, we found the choice of explosive material (COMP-C4 versus COMP-B) has minor effects on the peak RDP, where denser COMP-C4 shows higher peak RDP than the less dense COMP-B by a factor of ~1.1. In addition to wet tuff, we studied explosions in dry tuff, salt, and basalt, for a single strength model and yield strength value. We found wet tuff has the highest peak RDP value, followed by dry tuff, salt, and basalt. 2DC simulations of explosions in 11 m radius spherical, hemispherical, and cylindrical cavities showed the RDP signals have much lower magnitude than tamped explosions, where the cavity explosions mimicked nearly decoupled explosions.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Aquistore CO 2 Storage Project: Numerical Modeling and Simulation Update

This updated simulation model at the EERC is now capable of reproducing (with a global history-matching error of around 7%) not only the continuous pressure response but also the well logging monitoring data such as CO 2 flow distributions at the injection well and the CO 2 breakthrough profile at the observation well. The first arrival of CO 2 at the observation well is not known. The PNL data collected in February 2016 showed clear evidence of CO 2 presence with saturation values as high as 60% at the observation well while a monitoring logging event (a pulsed-neutron decay [PND]) prior to that one, performed on December 4, 2015, showed no sign of CO 2 . The history-matching results indicate that CO 2 appears to have first arrived at the iv observation well around mid-December 2015, after approximately 8 months of injection. At the end of the history-matching process, the simulated CO 2 plume extent appears the largest in Perforation 2 with a diameter of 540 m around the injection well.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

High-Temperature Tensile and Creep Test Results on Thin Wall Tube Specimens of ODS Alloys 14YWT and OFRAC

High-temperature tensile and strain rate jump (SRJ) creep tests were conducted on axial specimens fabricated from thin wall tubes of the oxide dispersion strengthened (ODS) alloys 14YWT and OFRAC. The dimensions of the 14YWT thin wall tube was 10.7 mm OD, 0.5 mm WT and 0.92 m and of the OFRAC thin wall tube was 8.5 mm OD + 0.5 mm WT and 1.78 m in length. The axial specimens fabricated from the thin wall tubes were based on a dual-gauge design with gauge dimensions of 4 mm long and 2 mm wide. The tensile tests were conducted in air at 800ºC, 900ºC and 1,000ºC and the SRJ creep tests were conducted in air at 800ºC. Two axial specimens were used in each tensile and SRJ creep tests. The results of the tensile tests showed much lower yield stress (YS) compared to ultimate tensile strength (UTS) indicative of large work hardening properties. The results showed the UTS of OFRAC was higher than that of 14YWT by ~35 MPa at 800ºC. At 900ºC, the UTS of OFRAC and 14YWT was similar at 900ºC and at 1000ºC, the UTS of 14YWT was higher than that of OFRAC by ~10 MPa. The ductility properties of OFRAC were greater than that of 14YWT with higher values of uniform elongation (UE) and total elongation (TE) at all tensile test temperatures. The creep properties of 14YWT and OFRAC were evaluated by the strain rate jump test method at 800ºC. The stress exponent (n) for creep was obtained from the SRJ test data by plotting the values of the log strain rate against the log stress, which is measured from the stress-strain curve generated during the SRJ test. The results showed the highest stress exponents of n = 19.8 and n = 35.0 were measured from the two SRJ tests on 14YWT. The stress exponent measured from one successful SRJ test on OFRAC was n = 13.3, which was lower than that of 14YWT. Nevertheless, these high values of stress exponent are consistent with ODS ferritic alloys such as 14YWT and OFRAC since they indicate dislocation-particle interactions are the dominant creep mechanism for specific ranges of temperature and stress. The results obtained from the tensile and SRJ creep tests conducted on axial specimens in this study indicate that 14YWT and OFRAC retain high strengths at temperatures up to 1,000ºC and good creep performance at 800ºC.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Equipment Testing Environment (ETE) Process Specification

This document is intended to be utilized with the Equipment Test Environment being developed to provide a standard process by which the ETE can be validated. The ETE is developed with the intent of establishing cyber intrusion, data collection and through automation provide objective goals that provide repeatability. This testing process is being developed to interface with the Technical Area V physical protection system. The document will overview the testing structure, interfaces, device and network logging and data capture. Additionally, it will cover the testing procedure, criteria and constraints necessary to properly capture data and logs and record them for experimental data capture and analysis.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

AD – Elog Data Search Using Natural Language Processing Techniques

The goal of this project is to develop and evaluate a Machine Learning model using natural language processing techniques to categorize AD E-Log entries efficiently. AD E-Logs, which play a vital role in Fermilab's projects as a system to record and manage various data, often suffer from slow search processing and imprecise results. To address this issue, we preprocessed the data and employed the Doc2Vec model for training. The resulting model enables us to identify and retrieve the most relevant entries, thus enhancing user experience in accessing desired information.

Muse, Amiin↗

Application of Principal Component Analysis to Electrochemical Reprocessing PM and NMAC

In this report, data from an electrorefiner (ER) for nuclear fuel reprocessing is evaluated for process monitoring (PM) conclusions. This data comes from tests performed at the Idaho National Laboratory in 2022. Multivariate approaches utilizing methods of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is applied. This is based off established work in process monitoring for fault detection in industrial facilities. This report will discuss the background, methods, and results of the application and some of the conclusions and applications that can be drawn from them. PCA is applied to two different electrorefiner (ER) operations that occurred at Idaho National Laboratory between August and October 2022. The first operation occurred with little incident while the second had several noted faults in the equipment in operational logs. The data from the first run was used to train the data for “normal” operations and applied to both sets of data to determine when operations were in an “off-normal” condition and identify where the fault occurs through PCA. PCA was able to identify off-normal events and identify the cause for off-normal operations. These identified off-normal events matched with the events and their causes in the operational logs. However, small amounts of variance in the data led to false detection of “off-normal” events. Thus, careful selection of training data and a-posteriori conclusions based off operator assessments will both be required for application of PCA to PM applications. This work demonstrated that multivariate approaches and latent variables are applicable to pyroprocessing PM applications and can be further expanded in future work as quality variables such as salt concentration from sensors and sampling become available.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Interpreting the Strain Tensor During Injection into a Reservoir

A suite of well tests was conducted to evaluate the feasibility of measuring and interpreting the strain tensor during injection. Water was injected at 1 liter/s for a few days to a few weeks into a well completed at a depth of 530 m in the Bartlesville sandstone in the North Avant Field in Oklahoma. The strain tensor was measured using strainmeters at a depth of 30m and a distance of 220m from the well. We used a Gladwin strainmeter, a state-of-the-art geodetic strainmeter, as well as novel borehole strainmeters developed for the project. After processing, the horizontal strains were tensile and the vertical strain was compressive during injection. The radial strain was less than the circumferential strain. Strain magnitudes increased during injection and recovered afterward. The strain rate was as fast as 100 nanostrain/d at the start of injection, and decreased to 10 nanostrain/d after a few days. The normal strain signals were approximately proportional to the log of time during the first few days of injection, and the semi-log slope was 50 to 75 nanostrain. Data from the Gladwin strainmeter were essentially identical to data from a strainmeter we developed using optical fiber sensors. Tilt was measured using two tiltmeters, but the tilts were erratic compared to the normal strain and were of limited value. Strain data were analyzed using a strain type-curve method, an analytical solution to a poroelastic inhomogeneity, and a stochastic inversion method. Poroelastic simulations explain the data well. Results from the interpretation methods are consistent with each other, and with independent information characterizing the area. The hydraulic diffusivity is approximately 0.5 m2/s and the permeability is between 100 and 500 mD, according to analysis of the strain signals. This is consistent with measurements of permeability from cores, and with analyses of pressure transients. The analyses indicate that Young’s modulus of the reservoir is between 2 and 6 GPa. Strain interpretations indicate the well intersects a permeable lens with a maximum dimension of 500 to 1,000 m. An isopach map of coarse-grained sand confirms a feature roughly 1,000 m in lateral extent. The results demonstrate that the strain signal measured at shallow (30m) depth can be used to infer properties and heterogeneities in an underlying reservoir or aquifer.

Murdoch, Larry↗

2024 Update of Comprehensive Review of Multi-arm Caliper Data for the Big Hill SPR Site

The Big Hill SPR site has a rich data set consisting of multi-arm caliper (MAC) logs collected from the cavern wells. This data set provides insight into the on-going casing deformation at the Big Hill site. This report summarizes the MAC surveys for each well and presents well longevity estimates where possible. Included in the report is an examination of the well twins for each cavern and a discussion on what may or may not be responsible for the different levels of deformation between some of the well twins. The report also takes a systematic view of the MAC data presenting spatial patterns of casing deformation and deformation orientation in an effort to better understand the underlying causes. The conclusions present a hypothesis suggesting the small-scale variations in casing deformation are attributable to similar scale variations in the character of the salt-caprock interface. These variations do not appear directly related to shear zones or faults. In addition, the deformation orientation shows no preferred directionality. This 2024 edition of this report represents an update to the original, 2023 edition. The updates primarily focus on the inclusion of MAC log data run since the December 2021 threshold date for the original report, but some new analyses are also included.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗