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At least 1,405 records · Page 78

Evaluating Resilience of Water Distribution Networks to Operational Failures from Cyber-Physical Attacks

Water cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have gained increasing interest to improve operational efficiency and reliability. However, due to growing exposure to cyber-physical attacks, cybersecurity and resilience against the attacks have become significant concerns. There have been efforts to improve cybersecurity in water CPSs, yet few attempts to investigate resilience against cyber-physical attacks. This study contributes to characterizing resilience of a water CPS and investigating potential resilience strategies. An advanced resilience measure integrating withstanding, absorptive, adaptive, and restorative capability of a system is proposed and applied to the C-town water distribution network (WDN) for 15 failure set scenarios with a pressure-driven hydraulic simulation. The results provide identification of failure sets and unfavorable operational conditions that make the system more vulnerable to the cyber-physical attacks and in turn produce low resilience and capabilities. It is also found that, after recovery of a disrupted component, adjustment of overall operational interactions across system components is needed for complete restoration of disrupted functionality. The findings provide insights on infrastructure investment with resilience strategies in cyber and physical water system domains.

Shin, Sangmin↗

Spatial turnover of soil viral populations and genotypes overlain by cohesive responses to moisture in grasslands

Viruses shape microbial communities, food web dynamics, and carbon and nutrient cycling in diverse ecosystems. However, little is known about the patterns and drivers of viral community composition, particularly in soil, precluding a predictive understanding of viral impacts on terrestrial habitats. To investigate soil viral community assembly processes, here we analyzed 43 soil viromes from a rainfall manipulation experiment in a Mediterranean grassland in California. We identified 5,315 viral populations (viral operational taxonomic units [vOTUs] with a representative sequence ≥10 kbp) and found that viral community composition exhibited a highly significant distance–decay relationship within the 200-m 2 field site. This pattern was recapitulated by the intrapopulation microheterogeneity trends of prevalent vOTUs (detected in ≥90% of the viromes), which tended to exhibit negative correlations between spatial distance and the genomic similarity of their predominant allelic variants. Although significant spatial structuring was also observed in the bacterial and archaeal communities, the signal was dampened relative to the viromes, suggesting differences in local assembly drivers for viruses and prokaryotes and/or differences in the temporal scales captured by viromes and total DNA. Despite the overwhelming spatial signal, evidence for environmental filtering was revealed in a protein-sharing network analysis, wherein a group of related vOTUs predicted to infect actinobacteria was shown to be significantly enriched in low-moisture samples distributed throughout the field. Overall, our results indicate a highly diverse, dynamic, active, and spatially structured soil virosphere capable of rapid responses to changing environmental conditions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Molecular bond stabilization in the strong-field dissociation of O 2 +

We theoretically examine the rotational and vibrational dynamics of O 2 + molecular ions exposed to intense, short laser pulses for conditions realized in contemporary pump-probe experiments. We solve the time-dependent Schrödinger equation within the Born-Oppenheimer approximation for an initial distribution of randomly aligned molecular ions. For fixed peak intensities, our numerical results show that total, angle-integrated O 2 + → O( 3 P) + O + ( 4 S 0 ) dissociation yields do not monotonically increase with increasing infrared-probe pulse duration. We find this pulse-duration-dependent stabilization to be consistent with the transient trapping of nuclear probability density in a light-induced (bond-hardening) potential-energy surface and robust against rotational excitation. We analyze this stabilization effect and its underlying bond-hardening mechanism (i) in the time domain, by following the evolution of partial nuclear probability densities associated with the dipole-coupled O 2 + (a 4 Π u ) and O 2 + (f 4 Π g ) cationic states, and (ii) in the frequency domain, by examining rovibrational quantum-beat spectra for the evolution of the partial nuclear probability densities associated with these states. In this work, our analysis reveals the characteristic timescale for the bond-hardening mechanism in O 2 + and explains the onset of bond stabilization for sufficiently long pulse durations.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Project 18-15263 X-ray Studies of Interfacial Molecular Complexes in ALSEP Back-Extraction (Research Performance Final Report)

The objective of the project was to use synchrotron X-rays to measure the molecular-scale organization of extractants, complexants, buffers, and metal ions at the organic-aqueous (liquid-liquid) interface during solvent back-extraction under conditions relevant to ALSEP (Actinide-Lanthanide Separation Process). The capability of X-ray fluorescence near total reflection (XFNTR) was extended to explore the distribution of Eu(III) between the liquid-liquid interface and bulk organic and aqueous phases which contained extractants HDEHP (bis(2-ethylhexyl) phosphoric acid) and HEHEHP (2-ethylhexyl phosphonic acid mono-2-ethylhexyl ester), the complexant DTPA (diethylene triamine pentaacetic acid), and citric and nitric acids. Although an Am-compatible sample cell was developed, extending x-ray measurements of flat liquid-liquid interfaces to the actinide Am(III) did not prove to be possible within constraints imposed by the Advanced Photon Source. However, preliminary measurements with a drop cell may eventually provide a path forward to investigate Am(III) at a liquid interface. It was also demonstrated that competitive binding that occurs during back-extraction of lanthanide ions to either a phosphoric acid extractant (DHDP, di-hexadecyl phosphate) at the liquid interface or to complexant DTPA in the bulk aqueous phase could be reversibly tuned by X-ray exposure. Separately, X-ray measurements from the liquid-vapor interface explored the role of the aqueous solubility of HDEHP and HEHEHP and their interactions with a range of lanthanides and transition metal ions. Finally, the capability of X-ray absorption spectroscopy (EXAFS) was extended to probe metal ion coordination in lanthanide ion-extractant complexes at the liquid-vapor interface. Complementary to the specific interfacial systems studied during this project, the development of x-ray techniques expands our ability to understand ion ordering at liquid interfaces.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

SCALE 6.3 Validation: Radiation Shielding

Safe and reliable use of scientific and engineering computer codes requires validation for the types of applications in which they will be used. An example in the nuclear reactor engineering and licensing field is radiation transport employed in shielding analyses. The validity of computer codes for shielding applications is demonstrated in this report for SCALE version 6.3.0. Representative benchmarks corresponding to shielding analyses are selected for the validation study. Typical measurement results analyzed from these benchmarks include neutron fluxes, detector count rates, detector energy response functions, neutron and gamma dose rates, neutron activation rates and activities, neutron leakage fluxes, and skyshine dose rates. Thousands of points of comparison between measurement and calculation are presented in this work. Other than rare outliers typically explained by either a lack of information or large uncertainties in the experiment conditions, material, or dimensions, the Monaco with Automated Variance Reduction using Importance Calculations (MAVRIC) radiation transport computer code with built-in variance reduction methods distributed with the SCALE computer code system agrees well with the measurement results. In selected benchmarks, MAVRIC is also compared to Monte Carlo N- Particle® (MCNP® ) 1 calculations. Both computer codes generally agree well within the estimated uncertainties. With the release of SCALE 6.3.0, Shift was integrated as an alternative transport solver in MAVRIC, denoted MAVRIC-Shift. Although the traditional MAVRIC using Monaco was used primarily in this validation study, many results have also been generated using MAVRIC-Shift. Agreement between MAVRIC-Monaco and MAVRIC-Shift is generally very good. The benchmarks presented in this report were obtained from reliable sources such as the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project Handbook, the Shielding Integral Benchmark Archive & Database, and other shielding validation work found in the literature. Additional datapoints and benchmarks will be added to future versions of this report to expand the shielding validation suite.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Landau Modes are Eigenmodes of Stellar Systems in the Limit of Zero Collisions

Abstract We consider the spectrum of eigenmodes in a stellar system dominated by gravitational forces in the limit of zero collisions. We show analytically and numerically using the Lenard–Bernstein collision operator that the Landau modes, which are not true eigenmodes in a strictly collisionless system (except for the Jeans unstable mode), become part of the true eigenmode spectrum in the limit of zero collisions. Under these conditions, the continuous spectrum of true eigenmodes in a collisionless system, also known as the Case–van Kampen modes, is eliminated. Furthermore, because the background distribution function in a weakly collisional system can exhibit significant deviations from a Maxwellian distribution function over long times, we show that the spectrum of Landau modes can change drastically even in the presence of slight deviations from a Maxwellian, primarily through the appearance of weakly damped modes that may be otherwise heavily damped for a Maxwellian distribution. Our results provide important insights for developing statistical theories to describe thermal fluctuations in a stellar system, which are currently a subject of great interest for N -body simulations as well as observations of gravitational systems.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Chapter 21. Atomic-Level Dislocation Dynamics in Irradiated Metals

Primary damage and microstructure evolution in structural nuclear materials operating under conditions of a high flux of energetic atomic particles and high temperature and stress lead to the formation of a high concentration, non-homogeneous distribution of defect clusters in the form of dislocation loops, voids, gas-filled bubbles and radiation-induced precipitates of nanometer scale. They cause changes in many material properties. Being obstacles to dislocation glide, they strongly affect the mechanical properties, with an increase in yield and flow stresses and a reduction in ductility. Atomic-scale computer simulations can provide details of how these effects are influenced by the obstacle structure, applied stress, strain rate and temperature. Processes such as obstacle cutting, transformation, absorption and drag are observed. Some recent results for body-centered and face-centered cubic metals are described in this review and, where appropriate, comparisons are drawn with predictions based on the elasticity theory of crystal defects. Perspectives on how to use this information at higher scales and in particular in mesoscale, dislocation dynamics simulations are also discussed.

Osetskiy, Yury N.↗

Programmable intrusion detection for distributed energy resources in cyber–physical networked microgrids

We present a programmable intrusion detection method is presented to identify the malicious attacks to distributed energy resources (DERs) in the cyber-physical networked microgrids. The proposed method injects small programmable signals into the system and uses the response to identify abnormal conditions. Because of the low or even zero inertia induced by integrations of DER power-electronic-interfaces, microgrids have very limited resilience capability; and thus, being sensitive to attacks. One microgrid's malfunction caused by attacks can easily propagate to its neighboring systems when several microgrids are connected, leading to catastrophic electricity supply failures. Through the presented method, malicious intrusions can be effectively detected, located, and defended for securing microgrids. Theoretical derivations are provided to define the programmable detection rules. The detection rule is easy and flexible to update, making it difficult for attack actors to gain the knowledge of the detection rules, in order to avoid being detected. Numerical results on a cyber-physical networked microgrids system show that the proposed method is effective and efficient in precisely locating intrusion attacks to the microgrids system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Modeling the Effects of Artificial Drainage on Agriculture-Dominated Watersheds Using a Fully Distributed Integrated Hydrology Model

In agriculture-dominated watersheds where natural drainage is poor, agricultural ditches (narrow engineered channels) and tile drains (perforated pipes) are widely employed to enhance surface and subsurface drainage, respectively. Despite their relatively small scale, these features exert substantial control over the hydro-biogeochemical function of watersheds and their effects need to be represented in the models. We introduce a novel strategy to incorporate the effects of artificial agricultural drainage into a fully distributed basin-scale integrated surface-subsurface hydrology models. In our approach, narrow agriculture ditches for surface drainage are resolved efficiently using ditch-aligned computational meshes that are hydrologically conditioned to ensure connectivity in the stream/ditch network. For tile drainage in the subsurface, we use the physically based Hooghoudt's drainage equation as a subgrid model and route the water drained through tiles to the nearest ditch. Without site-specific calibration, this model reproduced observed streamflow in the Portage River Watershed (>1,000 km 2 ) as recorded by a USGS gauge with good accuracy (normalized KGE = 0.81) and outperformed a calibrated SWAT model (normalized KGE = 0.68). Numerical experiments confirm that artificial drainage reduces surface inundations and effectively controls the water table. At the watershed scale, artificial drainage increases baseflow but has little effect on watershed discharges above the 90th percentile. The strong physical underpinnings and reduced need for calibration allow us to study the impacts of artificial drainage on distributed hydrological response in terms of fluxes and states and provide a platform for investigating watershed-scale nutrient transport.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Traces of nonequilibrium effects, initial condition, bulk dynamics, and elementary collisions in the charm observables

Heavy quarks produced in relativistic heavy-ion collisions are known to be sensitive probes of the hot and dense QCD matter they traverse. In this paper we study how their dynamics is affected by the nature of the bulk evolution of the QCD matter, the initial condition of the system, and the treatment of elementary interactions between heavy quarks and the surrounding medium. For the same initial condition and the same quark-gluon plasma (QGP) expansion scenario we discuss the consequences of the assumption of a local equilibrium by comparing the consequences for the nuclear modification factor $R_{AA}$ and the elliptic flows of charm quarks, scrutinizing the different components of the final distribution of charm quarks. For this purpose we employ the parton-hadron-string dynamics (PHSD) model, which is an off-shell microscopic transport approach, as well as the linearized-Boltzmann (LB) scheme obtained by coarse graining the PHSD bulk and assuming local equilibrium for the interactions of the charm quarks with the bulk. The $R_{AA}$ of charm quarks stemming from the later LB approach is also compared to a genuine fluid dynamics evolution initiated by the coarse grained PHSD, which allows us to further assess the consequences of reducing the full $\textit{n}$-body dynamics. We then proceed to a systematic comparison of PHSD (in its LB approximation) with MC@HQ, another transport model for heavy flavors which also relies on the LB approach. In particular, we investigate the consequences for the nuclear modification factor of charm quarks if we vary separately the initial heavy quark distribution function in matter, the expansion dynamics of the QGP, and the elementary interactions of heavy quarks of these models. We find that the results for both models vary significantly depending on the details of the calculation. However, both models achieve very similar predictions for key heavy quark observables for certain combinations of initial condition, bulk evolution, and interactions. In this work, we conclude that this ambiguity limits our ability to determine the different properties of the system based on the current set of observables.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

TGA Study of the Reaction Kinetics of a CuFeMnAlO 4+δ Oxygen Carrier for Methane Chemical Looping Combustion under High Pressure and Atmospheric Pressure Conditions

Reduction and oxidation kinetics of a CuFeMnAlO 4+δ oxygen carrier for methane were studied using an atmospheric thermogravimetric analyzer (TGA) and a pressurized TGA. Important parameters such as temperature (500–900 °C), particle size distribution (150–650 μm), and partial pressures of reactants (methane and oxygen) were evaluated. Results showed that the reduction of the oxygen carrier was not affected by particle size distribution studied in this work, and that above 750 °C, the effect of the temperature on oxygen carrier reduction started to diminish. The reaction time approaches an asymptotic limit as methane partial pressure increases. For oxygen carrier oxidation, it was found that the rate of oxidation increased with increasing oxygen concentration. The effect of the oxygen concentration was more noticeable when the oxygen concentration was below 7.5%. Because of the inherent feature of the oxygen carrier, its chemical looping with oxygen uncoupling property was also assessed. A phase boundary-controlled shrinking sphere model was used to model the test data from the TGAs. Modeling results showed that the oxygen carrier reduction had a reaction order of 1 with an activation energy of ∼46 kJ/mol. Oxygen carrier oxidation demonstrated a reaction order of 1.1 with an activation energy of ∼55 kJ/mol. Additionally, the differences of the experimental results between the atmospheric pressure TGA and the pressurized TGA were discussed in detail and the limitations of the pressurized TGA were highlighted.

Hydrocarbons↗

A State-Space Model for Stability Boundary Analysis of Grid-Following Voltage Source Converters Considering Grid Conditions

With the growing significance of renewable energy resources and energy storage systems, the number of grid-connected inverters has been rising at an increasingly rapid pace. Generally, these inverters are directly integrated with the distribution network by synchronizing with the grid voltage at the point of common coupling. However, the low grid strength and varying R/X ratios, as the common characteristics of most distribution networks or weak grids, can lead to dynamic interactions that comprise stability and limit the power transfer capacity of grid-connected inverters. To ensure stable operation of the inverters, researchers must determine the stability boundary, described as the maximum power transfer capacity of grid-connected inverters under the premise of maintaining system small-signal stability. For this purpose, we propose to formulate a state-space model of the system in the synchronously rotating dq-frame of reference and perform eigenvalue analysis to determine the stability boundary. With a detailed model of the control structure and parameters of the grid-connected inverters, the stability boundary is identified as a surface with respect to different grid strengths and R/X ratios. Case study results of proposed eigenvalue analysis are compared with those of admittance model-based stability analysis as well as time-domain simulation using a switching model in Matlab/Simulink, validating the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed eigenvalue analysis for stability boundary identification.

grid-connected inverters↗

On the Stochastic Stability of Deep Markov Models

Deep Markov models (DMM) are generative models which are scalable and expressive generalization of Markov models for representation, learning, and inference problems. DMMs using deep neural networks to parametrize the transition of Markov probability distributions have recently been shown to provide more expressiveness in modeling sequential data and dynamical system responses. However, the fundamental stochastic stability guarantees of such models have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper, we present a rigorous analytical method to prove the necessary and sufficient conditions of DMM's stochastic stability. This task is achieved by spectral analysis of the efficiently computed Jacobians of probabilistic maps modeled by deep neural networks. We make theoretical connections between the eigenvalues of neural network's weights and the different activation function types used on the stability and overall dynamic behavior of DMMs with Gaussian distributions. We empirically substantiate our theoretical results on stochastic stability and eigenvalue spectra via several numerical experiments. Formal stability guarantees of DMMs can substantially improve their robustness and trustworthiness, necessary for reliable use in safety-critical real-world applications.

Drgona, Jan↗

Forecasting Distributed PV Adoption in Barranquilla, Colombia [Slides]

The objective of the dGen Colombia project is to provide projections to 2050 on distributed PV deployment by sector for a range of scenarios for Barranquilla, Colombia. NREL used the open-source Distributed Generation Market Demand Model (dGen) adapted for international projects for this analysis. As part of this analysis, technical potential, economic potential, and adoption projections of rooftop and groundmount PV for the city of Barranquilla are presented. Five main scenarios and their combinations were modeled to provide insight on the impact of increased demand from electric vehicles, air conditioning, and time-of-use tariffs.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Influence of the as-built microstructure on the recrystallization of an additively manufactured Inconel939 Ni-based superalloy

This study investigates the influence of the as-built microstructure on the recrystallization (RX) behavior and mechanical properties of the Ni-based superalloy Inconel 939 produced by laser powder bed fusion (PBF-LB/M). Two distinct as-built microstructures were obtained by varying the hatch distance (h d ): a columnar, strongly textured condition (h d =50, termed h d 50) and an equiaxed, weakly textured condition (h d =70, termed h d 70)). Both were subjected to nine solution treatments combining three temperatures (1100, 1150, and 1200 °C) and three holding times (1, 4, and 8 h). Comprehensive microstructural characterization was conducted to assess grain morphology, texture, grain boundary character, dislocation density, and precipitate distribution. Recrystallization was found to be significantly slower than in cast counterparts, requiring higher temperatures and longer times for completion. The initial microstructure plays a decisive role: full RX was achieved only in hd70 specimens after treatment at 1200 °C for 8 h, whereas hd50 samples exhibited delayed and incomplete RX under identical conditions. This behavior is attributed to the finer grain size and higher fraction of high-angle grain boundaries in hd70, which promote recrystallization. Mechanical testing revealed that hd70 samples subjected to a 1200 °C/8 h treatment followed by standard double ageing show higher yield and tensile strengths across the investigated temperature range than both printed and cast Inconel939 processed under conventional conditions, albeit with slightly reduced ductility. The enhanced mechanical performance is attributed to the larger grain size, which limits grain boundary sliding. These results demonstrate the critical importance of controlling the as-built microstructure and tailoring post-processing strategies to optimize high-temperature performance of PBF-LB/M Inconel939.

Inconel939↗

Severe Temperature Impact Study on Ferrite Electromagnetic Shielding for Wireless Electric Vehicle Charging

Wireless charging of an electric vehicle (EV) is an emerging technology that enables noncontact charging, which has advantages in terms of convenience and flexibility. However, the embedded charging pads under and on the ground expose the charging coils, ferrite shielding, and related components to a potentially severe external environment. To study the electromagnetic shielding performance under such extreme temperature conditions, ferrite shielding material's permeability characteristics are tested under temperatures as low as -50°C to as high as 240°C. Referring to the official recorded lowest and highest temperature of the United States, in this paper, it is assumed that the operation temperature ranges from -50°C to 57°C as the coldest winter and hottest summer environment for WPT application. Electromagnetic performance, shielding, and associated stray magnetic emissions are simulated by using three-dimensional (3D) transient simulations to study the impact of low and high temperature on electromagnetic shielding performance. Based on ferrite testing data, from -50°C low temperature to 57°C high temperature, the ferrite's relative permeability ranges from 2550 to 3727. The simulation study indicates that there won't be significant impact on the EM shielding performance for WPT operated under those severe environment temperature conditions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Deep Reinforcement Learning based Model-free On-line Dynamic Multi-Microgrid Formation to Enhance Resilience

Multi-microgrid formation (MMGF) is a promising solution for enhancing power system resilience. This paper proposes a new deep reinforcement learning (RL) based model-free on-line dynamic MMGF scheme. Additionally, the dynamic MMGF problem is formulated as a Markov decision process, and a complete deep RL framework is specially designed for the topologytransformable micro-grids. In order to reduce the large action space caused by flexible switch operations, a topology transformation method is proposed and an action-decoupling Q-value is applied. Then, a convolutional neural network (CNN) based multi-buffer double deep Q-network (CM-DDQN) is developed to further improve the learning ability of the original DQN method. The proposed deep RL method provides real-time computing to support the on-line dynamic MMGF scheme, and the scheme handles a long-term resilience enhancement problem using an adaptive on-line MMGF to defend changeable conditions. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated using a 7-bus system and the IEEE 123-bus system. The results show strong learning ability, timely response for varying system conditions and convincing resilience enhancement.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗