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DOE OSTI2023

The Historical Development of Large‐Scale Paleoclimate Field Reconstructions Over the Common Era

Abstract Climate field reconstructions (CFRs) combine modern observational data with paleoclimatic proxies to estimate climate variables over spatiotemporal grids during time periods when widespread observations of climatic conditions do not exist. The Common Era (CE) has been a period over which many seasonally‐ and annually‐resolved CFRs have been produced on regional to global scales. CFRs over the CE were first produced in the 1970s using dendroclimatic records and linear regression‐based approaches. Since that time, many new CFRs have been produced using a wide range of proxy data sets and reconstruction techniques. We assess the early history of research on CFRs for the CE, which provides context for our review of advances in CFR research over the last two decades. We review efforts to derive gridded hydroclimatic CFRs over continental regions using networks of tree‐ring proxies. We subsequently explore work to produce hemispheric‐ and global‐scale CFRs of surface temperature using multi‐proxy data sets, before specifically reviewing recently‐developed data assimilation techniques and how they have been used to produce simultaneous reconstructions of multiple climatic fields globally. We then review efforts to develop standardized and digitized databases of proxy networks for use in CFR research, before concluding with some thoughts on important next steps for CFR development.

Smerdon, Jason E.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Power Spectrum of Atmospheric Scintillation for the Deep Space Network Goldstone Ka-Band Downlink

Dynamic signal fluctuations due to atmospheric scintillations may impair the Ka-band (around 32-GHz) link sensitivities for a low-margin Deep Space Network (DSN) receiving system. The ranges of frequency and power of the fast fluctuating signals (time scale less than 1 min) are theoretically investigated using the spatial covariance and turbulence theory. Scintillation power spectrum solutions are derived for both a point receiver and a finite-aperture receiver. The aperture-smoothing frequency ((omega(sub s)), corner frequency ((omega(sub c)), and damping rate are introduced to define the shape of the spectrum for a finite-aperture antenna. The emphasis is put on quantitatively describing the aperture-smoothing effects and graphically estimating the corner frequency for a large aperture receiver. Power spectral shapes are analyzed parametrically in detail through both low- and high-frequency approximations. It is found that aperture-averaging effects become significant when the transverse correlation length of the scintillation is smaller than the antenna radius. The upper frequency or corner frequency for a finite-aperture receiver is controlled by both the Fresnel frequency and aperture-smoothing frequency. Above the aperture-smoothing frequency, the spectrum rolls off at a much faster rate of exp (-omega(sup 2)/omega(sup 2, sub s), rather than omega(sup -8/3), which is customary for a point receiver. However, a relatively higher receiver noise level can mask the fast falling-off shape and make it hard to be identified. We also predict that when the effective antenna radius a(sub r) less than or = 6 m, the corner frequency of its power spectrum becomes the same as that for a point receiver. The aperture-smoothing effects are not obvious. We have applied these solutions to the scenario of a DSN Goldstone 34-m-diameter antenna and predicted the power spectrum shape for the receiving station. The maximum corner frequency for the receiver (with omega(sub s) = 0.79 omega(sub 0) is found to be 0.44 Hz (or 1.0 omega(sub 0), while the fading rate (or fading slope) is about 0.06 dB/s.

Ho, C.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Understanding Biomass and Polymer Feedstock Variability Through Analytical Pyrolysis and Two Dimensional Gas Chromatography and Mass Spectrometry

Moving toward a circular carbon economy requires enabling reuse of carbon-based macromolecules like those in biomass and polymers. Meeting this goal requires increased upcycling of waste products into higher value products. For biomass waste such as corn stover, pine needles, or bark, one approach is using pyrolysis to convert these feedstocks into bio-oil that can be used for liquid fuel or transformed into other hydrocarbon based products, like bio-polymers. Waste plastics can be upcycled or recycled into new products, or alternatively converted into bio-oil by pyrolysis. Macromolecules from biomass and polymers are challenging to convert into liquid fuel or chemical feedstocks, due to large and sometimes heterogeneous networks of polymeric bonds. We work with the Idaho National Laboratory’s Biomass Feedstock National User Facility and Department of Energy’s Feedstock Conversion Interface Consortium to develop a molecular understanding of biomass variability that occurs naturally and as a result of storage or preprocessing techniques applied to feedstocks, to understand chemical reactions occurring during pyrolysis and other biomass or polymer conversion techniques. Using two dimensional gas chromatography mass spectrometry coupled to analytical pyrolysis provides insight into the molecular changes that occur during the pyrolysis event, and these insights can extend to bench or pilot scale pyrolysis conversions. Understanding pyrolysis of biomass and polymers at a molecular level contributes to development of new tools to predict and manipulate the optimum conditions and identify the best storage, preprocessing, and conversion techniques to maximize output of specific high-value chemical species in the conversion to fuels, or to characterize feedstocks for blending before pyrolysis. Identification and understanding of the molecular level changes resulting from novel preprocessing techniques that can be used to control and manipulate the chemical output of bench or pilot scale pyrolysis is another focus of investigation, including the use of gamma irradiation, acid, or enzyme pre-treatments. We also focus on the impacts of storage conditions and techniques, which can affect moisture levels, degradation, and impacts from naturally occurring microbes in the environment.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Reconstructing patchy reionization with deep learning

The precision anticipated from next-generation cosmic microwave background (CMB) surveys will create opportunities for characteristically new insights into cosmology. Secondary anisotropies of the CMB will have an increased importance in forthcoming surveys, due both to the cosmological information they encode and the role they play in obscuring our view of the primary fluctuations. Quadratic estimators have become the standard tools for reconstructing the fields that distort the primary CMB and produce secondary anisotropies. While successful for lensing reconstruction with current data, quadratic estimators will be suboptimal for the reconstruction of lensing and other effects at the expected sensitivity of the upcoming CMB surveys. In this paper we describe a convolutional neural network, ResUNet-CMB, that is capable of the simultaneous reconstruction of two sources of secondary CMB anisotropies, gravitational lensing and patchy reionization. Furthermore, we show that the ResUNet-CMB network significantly outperforms the quadratic estimator at low noise levels and is not subject to the lensing-induced bias on the patchy reionization reconstruction that would be present with a straightforward application of the quadratic estimator.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

End–to–End Metasurface Design for Temperature Imaging via Broadband Planck‐Radiation Regression

A theoretical framework is presented for temperature imaging from long-wavelength infrared (LWIR) thermal radiation (e.g., 8–12 µm) through the end-to-end design of a metasurface-optics frontend and a computational-reconstruction backend. A new nonlinear reconstruction algorithm, “Planck regression”, is introduced to reconstruct the temperature map from a gray scale sensor image, even in the presence of severe chromatic aberration, by exploiting black body and optical physics particular to thermal imaging. This algorithm is combined with an end-to-end approach that optimizes manufacturable, single-layer metasurfaces to yield the most accurate reconstruction. The designs demonstrate high-quality, noise-robust reconstructions of arbitrary temperature maps (including completely random images) in simulations of an ultra-compact thermal-imaging device. Here, it is also shown that Planck regression is much more generalizable to arbitrary images than a straightforward neural-network reconstruction, which requires a large training set of domain-specific images.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Projections of winter polynyas and their biophysical impacts in the Ross Sea Antarctica

Abstract This study investigates winter polynyas in the southern Ross Sea, Antarctica where several polynyas are known to form. Coastal polynyas are areas of lower sea ice concentration and/or thickness along the coast that are otherwise surrounded by more extensive, thicker sea ice pack. Polynyas are also locations where organisms can exploit both the ice substrate and pelagic resources. Using a self organizing map algorithm, we identify polynya events in the Community Earth System Model Version 2 Large Ensemble (CESM2-LE). The neural network algorithm is able to identify polynya events without imposing an ice concentration or thickness threshold, as is often done when identifying polynyas. The CESM2-LE produces a wintertime polynya feature comparable in size and location to the Ross Sea polynya, and during polynya events there are large turbulent heat fluxes and export of sea ice from the Ross Sea. In the CESM2-LE polynya event frequency is projected to decrease sharply in the later twentyfirst century, leading to increasing sea ice concentrations and thicknesses in the region. The drivers of the polynya frequency decline are likely both large scale circulation changes and local atmosphere and ocean feedbacks. If declines in wintertime polynya frequency over the twentyfirst century do occur they may impact Antarctic Bottom Water formation and local net primary productivity. Thus, better understanding potential local and unexpected sea ice changes in the Ross Sea is important for both assessing climate system impacts and ecological impacts on the Ross Sea ecosystem, which is currently protected by an internationally recognized marine protected area.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

DOE OSTI2020

Pump-and-Treat Impacts on Aquifer Conditions and the Development of System-Wide Performance Strategies - 20377

The pump-and-treat (P and T) system on the Hanford Site's Central Plateau currently treats multiple contaminants within the 200-ZP-1 operable unit, including nitrate through its biological treatment processes. Although it was initially designed to support the 200-ZP-1 Remedial Action Objectives, the P and T system has evolved in use to address contaminants from other regions of the aquifer as well. The P and T influents are biogeochemically distinct, treating groundwaters with elevated concentrations of cyanide, uranium, technetium-99, and nitrate. Given the varying geochemical signatures from current and potential future sources, operational conditions, and amendments considered for treatment processes, there is a need to identify the impacts that the P and T effluent has on the aquifer, and how the aquifer affects P and T performance. To this end, laboratory efforts have focused on characterizing P and T effluent and its biogeochemical effects on the sediments through a series repacked column experiments. The P and T effluent is rich in particulate matter. A systematic inspection of this particulate matter in the P and T effluent showed significant levels of manganese/iron oxides, calcite crystals, relatively large organic matter molecules, and biomass. Therefore, the column experiments were designed and conducted for four different treatment systems: artificial groundwater, filtered P and T effluent, non-filtered P and T effluent, and chlorinated P and T effluent. Different levels of microbiologically- and geochemically-induced changes in the columns occurred and modified the flow systems. For example, physical filtration occurred in the sediments where the particulate material had accumulated in the top portion of the column. Reactive transport modeling of the laboratory experiments is being carried out so that the reaction network can be extrapolated to the field scale. These simulations will provide predictive evaluations of system performance based on P and T operational changes and aquifer mass loading and capacity estimates. This information can be used to address combined subsurface and operational challenges, such as the need for frequent well redevelopment to maintain injection capacity. This information also provides the technical basis for decisions related to the P and T system operations that support remedy optimization efforts and short- and long-term remedy decisions related to multiple operable units on the Hanford Site Central Plateau. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

NASA NTRS2002

Biomass-burning Aerosols in South East-Asia: Smoke Impact Assessment(BASE-ASIA)

Biomass burning has been a regular practice for land clearing and land conversion in many countries, especially in Africa, South America, and South East Asia. Significant global sources of greenhouse gases (e.g., CO2, CH4), chemically active gases (e.g., NO, CO, HC, CH3Br), and atmospheric aerosols are produced by biomass-burning processes, which influence the Earth-atmosphere energetics and hence impact both global climate and tropospheric chemistry. Some gases and aerosols can serve as active cloud condensation nuclei, which play important role in determining the net radiation budget, precipitation rate, and cloud lifetime. Biomass burning also affects the biogeochemical cycling of nitrogen and carbon compounds from the soil to the atmosphere; the hydrological cycle (i.e., run off and evaporation); the reflectivity and emissivity of the land; and the stability of ecosystems and ecosystem biodiversity. Compared to Africa and South America, the climatology in South East Asia reveals quite different characteristics, showing distinct large-scale smoke and cloud sources and interaction regimes. The fresh water distribution in this region is highly dependent on monsoon rainfall; in fact, the predictability of the tropical climate system is much reduced during the boreal spring, which is associated with the peak season of biomass burning activities. Estimating the burning fuel (e.g., bark, branches, and wood), an important part of studying regional carbon cycle, may rely on utilizing a wide range of distinctive spectral features in the shortwave and longwave regions. Therefore, to accurately assess the impact of smoke aerosols in this region requires continuous observations from satellites, aircraft, networks of ground-based instruments and dedicated field experiments. A new initiative will be proposed and discussed.

Tsay, Si-Chee↗

NASA NTRS2007

Using G4FETs as a Data Router for In-Plane Crossing of Signal Paths

Theoretical analysis and some experiments have demonstrated that siliconon- insulator (SOI) 4-gate transistors the type known as G(exp 4)FETs could be efficiently used for in-plane crossing of signal paths. Much of the effort of designing very-large-scale integrated (VLSI) circuits is focused on area-efficient routing of signals. The main source of difficulty in VLSI signal routing is the requirement to prevent crossing, in the same plane, of wires that are meant to be kept electrically insulated from each other. Consequently, it often becomes necessary to design and build VLSI circuits in multiple layers with vias (connections between conductors in different layers at selected locations). Suitable devices that would prevent, or at least sufficiently suppress, undesired electrical coupling (cross-talk) between wires crossing in the same plane would enable compact, simpler implementation complex interconnection networks with in-plane crossings that, heretofore, have not been possible in VLSI circuitry. The use of G4FETs as in-plane signal-crossing devices or routers, in combination with the use of G(exp 4)FETs as universal programmable logic gates, would create opportunities for reducing complexity in VLSI design.

Fijany, Amir↗

DOE OSTI2020

Enhancing Streamflow Forecast and Extracting Insights Using Long-Short Term Memory Networks With Data Integration at Continental Scales

Recent observations with varied schedules and types (moving average, snapshot, or regularly spaced) can help to improve streamflow forecasts, but it is challenging to integrate them effectively. Based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) streamflow model, we tested multiple versions of a flexible procedure we call data integration (DI) to leverage recent discharge measurements to improve forecasts. DI accepts lagged inputs either directly or through a convolutional neural network unit. DI ubiquitously elevated streamflow forecast performance to unseen levels, reaching a record continental-scale median Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient value of 0.86. Integrating moving-average discharge, discharge from the last few days, or even average discharge from the previous calendar month could all improve daily forecasts. Directly using lagged observations as inputs was comparable in performance to using the convolutional neural network unit. Importantly, we obtained valuable insights regarding hydrologic processes impacting LSTM and DI performance. Before applying DI, the base LSTM model worked well in mountainous or snow-dominated regions, but less well in regions with low discharge volumes (due to either low precipitation or high precipitation-energy synchronicity) and large interannual storage variability. DI was most beneficial in regions with high flow autocorrelation: it greatly reduced baseflow bias in groundwater-dominated western basins and also improved peak prediction for basins with dynamical surface water storage, such as the Prairie Potholes or Great Lakes regions. However, even DI cannot elevate performance in high-aridity basins with 1-day flash peaks. Despite this limitation, there is much promise for a deep-learning-based forecast paradigm due to its performance, automation, efficiency, and flexibility.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1979

The global distribution of long-term total ozone variations during the period 1957-1975

Total ozone observations in the international network have been used as a basis for the analysis of the mean monthly ozone distribution over the globe for the period 1957-1975. It has been found that during the period 1961-1970 the total ozone amount increased in the Northern Hemisphere by about 12 percent and that this increase seems to be significant at all latitudes. Although the data were sparse for the Southern Hemisphere, there did not appear to be any significant ozone changes during the 10 year period. Relatively large geographic variations were found in the ozone trends and it is suggested that these variations are related to large scale changes in the atmospheric circular pattern.

London, J.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Gravity Waves

In recent years it has been widely recognized that vertically propagating gravity waves play an important role in the dynamics of the middle atmosphere in partly determining the large scale temperature and wind structure through their energy and momentum transport. In particular, the meridional temperature distribution and the mean wind profile in the upper mesosphere are considered to be largely affected by the turbulence diffusion and friction that gravity waves induce through their breaking. For an understanding of the middle atmosphere circulation, it is therefore very important to know the global distribution and temporal variation of gravity waves in a climatological sense. The results of the statistics for gravity wave activity in the stratosphere and mesosphere are presented as a function of latitude and month, with the aid of meteorological rocket network observations.

Hirota, I.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Dislocation model for aseismic crustal deformation at Hollister, California

A model of crustal deformation during the interseismic phase is developed and applied (using the improved Bayesian inversion algorithm described by Jackson and Matsu'ura, 1985) to trilateration data for the USGS Hollister (CA) network. In the model, rigid blocks in motion relative to each other experience friction only in a brittle upper zone, while their ductile lower zones slide freely; the Hollister model comprises five blocks and nine rectangular fault patches. The data and results are presented in tables, graphs, and maps and characterized in detail. The model predicts steady block motion on time scales between 10 yr and 1 Myr, with net motion across the San Andreas/Calaveras fault system 38 + or - 3 mm/yr and brittle/ductile transition depths ranging from 0.4 to 11 km. Two San Andreas segments with higher probabilities of moderate-to-large earthquakes are identified.

Matsuura, Mitsuhiro↗

NASA NTRS1996

Immobile Robots: AI in the New Millennium

A new generation of sensor rich, massively distributed, autonomous systems are being developed that have the potential for profound social, environmental, and economic change. These include networked building energy systems, autonomous space probes, chemical plant control systems, satellite constellations for remote ecosystem monitoring, power grids, biosphere-like life support systems, and reconfigurable traffic systems, to highlight but a few. To achieve high performance, these immobile robots (or immobots) will need to develop sophisticated regulatory and immune systems that accurately and robustly control their complex internal functions. To accomplish this, immobots will exploit a vast nervous system of sensors to model themselves and their environment on a grand scale. They will use these models to dramatically reconfigure themselves in order to survive decades of autonomous operations. Achieving these large scale modeling and configuration tasks will require a tight coupling between the higher level coordination function provided by symbolic reasoning, and the lower level autonomic processes of adaptive estimation and control. To be economically viable they will need to be programmable purely through high level compositional models. Self modeling and self configuration, coordinating autonomic functions through symbolic reasoning, and compositional, model-based programming are the three key elements of a model-based autonomous systems architecture that is taking us into the New Millennium.

Williams, Brian C.↗

NASA NTRS2004

Lunar and Planetary Science XXXV: Mars Polar Processes: Land and Sky

The titles in this section include: 1) Morphological Evidence for the Large-scale Evolution of Martian North Polar Troughs? 2) New Views of the Martian Polar Regions: The Latest Results from the Mars Odyssey THEMIS Investigation; 3) Observations at the Chasma Australe Re-Entrant, South Polar Region, Mars; 4) Stratigraphic Details of Uppermost Units within South Polar Layered Deposits on Mars; 5) Detailed Geologic Analysis of Part of the South Polar Layered Deposits, Planum Australe, Mars: Part II; 6) SHARAD: Radar Volume Scattering and the Polar Layered Terrains on Mars; 7) Arabia and Memnonia Equatorial Regions with High Content of Water: Data from HEND/Odyssey; 8) Alaskan Permafrost Analogs of Martian Small Valley Networks, Thermokarst, Terrain Softening, Terraces, and Volcanic Craters; 9) Periglacial Processes in the Southern Hemisphere of Mars; 10) Thermal Modeling of Possible Surface Water Ice Deposits in Juventae Chasma; 11) Modeling Depth to Ground Ice on Mars; 12) Ground Ice at the Phoenix Landing Site: A Preflight Assessment; 13) Possible Temperature-related Differences in Slope Angle between the North and South Walls of Coprates Chasma, Mars; 14) Seasonal Variations within Korolev Crater, Mars; 15) South Polar Ar Enhancement as a Tracer for Southern Winter Horizontal Meridional Mixing; 16) An Investigation of the Correlation of Water-Ice and Dust Retrievals via the MGS TES Data Set; 17) Observations of Plasma Waves near Mars and Their Implications for Atmospheric Loss.

Source record↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Enhancing In-Flight Structural Health Monitoring of Vertical Lift Vehicles Operating in an Urban Environment

In-situ airframe sensors have long been considered a potential solution for structural health monitoring that could change the design, certification, operation and maintenance paradigms of flight vehicles. In this approach, large networks of sensors covering the entire, or most of, an airframe throughout its operational lifetime would support real-time decisions on airworthiness and obviate the need to overbuild components or perform multiple cycles of structural qualification testing and inspections. This concept would go beyond the current practice of placing select sensors in strategic locations or relying on such sensors only during airframe qualification flights and inspections. For vehicles in the emerging urban air mobility space, reducing weight associated with overbuilds and shortening down-time associated with inspections are critical for improving safety and affordability. In practice, the wide-scale use of in-situ sensors as primary assurance for structural health has not been demonstrated to be feasible or the best solution. A sensor integration testbed was developed as a platform to evaluate the potential of multiple sensor types to enable decision making on airworthiness. We report on the initial runs of this testbed with multiple sensors attached to a common test article. Metal foil strain gauges, eddy current, fiber optic, guided wave (acoustic emission and ultrasonic)and carbon nanotube roving sensors were affixed to the test article. Baseline as well as post damage initiation and fatiguing data are presented and discussed. Despite the relative simplicity of the test article, the interpretation of the as-captured test data was generally not conclusive or did not have wide enough coverage. This result emphasizes the challenges and current limitations both in testing and the practical broad application of embedded sensors as the determinative elements in critical decision making on wide-scale structural health.

Vertical Lift Vehicles↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Enhancing In-Flight Structural Health Monitoring of Vertical Lift Vehicles Operating in an Urban Environment

In-situ airframe sensors have long been considered a potential solution for structural health monitoring that could change the design, certification, operation, and maintenance paradigms of flight vehicles. In this approach, large networks of sensors covering the entire, or most of, an airframe throughout its operational lifetime would support real-time decisions on airworthiness and obviate the need to overbuild components or perform multiple cycles of structural qualification testing and inspections. This concept would go beyond the current practice of placing select sensors in strategic locations or relying on such sensors only during airframe qualification flights and inspections. For vehicles in the emerging urban air mobility space, reducing weight associated with overbuilds and shortening down-time associated with inspections are critical for improving safety and affordability. In practice, the wide-scale use of in-situ sensors as primary assurance for structural health has not been demonstrated to be feasible or the best solution. A sensor integration testbed was developed as a platform to evaluate the potential of multiple sensor types to enable decision making on airworthiness. We report on the initial runs of this testbed with multiple sensors attached to a common test article. Metal foil strain gauges, eddy current, fiber optic, guided wave (acoustic emission and ultrasonic) and carbon nanotube roving sensors were affixed to the test article. Baseline as well as post damage initiation and fatiguing data are presented and discussed. Despite the relative simplicity of the test article, the interpretation of the as-captured test data was generally not conclusive or did not have wide enough coverage. This result emphasizes the challenges and current limitations both in testing and the practical broad application of embedded sensors as the determinative elements in critical decision making on wide-scale structural health.

Vertical Lift Vehicles↗

DOE OSTI2021

Using bursty announcements for detecting BGP routing anomalies

Despite the robust structure of the Internet, it is still susceptible to disruptive routing updates that prevent network traffic from reaching its destination. Our research shows that BGP announcements that are associated with disruptive updates tend to occur in groups of relatively high frequency, followed by periods of infrequent activity. We hypothesize that we may use these bursty characteristics to detect anomalous routing incidents. In this work, we use manually verified ground truth metadata and volume of announcements as a baseline measure, and propose a burstiness measure that detects prior anomalous incidents with high recall and better precision than the volume baseline. We quantify the burstiness of inter-arrival times around the date and times of four large-scale incidents: the Indosat hijacking event in April 2014, the Telecom Malaysia leak in June 2015, the Bharti Airtel Ltd. hijack in November 2015, and the MainOne leak in November 2018; and three smaller scale incidents that led to traffic interception: the Belarusian traffic direction in February 2013, the Icelandic traffic direction in July 2013, and the Russian telecom that hijacked financial services in April 2017. Our method leverages the burstiness of disruptive update messages to detect these incidents. We describe limitations, open challenges, and how this method can be used for routing anomaly detection.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗