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At least 1,387 records · Page 77

Automated Adversary Emulation for Cyber-Physical Systems via Reinforcement Learning

Adversary emulation is an offensive exercise that provides a comprehensive assessment of a system’s resilience against cyber attacks. However, adversary emulation is typically a manual process, making it costly and hard to deploy in cyber-physical systems (CPS) with complex dynamics, vulnerabilities, and operational uncertainties. In this paper, we develop an automated, domain-aware approach to adversary emulation for CPS. We formulate a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model to determine an optimal attack sequence over a hybrid attack graph with cyber (discrete) and physical (continuous) components and related physical dynamics. We apply model-based and model-free reinforcement learning (RL) methods to solve the discrete-continuous MDP in a tractable fashion. As a baseline, we also develop a greedy attack algorithm and compare it with the RL procedures. We summarize our findings through a numerical study on sensor deception attacks in buildings to compare the performance and solution quality of the proposed algorithms.

Bhattacharya, Arnab↗

Addressing Human and Organizational Factors In Nuclear Industry Modernization: A Sociotechnically-Based Strategic Framework

The modernization of nuclear power plants will require an advanced concept of operations, involving an integrated set of tightly coupled systems in which all stakeholders act in a coordinated manner. For this modernization effort to be enabled, we developed a human and organizational factors approach, based on a broad sociotechnical framework. Starting from core human factors principles, we conducted a literature review of the methods and approaches relevant to the modernization problem. These included core disciplines such as cognitive systems engineering, systems theoretic accident modeling and processes (STAMP), human systems integration, resilience engineering, and macroergonomics but also related topics of safety culture and organizational change. From this literature, we developed a conceptual framework centered around the work system with its four interacting components: people, technology, process, and governance. In an effective work system, these four components are jointly optimized according to three systems criteria: efficiency, effectiveness, and safety. System failure may result from excessive emphasis on any one criterion. The actual work of attaining joint optimization in a given work system can be accomplished by utilizing three high level functions: knowledge elicitation, knowledge representation, and cross-functional integration. We illustrated the utility of this approach by applying it to practical problems and case studies. The complete report is available in [1]; this paper is a description of our approach and report contents.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Coupled Microbial-Conversion and Computational-Fluid-Dynamics (CFD) Models for Butanediol Production in Micro-Aerated Reactors

Microbial conversion of substrates to macromolecules has been widely used in the synthesis of value-added products in pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. These bioreactions are also being investigated in the production of low-value commodities such as biofuels [1]. Gas-liquid mass-transfer and transport-reaction coupling are important challenges when designing and scaling up these reactor systems. Experiments in wellmixed small-scale reactors have enabled characterization of microbial reactivity, while their coupling with macroscale transport remains relatively unexplored. In this work, we use a coupled metabolic-CFD model to study the action of a genetically engineered microbe Zymomonas mobilis [2] on sugars to produce 2,3-Butanediol (BDO). BDO is an important hydrocarbon intermediate that can be catalytically upgraded to several fuels and chemicals [3]. An important aspect to this particular microbial conversion is the need for micro-aerated environments as opposed to traditional aerobic fermentation. Slight variations in oxygen concentration can result in competing reaction pathways that disable BDO production. Hence, gas-liquid mass transfer and transport need to be optimized in large-scale reactors to maximize BDO production, for which CFD is a valuable tool. The aerobic-fermentation CFD model previously developed by the authors [5] for simulating bubble-column and airlift reactors at scale was used in this study. The Reynolds-averaged mass, momentum and energy transport equations for interpenetrating gas and liquid phase are solved in this model along with the transport and interphase mass transfer of oxygen. Our previous work used a phenomenological model for microbial oxygen uptake that neglected microbial growth and other reaction pathways. In this work, a detailed metabolic model enabled prediction of product formation and inhibition pathways. In order to manage computational cost, we used a subcycling technique [6] that takes advantage of the clear separation in transport (~ 200 sec) and reaction (~ 2-3 hours) timescales. The CFD model is first solved to steady state, after which the metabolic model is advanced at every cell in the computational domain using the local oxygen concentration. The CFD model is then run to achieve a new steady state that provides a new oxygen distribution for the metabolic model. This process, where reaction and fluid updates are interleaved together, is iterated until reactants are completely exhausted. This work will examine the performance of different reactor designs such as bubble column and airlift reactors at scale (250-500 m3). Oxygen mass-transfer coefficient and distribution are critically analyzed among reactors, and optimization studies pertaining to aeration is presented. Furthermore, it has been observed in experiments that high BDO production may be achieved by manipulating the aerobic environment over the course of reaction, such that oxygen concentration is high during the growth phase, and very low as sugar is depleted. This characteristic will be addressed by our simulations for which a timedependent scheduling strategy for aeration is presented that maximizes BDO production. [1] Humbird, D., Davis, R., and McMillan, J., Aeration costs in stirred-tank and bubble column bioreactors, Biochemical Engineering Journal, 127, 161—166, 2017 [2] Yang, S., Mohagheghi, A., Franden, M. A., Chou, Y.-C., Chen, X., Dowe, N., Himmel, M. E., and Zhang, M., Metabolic engineering of zymomonas mobilis for 2, 3-butanediol production from lignocellulosic biomass sugars. Biotechnology for biofuels, 9(1):189, 2016 [3] Kim, S. J., Sim, H. J., Kim, J. W., Lee, Y. G., Park, Y. C., and Seo, J. H., Enhanced production of 2,3-butanediol from xylose by combinatorial engineering of xylose metabolic pathway and cofactor regeneration in pyruvate decarboxylase-deficient Saccharomyces cerevisiae. Bioresource Technology, 245:1551–1557, 2017 [4] Weller, H., Tabor, G., Jasak, H. and Fureby, C., A tensorial approach to computational continuum mechanics using object-oriented techniques, Computers in physics, 12, 6, 620--631, 1998

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Achieving 50% Energy Savings in Chicago Homes: A Case Study for Advancing Equity and Climate Goals

Since 2019, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Elevate have collaborated to identify pathways to deep energy retrofits in Chicago's housing stock, document equity implications and co-benefits of this transition, and validate the findings by implementing retrofits in real Chicago homes. This document summarizes our analysis process to model advanced retrofit packages that lead to greater than 50% energy savings in Chicago homes. Based on these findings, we have also developed a roadmap with the City to guide implementation, and are deploying the recommended retrofit packages in real Chicago homes to realize these energy savings. This work was developed in collaboration with two key stakeholders - the City of Chicago and Commonwealth Edison (ComEd) - and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). NREL's Residential Buildings team maintains the best-in-class ResStock™ energy model of the U.S. residential building stock. For this work, we calibrated ResStock to Chicago's unique local housing stock to accurately simulate energy use in Chicago homes both for current conditions and with various retrofit scenarios. We simulated a wide range of potential building retrofits covering all aspects of residential energy use and then grouped these into packages based on energy and utility bill savings. ResStock can model diverse building types and housing characteristics, so we're able to observe the range of outcomes that might occur when these upgrades are deployed across the entire housing stock. We can then estimate potential energy savings from an advanced retrofit program on Chicago's housing stock by comparing the modeled energy use before versus after a retrofit. This novel version of ResStock, calibrated to Chicago with data from Elevate, can help City officials, ComEd, and other partners plan for community-scale decarbonization via residential retrofits. Specifically, this work contributes the following project goals: Develop a building retrofit prioritization strategy for Chicago single-family and 2- to 4-unit buildings; Identify neighborhoods and home types that have the highest potential for savings from electrification; and Assess the impact of advanced building retrofits on energy use, utility bills, and CO2 emissions at the city and building level. Although this study is specific to Chicago, its methods and learnings are applicable across the United States. These findings are especially notable for heat pumps and electrification retrofits in cold climates.

building energy modeling↗

Understanding Air-Sea Feedbacks to the MJO through Process Evaluation of Observations and Models (Final Report)

The goal of our project was to enhance our understanding of the role of coupling in the simulation of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) in coupled climate models. We developed diagnostics of precipitation and Sea Surface Temperature variability in climate models and investigated how they are related to metrics of MJO simulation performance. We found a relationship between models with a high spatial coherence of precipitation and a good propagation of the MJO through the Maritime Continent region, but no relationship between metrics of precipitation organisation and intensity. Analysis of coupled and uncoupled model simulations from the Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) shows that coupling systematically improved the MJO simulation in both metrics that we investigated. We analysed the role of background moisture gradients in the MJO simulation performance following Lim et al. (2018) and found that although the model to model variation in moisture gradients to the west of Indonesia was related to model MJO performance, in general no single moisture gradient was as good at explaining a large fraction of MJO performance across the models as compared to a linear combination of those metrics, which was able to explain a significant fraction of the variance in the MJO performance. Those relationships were much stronger for coupled simulations than uncoupled simulations and stronger for those metrics that measured propagation of the MJO across the Maritime Continent than for overall MJO activity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Radio Frequency Calcination of Gypsum for Sustainable Wallboard Production

This presentation details several accomplishments in the dielectric calcination of gypsum to stucco. 1) Verification that gypsum can be calcined via RF heating, 2)Characterization of heating and mass loss curve for a nucleation propagation reaction under electromagnetics 3) Full parametric studies examining effect of free moisture on heating and calcination, and 4) Finite element model of process with high predictive capability. Overall, Industrial implementation could save up to 63% energy, 50% water, and reduce carbon emissions by 63% based on batch scale studies.

Tjards, Jacob↗

Low-Energy Neutrino-Nucleus Scattering and New Physics

The interactions of low-energy neutrinos with nuclei provide a unique window to explore various Standard Model (SM) and Beyond the Standard Model (BSM) processes. In particular, the recent observation of coherent elastic neutrino-nucleus scattering (CEvNS), predicted over five decades ago, has generated significant interest across disciplines. With its high cross section and suitability for compact detectors, particularly with stopped pion neutrinos, CEvNS offers a powerful probe for light, weakly coupled new physics. Ongoing global experimental efforts now aim to leverage CEvNS to test SM predictions and search for BSM signals, where deviations in event rates or spectra could reveal new physics. We present here an estimate of the number of recoil events obtained from CEvNS using the current and upcoming liquid argon based experiments. Furthermore, the event rate due to the inclusion of neutrino magnetic moment is also discussed.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Thermal Systems Modeling for Integration of Industrial Processes with Advanced Nuclear

Applying combined heat and power concepts to advanced nuclear reactors can enable increased nuclear utilization in the future clean economy, as well as provide safe and reliable clean energy to industrial systems. Analyses have been performed to evaluate the integration of nuclear energy with industrial processes for both clean electricity production and providing process heat for direct use to reduce emissions in the production of chemical commodities. The key research question that needs to be answered is: "What are the prospective approaches for integrating nuclear-generated heat energy into non-electric applications that can facilitate combined heat and power operations by advanced nuclear reactor systems?" This presentation will highlight several case studies showing conceptual designs for thermal delivery systems to integrate small modular reactor (SMR) process steam and electricity with industrial processes including oil refining, hydrogen production, and methanol production.

hydrogen↗

Mu2e Tracker Electronics - Construction of a Straw Tracker

The Mu2e experiment, located at the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (FNAL), also known as Fermilab, in Batavia, Illinois, is an in-progress particle physics experiment aiming to detect Charged Lepton Flavor Violation (CLFV) via the $\mu^-Al\rightarrow e^-Al$ interaction, a Beyond the Standard Model (BSM) process. One of the sections of the Mu2e experiment is the Tracker, which aims to identify the signal and reject the background while the experiment is running. A total of 20,736 Calibration (CAL) and High-Voltage (HV) preamplifiers (preamps) are being installed within 36 planes that make up the Tracker. During this process, MHz oscillations were discovered on the CAL preamps, obscuring desired signal detection in the \~kHz range. To solve this issue, copper clips are installed onto the CALs to remove the MHz oscillations. The installation of electronics into the Tracker will be discussed in depth.

Lynch, Alec Michael [UC, Berkeley; Fermilab]↗

How numerical tracers and water isotope ratios help us better understand the hydrological cycle and its representation in Earth system models [Slides]

Outline: Water isotope ratios and fractionation; Isotope tracers in Earth system models; Generalized "process-oriented" water tracers in Earth system models; Opportunities in E3SM. Water isotope ratio data are rapidly becoming more available, providing a critical link between models and observations, as well as providing new opportunities to improve process representations (e.g., T/ET partitioning, cloud processes, partitioning of streamflow, coastal or urban impacts on hydrology, etc.)

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dynamic modeling and simulation of pressure swing adsorption processes using toPSAil

Pressure swing adsorption (PSA) has attracted significant recent interest for chemical process intensification due to its potential for high energy efficiency and amenability to small, modular designs. However, the lack of simulation tools that are readily available, transparent, and trusted, has been identified as a serious impediment to widespread adoption of PSA, as well as to further research on PSA modeling, numerical solution, optimization, and control. This paper presents a complete framework for dynamic modeling and simulation of PSA processes and its implementation in an open-source simulator called toPSAil. Further, the presentation is tutorial and includes many modeling and implementation details often overlooked in existing literature. Novel methods are presented for handling flow reversals and implementing various pressure–flow relationships, along with controlled boundary conditions. Finally, the code contains several innovations designed to improve efficiency and reduce the extensive trial-and-error tuning often required to produce a working PSA cycle.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗