Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Predictive analytics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,387 records · Page 77
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2017

Verification and validation of a rapid heat transfer calculation methodology for transient melt pool solidification conditions in powder bed metal additive manufacturing

A fundamental understanding of spatial and temporal thermal distributions is crucial for predicting solidification and solid-state microstructural development in parts made by additive manufacturing. While sophisticated numerical techniques that are based on finite element or finite volume methods are useful for gaining insight into these phenomena at the length scale of the melt pool (100 - 500 µm), they are ill-suited for predicting engineering trends over full part cross-sections (> 10 x 10 cm) or many layers over long process times (> many days) due to the necessity of fully resolving the heat source characteristics. On the other hand, it is extremely difficult to resolve the highly dynamic nature of the process using purely in-situ characterization techniques. This article proposes a pragmatic alternative based on a semi-analytical approach to predicting the transient heat conduction during powder bed metal additive manufacturing process. The model calculations were theoretically verified for selective laser melting of AlSi10Mg and electron beam melting of IN718 powders for simple cross-sectional geometries and the transient results are compared to steady state predictions from the Rosenthal equation. It is shown that the transient effects of the scan strategy create significant variations in the melt pool geometry and solid-liquid interface velocity, especially as the thermal diffusivity of the material decreases and the pre-heat of the process increases. With positive verification of the strategy, the model was then experimentally validated to simulate two point-melt scan strategies during electron beam melting of IN718, one intended to produce a columnar and one an equiaxed grain structure. Lastly, through comparison of the solidification conditions (i.e. transient and spatial variations of thermal gradient and liquid-solid interface velocity) predicted by the model to phenomenological CET theory, the model accurately predicted the experimental grain structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2016

Technical Note: On the analytical proton dose evaluation in compounds and mixtures

Purpose: By combining the physical processes occurring due to the interaction of protons with matter, analytical theories published so far have provided acceptable models for calculating depth-dose distributions in homogeneous media. As a well-defined and comprehensive theory, the formula derived by Bortfeld models the dose transferred to the target in terms of the parabolic cylinder function. The model also includes three parameters with values specified for an initial proton energy and for the target material. These parameters are obtainable through the data gathered in nuclear data tables. The analytical studies using this interesting model are therefore restricted to those materials for which the data have been provided in these tables. This study aims to find general solutions for calculation of these parameters for a compound or mixture composed of an arbitrary choice of constituent elements. Methods: Inspired by formulas dedicated for calculating the range and the probability of undergoing nonelastic nuclear interactions for protons in desired compounds, the analytical methods for finding the three mentioned parameters are investigated. The accuracy of the methods suggested is examined through comparison of the results with those which are calculated using the data taken from nuclear data tables. By employing the calculated parameters using the derived formulas in the Bortfeld model, the dose distribution at depth in a chosen target is calculated. Results: For an arbitrary selection of compounds, the predictions of the analytical depth-dose model using these parameters have been found to closely match the results employing the parameters calculated using the data reported in nuclear data tables. Conclusions: The formulas presented are general, mathematically easy to handle, and valid for almost every compound or mixture including materials of interest for proton radiotherapy purposes, making the Bortfeld model more practical and advantageous.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
NASA NTRS1993

Development of an Atomization Methodology for Spray Combustion

In liquid rocket propulsion, the knowledge and the understanding of liquid-gas interfacial phenomena are very important. This is important for predicting the onset of cavitation occurring in swirl injection elements used in STME, as well as atomization processes in shear-induced injectors (co-axial) and impinging injector elements. From the fact that all the physical processes including droplet size distribution, droplet dispersion, mixing and combustion are controlled by atomization processes, it is expected that the successful incorporation of the volume of fraction (VOF) will greatly enhance the analytical capability of predicting spray combustion processes in liquid-fueled engines. In this paper, a methodology is developed to define and track interfaces between two fluids in non-orthogonal, body-fitted grids using a single fractional volume of fluid (VOF) variable to describe the distribution of the liquid phase in a gas-liquid flow field. This method was implemented in a mature CFD code MAST (Multiphase All-Speed Transient) utilizing the general PISO-C algorithm. For the preliminary study on the analysis of spray combustion and tracking of the interface between two phases, we will report on the progress of the simulation of the instability on the liquid column; the surface wave instability and the droplet breakup from the liquid surface.

Seung, S. P.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Comparison of analytical and flight test identified aerodynamic derivatives for a tandem-rotor transport helicopter

Flight tests for verifying an analytical aerodynamic derivative model of a CH-47 helicopter were conducted for low cruise speeds and transition to hover portions of curved, decelerating landing approach trajectories. All testing was performed on a closed loop basis with the stability augmentation system of the helicopter operating, and response data were obtained using both manual and computer generated input maneuvers. The results indicate some differences between the measured response time histories and those predicted by both analytical and flight test identified derivatives. With some exceptions the discrepancies are not severe, and the overall agreement between the measured and computed time histories is reasonably good. No adverse effects attributable to closed loop testing were noted, and the use of computer generated inputs proved to be superior to manual ones.

Hodge, W. F.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Importance of aggregation and small ice crystals in cirrus clouds, based on observations and an ice particle growth model

The 1 November 1986 FIRE I case study was used to test an ice particle growth model which predicts bimodal size spectra in cirrus clouds. The model was developed from an analytically based model which predicts the height evolution of monomodal ice particle size spectra from the measured ice water content (IWC). Size spectra from the monomodal model are represented by a gamma distribution, N(D) = N(sub o)D(exp nu)exp(-lambda D), where D = ice particle maximum dimension. The slope parameter, lambda, and the parameter N(sub o) are predicted from the IWC through the growth processes of vapor diffusion and aggregation. The model formulation is analytical, computationally efficient, and well suited for incorporation into larger models. The monomodal model has been validated against two other cirrus cloud case studies. From the monomodal size spectra, the size distributions which determine concentrations of ice particles less than about 150 mu m are predicted.

Mitchell, David L.↗
NASA NTRS1972

An analytical and experimental evaluation of shadow shields and their support members.

Review of the major results of an analytical and experimental program aimed at determining the potential effectiveness of shadow shields in minimizing radiant heat transfer into cryogenic propellant tanks on long-duration interplanetary missions, taking into account the thermal interaction between shields and their support structures. Analytical procedures are developed and applied that include the strut-shield interaction in predicting shadow shield performance. The results of experimental studies of the effects of configuration variables on the performance of a scale model of a shadow shield system are presented. The experimental results are used to verify the validity of analytical predictions. The results obtained show that: (1) shadow shields can be effective in reducing the heat transfer into cryogenic propellant tanks, and (2) the conductive heat transfer through supports can be reduced by selective surface coatings.

Stochl, R. J.↗
NASA NTRS2001

Low Velocity Earth-Penetration Test and Analysis

Modeling and simulation of structural impacts into soil continue to challenge analysts to develop accurate material models and detailed analytical simulations to predict the soil penetration event. This paper discusses finite element modeling of a series of penetrometer drop tests into soft clay. Parametric studies are performed with penetrometers of varying diameters, masses, and impact speeds to a maximum of 45 m/s. Parameters influencing the simulation such as the contact penalty factor and the material model representing the soil are also studied. An empirical relationship between key parameters is developed and is shown to correlate experimental and analytical results quite well. The results provide preliminary design guidelines for Earth impact that may be useful for future space exploration sample return missions.

Fasanella, Edwin L.↗
NASA NTRS2005

Benchmark Calibration Tests Completed for Stirling Convertor Heater Head Life Assessment

A major phase of benchmark testing has been completed at the NASA Glenn Research Center (http://www.nasa.gov/glenn/), where a critical component of the Stirling Radioisotope Generator (SRG) is undergoing extensive experimentation to aid the development of an analytical life-prediction methodology. Two special-purpose test rigs subjected SRG heater-head pressure-vessel test articles to accelerated creep conditions, using the standard design temperatures to stay within the wall material s operating creep-response regime, but increasing wall stresses up to 7 times over the design point. This resulted in well-controlled "ballooning" of the heater-head hot end. The test plan was developed to provide critical input to analytical parameters in a reasonable period of time.

Krause, David L.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Modeling intrinsic galaxy alignment in the MICE simulation

The intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxies is potentially a major limitation in deriving cosmological constraints from weak lensing surveys. In order to investigate this effect, we assign intrinsic shapes and orientations to galaxies in the light-cone output of the MICE simulation, spanning ~ 5000 deg 2 and reaching redshift Z = 1.4. This assignment is based on a semianalytic IA model that uses photometric properties of galaxies as well as the spin and shape of their host halos. Advancing on previous work, we include more realistic distributions of galaxy shapes and a luminosity-dependent galaxy-halo alignment. The IA model parameters are calibrated against COSMOS and BOSS LOWZ observations. The null detection of IA in observations of blue galaxies is accounted for by setting random orientations for these objects. We compare the two-point alignment statistics measured in the simulation against predictions from the analytical IA models NLA and TATT over a wide range of scales, redshifts, and luminosities for red and blue galaxies separately. We find that both models fit the measurements well at scales above 8h -1 Mpc, while TATT outperforms NLA at smaller scales. The IA parameters derived from our fits are in broad agreement with various observational constraints from red galaxies. Finally, we build a realistic source sample, mimicking DES Year 3 observations and use it to predict the IA contamination to the observed shear statistics. We find this prediction to be within the measurement uncertainty, which might be a consequence of the random alignment of blue galaxies in the simulation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2014

Forensic Signature Detection of Yersinia Pestis Culturing Practices Across Institutions Using a Bayesian Network

The field of bioforensics is focused on the analysis of evidence from a biocrime. Existing laboratory analyses can identify the specific strain of an organism in the evidence, as well signatures of the specific culture batch of organisms, such as low-frequency contaminants or indicators of growth and processing methods. To link these disparate types of physical data to potential suspects, investigators may need to identify institutions or individuals whose access to strains and culturing practices match those identified from the evidence. In this work we present a Bayesian statistical network to fuse different types of analytical measurements that predict the production environment of a Yersinia pestis sample under investigation with automated test processing of scientific publications to identify institutions with a history of growing Y. pestis under similar conditions. Furthermore, the textual and experimental signatures were evaluated recursively to determine the overall sensitivity of the network across all levels of false positives. We illustrate that institutions associated with several specific culturing practices can be accurately selected based on the experimental signature from only a few analytical measurements. These findings demonstrate that similar Bayesian networks can be generated generically for many organisms of interest and their deployment is not prohibitive due to either computational or experimental factors.

Bayesian networks↗
DOE OSTI2019

Ultrasonic Bessel beam generation from radial modes of piezoelectric discs

We present comprehensive analytical and experimental investigations on ultrasonic Bessel beam generation from radial modes of piezoelectric disc transducers. The Bessel vibration pattern of the radial modes was experimentally measured using Laser Doppler Vibrometry and was found to be in very good agreement with those obtained from numerical simulations. Ultrasonic beam profiles from the first four radial modes of the piezoelectric disc were measured using a hydrophone in a water tank. The results obtained from the experimental scans were compared to the predictions from an analytical model and were found to be in very good agreement. Also, the Bessel beams generated from the radial modes (except the first) of the piezoelectric discs were found to have narrow beam width for the central lobe compared to those from an ideal piston source of same size. The proposed approach of using radial modes for Bessel beam generation finds applications in imaging, acoustic particle manipulation and trapping, and acousto-optics.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Integrating Analytical Solutions and U-Net Model for Predicting Groundwater Contaminant Plumes in Pump-and-Treat Systems

Pump-and-treat (P&T) is a common technique for groundwater remediation involving the extraction and treatment of contaminated water above ground. Optimizing the design and operation of the P&T well network is essential for maximizing the system’s effectiveness and efficiency. However, this optimization often necessitates many model evaluations, leading to computationally demanding tasks. This study introduces a novel approach that integrates analytical solutions for groundwater dynamics with the U-Net (Ronneberger et al., 2015) deep learning framework to predict groundwater contaminant plume migration under dynamic pumping conditions. By incorporating the Thiem equation (Thiem, 1906) into the input preprocessing, the U-Net model transforms sparse well data into a continuous spatial field that captures the hydraulic impacts of pumping activities. This integration enables the model to leverage both deep learning capabilities and classical physics-based groundwater theories, enhancing prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. These advancements can facilitate rapid, large-scale evaluations of P&T optimization simulations, allowing for timely and effective decision-making in well placement and system management. We demonstrate the model's robust performance across both simplified transient 2D models and a more complex 3D heterogeneous site model at the 200 West P&T facility at the Hanford Site. The U-Net-based model offers substantial computational advantages, reducing simulation times significantly compared to full physics-based models and providing a powerful tool for rapid site evaluation and P&T system optimization, such as evaluating alternative P&T well network designs. Our findings highlight the potential of advanced machine learning models to significantly enhance the efficiency and sustainability of groundwater remediation efforts, offering a novel application of U-Net architecture in environmental science.

Pump-and-treat↗
NASA NTRS1990

The effect of weak interface on transverse properties of a ceramic matrix composite

Experimental studies conducted at NASA Lewis on SiC reaction-bonded Si3N4 composite system showed that transverse stiffness and strength were much lower than those predicted from existing analytical models based on good interfacial bonding. It was believed that weakened interfaces were responsible for the decrease in tranverse properties. To support this claim, a two-dimensional FEM analysis was performed for a transverse representative volume element. Specifically, the effect of fiber/matrix displacement compatibility at the interface was studied under both tensile and compressive transverse loadings. Interface debonding was represented using active gap elements connecting the fiber and matrix. The analyses show that the transverse tensile strength and stiffness are best predicted when a debonded interface is assumed for the composite. In fact, the measured properties can be predicted by simply replacing the fibers by voids. Thus, it is found that little or no interfacial bonding exists in the composite, and that an elastic analysis can predict the transverse stiffness and strength.

Shimansky, R. A.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Heat generation in aircraft tires under braked rolling conditions

An analytical model was developed to approximate the internal temperature distribution in an aircraft tire operating under conditions of unyawed braked rolling. The model employs an array of elements to represent the tire cross section and considers the heat generated within the tire to be caused by the change in strain energy associated with cyclic tire deflection. The additional heating due to tire slip and stresses induced by braking are superimposed on the previously developed free rolling model. An extensive experimental program was conducted to verify temperatures predicted from the analytical model. Data from these tests were compared with calculations over a range of operating conditions. The model results were in reasonably good agreement with measured values.

Clark, S. K.↗
DOE OSTI2016

Planck intermediate results: XXXIV. The magnetic field structure in the Rosette Nebula

Planck has mapped the polarized dust emission over the whole sky, making it possible to trace the Galactic magnetic field structure that pervades the interstellar medium (ISM). In this paper, we combine polarization data from Planck with rotation measure (RM) observations towards a massive star-forming region, the Rosette Nebula in the Monoceros molecular cloud, to study its magnetic field structure and the impact of an expanding H ii region on the morphology of the field. We derive an analytical solution for the magnetic field, assumed to evolve from an initially uniform configuration following the expansion of ionized gas and the formation of a shell of swept-up ISM. From the RM data we estimate a mean value of the line-of-sight component of the magnetic field of about 3 μG (towards the observer) in the Rosette Nebula, for a uniform electron density of about 12 cm -3 . The dust shell that surrounds the Rosette H ii region is clearly observed in the Planck intensity map at 353 GHz, with a polarization signal significantly different from that of the local background when considered asa whole. The Planck observations constrain the plane-of-the-sky orientation of the magnetic field in the Rosette’s parent molecular cloud to be mostly aligned with the large-scale field along the Galactic plane. The Planck data are compared with the analytical model, which predicts the mean polarization properties of a spherical and uniform dust shell for a given orientation of the field. This comparison leads to an upper limit of about 45° on the angle between the line of sight and the magnetic field in the Rosette complex, for an assumed intrinsic dust polarization fraction of 4%. This field direction can reproduce the RM values detected in the ionized region if the magnetic field strength in the Monoceros molecular cloud is in the range 6.5–9 μG. Finally, the present analytical model is able to reproduce the RM distribution across the ionized nebula, as well as the mean dust polarization properties of the swept-up shell, and can be directly applied to other similar objects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

DYNAMICS OF TIDALLY CAPTURED PLANETS IN THE GALACTIC CENTER

Recent observations suggest ongoing planet formation in the innermost parsec of the Galactic center. The supermassive black hole (SMBH) might strip planets or planetary embryos from their parent star, bringing them close enough to be tidally disrupted. Photoevaporation by the ultraviolet field of young stars, combined with ongoing tidal disruption, could enhance the near-infrared luminosity of such starless planets, making their detection possible even with current facilities. In this paper, we investigate the chance of planet tidal captures by means of high-accuracy N -body simulations exploiting Mikkola's algorithmic regularization. We consider both planets lying in the clockwise (CW) disk and planets initially bound to the S-stars. We show that tidally captured planets remain on orbits close to those of their parent star. Moreover, the semimajor axis of the planetary orbit can be predicted by simple analytic assumptions in the case of prograde orbits. We find that starless planets that were initially bound to CW disk stars have mild eccentricities and tend to remain in the CW disk. However, we speculate that angular momentum diffusion and scattering by other young stars in the CW disk might bring starless planets into orbits with low angular momentum. In contrast, planets initially bound to S-stars are captured by the SMBH on highly eccentric orbits, matching the orbital properties of the clouds G1 and G2. Our predictions apply not only to planets but also to low-mass stars initially bound to the S-stars and tidally captured by the SMBH.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2016

Broadly Applicable Dose Model for Radiotherapy Beams from 6-25 MV

The goal of modern external beam radiotherapy is to deliver a highly targeted radiation dose to a specified treatment volume while sparing the healthy surrounding tissue as much as possible. However, some healthy tissue radiation exposure is unavoidable. Healthy tissue in the margin of the treatment field will receive absorbed doses on the order of the prescribed dose, and tissue far out of field will receive stray dose from scattered and leakage radiation. These doses can lead to late effects such as secondary cancers both near the treatment field and far out of field in tissues only receiving stray radiation dose. Many researchers have investigated algorithms to model absorbed dose from external beam photon radiation therapy; however, none of these works have fully addressed the stray dose far from the treatment field. The AAPM Task Group Report No. 36 described three main sources of stray radiation from external beam radiation therapy delivered with electron linear accelerators. Radiation scattered from the treatment head, known as head scatter, is primarily important within about 10 cm from the field edge. Patient scatter is an important source up to around 30 cm from the field edge. Finally, leakage radiation emanates from the treatment enclosure and predominates the stray radiation dose beyond about 30 cm. Monte Carlo simulations have been a useful research tool for modeling stray dose, but these methods have not found use in clinical settings due to their complexity and long computational times. The feasibility of analytical models to predict stray dose from radiation therapy has been supported by several works, but few attempts have been made at developing models accurate for both in-field and out-of-field doses. Jagetic and Newhauser reported on one such model that predicts absorbed dose from therapeutic, scatter, and leakage radiation with promising results. This model was validated at 6 MV for Conformal Radiation Therapy (CRT) beams from an Elekta linac. Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT) was not considered, and the model has not been tested at beam energies greater than 6 MV. Additionally, this model relies on proprietary, machine specific parameters, and so adapting the model for use on treatment units from other manufacturers is not straightforward. In this study we aim to test whether a physics-based analytical modeling approach is broadly applicable and if sufficient accuracy can be achieved without the need for proprietary, machine specific parameters. In order to accomplish this, a new analytical model was developed that does not rely on machine specific parameters, so that it can easily be trained on measurements from whatever treatment machine is available at a given clinic. This model was tested using measured data from a variety of treatment machines and techniques in the 6 MV to 25 MV energy interval. (authors)

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗
NASA NTRS1979

Comparison of theoretical predicted longitudinal aerodynamic characteristics with full-scale wind tunnel data on the ATLIT airplane

An analytical method is presented for predicting the lift coefficient, the pitching moment coefficient, and the drag coefficient of light, twin-engine, propeller-driven airplanes. The method was applied to the Advanced Technology Light Twin-Engine airplane. The calculated characteristics were then correlated against full scale wind tunnel data. The analytical method was found to predict the drag and pitching moment fairly well. However, the lift prediction was extremely poor.

Vandam, C. P. G.↗