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At least 1,387 records · Page 77

Expansion of Hazards and Probabilistic Risk Assessments of a Light-Water Reactor Coupled with Electrolysis Hydrogen Production Plants

This report builds upon the body of work sponsored by the Department of Energy (DOE) Light-Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Flexible Power Operation and Generation (FPOG) program that presented generic probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) for the addition of a heat extraction system (HES) to light-water reactors to support the co-location of a high temperature hydrogen electrolysis facility (HTEF). Probabilistic and deterministic hazards assessments and risk analyses are leveraged throughout this report. Several improvements and new analyses are included in this report. First, higher amounts of detail in the specifications of the generic HTEFs are used to produce scaled results for a 100, 500, and 1000 MW nominal hydrogen production facility. An additional hazard assessment of 1000 kg of hydrogen storage is performed. The facility hazards and footprint are assessed to determine the safe distance required for placement near the nuclear power plant (NPP). Second, specific designs for corresponding HESs for the different levels of support required by the HTEFs are analyzed in the PRA model. Third, a hazards analysis of the specified HTEFs leads not only to effects of the quantified risk assessment for the NPP, but also qualitative hazards assessment for the community. Finally, a seismic analysis and a high winds analysis have each been added to the PRA. The results investigate the applicability of the potential licensing approaches which do not require a full United States (U.S.) Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) licensing review. The PRAs are generic and include listed assumptions. The HTEF design built for this project has further eliminated many conservative assumptions from the prior PRAs in this series. The PRA results indicate that the 10 CFR 50.59 licensing approach is justified due to the minimal increase in initiating event frequencies for all design basis accidents, with none exceeding 7.7%. The PRA results for core damage frequency and large early release frequency support the use of NRC Regulation Guide 1.174 as further risk information that supports a change without a full licensing amendment review. The hazard analyses and PRA confirm the need for engineered blast barriers of storage tanks and the common production header leaving the HTEF. The hazards analyses and PRA also confirm with high confidence that using the assumptions of design in this report that the safety case for licensing an HES addition and an HTEF sited with its unprotected high-pressure stage components 187 meters from the NPP’s transmission towers (the most fragile structure, system, and component) is strong.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Understanding the Thermal Physics and Metallurgy of Metal Big Area Additive Manufacturing

The research goal of this EPSCoR-DOE partnership is to mitigate defects in parts made using a new type of additive manufacturing (AM) process called metal Big Area Additive Manufacturing (m-BAAM). To realize this goal, the PIs will detect and correct defects in the part as it is being printed by combining fundamental knowledge of the thermal physics and metallurgy of m-BAAM with in-process sensor data. Developed at the DOE-funded Manufacturing Demonstration Facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, the m-BAAM process involves one or more robots working together to produce a part by fusing metal wire layer-by-layer using arc welding. The process can print large metal parts such as turbine blades, which is not possible using other AM processes. In addition, m-BAAM production rates are more than ten times faster than other AM processes while requiring one-tenth of the material cost. Despite their potential to become a critical force multiplier in the energy generation industry, m-BAAM parts may fail to print accurately due to retention of heat and uneven cooling. Overheating and anomalous cooling rates in turn can cause inconsistencies in the microstructure, leading to sudden failure when used in safety-critical applications. In other words, flaw formation in m-BAAM parts is governed by the thermal history – intensity and spatial distribution of heat inside the part during printing. The thermal history is a complex function of the part shape and process settings such as welding energy, path taken by the welding torch for deposition (tool path), wire feed rate, among others.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling Kilonova Light Curves: Dependence on Nuclear Inputs

The mergers of binary neutron stars, as well as black hole–neutron star systems, are expected to produce an electromagnetic counterpart that can be analyzed to infer the element synthesis that occurred in these events. We investigate one source of uncertainties pertinent to lanthanide-rich outflows: the nuclear inputs to rapid neutron capture nucleosynthesis calculations. We begin by examining 32 different combinations of nuclear inputs: eight mass models, two types of spontaneous fission rates, and two types of fission daughter product distributions. We find that such nuclear physics uncertainties typically generate at least one order of magnitude uncertainty in key quantities such as the nuclear heating (one and a half orders of magnitude at 1 day post-merger), the bolometric luminosity (one order of magnitude at 5 days post-merger), and the inferred mass of material from the bolometric luminosity (factor of 8 when considering the 8–10 day region). Since particular nuclear processes are critical for determining the electromagnetic signal, we provide tables of key nuclei undergoing β-decay, α-decay, and spontaneous fission important for heating at different times, identifying decays that are common among the many nuclear input combinations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Non-Electric Applications of Generation IV Reactors: Accelerating Economy-Wide Decarbonization via Nuclear Energy

This presentation covers the role of nuclear energy in support net-zero solutions, highlighting work within the US DOE Integrated Energy Systems, Light Water Reactor Sustainability, and Hydrogen at Scale programs. The discussion will also introduce the recently-establishing Generation-IV International Forum (GIF) interim task force on non-electric applications of nuclear heat (NEaNH-iTF). This work is presented within a special invited webinar organized by the GIF Education and Training Working Group and the International Atomic Energy Agency.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Automatic gas sorption apparatus and method

Automated apparatuses for use in examining gas sorption materials are described. Devices utilize a noncontact magnetic induction heating approach for controlling the temperature of tested materials. The apparatuses can be used to generate single or multiple isotherms simultaneously. The apparatuses can examine nanogram or microgram-scale quantities of materials of interest and can do so automatically and unattended. Pressure-composition isotherms can be provided through use of disclosed apparatuses in a period of a few hours.

Hunyadi Murph, Simona E.↗

Implementation and Demonstration of the Digital Twin Certification System Remote Operations Framework

Microreactors are one promising advanced-reactor concept being pursued by the nuclear industry. They are distinguished by a relatively low power output of 20 MWth or less. These microreactors are intended for deployment in applications where conventional small-capacity power solutions, such as diesel generators, are either economically unfeasible or logistically challenging. Such applications include providing electric power and/or heat for remote communities, mining sites, defense installations, and humanitarian and disaster-relief missions. An important feature for the successful deployment of microreactors is their capability to be operated remotely. This capability can significantly reduce staffing costs by eliminating the need for licensed operators to be physically present at each reactor site. Instead, operators can be centralized in a single remote operations center placed in an economically advantageous location, thereby optimizing resources by consolidating expertise and enhancing operational efficiency. However, the implementation of a remote operation system for nuclear reactors raises new concerns regarding the security, reliability, and resilience of such a system. One way in which remote operations can be supported in a manner that maintains system security, reliability, and resilience is through the use of digital twins in a novel framework designed to verify and validate sensor data and commands communicated between the remote operations center and reactor. This framework, known as the Digital Twin Certification System (DTCS), has previously been proposed as an operations architecture that can bring security and resiliency levels of remote nuclear-reactor operations to a level acceptable for commercial deployment. This paper moves the proposed DTCS architecture from concept to reality by presenting the implementation and testing of the system. The rationale and implementation of the DTCS using tools such as DeepLynx and Apache Airflow, is covered in-depth. This is followed by a demonstration of the DTCS by applying the implemented system architecture to the Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emulator, a small-scale non-nuclear test bed that emulates thermal behavior of a microreactor. The demonstration includes both normal and abnormal operating scenarios to highlight how the DTCS can increase the security, reliability, and resilience of a remote operations system.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Implementation and Demonstration of the Digital Twin Certification System Remote Operations Framework

Microreactors are one promising advanced-reactor concept being pursued by the nuclear industry. They are distinguished by a relatively low power output of 20 MWth or less. These microreactors are intended for deployment in applications where conventional small-capacity power solutions, such as diesel generators, are either economically unfeasible or logistically challenging. Such applications include providing electric power and/or heat for remote communities, mining sites, defense installations, and humanitarian and disaster-relief missions. An important feature for the successful deployment of microreactors is their capability to be operated remotely. This capability can significantly reduce staffing costs by eliminating the need for licensed operators to be physically present at each reactor site. Instead, operators can be centralized in a single remote operations center placed in an economically advantageous location, thereby optimizing resources by consolidating expertise and enhancing operational efficiency. However, the implementation of a remote operation system for nuclear reactors raises new concerns regarding the security, reliability, and resilience of such a system. One way in which remote operations can be supported in a manner that maintains system security, reliability, and resilience is through the use of digital twins in a novel framework designed to verify and validate sensor data and commands communicated between the remote operations center and reactor. This framework, known as the Digital Twin Certification System (DTCS), has previously been proposed as an operations architecture that can bring security and resiliency levels of remote nuclear-reactor operations to a level acceptable for commercial deployment. This paper moves the proposed DTCS architecture from concept to reality by presenting the implementation and testing of the system. The rationale and implementation of the DTCS using tools such as DeepLynx and Apache Airflow, is covered in-depth. This is followed by a demonstration of the DTCS by applying the implemented system architecture to the Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emulator, a small-scale non-nuclear test bed that emulates thermal behavior of a microreactor. The demonstration includes both normal and abnormal operating scenarios to highlight how the DTCS can increase the security, reliability, and resilience of a remote operations system.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Advanced nuclear reactor integration opportunities for the pulp and paper industry in the U.S. context: Technical perspectives, gap analysis, and preliminary technoeconomic assessment

Pulp and paper (P&P) manufacturing requires a large amount of low-pressure (LP) steam to digest, wash wood fibers and dry pulp into paper. Most of the LP steam is extracted from backpressure turbines that produce power from high-pressure (HP) steam. This HP steam is generated from burning wood waste material; bark is burned in hog boilers, and lignin is boiled in a black liquor recovery boiler. In a typical integrated P&P mill, 50–100% of the steam is produced from these sources, while additional steam is produced in natural gas (NG), fuel oil, or coal boilers. The other energy-intensive process in the plant is the chemical-recovery section (e.g., lime kiln), which requires high-temperature processing from NG combustion to retrieve and recirculate spent chemicals. This paper assesses the energy and heat demand and material balances of a typical generic kraft pulp mill, along with the nuclear heat, steam, and power integration opportunities to replace conventional combustion systems. The paper also addresses steam and electricity generation through a comprehensive technical and engineering gap analysis of five different nuclear-integration opportunities and their process economics, thus enabling the lignin and bark to be further processed into biobased chemicals or fuels, as well as the potential to reduce overall emissions from kraft pulping. Preliminary findings have shown that the P&P industry could achieve technological benefits by integrating their current manufacturing process with small modular nuclear reactors (SMNRs) on a national level. This research aims to set the path forward for a cleaner and more resilient P&P industry.

Advanced nuclear reactor↗

Effect of vanadium on phase composition and hard magnetic properties of as-solidified and heat-treated Sm–Fe–(Ti,V) alloys

Although the intrinsic magnetic properties of Ti-stabilized Sm(Fe,Co,Ti) 12 compounds exhibit potential of excellent rare-earth-lean permanent magnets, it has been much easier to realize large coercivities with the isostructural compounds stabilized by either V or by certain combinations of Ti and V. To elucidate the influence of V on the microstructure and magnetic properties, a series of Sm 8.1 Fe 78.4 (Ti 1-x V x ) 13.5 alloys was studied after arc-melting and annealing at 850–1000 °C. The alloys were found to fall into three groups. For x ≤ 0.2, solidification generates mostly the Sm(Fe,Ti,V) 12 phase, but annealing converts at least part of it into the non-magnetic Sm(Fe,Ti,V) 11 and the magnetically soft Sm 2 (Fe,Ti,V) 17 phases. For 0.2 < x < 0.6, the alloys solidify into a near-equilibrium mixture of the Sm(Fe,Ti,V) 12 , TiFe 2 and Sm-rich phases. For x ≥ 0.6, solidification generates large fractions of α-Fe solid solution and Sm-rich phases; an annealing step is necessary to complete the formation of Sm(Fe,Ti,V) 12 phase. Also, for x ≥ 0.6 the temperature below which the Sm(Fe,Ti,V) 12 phase is stable decreases with x, as does the fraction of this phase formed during solidification. Here, the differences between these three groups of alloys suggest different strategies for developing hard magnetic properties, with the likelihood of a success increasing with increasing x. For x ≥ 0.6, heat treatment alone is demonstrated to generate a microstructure of micron and submicron Sm(Fe,Ti 1-x V x ) 12 crystallites separated by a Sm-rich phase and exhibiting a coercivity with values up to 3.5 and 5.7 kOe for x = 0.8 and 1.0, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Clean Condensing Gas Furnace

Natural gas furnaces are the most common space heating equipment in the U.S. residential and commercial building markets. However, current residential natural gas condensing furnaces generate substantial acidic condensate as well as significant emissions of sulfur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), hydrocarbons (HC), and methane (CH 4 ) contributing to environmental degradation of air, water, and soil. This report describes a novel solution to reduce the environmental impact of natural gas condensing furnaces based on the technology of a monolithic acidic gas reduction (AGR) catalyst for SOx trapping, NOx redox to nitrogen, and oxidation of formic acid, CO, HC, and CH 4 . The AGR technology offers the following benefits: (1) a neutral furnace condensate with a pH of ~7, allowing its safe release into the sewer system thus eliminating a second drainage system; (2) trapping and removing nearly all SOx emissions; (3) NOx emissions nearly at nearly 1-2 ng/J, more than 95% lower than new emissions standards in California; (4) the use of a low-cost heat exchanger as a condensing heat exchanger (HX) since the condensate is not acidic, avoiding the need for expensive stainless steel alloys; and (5) unburnt fuel energy recovery to boost efficiency.The AGR component and AGR-enabled furnace performance were broadly tested to determine their effects on long-term reliability and durability, as well as SOx storage and regeneration activity. The AGR regeneration does not impair the performance in achieving neutral condensate and ultra-low NOx emissions, and the AGR catalyst subjected to regeneration activities continued to function well and achieved slightly better annual fuel utilization efficiency (AFUE). The 400-hour reliability and durability test of the retrofitted condensing furnace with the AGR component shows that the furnace unit still achieves a neutral furnace condensate with a pH of ~7 and enables 0~3 ng/J of NOx emissions. However, the 400-hour operation slightly degraded the AFUE because of soot particle accumulation caused by frequent incomplete combustion owing to inappropriate condensate drainage during testing. Thus, proper condensate drainage is critical for AGR-enabled furnaces. Furthermore, neutron computed tomography was employed to survey the aged AGR component and demonstrate high-resolution 2D and 3D representations for the nondestructive diagnosis of the AGR component. The tomography showed that the AGR component did not deform or suffer broken AGR channels. A new AGR catalyst with low precious metal loading was preliminarily explored to identify a pathway of optimizing AGR material loading and maximizing acidic gas reduction at low cost. The new AGR component can reduce precious metal loading by 38% and still achieve neutral condensate and ultralow NOx emissions. The furnace with the AGR component of low Pt/Rh loading enables a maximum AFUE of 97%, which is meaningfully higher than the original furnace. Long-duration testing for the furnace enabled with the low precious metal loading AGR component will be vital in future research. Although the current work demonstrates a proof of concept for the AGR-enabled furnace, the AGR assembly needs to be optimized and integrated into the design of new OEM furnace products. Furthermore, the AGR technology can be applied not only for residential gas furnaces, but also for commercial rooftop units, gas heat pumps, gas-fired water heaters, combustion boilers, and other systems.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

HEAT AND MASS TRANSFER IN HUMIDIFYING REGENERATOR FOR A SUB-ATMOSPHERIC HYBRID HEAT ENGINE

Heat and mass transfer processes in advanced modular sub-atmospheric hybrid heat engine have been evaluated for technical and economic feasibility. The presented concept combines fossil fuel energy conversion in a sub-atmospheric air turbine coupled with a reciprocating internal combustion engine to create a hybrid system for power generation. This system can achieve over 65% of net electrical or mechanical power conversion efficiency. The uniqueness of the advanced modular sub-atmospheric hybrid heat engine is in the operating conditions of the air turbine which operates at sub-atmospheric pressure and low temperature and produces power at high efficiency. This is possible due to a unique combination of the system components such as sub-atmospheric air turbine, humidifying air regenerator, and compressor inlet air cooling system. The humidifying air regenerator is the core component of the advanced sub-atmospheric turbine, which makes the turbine ultra-high efficient. It is a regenerative heat-mass exchanger to increase the working fluid (humid air) mass flow rate before the turbine and decrease the mass flow rate after the turbine. It is found that increased heat and mass transfer rate or increased air humidification in humidifying air regenerator would allow the turbine operating at lower temperature and increased efficiency. Optimal heat and mass transfer rates were found for higher efficiency, lower costs, and smaller footprint of the hybrid engine. The results of feasibility study of heat and mass transfer processes in the humidifying air regenerator are presented in this paper.

Heat Engine, Sub-atmospheric Turbine, Humidifying ↗

Bio-inspired alula-based winglet design for enhanced heat transfer in high temperature fin-and-tube heat exchangers

Fin-and-tube heat exchangers (FTHEs) are widely used for high-temperature flue-gas heat recovery, but their performance is often limited by wake regions and non-uniform fin-surface temperatures. This study proposes and numerically evaluates four bio-inspired longitudinal vortex generator (VG) configurations in a high-temperature FTHE with flue-gas inlet temperature ∼1230 K: double-delta, curved double-delta, alula, and a new curved-alula geometry. The reference fin is not hydraulically plain; it already incorporates leading-edge separation columns and convex protrusions, so the alula-type winglets are assessed as downstream add-ons acting on a strongly disturbed flow. In a second step, perforations (one, two and three circular holes) are introduced into the curved-alula VGs to further tailor the flow field. Three-dimensional simulations with the Shear Stress Transpor (SST) $k - ω$ model, temperature-dependent flue-gas properties and conjugate conduction are carried out for gas-side Reynolds numbers $Re_g ≈ 8.0$ x $10^2 - 3.6$ x $10^3$ (mass flow rates 0.5 – 2.5 g/s), and the designs are compared in terms of surface heat flux, Nusselt number, friction factor and hydrothermal performance factor (HTPF). For this already-promoted fin, the additional downstream winglets provide moderate, incremental hydrothermal gains. At the highest Reynolds number, the best non-perforated design (curved-alula) increases surface heat flux from 1630.9 to 1794.7 kW/m² (∼ 10 % gain) and the Nusselt number from 227.6 to 242.6 (∼ 7 % gain), while the friction factor rises from 0.26 to about 0.30, yielding HTPF values close to unity (∼ 0.9 – 1.0). Introducing circular perforations into the curved-alula winglets acts mainly as a wake-bleeding refinement: the three-hole configuration provides a heat flux of 1824.7 kW/m² and a pressure drop of 127.9 Pa, with HTPF in the range ∼ 1.03 – 1.14 and a small (∼ 1 – 3 %) improvement over the solid curved-alula design. Flow-field analysis shows that the perforated curved-alula VGs shrink tube-wake regions, thin the thermal boundary layer and homogenize the fin-surface temperature (outlet-gas temperature ∼ 510 – 520 K and fin-surface temperature ∼ 420 – 421 K for the three-hole case). An optimal flue-gas mass flow rate of ∼ 1 g/s ($Re_g ≈ 1.5$ x $10^3$) is identified, beyond which additional heat-transfer gains are offset by rapidly increasing pressure losses. Overall, the results highlight that initial fin geometry and VG placement are as important as VG shape: alula-based winglets are expected to yield larger relative gains on simpler flat-fin layouts or when positioned closer to the fin leading edge and tube

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Alteration of pool boiling heat transfer on metallic surfaces by in situ oxidation

The critical heat flux during pool boiling has been investigated for a range of applications including electrical power generation and thermal management. Reported experimental CHF values during pool boiling of water on flat metallic surfaces, however, show a large discrepancy across studies. Here, we address this discrepancy in CHF values by accounting for oxidation of metallic surfaces during boiling. We studied the effect of in situ oxidation on flat Cu and Ni surfaces by changing the duration that samples were held in saturated water before conducting boiling experiments. The morphology and chemical composition of surfaces after the boiling experiments were analyzed by atomic force microscopy and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, respectively. Cu surfaces showed gradually increasing CHF values as the duration in saturated water increased, which could be attributed to the increase in roughness due to the formation of Cu 2 O nanostructures. Conversely, Ni surfaces showed relatively stable CHF and morphology as a nearly flat layer of NiO formed, with one exception: formation of a highly wetting hydroxide, Ni(OH) 2 , on a Ni coupon held in saturated water for 24 h resulted in a uniquely high CHF value, signifying the importance of surface chemistry in addition to morphology. Finally, the fundamental mechanisms resulting in the wide spread of CHF values on metallic surfaces elucidated in this work will lead to more accurate estimation of CHF as well as a deeper mechanistic understanding of CHF values on engineered surfaces.

42 ENGINEERING↗

How does urbanization affect CO 2 emissions of central heating systems in China? An assessment of natural gas transition policy based on nighttime light data

Understanding the different impacts of urbanization on sectorial carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions at different spatial scales is of great importance for the evaluation of energy transition policies and reduction of environmental inequality. However, how urbanization affects the CO 2 emissions of central heating systems at high spatial resolution in China has not been fully studied before. Based on satellite-observed NPP-VIIRS nighttime light (NTL) data, we develop a 5 km x 5 km annual CO 2 emission inventory for coal boilers, thermal power plants (TPPs), and natural gas boilers in China's central heating systems for the period 2012-2017 by using the geographical and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model. It is observed that nonurban areas generated 2-4 times the CO 2 emissions of coal boilers in urban areas. The largest increments of CO 2 emissions of gas boilers are observed in urban areas of the eastern (6.80 times) and central regions (2.86 times) in 2013-2014, due to the clean heating policy in the "2 + 26" cities in China. The effects of urbanization on CO 2 emissions from natural gas boilers are approximately 2-3 times those of coal boilers, and the differences are largest in western cities with only minor differences in northeastern cities. Overall, our results will aid in designing low-carbon development goals and provide micro-level information on central heating facilities in urbanized and less developed regions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Integration of Heat Pumps With Solar Thermal Systems for Energy Storage

This chapter considers the combination of solar thermal systems with an energy storage device known as a Carnot Battery which charges thermal storage with a heat pump or electric heater. Integrating these systems can provide a variety of advantages, such as dispatchable renewable power generation and electricity storage services. In this chapter a variety of methods for hybridizing these systems are described, and ideal cycle analysis is used to assess their relative merits.

Carnot Battery↗

Microgrid design and multi-year dispatch optimization under climate-informed load and renewable resource uncertainty

Microgrids are an increasingly popular solution to provide energy resilience in response to increasing grid dependency and the growing impacts of climate change on grid operations. However, existing microgrid models do not currently consider the uncertain and long-term impacts of climate change when determining a set of design and operational decisions to minimize long-term costs or meet a resilience threshold. In this paper, we develop a novel scenario generation method that accounts for the uncertain effects of (i) climate change on variable renewable energy availability, (ii) extreme heat events on site load, and (iii) population and electrification trends on load growth. Additionally, we develop a two-stage stochastic programming extension of an existing microgrid design and dispatch optimization model to obtain uncertainty-informed and climate-resilient energy system decisions that minimizes long-term costs. Use of sample average approximation to validate our two case studies illustrates that the proposed methodology produces high-quality solutions that add resilience to systems with existing backup generation while reducing expected long-term costs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

SCRES Energy Quest Workshop (Technical Report)

Energy Quest: Sitka’s Path to 2050 is a game based public engagement tool developed as part of the Sitka Community Renewable Energy Strategy and the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Transitions Initiative Partnership Project Cohort 3. Designed for Sitka’s isolated island microgrid, which is powered primarily by hydropower and depends on imported diesel for backup, the game translated complex long term energy planning questions into an interactive format. In facilitated workshops, residents built energy roadmaps to 2050, explored tradeoffs, and expressed priorities around four themes: affordability, reliability, self sufficiency, and innovation. Across sessions, participants showed strong support for increasing local self sufficiency and resilience, even when this required balancing near term affordability with long term investments. They emphasized reducing dependence on imported diesel, making better use of existing hydropower, and considering new renewable generation such as solar, wind, and additional hydropower. Survey and game responses also highlighted interest in using surplus hydropower to support new industries, expanding electrification of heating and transportation, and exploring emerging technologies and green fuels. The report organizes these findings into four scenario themes to guide Sitka’s 2050 energy planning. Affordability focuses on managing rate impacts, efficiency, and conservation. Reliability addresses diversified generation, backup power, and energy security. Self sufficiency emphasizes distributed generation and reduced reliance on imported fuels. Innovation explores new technologies, marine based energy solutions, and low carbon fuels. By grounding future planning in these community derived themes, Energy Quest shows how a game based approach can make technical energy planning more accessible and inclusive for remote communities. For questions about the game board and piece production email Dr. Sarah Troise (sarah.troise@pnnl.gov)

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Multi-Source Machine Learning and Thermoplastics Enhanced Aerostructure Manufacturing (mTEAM)

RTX Technology Research Center (RTRC), together with Collins Aerospace (Collins) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has developed an Artificial Intelligence (AI) / Machine Learning (ML) guided solution to advance the manufacturing and assembly of high performance and lightweight thermoplastic composite (TPC) aerospace products. The solution aims to lower risk, cost and lead time for induction heating based welding and consolidation processes for TPC structure. The cost and lead time of part and material specific process development for induction welding (IW) and induction consolidation will be reduced by replacing traditional empirical methods with optimization methods that merge AI/ML and physics-based process simulations and process experiments with sensing and controls. TPC-IW process development is empirical in nature, and uncertainties in material & process behavior exist near & far from the induction coil. Physics-based simulations can be leveraged directly for process optimization but can be too computationally expensive to run in high fidelity and real time to do robust process optimization. The key impact of successful TPC induction consolidation and welding is cost & lead time reduction for part & material specific consolidation and welding recipes. This is an enabler for more rapid deployment of TPC structures via joining assembly, which can reduce energy & cost intensive usage of autoclaves & ovens. The solution aimed to advance the U.S. Department of Energy’s interests in using thermoplastics and automation in composite manufacturing for improvement of products for existing markets via increased production speeds, reduced costs, and lowered use of energy. Welded TPC structures can offer significant weight & energy savings for high-value commercial aerospace & industrial applications compared to metal & thermoset composite structures assembled by mechanical fastening and/or adhesive bonding. The project was organized into two Budget Periods. Budget Period 1 (BP1) was 15 months and its goal was to perform ML process optimization framework development & deployment on lab-coupon aerostructure components. A Go/No-Go Review was performed at the end of BP1 to verify fulfilment of key tasks & milestones to justify a Go Decision to move into the next Budget Period. Budget Period 2 (BP2) was 12 months and its goal was the deployment of the ML framework for ML process optimization of pilot industrial scale aerostructure components. The overall project aim was to develop & demonstrate ML-enhanced modeling framework that learns process-property mapping from multiple data sources at different fidelities. During BP1, the team accomplished key tasks & milestones to demonstrate the concept of multi-source ML for TPC aerostructure consolidation and assembly. First, the team completed documentation of induction based TPC heating requirements including baseline metrics to compare measured results against. Next the team completed demonstration of data generation from physics-based simulations for ML surrogate model generation and demonstrated the integration of physics-based simulation data into multi-source AI/ML algorithms. In parallel, the team established the lab-coupon scale induction welding system and completed a process to label and reduce generated data from physics-based simulation and experiments for ML surrogate models to enable multi-source ML model training & testing. To complete BP1, the team integrated physics-based simulation data and experimental data into multi-source ML algorithms. This was based on the team completing ML deployment of the induction welding on a lab system at RTRC and AI/ML deployment on existing induction welding line at Collins. ORNL visited both Collins and RTRC sites to witness the TPC induction welding process. Then, ORNL designed and constructed a new version of their vision-based sensing system better adapted to acquire process signals of the TPC induction welding process for process anomaly and defect detection. In BP2, the team accomplished key tasks & milestones to scale up multi-source ML for TPC aerostructure consolidation and assembly from the lab-coupon scale to the pilot-industrial scale. In BP2, the team demonstrated real time anomaly & defect detection via experiments performed by ORNL & RTRC. The team completed ML-optimization heating trials for TPC induction consolidation at Collins, and the team confirmed pilot industrial scale experimental data from Collins was compatible with the developed ML pipeline from RTRC. The team completed sub-element scale ML process optimization demonstration at RTRC, where the team leveraged RTRC’s robotic TPC welding setup to de-risk the ML process optimization by performing ML analysis of recorded temperatures to account for complex part features. Then, the team applied its ML-derived control strategies and ML process optimization framework at Collins to the pilot-industrial scale on a demo skin-stiffener part representative of a nacelle aerostructure fan cowl section. The key innovation is the AI/ML framework enabling effective process development of high performance, lightweight, energy efficient TPCs for composite aircraft structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗