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At least 1,369 records · Page 76

Cold Gas and Star Formation in the Phoenix Cluster with JWST

We present integral field unit observations of the Phoenix Cluster with the JWST Mid-infrared Instrument’s Medium Resolution Spectrometer. We focus this study on the molecular gas, dust, and star formation in the brightest cluster galaxy (BCG). We use precise spectral modeling to produce maps of the silicate dust, molecular gas, and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the inner ∼50 kpc of the cluster. We measure the optical depth from silicates by comparing the observed H 2 line ratios to those predicted by excitation models. We provide updated measurements of the total molecular gas mass of $1.9^{+0.5}_{-0.04}$ x 10 10 M ⊙ , which agrees with CO-based estimates, providing an estimate of the CO-to-H 2 conversion factor of α CO = 0.8 ± 0.2 M ⊙ pc -2 (K km s -1 ) -1 ; an updated stellar mass of M * = 2.6 ± 0.5 × 10 10 M ⊙ ; and star formation rates (SFRs) averaged over 10 and 100 Myr of $\langle$SFR$\rangle$ 10 = 1340 ± 100 M ⊙ yr −1 and $\langle$SFR$\rangle$ 100 = 740 ± 80 M ⊙ yr −1 , respectively. The H 2 emission seems to be powered predominantly by shocks and star formation within the central ∼20 kpc, induced by stellar feedback and radio jets from the active galactic nucleus. Additionally, we find nearly an order-of-magnitude drop in the SFRs estimated by PAH fluxes in cool core BCGs compared to field galaxies, suggesting that hot particles from the intracluster medium are destroying PAH grains even in the central-most tens of kiloparsecs.

Active galaxies↗

Regridding uncertainty for statistical downscaling of solar radiation

Abstract. Initial steps in statistical downscaling involve being able to compare observed data from regional climate models (RCMs). This prediction requires (1) regridding RCM outputs from their native grids and at differing spatial resolutions to a common grid in order to be comparable to observed data and (2) bias correcting RCM data, for example via quantile mapping, for future modeling and analysis. The uncertainty associated with (1) is not always considered for downstream operations in (2). This work examines this uncertainty, which is not often made available to the user of a regridded data product. This analysis is applied to RCM solar radiation data from the NA-CORDEX (North American Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) data archive and observed data from the National Solar Radiation Database housed at the National Renewable Energy Lab. A case study of the mentioned methods over California is presented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Investigation of Skylab imagery for regional planning

The author has identified the following significant results. It is feasible to use earth terrain camera imagery to detect four land uses (vacant land, developed land, streets, and water) for general regional planning purposes. Multispectral imagery is suitable for detecting, mapping, and measuring water bodies as small as two acres. Sufficient information can be extracted to prepare graphic and pictorial representations of the general growth and development patterns, but cannot be incorporated into an inventory file for predictive models.

Harting, W.↗

Intrusive and extrusive growth of the Mount St Helens lava dome

High-resolution, digital topographic maps of the Mount St. Helens dome derived from aerial photographs are used here to make a quantitative assessment of the partitioning of magma into endogenous intrusion and exogenous lobes. The endogenous growth is found to be predictable, which shows that the cooling dome controls its own development independently of such deep-seated factors as magma overpressure and extrusion rate. The observed regular decrease in exogenous growth rate also allows volume prediction. Knowledge of the volume can be used to determine when an ongoing eruptive event should end. Finally, the observed transition from predominantly exogenous to predominantly endogenous growth reflects the increase in crust thickness, which in turn seems to depend on long repose periods rather than some fundamental change in the character of the dome.

Fink, Jonathan H.↗

Distribution of Near-Surface Ground Ice on Mars

During the course of this grant we made significant progress in our understanding of martian ground ice in areas of theoretical and laboratory research. We recently completed a manuscript comparing a new map of ground-ice stability with leakage neutron data for the southern hemisphere . In this manuscript we incorporated several improvements to a model of ground ice stability. We quantitatively compared measured epithermal-neutron flux with predicted ice-table burial depth and found that the observed distribution of ground ice is consistent with ice in diffusive equilibrium with the atmosphere. In addition to this theoretical study we have adapted an experimental apparatus, designed for measuring ice condensation in antarctic soils , to martian permafrost.

Mellon, Michael T.↗

Ko Displacement Theory for Structural Shape Predictions

The development of the Ko displacement theory for predictions of structure deformed shapes was motivated in 2003 by the Helios flying wing, which had a 247-ft (75-m) wing span with wingtip deflections reaching 40 ft (12 m). The Helios flying wing failed in midair in June 2003, creating the need to develop new technology to predict in-flight deformed shapes of unmanned aircraft wings for visual display before the ground-based pilots. Any types of strain sensors installed on a structure can only sense the surface strains, but are incapable to sense the overall deformed shapes of structures. After the invention of the Ko displacement theory, predictions of structure deformed shapes could be achieved by feeding the measured surface strains into the Ko displacement transfer functions for the calculations of out-of-plane deflections and cross sectional rotations at multiple locations for mapping out overall deformed shapes of the structures. The new Ko displacement theory combined with a strain-sensing system thus created a revolutionary new structure- shape-sensing technology.

Ko, William L.↗

Towards multi-fidelity deep learning of wind turbine wakes

We report engineering wake models that accurately predict wake in a computationally efficient manner are very important for tasks such as layout optimization and control of wind farms. In this paper, we explore an application of deep learning (DL) to learn the wake model from hierarchies of physics-based approaches ranging from analytical models to an approximate form of the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. We first illustrate the application of principal component analysis to obtain a lower-dimensional representation that allows a computationally tractable training and deployment of DL models. Then, the DL model is trained to learn the mapping from input parameter space to the principal components, which are then used to reconstruct the three-dimensional flow field. Additionally, we investigate a composite framework consisting of two neural networks to learn the correlation between low- and high-fidelity data with Gauss and curl models treated as proxies for low- and high-fidelity models, respectively. The prediction from both DL models matches well with the high-fidelity data with a maximum relative percentage error for the kinetic energy flux of <1%. This work opens up possibilities for data-efficient construction of surrogate models for wake prediction that can be used to study the influence of wind speed and yaw angles on wind farm power production.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Signal-preserving CMB component separation with machine learning

Analysis of microwave sky signals, such as the cosmic microwave background, often requires component separation using multifrequency methods, whereby different signals are isolated according to their different frequency behaviors. Many so-called blind methods, such as the internal linear combination (ILC), make minimal assumptions about the spatial distribution of the signal or contaminants, and only assume knowledge of the frequency dependence of the signal. The ILC produces a minimum-variance linear combination of the measured frequency maps. In the case of Gaussian, statistically isotropic fields, this is the optimal linear combination, as the variance is the only statistic of interest. However, in many cases the signal we wish to isolate, or the foregrounds we wish to remove, are non-Gaussian and/or statistically anisotropic (in particular for the case of Galactic foregrounds). In such cases, it is possible that machine learning (ML) techniques can be used to exploit the non-Gaussian features of the foregrounds and thereby improve component separation. However, many ML techniques require the use of complex, difficult-to-interpret operations on the data. We propose a hybrid method whereby we train an ML model using only combinations of the data that , and combine the resulting ML-predicted foreground estimate with the ILC solution to reduce the error from the ILC. We demonstrate our methods on simulations of extragalactic temperature and Galactic polarization foregrounds and show that our ML model can exploit non-Gaussian features, such as point sources and spatially varying spectral indices, to produce lower-variance maps than ILC—e.g., reducing the variance of the B-mode residual by factors of up to 5—while preserving the signal of interest in an unbiased manner. Moreover, we often find improved performance even when applying our ML technique to foreground models on which it was not trained. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

McCarthy, Fiona (ORCID:0000000253893565)↗

The impact of sampling scale: A comparison of methods for estimating external contaminant exposure in free-ranging wildlife

The impacts of contaminants on wildlife are dose dependent, and thus being able to track or predict exposure following contamination events is important for monitoring ecosystem health. However, the ability to track exposure in free-ranging wildlife is often severely limited. Consequently, researchers have predominantly relied on simple methods for estimating contaminant exposures in wildlife with little regard for spatial contaminant heterogeneity or an animal’s use of diverse habitats. We evaluated the influence sampling scale (i.e., how finely contaminant distribution and organism’s spatial use of the landscape is mapped) has on (1) realism and (2) conservativeness of exposure estimates. To do this, we monitored the actual exposure of wild boar (Sus scrofa) in Fukushima, Japan to radioactive contamination using GPS27 coupled contaminant monitors placed on individual animals. We compared empirical exposures to estimates generated by combining varying amounts of information about an individual boar’s location and/or movement, with the distribution of contamination on the landscape. Here we found that the most realistic exposure estimates were produced when finer-scale contaminant distribution surveys (e.g., airborne surveys) were combined with more accurate estimates of an individual’s space use (e.g., home ranges or core areas). Importantly, estimates of exposure based on single point surveys at a trap site (a simple method commonly used in the literature), did not correlate with actual exposure rates, suggesting dose-effects studies using this method may result in spurious conclusions. These results suggest that researchers seeking realistic estimates of exposure, such as in dose-effect studies, should ensure they have adequately accounted for fine-scale contaminant distribution patterns and areas of higher use by study organisms. However, conservative estimates of exposure i.e., intentionally over-predicting exposure as is done in initial tiers of ecological risk analyses) were not as scale sensitive and could be achieved with a single known location and coarse contaminant distribution maps.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Radioactive Source Localization via Bayesian Particle Filter

In the event of a misplaced radioactive source or other emergency situation, measuring a radiation field, mapping its distribution, and determining a source location are essential tasks to ameliorating the situation. However, radiation fields may be extremely hazardous to human surveyors and minimizing received radiation doses is just as essential. Robots appear to be a potential solution to these problems. Beyond simply measuring radiation, the robot's computer processing capabilities offer a way to apply complex data analysis methods to radiation measurements in real-time. Methods which predict likely source locations can then feed this information into other processes, potentially improving path planning and enabling more efficient measurements. Given a robot mounted with a gamma-ray detector, can we: develop a methodology to account for detector performance across a wide range of source angles, distances, and photon energies? operate an autonomously navigating robot to effectively survey and characterize an area of interest? implement a data analysis method, conventionally used in measurements of motion, for source localization purposes? An open-source TurtleBot 3 robot, running Robot Operating System (ROS) on Ubuntu 16.04 LTS, was fitted with a Kromek GR1{sup R} Cadmium Zinc Telluride (CZT) solid-state gamma-ray detector. As a part of ROS, the packages OpenSlam, gmapping, and amcl were used to perform Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM), determining the robot's position and mapping the surrounding area. Data was acquired via Lidar mounted on top the TurtleBot 3. Detector Calibration Fit: The equation was fit to 365 counts of various energies, distances, and angles. A MATLAB{sup R} program was written to simulate measurements taken a robot on a random walk, with count data and positions discretized into finite element pixels. Using this program, a sample of 100 runs was performed on a map with a simulated source at the center, with a total of 200 of 2 pixels each. Similarly, multiple runs of the filter were performed on recorded robot measurement data. In both simulation and real tests, when corrected for errors (particles placed outside of bounds or on the robot, and simulation-specific errors), corresponding t-tests of predicted x and y-coordinates were within a 95% confidence interval of the actual position. For the real trial, these positions are slightly skewed right in the x-axis as the robot remained mainly to the left side of the source within the sample area. These simulations demonstrate potential validity for the usage of a particle filter as method of radioactive source localization. In the future, true real-time implementation and data fusion may further augment the performance of the robot to localize lost sources. Additionally, identification of multiple sources, determination of source types, and usage of a collimator are areas to potentially be explored.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

PBE-GGA predicts the B8↔B2 phase boundary of FeO at Earth’s core conditions

FeO is a crucial component of the Earth’s core, and its thermodynamic properties are essential to developing more accurate core models. It is also a notorious correlated insulator in the NaCl-type (B1) phase at ambient conditions. It undergoes two polymorphic transitions at 300 K before it becomes metallic in the NiAs-type (B8) structure at ~100 GPa. Although its phase diagram is not fully mapped, it is well established that the B8 phase transforms to the CsCl-type (B2) phase at core pressures and temperatures. Here, we report a successful ab initio calculation of the B8↔B2 phase boundary in FeO at Earth’s core pressures. We show that fully anharmonic free energies computed with the Perdew–Burke–Ernzerhof-generalized gradient approximation coupled with thermal electronic excitations reproduce the experimental phase boundary within uncertainties at P > 255 GPa, including the largely negative Clapeyron slope of –52 MPa/K. This study validates the applicability of a standard density functional theory functional to FeO under Earth’s core conditions and demonstrates the theoretical framework that enables complex predictive studies of this region.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Rift Valley Fever Risk Map Model and Seroprevalence in Selected Wild Ungulates and Camels from Kenya

Since the first isolation of Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) in the 1930s, there have been multiple epizootics and epidemics in animals and humans in sub-Saharan Africa. Prospective climate-based models have recently been developed that flag areas at risk of RVFV transmission in endemic regions based on key environmental indicators that precede Rift Valley fever (RVF) epizootics and epidemics. Although the timing and locations of human case data from the 2006-2007 RVF outbreak in Kenya have been compared to risk zones flagged by the model, seroprevalence of RVF antibodies in wildlife has not yet been analyzed in light of temporal and spatial predictions of RVF activity. Primarily wild ungulate serum samples from periods before, during, and after the 2006-2007 RVF epizootic were analyzed for the presence of RVFV IgM and/or IgG antibody. Results show an increase in RVF seropositivity from samples collected in 2007 (31.8%), compared to antibody prevalence observed from 2000-2006 (3.3%). After the epizootic, average RVF seropositivity diminished to 5% in samples collected from 2008-2009. Overlaying maps of modeled RVF risk assessments with sampling locations indicated positive RVF serology in several species of wild ungulate in or near areas flagged as being at risk for RVF. Our results establish the need to continue and expand sero-surveillance of wildlife species Kenya and elsewhere in the Horn of Africa to further calibrate and improve the RVF risk model, and better understand the dynamics of RVFV transmission.

Seroprevalence↗

Regional Assessment for the CO 2 Storage Potential in the Northern Niagaran Pinnacle Reef Trend

The Midwest Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) was founded in 2003 as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership initiative. Since its founding, MRCSP has made significant strides toward making CCUS a viable option for states in the region. The public/private consortium, funded through the DOE Regional Carbon Sequestration Initiative, brings together nearly 40 industry partners and 10 states. Battelle, as the project lead, oversees research, development and operations and coordinates activities among the partners. The incremental, phased approach has built a valuable knowledge base for the industry and paved the way for commercial-scale adoption of CCUS technologies. From 2008 to 2020, MRCSP Phase III focused on the development of large-scale injection projects. This report is part of a series of reports prepared under the Midwestern Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership (MRCSP) Phase III (Development Phase). These reports summarize and detail the findings of the work conducted under the Phase III project. The report describes the regional analysis of the Northern Niagaran Pinnacle Reef Trend (NNPRT) in Northern Michigan as part of the MRCSP programs Regional Assessment goals. The goal of this task was to perform an initial assessment of the geologic storage capacity and injectivity of the Northern Fairway of Michigan’s Niagaran Reef Trend. This was achieved through three main objectives: 1) development of a reef atlas, 2) understanding the regional trends in geology, and 3) estimating CO 2 and CO 2 -EOR resources. Data collected across multiple subtasks were integrated into a mappable database that could be accessed from many of the leading software. The reef atlas was used to map the reefs and associated characteristics across the entire NNPRT. Several methodologies were explored to estimate the CO 2 and CO 2 -EOR resources across the trend which included three scenarios: 1) storage only using fluid substitution and volumetric estimations, 2) CO 2 -EOR which applied proximity analysis concepts and measured performance metrics from the Core Energy reefs to predict performance at all oil reefs, and 3) enhanced storage scenario which combined CO 2 -EOR with fluid substitution to represent maximized storage after completion of CO 2 -EOR.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Forecasting Lake-Effect Precipitation in the Great Lakes Region Using NASA Enhanced-Satellite Data

Lake-effect precipitation is common in the Great Lakes region, particularly during the late fall and winter. The synoptic processes of lake-effect precipitation are well understood by operational forecasters, but individual forecast events still present a challenge. Locally run, high resolution models can assist the forecaster in identifying the onset and duration of precipitation, but model results are sensitive to initial conditions, particularly the assumed surface temperature of the Great Lakes. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has created a Great Lakes Surface Temperature (GLST) composite, which uses infrared estimates of water temperatures obtained from the MODIS instrument aboard the Aqua and Terra satellites, other coarser resolution infrared data when MODIS is not available, and ice cover maps produced by the NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab (GLERL). This product has been implemented into the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model Environmental Modeling System (WRF-EMS), used within forecast offices to run local, high resolution forecasts. The sensitivity of the model forecast to the GLST product was analyzed with a case study of the Lake Effect Storm Echinacea, which produced 10 to 12 inches of snowfall downwind of Lake Erie, and 8 to 18 inches downwind of Lake Ontario from 27-29 January 2010. This research compares a forecast using the default Great Lakes surface temperatures from the Real Time Global sea surface temperature (RTG SST), in the WRF-EMS model to the enhanced NASA SPoRT GLST product to study forecast impacts. Results from this case study show that the SPoRT GLST contained less ice cover over Lake Erie and generally cooler water temperatures over Lakes Erie and Ontario. Latent and sensible heat fluxes over Lake Ontario were decreased in the GLST product. The GLST product decreased the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), which can be correlated to the decrease in temperatures and heat fluxes. A slight increase in precipitation coverage was noted over Lake Erie due to a decrease in ice cover. Both the RTG SST and the GLST products predicted the precipitation south of the actual location of precipitation. This single case study is the first part of an examination to determine how MODIS data can be applied to improve model forecasts in the Great Lakes region.

Cipullo, Michelle↗

In-situ qualification and physics-based process design for aerosol jet printing via spatially correlated light scattering measurements

Aerosol jet printing is a contactless, digital, and additive technique broadly used for manufacturing flexible, hybrid, and conformal electronics. However, batch-to-batch variability has hindered widespread industry adoption and scaling to production volumes. Recently, light scattering measurements have emerged as a tool to measure aerosol volume fraction – a key parameter determining deposition rate – and have proven an effective feedback source for closed loop control on timescales ranging from minutes to hours. Here, the efficacy of light scattering measurements as a tool for in-situ qualification over shorter time durations is explored. To be the linear relationship between light scattering measurements and deposition rate was validated at 500 ms time intervals, allowing deposition rate to be mapped to positional coordinates and providing a new data stream to drive quality control assessments. Because light scattering measurements are indicative of a physical process parameter, they were substituted into equations for resistance and sheet resistance, resulting in predictions nominally within 10% of measured values for sets of printed devices. Finally, to highlight a more active utility, light scattering measurements were employed in a print repair framework, successfully repairing prints with randomly induced defects to within 5% of the measured resistance of a control set.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Design of an alumina forming coating for Nb-base refractory alloys

Refractory multi-principal element alloys (RMPEAs) promise to significantly enhance gas turbine engine efficiency, but their poor oxidation performance inhibits their implementation. Alumina-forming bond coat alloys can provide oxidation protection, but discovering suitable chemistries remains a challenge. We employed a design methodology that screens for alumina-formation capability using Al activity and phase constitution predictions from CalPhaD (Thermo-Calc). Alloy down-selection from approximately 7,800 alloys in the Nb-Si-Ti-Al-Hf system was conducted via analysis of calculated thermodynamic properties with number-density topology style maps. This approach is validated by creating and testing the composition Nb 12 Si 23 Ti 24 Al 36 Hf 5 , which forms protective alumina scales up to 1400 °C and resists pesting at 800 °C. Further, the alloy has an average coefficient of thermal expansion of ~10.1 ppm/K, making it well matched to Nb-based refractory alloys. The methodology will be useful for the design of coatings for RMPEAs, enabling their implementation and significant efficiency benefits sooner.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Global patterns of terrestrial nitrogen and phosphorus limitation

Nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) limitation constrains the magnitude of terrestrial carbon uptake in response to elevated carbon dioxide and climate change. However, global maps of nutrient limitation are still lacking. Here we examined global N and P limitation using the ratio of site-averaged leaf N and P resorption efficiencies of the dominant species across 171 sites. We evaluated our predictions using a global database of N- and P-limitation experiments based on nutrient additions at 106 and 53 sites, respectively. Globally, we found a shift from relative P to N limitation for both higher latitudes and precipitation seasonality and lower mean annual temperature, temperature seasonality, mean annual precipitation and soil clay fraction. Excluding cropland, urban and glacial areas, we estimate that 18% of the natural terrestrial land area is significantly limited by N, whereas 43% is relatively P limited. The remaining 39% of the natural terrestrial land area could be co-limited by N and P or weakly limited by either nutrient alone. This work provides both a new framework for testing nutrient limitation and a benchmark of N and P limitation for models to constrain predictions of the terrestrial carbon sink.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Optimizing microfluidic flow cell geometry for in situ resonant soft X-ray characterization of molecular nanostructures

Liquid-phase resonant soft X-ray scattering (LP-RSoXS) is an emerging label-free technique to probe chemically resolved nanostructures of molecular or hybrid materials in liquid environments. Still, quantitative analysis is hindered by the pressure-induced deformation of thin silicon nitride (SiN) membranes used as windows in microfluidic flow cells, which attenuates the signal in nonlinear ways, making experimental optimization difficult. Here, in this work, we directly characterize this deformation under experimental conditions for a variety of cell configurations. We use this to develop a predictive model that combines transmission effects of SiN bowing, incident X-ray beam profiles, and material-dependent resonant scattering cross sections to simulate the effective scattering intensity at the detector across the carbon K-edge. Maps of the total signal across the flow cell window reveal that increasing the window width and polymer concentration shifts the anisotropic intensity distributions from the center toward the edges of the window. It was determined that an optimal SiN thickness of 50 nm, with a window aperture of 104 μm, maximizes the total signal for typical solute concentrations and energies across the carbon K-edge. Our results overturn the assumption that corner regions dominate the scattering signal, offering explicit design guidelines for maximizing LP-RSoXS signals and significantly advancing the quantitative application of this technique to the characterization of molecular and hybrid nanostructured materials in liquids.

Grabner, Devin [Washington State Univ., Pullman, W↗